Incidence and Mortality of Cancers in Female Genital Organs - China, 2022.

Introduction: This study presented the incidence and mortality rates of cancers affecting the female genital organs in China, along with their trends spanning from 2010 to 2018. Methods: 700 population-based cancer registries provided relevant cancer incidence and mortality data for the year 2018. Among these, 106 registries had continuous monitoring data suitable for trend analysis from 2010 to 2018. We focused specifically on cancers affecting female genital organs (ICD10=C51-C54, C56) and projected their incidences and mortalities in China for 2022 based on data from 2018 and the trends observed from 2010 to 2018. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) were calculated using Segi's world standard population. Results: In 2022, there were an estimated 296,300 new cases and 104,900 deaths from female cancers in China. ASIRs for vulva (C51), vagina (C52), cervix uteri (C53), corpus uteri (C54), and ovary (C56) were 0.32, 0.23, 13.83, 6.84, and 5.68 per 100,000 population. ASIRs for corpus uteri and ovary cancers were higher in urban areas. ASMRs for vulva, vagina, cervix, corpus uteri, and ovary cancers were 0.14, 0.08, 4.54, 1.05, and 2.64 per 100,000 population, respectively. ASMR for ovarian cancer was higher in urban areas. ASIRs and ASMRs for most female genital organ cancers increased from 2010 to 2018, although the rate of increase for vulvar and cervical cancers in rural areas has slowed recently. Conclusions: Tailored cancer prevention and control programs specific to each region are necessary to address the growing disease burden.

Trends of gastric cancer burdens attributable to risk factors in China from 2000 to 2050.

Background: The incidence of gastric cancer (GC) decreased in past decades, which was thought largely attributable to risk factors control, yet China still accounts for 44% of global GC burdens. We aimed to estimate changing trajectories of proportions of GC burdens attributable to modifiable risk factors from 2000 to 2050 in China, to inform future targeted preventive strategies. Methods: The incidence and new cases of GC were predicted to 2050 using Bayesian age-period-cohort model based on incidence data by anatomical subsites drawn from 682 cancer registries from National Central Cancer Registry. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated based on prevalence of risk factors and relative risks with GC. Temporal trends of PAFs were described by sex and categories of risk factors using joinpoint analysis. Findings: We observed declining trends of PAFs of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection, smoking, pickled vegetable and alcohol consumption, but increasing trends of PAFs of unhealthy body mass index and diabetes for GC in China. The combined PAFs of these risk factors were estimated to decrease by 10.57% from 2000 to 2050 for GC. We estimated there will be 279,707 GC (122,796 cardia gastric cancer [CGC] and 156,911 non-cardia gastric cancer [NCGC]) cases in 2050. Out of these cases, 70.18% of GC cases could be attributable to modifiable risk factors, while H. pylori infection was predicted to be responsible for 40.7% of CGC and 62.1% of NCGC cases in 2050. Interpretation: More than half of GC remained attributable to modifiable risk factors in China. Continued effective strategies on risk factors control are needed to reduce the burden of this highly life-threatening cancer in future. Funding: Beijing Nova Program (No. Z201100006820069), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-023), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-010), Talent Incentive Program of Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (Hope Star).

Global, regional, and national lifetime risks of developing and dying from gastrointestinal cancers in 185 countries: a population-based systematic analysis of GLOBOCAN.

