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1.
Eur J Clin Nutr ; 2024 Aug 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39127840

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) often receive medical nutrition therapy (MNT) during intensive remission-induction treatment. Since little is known about changes in nutritional status, specifically body composition, in this patient population, these changes and their associations with physical and clinical outcomes were assessed. SUBJECTS/METHODS: In this multicenter prospective observational study, newly diagnosed AML/MDS patients who received intensive remission-induction chemotherapy, routine dietary counseling by a dietician and MNT immediately upon inadequate nutritional intake, were included. At treatment initiation and discharge, nutritional status, including Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA)-scores and body composition, physical outcomes and fatigue were assessed. Associations of nutritional status/body composition with physical outcomes, fatigue, fever duration, number of complications, time to neutrophil engraftment and hospital length of stay (LOS) (collected from medical records) were examined using multiple regression analysis. RESULTS: In >91% of the 126 AML/MDS patients included, nutritional intake was adequate, with 61% receiving MNT. Nevertheless, body weight decreased significantly (p < 0.001) and mainly consisted of a loss of muscle/fat-free mass (FFM) (p < 0.001), while fat mass (FM) remained unchanged (p-value range = 0.71-0.77). Body weight and waist circumference showed significant negative associations with fever duration and/or number of complications. Significant positive associations were found between mid-upper arm muscle circumference (MUAMC) and physical functioning and between PG-SGA-scores and fatigue. Body weight and MUAMC were also negatively associated with LOS. CONCLUSION: Despite MNT in AML/MDS patients undergoing intensive chemotherapy, muscle/FFM decreased while FM remained unchanged. Maintenance of nutritional status was associated with improved physical and clinical outcomes.

2.
Ann Hematol ; 2024 Aug 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39129028

RESUMEN

Bariatric surgery is increasingly performed to treat severe obesity. As a result of anatomical and physiological changes in the gastrointestinal tract, the pharmacokinetics (PK) of oral drugs can be altered, affecting their efficacy and safety. This includes the class of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) which are used to treat chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). This case series describes the clinical course of four CML cases with a history of bariatric surgery. The patients used various TKIs (nilotinib, dasatinib, bosutinib, ponatinib, and imatinib) for which 15 drug levels were measured. The measured TKI concentrations were in part subtherapeutic, and highly variable when compared to mean levels measured in the general population. Multiple drug levels were measured in these patients, as the clinicians were aware of the possible impact of bariatric surgery. The drug levels were used as additional input for clinical decision-making. All four patients required TKI switches and/or dose modifications to achieve an effective and tolerable treatment. Eventually, adequate clinical and molecular remissions were achieved in all cases. In summary, TKI concentrations of patients undergoing bariatric surgery may be subtherapeutic. Moreover, there is substantial interindividual and intraindividual variation, which may be explained by the complex interference of bariatric surgery and associated weight loss. For clinical practice, therapeutic drug monitoring is advised in patients with a history of bariatric surgery in case of suboptimal response or loss of response.

3.
Eur J Haematol ; 2024 Jul 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38994654

RESUMEN

Precise and reliable predictive parameters to accurately identify chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients who can successfully discontinue their tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment are lacking. One promising parameter is depth of molecular response measured by BCR::ABL1 digital PCR (dPCR). The aim of this study was to validate a previously described prediction cutoff of 0.0023%IS and to assess the value of dPCR for treatment-free remission (TFR) prediction in relation to other clinical parameters. A droplet-based dPCR assay assessed BCR::ABL1 %IS prior to TKI discontinuation. The primary endpoint was molecular recurrence (MolR) by 36 months. A total of 186 patients from Canada, Germany, and the Netherlands were included. In patients with a first TKI discontinuation attempt (n = 163), a BCR::ABL1 dPCR < and ≥0.0023%IS had a MolR probability of 33% and 70%, respectively. Patients treated less than 6 years with a BCR::ABL1 dPCR <0.0023%IS had a MolR probability of 31%. After correction for treatment duration, both high dPCR value and the use of imatinib (vs. second-generation TKI) were significantly associated with a higher risk of MolR (HR of 3.66, 95%CI 2.06-6.51, p < .001; and 2.85, 95%CI 1.25-6.46, p = .013, respectively). BCR::ABL1 dPCR was not associated with TFR outcome after second TKI discontinuation, however, with the limitation of a small number of patients analyzed (n = 23). In conclusion, BCR::ABL1 digital PCR based on the cutoff of 0.0023%IS is a valuable predictive tool to identify CML patients with a high probability of TFR success after first TKI discontinuation, including patients treated for less than 6 years.

