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1.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 28(10): 1422-1428, 2019 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31483548

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: A standardized definition for serious opioid overdose has not been clearly established for disease surveillance or assessing the impact of risk mitigation strategies. The purpose of this study was to use medical chart review to clinically validate a claims-based algorithm to identify serious opioid overdose events. METHODS: The algorithm for serious opioid overdose required an opioid poisoning or external cause ICD-9-CM code occurring within 1 day of (a) an adverse effect code for serious central nervous system or respiratory depression or (b) a mechanical ventilation or critical care CPT code. The claims coding algorithm identified a sample of 145 individuals 18 years or older among patients that presented to the emergency department of two large hospitals in metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia from January 2014 to August 2015. Claims-defined cases were evaluated against rigorous clinical definitions for serious opioid overdose using (a) literature-based criteria for typical clinical manifestations of opioid overdose and/or (b) clinical response to the opioid-specific reversal agent naloxone. The positive predictive value (PPV) for a serious opioid overdose was calculated as the percentage of clinically confirmed cases (definite or probable). RESULTS: Among 140 evaluable claims-defined cases, 107 fulfilled clinical criteria for a serious opioid overdose [95 definite and 12 probable; PPV of 76.4% (95% CI 69.4%, 83.5%)]. Among 30 nonconfirmed cases, 20 were polyintoxications involving one or more nonopioid psychoactive agents. CONCLUSIONS: An administrative claims coding algorithm for serious opioid overdose had high clinical predictive performance in a medical chart review.


Asunto(s)
Reclamos Administrativos en el Cuidado de la Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Algoritmos , Analgésicos Opioides/envenenamiento , Codificación Clínica/métodos , Sobredosis de Droga/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Sobredosis de Droga/epidemiología , Sobredosis de Droga/etiología , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
2.
Pain Med ; 19(1): 68-78, 2018 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28340046

RESUMEN

Objective: To validate a risk index that estimates the likelihood of overdose or serious opioid-induced respiratory depression (OIRD) among medical users of prescription opioids. Subjects and Methods: A case-control analysis of 18,365,497 patients with an opioid prescription from 2009 to 2013 in the IMS PharMetrics Plus commercially insured health plan claims database (CIP). An OIRD event occurred in 7,234 cases. Four controls were selected per case. Validity of the Risk Index for Overdose or Serious Opioid-induced Respiratory Depression (RIOSORD), developed previously using Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patient data, was assessed. Multivariable logistic regression was used within the CIP study population to develop a slightly refined RIOSORD. The composition and performance of the CIP-based RIOSORD was evaluated and compared with VHA-based RIOSORD. Results: VHA-RIOSORD performed well in discriminating OIRD events in CIP (C-statistic = 0.85). Additionally, re-estimation of logistic model coefficients in CIP yielded a 0.90 C-statistic. The resulting comorbidity and pharmacotherapy variables most highly associated with OIRD and retained in the CIP-RIOSORD were largely concordant with VHA-RIOSORD. These variables included neuropsychiatric and cardiopulmonary disorders, impaired drug excretion, opioid characteristics, and concurrent psychoactive medications. The average predicted probability of OIRD ranged from 2% to 83%, with excellent agreement between predicted and observed incidence across risk classes. Conclusions: RIOSORD had excellent predictive accuracy in a large population of US medical users of prescription opioids, similar to its performance in VHA. This practical risk index is designed to support clinical decision-making for safer opioid prescribing, and its clinical utility should be evaluated prospectively.


