Review of the cost-effectiveness of surveillance for hereditary pancreatic cancer.

Individuals with hereditary pancreatic cancer risk include high risk individuals (HRIs) with germline genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer (PC) and/or a strong family history of PC. Previously, studies have shown that PC surveillance in HRIs can downstage PC diagnosis and extend survival leading to pancreatic surveillance being recommended for certain HRIs. However, the optimal surveillance strategy remains uncertain, including which modalities should be used for surveillance, how frequently should surveillance be performed, and which sub-groups of HRIs should undergo surveillance. Additionally, in the ideal world PC surveillance should also be cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness analysis is a valuable tool that can consider the costs, potential health benefits, and risks among various PC surveillance strategies. In this review, we summarize the cost-effectiveness of various PC surveillance strategies for HRIs for hereditary pancreatic cancer and provide potential avenues for future work in this field. Additionally, we include cost-effectiveness studies among individuals with new-onset diabetes (NoD), a high-risk group for sporadic PC, as a comparison.

Vasa vasorum interna in the carotid wall of active forms of Takayasu arteritis evidenced by ultrasound localization microscopy.

Introduction: Takayasu arteritis (TA) is associated with microvascularization of the wall of large arteries and is related to inflammation. Ultrasound localization microscopy (ULM), combining ultrafast ultrasound imaging with microbubble (MB) injection, can track the path of MBs within the arterial wall and thus provide imaging of the vasa vasorum. From the analysis of MB tracks in the common carotid arteries of patients with active TA, we report the presence of microvessels in connection with the carotid lumen (i.e., vasa vasorum interna [VVI]). Methods: ULM maps were obtained on five patients with active disease in the observational single-center series of the TAK-UF study. MB tracks connected to the carotid lumen were automatically identified, allowing the reconstruction of VVI. Results: MB tracking allows us to observe a microvascular network on the inner part of the wall, with some vessels in communication with the carotid lumen. This type of vessel was identified in all patients with active TA (n = 5) with a median of 2.2 [1.1-3.0] vessels per acquisition (2D longitudinal view of 3 cm of the common carotid artery). The blood flow within these vessels is mainly centrifugal; that is, toward the adventitia (88% [54-100] of MB tracks with flow directed to the outer part of the wall). Conclusion: VVI are present in humans in the case of active TA and emphasize the involvement of the intima in the pathological process. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03956394.

Development and Validation of Case-Finding Algorithms to Identify Pancreatic Cancer in the Veterans Health Administration.

BACKGROUND: Survival in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains poor due to late diagnosis. Electronic Health Records (EHRs) can be used to study this rare disease, but validated algorithms to identify PDAC in the United States EHRs do not currently exist. AIMS: To develop and validate an algorithm using Veterans Health Administration (VHA) EHR data for the identification of patients with PDAC. METHODS: We developed two algorithms to identify patients with PDAC in the VHA from 2002 to 2023. The algorithms required diagnosis of exocrine pancreatic cancer in either ≥ 1 or ≥ 2 of the following domains: (i) the VA national cancer registry, (ii) an inpatient encounter, or (iii) an outpatient encounter in an oncology setting. Among individuals identified with ≥ 1 of the above criteria, a random sample of 100 were reviewed by three gastroenterologists to adjudicate PDAC status. We also adjudicated fifty patients not qualifying for either algorithm. These patients died as inpatients and had alkaline phosphatase values within the interquartile range of patients who met ≥ 2 of the above criteria for PDAC. These expert adjudications allowed us to calculate the positive and negative predictive value of the algorithms. RESULTS: Of 10.8 million individuals, 25,533 met ≥ 1 criteria (PPV 83.0%, kappa statistic 0.93) and 13,693 individuals met ≥ 2 criteria (PPV 95.2%, kappa statistic 1.00). The NPV for PDAC was 100%. CONCLUSIONS: An algorithm incorporating readily available EHR data elements to identify patients with PDAC achieved excellent PPV and NPV. This algorithm is likely to enable future epidemiologic studies of PDAC.

Dynamics and quantitative contribution of the aminoglycoside 6'-N-acetyltransferase type Ib to amikacin resistance.

