Attribution of diabetes to the development of severe liver disease in the general population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diabetes is associated with advanced liver disease and predicts mortality regardless of the primary aetiology of the liver disease. Even a family history of diabetes has been linked to advanced liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the fraction of liver-related outcomes in the general population that are attributable to diabetes remains unclear. METHODS: The population attributable fraction (PAF) of diabetes for liver disease as a time-dependent exposure was estimated in the Finnish FINRISK study (n = 28 787) and the British Whitehall II study (n = 7855). We also assessed the predictive ability of a family history of diabetes for liver-related outcomes. Incident diabetes data were from drug purchase/reimbursement and healthcare registries (FINRISK) or follow-up examinations (Whitehall II). Incident severe liver outcomes were identified through linkage with national healthcare registries. RESULTS: Diabetes was associated with a two-fold risk of liver-related outcomes in both the FINRISK (HR, 1.92; p < .001) and Whitehall II (HR, 2.37; p < .001) cohorts, and this remained significant after adjusting for multiple confounders. PAF analyses demonstrated that diabetes explained 12-14% of the risk for severe liver-related outcomes after 10 and 20 years of follow-up. Also, maternal diabetes increased the risk of liver-related outcomes in the FINRISK (HR, 1.43; p = .044) and Whitehall II (HR, 2.04; p = .051) cohorts. CONCLUSION: Approximately 12%-14% of severe liver-related outcomes are attributable to diabetes at the population level. The association between maternal diabetes and liver disease might suggest a mitochondrial genetic mechanism.

Midlife CAIDE dementia risk score and dementia-related brain changes up to 30 years later on magnetic resonance imaging.

BACKGROUND: CAIDE Dementia Risk Score is a validated tool for estimating 20-year dementia risk in the general population based on a midlife risk profile. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations between CAIDE score and dementia-related brain changes up to 30 years later on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). METHODS: Participants in the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Dementia (CAIDE) study were derived from random, population-based samples surveyed in 1972, 1977, 1982, or 1987. A first re-examination was conducted in 1998, and a second re-examination in 2005-2008 (total follow-up time up to 30 years). The MRI study population included 112 individuals with MRIs from the first re-examination, and a different group of 69 individuals with MRIs from the second re-examination. MRIs from 1998 were used to determine gray matter volume, and to visually rate white matter hyperintensities (WMH) of presumed vascular origin and medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTA). MRIs from 2005-2008 were used to assess cortical thickness, gray matter and WMH volume, and to visually rate MTA. CAIDE scores were calculated for participants in both re-examinations based on midlife sociodemographic and vascular factors and additionally apolipoprotein E status. RESULTS: Higher midlife CAIDE score was associated with more severe WMH 20 years later: RR (95% CI) was 1.69 (1.15-2.08); and with higher WMH volume (ß 0.27, p = 0.036) and higher MTA score (RR 1.91, 95% CI 1.16-2.34) up to 30 years later. CONCLUSION: CAIDE Dementia Risk Score in midlife was most consistently associated with WMH later in life. A relation with MTA was observed in individuals with longer follow-up time.

Coronary heart disease and cortical thickness, gray matter and white matter lesion volumes on MRI.

Coronary heart disease (CHD) has been linked with cognitive decline and dementia in several studies. CHD is strongly associated with blood pressure, but it is not clear how blood pressure levels or changes in blood pressure over time affect the relation between CHD and dementia-related pathology. The aim of this study was to investigate relations between CHD and cortical thickness, gray matter volume and white matter lesion (WML) volume on MRI, considering CHD duration and blood pressure levels from midlife to three decades later. The study population included 69 elderly at risk of dementia who participated in the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Dementia (CAIDE) study. CAIDE participants were examined in midlife, re-examined 21 years later, and then after additionally 7 years (in total up to 30 years follow-up). MRIs from the second re-examination were used to calculate cortical thickness, gray matter and WML volume. CHD diagnoses were obtained from the Finnish Hospital Discharge Register. Linear regression analyses were adjusted for age, sex, follow-up time and scanner type, and additionally total intracranial volume in GM volume analyses. Adding diabetes, cholesterol or smoking to the models did not influence the results. CHD was associated with lower thickness in multiple regions, and lower total gray matter volume, particularly in people with longer disease duration (>10 years). Associations between CHD, cortical thickness and gray matter volume were strongest in people with CHD and hypertension in midlife, and those with CHD and declining blood pressure after midlife. No association was found between CHD and WML volumes. Based on these results, long-term CHD seems to have detrimental effects on brain gray matter tissue, and these effects are influenced by blood pressure levels and their changes over time.

Changes in vascular factors 28 years from midlife and late-life cortical thickness.

We assessed midlife blood pressure (BP), body mass index, total cholesterol, and their changes over time in relation to cortical thickness on magnetic resonance imaging 28 years later in 63 elderly at risk of dementia. Participants in the population-based Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging, and Dementia study were first examined at midlife. A first follow-up was conducted after 21 years, and a second follow-up after an additional 7 years. Magnetic resonance images from the second follow-up were analyzed using algorithms developed at McGill University, Montreal, Canada. Midlife hypertension was related to thinner cortex in several brain areas, including insular, frontal, and temporal cortices. In elderly with thinner insular cortex, there was a continuous decline in systolic BP and an increase in pulse pressure after midlife, while in elderly with thicker insular cortex the decline in systolic BP started at older ages, paralleled by a decline in pulse pressure. No associations were found between body mass index, cholesterol, or apolipoprotein E ε4 allele and cortical thickness in this group of elderly at risk individuals.

Changes in vascular risk factors from midlife to late life and white matter lesions: a 20-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study investigated the relation of midlife blood pressure, total cholesterol, body mass index (BMI), their changes over time, apolipoprotein E, and white matter lesions (WML). METHODS: Participants of the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Incidence of Dementia study were derived from random, population-based samples previously surveyed in 1972, 1977, 1982 or 1987. In 1998, 1,449 (73%) individuals aged 65-79 years were re-examined (average follow-up 21 years). A subpopulation (n = 112) was scanned with a 1.5-tesla MRI scanner in 1998, and WML were assessed from fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images using a semi-quantitative visual rating scale. RESULTS: Risk of late-life WML was related to midlife overweight (relative risk = 2.53; 95% CI = 1.70-2.89), obesity (2.94; 2.44-3.03), and hypertension (2.73; 1.81-3.08), even after adjustments for several confounding factors. Elevated BMI (>25) (2.26; 1.42-2.62) and hypertension (3.14; 1.83-3.40) from midlife to late life also increased the risk of WML. In addition, an association with WML was seen for decreasing blood pressure (hypertension at midlife but not at late life) (3.25; 2.46-3.41), even after controlling for antihypertensive treatment. Lipid-lowering drugs had a protective effect against WML (0.13; 0.02-0.59). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that early and sustained vascular risk factor control is associated with a lower likelihood of having more severe WML in late life.