Osteoporosis in Relation to a Bone-Related Aging Biomarker Derived from the Urinary Proteomic Profile: A Population Study.

Screening for and prevention of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fractures is imperative, given the high burden on individuals and society. This study constructed and validated an aging-related biomarker derived from the urinary proteomic profile (UPP) indicative of osteoporosis (UPPost-age). In a prospective population study done in northern Belgium (1985-2019), participants were invited for a follow-up examination in 2005-2010 and participants in the 2005-2010 examination again invited in 2009-2013. Participants in both the 2005-2010 and 2009-2013 examinations (n = 519) constituted the derivation (2005-2016 data) and time-shifted validation (2009-2013 data) datasets; 187 participants with only 2005-2010 data formed the synchronous validation dataset. The UPP was assessed by capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. Analyses focused on 2372 sequenced urinary peptides (101 proteins) with key roles in maintaining the integrity of bone tissue. In multivariable analyses with correction for multiple testing, chronological age was associated with 99 urinary peptides (16 proteins). Peptides derived from IGF2 and MGP were upregulated in women compared to men, whereas COL1A2, COL3A1, COL5A2, COL10A1 and COL18A1 were downregulated. Via application of a 1000-fold bootstrapped elastic regression procedure, finally, 29 peptides (10 proteins) constituted the UPPost-age biomarker, replicated across datasets. In cross-sectional analyses of 2009-2013 data (n = 706), the body-height-to-arm-span ratio, an osteoporosis marker, was negatively associated with UPPost-age (p&;lt0.0001). Over 4.89 years (median), the 10-year risk of osteoporosis associated with chronological age and UPPost-age (53 cases including 37 fractures in 706 individuals) increased by 21% and 36% (p ≤ 0.044). Among 357 women, the corresponding estimates were 55% and 60% for incident osteoporosis (37 cases; p ≤ 0.0003) and 42% and 44% for osteoporotic fractures (25 cases; p ≤ 0.017). In conclusion, an aging-related UPP signature with focus on peptide fragments derived from bone-related proteins is associated with osteoporosis risk and available for clinical and trial research.

Heart rate reactivity, recovery, and endurance of the incremental shuttle walk test in patients prone to heart failure.

AIMS: Few randomized trials assessed the changes over time in the chronotropic heart rate (HR) reactivity (CHR), HR recovery (HRR) and exercise endurance (EE) in response to the incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT). We addressed this issue by analysing the open HOMAGE (Heart OMics in Aging) trial. METHODS: In HOMAGE, 527 patients prone to heart failure were randomized to usual treatment with or without spironolactone (25-50 mg/day). The current sub-study included 113 controls and 114 patients assigned spironolactone (~70% on beta-blockers), who all completed the ISWT at baseline and at Months 1 and 9. Within-group changes over time (follow-up minus baseline) and between-group differences at each time point (spironolactone minus control) were analysed by repeated measures ANOVA, unadjusted or adjusted for sex, age and body mass index, and additionally for baseline for testing 1 and 9 month data. RESULTS: Irrespective of randomization, the resting HR and CHR did not change from baseline to follow-up, with the exception of a small decrease in the HR immediately post-exercise (-3.11 b.p.m.) in controls at Month 9. In within-group analyses, HR decline over the 5 min post-exercise followed a slightly lower course at the 1 month visit in controls and at the 9 month visits in both groups, but not at the 1 month visit in the spironolactone group. Compared with baseline, EE increased by two to three shuttles at Months 1 and 9 in the spironolactone group but remained unchanged in the control group. In the between-group analyses, irrespective of adjustment, there were no HR differences at any time point from rest up to 5 min post-exercise or in EE. Subgroup analyses by sex or categorized by the medians of age, left ventricular ejection fraction or glomerular filtration rate were confirmatory. Combining baseline and Months 1 and 9 data in both treatment groups, the resting HR, CHR and HRR at 1 and 5 min averaged 61.5, 20.0, 9.07 and 13.8 b.p.m. and EE 48.3 shuttles. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone on top of usual treatment compared with usual treatment alone did not change resting HR, CHR, HRR and EE in response to ISWT. Beta-blockade might have concealed the effects of spironolactone. The current findings demonstrate that the ISWT, already used in a wide variety of pathological conditions, is a practical instrument to measure symptom-limited exercise capacity in patients prone to developing heart failure because of coronary heart disease.

An outcome-driven threshold for pulse pressure amplification.