Aminoglycosides are essential components in the available armamentarium to treat bacterial infections. The surge and rapid dissemination of resistance genes strongly reduce their efficiency, compromising public health. Among the multitude of modifying enzymes that confer resistance to aminoglycosides, the aminoglycoside 6'-N-acetyltransferase type Ib [AAC(6')-Ib] is the most prevalent and relevant in the clinical setting as it can inactivate numerous aminoglycosides, such as amikacin. Although the mechanism of action, structure, and biochemical properties of the AAC(6')-Ib protein have been extensively studied, the contribution of the intracellular milieu to its activity remains unclear. In this work, we used a fluorescent-based system to quantify the number of AAC(6')-Ib per cell in Escherichia coli, and we modulated this copy number with the CRISPR interference method. These tools were then used to correlate enzyme concentrations with amikacin resistance levels. Our results show that resistance to amikacin increases linearly with a higher concentration of AAC(6')-Ib until it reaches a plateau at a specific protein concentration. In vivo imaging of this protein shows that it diffuses freely within the cytoplasm of the cell, but it tends to form inclusion bodies at higher concentrations in rich culture media. Addition of a chelating agent completely dissolves these aggregates and partially prevents the plateau in the resistance level, suggesting that AAC(6')-Ib aggregation lowers resistance to amikacin. These results provide the first step in understanding the cellular impact of each AAC(6')-Ib molecule on aminoglycoside resistance. They also highlight the importance of studying its dynamic behavior within the cell.IMPORTANCEAntibiotic resistance is a growing threat to human health. Understanding antibiotic resistance mechanisms can serve as foundation for developing innovative treatment strategies to counter this threat. While numerous studies clarified the genetics and dissemination of resistance genes and explored biochemical and structural features of resistance enzymes, their molecular dynamics and individual contribution to resistance within the cellular context remain unknown. Here, we examined this relationship modulating expression levels of aminoglycoside 6'-N-acetyltransferase type Ib, an enzyme of clinical relevance. We show a linear correlation between copy number of the enzyme per cell and amikacin resistance levels up to a threshold where resistance plateaus. We propose that at concentrations below the threshold, the enzyme diffuses freely in the cytoplasm but aggregates at the cell poles at concentrations over the threshold. This research opens promising avenues for studying enzyme solubility's impact on resistance, creating opportunities for future approaches to counter resistance.

A Clinical Prediction Model to Assess Risk for Pancreatic Cancer Among Patients With Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model as the first step in a sequential screening strategy to identify acute pancreatitis (AP) individuals at risk for pancreatic cancer (PC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study among individuals 40 years or older with a hospitalization for AP in the US Veterans Health Administration. For variable selection, we used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with 10-fold cross-validation to identify a parsimonious logistic regression model for predicting the outcome, PC diagnosed within 2 years after AP. We evaluated model discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: Among 51,613 eligible study patients with AP, 801 individuals were diagnosed with PC within 2 years. The final model (area under the receiver operating curve, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.73) included histories of gallstones, pancreatic cyst, alcohol use, smoking, and levels of bilirubin, triglycerides, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and albumin. If the predicted risk threshold was set at 2% over 2 years, 20.3% of the AP population would undergo definitive screening, identifying nearly 50% of PC associated with AP. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a prediction model using widely available clinical factors to identify high-risk patients with PC-associated AP, the first step in a sequential screening strategy.

Fluoroquinolone Use Preceding Visceral Artery Dissection: A Case Series.

Fluoroquinolones (FQ), commonly prescribed antibiotics, may trigger aortic and carotid dissections. We report three successive cases of visceral artery dissection: one patient with celiac trunk dissection and two with dissection of the superior mesenteric artery. These events occurred up to 4 months after 7 to 14 days of FQ treatment (2 cases of ofloxacin, 1 of norfloxacin). There was no other apparent cause of dissection. These dissections were isolated, apart from a minimal aortic dissection separate from the visceral arterial dissection in one case. A case series cannot certify the relationship between dissection and FQ, but it can be hypothesized. The association between fluoroquinolone use and higher occurrence of aneurysm and dissection remains discussed in aortic syndrome. The potential link between FQ and visceral artery dissection is even less described but should be reported in the absence of previous cases in the literature. The pathophysiological theory is the induction of overexpression of some matrix metalloproteinases and a decrease of their inhibitors, provoking a dysregulation in collagen synthesis and degradation of the extracellular matrix.