Asunto(s)
Analgésicos Opioides/efectos adversos , Sistemas de Apoyo a Decisiones Clínicas , Sobredosis de Droga/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/inducido químicamente , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/diagnóstico , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Humanos , Revisión de Utilización de Seguros , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos , United States Department of Veterans Affairs
3.
Pain Med ; 19(1): 79-96, 2018 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28419384

RESUMEN

Objective: To characterize the risk factors associated with overdose or serious opioid-induced respiratory depression (OIRD) among medical users of prescription opioids in a commercially insured population (CIP) and to compare risk factor profiles between the CIP and Veterans Health Administration (VHA) population. Subjects and Methods: Analysis of data from 18,365,497 patients in the IMS PharMetrics Plus health plan claims database (CIP) who were dispensed a prescription opioid in 2009 to 2013. Baseline factors associated with an event of serious OIRD among 7,234 cases and 28,932 controls were identified using multivariable logistic regression. The CIP risk factor profile was compared with that from a corresponding logistic regression among 817 VHA cases and 8,170 controls in 2010 to 2012. Results: The strongest associations with serious OIRD in CIP were diagnosed substance use disorder (odds ratio [OR] = 10.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 9.06-11.40) and depression (OR = 3.12, 95% CI = 2.84-3.42). Other strongly associated factors included other mental health disorders; impaired liver, renal, vascular, and pulmonary function; prescribed fentanyl, methadone, and morphine; higher daily opioid doses; and concurrent psychoactive medications. These risk factors, except depression, vascular disease, and specific opioids, largely aligned with VHA despite CIP being substantially younger, including more females and less chronic disease, and having greater prescribing prevalence of higher daily opioid doses, specific opioids, and most selected nonopioids. Conclusions: Risk factor profiles for serious OIRD among US medical users of prescription opioids with private or public health insurance were largely concordant despite substantial differences between the populations in demographics, clinical conditions, health care delivery systems, and clinical practices.


Asunto(s)
Analgésicos Opioides/efectos adversos , Sobredosis de Droga , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/inducido químicamente , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Humanos , Revisión de Utilización de Seguros , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos , United States Department of Veterans Affairs
4.
Subst Abuse ; 10: 89-97, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27679504

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Untreated opioid dependence in pregnant women is associated with adverse birth outcomes. Buprenorphine and methadone are options for opioid agonist medication-assisted treatment during pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to describe adverse birth outcomes observed with buprenorphine or methadone treatment compared to the general population in Sweden. METHODS: Pregnant women and their corresponding births during 2005-2011 were identified in the Swedish Medical Birth Register. Data on stillbirth, neonatal/infant death, mode of delivery, gestational age at birth, Apgar score, growth outcomes, neonatal abstinence syndrome, and congenital malformations were examined. Frequencies were compared using two-sided Fisher's exact tests. Unadjusted estimates of birth outcomes for women treated with buprenorphine or methadone were compared to the registered general population. RESULTS: A total of 746,257 pregnancies among 538,178 unique women resulted in 746,485 live births. Among the 194 women treated with buprenorphine (N = 176) or methadone (N = 52), no stillbirths or neonatal/infant deaths occurred. Neonatal abstinence syndrome developed in 23.3% and 38.5% of infants born to mothers treated with buprenorphine and methadone, respectively. The frequency of the selected adverse birth outcomes assessed in women treated with buprenorphine as compared to the general population was not significantly different. However, a significantly higher frequency of preterm birth and congenital malformations was observed in women treated with methadone as compared to the general population. Compared with the general population, methadone-treated women were significantly older than buprenorphine-treated women, and both treatment groups began prenatal care later, were more likely to smoke cigarettes, and did not cohabitate with the baby's father. CONCLUSIONS: An increased frequency of the selected adverse birth outcomes was not observed with buprenorphine treatment during pregnancy. Twofold increased frequency of preterm birth [2.21 (1.11, 4,41)] and congenital malformations [2.05 (1.08, 3.87)] was observed in the methadone group, which may be partly explained by older average maternal age and differences in other measured and unmeasured confounders.

