The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in preventing hospitalisation and mortality: A nationwide cross-sectional study in Iran.

Background: The pandemic of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) led to a global health crisis, prompting widespread vaccination efforts to reduce severe outcomes. In this study, we assessed the impact of mass COVID-19 vaccination on hospitalisation and mortality rates in Iran, where over 83% of the vaccinated population received inactivated virus vaccines. Methods: Using retrospective, cross-sectional analysis, we examined data from the Iran Health Insurance Organisation, covering 41 million individuals from 20 February 2020 to 20 March 2022. We analysed hospital records from 956 Iranian hospitals, focusing on inpatient stays, short-term hospitalisations, and emergency department visits. Study outcomes included COVID-19 hospital admissions and associated mortality. We used negative binomial regression to compare hospital admission rates between periods, while we used a poison regression model with a log link to assess mortality risks before and after vaccination. Results: Among 806 076 hospital admissions, 57 599 deaths were recorded. COVID-19 hospitalisations increased with age, and women had slightly higher admission rates than men. Advanced age and male sex correlated with higher mortality rates. Hospital admissions rose to 1178.66 per million population per month post-vaccination compared to 459.78 pre-vaccination. The incidence rate ratio was 2.09 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.90-2.32, P < 0.001), mainly due to the Delta variant. In contrast, post-vaccination mortality rates decreased from 111.33 to 51.66 per 1000 admissions per month. Post-vaccination, COVID-19 mortality significantly decreased, with a relative risk being 0.61 (95% CI = 0.60-0.62, P < 0.001) across all age groups and sexes. Conclusions: The Delta variant increased hospital admissions among vaccinated individuals, but widespread vaccination significantly reduced COVID-19-related mortality.

Asymmetric dimethylarginine serum concentration in normal weight and obese CKD patients treated with hemodialysis.

INTRODUCTION: Asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA), a cardiovascular risk factor, increases in renal failure. The aim of this study was to investigate ADMA levels in normal weight and obese patients on hemodialysis. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 43 normal weight and 43 obese patients on regular hemodialysis were examined. Malnutrition-inflammation score (MIS), anthropometry, circulating ADMA, lipid profiles including triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and lipid ratios, glucose homeostasis parameters, blood pressure, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were assessed. RESULTS: Serum levels of ADMA were significantly lower in the obese compared to the normal weight patients (10268.2 ± 10092.4 vs. 13765.2 ± 9951.3 ng/l, P = 0.03). At the same time MIS score (6.1 ± 2.4 vs. 10.7 ± 3.2, P < 0.001), systolic blood pressure (119 ± 26.8 vs. 134.2 ± 24.7 mmHg, P = 0.018) and mean arterial pressure (91.3 ± 18.6 vs. 100.9 ± 15.9 mmHg, P = 0.028) were significantly lower in the obese than the normal weight group. Fasting blood glucose (P = 0.045), TG/HDL (P = 0.03), TC/HDL (P = 0.019), and LDL/HDL (P = 0.005) ratios, and hs-CRP (P = 0.015) levels were significantly higher in the obese than in the normal weight group. CONCLUSION: Circulating ADMA was significantly lower in obese than in normal weight patients on hemodialysis, which was concomitant with lower MIS, indicating a better nutritional inflammatory status, and lower blood pressure.

Spectral-domain OCT characteristics of intraretinal hyper-reflective foci associated with age-related macular degeneration and diabetic retinopathy.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to quantitatively analyze and compare OCT characteristics of intraretinal hyper-reflective foci (IHRF) in eyes with diabetic retinopathy (DR) versus age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: a retrospective observational study. PARTICIPANTS: 54 treatment-naïve eyes (27 DR and 27 AMD). METHODS: The IHRF lesions in OCT B-scan were semi-automatically segmented. Mean reflectivity (MR), maximum diameter, circularity index (Cir), area, and the angle between the greatest linear dimension (GLD) and the horizontal were computed for each IHRF lesion. The presence and absence of a posterior shadow and the axial location were assessed. The MR was normalized using the vitreous and nerve fiber layer reflectance as dark and bright reference standards, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1149 IHRF (1051 in DR and 98 in the AMD group) were identified, with a mean of 39 ± 36 lesions in DR eyes compared to only 4 ± 4 in AMD eyes (p < 0.001). The mean area of individual IHRF lesions was greater in DR eyes (1305 ± 1647 µm² vs 1031 ± 750 µm²; p = 0.016), but IHRF in AMD eyes had higher reflectivity (1.17 ± 0.14 vs 1.03 ± 0.17; p < 0.001). The angle of the GLD relative to the horizontal was greater in AMD eyes, indicating that IHRF in AMD eyes were more horizontally oriented. In AMD eyes, 88.8% of IHRF were located beneath the inner border of the outer nuclear layer (ONL), while in DR eyes, 56.9% were located there (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: IHRF lesions in eyes with DR and AMD demonstrate significant differences, with IHRF in DR eyes tending to be larger and less hyper-reflective compared to AMD eyes.