Do Polygenic Risk Scores Add to Clinical Data in Predicting Pancreatic Cancer? A Scoping Review.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) summarize an individual's germline genetic risk, but it is unclear whether PRS offer independent information for pancreatic cancer risk prediction beyond routine clinical data. METHODS: We searched 8 databases from database inception to March 10, 2023 to identify studies evaluating the independent performance of pancreatic cancer-specific PRS for pancreatic cancer beyond clinical risk factors. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies examined associations between a pancreatic cancer-specific PRS and pancreatic cancer. Seven studies evaluated risk factors beyond age and sex. Three studies evaluated the change in discrimination associated with the addition of PRS to routine risk factors and reported improvements (AUCs: 0.715 to 0.745; AUC 0.791 to 0.830; AUC from 0.694 to 0.711). Limitations to clinical applicability included using source populations younger/healthier than those at risk for pancreatic cancer (n = 10), exclusively of European ancestry (n = 13), or controls without relevant exposures (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: While most studies of pancreatic cancer-specific PRS did not evaluate the independent discrimination of PRS for pancreatic cancer beyond routine risk factors, three that did showed improvements in discrimination. IMPACT: For pancreatic cancer PRS to be clinically useful, they must demonstrate substantial improvements in discrimination beyond established risk factors, apply to diverse ancestral populations representative of those at risk for pancreatic cancer, and use appropriate controls.

Is carotid web an arterial wall dysplasia? A histological series.

INTRODUCTION: Described for 60 years under various names, the carotid web is a suspected cause of cryptogenic stroke, especially in young patients. The web creates an intraluminal protrusion that may contribute to turbulent flow and thrombus embolization into cerebral arteries. Although the carotid web has frequently been related to arterial fibrodysplasia, its natural history and pathological description remain unclear. PATIENTS: Among all consecutive patients admitted to the stroke unit of Sainte-Anne Hospital and referred to the vascular surgery department from January 2015 to December 2022, we retrospectively identified 9 patients with a carotid web. The surgical specimens of the 9 patients were submitted to systematic pathological analysis. RESULTS: The patients with a histologically confirmed carotid web were young (median age was 42 years), prominently women (7/9), and presenting with low cardiovascular risk. Eight patients had a stroke proven by a magnetic resonance imaging, and 1 had transient monocular amaurosis. The typical pathological lesion supporting the imaging pattern of the carotid web was a focal eccentric intimal hyperplasia forming a protruding lesion characterized by a population of vascular smooth muscle cells intermingled in an abundant, most often loose extracellular matrix. Pathologically proven thrombus was observed in 4 cases. Importantly atherosclerosis was absent. CONCLUSION: Histological features in our 9 cases strengthen carotid web characterization as a homogeneous pattern of localized intimal hyperplasia. It is a unique entity consistent with intimal fibroplasia, distinct from medial fibromuscular dysplasia and early atherosclerosis.

Methods: Aortic wall deformation assessment by ultrafast ultrasound imaging: Application to bicuspid aortic valve associated aortopathy.

Purpose: Aortic maximal rate of systolic distention (MRSD) is a prognosis factor of ascending aorta dilatation with magnetic resonance imaging. Its calculation requires precise continuous tracking of the aortic diameter over the cardiac cycle, which is not feasible by focused ultrasound. We aimed to develop an automatic aortic acquisition using ultrafast ultrasound imaging (UUI) to provide access to the aortic MRSD. Methods: A phased array probe and developed sequences at 2000 frames/s were used. A created interface automatically tracked the anterior and posterior aortic walls over the cardiac cycle. Tissue Doppler allowed a precise estimation of the walls' movements. MRSD was the maximum derivative of the aortic diameter curve over time. To assess its feasibility, 34 patients with bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) and 31 controls were consecutively included to evaluate the BAV-associated aortopathy at the sinus of Valsalva, the tubular ascending aorta, and the aortic arch. Results: UUI acquisitions and the dedicated interface allow tracking of the aortic diameter and calculating the MRSD for the BAV patients and controls (mean age of 34 vs. 43 years, p = 0.120). A trend toward lower deformation in the different aortic segments was observed, as expected. Still, only the MRSD with UUI was significantly different at the sinus of Valsalva in this small series: (0.61 .103.s-1 [0.37-0.72] for BAV patients vs. 0.92 .103.s-1 [0.72-1.02] for controls, p = 0.025). Conclusion: Aortic deformation evaluated with UUI deserves attention with a simple and automated measurement technique that could assess the segmental aortic injury associated with BAV.