5.
Addiction ; 111(12): 2115-2128, 2016 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27223595

RESUMEN

AIMS: To assess the safety of buprenorphine compared with methadone to treat pregnant women with opioid use disorder. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 2015 for randomized controlled trials (RCT) and observational cohort studies (OBS) that compared buprenorphine with methadone for treating opioid-dependent pregnant women. Two reviewers assessed independently the titles and abstracts of all search results and full texts of potentially eligible studies reporting original data for maternal/fetal/infant death, preterm birth, fetal growth outcomes, fetal/congenital anomalies, fetal/child neurodevelopment and/or maternal adverse events. We ascertained each study's risk of bias using validated instruments and assessed the strength of evidence for each outcome using established methods. We computed effect sizes using random-effects models for each outcome with two or more studies. RESULTS: Three RCTs (n = 223) and 15 cohort OBSs (n = 1923) met inclusion criteria. In meta-analyses using unadjusted data and methadone as comparator, buprenorphine was associated with lower risk of preterm birth [RCT risk ratio (RR) = 0.40, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.18, 0.91; OBS RR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.50, 0.90], greater birth weight [RCT weighted mean difference (WMD) = 277 g, 95% CI = 104, 450; OBS WMD = 265 g, 95% CI = 196, 335] and larger head circumference [RCT WMD = 0.90 cm, 95% CI = 0.14, 1.66; OBS WMD = 0.68 cm, 95% CI = 0.41, 0.94]. No treatment differences were observed for spontaneous fetal death, fetal/congenital anomalies and other fetal growth measures, although the power to detect such differences may be inadequate due to small sample sizes. CONCLUSIONS: Moderately strong evidence indicates lower risk of preterm birth, greater birth weight and larger head circumference with buprenorphine treatment of maternal opioid use disorder during pregnancy compared with methadone treatment, and no greater harms.


Asunto(s)
Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapéutico , Buprenorfina/uso terapéutico , Metadona/uso terapéutico , Trastornos Relacionados con Opioides/rehabilitación , Complicaciones del Embarazo/rehabilitación , Anomalías Inducidas por Medicamentos/prevención & control , Peso al Nacer/fisiología , Femenino , Muerte Fetal/prevención & control , Desarrollo Fetal/efectos de los fármacos , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Tratamiento de Sustitución de Opiáceos/métodos , Seguridad del Paciente , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Nacimiento Prematuro/prevención & control , Atención Prenatal/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Muerte Súbita del Lactante/prevención & control
7.
Clin Ther ; 33(5): 581-97, 2011 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21665043

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Calendar blister packaging (CBP) that incorporates a day or date feature is a simple medication packaging technology that is designed to improve medication adherence and persistence. OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to assess the effect of a new calendar packaging technology on prescription refill adherence and persistence for daily, self-administered, long-term medication use. METHODS: Anonymized pharmacy dispensing data from a large US mass merchandiser were analyzed. This retrospective cohort study included people aged 18 to 75 years who filled prescriptions for oral lisinopril or enalapril (control group) at a study pharmacy during 1 year before and after the switch of lisinopril packaging from vials to CBP. Cohorts were stratified into new and prevalent medication users. We used linear and logistic regression modeling and propensity score matching to assess the impact of CBP on refill adherence, using medication possession ratio (MPR) and proportion of days covered (PDC), and persistence using length of therapy (LOT). RESULTS: Our sample comprised 76,321 new users and 249,040 prevalent users. Across all user, medication, and packaging groups, the mean unadjusted LOT decreased in the follow-up year, possibly due to economic recession. The LOT decline was attenuated in the CBP cohort. After adjustment for covariates, CBP use in new and prevalent medication users was associated with significantly higher LOT and PDC but not MPR. The odds of achieving PDC ≥80% were higher by 15% in new users (odds ratio [OR] = 1.15; 95% CI, 1.09-1.21) and 12% in prevalent users (OR = 1.12; 95% CI, 1.09-1.15) who switched to CBP, compared with continued vial use. CONCLUSIONS: CBP of medication prescribed for daily, self-administered, long-term use was associated with modest improvement in prescription refill adherence and persistence. An adherence strategy of even small effect size that is broadly implemented on a population level could significantly leverage therapeutic effect and provide substantial cumulative public health benefit. Clinical benefit, or harm, associated with use of CBP should be investigated. Usability assessments of CBP in patient subgroups may provide insight about differential impact on adherence and persistence.


