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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 12001, 2024 05 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38796538

RESUMEN

The current study aimed to establish an experimental model in vitro and in vivo of urinary crystal deposition on the surface of ureteral stents, to evaluate the ability to prevent crystal adhesion. Non-treated ureteral stents were placed in artificial urine under various conditions in vitro. In vivo, ethylene glycol and hydroxyproline were administered orally to rats and pigs, and urinary crystals and urinary Ca were investigated by Inductively Coupled Plasma-Optical Emission Spectrometer. in vitro, during the 3- and 4-week immersion periods, more crystals adhered to the ureteral stent in artificial urine model 1 than the other artificial urine models (p < 0.01). Comparing the presence or absence of urea in the composition of the artificial urine, the artificial urine without urea showed less variability in pH change and more crystal adhesion (p < 0.05). Starting the experiment at pH 6.3 resulted in the highest amount of crystal adhesion to the ureteral stent (p < 0.05). In vivo, urinary crystals and urinary Ca increased in rat and pig experimental models. This experimental model in vitro and in vivo can be used to evaluate the ability to prevent crystal adhesion and deposition in the development of new ureteral stents to reduce ureteral stent-related side effects in patients.


Asunto(s)
Stents , Animales , Ratas , Porcinos , Masculino , Concentración de Iones de Hidrógeno , Calcio/orina , Cristalización , Uréter , Glicol de Etileno/química , Hidroxiprolina/orina , Orina/química , Ratas Sprague-Dawley
2.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 7777, 2023 Nov 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38012176

RESUMEN

Over the past decade, an unexpected cooling trend has been observed in East Asia and North America during winter. Climate model simulations suggest that this pattern of stalled warming, besides accelerated warming, will repeat throughout the course of global warming, influenced by the natural decade-long variations in the climate system. However, understanding the exact factors affecting the pace of warming remains a challenge. Here we show that a pause in warming over continental areas-namely, local warming hiatus-can be accompanied by excessive heat accumulation north of the ocean fronts. This oceanic condition, often manifesting in the form of marine heatwaves, constrains the subseasonal growth of atmospheric planetary waves, significantly increasing the likelihood of cold extremes in downstream continents. Our results underscore the importance of closely monitoring changing ocean fronts in response to human-induced warming, which can potentially reshape the inherent decade-long fluctuations within regional climates over the long term.

3.
Oncology ; 101(10): 645-654, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37364538

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Prostate cancer (PCA) is one of the most common cancers in the world, and current therapies are debilitating to patients. To develop a novel modality for the treatment of PCA, we evaluated the efficacy of intralesional administration of the Sirt3 activator Honokiol (HK) and the NADPH oxidase inhibitor Dibenzolium (DIB). METHODS: We used a well-established transgenic adenocarcinoma mouse prostate (TRAMP-C2) model of hormone-independent PCA. MTS assay, apoptosis assay, wound healing assay, transwell invasion assay, RT-qPCR, and Western blotting were conducted in vitro, and HK and DIB were intratumorally administered to mice bearing TRAMP-C2 tumors. Tumor size and weight were observed over time. After removing tumors, H-E staining and immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining were conducted. RESULTS: Treatment by HK or DIB showed an inhibitory effect on cell proliferation and migration in PCA cells. Poor ability to induce apoptosis in vitro, insufficient expression of caspase-3 on IHC staining, and increased necrotic areas on H-E staining indicated that necrosis plays an important role in cell death in treating groups by HK or DIB. RT-PCR, Western blotting, and IHC staining for epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers suggested that EMT was suppressed by HK and DIB individually. In addition, HK induced activation of CD3. Mouse experiments showed safe antitumor effects in vivo. CONCLUSIONS: HK and DIB suppressed PCA proliferation and migration. Further research will explore the effects of HK and DIB at the molecular level to reveal new mechanisms that can be exploited as therapeutic modalities.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Ratones , Animales , Línea Celular Tumoral , Neoplasias de la Próstata/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Inmunohistoquímica , Transición Epitelial-Mesenquimal , Proliferación Celular , Movimiento Celular
4.
Lett Appl Microbiol ; 76(2)2023 Feb 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36763780

