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BACKGROUND: We sought to explore the associations of outdoor light at night (LAN) and air pollution with the risk of cerebrovascular disease (CeVD). METHODS: We included a total of 28â 302 participants enrolled in Ningbo, China from 2015 to 2018. Outdoor LAN and air pollution were assessed by Satellite-derived images and land-use regression models. CeVD cases were confirmed by medical records and death certificates and further subdivided into ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 1278 CeVD cases (including 777 ischemic and 133 hemorrhagic stroke cases) were identified during 127â 877 person-years of follow-up. In the single-exposure models, the hazard ratios for CeVD were 1.17 (95% CI, 1.06-1.29) for outdoor LAN, 1.25 (1.12-1.39) for particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm, 1.14 (1.06-1.22) for particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤10 µm, and 1.21 (1.06-1.38) for NO2 in every interquartile range increase. The results were similar for ischemic stroke, whereas no association was observed for hemorrhagic stroke. In the multiple-exposure models, the associations of outdoor LAN and PM with CeVD persisted but not for ischemic stroke. Furthermore, no interaction was observed between outdoor LAN and air pollution. CONCLUSIONS: Levels of exposure to outdoor LAN and air pollution were positively associated with the risk of CeVD. Furthermore, the detrimental effects of outdoor LAN and air pollution might be mutually independent.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Trastornos Cerebrovasculares , Accidente Cerebrovascular Hemorrágico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Trastornos Cerebrovasculares/epidemiología , Trastornos Cerebrovasculares/etiología , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
AIMS: To explore the associations between visit-to-visit lipid variability and risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in a population-based cohort in China. METHODS: We evaluated lipid variability in 30,217 individuals from the Yinzhou Health Information System who had ≥3 recorded lipid measurements during 2010-2014. We used various indicators including standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), variability independent of the mean (VIM), and average real variability (ARV) to quantify the variability in triglycerides, total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Overall, a total of 1305 participants with IHD were identified during the follow-up of 194,421 person-years. Subjects in Q4 had a 21% elevated risk of IHD (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.03-1.41) for LDL-C variability (CV) compared with the reference (Q1). The HRs for Q4 vs Q1 were 1.21 (95% CI: 1.04-1.42) for HDL-C variability, and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.10-1.50) for TC variability. However, no association was observed between triglycerides variability and risk of IHD. CONCLUSIONS: Higher variability in LDL-C, HDL-C, and TC levels was associated with an elevated risk of IHD, suggesting that lipid variability could be considered as an independent risk factor of IHD.
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Isquemia Miocárdica , Triglicéridos , Humanos , Isquemia Miocárdica/sangre , Isquemia Miocárdica/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , China/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Anciano , Adulto , Triglicéridos/sangre , Factores de Riesgo , Lípidos/sangre , LDL-Colesterol/sangre , HDL-Colesterol/sangreRESUMEN
Importance: Emerging studies have suggested that environmental factors are associated with fracture. However, little is known about the association of neighborhood walkability and residential greenness with fracture. Objective: To investigate the association of long-term exposure to walkability and greenness with incident fracture and explore the potential interaction effect. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study recruited participants aged 40 years or older in Ningbo, China from June 2015 to January 2018. Participants were observed for outcomes through February 2023, with data analysis conducted in March 2023. Exposures: Neighborhood walkability was measured by a modified walkability calculation method according to a walk score tool. Residential greenness was assessed by satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) within a 1000-m buffer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident fracture was ascertained according to International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes via the Yinzhou Health Information System. Cox proportional hazards models were fit, with age as time scale to estimate the associations of walkability and greenness with fracture. Potential effect modification was explored by covariates, as well as the interactive effect of walkability and greenness. Results: A total of 23â¯940 participants were included in this study with 13â¯735 being female (57.4%). The mean (SD) age at baseline was 63.4 (9.4) years. During a follow-up period of 134â¯638 person-years, 3322 incident fractures were documented. In the full adjusted model, every IQR increment in neighborhood walkability and residential greenness was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.80-0.89), respectively, for fracture. Furthermore, the association of greenness and fracture was greater with an increase in walkability. The HR (Q4 vs Q1) for greenness was 0.62 (95% CI, 0.46-0.82) in neighborhoods with the highest quartile of walkability. Conclusions and Relevance: This population cohort study suggested that long-term exposure to neighborhood walkability and residential greenness were both associated with lower risk of incident fracture. The benefits of greenness increased in more walkable areas.
