Prevalence of Chronic liver disease in Cholangiocarcinoma: a Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic liver disease is a known risk factor for cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), but the proportion of people with CCA who have concurrent chronic liver disease is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of chronic liver diseases in people with cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: In this single-arm meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception to 10 August 2024 for articles in English containing data for cholangiocarcinoma with and without chronic liver diseases. Data were pooled to obtain the prevalence of different chronic liver diseases, with further stratification by geographical location and tumor location. RESULTS: In total, 118068 individuals diagnosed with cholangiocarcinoma were included, of whom 16771 had chronic liver diseases. A pooled analysis of 109 studies determined that the prevalence of chronic liver disease was 25.23% (95% CI: 20.82% - 30.23%; I2=99.0%), and 10.21% (7.75% - 13.35%; I2=98.6%) of CCA patients had cirrhosis. Chronic liver diseases were associated more with intrahepatic CCAs, compared to extrahepatic CCAs (RR: 2.46, CI: 2.37 - 2.55, p < 0.0001). This was observed across all etiologies of liver disease, except for primary sclerosing cholangitis which was associated with extrahepatic CCAs (RR: 0.49; CI: 0.43 - 0.57, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Around one in four people with cholangiocarcinoma have chronic liver diseases, and one in ten have cirrhosis.

Prevalence of Low FIB-4 in MASLD-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicentre Study.

BACKGROUND: Major society guidelines recommend the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) as the initial step to risk stratifying people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We aimed to evaluate the proportion of people with MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and a low FIB-4. METHODS: This cohort study included 613 consecutive adults (33% female) diagnosed with MASLD-related HCC from January 2008 to August 2023 at seven international centres in Australia, India, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and the United States. The primary objective was to determine the proportion of participants with a low FIB-4, defined as FIB-4 < 1.3, or < 2 if age > 65 years, in people without cirrhosis. RESULTS: The mean (±SD) age and body mass index were 71 (±11) years and 27 (±7) kg/m2, respectively. Overall, 235 participants (38%) did not have known cirrhosis. The median FIB-4 was 3.90 (IQR 2.42-6.42). A total of 78 participants (13%) had a low FIB-4. Among participants without known cirrhosis (n = 235), 62 participants (26%) had a low FIB-4. Participants with a low FIB-4 had larger median total tumour diameter (p < 0.001) and lower median serum alpha-fetoprotein (p = 0.005), compared to participants without a low FIB-4. Cirrhosis was associated with lower odds of low FIB-4, but not other factors such as male sex, type 2 diabetes, or obesity. CONCLUSION: More than a quarter of those with MASLD-related HCC without cirrhosis have a low FIB-4. The proposed clinical care pathways may not identify these people for further evaluation.

Serial Liver Stiffness Measurement and Fibrosis-4 Scores in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: In patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), there are limited data on how changes in FIB4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) correlate in non-biopsy cohorts. AIMS: Our objective was to evaluate associations between changes in FIB4 and LSM in MASLD patients. METHODS: We included MASLD patients with serial VCTE from 2015-2022. The primary predictors were change in FIB4 and presence of diabetes, obesity, and high alanine aminotransferase (ALT). The primary outcome, applied only to patients with LSM1 < 8 kPa, was incident significant fibrosis (SF) defined as a ≥ 20% increase in LSM2 vs. LSM1 and LSM2 ≥ 8 kPa. A secondary outcome was LSM progression with a similar definition but applied to all participants, not only those with LSM1 < 8 kPa. RESULTS: Of 285 included patients, 216 had LSM1 < 8 kPa and were included in the primary analysis; of these, 34 (16%) had incident SF. Changes in FIB4 correlated with changes in LSM (R = 0.16, p = 0.016). Independent predictors of incident SF included comorbid diabetes mellitus (OR 2.43, 95% CI 1.04-6.56), obesity (OR 3.88, 95% CI 1.63-9.25), and baseline ALT ≥ 30 (OR 8.55, 95% CI 1.10-66.29). A model including ALT, diabetes, and obesity outperformed a model with FIB4 change alone. CONCLUSION: Among patients with MASLD, changes in FIB4 correlated with changes in LSM but more significant correlates of incident significant fibrosis included diabetes mellitus, obesity, and high baseline ALT.