Summary of the experiences, knowledge, medical management, and family communication of monoallelic MUTYH carriers.

Germline genetic testing for inherited cancer risk is increasingly being performed with multigene panel testing with MUTYH often included on colorectal cancer- and polyposis-focused panels, as well as on broader pan-cancer panels. With up to 1%-2% of the general population being monoallelic MUTYH carriers, pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in MUTYH are one of the most common findings on multigene cancer panels. However, little is known about patient experience and understanding of monoallelic MUTYH P/LP variants, nor whether such findings influence medical management recommendations and familial communication, which this study aims to better understand. Monoallelic P/LP MUTYH carriers were recruited from the Prospective Registry of Multiplex Testing (PROMPT) and completed a cross-sectional self-report survey on sociodemographic characteristics, medical and family history, experiences with MUTYH genetic testing, genetics and MUTYH knowledge, perceived cancer risk, and familial communication. Of 115 eligible PROMPT participants, 49 (43%) completed the survey who were primarily female (94%), white (96%), had a history of cancer (61%), and a median age of 51.4 years. Most participants (61%) reported satisfaction with how their healthcare provider managed their genetic test result and care, and 65% of survey participants reported their provider recommended colonoscopy based on their genetic test results. Participants' responses also reflected variable levels of knowledge regarding cancer risks and screening recommendations for MUTYH carriers. The majority (98%) of participants shared their genetic test results with at least some of their relatives; however, only 13% of eligible relatives reportedly underwent cascade testing. Taken together, this study provides needed insight into the overall experiences of monoallelic MUTYH carriers and highlights numerous areas for improvement in clinician education, communication, and management of these individuals.

Dynamics and quantitative contribution of the aminoglycoside 6'-N-acetyltransferase type Ib [AAC(6')-Ib] to amikacin resistance.

Aminoglycosides are essential components in the available armamentarium to treat bacterial infections. The surge and rapid dissemination of resistance genes strongly reduce their efficiency, compromising public health. Among the multitude of modifying enzymes that confer resistance to aminoglycosides, the aminoglycoside acetyltransferase AAC(6')-Ib is the most prevalent and relevant in the clinical setting as it can inactivate numerous aminoglycosides, such as amikacin. Although the mechanism of action, structure, and biochemical properties of the AAC(6')-Ib protein have been extensively studied, the contribution of the intracellular milieu to its activity remains unclear. In this work, we used a fluorescent-based system to quantify the number of AAC(6')-Ib per cell in Escherichia coli, and we modulated this copy number with the CRISPR interference method. These tools were then used to correlate enzyme concentrations with amikacin resistance levels. Our results show that resistance to amikacin increases linearly with a higher concentration of AAC(6')-Ib until it reaches a plateau at a specific protein concentration. In vivo imaging of this protein shows that it diffuses freely within the cytoplasm of the cell, but it tends to form inclusion bodies at higher concentrations in rich culture media. Addition of a chelating agent completely dissolves these aggregates and partially prevents the plateau in the resistance level, suggesting that AAC(6')-Ib aggregation lowers resistance to amikacin. These results provide the first step in understanding the cellular impact of each AAC(6')-Ib molecule on aminoglycoside resistance. They also highlight the importance of studying its dynamic behavior within the cell.

Development and validation of case-finding algorithms to identify acute pancreatitis in the Veterans Health Administration.