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Fracturas Óseas , Sistemas de Información en Salud , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios de Cohortes , China , Análisis de DatosRESUMEN
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The age-specific associations between type 2 diabetes and cancer risk are not fully understood. The aim of this study was to assess how age at diagnosis modifies the associations between type 2 diabetes and cancer risk. METHODS: We used data from the Yinzhou Health Information System, and included 42,279 individuals who were newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between 2010 and 2014, as well as 166,010 age- and sex-matched control individuals without diabetes who were selected randomly from the electronic health records of the entire population. Patients were divided into four age groups according to age at diagnosis: <50, 50-59, 60-69 and ≥70 years. Stratified Cox proportional hazards regression models, with age as the time scale, were used to estimate the HRs and 95% CIs for the associations of type 2 diabetes with the risks of overall and site-specific cancers. Population-attributable fractions were also calculated for outcomes associated with type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: During median follow-up periods of 9.20 and 9.32 years, we identified 15,729 incident cancer cases and 5383 cancer deaths, respectively. Patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes before 50 years of age had the highest relative risks of cancer incidence and mortality, with HRs (95% CI) of 1.35 (1.20, 1.52) for overall cancer incidence, 1.39 (1.11, 1.73) for gastrointestinal cancer incidence, 2.02 (1.50, 2.71) for overall cancer mortality, and 2.82 (1.91, 4.18) for gastrointestinal cancer mortality. Risk estimates decreased gradually with each decade increase in diagnostic age. The population-attributable fractions for overall cancer and gastrointestinal cancer mortality also decreased with increasing age. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The associations of type 2 diabetes with cancer incidence and mortality varied by age at diagnosis, with a higher relative risk among patients who were diagnosed at a younger age.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Neoplasias , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Incidencia , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/etiología , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Neurodegenerative disease has a great adverse impact on population's death and disability worldwide. However, the association of air pollution and residential greenness with neurodegenerative disease and their potential mechanisms still remain uncertain. METHODS: We used data from a population-based prospective cohort in Ningbo, China. Exposure to PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 were assessed by land-use regression (LUR) models and residential greenness was estimated by Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Our primary outcomes were all neurodegenerative diseases, Parkinson's disease (PD) and Alzheimer's disease (AD). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association of air pollution and residential greenness with risk of incident neurodegenerative disease. Furthermore, we also explored the potential mediation relationship and effect modification between greenness and air pollutants. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, we identified a total of 617 incident neurodegenerative diseases, 301 PD and 182 AD. In single-exposure models, PM2.5 was positively associated with all outcomes (e.g. AD hazard ratio (HR): 1.41, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.09-1.84, per interquartile range (IQR) increment), whereas residential greenness showed protective effects (e.g. neurodegenerative disease, HR: 0.82, 95%CI: 0.75-0.90, per IQR increment for NDVI in 1000 m buffer). NO2 was positively associated with risk of neurodegenerative disease and PM10 was associated with neurodegenerative disease and AD. In two-exposure models, after adjustment for PM2.5, the association for greenness generally attenuated towards null. Moreover, we identified the significant modification effect of greenness on PM2.5 on additive and multiplicative scales. CONCLUSION: In this prospective study, we found that exposure to higher residential greenness and lower concentrations of particulate matter were associated with lower risk of neurodegenerative disease, PD and AD. Residential greenness could modify the association of PM2.5 with neurodegenerative disease.