Disproportionately Increasing Incidence of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Females and the Elderly: An Update Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

OBJECTIVE: To update the global burden of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. METHODS: Data from GBD 2021 were analyzed to assess the IBD burden. RESULTS: In 2021, there were 375,140 new cases and 3.83 million total cases of IBD. Elderly-onset IBD accounted for 11% of incidences. 167 countries increased IBD incidence rate, with rates rising in females (APC:+0.06%) and the elderly (APC:+0.14%) but stable in males and the overall population. CONCLUSION: While the global burden of IBD has decreased overall, it has increased in females and the elderly.

Sex disparities in global burden of gallbladder and biliary tract cancer: analysis of Global Burden of Disease study from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The global burden of gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC) has been on the rise, making it a major public health concern. We aim to comprehensively analyze sex disparities in the temporal trends of GBTC incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) regionally and globally from 2010 to 2019. METHODS: Age-standardized rates of GBTC incidence, death, and DALYs were analyzed utilizing the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, the estimated annual percent change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDALYs) due to GBTC globally decreased in both sexes (males, APC: -0.80%; APC: -1.00%) and (females, APC: -0.89%; APC: -0.96%). At the same time, age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) decreased only in males (APC: -0.82%) and remained stable in females. By regions, ASIRs and ASDR increased in both sexes only in Southeast Asia (SEA) but decreased in the other regions. All regions had decreased ASDALYs except for an increase in ASDALYs for females only in the SEA region (APC: 0.41%), and males have a stable trend. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals substantial geographic variance in the burden of GBTC, specifically in the SEA region. Therefore, localized interventional methodologies must be undertaken to effectively address this global burden from GBTC.

Disparities in steatosis prevalence in the United States by Race or Ethnicity according to the 2023 criteria.

INTRODUCTION: The 2023 nomenclature defined criteria for steatotic liver disease (SLD), including metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), and the overlapping MASLD/ALD (MetALD). We aimed to assess racial and ethnic disparities in the SLD prevalence among United States (US) adults based on this new nomenclature. METHODS: We undertook a cross-sectional study employing the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database. We identified SLD according to a controlled attenuation parameter ≥288 dB/m, liver stiffness ≥7.2 kPa, or elevated aminotransferase levels. Alcohol use thresholds were established according to the updated SLD definition. We estimated prevalences using the complex design of the NHANES survey. Multivariable logistic regressions with complex design weights were employed. RESULTS: A total of 5532 individuals are included. The mean age is 45.4 years, and 50.9% are women. The adjusted estimated prevalence of MASLD is 42.4% (95% CI: 41.1-43.8%), MetALD 1.7% (95% CI: 1.3-2.0%), and ALD 0.6% (95% CI: 0.3-0.8%). Hispanics exhibit a higher prevalence of SLD, but there are no significant differences in advanced fibrosis prevalence due to SLD among racial/ethnic groups. In MASLD, men, individuals aged 40-64 and ≥65 years, Hispanics, those with health insurance, higher BMI, diabetes, hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, and low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol or use of lipid-lowering agents are independently associated with a higher risk, while Blacks have the lowest risk. In MetALD, men and higher BMI are independently associated with a higher risk of MetALD in adjusted multivariable analysis. In ALD, the adjusted multivariable analysis shows that only health insurance is independently associated with a lower ALD risk. CONCLUSIONS: MASLD prevalence is high in the US, especially in men, older individuals, and Hispanics. MetALD and ALD prevalence was substantial but could be underestimated.

This study aims to estimate the prevalence of different types of fatty liver disease, in which excess fat occurs in the liver. A particular type of fatty liver disease that is not caused by excess alcohol consumption affects 42.4% of adults in the USA, with men, older adults, and Hispanics being more likely to have this form of liver disease. People with health insurance are less likely to have liver disease caused by excess alcohol consumption. These results highlight the importance of targeted prevention efforts in people with a higher risk of developing liver disease. Future public health strategies should focus on reducing risk factors and providing equitable healthcare access.

