Impact of Social Determinants of Health on Predictive Models for Outcomes After Congenital Heart Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Despite documented associations between social determinants of health and outcomes post-congenital heart surgery, clinical risk models typically exclude these factors. OBJECTIVES: The study sought to characterize associations between social determinants and operative and longitudinal mortality as well as assess impacts on risk model performance. METHODS: Demographic and clinical data were obtained for all congenital heart surgeries (2006-2021) from locally held Congenital Heart Surgery Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database data. Neighborhood-level American Community Survey and composite sociodemographic measures were linked by zip code. Model prediction, discrimination, and impact on quality assessment were assessed before and after inclusion of social determinants in models based on the 2020 Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Mortality Risk Model. RESULTS: Of 14,173 total index operations across New York State, 12,321 cases, representing 10,271 patients at 8 centers, had zip codes for linkage. A total of 327 (2.7%) patients died in the hospital or before 30 days, and 314 children died by December 31, 2021 (total n = 641; 6.2%). Multiple measures of social determinants of health explained as much or more variability in operative and longitudinal mortality than clinical comorbidities or prior cardiac surgery. Inclusion of social determinants minimally improved models' predictive performance (operative: 0.834-0.844; longitudinal 0.808-0.811), but significantly improved model discrimination; 10.0% more survivors and 4.8% more mortalities were appropriately risk classified with inclusion. Wide variation in reclassification was observed by site, resulting in changes in the center performance classification category for 2 of 8 centers. CONCLUSIONS: Although indiscriminate inclusion of social determinants in clinical risk modeling can conceal inequities, thoughtful consideration can help centers understand their performance across populations and guide efforts to improve health equity.

Correction: STAT3 balances myocyte hypertrophy vis-à-vis autophagy in response to Angiotensin II by modulating the AMPKα/mTOR axis.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0179835.].

Chronic Medication Burden After Cardiac Surgery for Pediatric Medicaid Beneficiaries.

BACKGROUND: Congenital heart defects are the most common and resource-intensive birth defects. As children with congenital heart defects increasingly survive beyond early childhood, it is imperative to understand longitudinal disease burden. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine chronic outpatient prescription medication use and expenditures for New York State pediatric Medicaid enrollees, comparing children who undergo cardiac surgery (cardiac enrollees) and the general pediatric population. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of all Medicaid enrollees age <18 years using the New York State Congenital Heart Surgery Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources database (2006-2019). Primary outcomes were total chronic medications per person-year, enrollees per 100 person-years using ≥1 and ≥3 medications, and medication expenditures per person-year. We described and compared outcomes between cardiac enrollees and the general pediatric population. Among cardiac enrollees, multivariable regression examined associations between outcomes and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: We included 5,459 unique children (32,131 person-years) who underwent cardiac surgery and 4.5 million children (22 million person-years) who did not. More than 4 in 10 children who underwent cardiac surgery used ≥1 chronic medication compared with approximately 1 in 10 children who did not have cardiac surgery. Medication expenditures were 10 times higher per person-year for cardiac compared with noncardiac enrollees. Among cardiac enrollees, disease severity was associated with chronic medication use; use was highest among infants; however, nearly one-half of adolescents used ≥1 chronic medication. CONCLUSIONS: Children who undergo cardiac surgery experience high medication burden that persists throughout childhood. Understanding chronic medication use can inform clinicians (both pediatricians and subspecialists) and policymakers, and ultimately the value of care for this medically complex population.

