A multicenter LArge retrospectIve daTabase on the personalization of stereotactic ABlative radiotherapy use in lung metastases from colon-rectal cancer: The LaIT-SABR study.

INTRODUCTION: Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) has been shown to increase survival in oligometastatic disease, but local control of colorectal metastases remains poor. We aimed to identify potential predictive factors of SBRT response through a multicenter large retrospective database and to investigate the progression to the polymetastatic disease (PMD). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study involved 23 centers, and was approved by the Ethical Committee (Prot. Negrar 2019-ZT). 1033 lung metastases were reported. Clinical and biological parameters were evaluated as predictive for freedom from local progression-free survival (FLP). Secondary end-point was the time to the polymetastatic conversion (tPMC). RESULTS: Two-year FLP was 75.4%. Two-year FLP for lesions treated with a BED < 00 Gy, 100-124 Gy, and ≥125 Gy was 76.1%, 70.6%, and 94% (p = 0.000). Two-year FLP for lesion measuring ≤10 mm, 10-20 mm, and >20 mm was 79.7%, 77.1%, and 66.6% (p = 0.027). At the multivariate analysis a BED ≥125 Gy significantly reduced the risk of local progression (HR 0.24, 95%CI 0.11-0.51; p = 0.000). Median tPMC was 26.8 months. Lesions treated with BED ≥125 Gy reported a significantly longer tPMC as compared to lower BED. The median tPMC for patients treated to 1, 2-3 or 4-5 simultaneous oligometastases was 28.5, 25.4, and 9.8 months (p = 0.035). CONCLUSION: The present is the largest series of lung colorectal metastases treated with SABR. The results support the use of SBRT in lung oligometastatic colorectal cancer patients as it might delay the transition to PMD or offer relatively long disease-free period in selected cases. Predictive factors were identified for treatment personalization.

What is the effect of MRI with targeted biopsies on the rate of patients discontinuing active surveillance? A reflection of the use of MRI in the PRIAS study.

BACKGROUND: The reduction of overtreatment by active surveillance (AS) is limited in patients with low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) due to high rates of patients switching to radical treatment. MRI improves biopsy accuracy and could therewith affect inclusion in or continuation of AS. We aim to assess the effect of MRI with target biopsies on the total rate of patients discontinuing AS, and in particular discontinuation due to Grade Group (GG) reclassification. METHODS: Three subpopulations included in the prospective PRIAS study with GG 1 were studied. Group A consists of patients diagnosed before 2009 without MRI before or during AS. Group B consists of patients diagnosed without MRI, but all patients underwent MRI within 6 months after diagnosis. Group C consists of patients who underwent MRI before diagnosis and during follow-up. We used cumulative incidence curves to estimate the rates of discontinuation. RESULTS: In Group A (n = 500), the cumulative probability of discontinuing AS at 2 years is 27.5%; GG reclassification solely accounted for 6.9% of the discontinuation. In Group B (n = 351) these numbers are 30.9 and 22.8%, and for Group C (n = 435) 24.2 and 13.4%. The three groups were not randomized, however, baseline characteristics are highly comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Performing an MRI before starting AS reduces the cumulative probability of discontinuing AS at 2 years. Performing an MRI after already being on AS increases the cumulative probability of discontinuing AS in comparison to not performing an MRI, especially because of an increase in GG reclassification. These results suggest that the use of MRI could lead to more patients being considered unsuitable for AS. Considering the excellent long-term cancer-specific survival of AS before the MRI era, the increased diagnostic accuracy of MRI could potentially lead to more overtreatment if definitions and treatment options of significant PCa are not adapted.

Older age and comorbidity in breast cancer: is RT alone the new therapeutic frontier?

