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Consensus diagnostic and risk stratification of transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) was recently achieved from international transplantation groups. Although the proposed diagnostic criteria have been applied to multiple pediatric cohorts, there are scant data applying the novel risk stratification approach in children with TA-TMA. In this retrospective cohort study, all children undergoing an allogeneic HCT or autologous HCT for neuroblastoma were prospectively screened for TA-TMA, diagnosed, and risk-stratified using the Jodele criteria from August 2019 to October 2023. Our institutional practice during the study period was treat all Jodele intermediate-risk (IR) and high-risk (HR) patients with eculizumab. Harmonization risk stratification criteria were applied retrospectively. All survival analyses were calculated from the day of TA-TMA diagnosis. To identify which specific harmonization high-risk features were the most important predictors for nonrelapse mortality (NRM), full and reduced logistical regression models were tested. The lowest Bayes information criterion and optimal Mallows CP statistic were used to identify the best subset. The analysis was performed with SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). Fifty-two children were diagnosed with TA-TMA during the study period, at a median of 37.5 days post-HCT (range, 3 to 735 days). Using Jodele risk stratification, 11 (21%) were SR, 21 (40%) were IR, and 20 (39%) were HR. Forty (77%) were treated with eculizumab. There were no statistically significant differences in NRM among Jodele risk groups, although overall survival (OS) differed significantly. Using the harmonized stratification, 49 children (94%) were stratified as HR and 3 as standard risk (SR), there were no statistically significant differences in NRM or OS between groups. Eight children (15.4%) were classified as SR using Jodele risk stratification but restratified as HR using the harmonization criteria. One child (12.5%) died in the setting of severe GVHD, and the remaining 7 were alive at the last follow-up. In a best subset model, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level >2 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) (odds ratio [OR], 6.52, 95% confidence interval [CI], .96 to 44.3; P = .05), grade II-IV acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) at the time of TA-TMA diagnosis (OR, 15.4; 95% CI, 2.14 to 110.68; P = .01), and organ dysfunction at the time of TA-TMA (OR, 21.5; 95% CI, 2.96 to 156.37; P = .002) were significantly associated with NRM; elevated sC5b-9, urine protein/creatinine ratio, and viral infections were not significantly associated with NRM. Using these best-fit criteria, 14 patients were classified as SR and 38 were classified as HR, NRM was significantly higher, and OS was significantly lower. In this cohort of children with TA-TMA, retrospective application of the harmonization criteria resulted in more patients stratified as HR compared to use of the previously described Jodele criteria. The intention of the harmonization criteria was to identify those at greatest risk of poor outcomes; while all harmonization SR patients survived, this risk stratification was very sensitive. Previous criticisms of harmonization risk stratification include limited access to sC5b-9 testing. These data suggest that organ dysfuncion, acute GVHD, and LDH >2 times ULN are the most important predictors of NRM in this cohort, allowing risk stratification even in the absence of available sC5b-9 testing. Additional studies are needed to validate these findings.
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OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate internally a novel risk assessment tool to identify young children at risk for all-cause mortality ≤60 days of discharge from hospitals in sub-Saharan Africa. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a prospective observational cohort study of children aged 1-59 months discharged from Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and John F. Kennedy Medical Center in Monrovia, Liberia (2019-2022). Caregivers received telephone calls up to 60 days after discharge to ascertain participant vital status. We collected socioeconomic, demographic, clinical, and anthropometric data during hospitalization. Candidate variables with P < .20 in bivariate analyses were included in a multivariable logistic regression model with best subset selection to identify risk factors for the outcome. We internally validated our tool using bootstrapping with 500 repetitions. RESULTS: There were 1933 young children enrolled in the study. The median (IQR) age was 11 (4, 23) months and 58.7% were males. In total, 67 (3.5%) died during follow-up. Ten variables contributed to our tool (total possible score 82). Cancer (aOR 10.6, 95% CI 2.58, 34.6), pedal edema (aOR 6.94, 95% CI 1.69, 22.6), and leaving against medical advice (aOR 6.46, 95% CI 2.46, 15.3) were most predictive of post-discharge mortality. Our risk assessment tool demonstrated good discriminatory value (optimism corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.77), high precision, and sufficient calibration. CONCLUSIONS: After validation, this tool may be used to identify young children at risk for post-discharge mortality to direct resources for follow-up of high-risk children.