Laser hair removal complications and the associated risk factors at a tertiary dermatology center: a case-control study.

Laser hair removal (LHR) has been established as a safe and efficient method for eliminating unwanted hair. This study aimed to investigate the frequency of LHR complications and assess the contributing factors. During one year, 16,900 patients undergoing LHR therapy were evaluated for complications. For each case, two external controls were selected (matched based on age, sex, Fitzpatrick skin type (FST) III-IV, and the treated anatomical region). To assess the impact of anatomical region on complication occurrence, each patient was used as their internal control if another area was treated during the same session. GEE analysis was used for statistical analysis.The incidence of LHR complications was calculated to be 0.69%. The most common complications were petechia, purpura, and ecchymosis (31.66%) followed by pigmentation changes (20.0%). LHR complications were most commonly observed in the lower limbs (32.0%), face and neck (23.3%), and genitalia and thighs (22.3%), respectively. Possible risk factors were younger age (OR = 0.74, P-value ≤ 0.001), operating LHR in the head and neck (OR = 5.8, P-value = 0.022), utilization of the alexandrite laser (OR = 2.32, P-value = 0.011), and fluence in the Alexandrite laser (OR = 3.47, P-value = 0.003).Overall, the results of this study indicate that LHR is generally a safe method for removing unwanted hair. However, factors such as younger age, treatment of the facial area, and use of the alexandrite laser especially with higher fluence levels in patients with FST III-IV were identified as potential risk factors.

Effect of nano-curcumin supplementation on cardiometabolic risk factors, physical and psychological quality of life, and depression in patients with coronary slow flow phenomenon: a randomized double-blind clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Extensive evidence has suggested the cardio-protective properties of the polyphenol curcumin. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of a highly bioavailable curcumin supplement on cardiometabolic risk factors, health-related quality of life, and depression in patients with coronary slow flow phenomenon (CSFP). METHODS: This randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial was conducted in 42 patients with CSFP (age 35-70 years, 25 ≤ body mass index < 40 kg/m2). Patients received either 80 mg/day nano-curcumin or placebo for 12 weeks. Serum levels of visfatin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and glycemic indices were measured before and after the intervention. The short form 36-item quality of life (SF-36) and Beck's Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) questionnaires were assessed, as well. RESULTS: No significant improvements were observed in circulating hs-CRP and visfatin following the intervention. A significant increase was observed in pre- to post-fasting blood glucose (- 0.9 ± 12.2 vs. 7.7 ± 12.4 mg/dl, p = 0.02) and hemoglobin A1C (- 0.1 ± 0.8 vs. 0.5 ± 0.8%, p = 0.04) levels, in the placebo compared with the intervention group. Physical (8.2 ± 8.1 vs. - 1.2 ± 6.5, p < 0.001) and mental (6.8 ± 11.8 vs. - 1.1 ± 10.4, p = 0.02) component summary scores were significantly improved in the nano-curcumin than the placebo group. Additionally, the number of patients with lower degrees of depression was significantly better in the intervention than the placebo group following the supplementation (p = 0.046). CONCLUSION: Curcumin supplementation prevented deterioration of glycemic control and improved physical and psychological quality of life and depression in patients with CSFP. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials (IRCT20131125015536N8), June 19, 2019.

Effect of orbital decompression surgery on the choroidal profile in patients with thyroid eye disease.