Asunto(s)
Embalaje de Medicamentos , Cooperación del Paciente , Autoadministración , Antihipertensivos/administración & dosificación , Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico
8.
Clin Ther ; 33(1): 62-73, 2011 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21397775

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The therapeutic benefit of self-administered medications for long-term use is limited by an average 50% nonadherence rate. Patient forgetfulness is a common factor in unintentional nonadherence. Unit-of-use packaging that incorporates a simple day-and-date feature (calendar packaging) is designed to improve adherence by prompting patients to maintain the prescribed dosing schedule. OBJECTIVE: To review systematically, in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement, randomized controlled trial evidence of the adherence benefits and harms of calendar blister packaging (CBP) and calendar pill organizers (CPO) for self-administered, long-term medication use. METHODS: Data sources included the MEDLINE and Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases from their inception to September 2010 and communication with researchers in the field. Key search terms included blister-calendar pack, blister pack, drug packaging, medication adherence, medication compliance, medication compliance devices, medication containers, medication organizers, multicompartment compliance aid, persistence, pill-box organizers, prescription refill, randomized controlled trials, and refill compliance. Selected studies had an English-language title; a randomized controlled design; medication packaged in CBP or CPO; a requirement of solid, oral medication self-administered daily for longer than 1 month in community-dwelling adults; and at least 1 quantitative outcome measure of adherence. Two reviewers extracted data independently on study design, sample size, type of intervention and control, and outcomes. RESULTS: Ten trials with a total of 1045 subjects met the inclusion criteria, and 9 also examined clinical outcomes (seizures, blood pressure, psychiatric symptoms) or health care resource utilization. Substantial heterogeneity among trials precluded meta-analysis. In 3 studies, calendar packaging was part of a multicomponent adherence intervention. Six of 10 trials reported higher adherence, but it was associated with clinically significant improvement in only 1 study: 50% decreased seizure frequency with a CPO-based, multicomponent intervention. No study reported sufficient information to examine conclusively potential harms related to calendar packaging. LIMITATIONS: All trials had significant methodological limitations, such as inadequate randomization or blinding, or reported insufficient information regarding enrolled subjects and attrition, which resulted in a moderate-to-high risk of bias and, in 2 studies, unevaluable outcome data. Trials were generally short and sample sizes small, with heterogeneous adherence outcome measures. CONCLUSIONS: Calendar packaging, especially in combination with education and reminder strategies, may improve medication adherence. Methodological limitations preclude definitive conclusions about the effect size of adherence and clinical benefits or harms associated with CBP and CPO. High-quality trials of adequate size and duration are needed to assess the clinical effectiveness of such interventions.


Asunto(s)
Embalaje de Medicamentos , Cumplimiento de la Medicación/estadística & datos numéricos , Sistemas Recordatorios , Adulto , Humanos , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas/administración & dosificación , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Autoadministración , Factores de Tiempo
9.
Biomarkers ; 15(8): 715-30, 2010 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20887155

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an inflammatory lung disease with associated systemic effects. OBJECTIVE: To use gene expression microarrays in peripheral blood leukocytes of current and former cigarette smokers to identify differences associated with COPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Random forest modelling and a split-sample case-control approach were used to identify candidate predictors. RESULTS: We identified 1013 genes and one smoking exposure variable that differentiated current and former smokers with or without COPD. This predictor set was reduced to a nine-gene classifier (IL6R, CCR2, PPP2CB, RASSF2, WTAP, DNTTIP2, GDAP1, LIPE and RPL14). CONCLUSION: These gene expression profiles represent potential biomarkers for COPD and may help increase mechanistic understanding of the disease.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores/sangre , Perfilación de la Expresión Génica , Leucocitos/metabolismo , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/sangre , Fumar/sangre , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Humanos , Análisis de Secuencia por Matrices de Oligonucleótidos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/fisiopatología , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria
10.
Anal Bioanal Chem ; 397(5): 1809-19, 2010 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20442989