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BACKGROUND: Researchers and healthcare providers have paid little attention to morbidity and unplanned healthcare encounters for children following hospital discharge in low- and middle-income countries. Our objective was to compare symptoms and unplanned healthcare encounters among children aged <5 years who survived with those who died within 60 days of hospital discharge through follow-up phone calls. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort of children aged <5 years discharged from neonatal and paediatric wards of two national referral hospitals in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Monrovia, Liberia. Caregivers of enrolled participants received phone calls 7, 14, 30, 45, and 60 days after hospital discharge to record symptoms, unplanned healthcare encounters, and vital status. We used logistic regression to determine the association between reported symptoms and unplanned healthcare encounters with 60-day post-discharge mortality. RESULTS: A total of 4243 participants were enrolled and had 60-day vital status available; 138 (3.3%) died. For every additional symptom ever reported following discharge, there was a 35% greater likelihood of post-discharge mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10 to 1.66; p=0.004). The greatest survival difference was noted for children who had difficulty breathing (2.1% among those who survived vs 36.0% among those who died, p<0.001). Caregivers who took their child home from the hospital against medical advice during the initial hospitalisation had over eight times greater odds of post-discharge mortality (aOR 8.06, 95% CI 3.87 to 16.3; p<0.001) and those who were readmitted to a hospital had 3.42 greater odds (95% CI 1.55 to 8.47; p=0.004) of post-discharge mortality than those who did not seek care when adjusting for site, sociodemographic factors, and clinical variables. CONCLUSION: Surveillance for symptoms and repeated admissions following hospital discharge by healthcare providers is crucial to identify children at risk for post-discharge mortality.
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Alta del Paciente , Humanos , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Liberia/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Preescolar , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Lactante , Estudios Prospectivos , Morbilidad , Recién Nacido , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Most reports of risk factors (RF) for developing transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) and death are derived from paediatric and young adult cohorts, with minimal data on differences in RF and outcomes by age. In this secondary CIBMTR analysis, we used a previously prepared dataset that included all first allogenic haematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients with malignant or non-malignant diseases between 2008 and 2016. The incidence of TA-TMA 6 months post HCT was similar in children and adults 2.1% and 2.0% respectively. Grade 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) was a significant adjusted RF for developing TA-TMA in both children and adults. In adults, additional adjusted RFs for TA-TMA included female sex and black race, and in children an unrelated donor. Compared to a calcineurin inhibitor and sirolimus, other forms of GVHD prophylaxis had an adjusted decreased risk of developing TA-TMA in adults. Adjusted RF for death in those with TA-TMA (n = 652) included age ≥18 years old, early onset of TA-TMA diagnosis (<100 days post HCT), grade 3-4 aGVHD and a performance score of <90 prior to HCT. In this cohort, the incidence of TA-TMA was similar in children and adults, and TA-TMA timing was a newly identified RF for death.
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Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped , Trasplante de Células Madre Hematopoyéticas , Microangiopatías Trombóticas , Humanos , Trasplante de Células Madre Hematopoyéticas/efectos adversos , Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped/prevención & control , Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped/etiología , Microangiopatías Trombóticas/etiología , Microangiopatías Trombóticas/epidemiología , Microangiopatías Trombóticas/prevención & control , Femenino , Masculino , Niño , Adolescente , Adulto , Preescolar , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Edad , Adulto Joven , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Lactante , IncidenciaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Dissatisfaction with one's body can be distressing; youth with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may be at increased risk for body image dissatisfaction given disease symptoms and treatment side effects. Yet, no studies have examined body image dissatisfaction over time in youth with IBD and whether depressive symptoms are associated with change in dissatisfaction. METHODS: Fifty-seven pediatric participants (8-17 years old) newly diagnosed with IBD were enrolled. Youth completed questionnaires assessing body image dissatisfaction and depressive symptoms shortly after diagnosis (Time 1) and 12 months later (Time 2). Multilevel longitudinal modeling was used to test the extent to which body image dissatisfaction changed across the first year of diagnosis and to test change in body image dissatisfaction as a function of depressive symptoms. RESULTS: Findings indicated significant between- and within-person variance in body image dissatisfaction over the 12 months, yet the sample as a whole did not report significant changes in dissatisfaction from Time 1 to Time 2. Children reporting depressive symptoms greater than their individual average over time reported greater body image dissatisfaction. Between-person variation in depressive symptoms demonstrated a significant interaction with time. As an individual's depressive symptoms exceeded the group average, their body image dissatisfaction increased, although less drastically as time since diagnosis progressed. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that body image dissatisfaction is a complex and dynamic construct across youth and that interventions for pediatric IBD patients need to be tailored to the needs of individuals. Methods for assessing body image dissatisfaction efficiently and repeatedly across multiple visits are provided.