Pulse pressure amplification (PPA) is the brachial-to-aortic pulse pressure ratio and decreases with age and cardiovascular risk factors. This individual-participant meta-analysis of population studies aimed to define an outcome-driven threshold for PPA. Incidence rates and standardized multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of cardiovascular and coronary endpoints associated with PPA, as assessed by the SphygmoCor software, were evaluated in the International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification (n = 5608). Model refinement was assessed by the integrated discrimination (IDI) and net reclassification (NRI) improvement. Age ranged from 30 to 96 years (median 53.6). Over 4.1 years (median), 255 and 109 participants experienced a cardiovascular or coronary endpoint. In a randomly defined discovery subset of 3945 individuals, the rounded risk-carrying PPA thresholds converged at 1.3. The HRs for cardiovascular and coronary endpoints contrasting PPA < 1.3 vs ≥1.3 were 1.54 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.36) and 2.45 (CI: 1.20-5.01), respectively. Models were well calibrated, findings were replicated in the remaining 1663 individuals analyzed as test dataset, and NRI was significant for both endpoints. The HRs associating cardiovascular and coronary endpoints per PPA threshold in individuals <60 vs ≥60 years were 3.86 vs 1.19 and 6.21 vs 1.77, respectively. The proportion of high-risk women (PPA < 1.3) was higher at younger age (<60 vs ≥60 years: 67.7% vs 61.5%; P < 0.001). In conclusion, over and beyond common risk factors, a brachial-to-central PP ratio of <1.3 is a forerunner of cardiovascular coronary complications and is an underestimated risk factor in women aged 30-60 years. Our study supports pulse wave analysis for risk stratification.

Urinary proteomic signature of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonism by spironolactone: evidence from the HOMAGE trial.

OBJECTIVE: Heart failure (HF) is characterised by collagen deposition. Urinary proteomic profiling (UPP) followed by peptide sequencing identifies parental proteins, for over 70% derived from collagens. This study aimed to refine understanding of the antifibrotic action of spironolactone. METHODS: In this substudy (n=290) to the Heart 'Omics' in Ageing Study trial, patients were randomised to usual therapy combined or not with spironolactone 25-50 mg/day and followed for 9 months. The analysis included 1498 sequenced urinary peptides detectable in ≥30% of patients and carboxyterminal propeptide of procollagen I (PICP) and PICP/carboxyterminal telopeptide of collagen I (CITP) as serum biomarkers of COL1A1 synthesis. After rank normalisation of biomarker distributions, between-group differences in their changes were assessed by multivariable-adjusted mixed model analysis of variance. Correlations between the changes in urinary peptides and in serum PICP and PICP/CITP were compared between groups using Fisher's Z transform. RESULTS: Multivariable-adjusted between-group differences in the urinary peptides with error 1 rate correction were limited to 27 collagen fragments, of which 16 were upregulated (7 COL1A1 fragments) on spironolactone and 11 downregulated (4 COL1A1 fragments). Over 9 months of follow-up, spironolactone decreased serum PICP from 81 (IQR 66-95) to 75 (61-90) µg/L and PICP/CITP from 22 (17-28) to 18 (13-26), whereas no changes occurred in the control group, resulting in a difference (spironolactone minus control) expressed in standardised units of -0.321 (95% CI 0.0007). Spironolactone did not affect the correlations between changes in urinary COL1A1 fragments and in PICP or the PICP/CITP ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone decreased serum markers of collagen synthesis and predominantly downregulated urinary collagen-derived peptides, but upregulated others. The interpretation of these opposite UPP trends might be due to shrinking the body-wide pool of collagens, explaining downregulation, while some degree of collagen synthesis must be maintained to sustain vital organ functions, explaining upregulation. Combining urinary and serum fibrosis markers opens new avenues for the understanding of the action of antifibrotic drugs. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02556450.

Lead-associated mortality in the US 1999-2020: a time-stratified analysis of a national cohort.