RESUMEN

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the fourth leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and cigarette smoking is a primary determinant of the disease. COPD is characterized by chronic airflow limitation as measured by the forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV(1)). In this study, the plasma proteomes of 38 middle-aged or older adult smokers with mild to moderate COPD, with FEV(1) decline characterized as either rapid (RPD, n = 20) or slow or absent (SLW, n = 18), were interrogated using a comprehensive high-throughput proteomic approach, the accurate mass and time (AMT) tag technology. This technology is based upon a putative mass and time tag database (PMT), high-resolution LC separations and high mass accuracy measurements using FT-ICR MS with a 9.4-T magnetic field. The peptide and protein data were analyzed using three statistical approaches to address ambiguities related to the high proportion of missing data inherent to proteomic analysis. The RPD and SLW groups were differentiated by 55 peptides which mapped to 33 unique proteins. Twelve of the proteins have known roles in the complement or coagulation cascade and, despite an inability to adjust for some factors known to affect lung function decline, suggest potential mechanistic biomarkers associated with the rate of lung function decline in COPD. Whether these proteins are the cause or result of accelerated decline will require further research.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores/sangre , Pulmón/fisiopatología , Proteómica , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/sangre , Fumar/efectos adversos , Adulto , Proteínas Sanguíneas/análisis , Cromatografía Liquida , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Espectrometría de Masas , Persona de Mediana Edad , Péptidos/sangre , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/fisiopatología , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria
11.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 11: 227, 2010 May 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20441598

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: High-throughput DNA methylation arrays are likely to accelerate the pace of methylation biomarker discovery for a wide variety of diseases. A potential problem with a standard set of probes measuring the methylation status of CpG sites across the whole genome is that many sites may not show inter-individual methylation variation among the biosamples for the disease outcome being studied. Inclusion of these so-called "non-variable sites" will increase the risk of false discoveries and reduce statistical power to detect biologically relevant methylation markers. RESULTS: We propose a method to estimate the proportion of non-variable CpG sites and eliminate those sites from further analyses. Our method is illustrated using data obtained by hybridizing DNA extracted from the peripheral blood mononuclear cells of 311 samples to an array assaying 1505 CpG sites. Results showed that a large proportion of the CpG sites did not show inter-individual variation in methylation. CONCLUSIONS: Our method resulted in a substantial improvement in association signals between methylation sites and outcome variables while controlling the false discovery rate at the same level.


Asunto(s)
Islas de CpG/genética , Metilación de ADN , ADN/genética , Perfilación de la Expresión Génica/métodos , Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos
12.
Biomarkers ; 15(4): 367-77, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20429838

RESUMEN

Although cigarette smoking is recognized as the most important cause of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the lung function decline are not well understood. Using off-line strong cation exchange fractionation with RP-LC-ESI-MS/MS and robust database searching, 1758 tryptic peptides were identified in plasma samples from cigarette smokers. Using two statistical approaches, 30 peptides were identified to be associated with the annualized rate of lung function decline over 5 years among smokers with COPD characterized as having rapid (n = 18) or slow (n = 18) decline and 18 smokers without COPD. The identified peptides belong to proteins that are involved in the complement or coagulation systems or have antiprotease or metabolic functions. This research demonstrates the utility of proteomic profiling to improve the understanding of molecular mechanisms involved in cigarette smoking-related COPD by identifying plasma proteins that correlate with decline in lung function.