AIM: To assess the impact of age, comorbidities and endocrine therapy (ET) in older breast cancer (BC) patients treated with hypofractionated radiotherapy (Hypo-RT). METHODS: From June 2009 to December 2017, we enrolled in this study 735 ER-positive BC patients (stage pT1-T2, pNx-1, M0 and age ≥ 65 years) receiving hypo-RT and followed them until September 2019. Baseline comorbidities included in the hypertension-augmented Charlson Comorbidity Index were retrospectively retrieved. Logistic regression model estimated adjusted-odds ratios (ORs) of ET prescription in relation to baseline patient and tumor characteristics. Competing risk analysis estimated 5-year cumulative incidence function (CIF) of ET discontinuation due to side effects (with BC progression or death as competing events), and its effect on locoregional recurrence (LRR) and distant metastasis (DM) (with death as competing event). RESULTS: ET has been prescribed in 89% patients. In multivariable analysis, the odds of ET prescription was significantly reduced in older patients (≥ 80 years, OR 0.08, 95% CI 0.03-0.20) and significantly increased in patients with moderate comorbidity. Patients ≥ 80 years discontinued the prescribed therapy earlier and more frequently than younger (65-69 years) patients (p = 0.060). Five-year CIF of LLR, DM and death from causes other that BC were 1.7%, 2.2% and 7.5%, respectively. Patients who discontinued ET had higher chance of LRR (p = 0.004). ET use did not impact on OS in any of the analyzed groups. CONCLUSIONS: In older patients, ET did not show a benefit in terms of overall survival. Further studies focusing on tailored treatment approaches are warranted to offer the best care in terms of adjuvant treatment to these patients.

VMAT partial-breast irradiation: acute toxicity of hypofractionated schedules of 30 Gy in five daily fractions.

PURPOSE: To report acute toxicities in breast cancer (BC) patients (pts) recruited in a prospective trial and treated with accelerated partial-breast irradiation (APBI) using Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy (VMAT) delivered with a hypofractionated schedule. METHODS: From March 2014 to June 2019, pts with early-stage BC (Stage I), who underwent breast conservative surgery (BCS), were recruited in a prospective study started at the National Cancer Institute of Milan. Pts received APBI with a hypofractionated schedule of 30 Gy in five daily fractions. Radiotherapy treatment (RT) was delivered using VMAT. Acute toxicity was assessed according to RTOG/EORTC criteria at the end of RT. RESULTS: Between March 2014 and June 2019, 151 pts were enrolled in this study. 79 Pts had right-side and 72 had left-side breast cancer. Median age was 69 (range 43-92). All pts presented with pathological stage IA BC, molecular classification was Luminal A in 128/151 (85%) and Luminal B in 23/151 (15%) cases. Acute toxicity, assessed at the end of RT, consisted of G1 erythema in 37/151 (24. 5%) pts and skin toxicities higher than G1, did not occur. Fibrosis G1 and G2 were reported in 41/151 (27. 1%) pts and in 2/151 pts (1. 3%), respectively. Edema G1 occurred in 8/151 (5. 3%) pts and asthenia G1 occurred in 1/151 (0. 6%) pts. CONCLUSIONS: APBI with VMAT proved to be feasible and can be a valid alternative treatment option after BCS in selected early breast cancer pts according to ASTRO guidelines. A longer follow-up is needed to assess late toxicity.

Anti-PSMA 124I-scFvD2B as a new immuno-PET tool for prostate cancer: preclinical proof of principle.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second leading cause of cancer-related death in the Western population. The use in oncology of positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with emerging radiopharmaceuticals promises accurate staging of primary disease, restaging of recurrent disease and detection of metastatic lesions. Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) expression, directly related to androgen-independence, metastasis and progression, renders this tumour associate antigen a good target for the development of new radiopharmaceuticals for PET. Aim of this study was to demonstrate in a preclinical in vivo model (PSMA-positive versus PSMA-negative tumours) the targeting specificity and sensitivity of the anti-PSMA single-chain variable fragment (scFv) labelled with 124I. METHODS: The 124I-labeling conditions of the antibody fragment scFvD2B were optimized and assessed for purity and immunoreactivity. The specificity of 124I-scFvD2B was tested in mice bearing PSMA-positive and PSMA-negative tumours to assess both ex-vivo biodistribution and immune-PET. RESULTS: The uptake fraction of 124I-scFvD2B was very high on PSMA positive cells (range 75-91%) and highly specific and immuno-PET at the optimal time point, defined between 15 h and 24 h, provides a specific localization of lesions bearing the target antigen of interest (PSMA positive vs PSMA negative tumors %ID/g: p = 0.0198 and p = 0.0176 respectively) yielding a median target/background ratio around 30-40. CONCLUSIONS: Preclinical in vivo results of our immuno-PET reagent are highly promising. The target to background ratio is improved notably using PET compared to SPECT previously performed. These data suggest that, upon clinical confirmation of sensitivity and specificity, our anti-PSMA 124I-scFvD2B may be superior to other diagnostic modalities for PCa. The possibility to combine in patients our 124I-scFvD2B in multi-modal systems, such as PET/CT, PET/MR and PET/SPECT/CT, will provide quantitative 3D tomographic images improving the knowledge of cancer biology and treatment.