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Insatisfacción Corporal , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino , Adolescente , Humanos , Niño , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino/complicaciones , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Depresión/etiología , Imagen CorporalRESUMEN
Limited data highlight the need to understand differences in SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) variant viral load between the gold standard nasopharyngeal (NP) swab, mid-turbinate (MT)/anterior nasal swabs, oropharyngeal (OP) swabs, and saliva. MT, OP, and saliva samples from symptomatic individuals in Atlanta, GA, in January 2022 and longitudinal samples from a small familial cohort were tested by both RT-PCR and ultrasensitive antigen assays. Higher concentrations in the nares were observed in the familial cohort, but a dominant sample type was not found among 39 cases in the cross-sectional cohort. The composite of positive MT or OP assay for both RT-PCR and antigen assay trended toward higher diagnostic yield but did not achieve significant difference. Our data did not identify a singular preferred sample type for SARS-CoV-2 testing, but higher levels of saliva nucleocapsid, a trend toward higher yield of composite OP/MT result, and association of apparent MT or OP predominance with symptoms warrant further study.
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Acute graft versus host disease (GVHD) is a common and serious complication of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in children but overall clinical grade at onset only modestly predicts response to treatment and survival outcomes. Two tools to assess risk at initiation of treatment were recently developed. The Minnesota risk system stratifies children for risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) according to the pattern of GVHD target organ severity. The Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) algorithm of 2 serum biomarkers (ST2 and REG3α) predicts NRM in adult patients but has not been validated in a pediatric population. We aimed to develop and validate a system that stratifies children at the onset of GVHD for risk of 6-month NRM. We determined the MAGIC algorithm probabilities (MAPs) and Minnesota risk for a multicenter cohort of 315 pediatric patients who developed GVHD requiring treatment with systemic corticosteroids. MAPs created 3 risk groups with distinct outcomes at the start of treatment and were more accurate than Minnesota risk stratification for prediction of NRM (area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), .79 versus .62, P = .001). A novel model that combined Minnesota risk and biomarker scores created from a training cohort was more accurate than either biomarkers or clinical systems in a validation cohort (AUC .87) and stratified patients into 2 groups with highly different 6-month NRM (5% versus 38%, P < .001). In summary, we validated the MAP as a prognostic biomarker in pediatric patients with GVHD, and a novel risk stratification that combines Minnesota risk and biomarker risk performed best. Biomarker-based risk stratification can be used in clinical trials to develop more tailored approaches for children who require treatment for GVHD.