BACKGROUND: Gastrointestinal cancers account for a quarter of the global cancer incidence and a third of cancer-related deaths. We sought to estimate the lifetime risks of developing and dying from gastrointestinal cancers at the country, world region, and global levels in 2020. METHODS: For this population-based systematic analysis, we obtained estimates of gastrointestinal cancer incidence and mortality rates from GLOBOCAN for 185 countries, alongside all-cause mortality and population data from the UN. Countries were categorised into quartiles of the Human Development Index (HDI). The lifetime risk of gastrointestinal cancers was estimated with a standard method that adjusts for multiple primaries, taking into account competing risks of death from causes other than cancer and life expectancy. FINDINGS: The global lifetime risks of developing and dying from gastrointestinal cancers from birth to death was 8·20% (95% CI 8·18-8·21) and 6·17% (6·16-6·18) in 2020. For men, the risk of developing gastrointestinal cancers was 9·53% (95% CI 9·51-9·55) and of dying from them 7·23% (7·22-7·25); for women, the risk of developing gastrointestinal cancers was 6·84% (6·82-6·85) and of dying from them 5·09% (5·08-5·10). Colorectal cancer presented the highest risk, accounting for 38·5% of the total lifetime risk of developing, and 28·2% of dying from, gastrointestinal cancers, followed by cancers of the stomach, liver, oesophagus, pancreas, and gallbladder. Eastern Asia has the highest lifetime risks for cancers of the stomach, liver, oesophagus, and gallbladder, Australia and New Zealand for colorectal cancer, and Western Europe for pancreatic cancer. The lifetime risk of gastrointestinal cancers increased consistently with increasing level of HDI; however, high HDI countries (the third HDI quartile) had the highest death risk. INTERPRETATION: The global lifetime risk of gastrointestinal cancers translates to one in 12 people developing, and one in 16 people dying from, gastrointestinal cancers. The identified high risk and observed disparities across countries warrants context-specific targeted gastrointestinal cancer control and health systems planning. FUNDING: Beijing Nova Program, CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, and Talent Incentive Program of Cancer Hospital, CAMS (Hope Star).

Mobilizing China and the Global Community to Confront the Treatment Desert for Pediatric Solid Tumors.

SUMMARY: Pediatric solid tumors are distinct clinical entities that impose heavy socioeconomic burden and while their incidence has increased in recent years, treatment options are often limited, with only 27 drugs approved for pediatric solid tumors in the United States, and fewer still, 13, in China. The scale of the unmet medical need is immense and new efforts are urgently needed to develop efficient therapeutics and improve these children's lives.

Geographic, sex and socioeconomic disparities in esophageal cancer incidence in China: A population-based study.

Geographic and sex differences in esophageal cancer have been reported in China, but data are lacking at the local level. We aimed to investigate geographic and sex disparities in esophageal cancer incidence among Chinese counties and whether county-level socioeconomic status was associated with these variations. We obtained esophageal cancer data from 2015 to 2017 for 782 counties from population-based cancer registries in China. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates and male-to-female incidence rate ratios (IRRs) by county. We performed hotspot analysis to identify geographical clusters. We used negative binomial regression models to analyze the association between incidence rates and county-level socioeconomic factors. There were significant geographic disparities in esophageal cancer incidence, with 8.1 times higher rate in the 90th-percentile county than in the 10th-percentile county (23.7 vs 2.9 per 100 000 person-years). Clusters of elevated rates were prominent across north-central China. Nationally, men had 2.9 times higher incidence of esophageal cancer than women. By county, the male-to-female IRRs ranged from 1.1 to 21.1. Clusters of high male-to-female IRRs were observed in northeast China. Rurality (IRR 1.16, 95% CI 1.10-1.22), per capita gross domestic product (IRR 0.95, 0.92-0.98) and percentage of people with a high school diploma (IRR 0.86, 0.84-0.87) in a county were significantly associated with esophageal cancer incidence. The male-to-female IRRs were higher in counties with higher socioeconomic status. Substantial differences in incidence rates and sex ratios of esophageal cancer exist between Chinese counties, and county-level socioeconomic status was associated with these variations. These findings may inform interventions to reduce these disparities.

Global, regional, and national lifetime probabilities of developing cancer in 2020.

The lifetime risk of cancer is a measure of the cumulative risk of cancer over a specific age range and has a clear, intuitive appeal. However, comparative assessments of cancer-specific risk across populations are limited. We used the adjusted for multiple primaries method to estimate the lifetime risk of cancer from the obtained data from GLOBOCAN for 185 countries/regions for the year 2020, alongside all-cause mortality and population data from the United Nations. The estimated global lifetime risk of cancer from birth to death was 25.10% (95% confidence interval (CI): 25.08%-25.11%) in 2020; the risk was 26.27% (95% CI: 26.24%-26.30%) in men and 23.96% (95% CI: 23.93%-23.98%) in women. Significant differences were observed in the risks between countries/regions within world areas and by the human development level. The lifetime risk of cancer was 38.48%, 25.38%, 11.36%, and 10.34% in countries/regions with very high, high, medium, and low Human Development Index, respectively. Globally, prostate and breast cancers were associated with the greatest lifetime risks among men and women (4.65% and 5.90%, respectively). The lifetime risk of cancer decreased with age, with a remaining risk of 12.61% (95% CI: 12.60%-12.63%) from the age of 70 years. The lifetime risk from birth to death translates to approximately one in four persons developing cancer, with men and women having similar risk levels. The identified age-specific variations in cancer risk at the population level can provide crucial information to support targeted cancer prevention and health system planning.