PURPOSE: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a frequently encountered adverse drug reaction. However, the validity of diagnostic codes for AP is unknown. We aimed to determine the positive predictive value (PPV) of a diagnostic code-based algorithm for identifying patients with AP within the US Veterans Health Administration and evaluate the value of adding readily available structured laboratory information. METHODS: We identified patients with possible AP events first based on the presence of a single hospital discharge ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis of AP (Algorithm 1). We then expanded Algorithm 1 by including relevant laboratory test results (Algorithm 2). Specifically, we considered amylase or lipase serum values obtained between 2 days before admission and the end of the hospitalization. Medical records of a random sample of patients identified by the respective algorithms were reviewed by two separate gastroenterologists to adjudicate AP events. The PPV (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the algorithms were calculated. RESULTS: Algorithm 2, consisting of one ICD-9 or ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis of AP and the addition of lipase serum value ≥200 U/L, had a PPV 89.1% (95% CI 83.0%-95.2%), improving from the PPV of algorithm 1 (57.9% [95% CI 46.8-69.0]). CONCLUSIONS: An algorithm consisting of an ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis of AP with a lipase value ≥200 U/L achieved high PPV. This simple algorithm can be readily implemented in any electronic health records (EHR) systems and could be useful for future pharmacoepidemiologic studies on AP.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Risk-Tailored Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection Strategy Among Patients With New-Onset Diabetes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Screening for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in asymptomatic adults is not recommended, however, patients with new-onset diabetes (NoD) have an 8 times higher risk of PDAC than expected. A novel risk-tailored early detection strategy targeting high-risk NoD patients might improve PDAC prognosis. We sought to evaluate the cost effectiveness of this strategy. METHODS: We compared PDAC early detection strategies targeting NoD individuals age 50 years and older at various minimal predicted PDAC risk thresholds vs standard of care in a Markov state-transition decision model under the health care sector perspective using a lifetime horizon. RESULTS: At a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year, the early detection strategy targeting patients with a minimum predicted 3-year PDAC risk of 1% was cost effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, $116,911). At a WTP threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year, the early detection strategy at the 2% risk threshold was cost effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, $63,045). The proportion of PDACs detected at local stage, costs of treatment for metastatic PDAC, utilities of local and regional cancers, and sensitivity of screening were the most influential parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed that at a WTP threshold of $150,000, early detection at the 1.0% risk threshold was favored (30.6%), followed by the 0.5% risk threshold (20.4%) vs standard of care (1.7%). At a WTP threshold of $100,000, early detection at the 1.0% risk threshold was favored (27.3%) followed by the 2.0% risk threshold (22.8%) vs standard of care (2.0%). CONCLUSIONS: A risk-tailored PDAC early detection strategy targeting NoD patients with a minimum predicted 3-year PDAC risk of 1.0% to 2.0% may be cost effective.

Efficacy of Recombinant Zoster Vaccine in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have an increased risk of herpes zoster (HZ) infection. Although the efficacy of recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) is high among immunocompetent individuals, little is known about its effect among immunosuppressed individuals with IBD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among individuals in the national Veterans Affairs Healthcare System diagnosed with IBD on or before January 3, 2018, the earliest date of RZV vaccinations. We collected data on 7008 and 26,292 eligible patients with IBD in the 50- to 60-year and >60-year age groups, respectively. We identified veterans who received RZV and compared the incidence of HZ between vaccinated versus unvaccinated individuals. We performed multivariable Cox regression with time varying analysis to determine the risk of HZ among the vaccinated (full dose and single dose separately) versus unvaccinated cohort, stratified by IBD medications. RESULTS: The crude HZ incidence rate after full dose vaccination of RZV when compared with the unvaccinated group was lower in both the 50- to 60-year age group (0.00 vs 3.93 per 1000 person-years) and >60-year age group (1.80 vs 4.57 per 1000 person-years). RZV vaccination was associated with a significantly lower risk of HZ among the 50- to 60-year and >60-year age groups, although this was limited by low HZ event rates. CONCLUSION: RZV vaccination was associated with decreased risk of HZ infection among both the 50- to 60-year and >60-year age groups. Greater efforts should be made to vaccinate all patients with IBD with RZV.

Performance of polygenic risk scores for cancer prediction in a racially diverse academic biobank.