This study aimed to investigate the effect of orbital wall decompression surgery and reduction of proptosis on the choroidal vascularity index (CVI) and subfoveal choroidal thickness (SFCT) in patients with thyroid eye disease (TED). Fifty-one eyes from 38 patients with controlled TED and proptosis were enrolled in this study. The majority of the patients (50.9%) had a clinical activity score (CAS) of zero, and none had a CAS greater than 2. The patients underwent a complete baseline ophthalmologic examination, and their choroidal profile alterations were monitored using enhanced depth imaging optical coherence tomography (EDI-OCT) before and during the three months after surgery. Changes in SFCT, luminance area (LA), total choroidal area (TCA), and the choroidal vascularity index (CVI) were measured as the ratio of LA to TCA in EDI-OCT images. The participants had an average age of 46.47 years, and 22 were female (57.9%). The SFCT of the patients exhibited a significant reduction over the follow-up period, decreasing from 388 ± 103 to 355 ± 95 µm in the first month (p < 0.001) and further decreasing to 342 ± 109 µm by the third month compared to baseline (p < 0.001). The CVI exhibited a drop from 0.685 ± 0.037 at baseline to 0.682 ± 0.035 and 0.675 ± 0.030 at 1 and 3 months post-surgery, respectively. However, these changes were not statistically significant, indicating comparable decreases in both LA and TCA. There was a significant correlation between improved proptosis and reduction in SFCT (p < 0.001) but not with CVI (p = 0.171). In conclusion, during the three months of follow-up following orbital wall decompression, CVI did not change, while SFCT reduced significantly. Additionally, SFCT was significantly correlated with proptosis reduction, whereas CVI was not.

Distribution and prevalence of refractive error in Iranian adult population results of the PERSIAN eye cohort study PECS.

The Persian Eye Cohort Study, a population-based cross-sectional study from 2015 to 2020, examined refractive error prevalence among 48,618 Iranian adults aged 31 to 70. The study encompassed six centers in Iran, employing random cluster sampling for demographic, medical, and socioeconomic data collection through interviews. Ophthalmic exams included visual acuity, automated and manual objective refraction, subjective refraction, slit lamp, and fundus examinations. Using the spherical equivalent definition, the sample population was categorized into groups. Results indicated a mean age of 49.52 ± 9.31 and a mean refractive error of 0.26 diopters (D) ± 1.6 SD (95% CI - 0.27 to -0.24), ranging from -26.1 to + 18.5 SD. Prevalence of myopia (< -0.5D) and hyperopia (> + 0.5D) was 22.6% (95% CI 22.2-23%) and 12.5% (95% CI 12.1-12.8%), respectively. Regarding different age groups, the prevalence of hyperopia and astigmatism exhibited a steady and significant rise with increasing age (p-value < 0.001 for both). The prevalence of Myopia, however, showed a distinctive pattern, initially increasing in adults under 45, declining in those aged 55-64, and rising again among individuals aged 60 and older. Female gender, older age, urban residency, higher education, higher income, and Fars ethnicity were significantly related to a higher prevalence of myopia (p-value < 0.001 for all). Female gender (p-value < 0.001), aging (p-value < 0.001), urban residency (p-value = 0.029), and lower-income (p-value = 0.005) were significantly related to higher prevalence of hyperopia. Astigmatism (> 1D) was prevalent in 25.5% of participants (95% CI 25.1-25.9%) and correlated with male gender, aging, urban residency, illiteracy, and higher income (p-value < 0.001, < 0.001, < 0.001, < 0.001, 0.014, respectively). The study's comparison with regional and international surveys highlighted the increase in myopia among those over 65 due to higher nuclear cataract rates in older adults. Myopia positively related to education, income, and urban residency, while hyperopia did not exhibit such associations.

Development and validation of a healthy diet and physical activity tool based on health action process approach among patients undergone bariatric surgery.

Background: The purpose of this study was to develop and evaluate the validity and reliability of a healthy diet and physical activity assessment tool among patients one year after bariatric surgery based on Health Action Process Approach. Methods: We compiled 53 items based on healthy diet and physical activity behaviors among patients undergone bariatric surgery through reviewing the literature. Using quantitative and qualitative methods, and a panel of experts, we evaluated the face and content validities of the tool. The reliability was evaluated by Intra-class correlation coefficient and Cronbach's alpha. Results: The content validity ratio and the content validity index were 0.62 and 0.79, respectively. Exploratory factor analysis showed seven factors, including risk perception, outcome expectations, task self-efficacy, coping, recovery self-efficacy, action planning, coping planning, and behavioral intentions. The Intra-class correlation coefficient was between 0.8 and 0.91; and Cronbach's alpha for different constructs was between 0.8 and 0.95. Conclusion: The findings showed that the constructs of the Health Action Process Approach tool regarding healthy diet and physical activity had adequate validity and reliability in bariatric surgery patients.

Occupational exposure, carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk assessment of formaldehyde in the pathology labs of hospitals in Iran.