Primary malignant bone tumors incidence, mortality, and trends in China from 2000 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Primary malignant bone tumors are uncommon, and their epidemiological features are rarely reported. We aimed to study the incidence and death characteristics of bone tumors from 2000 to 2015. METHODS: Population-based cancer registries submitted registry data to National Central Cancer Registry of China (NCCRC). The data collected from 501 local cancer registries in China were assessed using NCCRC screening methods and criteria. Incidence and mortality rates of primary bone tumor were stratified by age group, gender, and area. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were adjusted using the Chinese standard population in 2000 and Segi's world population. The annual percentage change (APC) in rate was calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program. RESULTS: Data from 368 registries met quality control criteria, of which 134 and 234 were from urban and rural areas, respectively. The data covered 309,553,499 persons. The crude incidence, age-standardized incidence, and crude mortality rates were 1.77, 1.35, and 1.31 per 100,000, respectively. Incidence and mortality rates were higher in males than those in females; they showed downward trends, with declines of 2.2% and 4.8% per year, respectively, and the rates in urban areas were lower than those in rural areas. Significant declining trends were observed in urban areas. Stable trends were seen in rural areas during 2000 to 2007, followed by downward trends. Age-specific incidence and mortality rates showed stable trends in the age group of 0 to 19 years, and downward trends in the age group elder than 19 years. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and mortality rates of primary malignant bone tumors in rural areas were higher compared to those in urban areas. Targeted prevention measures are required to monitor and control bone tumor incidence and improve the quality of life of affected patients. This research can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of bone tumors, as well as basic information for follow-up research.

The occurence of cancer in ageing populations at global and regional levels, 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: population ageing contributes to increased cancer cases and deaths and has profound implications for global healthcare systems. We estimated the trends of cancer cases and deaths in ageing populations at global and regional levels. METHODS: using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analysed the change in cancer cases and deaths associated with population ageing, population growth and epidemiological factors from 1990 to 2019 using decomposition analysis. Additionally, we estimated the proportions of people aged 65 years and over accounting for total cases and deaths, and investigated relationships between the proportions and the Sociodemographic Index (SDI) using the Pearson correlation coefficient. RESULTS: from 1990 to 2019, there was an increase of 128.9% for total cases and 74.8% for total deaths in all cancers combined; the percentages of older people increased from 48.6% to 56.4% for cases and from 52.0% to 61.9% for deaths. Population ageing contributed to the largest increase in global cancer occurrence, with 56.5% for cases and 63.3% for deaths. However, the changes attributed to epidemiological factors was 5.2% for cancer cases and -33.4% for cancer deaths. The proportions of total cases and deaths of older adults were positively correlated with socioeconomic development of the country. CONCLUSION: our findings revealed that the main contributor to increased cancer cases and deaths has changed from comprehensive epidemiological factors to demographic shifts. To respond to the rapidly growing occurrence of cancer in ageing populations, the global health priority should focus on meeting the rising demand for cancer diagnosis, treatment and care services for older people.

Changes in Geographic Variation and Socioeconomic Inequalities in Esophageal Cancer Mortality in China, 1973-2017.

BACKGROUND: Geographic variability in esophageal cancer has been reported in China, but data are lacking at the local level. We aimed to investigate changes in disparities in esophageal cancer-related mortality among Chinese counties and whether county-level socioeconomic status was associated with this variation. METHODS: We used data from a nationwide survey and population-based cancer registries to calculate esophageal cancer-related mortality rates for 782 Chinese counties for the periods of 1973-1975 and 2015-2017. We performed hotspot analysis to identify spatial clusters. We used a multivariable negative binomial regression model to estimate the associations between county-level socioeconomic factors and mortality. RESULTS: From 1973-1975 to 2015-2017, the age-standardized esophageal cancer-related mortality rate decreased from 27 to 8 per 100,000 person-years in China. By county, 577 (74%) of 782 counties experienced decreasing mortality. Geographic disparities in mortality substantially narrowed, with the gap in mortality rates between 90th and 10th percentile counties decreasing from 55 per 100,000 person-years in 1973-1975 to 16 in 2015-2017. However, clusters of elevated rates persisted across north-central China. Rurality [adjusted mortality rate ratio (MRR) 1.15; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-1.21], per capita gross domestic product (adjusted MRR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91-0.98), and percentage of people with a high-school diploma (adjusted MRR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.84-0.87) in a county were significantly associated esophageal cancer-related mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: China has made substantial progress in reducing esophageal cancer-related mortality and disparities, but the intercounty differences remain large. IMPACT: Continued efforts are needed to address the geographical and socioeconomic disparities in esophageal cancer.