Liver Cancer in 2021: Global Burden of Disease Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The epidemiology of adult primary liver cancer continues to evolve, related to the increasing prevalence of metabolic disease, rising alcohol consumption, advancements in vaccination for hepatitis B (HBV), and antiviral therapy for hepatitis C (HCV). Disparities in care and the burden of liver cancer between populations persist. We assess trends in the burden of liver cancer and contributions by various etiologies across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2021. METHODS: Utilizing the methodological framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed global and regional temporal trends in incidence and mortality, and the contributions of various etiologies of liver disease. RESULTS: In 2021, there were an estimated 529202 incident cases and 483875 deaths related to liver cancer. From 2010 to 2021, global liver cancer incident cases and deaths increased by 26% and 25%, respectively. Global age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and death rates (ASDRs) for liver cancer declined but rose in the Americas and Southeast Asia. HBV remained the dominant cause of global incident liver cancer cases and deaths. Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was the only etiology of liver cancer with rising ASIRs and ASDRs. By contrast, ASIRs and ASDRs remained stable for alcohol-related liver cancer, and declined for HBV- and HCV-related liver cancer. CONCLUSIONS: While age-adjusted incidence and deaths from liver cancer have started to decline, the absolute number of incident cases and deaths continues to increase. Population growth and aging contribute to the observed disconnect in the temporal trends of absolute cases and rates. Disparities remain, and MASLD-related liver cancer continues to surge.

Long-term Outcomes and Risk Modifiers of MASLD Between Lean and Non-Lean Populations.

One-third of adults across the globe exhibit metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) - formerly known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). To date, MASLD is the fastest-growing etiology of chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Besides the population with obesity, MASLD can also be found in lean populations, accounting for 13% of the global population, especially Asians. Notably, individuals with lean MASLD face equal or higher overall mortality rates compared to their non-lean counterparts. Risk modifiers encompass advanced age, hepatic fibrosis, and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Moreover, the population with lean MASLD is associated with an increased risk of HCC, while their non-lean counterparts are more prone to cardiovascular outcomes and T2DM. Existing evidence indicates a similar risk of liver-related events and extrahepatic cancer between the two groups. However, MASLD-related genetic variants, such as PNPLA3 and TM6SF2, did not significantly affect mortality between the two populations. Still, underreporting alcohol consumption and regional representation limits the study's comprehensiveness. Longitudinal studies and mechanistic explorations are needed to understand differences in lean versus non-lean MASLD populations. This review highlights the need for awareness and tailored interventions in managing MASLD, considering lean individuals' unique risks.

Epidemiology of gastrointestinal cancers: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

BACKGROUND: Gastrointestinal cancers comprise nearly one-third of global mortality from cancer, yet the comprehensive global burden of these cancers remains uninvestigated. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the global, regional and national burden of gastrointestinal cancers. DESIGNS: Data on oesophagus, gastric, colorectal, liver, pancreas and biliary tract cancers were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. Age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardised death rate (ASDR) were calculated by sex, region and Sociodemographic Index (SDI). RESULTS: In 2021, there were 5.26 million incidences and 3.70 million deaths from gastrointestinal cancer. The greatest burden is from colorectal, followed by gastric, oesophageal, pancreatic, liver and biliary tract cancer. We noted geographical and socioeconomic differences in ASIR and ASDR across all types of cancers. From 2000 to 2021, ASIR increased for colorectal cancer (annual percent change (APC): 0.10%, 95% CI 0.05% to 0.14%), pancreatic cancer (APC: 0.27%, 95% CI 0.14% to 0.41%), and liver cancer from metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (APC: 0.62%, 95% CI 0.58% to 0.67%) and alcohol-related liver disease (APC: 0.26%, 95% CI 0.22% to 0.30%). ASDR increased for pancreatic cancer (APC: 0.18%, 95% CI 0.02% to 0.34%). Higher SDI countries had higher incidence rates for most types of gastrointestinal cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Although the ASIR of oesophageal, gastric and biliary tract cancer has decreased, the ASIR still increased in colorectal, pancreatic and liver cancer from steatotic liver disease. Public policies are important for controlling gastrointestinal cancers-most importantly, reducing alcohol consumption, hepatitis B immunisation and tackling the burden of metabolic diseases.

