Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for 30-Day Mortality and Functional Outcome in Patients with Primary Brainstem Hemorrhage.

INTRODUCTION: Primary brainstem hemorrhage (PBSH) is the most fatal subtype of intracerebral hemorrhage and is associated with poor prognosis. We aimed to develop a prediction model for predicting 30-day mortality and functional outcome in patients with PBSH. METHODS: We reviewed records of 642 consecutive patients with first-time PBSH from three hospitals between 2016 and 2021. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a nomogram in a training cohort. Cutoff points of the variables were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and certain points were assigned to these predictors to produce the PBSH score. The nomogram and PBSH score were compared with other scoring systems for PBSH. RESULTS: Five independent predictors, comprised of temperature, pupillary light reflex, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score on admission, and hematoma volume, were incorporated to construct the nomogram. The PBSH score consisted of 4 independent factors with individual points assigned as follows: temperature, ≥38°C (=1 point), <38°C (=0 points); pupillary light reflex, absence (=1 point), presence (=0 points); GCS score 3-4 (=2 points), 5-11 (=1 point), and 12-15 (=0 points); PBSH volume >10 mL (=2 points), 5-10 mL (=1 point), and <5 mL (=0 points). Results showed that the nomogram was discriminative in predicting both 30-day mortality (area under the ROC curve [AUC] of 0.924 in the training cohort, and 0.931 in the validation cohort) and 30-day functional outcome (AUC of 0.887). The PBSH score was discriminative in predicting both 30-day mortality (AUC of 0.923 in the training cohort and 0.923 in the validation cohort) and 30-day functional outcome (AUC of 0.887). The prediction performances of the nomogram and the PBSH score were superior to the intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) score, primary pontine hemorrhage (PPH) score, and new PPH score. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated two prediction models for 30-day mortality and functional outcome in patients with PBSH. The nomogram and PBSH score could predict 30-day mortality and functional outcome in PBSH patients.

Higher cystatin C level increases the risk of delayed cerebral ischemia after endovascular treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a case-control study.

Cystatin C (CysC) has been found to be associated with hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke in many studies. However, the association between CysC level and the risk of delayed cerebral ischemia after endovascular treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage has been reported rarely. Our study was proposed to explore this association. Consecutive patients from June 2015 to February 2021 in this single-center retrospective study were selected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify potential prognostic risk factors for delayed cerebral ischemia, and the stability of the association was demonstrated by several statistical methods, such as subgroup analysis, interaction testing, generalized linear models, and propensity score matching. A total of 424 patients were included in the analysis. Cystatin C was independently associated with delayed cerebral ischemia. The independent effects of CysC on delayed cerebral ischemia were shown in generalized linear models with a logit link, and the results were relatively stable in crude, partial, and full models with ORs (95% CIs) for delayed cerebral ischemia. Subgroup analysis showed no significant subgroup differences in the effect of CysC on delayed cerebral ischemia. There was also no interaction effect between CysC and other confounders. Patients in the high CysC group had a higher risk of delayed cerebral ischemia than those in the low CysC group before and after propensity score matching. CysC level could be an independent predictor for the risk of delayed cerebral ischemia after endovascular treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.