Long-Term Health Care Utilization After Cardiac Surgery in Children Covered Under Medicaid.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the longitudinal burden of health care expenditures and utilization after pediatric cardiac surgery is needed to counsel families, improve care, and reduce outcome inequities. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe and identify predictors of health care expenditures and utilization for Medicaid-insured pediatric cardiac surgical patients. METHODS: All Medicaid enrolled children age <18 years undergoing cardiac surgery in the New York State CHS-COLOUR database, from 2006 to 2019, were followed in Medicaid claims data through 2019. A matched cohort of children without cardiac surgical disease was identified as comparators. Expenditures and inpatient, primary care, subspecialist, and emergency department utilization were modeled using log-linear and Poisson regression models to assess associations between patient characteristics and outcomes. RESULTS: In 5,241 New York Medicaid-enrolled children, longitudinal health care expenditures and utilization for cardiac surgical patients exceeded noncardiac surgical comparators (cardiac surgical children: $15,500 ± $62,000 per month in year 1 and $1,600 ± $9,100 per month in year 5 vs noncardiac surgical children: $700 ± $6,600 per month in year 1 and $300 ± $2,200 per month in year 5). Children after cardiac surgery spent 52.9 days in hospitals and doctors' offices in the first postoperative year and 90.5 days over 5 years. Being Hispanic, compared with non-Hispanic White, was associated with having more emergency department visits, inpatient admissions, and subspecialist visits in years 2 to 5, but fewer primary care visits and greater 5-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Children after cardiac surgery have significant longitudinal health care needs, even among those with less severe cardiac disease. Health care utilization differed by race/ethnicity, although mechanisms driving disparities should be investigated further.

Isolated Coarctation of the Aorta: Current Concepts and Perspectives.

Current management of isolated CoA, localized narrowing of the aortic arch in the absence of other congenital heart disease, is a success story with improved prenatal diagnosis, high survival and improved understanding of long-term complication. Isolated CoA has heterogenous presentations, complex etiologic mechanisms, and progressive pathophysiologic changes that influence outcome. End-to-end or extended end-to-end anastomosis are the favored surgical approaches for isolated CoA in infants and transcatheter intervention is favored for children and adults. Primary stent placement is the procedure of choice in larger children and adults. Most adults with treated isolated CoA thrive, have normal daily activities, and undergo successful childbirth. Fetal echocardiography is the cornerstone of prenatal counseling and genetic testing is recommended. Advanced 3D imaging identifies aortic complications and myocardial dysfunction and guides individualized therapies including re-intervention. Adult CHD program enrollment is recommended. Longer follow-up data are needed to determine the frequency and severity of aneurysm formation, myocardial dysfunction, and whether childhood lifestyle modifications reduce late-onset complications.

The National Cardiovascular Data Registry Data Quality Program 2020: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

The National Cardiovascular Data Registry is a group of registries maintained by the American College of Cardiology Foundation. These registries are used by a diverse constituency to improve the quality and outcomes of cardiovascular care, to assess the safety and effectiveness of new therapies, and for research. To achieve these goals, registry data must be complete and reliable. In this article, we review the process of National Cardiovascular Data Registry data collection, assess data completeness and integrity, and report on the current state of the data. Registry data are complete. Accuracy is very good but variable, and there is room for improvement. Knowledge of the quality of data is essential to ensuring its appropriate use.

Risk Stratification for Congenital Heart Surgery for ICD-10 Administrative Data (RACHS-2).

BACKGROUND: As the cardiac community strives to improve outcomes, accurate methods of risk stratification are imperative. Since adoption of International Classification of Disease-10th Revision (ICD-10) in 2015, there is no published method for congenital heart surgery risk stratification for administrative data. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to develop an empirically derived, publicly available Risk Stratification for Congenital Heart Surgery (RACHS-2) tool for ICD-10 administrative data. METHODS: The RACHS-2 stratification system was iteratively and empirically refined in a training dataset of Pediatric Health Information Systems claims to optimize sensitivity and specificity compared with corresponding locally held Society of Thoracic Surgeons-Congenital Heart Surgery (STS-CHS) clinical registry data. The tool was validated in a second administrative data source: New York State Medicaid claims. Logistic regression was used to compare the ability of RACHS-2 in administrative data to predict operative mortality vs STAT Mortality Categories in registry data. RESULTS: The RACHS-2 system captured 99.6% of total congenital heart surgery registry cases, with 1.0% false positives. RACHS-2 predicted operative mortality in both training and validation administrative datasets similarly to STAT Mortality Categories in registry data. C-statistics for models for operative mortality in training and validation administrative datasets-adjusted for RACHS-2-were 0.76 and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72-0.80 and 0.80-0.89); C-statistics for models for operative mortality-adjusted for STAT Mortality Categories-in corresponding clinical registry data were 0.75 and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79 and 0.79-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: RACHS-2 is a risk stratification system for pediatric cardiac surgery for ICD-10 administrative data, validated in 2 administrative-registry-linked datasets. Statistical code is publicly available upon request.

