Prediction model for hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B with peginterferon-alfa treated based on a response-guided therapy strategy.

BACKGROUND: Models for predicting hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) after nucleos(t)ide analog treatment are rare. AIM: To establish a simple scoring model based on a response-guided therapy (RGT) strategy for predicting HBeAg seroconversion and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) clearance. METHODS: In this study, 75 previously treated patients with HBeAg-positive CHB underwent a 52-week peginterferon-alfa (PEG-IFNα) treatment and a 24-wk follow-up. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess parameters at baseline, week 12, and week 24 to predict HBeAg seroconversion at 24 wk post-treatment. The two best predictors at each time point were used to establish a prediction model for PEG-IFNα therapy efficacy. Parameters at each time point that met the corresponding optimal cutoff thresholds were scored as 1 or 0. RESULTS: The two most meaningful predictors were HBsAg ≤ 1000 IU/mL and HBeAg ≤ 3 S/CO at baseline, HBsAg ≤ 600 IU/mL and HBeAg ≤ 3 S/CO at week 12, and HBsAg ≤ 300 IU/mL and HBeAg ≤ 2 S/CO at week 24. With a total score of 0 vs 2 at baseline, week 12, and week 24, the response rates were 23.8%, 15.2%, and 11.1% vs 81.8%, 80.0%, and 82.4%, respectively, and the HBsAg clearance rates were 2.4%, 3.0%, and 0.0%, vs 54.5%, 40.0%, and 41.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: We successfully established a predictive model and diagnosis-treatment process using the RGT strategy to predict HBeAg and HBsAg seroconversion in patients with HBeAg-positive CHB undergoing PEG-IFNα therapy.

A new model for predicting the outcome and effectiveness of drug therapy in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A multicenter Chinese study.

BACKGROUND: There are a few models for predicting the outcomes of patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) based on single-center data, but clinicians need more reliable models based on multicenter data to predict the clinical outcomes and effectiveness of drug therapy. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: This retrospective multicenter study analyzed data from 377 patients with SFTS, including a modeling group and a validation group. In the modeling group, the presence of neurologic symptoms was a strong predictor of mortality (odds ratio: 168). Based on neurologic symptoms and the joint indices score, which included age, gastrointestinal bleeding, and the SFTS virus viral load, patients were divided into double-positive, single-positive, and double-negative groups, which had mortality rates of 79.3%, 6.8%, and 0%, respectively. Validation using data on 216 cases from two other hospitals yielded similar results. A subgroup analysis revealed that ribavirin had a significant effect on mortality in the single-positive group (P = 0.006), but not in the double-positive or double-negative group. In the single-positive group, prompt antibiotic use was associated with reduced mortality (7.2% vs 47.4%, P < 0.001), even in individuals without significant granulocytopenia and infection, and early prophylaxis was associated with reduced mortality (9.0% vs. 22.8%, P = 0.008). The infected group included SFTS patients with pneumonia or sepsis, while the noninfected group included patients with no signs of infection. The white blood cell count and levels of C-reactive protein and procalcitonin differed significantly between the infection and non-infection groups (P = 0.020, P = 0.011, and P = 0.003, respectively), although the absolute difference in the medians were small. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: We developed a simple model to predict mortality in patients with SFTS. Our model may help to evaluate the effectiveness of drugs in these patients. In patients with severe SFTS, ribavirin and antibiotics may reduce mortality.

NLR, A Convenient Early-Warning Biomarker of Fatal Outcome in Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome.

Background: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease that greatly threatens public health. This study aimed to examine a convenient early-warning biomarker of fatal outcomes in patients with SFTS to reduce mortality. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed, and patients with confirmed SFTS were enrolled in the top two hospitals in Anhui Province, China from 1 May 2016 to 31 October 2019. The clinical symptoms, laboratory indicators, and treatment data of patients with SFTS were evaluated. All patients with SFTS were followed up till 28 days from the start of admission. The laboratory indicators that could be used to predict the fatal outcome were identified. Results: A total of 228 patients with SFTS were enrolled, 177 patients were enrolled in the survival group, and 51 patients in the death group. The median age of all 228 patients with SFTS was 63 years. Five laboratory indicators (SFTSV viral load, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), ALT, and blood urea nitrogen (BUN)) were identified as the predicting factors of the fatal outcome of patients with SFTS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of SFTSV viral load was the highest (0.919), then NLR (0.849), followed by AST/ALT (0.758), AST (0.738), and BUN (0.709). The efficacy of SFTVS viral load and NLR in predicting fatal outcomes was significantly higher than AST/ALT, AST, and BUN. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves show that the case fatality rate was significantly increased in patients whose SFTSV viral load was higher than 500,000 or NLR higher than 2.0. Gamma-globulin treatment showed a significant difference between the survival group and the death group, and the duration of gamma-globulin that had been proposed should not be <3 days. Conclusion: The SFTSV viral load and NLR showed great efficacy in predicting the fatal outcome of patients with SFTS, and NLR is a convenient and efficient early-warning biomarker that helps healthcare workers focus on patients with high risks of fatal outcomes. The efficacy of gamma-globulin provided a new idea for the treatment of SFTS, which needs further analysis in future studies.