Formaldehyde, a known carcinogenic compound, is commonly used in various medical settings. The objective of this study was to assess the carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks associated with occupational exposure to formaldehyde. This study was conducted in the pathology labs of four hospitals in Tehran. Cancer and non-cancer risks were evaluated using the quantitative risk assessment method proposed by the United States environmental protection agency (USEPA), along with its provided database known as the integrated risk information system (IRIS). Respiratory symptoms were assessed using the American thoracic society (ATS) questionnaire. The results indicated that 91.23% of exposure levels in occupational groups exceed the NIOSH standard of 0.016 ppm. Regarding carcinogenic risk, 41.03% of all the studied subjects were in the definite carcinogenic risk range (LCR > 10-4), 23.08% were in the possible carcinogenic risk range (10-5 < LCR < 10-4), and 35.90% were in the negligible risk range (LCR < 10-6). The highest index of occupational carcinogenesis was observed in the group of lab technicians with a risk number of 3.7 × 10-4, followed by pathologists with a risk number of 1.7 × 10-4. Furthermore, 23.08% of the studied subjects were within the permitted health risk range (HQ < 1.0), while 76.92% were within the unhealthy risk range (HQ > 1.0). Overall, the findings revealed significantly higher carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks among lab technicians and pathologists. Therefore, it is imperative to implement control measures across various hospital departments to mitigate occupational formaldehyde exposure levels proactively. These findings can be valuable for policymakers in the health sector, aiding in the elimination or reduction of airborne formaldehyde exposure in work environments.

Prediction of substantial closed-globe injuries in orbital wall fractures.

PURPOSE: To determine risk factors for substantial closed-globe injuries in orbital fractures (SCGI) and to develop the best multivariate model for the prediction of SCGI. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed on patients diagnosed with orbital fractures at Farabi Hospital between 2016 and 2022. Patients with a comprehensive ophthalmologic examination and orbital CT scan were included. Predictive signs or imaging findings for SCGI were identified by logistic regression (LR) analysis. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest regression (RFR), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were also trained using a fivefold cross-validation method. RESULTS: A total of 415 eyes from 403 patients were included. Factors associated with an increased risk of SCGI were reduced uncorrected visual acuity (UCVA), increased difference between UCVA of the traumatic eye from the contralateral eye, older age, male sex, grade of periorbital soft tissue trauma, trauma in the occupational setting, conjunctival hemorrhage, extraocular movement restriction, number of fractured walls, presence of medial wall fracture, size of fracture, intraorbital emphysema and retrobulbar hemorrhage. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic for LR, SVM, RFR, and XGBoost for the prediction of SCGI was 57.2%, 68.8%, 63.7%, and 73.1%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical and radiographic findings could be utilized to efficiently predict SCGI. XGBoost outperforms the logistic regression model in the prediction of SCGI and could be incorporated into clinical practice.

Effect of nano-curcumin supplementation on angina status, and traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors in overweight or obese patients with coronary slow flow phenomenon: a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular events and poor quality of life are frequently observed in patients with coronary slow flow phenomenon (CSFP). This trial evaluated the effect of nano-curcumin supplement containing curcuminoids, as multifunctional nutraceuticals, on angina status, and some traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors in overweight or obese patients with CSFP. METHODS: In this double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial, 42 overweight or obese patients with CSFP received either 80 mg/day of nano-curcumin or placebo for 12 weeks. Seattle angina questionnaire (SAQ) as a clinical measure of angina status, circulating endocan, adropin, homocysteine, lipid profile, and the novel scores of visceral adiposity index (VAI) and waist-triglyceride index (WTI) were assessed before and after the intervention. The independent samples t-test, Mann-Whitney test, analysis of covariance, Chi-square, and Fisher's exact tests were used where appropriate. RESULTS: All domains of SAQ including physical limitation, angina stability, angina frequency-severity, treatment satisfaction, and disease perception and quality of life improved significantly in the nano-curcumin compared with the placebo group. No significant changes were observed in serum endocan, adropin, and homocysteine following the intervention. Triglycerides, triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, WTI and VAI values improved significantly only within the nano-curcumin group. CONCLUSIONS: Supplementation with 80 mg/day nano-curcumin (containing curcuminoids) for 12 weeks significantly improved clinically important disease-specific aspects of health in patients with CSFP. Some traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors improved significantly only compared with the baseline values, which need further investigation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Tehran University of Medical Sciences (IR.TUMS.VCR.REC.1398.794). The study protocol was registered at Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials by IRCT20131125015536N8 registration ID at 19.06.2019.