Improving Longitudinal Outcomes, Efficiency, and Equity in the Care of Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal follow-up, resource utilization, and health disparities are top congenital heart research and care priorities. Medicaid claims include longitudinal data on inpatient, outpatient, emergency, pharmacy, rehabilitation, home health utilization, and social determinants of health-including mother-infant pairs. OBJECTIVES: The New York Congenital Heart Surgeons Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources linked robust clinical details from locally held state and national registries from 10 of 11 New York congenital heart centers to Medicaid claims, building a novel, statewide mechanism for longitudinal assessment of outcomes, expenditures, and health inequities. METHODS: The authors included all children <18 years of age undergoing cardiac surgery in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database or the New York State Pediatric Congenital Cardiac Surgery Registry from 10 of 11 New York centers, 2006 to 2019. Data were linked via iterative, ranked deterministic matching on direct identifiers. Match rates were calculated and compared. Proportions of the linked cohort trackable over 3, 5, and 10 years were described. RESULTS: Of 14,097 registry cases, 59% (n = 8,322) reported Medicaid use. Of these, 7,414 were linked to New York claims, at an 89% match rate. Of matched cases, the authors tracked 79%, 74%, and 65% of children over 3, 5, and 10 years when requiring near-continuous Medicaid enrollment. Allowing more lenient enrollment criteria, the authors tracked 86%, 82%, and 76%, respectively. Mortality over this time was 7.7%, 8.4%, and 10.0%, respectively. Manual validation revealed ∼100% true matches. CONCLUSIONS: This establishes a novel statewide data resource for assessment of longitudinal outcome, health expenditure, and disparities for children with congenital heart disease.

International Survey of Operative Practices for Otologists and Neurotologists During the COVID-19 Crisis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on operative practices of otology and neurotology providers internationally. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. METHODS: A 78-question survey was distributed to otologists and neurotologists between May 12, 2020 and June 8, 2020 to assess the impact of the pandemic on surgical practices. Sections within the survey delineated time periods: prior to the crisis, onset of the crisis, during the crisis, postcrisis transition. RESULTS: Of 396 survey respondents, 284 participants from 38 countries met inclusion criteria.Respondents were 16.9% female and 82.4% male, with a most common age range of 40 to 49 years (36.3%). 69.8% of participants had been in practice for over 10 years and most respondents worked in an academic medical center (79.2%). The average operative weekly caseload was 5.3 (SD 3.9) per surgeon prior to the crisis, 0.7 (SD 1.2) during the COVID-19 crisis, and 3.5 (SD 3.3) for those who had begun a postcrisis transition at the time of survey administration (p < 0.001). 71.5% of providers did not perform an elective otologic or neurotologic operative procedure during the initial crisis period. 49.8% reported modifying their surgical technique due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Use of powered air-purifying respirators and filtering facepiece 2 or 3 (FFP2/FFP3) respirators were in minimal supply for 66.9% and 62.3% of respondents, respectively. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted the otology and neurotology community globally, resulting in significant changes in operative volume and case selection. Modification of surgical technique and shortages of personal protective equipment were frequently reported.

A Simulation Toolkit for Testing the Sensitivity and Accuracy of Corticometry Pipelines.

In recent years, the replicability of neuroimaging findings has become an important concern to the research community. Neuroimaging pipelines consist of myriad numerical procedures, which can have a cumulative effect on the accuracy of findings. To address this problem, we propose a method for simulating artificial lesions in the brain in order to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of lesion detection, using different automated corticometry pipelines. We have applied this method to different versions of two widely used neuroimaging pipelines (CIVET and FreeSurfer), in terms of coefficients of variation; sensitivity and specificity of detecting lesions in 4 different regions of interest in the cortex, while introducing variations to the lesion size, the blurring kernel used prior to statistical analyses, and different thickness metrics (in CIVET). These variations are tested in a between-subject design (in two random groups, with and without lesions, using T1-weigted MRIs of 152 individuals from the International Consortium of Brain Mapping (ICBM) dataset) and in a within-subject pre-/post-lesion design [using 21 T1-Weighted MRIs of a single adult individual, scanned in the Infant Brain Imaging Study (IBIS)]. The simulation method is sensitive to partial volume effect and lesion size. Comparisons between pipelines illustrate the ability of this method to uncover differences in sensitivity and specificity of lesion detection. We propose that this method be adopted in the workflow of software development and release.

