AM/PM dosing of LAMA for COPD: a randomized controlled trial protocol using digital recruitment and registries.

Rationale: Long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMAs) reduce the risk of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), usually taken once daily in the morning. However, the circadian activity of autonomic regulation suggests that the highest need for anticholinergic therapy may be in the late night/early morning. This is supported by evidence that AECOPD most often begins in the morning. Furthermore, the trough spirometry effect of LAMA is lower than the peak effect, which further argues that evening dosing may be more optimal than morning dosing. This trial aims to determine whether evening administration of LAMA reduces hospitalization-requiring AECOPD or death from all causes within 1 year as compared to morning administration of the same LAMA. Methods: Randomized controlled open-label trial. Persons aged 30 years or older with a once-daily LAMA prescription and a confirmed COPD diagnosis were recruited. Participants were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to either morning or evening LAMA administration. Complete follow-up for the primary outcome, hospitalization-requiring AECOPD, or death from all causes within 1 year was captured from the Danish National Health Register, as were patient-reported outcome assessments at 6 and 12 months. Results: A total of 10,013 participants were randomized, and the recruitment process started on 9 March 2023. Secondary outcomes include (i) moderate COPD exacerbations; (ii) all-cause hospitalization; (iii) ICU admission; (iv) need for non-invasive ventilation; and (v) all-cause mortality, among others. All outcomes will be evaluated 12 months after recruitment.Clinical trial registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05563675.

Rethinking Blood Eosinophils for Assessing ICS Response in COPD: A Post Hoc Analysis From FLAME.

BACKGROUND: The varied treatment response to inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in COPD and the increased risk of pneumonia necessitate a personalized ICS therapeutic approach. This is informed by blood eosinophil count (BEC), which predicts ICS treatment response. However, BEC appears to change in response to ICS treatment. RESEARCH QUESTION: Does BEC measured on or off ICS treatment, or the change in BEC during ICS treatment, best predict treatment response to ICS in COPD? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: FLAME, a 52-week, double-blind randomized controlled trial compared long-acting beta-2 agonist (LABA)/long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) with LABA/ICS. Corticosteroids were prohibited during a 4-week run-in period. We chose patients previously on ICS, thereby allowing pre-run-in and post-run-in period BEC to represent BEC on and off ICS, respectively. In this post hoc analysis, we revisited outcome data, exploring how the three BEC biomarkers interacted with treatment response to the ICS-containing regimen. RESULTS: Our study confirms that LABA/LAMA combination is superior, or at least noninferior, to LABA/ICS in curbing exacerbations for most FLAME participants. However, higher BEC off ICS and BEC on ICS and significant BEC suppression during ICS treatment corresponded to superior response to LABA/ICS in terms of exacerbation rate, time to first exacerbation, and time to first pneumonia. In a subgroup, including 9% of participants, BEC changed significantly during ICS treatment (≥ 200 cells/µL), and higher BEC on ICS did not predict ICS treatment response. For these patients, BEC off ICS and BEC change proved more predictive. Excess pneumonia risk associated with ICS appeared to be confined to patients who do not benefit from this treatment. BEC was not predictive of treatment effects on lung function and health status. INTERPRETATION: This exploratory analysis advocates preferentially using BEC off ICS or BEC change during ICS treatment for guiding ICS treatment decisions. BEC measured on ICS is less predictive of treatment response. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT01782326; URL: www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov.

Relationships between symptoms and lung function in asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in a real-life setting: the NOVEL observational longiTudinal studY.