RESUMEN

Carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) is a life-threatening pathogen that has not been fully investigated on a molecular basis. Therefore, the molecular mechanisms of carbapenem resistance in CRKP collected from medical institutions in Hyogo Prefecture has been analyzed. Antimicrobial susceptibilities and the presence of carbapenemase along with epidemiological analyzes using multilocus sequence typing (MLST) have been investigated. The relative expression of efflux pump genes and mutations of ompK35 and ompK36, encoding the outer membrane porin, were also assessed for their relationship with carbapenem resistance. Most of the collected 22 CRKP isolates were non-susceptible to imipenem (68.2%), meropenem (90.9%), and ertapenem (81.8%), but all 22 strains were susceptible to colistin. Twelve strains (54.5%) were detected for carbapenemase genes such as blaIMP-6. Sequence type 37 was detected by MLST in 10 strains (45.5%). Non-carbapenemase-producing strains had high resistance rates for three carbapenems, and the main cause of resistance was ompK35 mutation. In conclusion, the main cause of resistance was imipenemase metallo-ß-lactamase (IMP-6) production in carbapenemase-producing strains, and ompK35 mutation in non-carbapenemase-producing strains. Susceptibility to carbapenem did not differ in CRKP regardless of carbapenemase production, except for imipenem susceptibility. This result contributes to a more insightful understanding of the mechanisms of CRKP in Japan.


Asunto(s)
Enterobacteriaceae Resistentes a los Carbapenémicos , Infecciones por Klebsiella , Humanos , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Tipificación de Secuencias Multilocus , Proteínas Bacterianas/metabolismo , beta-Lactamasas/genética , beta-Lactamasas/metabolismo , Carbapenémicos/farmacología , Imipenem/farmacología , Enterobacteriaceae Resistentes a los Carbapenémicos/genética , Porinas/genética , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana
5.
Int J Urol ; 30(1): 43-49, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36594525

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We report the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on urological surgeries and hospital policies at two hospitals in Japan and Taiwan. METHODS: We retrospectively surveyed the number of surgeries every 3 months in the Urology Department of Kobe University Hospital (KUH), Kobe, Japan before (January 2019-March 2020) and after (April 2020-September 2021) the COVID-19 outbreak, and in the Urology Department of Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University (SHH-TMU), Taiwan before (January 2021-March 2021) and after (April 2021-September 2021) the outbreak, and compared the averages and types of surgery. RESULTS: In Kobe, COVID-19 patients were stratified such that other regional hospitals gave priority to treating COVID-19 while KUH gave priority to treating non-COVID-19 patients. In KUH, the number of surgeries did not change significantly, 237.2 ± 29.6 versus 246.3 ± 20.8 (p = 0.453). In Taiwan COVID-19 patients increased sharply in May 2021, and teaching hospitals in Taiwan were obliged to provide 20% of their total beds for COVID-19 patients. At SHH-TMU, there was a 33.3% drop in the number of surgeries during April-June 2021 compared to the pre-pandemic average. However, no significant changes were observed, 423.4 ± 68.4 versus 373 ± 91.0 (p = 0.298), because of the subsequent success in controlling the COVID-19 infection. CONCLUSIONS: The comparison of infection control measures between the two countries revealed that while both KUH and SHH-TMU successfully maintained the number of surgeries, the reasons for this were different for each.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Pandemias/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Taiwán/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Japón/epidemiología , Hospitales Universitarios
6.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 3978, 2022 Jul 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35803937

RESUMEN

Over the past half a century, both the Indian Ocean (IO) and the North Atlantic Ocean (NA) exhibit strong warming trends like a global mean surface temperature (SST). Here, we show that not only simply as a result of increased greenhouse gases, but the IO-NA interaction through atmospheric teleconnection boosts up their warming trends. Climate model simulations demonstrate that the IO warming increases the NA SST by enhancing the longwave radiation through atmospheric teleconnection, subsequently, the warmer NA SST-induced atmospheric teleconnection leads to IO warming by reducing evaporative cooling with weakened surface winds. This two-way interaction (i.e., IO-NA warming chain) acts as positive feedback that reinforces warming over both ocean basins. The Pacific Ocean is partly involved in this warming chain as a modulator in an interdecadal timescale. These results highlight the importance of understanding ocean-basin interactions that may provide a more accurate future projection of warming.