OBJECTIVES: We undertook time-stratified analyses of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in the US to assess time trends (1999-2020) in the associations of blood lead (BL) with blood pressure, mortality, the BL-associated population attributable fraction (PAF). METHODS: Vital status of participants, 20-79 years old at enrolment, was ascertained via the National Death Index. Regressions, mediation analyses and PAF were multivariable adjusted and standardized to 2020 US Census data. RESULTS: In time-stratified analyses, BL decreased from 1.76 µg/dl in 1999-2004 to 0.93 µg/dl in 2017-2020, while the proportion of individuals with BL < 1 µg/dl increased from 19.2% to 63.0%. Total mortality was unrelated to BL (hazard ratio (HR) for a fourfold BL increment: 1.05 [95% confidence interval, CI: 0.93-1.17]). The HR for cardiovascular death was 1.44 (1.01-2.07) in the 1999-2000 cycle, but lost significance thereafter. BL was directly related to cardiovascular mortality, whereas the indirect BL pathway via BP was not significant. Low socioeconomic status (SES) was directly related to BL and cardiovascular mortality, but the indirect SES pathway via BL lost significance in 2007-2010. From 1999-2004 to 2017-2020, cardiovascular PAF decreased ( P  < 0.001) from 7.80% (0.17-14.4%) to 2.50% (0.05-4.68%) and number of lead-attributable cardiovascular deaths from 53 878 (1167-99 253) to 7539 (160-14 108). CONCLUSION: Due to implementation of strict environmental policies, lead exposure is no longer associated with total mortality, and the mildly increased cardiovascular mortality is not associated with blood lead via blood pressure in the United States.

Mortality and Cardiovascular End Points In Relation to the Aortic Pulse Wave Components: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Wave separation analysis enables individualized evaluation of the aortic pulse wave components. Previous studies focused on the pressure height with overall positive but differing results. In the present analysis, we assessed the associations of the pressure of forward and backward (Pfor and Pref) pulse waves with prospective cardiovascular end points, with extended analysis for time to pressure peak (Tfor and Tref). METHODS: Participants in 3 IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) cohorts (Argentina, Belgium, and Finland) aged ≥20 years with valid pulse wave analysis and follow-up data were included. Pulse wave analysis was done using the SphygmoCor device, and pulse wave separation was done using the triangular method. The primary end points consisted of cardiovascular mortality and nonfatal cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios. RESULTS: A total of 2206 participants (mean age, 57.0 years; 55.0% women) were analyzed. Mean±SDs for Pfor, Pref, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref were 31.0±9.1 mm Hg, 20.8±8.4 mm Hg, 130.8±35.5, and 0.51±0.11, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 4.4 years, 146 (6.6%) participants experienced a primary end point. Every 1 SD increment in Pfor, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref was associated with 27% (95% CI, 1.07-1.49), 25% (95% CI, 1.07-1.45), and 32% (95% CI, 1.12-1.56) higher risk, respectively. Adding Tfor and Tfor/Tref to existing risk models improved model prediction (∆Uno's C, 0.020; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Pulse wave components were predictive of composite cardiovascular end points, with Tfor/Tref showing significant improvement in risk prediction. Pending further confirmation, the ratio of time to forward and backward pressure peak may be useful to evaluate increased afterload and signify increased cardiovascular risk.

OSTEO18, a novel urinary proteomic signature, associated with osteoporosis in heart transplant recipients.

Background: Immunosuppressive treatment in heart transplant (HTx) recipient causes osteoporosis. The urinary proteomic profile (UPP) includes peptide fragments derived from the bone extracellular matrix. Study aims were to develop and validate a multidimensional UPP biomarker for osteoporosis in HTx patients from single sequenced urinary peptides identifying the parent proteins. Methods: A single-center HTx cohort was analyzed. Urine samples were measured by capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. Cases with osteoporosis and matching controls were randomly selected from all available 389 patients. In derivation case-control dataset, 1576 sequenced peptides detectable in ≥30 % of patients. Applying statistical analysis on these, an 18-peptide multidimensional osteoporosis UPP biomarker (OSTEO18) was generated by support vector modeling. The 2 replication datasets included 118 and 94 patients. For further validation, the whole cohort was analyzed. Statistical methods included logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Results: In derivation dataset, the AUC, sensitivity and specificity of OSTEO18 were 0.83 (95 % CI: 0.76-0.90), 74.3 % and 87.1 %, respectively. In replication datasets, results were confirmatory. In the whole cohort (154 osteoporotic patients [39.6 %]), the ORs for osteoporosis increased (p < 0.0001) across OSTEO18 quartiles from 0.39 (95 % CI: 0.25-0.61) to 3.14 (2.08-4.75). With full adjustment for known osteoporosis risk factors, OSTEO18 improved AUC from 0.708 to 0.786 (p = 0.0003) for OSTEO18 categorized (optimized threshold: 0.095) and to 0.784 (p = 0.0004) for OSTEO18 as continuously distributed classifier. Conclusion: OSTEO18 is a clinically meaningful novel biomarker indicative of osteoporosis in HTx recipients and is being certified as in-vitro diagnostic.