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Enfermedades Neurodegenerativas , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedades Neurodegenerativas/epidemiología , Enfermedades Neurodegenerativas/inducido químicamente , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , China/epidemiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cancer is one of the most common causes of death. Excess body weight (EBW), a risk factor for cancer, is highly prevalent in China. We aimed to estimate the number and proportion of cancer deaths attributed to EBW and their changes during 2006-2015 in China. METHODS: Population attributable fractions in 2006, 2010, and 2015 were calculated with 1) prevalence of overweight/obesity, exacted from the China Health and Nutrition Survey conducted in 8-9 provinces of China in 1997, 2000, and 2004; 2) relative risks for EBW and site-specific cancers, obtained from previous studies; 3) data on cancer deaths in 2006, 2010, and 2015, originated from the Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report. RESULTS: In 2015, EBW contributed to 45,918 (3.1% of all) cancer deaths in China, with 24,978 (2.6%) in men and 20,940 (3.8%) in women. By region, the fraction of cancer deaths attributable to EBW ranged from 1.6% (West) to 4.1% (Northeast). Cancers of liver, stomach, and colorectum were the main EBW-attributable cancers. The fractions of cancer deaths attributable to EBW were 2.4% (95%CI: 0.8-4.2%) in 2006, 2.9% (95%CI: 1.0-5.2%) in 2010, and 3.1% (95%CI: 1.0-5.4%) in 2015, respectively, and increased for all gender, region, and cancer site during 2006-2015. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of cancer deaths attributed to EBW was higher in women and Northeastern China, with an upward trend in the recent decade. A combination of comprehensive and individualized measures is necessary to reduce the prevalence of EBW and related cancer burden in China.
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Neoplasias , Obesidad , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Obesidad/epidemiología , Obesidad/complicaciones , Aumento de Peso , Factores de Riesgo , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Sobrepeso/complicaciones , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have reported an association between traffic-related pollution with risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, evidence from prospective studies on the association of walkability and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) with MetS is still scarce. We, therefore, aimed to evaluate the association of long-term exposure to NO2 and walkability with hazards of incident MetS. METHODS: A total of 17,965 participants without MetS diagnosed within one year at baseline were included in our study from a population-based prospective cohort in Yinzhou District, Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, China. Participants were followed up by the regional Health Information System (HIS) until December 15, 2021. MetS was defined based on the criteria of Chinese Diabetes Society (CDS2004). We used walkscore tools, calculating with amenity categories and decay functions, and spatial-temporal land-use regression (LUR) models to estimate walkability and NO2 concentrations. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to examine the association of walkability and NO2 with hazards of MetS incidence reporting with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Overall, we followed up 77,303 person-years and identified 4040 incident cases of MetS in the entire cohort. Higher walkability was inversely associated with incident MetS (HR = 0.94, 95 % CI: 0.91-0.99), whereas NO2 was positively associated with MetS incidence (HR = 1.07, 95 %CI: 1.00-1.15) per interquartile range increment in two-exposure models. Furthermore, we found a significant multiplicative interaction between walkability and NO2. Stronger associations were observed for NO2 and incident MetS among men, smokers, drinkers and participants who aged < 60 years and had higher levels of income. CONCLUSION: In summary, we found living in areas with lower walkability and higher concentrations of NO2 were associated with increased incidence of MetS. The beneficial effect of higher walkability may be attenuated by exposure to NO2.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Síndrome Metabólico , Masculino , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Síndrome Metabólico/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , China/epidemiología , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
AIM: To investigate the associations of baseline body mass index (BMI) and longitudinal BMI trajectories with all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS,: We used data from the diabetes surveillance system of Yinzhou Health Information System with T2DM patients registered from 2010 to 2015. Participants aged ≥ 40 years were included and were followed up until September 30, 2021. The latent class growth mixture model was used to identify different changing patterns in BMI for 5 years from registration. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of baseline BMI and 5-year BMI trajectories with all-cause mortality. RESULTS: We observed a nonlinear association between baseline BMI and all-cause mortality (P for nonlinearity < 0.001), with an increased risk of death for low but not high BMI. However, compared with participants with medium-stable BMI for 5 years from baseline, individuals with increasing BMI had higher mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) 1.21 (1.02;1.43) for early-increasing and 1.47 (1.19;1.80) for late-sharp increasing groups. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that while obesity itself may not be associated with an increased risk for mortality, weight gain, and in particular rapid weight gain, is a risk factor for mortality among patients with T2DM.