7.
Pathog Dis ; 80(1)2022 08 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35878410

RESUMEN

Klebsiella pneumoniae is a typical pathogen in urinary tract infections (UTI), and the emergence of extended spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing strains has been frequently reported, accompanied by higher quinolone resistance rates. There are two major mechanisms of quinolone resistance, mutations in quinolone resistance-determining regions (QRDR) and the presence of the plasmid-mediated quinolone resistance (PMQR) genes. This study aimed to investigate quinolone resistance among 105 ESBL-producing K. pneumoniae specimens isolated from UTI patients in Indonesia. These were characterized for antimicrobial resistance to nalidixic acid, ciprofloxacin, and levofloxacin, QRDR mutations in gyrA and parC and the presence of PMQR genes. We found that 84.8% of the collected isolates were resistant to at least one of the quinolones. QRDR mutation in gyrA was observed in 49.5% of these strains and parC mutations in 61.0%. PMQR genes were identified in 84.8% of strains. The QRDR mutations clearly had a greater effect on resistance than the PMQR genes. In conclusion, we found high quinolone resistance rates in Indonesian ESBL-producing K. pneumoniae, in which QRDR mutation played a major role.


Asunto(s)
Quinolonas , Infecciones Urinarias , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Proteínas Bacterianas/genética , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Humanos , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Mutación , Plásmidos/genética , Quinolonas/farmacología , beta-Lactamasas/genética
8.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 11569, 2022 Jul 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35798931

RESUMEN

To investigate the response of the general circulation and global transport of heat through both atmosphere and ocean to two-types of carbon dioxide removal scenario, we performed an earth system model experiment in which we imposed a pulse-type quadrupling of CO2 forcing for 50 years and a gradual peak-and-decline of four-time CO2 forcing. We found that the results from two experiments are qualitatively similar to each other. During the forcing-on period, a dominant warming in the upper troposphere over the tropics and on the surface at high latitudes led to a slowdown in the Hadley circulation, but the poleward atmospheric energy transport was enhanced due to an increase in specific humidity. This counteracted the reduction in poleward oceanic energy transport owing to the suppression of the meridional overturning circulation in both Hemispheres. After returning the original CO2 level, the hemispheric thermal contrast was reversed, causing a southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone. To reduce the hemispheric thermal contrast, the northward energy transports in the atmosphere and ocean surface were enhanced while further weakening of the global-scale Atlantic meridional overturning circulation led to southward energy transport in the deep ocean.

9.
Kobe J Med Sci ; 67(4): E137-E142, 2022 Jan 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35368000

RESUMEN

The number of syphilis patients has significantly increased recently in Japan and worldwide. Previous reports, even in large institutions, may not accurately reflect the current situation in urological clinics. We therefore collected data from 11 urological clinics in Hyogo Prefecture, Japan over a 2-year period subdivided into 1) August 2016 to July 2017 and 2) August 2017 to July 2018 to compare changes in syphilis consults. We analyzed the patient data including a rapid plasma reagin test (RPR), Treponema pallidum (TP) antibody, clinical stage, therapy, and presence of Jarisch-Herxheimer reaction. In total, 45 patients presented for a first consultation, 22 in the first year and 23 in the second year. Almost all patients were male. Initial consolidation and hard chancre were the major symptoms. RPR values and TP antibody values did not change. The treatment period with amoxicillin was significantly longer in the first year (p = 0.006). A Jarisch-Herxheimer reaction was seen in 13.6% in the first year and 60.9% in the second year (p = 0.001). The duration of antibiotic treatments was more likely to be based on the guidelines for antibiotic use in the second year, but Jarisch-Herxheimer reactions increased. Further follow-up including recurrent patients is necessary to draw definitive conclusions.