Years lived with disability of cancer in China: findings from disability weights measurement with a focus on the effect of disease burden.

Disability weights are crucial for quantifying health loss associated with non-fatal outcomes and were not well assessed in different countries, especially for specific cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to identify disability weights with a focus on specific cancer in a large Chinese population. Two types of web surveys were conducted, and 254 health states, including 30 new states for specific cancer, were investigated using paired comparison methods. The years lived with disability (YLDs) of cancer were calculated as the sum of the prevalence of each sequela of cancer multiplied by its relative disability weight. In total, 44,069 participants were eligible for the disability weights study. The disability weights of 254 health states were estimated. Among those, the disability weights of 18 specific cancer types varied greatly at diagnosis and primary treatment stage, with the value ranging from 0.619 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 0.606-0.632) for brain cancer to 0.167 (95% UI 0.158-0.176) for oropharyngeal cancer. The discrepancy in YLDs calculated by different disability weights was high, and the largest gap for all cancer combined was approximately 30.14%. When calculated using the cancer-specific disability weights, a total of 1,967,830 (95% UI 1,928,880-2,008,060) YLDs of cancer were recorded in China. The disability weights of cancer varied greatly among cancer types and populations, which had considerable influence on the estimation of the disease burden. Cancer-specific disability weights could provide a more accurate evaluation of the cancer burden.

Trends in Incidence Rates, Mortality Rates, and Age-Period-Cohort Effects of Female Breast Cancer - China, 2003-2017.

Introduction: This study reported the trends in female breast cancer incidence and mortality rates in China, and analyzed the corresponding age-period-cohort effects. Methods: Data from 22 population-based cancer registries in China between 2003 and 2017 were analyzed. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and mortality rates (ASMR) were calculated using Segi's world standard population. Joinpoint regression was employed to evaluate trends, and age-period-cohort effects were examined using the intrinsic estimator method. Results: The ASIR for female breast cancer exhibited a more rapid increase in rural areas compared to urban areas across all age groups. The most substantial increase was observed in the 20-34 age group in rural areas [annual percent change (APC)=9.0%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 7.0%-11.0%, P<0.001]. The ASMR for females under 50 years old remained stable from 2003 to 2017 in both urban and rural areas. However, the ASMR for females over 50 in rural areas and those over 65 in urban areas demonstrated a significant increase, with the most pronounced increase observed among females over 65 in rural areas (APC=4.9%, 95% CI: 2.8%-7.0%, P<0.001). Age-period-cohort analysis revealed increasing period effects and decreasing cohort effects for female breast cancer incidence and mortality rates in both urban and rural settings. Notably, the cohort effect for incidence displayed a slight upward trend for females born between 1983 and 1992 in rural areas. Conclusions: Our study revealed a rapid increase in breast cancer incidence among younger generations and an accelerated mortality rate in older populations residing in rural areas. To effectively address the growing burden of female breast cancer in China, it is essential to develop and implement targeted intervention strategies.

Incidence and survival of neuroendocrine neoplasms in China with comparison to the United States.