Short-Term Effects of Adding Topical Ketorolac to Intravitreal Bevacizumab in Diabetic Macular Edema: A Crossover Randomized Clinical Trial.

Purpose: To evaluate the short-term additive effects of topical ketorolac to intravitreal bevacizumab (IVB) in the management of center-involved diabetic macular edema (CI-DME). Methods: In a randomized double-masked placebo-controlled crossover clinical trial, eyes with CI-DME and the best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) between (20/40) and (20/400) were included. These eyes should have had at least one intravitreal anti-VEGF injection in the preceding two months. They were randomized into two groups; while both groups received two IVB injections with a six-week interval, one group received topical ketorolac every 6 hr in the first interval and artificial tears every 6 hr as a placebo in the second interval and the other group received the same medications using a crossover method. The main outcome measures were changes in BCVA and central macular thickness (CMT). Results: Fifty-seven eyes of 35 patients with CI-DME were included in the study. The mean BCVA improvement was -0.09 ± 0.47 logMAR in the periods of receiving ketorolac and -0.03 ± 0.12 logMAR in the periods of placebo treatment, respectively (P = 0.99). Corresponding changes in CMT were -13.1 ± 170.1 and +11.7 ± 157.7 µm in the ketorolac and placebo periods, respectively (P = 0.322). The treatment effect was not statistically significant regarding both BCVA and CMT changes. Statistical analysis also disclosed that the carryover effect was insignificant for BCVA and CMT. Although the period effect was not significant for BCVA, it was at a meaningful level for CMT changes (P = 0.012). Conclusion: This crossover clinical trial demonstrated that in the course of DME treatment with IVB injections, topical ketorolac did not have any additive beneficial effect at least during a six-week period.

The effect of thyme essential oil and endothelial progenitor stem cells on lipopolysaccharide-induced sepsis in C57BL/6 mice.

Sepsis is a potentially fatal syndrome related to severe systemic inflammation developed by infection. Despite different antimicrobial therapies, morbidity and mortality rates remain high. Herbs along with cell therapy have been introduced as a promising option to improve the symptoms of sepsis. The present study aimed to evaluate the therapeutic effect of simultaneous administration of thyme essential oil (TEO) and endothelial progenitor stem cells (EPCs) on lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced sepsis in C57BL/6 mice. Sepsis was induced in C57Bl/6J mice by intraperitoneal injection of LPS, followed 2 h later by an intravenous injection of EPCs or oral administration of TEO or simultaneous administration of TEO and EPCs. After 10 days, the complete blood cell, renal and liver factors, serum levels of inflammatory cytokines, and angiogenic factors were measured. Simultaneous treatment with EPCs and TEO significantly increased the survival of mice with sepsis and modulated the inflammatory response by reducing the serum levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines. Moreover, this treatment significantly reduced the level of white blood cells and neutrophils and increased the number of red blood cells, the percentage of hematocrit, and hemoglobin. The combination of TEO with EPCs decreased organ injuries and was assessed by lower levels of the liver enzymes alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase compared to the sepsis group. Administration of EPCs and TEO also significantly improved angiogenic factors, lung function, and toll-like receptor 4 expression. EPCs in combination with TEO increase survival in the LPS-induced sepsis mice model by acting on several targets. Thus, the combination of TEO with EPCs can be a feasible approach for the future clinical treatment and control of sepsis.

Uveal melanoma in the Iranian population: two decades of patient management in a tertiary eye center.

BACKGROUND: To assess the characteristics and outcomes of uveal melanoma management at a tertiary center in the Middle East. METHODS: A study on 164 patients with uveal melanoma was conducted by reviewing the available medical records, ultrasound, and pathology report results. Age at diagnosis, tumor location and size, treatment mode, visual outcome, metastasis, mortality, and survival were studied. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 52.0 ± 15.0 years, and 52.5% were male. Choroidal melanoma was the most common uveal melanoma, followed by the ciliary body and iris melanoma. The mean thickness of tumors was 8.29 ± 3.29. The majority of patients (n = 111, 67.9%) were managed by brachytherapy with ruthenium-106 plaques. Enucleation was performed primarily in 46 (28%) patients and secondarily in nine (5.5%) patients. The sexual disparity was detected as the proximity of uveal melanoma to the fovea in males. For a 61-month mean follow-up period, mortality occurred in eight of our cases, six of which were due to metastasis. The most common site for distance metastasis was the liver (5/6), followed by the lung (1/6). The five-year and eight-year overall survival (OS) rate was 0.947%± 0.019. The 5-year survival rate reached zero in metastatic patients. OS was not statistically different depending on the age, tumor diameters, the primary treatment received, or the histopathologic findings (p > 0.50 for all). CONCLUSION: In this study, individuals diagnosed with UM exhibited an OS rate of around 94% at the five-year mark, which remained consistent up to eight years. Notably, the presence of distance metastasis emerged as the sole statistically significant factor influencing overall survival.