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Biomarcadores , Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped , Trasplante de Células Madre Hematopoyéticas , Proteínas Asociadas a Pancreatitis , Humanos , Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped/sangre , Enfermedad Injerto contra Huésped/diagnóstico , Niño , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Masculino , Trasplante de Células Madre Hematopoyéticas/efectos adversos , Preescolar , Adolescente , Proteínas Asociadas a Pancreatitis/sangre , Enfermedad Aguda , Medición de Riesgo , Lactante , Proteína 1 Similar al Receptor de Interleucina-1/sangre , Algoritmos , Trasplante Homólogo/efectos adversos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The immediate period after hospital discharge carries a large burden of childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to derive and internally validate a risk assessment tool to identify neonates discharged from the neonatal ward at risk for 60-day post-discharge mortality. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational cohort study of neonates discharged from Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and John F Kennedy Medical Centre in Monrovia, Liberia. Research staff called caregivers to ascertain vital status up to 60 days after discharge. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analyses with best subset selection to identify socioeconomic, demographic, clinical, and anthropometric factors associated with post-discharge mortality. We used adjusted log coefficients to assign points to each variable and internally validated our tool with bootstrap validation with 500 repetitions. RESULTS: There were 2344 neonates discharged and 2310 (98.5%) had post-discharge outcomes available. The median (IQR) age at discharge was 8 (4, 15) days; 1238 (53.6%) were male. In total, 71 (3.1%) died during follow-up (26.8% within 7 days of discharge). Leaving against medical advice (adjusted OR [aOR] 5.62, 95% CI 2.40 to 12.10) and diagnosis of meconium aspiration (aOR 6.98, 95% CI 1.69 to 21.70) conferred the greatest risk for post-discharge mortality. The risk assessment tool included nine variables (total possible score=63) and had an optimism corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.80). A score of ≥6 was most optimal (sensitivity 68.3% [95% CI 64.8% to 71.5%], specificity 72.1% [95% CI 71.5% to 72.7%]). CONCLUSIONS: A small number of factors predicted all-cause, 60-day mortality after discharge from neonatal wards in Tanzania and Liberia. After external validation, this risk assessment tool may facilitate clinical decision making for eligibility for discharge and the direction of resources to follow-up high risk neonates.
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Síndrome de Aspiración de Meconio , Alta del Paciente , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Recién Nacido , Estudios Prospectivos , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Liberia/epidemiología , Cuidados Posteriores , Medición de RiesgoRESUMEN
Transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) is a common, severe complication of allogeneic hematopoietic cellular therapy (HCT). Even when treated in many studies, morbidity and mortality rates are high. This prospective single-institution cohort study serially enrolled all allogeneic HCT recipients from August 2019-August 2022. Patients were universally screened for TA-TMA and intermediate and high-risk patients were immediately treated with eculizumab. Sub-distribution cox-proportional hazards models were used to identify sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHR) for multi-organ dysfunction (MOD) and non-relapse-related mortality (NRM). Of 136 patients, 36 (26%) were diagnosed with TA-TMA and 21/36 (58%) developed MOD, significantly more than those without TA-TMA, (p < .0001). Of those with TA-TMA, 18 (50%) had high-risk TA-TMA (HR-TA-TMA), 11 (31%) had intermediate-risk TA-TMA (IR-TA-TMA), and 8 (22%) had standard risk (SR-TA-TMA). Twenty-six were treated with eculizumab (1/8 SR, 7/11 IR, and 18/18 HR). Elevated D-dimer predicted the development of MOD (sHR 7.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8-32.3). Children with concurrent sinusoidal obstructive syndrome (SOS) and TA-TMA had an excess risk of MOD of 34% and data supported a biologic interaction. The adjusted NRM risk was significantly higher in the TA-TMA patients (sHR 10.54, 95% CI 3.8-29.2, p < .0001), despite prompt treatment with eculizumab. Significant RF for NRM in TA-TMA patients included SOS (HR 2.89, 95% 1.07-7.80) and elevated D-dimer (HR 3.82, 95% CI 1.14-12.84). An unrelated donor source and random urine protein to creatine ratio ≥2 mg/mg were significantly associated with no response to eculizumab (odds ratio 15, 95% CI 2.0-113.6 and OR 6.5, 95% CI 1.1-38.6 respectively). TA-TMA was independently associated with NRM despite early diagnosis and treatment with eculizumab in this large pediatric transplant cohort. Prognostic implications of D-dimer in TA-TMA merit further investigation as this is a readily accessible biomarker. Concurrent SOS is an exclusion criterion of many ongoing clinical trials, but these data highlight these patients could benefit from novel therapeutic approaches. Multi-institutional clinical trials are needed to understand the impact of TA-TMA-targeted therapies.