Assessing SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels and lymphocyte/T cell counts in COVID-19 patients revealed initial immune status as a major determinant of disease severity.

The magnitude of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the dynamic changes of immune parameters in patients with the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and their correlation with the disease severity remain unclear. The clinical and laboratory results from 154 confirmed COVID-19 patients were collected. The SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels in patients were estimated using the Ct values of specific RT-PCR tests. The lymphocyte subsets and cytokine profiles in the peripheral blood were analyzed by flow cytometry and specific immunoassays. 154 confirmed COVID-19 patients were clinically examined up to 4 weeks after admission. The initial SARS-CoV-2 RNA Ct values at admission varied, but were comparable in the patient groups classified according to the age, gender, underlying diseases, and disease severity. Three days after admission, significant higher Ct values were found in severe cases. Significantly reduced counts of T cells and T cell subsets were found in patients with old age and underlying diseases at admission and were characteristic for the development of severe COVID-19. Severe COVID-19 developed preferentially in patients with underlying compromised immunity and was not associated with initial virus levels. Higher SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels in severe cases were apparently a result of impaired immune control associated with dysregulation of inflammation.

Discrimination of False Negative Results in RT-PCR Detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNAs in Clinical Specimens by Using an Internal Reference.

Reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is an essential method for specific diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Unfortunately, false negative test results are often reported. In this study, we attempted to determine the principal causes leading to false negative results of RT-PCR detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNAs in respiratory tract specimens. Multiple sputum and throat swab specimens from 161 confirmed COVID-19 patients were tested with a commercial fluorescent RT-PCR kit targeting the ORF1ab and N regions of SARS-CoV-2 genome. The RNA level of a cellular housekeeping gene ribonuclease P/MRP subunit p30 (RPP30) in these specimens was also assessed by RT-PCR. Data for a total of 1052 samples were retrospectively re-analyzed and a strong association between positive results in SARS-CoV-2 RNA tests and high level of RPP30 RNA in respiratory tract specimens was revealed. By using the ROC-AUC analysis, we identified Ct cutoff values for RPP30 RT-PCR which predicted false negative results for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR with high sensitivity (95.03%-95.26%) and specificity (83.72%-98.55%) for respective combination of specimen type and amplification reaction. Using these Ct cutoff values, false negative results could be reliably identified. Therefore, the presence of cellular materials, likely infected host cells, are essential for correct SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection by RT-PCR in patient specimens. RPP30 could serve as an indicator for cellular content, or a surrogate indicator for specimen quality. In addition, our results demonstrated that false negativity accounted for a vast majority of contradicting results in SARS-CoV-2 RNA test by RT-PCR.

Serum Lipid Metabolic Derangement is Associated with Disease Progression During Chronic HBV Infection.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the relationship between serum lipid levels and disease progression during chronic hepatitis B virus infection. METHODS: We selected 73 healthy controls and 163 patients with chronic HBV infection as the study subjects. The chronic HBV infection patients were divided into the HBV carrier group (74 patients), chronic hepatitis B group (71 patients), and liver cirrhosis group (21 patients). The age, gender, body mass index, blood lipid index, liver function index, and HBV DNA levels of all participants were tested and recorded. A t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the data between two groups; data from multiple groups were compared using one-way ANOVA or the Kruskal-Wallis Test. RESULTS: We observed that the serum HDL cholesterol (1.00 ± 0.30 mmol/L in the HBV-infected group, 1.29 ± 0.23 mmol/L in the control group) and APOA (1.29 ± 0.35 mmol/L, 1.36 ± 0.21 mmol/L, respectively) concentrations were significantly lower in the HBV-infected group than in the control group (p < 0.05). As the disease progressed, the blood lipid and lipoprotein values were significantly lower in the cirrhosis group TC (3.26 ± 1.00 mmol/L), HDL cholesterol (0.77 ± 0.33 mmol/L), LDL cholesterol (2.09 ± 0.62 mmol/L), and APOB (0.57 ± 0.18 mmol/L) compared with the control group, the carrier group, and the chronic hepatitis B group (p < 0.05). The serum HBV DNA level was significantly, positively correlated with the blood HDL concentration (carrier group R = 0.340, p = 0.02; chronic hepatitis B group R = 0.329, p = 0.014). There was no correlation between the HBV DNA and lipid levels in patients with cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: Serum lipid metabolic derangement was associated with disease progression during chronic HBV infection. Liver function and blood lipid levels were significantly lower in patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.