Asunto(s)
Proteínas Sanguíneas/análisis , Espectrometría de Masas , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/diagnóstico , Anciano , Biomarcadores/sangre , Biomarcadores/química , Proteínas Sanguíneas/química , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Péptidos/sangre , Péptidos/química , Proteoma/química , Proteómica , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/sangre , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/epidemiología , Fumar/sangre , Fumar/epidemiología
13.
J Proteome Res ; 9(6): 3083-90, 2010 Jun 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20408573

RESUMEN

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), characterized by chronic airflow limitation, is a serious public health concern. In this study, we used proton nuclear magnetic resonance ((1)H NMR) spectroscopy to identify and quantify metabolites associated with lung function in COPD. Plasma and urine were collected from 197 adults with COPD and from 195 without COPD. Samples were assayed using a 600 MHz NMR spectrometer, and the resulting spectra were analyzed against quantitative spirometric measures of lung function. After correcting for false discoveries and adjusting for covariates (sex, age, smoking) several spectral regions in urine were found to be significantly associated with baseline lung function. These regions correspond to the metabolites trigonelline, hippurate and formate. Concentrations of each metabolite, standardized to urinary creatinine, were associated with baseline lung function (minimum p-value = 0.0002 for trigonelline). No significant associations were found with plasma metabolites. Urinary hippurate and formate are often related to gut microflora. This could suggest that the microbiome varies between individuals with different lung function. Alternatively, the associated metabolites may reflect lifestyle differences affecting overall health. Our results will require replication and validation, but demonstrate the utility of NMR metabolomics as a screening tool for identifying novel biomarkers of pulmonary outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Pulmón/fisiología , Metabolómica/métodos , Resonancia Magnética Nuclear Biomolecular/métodos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/orina , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria/métodos , Adulto , Alcaloides/orina , Biomarcadores/orina , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Femenino , Formiatos/orina , Hipuratos/orina , Humanos , Análisis de los Mínimos Cuadrados , Pulmón/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
14.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 57(1): 11-7, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20018223

RESUMEN

In a previous analysis (see Part I) we proposed a heuristic for assessing the efficacy of potential reduced-risk tobacco products (PRRPs) on lung cancer (LC) rates, using smoking cessation data published in a report from the Iowa Women's Health Study (IWHS) as a basis for sample size estimates. In this study, an additional analysis was performed using cessation data from the much larger Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS-II), which also provides data on different durations of cessation. Statistical methods were used to assess whether smokers switching to a PRRP would reduce their risk of LC. Furthermore, non-inferiority tests compared the LC risk in switchers to that in smokers who had quit smoking. The present work shows that similar sample size estimates were obtained whether the analysis was based on the IWHS or the CPS-II data sets, suggesting that the heuristic may be generally applicable to prospective real-life studies to evaluate PRRPs. Non-inferiority testing of switchers compared with quitters required approximately 10-fold more subjects than did superiority testing of switchers compared with smokers. Altogether, these estimates indicate that it is feasible, in terms of study duration and sample size, to clinically assess the LC risk-reducing potential of a PRRP.


Asunto(s)
Bases de Datos Factuales , Neoplasias Pulmonares/inducido químicamente , Nicotiana/toxicidad , Proyectos de Investigación/estadística & datos numéricos , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/estadística & datos numéricos , Fumar/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Masculino , Modelos Teóricos , Riesgo , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Tamaño de la Muestra , Fumar/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo , Nicotiana/química , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
15.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 57(1): 1-10, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20018224

RESUMEN

The risk-reducing effect of a potential reduced-risk tobacco product (PRRP) can be investigated conceptually in a long-term, prospective study of disease risks among cigarette smokers who switch to a PRRP and in appropriate comparison groups. Our objective was to provide guidance for establishing the fundamental design characteristics of a study intended to (1) determine if switching to a PRRP reduces the risk of lung cancer (LC) compared with continued cigarette smoking, and (2) compare, using a non-inferiority approach, the reduction in LC risk among smokers who switched to a PRRP to the reduction in risk among smokers who quit smoking entirely. Using standard statistical methods applied to published data on LC incidence after smoking cessation, we show that the sample size and duration required for a study designed to evaluate the potential for LC risk reduction for an already marketed PRRP, compared with continued smoking, varies depending on the LC risk-reducing effectiveness of the PRRP, from a 5-year study with 8000-30,000 subjects to a 15-year study with <5000 to 10,000 subjects. To assess non-inferiority to quitting, the required sample size tends to be about 10 times greater, again depending on the effectiveness of the PRRP.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares/prevención & control , Modelos Teóricos , Nicotiana/toxicidad , Proyectos de Investigación/estadística & datos numéricos , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/estadística & datos numéricos , Fumar/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Iowa/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/inducido químicamente , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Riesgo , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Tamaño de la Muestra , Fumar/epidemiología , Nicotiana/química
16.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 52(2): 111-7, 2008 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18619511