Modelling late stool frequency and rectal pain after radical radiotherapy in prostate cancer patients: Results from a large pooled population.

AIM: To investigate late gastrointestinal toxicity in a large pooled population of prostate cancer patients treated with radical radiotherapy. Normal tissue complication probability models were developed for late stool frequency and late rectal pain. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Population included 1336 patients, 3-year minimum follow-up, treated with 66-80Gy. Toxicity was scored with LENT-SOMA-scale. Two toxicity endpoints were considered: grade ⩾2 rectal pain and mean grade (average score during follow-up) in stool frequency >1. DVHs of anorectum were reduced to equivalent uniform dose (EUD). The best-value of the volume parameter n was determined through numerical optimization. Association between EUD/clinical factors and the endpoints was investigated by logistic analyses. Likelihood, Brier-score and calibration were used to evaluate models. External calibration was also carried out. RESULTS: 4% of patients (45/1122) reported mean stool frequency grade >1; grade ⩾2 rectal pain was present in the TROG 03.04 RADAR population only (21/677, 3.1%): for this endpoint, the analysis was limited to this population. Analysis of DVHs highlighted the importance of mid-range doses (30-50Gy) for both endpoints. EUDs calculated with n=1 (OR=1.04) and n=0.35 (OR=1.06) were the most suitable dosimetric descriptors for stool frequency and rectal pain respectively. The final models included EUD and cardiovascular diseases (OR=1.78) for stool frequency and EUD and presence of acute gastrointestinal toxicity (OR=4.2) for rectal pain. CONCLUSION: Best predictors of stool frequency and rectal pain are consistent with findings previously reported for late faecal incontinence, indicating an important role in optimization of mid-range dose region to minimize these symptoms highly impacting the quality-of-life of long surviving patients.

Factors influencing acute and late toxicity in the era of adjuvant hypofractionated breast radiotherapy.

PURPOSE: To evaluate toxicity in breast cancer patients treated with anthracycline and taxane based chemotherapy and whole breast hypofractionated radiotherapy, and to identify the risk factors for toxicity. METHODS AND MATERIALS: 537 early breast cancer patients receiving hypofractionated radiotherapy after conservative surgery were enrolled from April 2009 to December 2014, in an Italian cancer institute. The dose was 42.4 Gy in 16 daily fractions, 2.65 Gy per fraction. The boost to the tumor bed was administered only in grade III breast cancer patients and in patients with close or positive margins. Acute and late toxicity were prospectively assessed during and after radiotherapy according to RTOG scale. The impact of patients clinical characteristics, performed treatments and dose inhomogeneities on the occurrence of an higher level of acute skin toxicity and late fibrosis has been evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: The mean age was 74 (range 46-91 yrs). 27% of patients received boost. 22% of cases (n = 119) received also chemotherapy. The median follow-up was 32 months. G1 and G2/G3 acute skin toxicity were 61.3% and 20.5% and G1 and G2/G3 late fibrosis 12.6% and 4.3% respectively. Chemotherapy (p = 0.04), diabetes (p = 0.04) and boost administration (p < 0.01) were found to be statistically significant on the occurrence of late fibrosis, but a multivariate analysis did not show any factors connected. The boost administration (p < 0.01), the breast volume (p = 0.05), dose inhomogeneities (p < 0.01) and boost volume (p = 0.04) were found to be statistically significant as concerns the occurrence of acute skin reaction at the univariate analysis, but only the boost administration (p = 0.02), at multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The results of our study, according to the large randomized trials, confirmed that hypofractionated whole breast irradiation is safe, and only the boost administration seems to be an important predictor for toxicity. Chemotherapy does not impact on acute and late skin toxicity.