Asunto(s)
Sífilis , Antibacterianos/efectos adversos , Fiebre , Humanos , Japón , Masculino , Sífilis/inducido químicamente , Sífilis/diagnóstico , Sífilis/tratamiento farmacológico
10.
Urol Int ; 106(7): 722-729, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35066505

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: We retrospectively investigated the risk factors for post-urodynamic study (UDS) infectious complications in long-term hospitalized inpatients with suspected neurogenic lower urinary tract disturbance (NLUTD) in a monocenter study, to accurately assess post-UDS urinary tract infections (UTI). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data including background information, UDS-related data, and potential risk factors for infection from 489 NLUTD-suspected inpatients who underwent UDS from 2015 to 2019 and examined the risk factors for post-UDS infectious complications using univariate and multivariate statistical analyses. RESULTS: Symptomatic post-UDS UTI occurred in 20 out of 489 (4.1%) patients, including 3 (15%) with recurrent UTI. During follow-up prior to UDS for 1 year, 220 cases were investigated by urine culture revealing Escherichia coli (n = 77), Klebsiella pneumoniae (n = 29), Enterococcus faecalis (n = 18), extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing E. coli (n = 17), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (n = 9). As risk factors for post-UDS infectious complications, American Spinal Injury Association impairment scale (AIS): AIS ≧ C (A or B or C) (hazard ratio: 4.29, p = 0.0076), management method of urination (hazard ratio: 4.30, p = 0.048), and age (hazard ratio: 1.04, p = 0.025) were significantly correlated with the occurrence of post-UDS infection. CONCLUSIONS: The significant risk factors for post-UDS UTI were AIS ≧ C, management method of urination, and age in the suspected NLUTD patient context. This study was originally started with the goal of reducing unnecessary antibiotics and may contribute to the proper use of antibiotics based on antimicrobial stewardship.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Urinarias , Sistema Urinario , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Escherichia coli , Fiebre/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones Urinarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Urodinámica
11.
Am J Infect Control ; 50(6): 668-672, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34736991

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial prescriptions are relatively common in urologic outpatients. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate the impact of antimicrobial stewardship program (ASP) interventions. METHODS: In urology outpatients, antimicrobial use density (AUD), antimicrobial agent costs, isolation of urinary tract infection (UTI)-causing organisms and their antimicrobial susceptibilities were compared between intervention by infection control team (ICT) era (pre-2014) and ASP era (post-2014) in 2739 patients with lower urinary tract symptoms, including neurogenic bladder patients with UTI or suspected UTI, from 2011 to 2020. RESULTS: In the ASP, overall AUD (P<.001), cefotiam (CTM) (P=.0013), 2nd-generation cephalosporins (P=.026), cefdinir (CFDN) (P<.001), levofloxacin (LVFX) (P<.001), sitafloxacin (STFX) (P=.0016), and tosufloxacin (TFLX) (P=.0044) showed a significant decrease, but cefaclor (P=.019) showed a significant increase. Regarding antimicrobial agent costs, overall (P=.016), CTM (P=.021), 2nd-generation cephalosporins (P=.033), CFDN (P=.016), LVFX (P=.016), STFX (P=.033), and TFLX (P=.033) showed a significant decrease in the ASP. UTI-causing antimicrobial susceptibilities, CTM (P=.035), LVFX (P=.026) and sulfamethoxazole/trimethoprim (P=.048) in E. coli, and minocycline (P=.026) in K. pneumoniae showed a significant improve in the ASP. CONCLUSION: ASP contributed to decrease AUD and antimicrobial agent costs, and to improve antimicrobial susceptibilities of E. coli and K. pneumoniae to several antibiotics, compared to ICT. Further prospective studies are necessary for definitive conclusions.


Asunto(s)
Antiinfecciosos , Programas de Optimización del Uso de los Antimicrobianos , Vejiga Urinaria Neurogénica , Infecciones Urinarias , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Antiinfecciosos/uso terapéutico , Cefalosporinas/uso terapéutico , Escherichia coli , Humanos , Control de Infecciones , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Levofloxacino/uso terapéutico , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vejiga Urinaria Neurogénica/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Urinarias/diagnóstico , Infecciones Urinarias/tratamiento farmacológico
12.
Kobe J Med Sci ; 66(4): E149-E152, 2021 Jan 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33994518