Combination therapy based on pegylated interferon alfa improves the therapeutic response of patients with chronic hepatitis B who exhibit high levels of hepatitis B e-antigen at 24 weeks: A retrospective observational study.

Pegylated interferon alpha (PEG-IFN-α) is a first-line treatment for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but its efficacy varies from individual to individual. Early discrimination between responder and non-responder patients is important for optimal clinical management. In addition, low therapeutic efficacy is still a major issue; thus, treatment timing should be optimized.We reviewed our experience with hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg)-positive patients treated with PEG-IFN-α, alone or in combination with nucleoside analogues (NAs), from 2009 through 2014. Collected data included both general characteristics of 113 patients and laboratory data at baseline and at treatment weeks 12, 24, 52, and 76. The endpoint was HBeAg seroconversion at week 76.A total of 113 patients with changed to or start of NAs therapy were included in this study. At the end of treatment, 44 (38.9%) patients exhibited HBeAg seroconversion. Patients with HBeAg seroconversion had lower baseline HBeAg (475.5 vs 751.7; P = .007). The incidence of HBeAg seroconversion was significantly higher among patients with HBeAg ≤ 500 signal-to-cutoff ratio (S/CO) (OR = 2.60, 95% CI: 1.16-5.83, P = .02) at baseline, HBeAg S/CO ≤ 20 (OR = 3.37, 95% CI: 1.47-7.73, P = .003), or a higher than 10-fold HBeAg drop (OR = 3.55, 95% CI: 1.50-8.37, P = .003) at week 12 or HBeAg ≤ 15 S/CO (OR = 10.35, 95% CI: 4.09-26.20, P < .001) at week 24. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that in patients with HBeAg >20 S/CO at 24 weeks, the addition of NAs treatment may increase HBeAg seroconversion (23.3% vs 0%, P = .03).HBeAg levels had an impact on the rate of serological conversion in CHB patients receiving PEG-IFN-based treatment. Combination therapy with NAs should be considered in CHB patients maintaining a high HBeAg level after 24 weeks of PEG-IFN monotherapy.

Host Genetic Determinants of Hepatitis B Virus Infection.

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is still a major health problem worldwide. Recently, a great number of genetic studies based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and genome-wide association studies have been performed to search for host determinants of the development of chronic HBV infection, clinical outcomes, therapeutic efficacy, and responses to hepatitis B vaccines, with a focus on human leukocyte antigens (HLA), cytokine genes, and toll-like receptors. In addition to SNPs, gene insertions/deletions and copy number variants are associated with infection. However, conflicting results have been obtained. In the present review, we summarize the current state of research on host genetic factors and chronic HBV infection, its clinical type, therapies, and hepatitis B vaccine responses and classify published results according to their reliability. The potential roles of host genetic determinants of chronic HBV infection identified in these studies and their clinical significance are discussed. In particular, HLAs were relevant for HBV infection and pathogenesis. Finally, we highlight the need for additional studies with large sample sizes, well-matched study designs, appropriate statistical methods, and validation in multiple populations to improve the treatment of HBV infection.

Serum interleukin-34 level can be an indicator of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection.

AIM: To investigate whether serum interleukin (IL)-34 levels are correlated with hepatic inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. METHODS: In this study, serum IL-34 levels were assessed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 19 healthy controls and 175 patients with chronic HBV infection undergoing biopsy. The frequently used serological markers of liver fibrosis were based on laboratory indexes measured at the Clinical Laboratory of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University. Liver stiffness was detected by transient elastography with FibroTouch. The relationships of non-invasive makers of liver fibrosis and IL-34 levels with inflammation and fibrosis were analyzed. The diagnostic value of IL-34 and other liver fibrosis makers were evaluated using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Serum IL-34 levels were associated with inflammatory activity in the liver, and IL-34 levels differed among phases of chronic HBV infection (P = 0.001). By comparing serum IL-34 levels among patients with various stages of liver fibrosis determined by liver biopsy, we found that IL-34 levels ≥ 15.83 pg/mL had a high sensitivity of 86.6% and a specificity of 78.7% for identifying severe fibrosis (S3-S4). Furthermore, we showed that IL-34 is superior to the fibrosis-4 score, one of the serum makers of liver fibrosis, in identifying severe liver fibrosis and early cirrhosis in patients with HBV-related liver fibrosis in China. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that IL-34, a cytokine involved in the induction of activation of profibrogenic macrophages, can be an indicator of liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Clinical Usefulness of Measuring Red Blood Cell Distribution Width in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure.