Prognostic Accuracy of Transient Elastography-Based Predictors in Diabetes and Obesity: A Multicenter International Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is recommended for risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). More recently, AGILE3 + and AGILE4 have combined LSM with clinical parameters to identify patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively. However, there are limited data on prognostic performance of these scores in key at-risk subgroups such as those with diabetes and obesity compared to LSM alone. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study including 1903 adult patients with NAFLD from tertiary care centers in the United States and Singapore undergoing VCTE between 2015 and 2022. Primary predictors were FAST, LSM, AGILE3 + , and AGILE4 scores and the primary outcome was liver-related events (LRE). Patients were further stratified by diabetes and obesity status. Prognostic performance was measured using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (tAUC) at 5 years. RESULTS: In total, 25 LRE occurred and the overall incidence rate of LRE was 4.4 per 1000 person-years. tAUC for predicting LRE in the overall group was significantly higher with AGILE3 + (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) and AGILE4 (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) compared to LSM (0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94]) (p = 0.001 and 0.009, respectively) and FAST (0.73 [95% CI: 0.59-0.86]) (p < 0.001 for both). Similarly, tAUC was significantly higher in those with T2D for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.92 vs 0.86, respectively) (p = 0.015) and FAST (0.92 vs 0.73, respectively) (p = 0.008). Among people with obesity, tAUC was significantly higher for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.95 vs 0.89, respectively) (p = 0.005) and FAST (0.95 vs 0.76, respectively) (p = 0.0035). Though AGILE4 had a higher tAUC in these subgroups compared to LSM, it did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSION: AGILE3 + significantly outperforms LSM and FAST for predicting LRE in patients with NAFLD including in those with diabetes or obesity.

Mortality outcomes in individuals with MASLD versus MASLD and increased alcohol intake.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has become a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. A new entity termed MetALD has also been described and is defined as individuals with MASLD and increased alcohol intake. However, the natural history of MetALD compared with MASLD is unknown. We aimed to compare longitudinal outcomes in patients with MASLD versus MetALD. METHODS: This study was performed using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2011 to 2018. MASLD patients (defined by the United States Fatty Liver Index > 30) who met cardiometabolic criteria including body mass index (BMI) > 25 (BMI > 23 in Asians), hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and hypertriglyceridemia were included. MetALD was defined as MASLD with increased alcohol intake (3-6 standard drinks per day in males; 2-5 standard drinks per day in females). A comparison of overall, cardiovascular, cancer-related, and other causes of mortality in patients with MASLD versus MetALD was performed. RESULTS: A total of 2838 individuals with MASLD and 2557 individuals with MetALD were included with a median follow-up time of 56 months. MetALD patients were at increased risk of cancer-related mortality compared with patients with MASLD (hazard ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.53; P < 0.01). However, there was no significant difference in overall, cardiovascular, and other causes of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with MetALD were at higher risk for cancer-related mortality than MASLD. Close attention to regular cancer surveillance and accurate classification of alcohol consumption in individuals with diagnosed MASLD is warranted to help improve patient care and outcome.

Changes in the epidemiological trends of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region.

Primary liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality. The increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome and alcohol consumption, along with the existing burden of viral hepatitis, could significantly heighten the impact of primary liver cancer. However, the specific effects of these factors in the Asia-Pacific region, which comprises more than half of the global population, remain largely unexplored. This study aims to analyze the epidemiology of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. We evaluated regional and national data from the Global Burden of Disease study spanning 2010 to 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. During the study period, there were an estimated 364,700 new cases of primary liver cancer and 324,100 deaths, accounting for 68 and 67% of the global totals, respectively. Upward trends were observed in the age-standardized incidence rates of primary liver cancer due to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MASLD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) in the Asia-Pacific region, as well as an increase in primary liver cancer from Hepatitis B virus infection in the Western Pacific region. Notably, approximately 17% of new cases occurred in individuals aged 15-49 years. Despite an overall decline in the burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region over the past decade, increases in incidence were noted for several etiologies, including MASLD and ALD. However, viral hepatitis remains the leading cause, responsible for over 60% of the total burden. These findings underscore the urgent need for comprehensive strategies to address the rising burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region.