BACKGROUND: Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are rare tumors characterized by variable biology and delayed diagnosis. However, the nationwide epidemiology of NENs has never been reported in China. We aimed to estimate the incidence and survival statistics of NENs in China, in comparison to those in the United States during the same period. METHODS: Based on the data from 246 population-based cancer registries covering 272.5 million people of China, we calculated age-specific incidence on NENs in 2017 and multiplied by corresponding national population to estimate the nationwide incidence in China. The data of 22 population-based cancer registries were used to estimate the trends of NENs incidence from 2000 to 2017 through the Joinpoint regression model. We used the cohort approach to analyze the 5-year age-standardized relative survival by sex, age group, and urban-rural area between 2008 and 2013, based on data from 176 high-quality cancer registries. We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 18 program to estimate the comparable incidence and survival of NENs in the United States. RESULTS: The overall age-standardized rate (ASR) of NENs incidence was lower in China (1.14 per 100,000) than in the United States (6.26 per 100,000). The most common primary sites were lungs, pancreas, stomach, and rectum in China. The ASRs of NENs incidence increased by 9.8% and 3.6% per year in China and the United States, respectively. The overall 5-year relative survival in China (36.2%) was lower than in the United States (63.9%). The 5-year relative survival was higher for female patients than male patients, and was higher in urban areas than in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: The disparities in burden of NENs persist across sex, area, age group, and site in China and the United States. These findings may provide a scientific basis on prevention and control of NENs in the two countries.

The burden of appendicitis and surgical site infection of appendectomy worldwide.

INTRODUCTION: Appendicitis is a global abdominal disease and is often treated by appendectomy. Surgical site infection (SSI) is a common complication after an appendectomy that causes a significant burden on health systems. This study aimed to evaluate the trends and variations in the burden of appendicitis by year, region, socioeconomic status, and health expenditure and to assess associated SSI by appendicitis burden, surgical approach, and type of appendicitis. METHODOLOGY: Data on Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) and the human development index were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study and the United Nations Development Programme, respectively. Studies on SSI after appendectomy using the uniform definition and published in 1990-2021 were retrieved. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the global age-standardized DALY rate of appendicitis decreased by 53.14%, with the highest burdens in Latin America and Africa. The burden of appendicitis was significantly negatively correlated with HDI (r = -0.743, p<0.001) and health expenditure (r = -0.287, p<0.001). Among 320 published studies on SSI after an appendectomy, 78.44% of studies did not report criteria for SSI diagnosis or adopt a uniform definition. In total, 69 studies with uniform SSI definitions were included. Studies with uniform SSI definitions were recorded poorly in regions with a heavy burden of appendicitis. The SSI of appendectomy was positively correlated with open appendectomy and complicated appendicitis. CONCLUSIONS: Uniform SSI definition, promotion of laparoscopic technology, and establishment of SSI special management are needed to decrease the burden of SSI after an appendectomy, especially in developing countries.

Self-Reported Primary Cooking Fuels Use and Risk of Chronic Digestive Diseases: A Prospective Cohort Study of 0.5 Million Chinese Adults.

BACKGROUND: Household air pollution (HAP) from inefficient combustion of solid fuels is a major health concern worldwide. However, prospective evidence on the health impacts of solid cooking fuels and risks of chronic digestive diseases remains scarce. OBJECTIVES: We explored the effects of self-reported primary cooking fuels on the incidence of chronic digestive diseases. METHODS: The China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 512,726 participants 30-79 years of age from 10 regions across China. Information on primary cooking fuels at the current and previous two residences was collected via self-reporting at baseline. Incidence of chronic digestive diseases was identified through electronic linkage and active follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations of self-reported long-term cooking fuel patterns and weighted duration of self-reported solid cooking fuel use with chronic digestive diseases incidence. Linear trend was tested by assigning the medians of weighted duration in each group and then taking those as continuous variables in the models. Subgroup analyses were undertaken across the baseline characteristics of participants. RESULTS: During 9.1±1.6 y of follow-up, 16,810 new cases of chronic digestive diseases were documented, among which 6,460 were diagnosed as cancers. Compared with long-term cleaner fuel use, self-reported long-term use of solid cooking fuels (i.e., coal, wood) was associated with elevated risks of chronic digestive diseases (HR=1.08; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.13), including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (HR=1.43; 95% CI: 1.10, 1.87), hepatic fibrosis/cirrhosis (HR=1.35; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.73), cholecystitis (HR=1.19; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.32), and peptic ulcers (HR=1.15; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.33). The longer the weighted duration of self-reported solid cooking fuel use, the higher the risks of chronic digestive diseases, hepatic fibrosis/cirrhosis, peptic ulcers, and esophageal cancer (pTrend<0.05). The aforementioned associations were modified by sex and body mass index (BMI). Positive associations of always solid cooking fuel use with chronic digestive disease, hepatic fibrosis/cirrhosis, NAFLD, and cholecystitis were observed among women but not men. The longer the weighted duration of self-reported solid cooking fuel use, the higher the risk of NAFLD among those with a BMI ≥28 kg/m2. DISCUSSION: Long-term self-reported solid cooking fuels use was associated with higher risks of chronic digestive diseases. The positive association of HAP from solid cooking fuels with chronic digestive diseases indicates for an imminent promotion of cleaner fuels as public health interventions. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP10486.

Hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma incidence between 2006 and 2015 in China: estimates based on data from 188 population-based cancer registries.

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) are the most common subtypes of primary liver cancer, but nationwide incidence of both liver cancer subtypes have never been reported in China. We aimed to estimate the most recent incidence of HCC and ICC and temporal trends in China based on the most updated data from high qualified population-based cancer registries (covering 13.1% of the national population), in comparison to those in the United States at the same period. Methods: We used data from 188 Chinese population-based cancer registries covering 180.6 million population of China to estimate the nationwide incidence of HCC and ICC in 2015. And 22 population-based cancer registries' data were used to estimate the trends of HCC and ICC incidence from 2006 to 2015. Multiple imputation by chained equations method was used to impute liver cancer cases with unknown subtype (50.8%). We used data from 18 population-based registries from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program to analyze incidence of HCC and ICC in the United States. Results: In China, an estimated 301,500 and 61,900 newly diagnosed HCC and ICC occurred in 2015. The overall age-standardized rates (ASRs) of HCC incidence decreased by 3.9% per year. For ICC incidence, the overall ASR was relatively stable, but increased in the population of over 65 years old. Subgroup analysis by age showed that the ASR of HCC incidence had the sharpest decline in population who were less than 14 years old and received neonatally hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination. In the United States, though the incidence of HCC and ICC were lower than those in China, the overall HCC and ICC incidence increased by 3.3% and 9.2% per year. Conclusions: China still faces with a heavy burden of liver cancer incidence. Our results may further support the beneficial effect of Hepatitis B vaccination on reduction of HCC incidence. Both healthy lifestyle promotion and infection control are needed for future liver cancer control and prevention for China and the United States.

Disparities in stage at diagnosis among breast cancer molecular subtypes in China.

BACKGROUND: Disease stage at diagnosis and molecular subtypes are the main determinants of breast cancer treatment strategies and prognosis. We aimed at examining the disparities and factors associated with the stage at diagnosis among the molecular subtypes in breast cancer patients in China. METHODS: We identified patients with first primary breast cancer diagnosed between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2017, from 23 hospitals in 12 provinces in China. We analyzed the proportion of non-early-stage (stages II-IV) breast cancer cases based on the family history of breast cancer, body mass index (BMI), insurance status, and molecular subtypes. Multivariable analyses were used to estimate the factors associated with non-early-stage diagnosis among the molecular subtypes. We further compared these estimates with that in the United States using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. RESULTS: A total of 9398 Chinese were identified with first primary invasive breast cancer. Of the 8767 patients with known stages, the human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-enriched subtype had the highest proportion of stages II-IV (76.6%) patients, followed by triple-negative breast cancer (73.2%), luminal B (69.9%), and luminal A (62.3%). The percentage of non-early-stage patients was higher in women with overweight or obesity than in those with a body mass index (BMI) <25 kg/m2 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.4). Patients with a family history of breast cancer had a higher likelihood of early-stage (adjusted OR 0.7, 0.5-0.8) breast cancer. Patients with rural insurance had a substantially higher risk of non-early-stage disease than those with urban insurance (adjusted OR 1.8, 1.4-2.2). Regarding the subtype, being overweight/obese only increased the risk of non-early-stage in luminal A breast cancer. Compared with the United States, China had a higher proportion of non-early-stage breast cancer for all subtypes, with the largest gap in luminal A (adjusted OR 2.2, 95% CI 2.0-2.4). CONCLUSION: The wide disparities in stage at breast cancer diagnosis imply that China urgently needs to improve early breast cancer diagnosis and health equity.