7.
Eur J Haematol ; 111(6): 938-945, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37731314

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Acquired missense mutations in the BCR::ABL1 kinase domain (KD) may cause tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment failure. Based on mutation-specific in vitro derived IC50-values, alternative TKI may be selected. We assessed clinical practice of BCR::ABL1 KD mutation testing, clinical response in relation to IC50-values, and clinical outcome of tested patients. METHODS: Patients from six Dutch CML reference centers and a national registry were included once a mutational analysis was performed. Reasons for testing were categorized as suboptimal TKI response, and primary or secondary TKI resistance. RESULTS: Four hundred twenty analyses were performed in 275 patients. Sixty-nine patients harbored at least one mutation. Most analyses were performed because of suboptimal TKI response but with low mutation incidence (4%), while most mutations were found in primary and secondary resistant patients (21% and 51%, respectively). Harboring a BCR::ABL1 mutation was associated with inferior overall survival (HR 3.2 [95% CI, 1.7-6.1; p < .001]). Clinically observed responses to TKI usually corresponded with the predicted TKI sensitivity based on the IC50-values, but a high IC50-value did not preclude a good clinical response per se. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend BCR::ABL1 KD mutation testing in particular in the context of primary or secondary resistance. IC50-values can direct the TKI choice for CML patients, but clinical efficacy can be seen despite adverse in vitro resistance.


Asunto(s)
Proteínas de Fusión bcr-abl , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva , Humanos , Proteínas de Fusión bcr-abl/genética , Resistencia a Antineoplásicos/genética , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/diagnóstico , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/tratamiento farmacológico , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/genética , Mutación , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/farmacología
8.
Clin Nutr ESPEN ; 57: 399-409, 2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37739686

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The European Societies for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism (ESPEN) and Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) recommend enteral nutrition (EN) as the first-choice medical nutrition therapy in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients undergoing intensive treatments, including high-dose remission-induction chemotherapy and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). However, parenteral nutrition (PN) remains the preferred method of nutrition support in current clinical practice. The aim of this qualitative study was to gain insight into hematologists' experiences and perspectives regarding the choice and ESPEN/EBMT recommendations on EN versus PN. METHODS: Online semi-structured interviews were conducted with one hematologist from each of the 21 hospitals offering intensive AML treatments in the Netherlands, using Microsoft Teams. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed verbatim and thematically analyzed using Atlas. ti. One hundred nineteen hematologists working in the same hospitals were invited to complete a short online questionnaire survey (SurveyMonkey®) regarding their knowledge and opinion on the ESPEN/EBMT guidelines recommending EN over PN during intensive AML treatments. The results of this survey are presented in a descriptive way. RESULTS: Fifty-nine hematologists participated in this study (42% overall response rate), of which 21 in the semi-structured interviews (response rate 100%) and 38 in the online survey (response rate 32%). Hematologists considered medical nutrition therapy important for prevention and treatment of malnutrition and associated adverse outcomes in AML patients undergoing intensive remission-induction treatment and HSCT. However, opposed to the ESPEN/EBMT guidelines, the vast majority of hematologists were hesitant or reluctant to use EN instead of PN as the first-choice medical nutrition therapy in these patients. The most frequently cited barriers to use EN were the expected low feasibility and tolerance of EN, feeding tube-related discomfort and bleeding risk, and patient refusal. Other barriers to follow the guidelines on EN were related to personal factors, including hematologists' knowledge (lack of awareness and familiarity) and attitude (lack of agreement, outcome expectancy, experience, success, motivation, and learning culture), guideline-related factors (lack of evidence and applicability), and external factors (lack of collaboration and resources). Facilitators included strategies for nutrition education and dissemination of nutritional guidelines, interprofessional and patient collaboration, availability of feeding tubes that can be inserted without endoscopy and stronger scientific evidence. CONCLUSIONS: Hematologists recognized the importance of medical nutrition therapy for reducing malnutrition and related negative outcomes during intensive AML treatments. However, contrary to the ESPEN/EBMT guidelines, they preferred PN instead of EN as the medical nutrition therapy of first choice. To reduce compliance barriers, interventions should focus on improving hematologists' knowledge of medical nutrition therapy and dietary guidelines, enhancing success rates of EN by adequately triaging patients eligible for EN and inserting duodenal feeding tubes using an electromagnetic sensing device without endoscopy, developing decision aids and multidisciplinary guidelines and care pathways. Furthermore, future trials should focus on the feasibility and benefits of EN versus PN both during remission-induction treatment and HSCT.