PURPOSE: Genome-wide association studies have identified hundreds of single nucleotide variations (formerly single nucleotide polymorphisms) associated with several cancers, but the predictive ability of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) is unclear, especially among non-Whites. METHODS: PRSs were derived from genome-wide significant single-nucleotide variations for 15 cancers in 20,079 individuals in an academic biobank. We evaluated the improvement in discriminatory accuracy by including cancer-specific PRS in patients of genetically-determined African and European ancestry. RESULTS: Among the individuals of European genetic ancestry, PRSs for breast, colon, melanoma, and prostate were significantly associated with their respective cancers. Among the individuals of African genetic ancestry, PRSs for breast, colon, prostate, and thyroid were significantly associated with their respective cancers. The area under the curve of the model consisting of age, sex, and principal components was 0.621 to 0.710, and it increased by 1% to 4% with the inclusion of PRS in individuals of European genetic ancestry. In individuals of African genetic ancestry, area under the curve was overall higher in the model without the PRS (0.723-0.810) but increased by <1% with the inclusion of PRS for most cancers. CONCLUSION: PRS moderately increased the ability to discriminate the cancer status in individuals of European but not African ancestry. Further large-scale studies are needed to identify ancestry-specific genetic factors in non-White populations to incorporate PRS into cancer risk assessment.

Associations of sociodemographic and clinical factors with gastrointestinal cancer risk assessment appointment completion.

Cancer risk assessment services are important for patient care; effective use requires appropriate provider referral, accurate scheduling processes, and completed attendance at booked appointments. Sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with gastrointestinal cancer (GIC)-specific risk assessment appointments remain unstudied; therefore, we aimed to identify factors associated with appointment completion in a GIC risk assessment program at a tertiary academic center. Retrospective chart review was conducted on all patients scheduled for an appointment in the Gastrointestinal Cancer Risk Evaluation Program (GI-CREP) between January 2016 and December 2017. Data collected included demographic and clinical factors. Chi-square and Wilcoxon's rank-sum tests compared variables among patients based on the study outcome of whether a GI-CREP appointment was completed; marginal standardization was used to predict the standardized percentage of patients that had appointment completion. A total of 676 patients had a scheduled GI-CREP appointment; 32 individuals were excluded due to incomplete information or scheduling error, resulting in 644 patients available for final analysis. Our study population was predominantly female (61%), White (77%), and married (64%), had private healthcare insurance (76%), and lacked a personal history of cancer (60%). Referrals internal to the healthcare system were most common (77%), with gastroenterologists as the most frequent referring provider (42%). Seventy-five percent of scheduled individuals had appointment completion, while 25% of individuals did not. Independent predictors for an incomplete GI-CREP appointment included Medicaid insurance (OR 2.45, 95% CI 1.21-4.28, p = .01), self-identified Black race (OR 1.97, 95% CI: 1.20-3.25, p = .008), and personal history of cancer (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.11-2.31, p = .01). These data highlight existing disparities in GIC risk assessment appointment completion associated with race, health insurance coverage, and medical status. Further studies of these areas are necessary to ensure equitable access to important GIC risk assessment services.