Bladder spatial-dose descriptors correlate with acute urinary toxicity after radiation therapy for prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: To assess bladder spatial-dose parameters predicting acute urinary toxicity after radiotherapy for prostate cancer (PCa) through a pixel-wise method for analysis of bladder dose-surface maps (DSMs). MATERIALS & METHODS: The final cohort of a multi-institutional study, consisting of 539 patients with PCa treated with conventionally (CONV:1.8-2Gy/fr) or moderately hypo-fractionated radiotherapy (HYPO:2.2-2.7Gy/fr) was considered. Urinary toxicity was evaluated through the International Prostate Symptoms Score (IPSS) administered before and after radiotherapy. IPSS increases ⩾10 and 15 points at the end of radiotherapy (ΔIPSS⩾10 and ΔIPSS⩾15) were chosen as endpoints. Average DSMs (corrected into 2Gy-equivalent doses) of patients with/without toxicity were compared through a pixel-wise method. This allowed the extraction of selected spatial descriptors discriminating between patients with/without toxicity. Previously logistic models based on dose-surface histograms (DSH) were considered and replaced with DSM descriptors. Discrimination power, calibration and log-likelihood were considered to evaluate the impact of the inclusion of spatial descriptors. RESULTS: Data of 375/539 patients were available. ΔIPSS⩾10 was recorded in 76/375 (20%) patients, while 30/375 (8%) experienced ΔIPSS⩾15. The posterior dose at 12mm from the bladder base (roughly corresponding to the trigone region) resulted significantly associated to toxicity in the whole/HYPO populations. The cranial extension of the 75Gy isodose along the bladder central axis was the best DSM-based predictor in CONV patients. Multi-variable models including DSM descriptors showed better discrimination (AUC=0.66-0.77) when compared to DSH-based models (AUC=0.58-0.71) and higher log-likelihoods. CONCLUSION: DSMs are correlated with the risk of acute GU toxicity. The incorporation of spatial descriptors improves discrimination and log-likelihood of multi-variable models including dosimetric and clinical parameters.

Adaptation and validation of an Italian version of the Prostate Cancer Specific Quality of Life Instrument (PROSQOLI).

OBJECTIVE: The Prostate Cancer Specific Quality of Life Instrument (PROSQOLI) is a measure of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in advanced hormone-resistant prostate cancer. In this study, we aimed at performing a cross-cultural adaptation and validation of the Italian version of the PROSQOLI. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The original version of the PROSQOLI underwent several turnarounds of translations. A total of 472 patients treated with radical prostatectomy, radiotherapy or medical therapy were enrolled for the validation of the questionnaire. The PROSQOLI was administered together with the SF-12. Reliability indexes were calculated by using Cronbach alpha. To evaluate the validity of the construct, relationships between PROSQOLI and SF12 were assessed. The ANOVA test was used to evaluate the differences between groups of patients who had received different treatments. RESULTS: The reliability coefficient was 0.91. Item-to-total correlation indices were in most cases >0.70. The correlation between the scores of the PROSQOLI and those of the SF-12 questionnaire was high (r=0.8139, p<0.0001). The ANOVA test showed significant differences between groups (p<0.01) based on age, recurrence risk and treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The adaptation process showed that the PROSQOLI Italian version has high reliability and presents both convergent and discriminant validity. This version of the tool can be used to assess HRQoL in Italian men who underwent radical treatment for advanced prostate cancer.

Moderate Hypofractionation with Simultaneous Integrated Boost in Prostate Cancer: Long-term Results of a Phase I-II Study.