BACKGROUND: The relationships between spirometric assessment of lung function and symptoms (including exacerbations) in patients with asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a real-life setting are uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To assess the relationships between baseline post-bronchodilator (post-BD) spirometry measures of lung function and symptoms and exacerbations in patients with a physician-assigned diagnosis of asthma and/or COPD. DESIGN: The NOVEL observational longiTudinal studY (NOVELTY) is a global, prospective, 3-year observational study. METHODS: Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate relationships. Spirometry measures were assessed as percent predicted (%pred). Symptoms were assessed at baseline, and exacerbations were assessed at baseline and Year 1. RESULTS: A total of 11,181 patients in NOVELTY had spirometry data (asthma, n = 5903; COPD, n = 3881; asthma + COPD, n = 1397). A 10% lower post-BD %pred forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) - adjusted for age and sex - were significantly associated with dyspnea (modified Medical Research Council ⩾ grade 2), frequent breathlessness [St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)], frequent wheeze attacks (SGRQ), nocturnal awakening (Respiratory Symptoms Questionnaire; ⩾1 night/week), and frequent productive cough (SGRQ). Lower post-BD %pred FEV1 and, to a lesser extent, lower post-BD %pred FVC were significantly associated with ⩾1 physician-reported exacerbation at baseline or Year 1. This association was stronger in patients with COPD than in those with asthma. CONCLUSION: In a real-life setting, reduced lung function is consistently associated with symptoms in patients with asthma, COPD, or asthma + COPD. The relationship with exacerbations is stronger in COPD only than in asthma. TRAIL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT02760329 (www.clinicaltrials.gov).

Relationships between symptoms and lung function in asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in a study performed in a real-life setting: the NOVELTY studyBackground: Asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have many symptoms in common. To confirm diagnosis, doctors use spirometry, a test to measure the amount of air that can be breathed out from the lungs and how fast it can be blown out. The relationship between these measurements and symptoms in asthma and COPD is not well understood.Objectives: The aim of this research is to describe the characteristics, treatment, and impact of asthma and/or COPD in patients who are receiving their usual medical care.Methods: NOVELTY is a large study of around 12,000 patients across 19 countries. This analysis of NOVELTY looked at the relationships between two spirometry measurements and the symptoms of asthma and/or COPD experienced by patients. The spirometry measurements were: - forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV₁) ­ the amount of air that can be blown out of the lungs in 1 second- forced vital capacity (FVC) ­ the amount of air that can be forcibly breathed out from the lungs after taking the deepest breath possibleResults: The lower the FEV₁ and FVC, the more common the symptoms of breathlessness, wheeze attacks, night-time awakening, and coughing up of phlegm or mucus. These relationships were similar for FEV₁ and FVC. Lower FEV₁ was more strongly associated with worse symptoms in COPD than in asthma.Conclusion: These findings help to improve our understanding of the relationships between spirometry measures and symptoms in patients with asthma and/or COPD.

Housing conditions and risk of incident COPD: a Danish cohort study, 2000-2018.

BACKGROUND: More knowledge is needed on the risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) associated with housing conditions and indoor environment based on cohort studies with a long follow-up time. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between housing conditions and indoor environment and the risk of developing COPD. METHODS: In this cohort study, we followed 11,590 individuals aged ≥ 30 years free of COPD at baseline. Information on incident COPD and housing conditions and indoor environment was obtained from the Danish national registers and the Danish Health and Morbidity Survey year 2000. Poisson regression of incidence rates (IRs) were used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of COPD. RESULTS: The overall IR of COPD was 8.6 per 1,000 person-years. Individuals living outside the biggest cities vs. living in the biggest cities (≥ 50,000) had a lower risk of COPD (200-4,999; IRR 0.77 (95% CI 0.65-0.90). Individuals living in semi-detached houses had a higher risk compared to individuals living in detached houses (IRR 1.29 (95% CI 1.07-1.55)). Likewise, individuals living in rented homes had a higher risk (IRR 1.47 (95% CI 1.27-1.70)) compared to individuals living in owned homes. The IR of COPD was 17% higher among individuals living in dwellings build > 1982 compared with individuals living in older dwellings (< 1962), not statistically significant though (IRR 0.83 (95% CI 0.68-1.03)). Likewise, the IR of COPD was 15% higher among individuals living in the densest households compared with individuals living in the least dense households, not statistically significant though (IRR 1.15 (95% CI 0.92-1.45)). This was primary seen among smokers. There was no difference in risk among individuals with different perceived indoor environments. Overall, similar patterns were seen when stratified by smoking status with exception of perceived indoor environment, where opposite patterns were seen for smokers and never smokers. CONCLUSION: Individuals living in semi-detached houses or rented homes had a higher risk of developing COPD compared to individuals living in detached or owned homes. Individuals living in cities with < 50.000 residents had a lower risk of COPD compared to individuals living in cities with ≥ 50.000 residents.