Asunto(s)
Nutrición Enteral , Trasplante de Células Madre Hematopoyéticas , Humanos , Nutrición Parenteral , Vías Clínicas , Países Bajos
9.
Hemasphere ; 7(10): e951, 2023 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37731707

RESUMEN

It remains challenging in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) to distinguish between patients with favorable and unfavorable time-to-first treatment (TTFT). Additionally, the downstream protein correlates of well-known molecular features of CLL are not always clear. To address this, we selected 40 CLL patients with TTFT ≤24 months and compared their B cell intracellular protein expression with 40 age- and sex-matched CLL patients with TTFT >24 months using mass spectrometry. In total, 3268 proteins were quantified in the cohort. Immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable (IGHV) mutational status and trisomy 12 were most impactful on the CLL proteome. Comparing cases to controls, 5 proteins were significantly upregulated, whereas 3 proteins were significantly downregulated. Of these, only THEMIS2, a signaling protein acting downstream of the B cell receptor, was significantly associated with TTFT, independently of IGHV and TP53 mutational status (hazard ratio, 2.49 [95% confidence interval, 1.62-3.84]; P < 0.001). This association was validated on the mRNA and protein level by quantitative polymerase chain reaction and ELISA, respectively. Analysis of 2 independently generated RNA sequencing and mass spectrometry datasets confirmed the association between THEMIS2 expression and clinical outcome. In conclusion, we present a comprehensive characterization of the proteome of untreated CLL and identify THEMIS2 expression as a putative biomarker of TTFT.

12.
Blood ; 142(13): 1131-1142, 2023 09 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37363833

RESUMEN

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL)-related symptoms and morbidity related to the advanced age at diagnosis impairs the well-being of older adult patients. Therefore, it is essential to tailor treatment according to geriatric characteristics and aim for an improvement in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) as a primary treatment goal. In the HOVON139/GiVe trial, 12 cycles of fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab (Ven-O) were shown to be effective and tolerable in FCR (fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, rituximab)-unfit patients with CLL (n = 67). However, prolonged venetoclax exposure as consolidation treatment led to increased toxicity with limited effect on minimal residual disease. To assess the impact of geriatric assessment on treatment outcomes and the patients' HRQoL, patient-reported outcomes (PROs), including function, depression, cognition, nutrition, physical performance, muscle parameters, comorbidities, and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer C30 and CLL17 questionnaires were assessed. At baseline, geriatric impairments were present in >90% of patients and ≥2 impairments present in 60% of patients predicted grade ≥3 nonhematological toxicity. During treatment, the number of geriatric impairments diminished significantly and clinically relevant improvements in HRQoL subscales were reached for global health status, physical functioning, role functioning, emotional functioning, fatigue, dyspnea, physical condition or fatigue, and worries or fears related to health and functioning. These improvements were comparable for patients receiving venetoclax consolidation and patients in whom treatment could mostly be discontinued. Collectively, frontline fixed-duration Ven-O improves overall PROs in older, unfit patients with CLL with and without geriatric impairments. This study was registered at EudraCT as 2015-004985-27 and the Netherlands Trial Register as NTR6043.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B , Humanos , Anciano , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/diagnóstico , Calidad de Vida , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Compuestos Bicíclicos Heterocíclicos con Puentes/efectos adversos , Fatiga/inducido químicamente
13.
N Engl J Med ; 388(21): 1956-1965, 2023 May 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37224197

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Transfusion guidelines regarding platelet-count thresholds before the placement of a central venous catheter (CVC) offer conflicting recommendations because of a lack of good-quality evidence. The routine use of ultrasound guidance has decreased CVC-related bleeding complications. METHODS: In a multicenter, randomized, controlled, noninferiority trial, we randomly assigned patients with severe thrombocytopenia (platelet count, 10,000 to 50,000 per cubic millimeter) who were being treated on the hematology ward or in the intensive care unit to receive either one unit of prophylactic platelet transfusion or no platelet transfusion before ultrasound-guided CVC placement. The primary outcome was catheter-related bleeding of grade 2 to 4; a key secondary outcome was grade 3 or 4 bleeding. The noninferiority margin was an upper boundary of the 90% confidence interval of 3.5 for the relative risk. RESULTS: We included 373 episodes of CVC placement involving 338 patients in the per-protocol primary analysis. Catheter-related bleeding of grade 2 to 4 occurred in 9 of 188 patients (4.8%) in the transfusion group and in 22 of 185 patients (11.9%) in the no-transfusion group (relative risk, 2.45; 90% confidence interval [CI], 1.27 to 4.70). Catheter-related bleeding of grade 3 or 4 occurred in 4 of 188 patients (2.1%) in the transfusion group and in 9 of 185 patients (4.9%) in the no-transfusion group (relative risk, 2.43; 95% CI, 0.75 to 7.93). A total of 15 adverse events were observed; of these events, 13 (all grade 3 catheter-related bleeding [4 in the transfusion group and 9 in the no-transfusion group]) were categorized as serious. The net savings of withholding prophylactic platelet transfusion before CVC placement was $410 per catheter placement. CONCLUSIONS: The withholding of prophylactic platelet transfusion before CVC placement in patients with a platelet count of 10,000 to 50,000 per cubic millimeter did not meet the predefined margin for noninferiority and resulted in more CVC-related bleeding events than prophylactic platelet transfusion. (Funded by ZonMw; PACER Dutch Trial Register number, NL5534.).