Endoscopic Surveillance for Premalignant Esophageal Lesions: A Community-Based Multicenter, Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Mild and moderate dysplasia are major premalignant lesions of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC); however, evidence of the progression risk in patients with these conditions is extremely limited. We aimed to assess the incidence and risk factors for advanced neoplasia in patients with mild-moderate dysplasia. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included patients with mild-moderate dysplasia from 9 regions in rural China. These patients were identified from a community-based ESCC screening program conducted between 2010 and 2016 and were offered endoscopic surveillance until December 2021. We estimated the incidence of advanced esophageal neoplasia, including severe dysplasia, carcinoma in situ, or ESCC, and identified potential risk factors using the Cox regression model. RESULTS: The 1183 patients with mild-moderate dysplasia were followed up over a period of 6.95 years. During follow-up evaluation, 88 patients progressed to advanced neoplasia (7.44%), with an incidence rate of 10.44 per 1000 person-years. The median interval from the progression of mild-moderate dysplasia to advanced neoplasia was 2.39 years (interquartile range, 1.58-4.32 y). A total of 74.47% of patients with mild-moderate dysplasia experienced regression to nondysplasia, and 18.09% showed no lesion progression. Patients with mild-moderate dysplasia who had a family history of esophageal cancer and were age 55 years and older showed 97% higher advanced neoplasia yields than all patients with mild-moderate dysplasia. CONCLUSIONS: In a country with a high incidence of ESCC, patients with mild-moderate dysplasia showed an overall risk of advanced neoplasia progression of 1.04% per year. Patients with mild-moderate dysplasia would be recommended for endoscopic surveillance during the first 2 to 3 years.

Cancer statistics in Chinese older people, 2022: current burden, time trends, and comparisons with the US, Japan, and the Republic of Korea.

Largely due to population ageing, the cancer burden from older people has been rising, which imposed considerable pressure on current Chinese healthcare system. We provide comprehensive information about cancer burden of Chinese older people based on the most recent data from National Central Cancer Registry of China. The logarithmic linear regression was used to project the current cancer burden in 2022, and Joinpoint regression was used for temporal trend analysis from 2000 to 2017. We also estimated cancer statistics of older people in the US, Japan and the Republic of Korea for comparisons. It is estimated that 2.79 million cases and 1.94 million deaths occur for Chinese older people, representing 55.8% and 68.2% of cases and deaths in all population in 2022. The overall cancer incidence rate gradually increased among older women, while the mortality rates declined for both sexes. Notably, approximately 10.0% of all cases and 17.7% of all deaths are from people aged over 80 years, and cancer incidence and mortality in this age group showed upward trends for women. Lung cancer and digestive cancers are the leading cancer types for Chinese older people. Compared with other countries, China has lower incidence rates but higher mortality rates for older people. The rapidly growing burden of prostate cancer, breast cancer, colorectal cancer, and declines in esophageal cancer, stomach cancer, and liver cancer among older people indicate the cancer pattern in China is being in a transition stage to that in developed countries. Our findings imply that it should be the national health priority to meet the growing demands for cancer diagnosis, treatment and care services from the older people as the rapid population ageing in next few decades.

The survival of esophageal cancer by subtype in China with comparison to the United States.

Adenocarcinoma (AC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) are the main subtypes of esophageal cancer (EC), but nationwide survival of both EC subtypes has never been reported in China. Our study aimed to estimate the survival trends of EC by subtype in China and compare them with those in the United States for the same period. We used data from 64 Chinese cancer registries, which included EC patients diagnosed during 2008 and 2015 and followed up until 31st December 2017. The 5-year age-standardized relative survival by subtype, sex, age group and urban or rural area between 2008 and 2017 were analyzed. We stratified survival estimates by calendar period (2008-2009, 2010-2011, 2012-2014 and 2015-2017). Data from the SEER 18 program were calculated to estimate the survival of EC in the United States. A further comparison between the survivals in areas covered and not covered by population-based endoscopic screening programs in China was conducted. A total of 129 962 records were included in the survival analyses. Results revealed that age-standardized 5-year relative survivals for AC and SCC increased in both China and the United States from 2008 to 2017. In 2015 to 2017, 5-year survival from both subtypes in China was better than the United States (SCC: 36.9% vs 18.5%, AC: 34.8% vs 22.3%). The survival for both subtypes was significantly higher in screening areas than in nonscreening areas in China (SCC: 40.6% vs 32.8%; AC: 43.0% vs 31.3%). A survival gap in EC by subtype exists between China and the United States. Our results may support the beneficial effect of population-based endoscopic screening for survival, and may be poised to inform national policy-making in both countries.