The fibroblast hormone Endotrophin is a biomarker of mortality in chronic diseases.

Fibrosis, driven by fibroblast activities, is an important contributor to morbidity and mortality in most chronic diseases. Endotrophin, a signaling molecule derived from processing of type VI collagen by highly activated fibroblasts, is involved in fibrotic tissue remodeling. Circulating levels of endotrophin have been associated with an increased risk of mortality in multiple chronic diseases. We conducted a systematic literature review collecting evidence from original papers published between 2012 and January 2023 that reported associations between circulating endotrophin (PROC6) and mortality. Cohorts with data available to the study authors were included in an Individual Patient Data (IPD) meta-analysis that evaluated the association of PROC6 with mortality (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023340215) after adjustment for age, sex and BMI, where available. In the IPD meta-analysis including sixteen cohorts of patients with different non-communicable chronic diseases (NCCDs) (N = 15,205) the estimated summary hazard ratio for 3-years all-cause mortality was 2.10 (95 % CI 1.75-2.52) for a 2-fold increase in PROC6, with some heterogeneity observed between the studies (I2=70 %). This meta-analysis is the first study documenting that fibroblast activities, as quantified by circulating endotrophin, are independently associated with mortality across a broad range of NCCDs. This indicates that, irrespective of disease, interstitial tissue remodeling, and consequently fibroblast activities, has a central role in adverse clinical outcomes, and should be considered with urgency from drug developers as a target to treat.

Low smoking exposure and development and prognosis of COPD over four decades: A population-based cohort study.

A diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is mainly considered in individuals with more than 10 pack-years of smoking. We tested the hypothesis that low smoking exposure, below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years, increases risk of COPD and leads to poor prognosis.We followed non-obstructive adult smokers from the Copenhagen City Heart Study for COPD, defined as forced expiratory volume in one second [FEV1]/forced vital capacity [FVC]<0.70 and FEV1<80% predicted, and for related clinical outcomes. First, we followed individuals for 5years according to baseline smoking for risk of developing COPD, and hereafter for up to four decades for severe exacerbations and death.In 6098 non-obstructive smokers, 1781(29%) developed COPD after 5 years follow-up; 23% in individuals with <10pack-years of smoking at baseline, 26% in those with 10-19.9pack-years, 30% in those with 20-39.9pack-years, and 39% in those with ≥40pack-years. During four decades follow-up, we recorded 620 exacerbations and 5573 deaths. Compared to individuals without COPD with <10pack-years of smoking, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for exacerbations were 1.94(95% confidence interval:1.36-2.77) in those without COPD with ≥10pack-years, 2.83(1.72-4.66) in those with COPD with <10pack-years, 4.34(2.93-6.43) in COPD with 10-19.9pack-years, 4.39(2.98-6.47) in COPD with 20-39.9pack-years, and 4.98(3.11-7.97) in COPD with ≥40pack-years. Corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.20(1.10-1.32), 1.33(1.14-1.56), 1.59(1.40-1.80),1.81(1.62-2.03), and 1.81(1.55-2.10), respectively.Low smoking exposure below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years increases risk of COPD in middle-aged adults within 5 years, and these individuals have increased risk of severe exacerbation and early death over four decades.