Assessing health determinants worldwide: Econometric analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2000-18 - Highlighting impactful factors on DALY, YLL, and YLD indicators.

Background: As the health status of a population is influenced by a variety of health determinants, we sought to assess their impact on health outcomes, both at the global and regional levels. Methods: This ecological study encompassed all 194 member countries of the World Health Organization (WHO) from 2000 to 2018. We first identified all health determinants and then retrieved the related data from various global databases. We additionally considered three indicators - disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLL), and years lived with disability (YLD) - in evaluating health outcomes; we extracted their data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. We then applied econometric analyses using a multilevel mixed-effects linear regression model. Results: The analysis using the DALY indicator showed that the variables of sexually transmitted infections, injuries prevalence, and urbanisation had the highest effect size or regression coefficients (ß) for health outcomes. The variables of sexually transmitted infection (ß = 0.75, P < 0.001) in the African region; drinking water (ß = -0.60, P < 0.001), alcohol use (ß = 0.20, P < 0.001), and drug use (ß = 0.05, P = 0.036) in the Americas region; urbanisation (ß = -0.34, P < 0.001) in the Eastern Mediterranean region; current health expenditure (ß = -0.21, P < 0.001) in the Europe region; injuries (ß = 0.65, P < 0.001), air pollution (ß = 0.29, P < 0.001), and obesity (ß = 0.92, P < 0.001) in the South-East Asia region; and gross domestic product (ß = -0.25, P < 0.001), education (ß = -0.90, P < 0.001), and smoking (ß = 0.28, P < 0.001) in the Western Pacific region had the most significant role in explaining global health outcomes. Except for the drug use variable in regional findings, the role of other variables in explaining the YLL indicator was greater than that of the YLD indicator. Conclusions: To address global health disparities and optimise resource allocation, global and interregional policymakers should focus on determinants that had the highest ß with health outcomes in each region compared to other regions. These determinants likely have a higher marginal health product, and investing in them is likely to be more cost-effective.

Non-COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran: a longitudinal assessment of 41 million people in 2019-2022.

BACKGROUND: During a COVID-19 pandemic, it is imperative to investigate the outcomes of all non-COVID-19 diseases. This study determines hospital admissions and mortality rates related to non-COVID-19 diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic among 41 million Iranians. METHOD: This nationwide retrospective study used data from the Iran Health Insurance Organization. From September 23, 2019, to Feb 19, 2022, there were four study periods: pre-pandemic (Sept 23-Feb 19, 2020), first peak (Mar 20-Apr 19, 2020), first year (Feb 20, 2020-Feb 18, 2021), and the second year (Feb 19, 2021-Feb 19, 2022) following the pandemic. Cause-specific hospital admission and in-hospital mortality are the main outcomes analyzed based on age and sex. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate the monthly adjusted Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) to compare hospital admission rates in aggregated data. A logistic regression was used to estimate the monthly adjusted in-hospital mortality Odds Ratio (OR) for different pandemic periods. RESULTS: During the study there were 6,522,114 non-COVID-19 hospital admissions and 139,679 deaths. Prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, the standardized hospital admission rate per million person-month was 7115.19, which decreased to 2856.35 during the first peak (IRR 0.40, [0.25-0.64]). In-hospital mortality also increased from 20.20 to 31.99 (OR 2.05, [1.97-2.13]). All age and sex groups had decreased admission rates, except for females at productive ages. Two years after the COVID-19 outbreak, the non-COVID-19 hospital admission rate (IRR 1.25, [1.13-1.40]) and mortality rate (OR 1.05, [1.04-1.07]) increased compared to the rates before the pandemic. The respiratory disease admission rate decreased in the first (IRR 0.23, [0.17-0.31]) and second years (IRR 0.35, [0.26-0.47] compared to the rate before the pandemic. There was a significant reduction in hospitalizations for pneumonia (IRR 0.30, [0.21-0.42]), influenza (IRR 0.04, [0.03-0.06]) and COPD (IRR 0.39, [0.23-0.65]) during the second year. There was a significant and continuous rise in the hematological admission rate during the study, reaching 186.99 per million person-month in the second year, reflecting an IRR of 2.84 [2.42-3.33] compared to the pre-pandemic period. The mortality rates of mental disorders (OR 2.15, [1.65-2.78]) and musculoskeletal (OR 1.48, [1.20-1.82), nervous system (OR 1.42, [1.26-1.60]), metabolic (OR 1.99, [1.80-2.19]) and circulatory diseases (OR 1.35, [1.31-1.39]) increased in the second year compare to pre-pandemic. Myocardial infarction (OR 1.33, [1.19-1.49]), heart failure (OR 1.59, [1.35-1.87]) and stroke (OR 1.35, [1.24-1.47]) showed an increase in mortality rates without changes in hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: In the era of COVID-19, the changes seem to have had a long-term effect on non-COVID-19 diseases. Countries should prepare for similar crises in the future to ensure medical services are not suspended.