BACKGROUND: The red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is increased in chronic liver disease, but its clinical significance in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is still unclear. The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinical significance of RDW in HBV-ACLF patients. METHODS: The medical records of HBV-ACLF patients who were admitted to The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between April 2012 and December 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Correlations between RDW, neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were analyzed using the Spearman's approach. Multivariable stepwise logistic regression test was used to evaluate independent clinical parameters predicting 3-month mortality of HBV-ACLF patients. The association between RDW and hospitalization outcome was estimated by receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis. Patient survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis and subsequently compared by log-rank test. RESULTS: Sixty-two HBV-ACLF patients and sixty CHB patients were enrolled. RDW were increased in HBVACLF patients and positively correlated with the NLR as well as MELD scores. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that RDW value was an independent predictor for mortality. RDW had an area under the ROC of 0.799 in predicting 3-month mortality of HBV-ACLF patients. Patients with HBV-ACLF who had RDW > 17% showed significantly poorer survival than those who had RDW ≤ 17%. CONCLUSIONS: RDW values are significantly increased in patients with HBV-ACLF. Moreover, RDW values are an independent predicting factor for an in-hospital mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Association between TLR7 copy number variations and hepatitis B virus infection outcome in Chinese.

AIM: To explore whether copy number variations (CNVs) of toll-like receptor 7 (TLR7) are associated with susceptibility to chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. METHODS: This study included 623 patients (495 males and 128 females) with chronic hepatitis B virus infection (CHB) and 300 patients (135 females and 165 males) with acute hepatitis B virus infection (AHB) as controls. All CHB patients were further categorized according to disease progression after HBV infection (CHB, liver cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma). Copy numbers of the TLR7 gene were measured using the AccuCopy method. χ2 tests were used to evaluate the association between TLR7 CNVs and infection type. P values, odds ratios, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to estimate the effects of risk. RESULTS: Among male patients, there were significant differences between the AHB group and CHB group in the distribution of TLR7 CNVs. Low copy number of TLR7 was significantly associated with chronic HBV infection (OR = 0.329, 95%CI: 0.229-0.473, P < 0.001). Difference in TLR7 copy number was also found between AHB and CHB female patients, with low copy number again associated with an increased risk of chronic HBV infection (OR = 0.292, 95%CI: 0.173-0.492, P < 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in TLR7 copy number among the three types of chronic HBV infection (CHB, liver cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma). In addition, there was no association between TLR7 copy number and titer of the HBV e antigen. CONCLUSION: Low TLR7 copy number is a risk factor for chronic HBV infection but is not associated with later stages of disease progression.

[Relationship between hepatitis B surface antigen, HBV DNA quantity and liver fibrosis severity].

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlation between serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) level and hepatic tissue pathological staging in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS: Clinical data was collected from our hospital's records for 302 CHB patients with HBsAg-positive status for more than 6 months and who had undergone hepatic biopsy. The HBsAg level,HBV DNA level and other clinical data were measured using commercial diagnostic assays. Liver histology was scored using the GS staging system. Correlation between serum HBsAg quantity, HBV DNA quantity, stage of inflammation and degree of fibrosis was assessed statistically. RESULTS: The correlation of serum HBsAg level and HBV DNA level was notable. The serum HBsAg level was a variable affecting hepatic tissue pathological stage significantly. Serum HBsAg level appeared to be a highly specific and sensitive diagnostic marker of hepatic fibrosis. As the severity of liver fibrosis increased, the quantitative levels of platelet (PLT), HBsAg and HBV DNA gradually decreased, and the APRI index gradually increased; there were significant differences between the groups (all P<0.001). Serum HBsAg and HBV DNA levels in patients with hepatitis B e antigen-positive (HBeAg(+)) status showed strong correlation (r=0.721, P<0.0001) by Spearman analysis. HBeAg(+) patients with moderate to severe fibrosis (S2-4) exhibited significantly lower serum HBsAg and HBV DNA levels compared with patients with no or mild fibrosis (S0-1; t=5.475 and 4.826, P<0.001). ROC analysis suggested that a serum HBsAg cutoff of 4.46 log 10 IU/mL (28 800 IU/mL) would provide a theoretical sensitivity of 76.3%, with theoretical specificity of 70.5% in HBeAg(+) CHB patients. A serum HBV DNA cutoff of 7.13 log 10 IU/mL (1.35*10(7) copies/mL) would provide a theoretical sensitivity of 71.1%, with theoretical specificity of 73.4% in HBeAg(+) CHB patients. Logistic regression analysis showed that the level of HBsAg was an independent prognostic factor of moderate to severe liver fibrosis, with alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, HBsAg, HBV DNA and PLT (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: HBsAg and HBV DNA levels decrease gradually along with aggravation of liver fibrosis. The cutoff values of 28800 IU/mL for HBsAg and 1.35*10(7) copies/mL ofHBV DNA provide higher specificity and sensitivity for predicting the degree of liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive CHB patients, and the former is an independent predictor of severe liver fibrosis.