RESUMEN

This randomized, controlled, forced-switching, open-label, parallel-group, single-center study in 90 male and female adult smokers evaluated six biomarkers of tobacco smoke exposure over a 12-week period of unrestricted smoking in the participants' normal life setting. Baseline biomarker levels were measured, then participants were randomly assigned to switch to an electrically heated cigarette smoking system (EHCSS, Series K) or to continue smoking a conventional cigarette (CC) of similar tar yield (Federal Trade Commission method) for 12 weeks. Compared to Baseline, adult smokers who switched to the EHCSS for 12 weeks in their normal life setting had significantly reduced nicotine equivalents (-33%), total NNAL (a biomarker for NNK, -63%), 1-OHP (a surrogate biomarker for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, -38%), carboxyhemoglobin (a biomarker for carbon monoxide, -23%), 3-HPMA (a biomarker for acrolein, -25%) and S-PMA (a biomarker for benzene, -49%), whereas exposure was stable in the CC control group.


Asunto(s)
Nicotina/orina , Fumar/metabolismo , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/análisis , Adulto , Biomarcadores/análisis , Electricidad , Femenino , Calor , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Breas/química , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
17.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 52(2): 118-21, 2008 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18639603

RESUMEN

This sub-study of a randomized, controlled, forced-switching, open-label, parallel-group, clinical study compared environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) produced when 60 male and female adult smokers switched to a third-generation electrically heated cigarette smoking system (EHCSS), continued to smoke a conventional cigarette (CC), or stopped smoking (No-smoking). Concentrations of air constituents including respirable suspended particulate (RSP), carbon monoxide (CO), ammonia and total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs) and ETS markers including solanesol-related particulate matter (Sol-PM), ultraviolet absorbing particulate matter (UVPM), fluorescent particulate matter (FPM), nicotine and 3-ethenyl pyridine (3-EP) were measured in a ventilated, furnished conference room over a 2-h period on separate occasions for each smoking condition. When the EHCSS was used, concentrations of CO and most ETS markers were in the same range as during no-smoking. Concentrations of ammonia were reduced by 41% and concentrations of other selected constituents of ETS were reduced by 87-99% in the air of a room in which EHCSS cigarettes were smoked as compared to concentrations in the same room when conventional cigarettes were smoked. Switching from conventional cigarette smoking to the EHCSS resulted in substantial reductions in concentrations of several markers of environmental tobacco smoke.


Asunto(s)
Material Particulado/química , Fumar/metabolismo , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/análisis , Amoníaco/química , Monóxido de Carbono/química , Electricidad , Femenino , Fluorescencia , Humanos , Masculino , Nicotina/química , Piridinas/química , Terpenos/química , Factores de Tiempo , Rayos Ultravioleta , Compuestos de Vinilo/química , Compuestos Orgánicos Volátiles/química
18.
Regul Toxicol Pharmacol ; 52(2): 104-10, 2008 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18640172