Vitamin D3 induces mesenchymal-to-endothelial transition and promotes a proangiogenic niche through IGF-1 signaling.

Although vitamin D3 (VitD3) prevents angiogenesis in cancer, VitD3 deficiency is associated with greater incidence of cardiovascular events in patients. We examined the influence of VitD3 on the angiogenic potential of mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs). VitD3 treatment increased the expression of proangiogenic molecules in MSCs, which exhibited an endothelial cell-like phenotype and promoted vascularization in vitro and in vivo. VitD3 activated the IGF-1 promoter and boosted IGF-1 receptor (IGF-1R) signaling, which was essential for the mesenchymal-to-endothelial transition (MEndoT) of MSCs. VitD3-treated MSCs created a proangiogenic microenvironment for co-cultured arterial endothelial cells, as well as aortic rings. The induction of MEndoT and angiogenesis promotion by VitD3-stimulated MSCs was attenuated by IGF-1R inhibitor picropodophyllin. We conclude that VitD3 promotes MEndoT in MSCs, and VitD3-treated MSCs augment vascularization by producing a proangiogenic niche through continued IGF-1 secretion. These results suggest a potential therapeutic role of VitD3 toward enhancing MSC-induced angiogenesis.

N-terminal pro-B-type-natriuretic peptide as a screening tool for pulmonary hypertension in the paediatric population.

BACKGROUND: Although cardiac catheterisation (cath) is the diagnostic test for pulmonary hypertension, it is an invasive procedure. Echocardiography (echo) is commonly used for the non-invasive diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension but maybe limited by lack of adequate signals. Therefore, emphasis has been placed on biomarkers as a potential diagnostic tool. No prior paediatric studies have simultaneously compared N-terminal pro-B-type-natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) with cath/echo as a potential diagnostic tool. The aim of this study was to determine if NTproBNP was a reliable diagnostic tool for pulmonary hypertension in this population. METHODS: Patients were divided into Study (echo evidence/established diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension undergoing cath) and Control (cath for small atrial septal defect/patent ductus arteriosus and endomyocardial biopsy post cardiac transplant) groups. NTproBNP, cath/echo data were obtained. RESULTS: Thirty-one patients met inclusion criteria (10 Study, 21 Control). Median NTproBNP was significantly higher in the Study group. Echo parameters including transannular plane systolic excursion z scores, pulmonary artery acceleration time and right ventricular fractional area change were lower in the Study group and correlated negatively with NTproBNP. Receiver operation characteristic curve analysis demonstrated NTproBNP > 389 pg/ml was 87% specific for the diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension with the addition of pulmonary artery acceleration time improving the specificity. CONCLUSIONS: NTproBNP may be a valuable adjunctive diagnostic tool for pulmonary hypertension in the paediatric population. Echo measures of transannular plane systolic excursion z score, pulmonary artery acceleration time and right ventricular fractional area change had negative correlations with NTproBNP. The utility of NTproBNP as a screening tool for pulmonary hypertension requires validation in a population with unknown pulmonary hypertension status.

Atrial septostomy in patients supported with venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: Analysis of the IMPACT registry data.