Asunto(s)
Cateterismo Venoso Central , Transfusión de Plaquetas , Trombocitopenia , Humanos , Recuento de Plaquetas , Transfusión de Plaquetas/métodos , Trombocitopenia/diagnóstico , Trombocitopenia/terapia , Cateterismo Venoso Central/efectos adversos , Cateterismo Venoso Central/métodos , Ultrasonografía Intervencional , Hemorragia/etiología , Hemorragia/prevención & control
14.
Ann Hematol ; 102(6): 1395-1408, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37119314

RESUMEN

In order to improve molecular response for a discontinuation attempt in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients in chronic phase, who had not achieved at least a molecular response <0.01% BCR-ABL1IS (MR4.0) after at least 2 years of imatinib therapy, we prospectively evaluated whether they could attain MR4.0 after a switch to a combination of nilotinib and 9 months of pegylated interferon-α2b (PegIFN). The primary endpoint of confirmed MR4.0 at month 12 (a BCR-ABL1IS level ≤ 0.01% both at 12 and 15 months) was reached by 44% (7/16 patients, 95% confidence interval (CI): 23- 67%) of patients, with 81% (13/16 patients, 95% CI: 57-93%) of patients achieving an unconfirmed MR4.0. The scheduled combination was completed by 56% of the patients, with premature discontinuations, mainly due to mood disturbances after the introduction of PegIFN, questioning the feasibility of the combination of nilotinib and PegIFN for this patient population and treatment goal. A comprehensive clinical substudy program was implemented to characterize the impact of the treatment changes on the immunological profile. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01866553.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas , Humanos , Proteínas de Fusión bcr-abl/genética , Mesilato de Imatinib/uso terapéutico , Interferón-alfa/uso terapéutico , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Polietilenglicoles/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/uso terapéutico , Pirimidinas/uso terapéutico , Resultado del Tratamiento
15.
Transfus Clin Biol ; 30(3): 314-318, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37061177

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: anemia is the most common finding in patients with a myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Repetitive red blood cell (RBC) transfusions and disease-related low hepcidin levels induce secondary iron overload. Real-world data on the prevalence and treatment strategies of anemia and secondary iron overload in MDS patients, is limited. METHODS: three years of data on MDS diagnosis, anemia and ferritin management was collected in 230 MDS patients from seven non-academic hospitals in the Netherlands. Descriptive statistics and linear mixed models were used to analyze the data. RESULTS: transfusion dependent (TD) patients (n = 49) needed 1-3 RBC transfusions per month. Serum hemoglobin remained stable in both TD and transfusion-independent (TI) patients over 3 years. In the TD patients, serum ferritin increased 63 pmol/L/month. Overall, 19 (39%) were diagnosed with secondary hemochromatosis, of which 13 (68%) received chelation therapy with a heterogeneous response. CONCLUSIONS: mean hemoglobin remains stable over time in both TD and TI MDS patients. Approximately 40% of TD patients develop secondary hemochromatosis. Treatment and monitoring of secondary hemochromatosis as well as the response on chelation therapy vary substantially.