RESUMEN

This randomized, controlled, forced-switching, open-label, parallel-group, single-center study in 100 male and female adult smokers evaluated 12 biomarkers of tobacco smoke exposure. We measured exposure to the following smoke constituents: nicotine, pyrene, tobacco-specific nitrosamines, three aromatic amines, carbon monoxide, benzene, acrolein, crotonaldehyde, and 1,3-butadiene. After baseline exposure determination, adult smokers of a conventional cigarette (CC) were switched to an electrically heated cigarette smoking system (EHCSS, Series K), continued smoking the CC, or stopped smoking (No-smoking) for 8 days in a controlled, confined, clinical setting. In the EHCSS group, the mean decrease from Baseline to Day 8 in the biomarkers of exposure ranged from 16% to 77% at Day 8 compared to Baseline. After adjusting for the residual effect (carryover effects due to long elimination half-life and non-tobacco confounding sources of exposure), the mean percent decrease from Baseline for all 12 biomarkers ranged from 47% to 90%. In conclusion, switching for 8 days from a conventional cigarette to the EHCSS substantially reduced exposure of adult smokers to several constituents of both the particulate and gas phases of cigarette smoke.


Asunto(s)
Material Particulado/química , Fumar/metabolismo , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/análisis , Adulto , Biomarcadores/análisis , Electricidad , Femenino , Semivida , Calor , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
19.
J Clin Pharmacol ; 48(5): 580-91, 2008 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18319361

RESUMEN

This randomized, controlled, forced-switching, open-label, parallel-group study in 97 adult male and female smokers of conventional cigarettes evaluated biomarkers of tobacco smoke exposure and cardiovascular risk factors. After baseline measurements, smokers were either switched to a second-generation electrically heated cigarette smoking system (EHCSS) or continued smoking conventional cigarettes for 12 months. Biomarkers of exposure and cardiovascular risk factors were measured at 0.5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, and 12 months. There was a rapid and sustained reduction in all biomarkers of exposure after switching to the EHCSS, with statistically significant reductions from baseline in nicotine equivalents (-18%), plasma cotinine (-16%), total 4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanol (-73%), total 1-hydroxypyrene (-53%), urine mutagenicity (-52%), 4-aminobiphenyl hemoglobin adducts (-43%), carboxyhemoglobin AUC7-23 h (-80%), and 3-hydroxypropylmercapturic acid (-35%). These reductions in exposure in the EHCSS group were associated with statistically significant and pathophysiologically favorable changes in several cardiovascular risk factors, including white blood cell count (-0.78 x 10(3)/microL), hemoglobin (-0.16 g/dL), hematocrit (-0.44%), urine 11-dehydrothromboxane B2 (-374 ng/24 h), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (+5 mg/dL).


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores/análisis , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Fumar/efectos adversos , Adulto , Biomarcadores/sangre , Biomarcadores/orina , Carboxihemoglobina/orina , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/orina , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , Cotinina/sangre , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mutágenos/análisis , Nicotina/orina , Agonistas Nicotínicos , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar/sangre , Fumar/orina , Tromboxano B2/análogos & derivados , Tromboxano B2/orina
20.
J Clin Pharmacol ; 47(4): 518-30, 2007 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17389561

RESUMEN

This randomized, controlled, forced-switching, open-label, parallel-group study in 100 adult male and female smokers of conventional cigarettes evaluated 8 biomarkers of tobacco smoke exposure. After baseline exposure determinations, adult smokers were switched to a second-generation electrically heated cigarette smoking system (EHCSS) for 8 days in a clinical setting. After 8 days of smoking the EHCSS biomarkers of exposure decreased by 43% to 85% compared to baseline. After correction for residual effects (carryover effects due to long elimination half-life and non-tobacco-confounding sources of exposure), reductions in exposure ranged from 59% to 97%. Results from this short-term clinical exposure study indicate that switching from a conventional cigarette to a second-generation electrically heated cigarette smoking system substantially reduced the exposure to several measured potentially harmful constituents of tobacco smoke.


Asunto(s)
Fumar/metabolismo , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/análisis , Adulto , Anciano , Biomarcadores/orina , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nicotina/orina , Fumar/orina , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco/efectos adversos
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