AIMS: To report 5 year outcome and late toxicity in prostate cancer patients treated with image-guided tomotherapy with a moderate hypofractionated simultaneous integrated boost approach. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In total, 211 prostate cancer patients, 78 low risk, 53 intermediate risk and 80 high risk were treated between 2005 and 2011. Intermediate- and high-risk patients received 51.8 Gy to pelvic lymph nodes and concomitant simultaneous integrated boost to prostate up to 74.2 Gy/28 fractions, whereas low-risk patients were treated to the prostate only with 71.4 Gy/28 fractions. Daily megavoltage computed tomography (MVCT) image guidance was applied. Androgen deprivation was prescribed for a median duration of 6 months for low-risk patients (for downsizing), 12 months for intermediate-risk and 36 months for high-risk patients. The 5 year biochemical relapse-free survival (bRFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival and late gastrointestinal and genitourinary CTCAE.v3 toxicity were assessed. The effect of several clinical variables on both outcome and gastrointestinal/genitourinary toxicity was tested by uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 5 years, the late toxicity actuarial incidence was: genitourinary ≥ grade 2: 20.2%; genitourinary ≥ grade 3: 5.9%; gastrointestinal ≥ grade 2: 17%; gastrointestinal ≥ grade 3: 6.3% with lower prevalence at the last follow-up visit (≥ grade 3: genitourinary: 1.9%; gastrointestinal: 1.9%). Major predictors of ≥ grade 3 genitourinary and gastrointestinal late toxicity were genitourinary acute toxicity ≥ grade 2 (hazard ratio: 4.9) and previous surgery (hazard ratio: 3.4). The overall 5 year bRFS was 93.7% (low risk: 94.6%; intermediate risk: 96.2%; high risk: 91.1%), overall survival and CSS were 88.6% (low risk: 90.5%; intermediate risk: 87.4%; high risk: 87%) and 97.5% (low risk: 98.7%; intermediate risk: 95%; high risk: 94.3%), respectively. Risk classes and androgen deprivation were not significantly correlated with either bRFS, overall survival or CSS. Twelve patients experienced a biochemical relapse but none experienced clinically proven local and/or pelvic recurrence. CONCLUSION: A satisfactory 5 year outcome with an acceptable toxicity profile was observed. The combination of image-guided radiotherapy-intensity-modulated radiotherapy, high equivalent 2 Gy dose (EQD2) with a moderate hypofractionated approach and extensive prophylactic lymph node irradiation also leads to very good outcome in high-risk patients.

Estimates of prostate cancer burden in Italy.

Age-standardized incidence rates of prostate cancer (PC) sharply increased during the period 1990-2005 in Italian areas covered by cancer registries, while corresponding mortality rates remained nearly constant. The latest observations have reported on a reversal of the incidence trend with decreasing values after 2005. We provided incidence, mortality, and prevalence estimates at national and geographical area levels, together with time projections up to the year 2020. We applied the MIAMOD method, using as input national mortality data for the years 1970-2010 and population-based survival data for the period of diagnosis (1985-2002). We assumed relative survival of prostate cancer remained constant after the year of diagnosis (2005). The age-standardized incidence rates of PC were estimated to increase during the period 1984-2005, from 31 per 100,000 in 1984 to 93 per 100,000 in 2005. From 2005 onwards, the estimated rates declined to 71 in 2015 and to 62 in 2020. Age-standardized mortality rates slightly increased from 1970 up to about 19 per 100,000 in 1999 and then started to decrease with an estimated reduction of about 2.3% per year. Mortality projections indicated a continuing reduction, with a predicted age-standardized rate of about 12 per 100,000 in 2020. Prevalence was estimated to continuously increase up to a crude prevalence value of 1.2% in the year 2020. The results indicate that the epidemic peak of PC was reached around the year 2005 followed by declining incidence rates, while a substantial decrease in mortality, starting during the early 2000s, is expected to continue during the 2010s.

High quality surface reconstruction in radiotherapy: Cross-sectional contours to 3D mesh using wavelets.