Bisoprolol in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease at High Risk of Exacerbation: The BICS Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Observational studies report that ß-blocker use may be associated with reduced risk of COPD exacerbations. However, a recent trial reported that metoprolol did not reduce COPD exacerbations and increased COPD exacerbations requiring hospital admission. Objective: To test whether bisoprolol decreased COPD exacerbations in people with COPD at high risk of exacerbations. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Bisoprolol in COPD Study (BICS) was a double-blind placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial conducted in 76 UK sites (45 primary care clinics and 31 secondary clinics). Patients with COPD who had at least moderate airflow obstruction on spirometry (ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration [FEV1] to forced vital capacity <0.7; FEV1 <80% predicted) and at least 2 COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both in the prior 12 months were enrolled from October 17, 2018, to May 31, 2022. Follow-up concluded on April 18, 2023. Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned to bisoprolol (n = 261) or placebo (n = 258). Bisoprolol was started at 1.25 mg orally daily and was titrated as tolerated during 4 sessions to a maximum dose of 5 mg/d, using a standardized protocol. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary clinical outcome was the number of patient-reported COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both during the 1-year treatment period. Safety outcomes included serious adverse events and adverse reactions. Results: Although the trial planned to enroll 1574 patients, recruitment was suspended from March 16, 2020, to July 31, 2021, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Two patients in each group were excluded postrandomization. Among the 515 patients (mean [SD] age, 68 [7.9] years; 274 men [53%]; mean FEV1, 50.1%), primary outcome data were available for 514 patients (99.8%) and 371 (72.0%) continued taking the study drug. The primary outcome of patient-reported COPD exacerbations treated with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both was 526 in the bisoprolol group, with a mean exacerbation rate of 2.03/y, vs 513 exacerbations in the placebo group, with a mean exacerbation rate of 2.01/y. The adjusted incidence rate ratio was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.84-1.13; P = .72). Serious adverse events occurred in 37 of 255 patients in the bisoprolol group (14.5%) vs 36 of 251 in the placebo group (14.3%; relative risk, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.62-1.66; P = .96). Conclusions and Relevance: Among people with COPD at high risk of exacerbation, treatment with bisoprolol did not reduce the number of self-reported COPD exacerbations requiring treatment with oral corticosteroids, antibiotics, or both. Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN10497306.

Advances in COPD imaging using CT and MRI: linkage with lung physiology and clinical outcomes.

Recent years have witnessed major advances in lung imaging in patients with COPD. These include significant refinements in images obtained by computed tomography (CT) scans together with the introduction of new techniques and software that aim for obtaining the best image whilst using the lowest possible radiation dose. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has also emerged as a useful radiation-free tool in assessing structural and more importantly functional derangements in patients with well-established COPD and smokers without COPD, even before the existence of overt changes in resting physiological lung function tests. Together, CT and MRI now allow objective quantification and assessment of structural changes within the airways, lung parenchyma and pulmonary vessels. Furthermore, CT and MRI can now provide objective assessments of regional lung ventilation and perfusion, and multinuclear MRI provides further insight into gas exchange; this can help in structured decisions regarding treatment plans. These advances in chest imaging techniques have brought new insights into our understanding of disease pathophysiology and characterising different disease phenotypes. The present review discusses, in detail, the advances in lung imaging in patients with COPD and how structural and functional imaging are linked with common resting physiological tests and important clinical outcomes.

Inhaled versus systemic corticosteroids for acute exacerbations of COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This meta-analysis compares the efficacy and safety of inhaled versus systemic corticosteroids for COPD exacerbations.Following a pre-registered protocol, we appraised eligible randomised controlled trials (RCTs) according to Cochrane methodology, performed random-effects meta-analyses for all outcomes prioritised in the European Respiratory Society COPD core outcome set and rated the certainty of evidence as per Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation methodology.We included 20 RCTs totalling 2140 participants with moderate or severe exacerbations. All trials were at high risk of methodological bias. Low-certainty evidence did not reveal significant differences between inhaled and systemic corticosteroids for treatment failure rate (relative risk 1.75, 95% CI 0.76-4.02, n=569 participants); breathlessness (mean change: standardised mean difference (SMD) -0.11, 95% CI -0.36-0.15, n=239; post-treatment scores: SMD -0.18, 95% CI -0.41-0.05, n=293); serious adverse events (relative risk 1.47, 95% CI 0.56-3.88, n=246); or any other efficacy outcomes. Moderate-certainty evidence implied a tendency for fewer adverse events with inhaled compared to systemic corticosteroids (relative risk 0.80, 95% CI 0.64-1.0, n=480). Hyperglycaemia and oral fungal infections were observed more frequently with systemic and inhaled corticosteroids, respectively.Limited available evidence suggests potential noninferiority of inhaled to systemic corticosteroids in COPD exacerbations. Appropriately designed and powered RCTs are warranted to confirm these findings.