Low Rates of Gastrointestinal and Non-Gastrointestinal Complications for Screening or Surveillance Colonoscopies in a Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: The full spectrum of serious non-gastrointestinal post-colonoscopy complications has not been well characterized. We analyzed rates of and factors associated with adverse post-colonoscopy gastrointestinal (GI) and non-gastrointestinal events (cardiovascular, pulmonary, or infectious) attributable to screening or surveillance colonoscopy (S-colo) and non-screening or non-surveillance colonoscopy (NS-colo). METHODS: We performed a population-based study of colonoscopy complications using databases from California hospital-owned and nonhospital-owned ambulatory facilities, emergency departments, and hospitals from January 1, 2005 through December 31, 2011. We identified patients who underwent S-colo (1.58 million), NS-colo (1.22 million), or low-risk comparator procedures (joint injection, aspiration, lithotripsy; arthroscopy, carpal tunnel; or cataract; 2.02 million) in California's Ambulatory Services Databases. We identified patients who developed adverse events within 30 days, and factors associated with these events, through patient-level linkage to California's Emergency Department and Inpatient Databases. RESULTS: After S-colo, the numbers of lower GI bleeding, perforation, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke per 10,000-persons were 5.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.8-5.9), 2.9 (95% CI, 2.5-3.3), 2.5 (95% CI, 2.1-2.9), and 4.7 (95% CI, 4.1-5.2) without biopsy or intervention; with biopsy or intervention, numbers per 10,000-persons were 36.4 (95% CI, 35.1-37.6), 6.3 (95% CI, 5.8-6.8), 4.2 (95% CI, 3.8-4.7), and 9.1 (95% CI, 8.5-9.7). Rates of dysrhythmia were higher. After NS-colo, event rates were substantially higher. Most serious complications led to hospitalization, and most GI complications occurred within 14 days of colonoscopy. Ranges of adjusted odds ratios for serious GI complications, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and serious pulmonary events after S-colo vs comparator procedures were 2.18 (95% CI, 2.02-2.36) to 5.13 (95% CI, 4.81-5.47), 0.67 (95% CI, 0.56-0.81) to 0.99 (95% CI, 0.83-1.19), 0.66 (95% CI, 0.59-0.75) to 1.13 (95% CI, 0.99-1.29), and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.61-0.68) to 1.05 (95% CI, 0.98-1.11). Biopsy or intervention, comorbidity, black race, low income, public insurance, and NS-colo were associated with post-colonoscopy adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based study in California, we found that following S-colo, rates of serious GI adverse events were low but clinically relevant, and that rates of myocardial infarction, stroke, and serious pulmonary events were no higher than after low-risk comparator procedures. Rates of myocardial infarction are similar to, but rates of stroke are higher than, those reported for the general population.

Health outcomes in US children with abdominal pain at major emergency departments associated with race and socioeconomic status.

OBJECTIVE: Over 9.6 million ED visits occur annually for abdominal pain in the US, but little is known about the medical outcomes of these patients based on demographics. We aimed to identify disparities in outcomes among children presenting to the ED with abdominal pain linked to race and SES. METHODS: Data from 4.2 million pediatric encounters of abdominal pain were analyzed from 43 tertiary US children's hospitals, including 2.0 million encounters in the emergency department during 2004-2011. Abdominal pain was categorized as functional or organic abdominal pain. Appendicitis (with and without perforation) was used as a surrogate for abdominal pain requiring emergent care. Multivariate analysis estimated likelihood of hospitalizations, radiologic imaging, ICU admissions, appendicitis, appendicitis with perforation, and time to surgery and hospital discharge. RESULTS: Black and low income children had increased odds of perforated appendicitis (aOR, 1.42, 95% CI, 1.32- 1.53; aOR, 1.20, 95% CI 1.14 - 1.25). Blacks had increased odds of an ICU admission (aOR, 1.92, 95% CI 1.53 - 2.42) and longer lengths of stay (aHR, 0.91, 95% CI 0.86 - 0.96) than Whites. Minorities and low income also had lower rates of imaging for their appendicitis, including CT scans. The combined effect of race and income on perforated appendicitis, hospitalization, and time to surgery was greater than either separately. CONCLUSIONS: Based on race and SES, disparity of health outcomes exists in the acute ED setting among children presenting with abdominal pain, with differences in appendicitis with perforation, length of stay, and time until surgery.

Small increases to employer premiums could shift millions of people to the exchanges and add billions to federal outlays.

The Affordable Care Act will expand insurance coverage to more than twenty-five million Americans, partly through subsidized private insurance available from newly created health insurance exchanges for people with incomes of 133-400 percent of the federal poverty level. The act will alter the financial incentive structure for employers and influence their decisions on whether or not to offer their employees coverage. These decisions, in turn, will affect federal outlays and revenues through several mechanisms. We model the sensitivity of federal costs for the insurance exchange coverage provision of the Affordable Care Act using the nationally representative Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data set. We assess revenues and subsidy outlays for premiums and cost sharing for individuals purchasing private insurance through exchanges. Our findings show that changing theoretical premium contribution levels by just $100 could induce 2.25 million individuals to transition to exchanges and increase federal outlays by $6.7 billion. Policy makers and analysts should pay especially careful attention to participation rates as the act's implementation continues.