Asunto(s)
Anemia , Hemocromatosis , Sobrecarga de Hierro , Síndromes Mielodisplásicos , Humanos , Prevalencia , Sobrecarga de Hierro/epidemiología , Sobrecarga de Hierro/etiología , Síndromes Mielodisplásicos/complicaciones , Síndromes Mielodisplásicos/epidemiología , Síndromes Mielodisplásicos/terapia , Anemia/epidemiología , Anemia/etiología , Anemia/terapia , Ferritinas , Hemoglobinas , Estudios de Cohortes , Quelantes del Hierro
17.
Leuk Lymphoma ; 64(2): 424-432, 2023 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36369821

RESUMEN

Suboptimal guideline adherence in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) care is associated with worse treatment outcomes. Current study focused on adherence to seven quality indicators (QIs) based on the European Leukemia Network guideline (one diagnostic, one therapeutic, and five monitoring indicators). Data were obtained from population-based registries in the Netherlands of 405 newly diagnosed chronic phase CML patients between January 2008 and April 2013. Compliance rates regarding diagnostic and therapeutic indicator were 83% and 78%, respectively. Monitoring indicators rates were lower: 21-27% for indicators concerning the first year and 58% and 62% for the second and third year, respectively. Noncompliance occurred mostly due to non-timely monitoring. Twenty cases did not comply with any indicator, 6% complied with all indicators. After adjustment for age, overall survival rates did not differ significantly between the groups. Adherence to guideline-based QIs was suboptimal. This demonstrates the evidence-practice gap, shows room for improvement and underscores the need for real-world data.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica , Humanos , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/diagnóstico , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/epidemiología , Leucemia Mielógena Crónica BCR-ABL Positiva/terapia , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adhesión a Directriz
18.
Blood ; 141(5): 519-528, 2023 02 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36084320

RESUMEN

The sensitivity of conventional techniques for reliable quantification of minimal/measurable residual disease (MRD) in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is limited to MRD 10-4. Measuring MRD <10-4 could help to further distinguish between patients with CLL with durable remission and those at risk of early relapse. We herein present an academically developed immunoglobulin heavy-chain variable (IGHV) leader-based next-generation sequencing (NGS) assay for the quantification of MRD in CLL. We demonstrate, based on measurements in contrived MRD samples, that the linear range of detection and quantification of our assay reaches beyond MRD 10-5. If provided with sufficient DNA input, MRD can be detected down to MRD 10-6. There was high interassay concordance between measurements of the IGHV leader-based NGS assay and allele-specific oligonucleotide quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) (r = 0.92 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.86-0.96]) and droplet digital PCR (r = 0.93 [95% CI, 0.88-0.96]) on contrived MRD samples. In a cohort of 67 patients from the CLL11 trial, using MRD 10-5 as a cutoff, undetectable MRD was associated with superior progression-free survival (PFS) and time to next treatment. More important, deeper MRD measurement allowed for additional stratification of patients with MRD <10-4 but ≥10-5. PFS of patients in this MRD range was significantly shorter, compared with patients with MRD <10-5 (hazard ratio [HR], 4.0 [95% CI, 1.6-10.3]; P = .004), but significantly longer, compared with patients with MRD ≥10-4 (HR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.23-0.87]; P = .018). These results support the clinical utility of the IGHV leader-based NGS assay.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B , Humanos , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/diagnóstico , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/genética , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/terapia , Pronóstico , Cadenas Pesadas de Inmunoglobulina/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento/métodos , Neoplasia Residual/diagnóstico , Neoplasia Residual/genética
20.
Intensive Care Med Exp ; 10(1): 38, 2022 Sep 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36117237

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Timely identification of deteriorating COVID-19 patients is needed to guide changes in clinical management and admission to intensive care units (ICUs). There is significant concern that widely used Early warning scores (EWSs) underestimate illness severity in COVID-19 patients and therefore, we developed an early warning model specifically for COVID-19 patients. METHODS: We retrospectively collected electronic medical record data to extract predictors and used these to fit a random forest model. To simulate the situation in which the model would have been developed after the first and implemented during the second COVID-19 'wave' in the Netherlands, we performed a temporal validation by splitting all included patients into groups admitted before and after August 1, 2020. Furthermore, we propose a method for dynamic model updating to retain model performance over time. We evaluated model discrimination and calibration, performed a decision curve analysis, and quantified the importance of predictors using SHapley Additive exPlanations values. RESULTS: We included 3514 COVID-19 patient admissions from six Dutch hospitals between February 2020 and May 2021, and included a total of 18 predictors for model fitting. The model showed a higher discriminative performance in terms of partial area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.82 [0.80-0.84]) compared to the National early warning score (0.72 [0.69-0.74]) and the Modified early warning score (0.67 [0.65-0.69]), a greater net benefit over a range of clinically relevant model thresholds, and relatively good calibration (intercept = 0.03 [- 0.09 to 0.14], slope = 0.79 [0.73-0.86]). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows the potential benefit of moving from early warning models for the general inpatient population to models for specific patient groups. Further (independent) validation of the model is needed.

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