RESUMEN

We treated an 85-year-old man with an abscess perforating into the retroperitoneal space from the sigmoid colon, with retroperitoneal drainage combined with antibiotics. CT showed no abscess formation in the intraperitoneal space. The patient consulted a doctor with a chief complaint of left-side low back pain and fever. He was first diagnosed with bacteremia due to Escherichia coli and close examination by CT revealed a retroperitoneal abscess. On referral to our hospital, we determined by CT that the cause of abscess formation was perforation of the intestine into the retroperitoneal space and spreading into the psoas muscle compartment. We then performed colostomy and abscess drainage through the retroperitoneal space to prevent the abscess disseminating into the intraperitoneal space. The abscess and necrotic tissue cultures were polymicrobial, including Enterobacteriaceae and Bacteroides spp. The abscess almost disappeared after drainage, and the patient's general condition gradually improved. The retroperitoneal abscess did not relapse by follow-up CT. In conclusion, this rare case presented with perforation of the intestine (Sigmoid colon) disseminated only to the retroperitoneal space without no intraperitoneal space abscess formation. We performed drainage only by a retroperitoneal approach without entering the intraperitoneal space.


Asunto(s)
Absceso Abdominal/microbiología , Absceso/microbiología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Coinfección/diagnóstico , Coinfección/terapia , Colon Sigmoide/lesiones , Drenaje/métodos , Perforación Intestinal/complicaciones , Espacio Retroperitoneal/microbiología , Absceso Abdominal/diagnóstico , Absceso Abdominal/etiología , Absceso Abdominal/cirugía , Absceso/complicaciones , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Bacteroides , Coinfección/microbiología , Colon Sigmoide/patología , Colostomía , Enterobacteriaceae , Escherichia coli , Fiebre/etiología , Humanos , Perforación Intestinal/diagnóstico , Perforación Intestinal/cirugía , Masculino , Espacio Retroperitoneal/diagnóstico por imagen , Espacio Retroperitoneal/cirugía , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Resultado del Tratamiento
13.
Int J Urol ; 28(6): 623-628, 2021 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33811389

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To compare antibiotic susceptibilities between chromosomal and plasmid blaCTX-M-15 locations in urinary tract infection-causing extended-spectrum ß-lactamases-producing Escherichia coli blaCTX-M-15 isolated in Indonesia. METHODS: A total of 84 strains identified as extended-spectrum ß-lactamases-producing E. coli were isolated from patients with urinary tract infection in Indonesia in 2015. Antimicrobial susceptibility tests were performed on these strains using 18 antibiotics, and extended-spectrum ß-lactamase bla genes were detected by polymerase chain reaction. Gene localization of blaCTX-M-15 -positive strains was confirmed by Southern blot hybridization, and epidemiological typing was conducted using multilocus sequence typing. RESULTS: Of 54 strains harboring the blaCTX-M-15 gene, 27 showed localization on chromosome, 20 on plasmid, and seven on chromosome and plasmid. Most multilocus sequence typing sequence types of the 27 strains with chromosomal blaCTX-M-15 were ST405 (25.9%) and ST131 (22.2%) strains, whereas the 20 strains with plasmid-blaCTX-M-15 were mostly ST410 (55.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Extended-spectrum ß-lactamases-producing E. coli blaCTX-M-15 with plasmid genes show significantly higher resistant rates against piperacillin-tazobactam but lower resistant rates against chloramphenicol compared to chromosomal strains in Indonesian patients with urinary tract infection. Mechanistic investigations will be necessary to advance our knowledge of antimicrobial resistance in urinary tract infection.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Infecciones Urinarias , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Cromosomas , Escherichia coli/genética , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Indonesia/epidemiología , Plásmidos/genética , Infecciones Urinarias/tratamiento farmacológico , beta-Lactamasas/genética
14.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 1495, 2021 03 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33674601

RESUMEN

El Niño profoundly impacts precipitation in high-population regions. This demands an advanced understanding of the changes in El Niño-induced precipitation under the future global warming scenario. However, thus far, consensus is lacking regarding future changes in mid-latitude precipitation influenced by El Niño. Here, by analyzing the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project simulations, we show that future precipitation changes are tightly linked to the response of each type of El Niño to the tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature (SST) change. A La Niña-like mean SST change intensifies basin-wide El Niño events causing approximately 20% more precipitation over East Asia and North America via enhancing moisture transport. Meanwhile, an El Niño-like mean SST change generates more frequent eastern Pacific El Niño events, enhancing precipitation in North American. Our findings highlight the importance of the mean SST projection in selectively influencing the types of El Niño and their remote impact on precipitation.