A novel approach for three-dimensional (3D) surface reconstruction of anatomical structures in radiotherapy (RT) is presented. This is obtained from manual cross-sectional contours by combining both image voxel segmentation processing and implicit surface streaming methods using wavelets. 3D meshes reconstructed with the proposed approach are compared to those obtained from traditional triangulation algorithm. Qualitative and quantitative evaluations are performed in terms of mesh quality metrics. Differences in smoothness, detail and accuracy are observed in the comparison, considering three different anatomical districts and several organs at risk in radiotherapy. Overall best performances were recorded for the proposed approach, regardless the complexity of the anatomical structure. This demonstrates the efficacy of the proposed approach for the 3D surface reconstruction in radiotherapy and allows for further specific image analyses using real biomedical data.

miR-205 regulates basement membrane deposition in human prostate: implications for cancer development.

The basement membrane (BM) is a layer of specialized extracellular matrix that surrounds normal prostate glands and preserves tissue integrity. Lack or discontinuity of the BM is a prerequisite for tumor cell invasion into interstitial spaces, thus favoring metastasis. Therefore, BM maintenance represents a barrier against cancer development and progression. In the study, we show that miR-205 participates in a network involving ΔNp63α, which is essential for maintenance of the BM in prostate epithelium. At the molecular level, ΔNp63α is able to enhance miR-205 transcription by binding to its promoter, whereas the microRNA can post-transcriptionally limit the amount of ΔNp63α protein, mostly by affecting ΔNp63α proteasomal degradation rather than through a canonical miRNA/target interaction. Functionally, miR-205 is able to control the deposition of laminin-332 and its receptor integrin-ß4. Hence, pathological loss of miR-205, as widely observed in prostate cancer, may favor tumorigenesis by creating discontinuities in the BM. Here we demonstrate that therapeutic replacement of miR-205 in prostate cancer (PCa) cells can restore BM deposition and 3D organization into normal-like acinar structures, thus hampering cancer progression.

Late rectal bleeding after 3D-CRT for prostate cancer: development of a neural-network-based predictive model.

The aim of this study was to develop a model exploiting artificial neural networks (ANNs) to correlate dosimetric and clinical variables with late rectal bleeding in prostate cancer patients undergoing radical radiotherapy and to compare the ANN results with those of a standard logistic regression (LR) analysis. 718 men included in the AIROPROS 0102 trial were analyzed. This multicenter protocol was characterized by the prospective evaluation of rectal toxicity, with a minimum follow-up of 36 months. Radiotherapy doses were between 70 and 80 Gy. Information was recorded for comorbidity, previous abdominal surgery, use of drugs and hormonal therapy. For each patient, a rectal dose-volume histogram (DVH) of the whole treatment was recorded and the equivalent uniform dose (EUD) evaluated as an effective descriptor of the whole DVH. Late rectal bleeding of grade ≥ 2 was considered to define positive events in this study (52 of 718 patients). The overall population was split into training and verification sets, both of which were involved in model instruction, and a test set, used to evaluate the predictive power of the model with independent data. Fourfold cross-validation was also used to provide realistic results for the full dataset. The LR was performed on the same data. Five variables were selected to predict late rectal bleeding: EUD, abdominal surgery, presence of hemorrhoids, use of anticoagulants and androgen deprivation. Following a receiver operating characteristic analysis of the independent test set, the areas under the curves (AUCs) were 0.704 and 0.655 for ANN and LR, respectively. When evaluated with cross-validation, the AUC was 0.714 for ANN and 0.636 for LR, which differed at a significance level of p = 0.03. When a practical discrimination threshold was selected, ANN could classify data with sensitivity and specificity both equal to 68.0%, whereas these values were 61.5% for LR. These data provide reasonable evidence that results obtained with ANNs are superior to those achieved with LR when predicting late radiotherapy-related rectal bleeding. The future introduction of patient-related personal characteristics, such as gene expression profiles, might improve the predictive power of statistical classifiers. More refined morphological aspects of the dose distribution, such as dose surface mapping, might also enhance the overall performance of ANN-based predictive models.

Fitting late rectal bleeding data using different NTCP models: results from an Italian multi-centric study (AIROPROS0101).