BACKGROUND: Patients with severe cardiac dysfunction, supported on extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), develop left atrial hypertension and often warrant atrial decompression. The procedural risks and outcomes, however, are not well established. Objective of this study is to understand the utilization, safety, and outcomes of atrial septostomy in children supported on venoarterial ECMO utilizing the IMPACT registry database. METHODS: Data from 55 independent sites reporting to the registry was used for this descriptive study. Patients supported with cardiac ECMO that underwent percutaneous atrial septostomy (PAS) were included and data analyzed. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2018, 223 patients underwent atrial septostomy and were reported to the registry. Mean age was 4.65 years with 52% being males. Diagnoses of heart failure, sepsis, arrhythmia, and renal insufficiency were commonly noted prior to ECMO. The procedure was performed urgently or emergently in most cases (80%). PAS was associated with significant procedural complications such as arrhythmia (6.8%), tamponade (5.4%), and unplanned surgery (3.6%) but no procedural mortality. Overall hospital mortality was 46% (103/223) with 46 of these deaths occurring within 7 days of procedure. Regression analysis showed that African American race (vs Caucasian), race other than Caucasian, chronic lung disease and emergent procedure need were significantly associated with early post-procedural mortality (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Using a large multicenter cardiac catheterization registry, we found that left atrial decompression can be performed without procedural mortality but is associated with significant morbidity. Impact of race, chronic lung disease and procedural urgency on early mortality warrant further studies.

Author Correction: The Transcriptomic Signature Of Disease Development And Progression Of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

Desiccation-induced cell damage in bacteria and the relevance for inoculant production.

Plant growth-promoting bacteria show great potential for use in agriculture although efficient application remains challenging to achieve. Cells often lose viability during inoculant production and application, jeopardizing the efficacy of the inoculant. Since desiccation has been documented to be the primary stress factor affecting the decrease in survival, obtaining xerotolerance in plant growth-promoting bacteria is appealing. The molecular damage that occurs by drying bacteria has been broadly investigated, although a complete view is still lacking due to the complex nature of the process. Mechanic, structural, and metabolic changes that occur as a result of water depletion may potentially afflict lethal damage to membranes, DNA, and proteins. Bacteria respond to these harsh conditions by increasing production of exopolysaccharides, changing composition of the membrane, improving the stability of proteins, reducing oxidative stress, and repairing DNA damage. This review provides insight into the complex nature of desiccation stress in bacteria in order to facilitate strategic choices to improve survival and shelf life of newly developed inoculants. KEY POINTS: Desiccation-induced damage affects most major macromolecules in bacteria. Most bacteria are not xerotolerant despite multiple endogenous adaption mechanisms. Sensitivity to drying severely hampers inoculant quality.

Pharmacist Statin Prescribing Initiative in Diabetic Patients at an Internal Medicine Resident Clinic.

BACKGROUND: Despite general increases in statin use in the United States, statin therapy may be underutilized in diabetic patients and vulnerable populations. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of a collaborative pharmacist initiative on statin prescribing for diabetic patients in an internal medicine residency clinic. The primary outcome was the change in prevalence of patients on statin therapy before and after intervention implementation. Secondary outcomes included recommendation acceptance rates and reported adverse effects. METHODS: This was a single-center, quasi-experimental pre-post intervention study. The study site was a hospital-based primary care residency clinic serving patients regardless of financial or insurance status. Diabetic patients 40 to 75 years old who were not on a statin and had an upcoming primary care physician appointment were included. Over 3 months, a clinical pharmacist and pharmacy resident evaluated clinical appropriateness and cost of statin therapy, provided recommendations to physicians, facilitated statin prescribing, and provided patient education. RESULTS: Of 454 patients, 343 were on statin therapy (75.6%) prior to the initiative. The mean age was 58 years, 59.7% were female, 76.4% were black, and 90% had hypertension. After implementation, 375 (82.6%) patients were on statins (P < .0001). Recommendations were well received (90.2% accepted) and no significant adverse effects were reported. CONCLUSION: Pharmacist implementation of a collaborative, patient-centered initiative increased statin prescribing in diabetic patients, most of which were black and had hypertension, in an internal medicine resident clinic.