Efficacy of a self-monitoring traffic light diary on outcomes of patients with heart failure: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Patients with heart failure experience high hospitalization. However, patients cannot recognize symptoms according to current approaches, which needs to be improved by new self-monitoring instruments and strategies. Thus, we aimed to assess a self-monitoring traffic light diary on outcomes of patients with heart failure. METHODS: This was a single-blind, two-arm parallel group randomized controlled trial at the heart failure clinic of Tehran Heart Center (Tehran, Iran). Adult patients with a definitive diagnosis of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (i.e., ejection fraction of less than 40 %), and New York Heart Association functional classes II-IV were included. A block-balanced randomization method was used to assign eligible subjects to the intervention or control group. Baseline data were collected before random allocation. Participants in the intervention group received a comprehensive intervention consisting of (1) self-care education by an Australian Heart Foundation booklet on heart failure, (2) regular self-monitoring of weight and shortness of breath at home, and (3) scheduled call follow-ups for three months. Patients in the control group received usual care. The primary outcome was heart failure self-care; the secondary outcomes were heart failure quality of life, knowledge, and all-cause hospitalization. RESULTS: From June to August 2017, 68 patients were included in the study. The overall age of participants was 55 (13.6) years old, and 71 % of patients were male. A significant association between the intervention and self-care maintenance (ß 5.1; 95 % CI 2.50 to 7.70, P < 0.001), self-care management (ß 10.6; 95 % CI 6.50 to 14.8, P < 0.001), self-care confidence (ß 8.0; 95 % CI 5.0 to 11.0, P < 0.001) and heart failure knowledge (ß 1.7; 95 % CI 1.30, 2.04; P < 0.001) was found. However, there was no association between the intervention and quality of life (ß 2.5; 95 % CI -0.79, 5.88, P 0.135) and hospitalization-free survival of the two groups (Log-Rank P 0.540). CONCLUSION: A self-monitoring traffic light diary can improve self-care behaviors and heart failure knowledge in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. RCT APPROVAL ID: Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials IRCT2017021032476N1. STUDY PROTOCOL: PMCID: PMC6262204.

Zero-Inflated Count Regression Models in Solving Challenges Posed by Outlier-Prone Data; an Application to Length of Hospital Stay.

Introduction: Ignoring outliers in data may lead to misleading results. Length of stay (LOS) is often considered a count variable with a high frequency of outliers. This study exemplifies the potential of robust methodologies in enhancing the accuracy and reliability of analyses conducted on skewed and outlier-prone count data of LOS. Methods: The application of Zero-Inflated Poisson (ZIP) and robust Zero-Inflated Poisson (RZIP) models in solving challenges posed by outlier LOS data were evaluated. The ZIP model incorporates two components, tackling excess zeros with a zero-inflation component and modeling positive counts with a Poisson component. The RZIP model introduces the Robust Expectation-Solution (RES) algorithm to enhance parameter estimation and address the impact of outliers on the model's performance. Results: Data from 254 intensive care unit patients were analyzed (62.2% male). Patients aged 65 or older accounted for 58.3% of the sample. Notably, 38.6% of patients exhibited zero LOS. The overall mean LOS was 5.89 (± 9.81) days, and 9.45% of cases displayed outliers. Our analysis using the RZIP model revealed significant predictors of LOS, including age, underlying comorbidities (p<0.001), and insurance status (p=0.013). Model comparison demonstrated the RZIP model's superiority over ZIP, as evidenced by lower Akaike information criteria (AIC) and Bayesians information criteria (BIC) values. Conclusions: The application of the RZIP model allowed us to uncover meaningful insights into the factors influencing LOS, paving the way for more informed decision-making in hospital management.