15.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 11(1)2021 Dec 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35052909

RESUMEN

Imipenemase-6 (IMP-6) type carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae is regarded as dangerous due to its unique lack of antimicrobial susceptibility. It is resistant to meropenem (MEPM) but susceptible to imipenem (IPM). In addition to carbapenemase, outer membrane porins and efflux pumps also play roles in carbapenem resistance by reducing the antimicrobial concentration inside cells. Extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) is transmitted with IMP-6 by the plasmid and broadens the spectrum of antimicrobial resistance. We collected 42 strains of IMP-6-producing Escherichia coli and conducted a molecular analysis of carbapenemase, ESBL, porin, efflux, and epidemiological characteristics using plasmid replicon typing. Among the 42 isolates, 21 strains were susceptible to IPM (50.0%) and 1 (2.4%) to MEPM. Seventeen strains (40.5%) co-produced CTX-M-2 type ESBL. We found that the relative expression of ompC and ompF significantly correlated with the MIC of IPM (p = 0.01 and p = 0.03, respectively). Sixty-eight% of CTX-M-2-non-producing strains had IncI1, which was significantly different from CTX-M-2-producing strains (p < 0.001). In conclusion, 50.0% of our IMP-6-producing strains were non-susceptible to IPM, which is different from the typical pattern and can be attributed to decreased porin expression. Further studies investigating other types of carbapenemase are warranted.

16.
Natl Sci Rev ; 7(7): 1190-1197, 2020 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34692143

RESUMEN

Observational analysis shows that there is a predominant global-scale multidecadal variability (GMV) of sea-surface temperature (SST). Its horizontal pattern resembles that of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) in the Pacific and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) in the Atlantic Ocean, which could affect global precipitation and temperature over the globe. Here, we demonstrate that the GMV could be driven by the AMO through atmospheric teleconnections and atmosphere-ocean coupling processes. Observations reveal a strong negative correlation when AMO leads GMV by approximately 4-8 years. Pacemaker experiments using a climate model driven by observed AMO signals reveal that the tropical Atlantic warm SST anomalies of AMO initiate anomalous cooling in the equatorial central-eastern Pacific through atmospheric teleconnections. Anticyclonic anomalies in the North and South Pacific induce equatorward winds along the coasts of North and South America, contributing to further cooling. The upper-ocean dynamics plays a minor role in GMV formation but contributes to a delayed response of the IPO to the AMO forcing. The possible impact of the GMV on AMO was also tested by prescribing only Pacific SST in the model; however, the model could not reproduce the observed phase relationship between the AMO and the GMV. These results support the hypothesis that the Atlantic Ocean plays a key role in the multidecadal variability of global SST.

17.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(45): 22512-22517, 2019 11 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31636177

RESUMEN

El Niño's intensity change under anthropogenic warming is of great importance to society, yet current climate models' projections remain largely uncertain. The current classification of El Niño does not distinguish the strong from the moderate El Niño events, making it difficult to project future change of El Niño's intensity. Here we classify 33 El Niño events from 1901 to 2017 by cluster analysis of the onset and amplification processes, and the resultant 4 types of El Niño distinguish the strong from the moderate events and the onset from successive events. The 3 categories of El Niño onset exhibit distinct development mechanisms. We find El Niño onset regime has changed from eastern Pacific origin to western Pacific origin with more frequent occurrence of extreme events since the 1970s. This regime change is hypothesized to arise from a background warming in the western Pacific and the associated increased zonal and vertical sea-surface temperature (SST) gradients in the equatorial central Pacific, which reveals a controlling factor that could lead to increased extreme El Niño events in the future. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models' projections demonstrate that both the frequency and intensity of the strong El Niño events will increase significantly if the projected central Pacific zonal SST gradients become enhanced. If the currently observed background changes continue under future anthropogenic forcing, more frequent strong El Niño events are anticipated. The models' uncertainty in the projected equatorial zonal SST gradients, however, remains a major roadblock for faithful prediction of El Niño's future changes.