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Recent investigations demonstrated a significant correlation between rectal dose-volume patterns and late rectal toxicity. The reduction of the DVH to a value expressing the probability of complication would be suitable. To fit different normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models to clinical outcome on late rectal bleeding after external beam radiotherapy (RT) for prostate cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Rectal dose-volume histograms of the rectum (DVH) and clinical records of 547 prostate cancer patients (pts) pooled from five institutions previously collected and analyzed were considered. All patients were treated in supine position with 3 or 4-field techniques: 123 patients received an ICRU dose between 64 and 70 Gy, 255 patients between 70 and 74 Gy and 169 patients between 74 and 79.2 Gy; 457/547 patients were treated with conformal RT and 203/547 underwent radical prostatectomy before RT. Minimum follow-up was 18 months. Patients were considered as bleeders if showing grade 2/3 late bleeding (slightly modified RTOG/EORTC scoring system) within 18 months after the end of RT. Four NTCP models were considered: (a) the Lyman model with DVH reduced to the equivalent uniform dose (LEUD, coincident with the classical Lyman-Kutcher-Burman, LKB, model), (b) logistic with DVH reduced to EUD (LOGEUD), (c) Poisson coupled to EUD reduction scheme and (d) relative seriality (RS). The parameters for the different models were fit to the patient data using a maximum likelihood analysis. The 68% confidence intervals (CI) of each parameter were also derived. RESULTS: Forty six out of five hundred and forty seven patients experienced grade 2/3 late bleeding: 38/46 developed rectal bleeding within 18 months and were then considered as bleeders The risk of rectal bleeding can be well calculated with a 'smooth' function of EUD (with a seriality parameter n equal to 0.23 (CI 0.05), best fit result). Using LEUD the relationship between EUD and NTCP can be described with a TD50 of 81.9 Gy (CI 1.8 Gy) and a steepness parameter m of 0.19 (CI 0.01); when using LOGEUD, TD50 is 82.2 Gy and k is 7.85. Best fit parameters for RS are s=0.49, gamma=1.69, TD50=83.1 Gy. Qualitative as well as quantitative comparisons (chi-squared statistics, P=0.005) show that the models fit the observed complication rates very well. The results found in the overall population were substantially confirmed in the subgroup of radically treated patients (LEUD: n=0.24 m=0.14 TD50=75.8 Gy). If considering just the grade 3 bleeders (n=9) the best fit is found in correspondence of a n-value around 0.06, suggesting that for severe bleeding the rectum is more serial. CONCLUSIONS: Different NTCP models fit quite accurately the considered clinical data. The results are consistent with a rectum 'less serial' than previously reported investigations when considering grade 2 bleeding while a more serial behaviour was found for severe bleeding. EUD may be considered as a robust and simple parameter correlated with the risk of late rectal bleeding.

Prognostic significance of cervical lymph nodes density evaluated by contrasted computer tomography in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with hyperthermia and radiotherapy.

INTRODUCTION: A correlation between node hypodensity assessed by means of computer tomography (CT) and resistance to both chemotherapy and radiation therapy (XRT) in advanced head and neck tumours has been suggested in the literature. The outcome of a retrospective series of 50 patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and cervical nodes metastases treated with combined hyperthermia (HT) and definitive XRT was reviewed to investigate if node density confirmed its prognostic value. MATERIALS AND METHOD: For all patients, a pre-treatment contrasted CT scan performed at the Institution between 1987-1993 was available. The density of the largest node (> 2cm) was compared to that of adjacent nuchal muscles. Nodes with hypodense areas present in more than one third of the total volume were considered necrotic nodes. RESULTS: The patients were divided in two groups (with and without nodal necrosis), well balanced in terms of potential prognostic factors. No significant difference in overall nodal response rate, local control and survival was found in the two groups of patients. CONCLUSION: Nodal density assessed by contrasted CT scan in the series did not result in a significant prognostic factor in patients with SCC node metastases treated with HT and XRT. It is suggested that HT could act as a radiosensitizer in the treatment of hypodense (at CT scan) metastatic nodes overcoming the radioresistance of necrotic, presumably hypoxic nodal metastases.