Predicting exacerbations in COPD in the Danish general population.

BACKGROUND: Risk of exacerbations in individuals with mild chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the general population is less well described than in more advanced disease. We hypothesized that in addition to history of previous exacerbation also other clinical characteristics predict future moderate exacerbations. METHODS: In 96,462 individuals in the Copenhagen General Population Study, we identified 3175 with clinical COPD defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) < 0.70 and FEV1 <80% predicted in symptomatic individuals without asthma. We estimated the importance of age, sex, FEV1, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea scale, chronic bronchitis, exacerbation history, comorbidities, cohabitation, body mass index, smoking, and blood eosinophils for the 1-year and 3-year future risk of moderate COPD exacerbations and developed a prediction tool for future exacerbations in COPD in the general population based on easily available clinical information. RESULTS: We observed 265 exacerbations in 2543 maintenance treatment naïve individuals with COPD and 197 exacerbations in 632 individuals with COPD on maintenance treatment. In the maintenance treatment naïve group, exacerbation history (hazard ratio (HR): 8.53), low FEV1 (HR: 4.82 for <30% predicted versus 50-79% predicted), and higher age (HR: 1.46 for ≥75 years versus <65 years) were significant predictors of future exacerbations. In the group on maintenance treatment, male sex and mMRC ≥2 also predicted higher risk with borderline significance. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to exacerbation history also higher age and lower FEV1 predict future exacerbation risk in COPD in the general population.

Susceptible Young Adults and Development of COPD Later in Life.

RATIONALE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has its origin in early life, and the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) proposes a pre-disease state "pre-COPD". OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that susceptible young adults identified with chronic bronchitis and subtle lung function impairment will develop COPD later in life. METHODS: We followed random non-obstructive individuals aged 20-50years from two population-based cohorts from different smoking eras, the Copenhagen General Population Study from 2003(N=5497) and Copenhagen City Heart Study from 1976-78(N=2609), for 10 and 25years for development of COPD(forced expiratory volume in one second[FEV1]/forced vital capacity[FVC]<0.70) and COPD GOLD 2-4 (additionally FEV1<80% predicted). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: After 10 years follow-up, 28% developed COPD and 13% COPD GOLD 2-4 in individuals susceptible to COPD compared to 8% and 1% in those without any susceptibility to COPD. Correspondingly, after 25years, 22% versus 13% developed COPD and 20% versus 8% developed COPD GOLD 2-4. More than half of incident COPD cases developed from a susceptible state. Compared to those without susceptibility to COPD, multivariable adjusted odds ratios in those susceptible to COPD were 3.42(95% confidence interval:2.78-4.21) for COPD and 10.1(6.77-15.2) for COPD GOLD 2-4 after 10years, and 1.54(1.23-1.93) and 2.12(1.64-2.73) after 25years. The ability of a COPD risk score consisting of the susceptibility state to COPD with smoking and asthma as risk factors to predict COPD later in life was high. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests the existence of a pre-disease state of COPD, which can be used for early identification of susceptible individuals at risk for COPD later in life.

The many faces of COPD in real life: a longitudinal analysis of the NOVELTY cohort.

Background: The diagnosis of COPD requires the demonstration of non-fully reversible airflow limitation by spirometry in the appropriate clinical context. Yet, there are patients with symptoms and relevant exposures suggestive of COPD with either normal spirometry (pre-COPD) or preserved ratio but impaired spirometry (PRISm). Their prevalence, clinical characteristics and associated outcomes in a real-life setting are unclear. Methods: To investigate them, we studied 3183 patients diagnosed with COPD by their attending physician included in the NOVELTY study (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT02760329), a global, 3-year, observational, real-life cohort that included patients recruited from both primary and specialist care clinics in 18 countries. Results: We found that 1) approximately a quarter of patients diagnosed with (and treated for) COPD in real life did not fulfil the spirometric diagnostic criteria recommended by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD), and could be instead categorised as pre-COPD (13%) or PRISm (14%); 2) disease burden (symptoms and exacerbations) was highest in GOLD 3-4 patients (exacerbations per person-year (PPY) 0.82) and lower but similar in those in GOLD 1-2, pre-COPD and PRISm (exacerbations range 0.27-0.43 PPY); 3) lung function decline was highest in pre-COPD and GOLD 1-2, and much less pronounced in PRISm and GOLD 3-4; 4) PRISm and pre-COPD were not stable diagnostic categories and change substantially over time; and 5) all-cause mortality was highest in GOLD 3-4, lowest in pre-COPD, and intermediate and similar in GOLD 1-2 and PRISm. Conclusions: Patients diagnosed COPD in a real-life clinical setting present great diversity in symptom burden, progression and survival, warranting medical attention.