18.
Sci Rep ; 9(1): 15478, 2019 Oct 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31664057

RESUMEN

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) and Himalayas have been treated as an essential external factor in shaping Asian monsoon and mid-latitude atmospheric circulation. In this study we perform numerical experiments with different uplift altitudes using the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model to examine potential impacts of uplift of the TP and Himalayas on eastward propagation of the MJO and the associated mechanisms. Analysis of experimental results with dynamics-based MJO diagnostics indicates two potential mechanisms. First, the uplift considerably enhances low-level mean westerlies in the Indian Ocean and convection in the Maritime Continent, which in turn strengthens boundary layer moisture convergence (BLMC) to the east of the MJO convective center. The increased BLMC reinforces upward transport of moisture and heat from BL to free atmosphere and increases lower tropospheric diabatic heating by shallow and congestus clouds ahead of the MJO center, enhancing the Kelvin-Rossby wave feedback. Second, the uplift increases upper tropospheric mean easterlies and stratiform heating at the west of the MJO center, which contributes to eastward propagation of MJO by generating positive moist static energy at the east of MJO center. This study will contribute to a better understanding of the origin of the MJO and improvement in simulation of MJO propagation.

19.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 22(3): 730-7, 2015 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25681260

RESUMEN

In the United States, International Classification of Disease Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM, the ninth revision) diagnosis codes are commonly used to identify patient cohorts and to conduct financial analyses related to disease. In October 2015, the healthcare system of the United States will transition to ICD-10-CM (the tenth revision) diagnosis codes. One challenge posed to clinical researchers and other analysts is conducting diagnosis-related queries across datasets containing both coding schemes. Further, healthcare administrators will manage growth, trends, and strategic planning with these dually-coded datasets. The majority of the ICD-9-CM to ICD-10-CM translations are complex and nonreciprocal, creating convoluted representations and meanings. Similarly, mapping back from ICD-10-CM to ICD-9-CM is equally complex, yet different from mapping forward, as relationships are likewise nonreciprocal. Indeed, 10 of the 21 top clinical categories are complex as 78% of their diagnosis codes are labeled as "convoluted" by our analyses. Analysis and research related to external causes of morbidity, injury, and poisoning will face the greatest challenges due to 41 745 (90%) convolutions and a decrease in the number of codes. We created a web portal tool and translation tables to list all ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes related to the specific input of ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes and their level of complexity: "identity" (reciprocal), "class-to-subclass," "subclass-to-class," "convoluted," or "no mapping." These tools provide guidance on ambiguous and complex translations to reveal where reports or analyses may be challenging to impossible.Web portal: http://www.lussierlab.org/transition-to-ICD9CM/Tables annotated with levels of translation complexity: http://www.lussierlab.org/publications/ICD10to9.


Asunto(s)
Codificación Clínica/métodos , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades , Humanos , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades/economía , Internet , Estados Unidos
20.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 22(1): 19-28, 2015 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25186492

RESUMEN

Reporting of hospital adverse events relies on Patient Safety Indicators (PSIs) using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes. The US transition to ICD-10-CM in 2015 could result in erroneous comparisons of PSIs. Using the General Equivalent Mappings (GEMs), we compared the accuracy of ICD-9-CM coded PSIs against recommended ICD-10-CM codes from the Centers for Medicaid/Medicare Services (CMS). We further predict their impact in a cohort of 38,644 patients (1,446,581 visits and 399 hospitals). We compared the predicted results to the published PSI related ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes. We provide the first report of substantial hospital safety reporting errors with five direct comparisons from the 23 types of PSIs (transfusion and anesthesia related PSIs). One PSI was excluded from the comparison between code sets due to reorganization, while 15 additional PSIs were inaccurate to a lesser degree due to the complexity of the coding translation. The ICD-10-CM translations proposed by CMS pose impending risks for (1) comparing safety incidents, (2) inflating the number of PSIs, and (3) increasing the variability of calculations attributable to the abundance of coding system translations. Ethical organizations addressing 'data-, process-, and system-focused' improvements could be penalized using the new ICD-10-CM Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality PSIs because of apparent increases in PSIs bearing the same PSI identifier and label, yet calculated differently. Here we investigate which PSIs would reliably transition between ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM, and those at risk of under-reporting and over-reporting adverse events while the frequency of these adverse events remain unchanged.


Asunto(s)
Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades , Seguridad del Paciente , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Humanos , Informática Médica
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