Risk Factors for Red Blood Cell Transfusions in Children Undergoing Cardiac Catheterization.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors associated with risk of red blood cell transfusions (RBCTs) following pediatric cardiac catheterizations. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a review of all pediatric cardiac catheterizations from 2012 to 2017. The primary endpoint was RBCT within 72 hours of pediatric cardiac catheterization. Patient and procedural factors were reviewed. Generalized linear modelling was performed to describe interactions among relevant risk factors. RESULTS: In total, 831 RBCTs occurred within 72 hours of 6028 pediatric cardiac catheterizations (13.8%). Univariate analysis revealed that the prevalence of RBCT was highest among infants (37.6% incidence of RBCT) and among those with higher estimated blood loss as a percent of blood volume (P = .03). Among infants, multivariate analysis revealed that weight (OR 0.72; 95% CI 0.63-0.81), complex 2-ventricle (OR 3.14, 95% CI 2.18-4.57), and single ventricle status (OR 5.21, 95% CI 3.42-8.01) were associated with risk of RBCT. Inpatient infants from intensive care (OR 4.74; 95% CI 3.49-6.49) or stepdown units (OR 2.33; 95% CI 1.58-3.46) were at higher risk. Length of procedure (OR 2.57; 95% CI 2.03-3.26) and oxygen saturation (OR 0.98; 95% CI 0.97-0.99; P < .01) were also associated with RBCTs. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalized infants with single ventricle or complex 2-ventricle anatomy are at highest risk of RBCT. Length of procedure, blood loss, and oxygen saturations are additional risk factors associated with RBCT. Operators should consider these factors when planning pediatric cardiac catheterizations, particularly when exposure to RBCT is undesirable.

Transplantation of Human Umbilical Cord Blood-Derived Cellular Fraction Improves Left Ventricular Function and Remodeling After Myocardial Ischemia/Reperfusion.

Rationale: Human umbilical cord blood (hUCB) contains diverse populations of stem/progenitor cells. Whether hUCB-derived nonhematopoietic cells would induce cardiac repair remains unknown. Objective: To examine whether intramyocardial transplantation of hUCB-derived CD45-Lin- nonhematopoietic cellular fraction after a reperfused myocardial infarction in nonimmunosuppressed rats would improve cardiac function and ameliorate ventricular remodeling. Methods and Results: Nonhematopoietic CD45-Lin- cells were isolated from hUCB. Flow cytometry and quantitative polymerase chain reaction were used to characterize this subpopulation. Age-matched male Fischer 344 rats underwent a 30-minute coronary occlusion followed by reperfusion and 48 hours later received intramyocardial injection of vehicle or hUCB CD45-Lin- cells. After 35 days, compared with vehicle-treated rats, CD45-Lin- cell-treated rats exhibited improved left ventricular function, blunted left ventricular hypertrophy, greater preservation of viable myocardium in the infarct zone, and superior left ventricular remodeling. Mechanistically, hUCB CD45-Lin- cell injection favorably modulated molecular pathways regulating myocardial fibrosis, cardiomyocyte apoptosis, angiogenesis, and inflammation in postinfarct ventricular myocardium. Rare persistent transplanted human cells could be detected at both 4 and 35 days after myocardial infarction. Conclusions: Transplantation of hUCB-derived CD45-Lin- nonhematopoietic cellular subfraction after a reperfused myocardial infarction in nonimmunosuppressed rats ameliorates left ventricular dysfunction and improves remodeling via favorable paracrine modulation of molecular pathways. These findings with human cells in a clinically relevant model of myocardial ischemia/reperfusion in immunocompetent animals may have significant translational implications.Visual Overview: An online visual overview is available for this article.

Gene Expression Predicts Histological Severity and Reveals Distinct Molecular Profiles of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

The heterogeneity of biological processes driving the severity of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as reflected in the transcriptome and the relationship between the pathways involved are not well established. Well-defined associations between gene expression profiles and disease progression would benefit efforts to develop novel therapies and to understand disease heterogeneity. We analyzed hepatic gene expression in controls and a cohort with the full histological spectrum of NAFLD. Protein-protein interaction and gene set variation analysis revealed distinct sets of coordinately regulated genes and pathways whose expression progressively change over the course of the disease. The progressive nature of these changes enabled us to develop a framework for calculating a disease progression score for individual genes. We show that, in aggregate, these scores correlate strongly with histological measures of disease progression and can thus themselves serve as a proxy for severity. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the expression levels of a small number of genes (~20) can be used to infer disease severity. Finally, we show that patient subgroups can be distinguished by the relative distribution of gene-level scores in specific gene sets. While future work is required to identify the specific disease characteristics that correspond to patient clusters identified on this basis, this work provides a general framework for the use of high-content molecular profiling to identify NAFLD patient subgroups.