Type-2 inflammation and lung function decline in chronic airway disease in the general population.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear if type-2 inflammation is associated with accelerated lung function decline in individuals with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We tested the hypothesis that type-2 inflammation indicated by elevated blood eosinophils (BE) and fraction of exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) is associated with accelerated lung function decline in the general population. METHODS: We included adults from the Copenhagen General Population Study with measurements of BE (N=15 605) and FeNO (N=2583) from a follow-up examination and assessed forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) decline in the preceding 10 years. Based on pre- and post-bronchodilator lung function, smoking history and asthma at follow-up examination, participants were assigned as not having airway disease, asthma with full reversibility (AR), asthma with persistent obstruction (APO), COPD, and not classifiable airflow limitation (NAL). RESULTS: FEV1 decline in mL/year increased with 1.0 (95% CI 0.6 to 1.4, p<0.0001) per 100 cells/µL higher BE and with 3.2 (95% CI 2.0 to 4.5, p<0.0001) per 10 ppb higher FeNO. Adjusted FEV1 decline in mL/year was 18 (95% CI 17 to 20) in those with BE<300 cells/µL and FeNO<20 ppb, 22 (19-25) in BE≥300 cells/µL or FeNO≥20 ppb, and 27 (21-33) in those with BE≥300 cells/µL and FeNO≥20 ppb (p for trend<0.0001). Corresponding FEV1 declines were 24 (19-29), 33 (25-40) and 44 (31-56) in AR (0.002), 26 (14-37), 36 (12-60) and 56 (24-89) in APO (0.07), 32 (27-36), 31 (24-38) and 44 (24-65) in COPD (0.46), and 27 (21-33), 35 (26-45), and 37 (25-49) in NAL (0.10), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Type-2 inflammation indicated by elevated BE and FeNO is associated with accelerated FEV1 decline in individuals with chronic airway disease in the general population, and this association was most pronounced in an asthma-like phenotype.

Structural Predictors of Lung Function Decline in Young Smokers with Normal Spirometry.

Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to tobacco smoking commonly presents when extensive lung damage has occurred. Objectives: We hypothesized that structural change would be detected early in the natural history of COPD and would relate to loss of lung function with time. Methods: We recruited 431 current smokers (median age, 39 yr; 16 pack-years smoked) and recorded symptoms using the COPD Assessment Test (CAT), spirometry, and quantitative thoracic computed tomography (QCT) scans at study entry. These scan results were compared with those from 67 never-smoking control subjects. Three hundred sixty-eight participants were followed every six months with measurement of postbronchodilator spirometry for a median of 32 months. The rate of FEV1 decline, adjusted for current smoking status, age, and sex, was related to the initial QCT appearances and symptoms, measured using the CAT. Measurements and Main Results: There were no material differences in demography or subjective CT appearances between the young smokers and control subjects, but 55.7% of the former had CAT scores greater than 10, and 24.2% reported chronic bronchitis. QCT assessments of disease probability-defined functional small airway disease, ground-glass opacification, bronchovascular prominence, and ratio of small blood vessel volume to total pulmonary vessel volume were increased compared with control subjects and were all associated with a faster FEV1 decline, as was a higher CAT score. Conclusions: Radiological abnormalities on CT are already established in young smokers with normal lung function and are associated with FEV1 loss independently of the impact of symptoms. Structural abnormalities are present early in the natural history of COPD and are markers of disease progression. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03480347).