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Humanos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Obesidad/complicaciones , Obesidad/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Aumento de PesoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Walkability has been considered to be associated with metabolic and cardiovascular diseases, but the relationship between walkability and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains unclear. Moreover, fine particulate matter (PM2.5), possibly positively correlated to walkability, may lead to an increased risk of COPD. The separate and joint effects of PM2.5 and walkability on risk of COPD were explored in our study. METHODS: We used prospective data of 29,572 participants from the Yinzhou cohort in Ningbo, China. COPD cases were diagnosed based on the Yinzhou Health Information System (YHIS). Walkability was measured using walk score in relation to the built environment based on geographic information systems (GIS). Air pollution levels were assessed by fitting land use regression (LUR) models. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationships of PM2.5 and walkability with COPD. Furthermore, we also examined additive and multiplicative interactions between walkability and PM2.5. RESULTS: Overall, a total of 29,572 participants were included in the final analysis and 722 COPD incident cases were identified during 134,846 person-years of follow-up. Compared with subjects with lower walkability, individuals with higher walkability had a decreased risk of COPD (HR = 0.88, 95 % CI: 0.82-0.95) for every IQR increase. By contrast, exposure to PM2.5 (every IQR increase) was associated with an elevated risk of COPD (HR = 1.21, 95 % CI: 1.06-1.37). No interaction between PM2.5 and walkability was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Living in a highly walkable neighborhood could decrease risk of COPD, whereas high levels of PM2.5 were positively associated with COPD. In addition, the beneficial effects of walkability were not attenuated by exposure to PM2.5.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica , Humanos , Material Particulado/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/epidemiología , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/inducido químicamente , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Within the validity of the first-order Born approximation and far-field approximation, the possibility for producing scattered fields with various intensity distributions is discussed. It is shown that when light waves are scattered from a collection of particles with random distribution, the intensity distribution of the scattered field can be manipulated by properly controlling the distribution characteristics of particles in the collection. To illustrate this result, three special cases of a particulate medium are discussed to produce scattered spectral density with Gaussian distributions, circular flattened distributions, and ring-like distributions, respectively.
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The behavior of light waves on scattering from an ellipsoidal quasi-homogeneous particle with arbitrary orientation is discussed within the accuracy of the first-order Born approximation. It is shown that the orientation of a particle plays an important role for the spectral density and for the spectral degree of coherence of the scattered field. Numerical result shows that, when the ellipsoidal particle features rotational symmetry, the profile of the far zone distribution is governed by the polar angle of a particle's orientation, while the orientation of the far zone distribution is governed by the azimuthal angle of a particle's orientation.
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The equivalence theorem of light waves on scattering from two media with different types, i.e. the continuous medium and the particulate medium, is discussed. It is shown that the normalized spectral density or the spectral degree of coherence of the scattered field may demonstrate identical distribution when certain conditions between these two media are satisfied. As an example, the scattering of light waves from a Gaussian-centered quasi-homogeneous medium and from a collection of particles with Gaussian-centered quasi-homogeneous distribution is investigated, and the condition for identical normalized spectral density and the condition for identical spectral degree of coherence of the scattered field are obtained.
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The relationship between the properties of the far-zone field and the characteristics of the scattering medium for an electromagnetic light wave on scattering from a quasi-homogeneous anisotropic medium is investigated. It is shown that the spectral density and the spectral degree of coherence of the scattered field can be factorized as a product of two parts, the one is dependent on the polarization of the incident field, and the other is dependent on the characteristics of the medium. The medium-dependent part displays two reciprocity relations, i.e. the normalized spectral density of the scattered field is proportional to the Fourier transform of the normalized correlation coefficient of the scattering potential, and the spectral degree of coherence of the scattered field is proportional to the Fourier transform of the strength of scattering potential. An example of Gaussian-correlated, quasi-homogeneous, anisotropic medium is discussed to illustrate these reciprocity relations.