Global Prevalence, Clinical Characteristics, Surveillance, Treatment Allocation, and Outcomes of Alcohol-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although the burden of alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing with rising alcohol consumption, clinical presentation and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC have not been systematically assessed. We aimed to determine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, surveillance rates, treatment allocation, and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2023. Proportional data were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model. The odds ratio (OR) or mean difference comparing alcohol-associated HCC and other causes was obtained with pairwise meta-analysis. Survival outcomes were evaluated using a pooled analysis of hazard ratios. RESULTS: Of 4824 records identified, 55 articles (86,345 patients) were included. Overall, 30.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.0%-37.7%) of HCC was alcohol associated, with the highest proportion in Europe and the lowest in the Americas. People with alcohol-associated HCC were more likely male but were similar in age and comorbidities compared with other causes. A total of 20.8% (95% CI, 11.4%-34.9%) of people with alcohol-associated HCC underwent surveillance compared with 35.0%, 31.6%, and 21.4% in hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and metabolic dysfunction-associated HCC, respectively (all P < .05). Alcohol-associated HCC had a lower likelihood of Barcelona Clínic Liver Cancer C stage (0/A) (OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; P = .018) and curative therapy (24.5% vs 33.9%; OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9; P = .003), and higher mortality (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .012) when compared with other causes. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol-associated HCC is associated with lower surveillance rates, more advanced BCLC stage, lower likelihood of receiving curative therapy, and poorer survival. These data call for measures to reduce heavy alcohol consumption and improve strategies for effective HCC surveillance in high-risk individuals.

Early-onset pancreatic cancer and associated metabolic risk factors in the Middle East and North Africa: A 20-year analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) is associated with poor prognosis and high disease burden. Metabolic risk factors such as diabetes and obesity are considered risk factors of EOPC. Recently, there has been an increasing number of EOPCs worldwide. However, the analysis of EOPC, including its metabolic risk factors, in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has not been fully addressed. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study between 2000 and 2019 was used to analyze the prevalence, incidence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its metabolic risk factors. The analysis further categorized the data based on countries, income status and sex and examined the annual percentage change (APC). RESULTS: Approximately 2800 cases, 2400 deaths and 114,000 DALYs were attributable to EOPC in the MENA region. The incidence (APC + 3.42%), death (APC + 0.73%) and DALYs (APC + 3.23%) rates of EOPC increased. In addition, the death and DALY rates of EOPC attributable to obesity and diabetes increased. High and upper-middle-income countries exhibited a higher burden of EOPC than lower-income countries. CONCLUSION: Over the past two decades, the burden of EOPC and its associated metabolic risk factors has increased. There is an urgent need for region-wide policy development, including screening methods and risk factor reduction, to mitigate the high and rising burden of EOPC in the MENA region.

Clostridioides difficile Infection in the Elderly: Trend Analysis from 2000 to 2019.

Background/Objective: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a common healthcare-associated ailment, presenting major health and economic challenges, especially for the elderly. Despite its prevalence, comprehensive data about CDI's impact on the elderly are limited. Methods: This study used the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 data to analyze CDI trends from 2000 to 2019, considering factors like sex, region, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Results: This study revealed that CDI caused approximately 18,181 deaths and 252,709 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among the elderly worldwide. The Americas showed the highest CDI burden, while the Eastern Mediterranean saw the steepest rate increase from 2000 to 2019. Regions with a high SDI also displayed substantial CDI impact. Conclusions: The escalating burden of CDI in the elderly, especially in high-SDI areas and the Americas, emphasizes an urgent need for targeted public health strategies.