Changes in emergency department visits and mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a retrospective analysis of 956 hospitals.

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, many non-COVID-19 emergency department (ED) visits were indirectly affected. ED visits and mortality were assessed during different pandemic time periods compared with pre-pandemic. METHODS: The study used data from 41 million Iran Health Insurance Organization members. The outcomes were non-COVID-19 ED visits and associated mortality in 956 hospitals. An analysis of ED visits was conducted both for all-cause and cause-specific conditions: cardiovascular diseases (CVD), mental and substance use disorders, unintentional injuries, and self-harm. In addition, total in-hospital ED mortality was analyzed. A negative binomial regression and a Poisson regression with a log link were used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of visits and mortality relative risk (RR). RESULTS: 1,789,831 ED visits and 12,377 deaths were reported during the study. Pre-pandemic (Sep 2019 to Feb 2020), there were 2,767 non-COVID-19 visits rate per million person-month, which decreased to 1,884 during the first COVID-19 wave with a national lockdown from Feb 20 to Apr 19, 2020 (IRR 0.68, [0.56-0.84]). The non-COVID-19 ED mortality risk was 8.17 per 1,000 visit-month during the pre-pandemic period, rising to 12.80 during the first wave of COVID-19 (RR 1.57, [1.49-165]). Non-COVID-19 ED visit rates decreased during the first pandemic year from Sep 2020 to Feb 2021 (IRR 0.73, [0.63-0.86]), but increased after COVID-19 vaccination two years later from Sep 2021 to Feb 2022 (IRR 1.11, [0.96-0.17]). The total ED mortality risk for non-COVID-19 was significantly higher after the COVID-19 outbreak in the first (RR 1.66, [1.59-1.72]) and second years (RR 1.27, [1.22-1.32]) of the pandemic. The visit incidence rate for mental health and substance use disorders declined from 8.18 per million person-month to 4.57 (IRR 0.53, [0.32 to 0.90]) in the first wave. In the second year, unintentional injury visits increased significantly compared with pre-pandemic (IRR 1.63, [1.30-2.03]). As compared to before the pandemic, there was no significant change in CVD and self-harm visit rates during the pandemic. Cardiac arrest was the leading cause of death in Iran hospitals' EDs. CONCLUSION: In the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, non-COVID-19 hospital ED visits declined and mortality risk increased. Despite two years since the COVID-19 outbreak, non-COVID-19 ED mortality risk remains high.

Choosing the Best Instrument for Measuring Health Spillover Effect in Caregivers of Patients With Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To measure the health spillover effect in caregivers of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), we aimed to select the best instrument from 2 common health-related quality of life (QoL) instruments, the 3-level EQ-5D (EQ-5D-3L) and the Health Utilities Index Mark 3 (HUI-3), by assessing them. METHODS: Using consecutive sampling, 452 primary caregivers of patients with MS were asked to fill out a Care-related QoL instrument (CarerQol-7D), EQ-5D-3L, HUI-3, and the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale between October 2019 and May 2020. Convergent and clinical validity were assessed to measure spillover effect in caregivers of patients with MS. RESULTS: A strong correlation of health-utility scores between EQ-5D-3L and HUI-3 (r = 0.914, P < .01) was observed. The 95% limit of agreement (LoA) for CarerQol-7D and HUI-3 (-10.6 to 8.2) was narrower than the LoA for CarerQol-7D and EQ-5D-3L (-15.1 to 17.1). Both EQ-5D-3L and HUI-3 proved clinical validity for the QoL of caregivers. The CarerQoL-7D score was significantly lower in female (P < .001), single (P < .014), lower-educated (P < .001), parent's relatives (P < .001), and unemployed (P < .001) caregivers. CONCLUSIONS: We found that both, EQ-5D-3L and HUI-3, were appropriate for measuring caregivers' QoL, although HUI-3 was a better choice because of its narrower LoA. Our findings suggest researchers should use HUI-3 to measure the quality-adjusted life-year of caregivers to aggregate with the QoL of patients in the denominator of an economic evaluation equation, such as the cost-effective ratio.