A genetic variant in granzyme B is associated with progression of joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Genetic factors account for an estimated 45-58% of the variance in joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The serine proteinase granzyme B induces target cell apoptosis, and several in vitro studies suggest that granzyme B is involved in apoptosis of chondrocytes. Serum levels of granzyme B are increased in RA and are also associated with radiographic erosions. The aim of this study was to investigate GZMB as a candidate gene accounting for the severity of joint destruction in RA. METHODS: A total of 1,418 patients with 4,885 radiograph sets of the hands and feet from 4 independent cohorts were studied. First, explorative analyses were performed in 600 RA patients in the Leiden Early Arthritis Clinic cohort. Fifteen single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) tagging GZMB were tested. Significantly associated SNPs were genotyped in data sets representing patients from the Groningen, Sheffield, and Lund cohorts. In each data set, the relative increase in the annual rate of progression in the presence of a genotype was assessed. Data were summarized in a meta-analysis. The association of GZMB with the RNA expression level of the GZMB genomic region was tested by mapping expression quantitative trait loci (QTLs) on 1,469 whole blood samples. RESULTS: SNP rs8192916 was significantly associated with the rate of joint destruction in the first cohort and in the meta-analysis of all data sets. Patients homozygous for the minor allele of rs8192916 had a higher rate of joint destruction per year compared with other patients (P = 7.8 × 10(-4)). Expression QTL of GZMB identified higher expression in the presence of the minor allele of rs8192916 (P = 2.27 × 10(-5)). CONCLUSION: SNP rs8192916 located in GZMB is associated with the progression of joint destruction in RA as well as with RNA expression in whole blood.

Comparison of methodologies for analysing the progression of joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Progression of joint destruction is an important phenotypic feature in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). When factors have small effect sizes, both the avoidance of phenotypic misclassification and discerning true effects from noise are challenging. Assembling radiological measurements repeatedly in time harbours a smaller risk of misclassification than single measurements. Given serial measurements, different methods of analysis can be applied. This study evaluates different statistical methods of analysing longitudinal data. METHODS: Three statistical methods were studied: linear regression (LR), generalized estimating equations (GEE), and multivariate normal regression analysis (MRA). All were applied longitudinally, testing for differences in radiological progression rates. As genetic variants are known to have small effect sizes, two genetic variants were studied as examples: rs675520 (located in the TNFAIP3-OLIG3 region) and the presence of the human leucocyte antigen (HLA) shared epitope (SE) alleles. Radiological data for 602 early RA patients with yearly radiographs and 7-years of follow-up were used. The powers obtained with the methods and the robustness against missingness were evaluated as outcome measures. RESULTS: The presence of the rs675520 polymorphism and the HLA-SE risk genotype was associated with a 0.65-0.77 and 1.17-1.51 fold increased rate of joint destruction, respectively. The analyses performed with MRA resulted in smaller 95% confidence intervals (CIs) than the analyses using LR or GEE. In addition, the 95% CIs increased with the number of radiographs per patient. The power of MRA was higher than that of GEE. MRA was more robust against selective missingness than GEE or LR with a two-step approach (LR(ts)). CONCLUSIONS: A multivariate normal regression model on subsequent radiographs is a powerful and robust method for analysing longitudinal joint destruction data.

Genetic variants in IL15 associate with progression of joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis: a multicohort study.

BACKGROUND: Interleukin (IL)-15 levels are increased in serum, synovium and bone marrow of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). IL-15 influences both the innate and the adaptive immune response; its major role is activation and proliferation of T cells. There are also emerging data that IL-15 affects osteoclastogenesis. The authors investigated the association of genetic variants in IL15 with the rate of joint destruction in RA. METHOD: 1418 patients with 4885 x-ray sets of both hands and feet of four independent data sets were studied. First, explorative analyses were performed on 600 patients with early RA enrolled in the Leiden Early Arthritis Clinic. Twenty-five single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) tagging IL-15 were tested. Second, SNPs with significant associations in the explorative phase were genotyped in data sets from Groningen, Sheffield and Lund. In each data set, the relative increase of the progression rate per year in the presence of a genotype was assessed. Subsequently, data were summarised in an inverse weighting meta-analysis. RESULTS: Five SNPs were significantly associated with rate of joint destruction in phase 1 and typed in the other data sets. Patients homozygous for rs7667746, rs7665842, rs2322182, rs6821171 and rs4371699 had respectively 0.94-, 1.04-, 1.09-, 1.09- and 1.09-fold rate of joint destruction compared to other patients (p=4.0×10(-6), p=3.8×10(-4), p=5.0×10(-3), p=5.0×10(-3) and p=9.4×10(-3)). DISCUSSION: Independent replication was not obtained, possibly due to insufficient power. Meta-analyses of all data sets combined resulted in significant results for four SNPs (rs7667746, p<0.001; rs7665842, p<0.001; rs4371699, p=0.01; rs6821171, p=0.01). These SNPs were also significant after correction for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: Genetic variants in IL-15 are associated with progression of joint destruction in RA.

Toward a data-driven evaluation of the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism criteria for rheumatoid arthritis: is it sensible to look at levels of rheumatoid factor?

OBJECTIVE: Recently, new classification criteria for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have been devised by methodology that used first a quantitative approach (data from databases), then a qualitative approach (consensus; based on paper patients), and finally a common sense-based approach (evaluation of the former phases). Now the individual items that make up these criteria are being evaluated. This study was undertaken to analyze the item "autoantibodies," in particular rheumatoid factor (RF) level. METHODS: Three separate cohorts comprising a total of 972 patients with undifferentiated arthritis were studied for RA development (according to the 1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria) and arthritis persistence. The positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and likelihood ratios (LRs) were compared between different levels of RF and the presence of anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA). A similar comparison was made in 686 RA patients for the rate of joint destruction and achievement of sustained disease-modifying antirheumatic drug-free remission during 7 years of followup. The variation in RF levels obtained by different measurement methods in the same RF-positive sera was explored. RESULTS: Compared to high RF levels, presence of ACPA had a better balance between positive LR and negative LR and between PPV and NPV for RA development. The additive value of ACPA assessment after testing for RF level was higher than vice versa. The association between high RF level and RA severity was not as strong as that between ACPA antibodies and RA severity. The RF level obtained by different methods in the same patients' sera varied considerably. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that determination of RF level is subject to large variation; high RF level has limited additive prognostic value compared to ACPA positivity. Thus, omitting RF level and using RF presence, ACPA presence, and ACPA level may improve the 2010 criteria for RA.

Classification of rheumatoid arthritis: comparison of the 1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria and the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism criteria.

OBJECTIVE: New criteria to classify rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have been derived in order to increase the specificity and sensitivity for early RA compared with the 1987 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria. The aim of this study was to evaluate differences in classification between the 1987 ACR criteria and the 2010 ACR/European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) criteria in an early arthritis cohort and to determine the test characteristics of the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria. METHODS: A total of 2,258 patients with early arthritis included in the Leiden Early Arthritis Clinic cohort were studied. Fulfillment of the 1987 and 2010 criteria for the classification of RA was determined at baseline. The diagnosis of each patient at 1 year was assessed. The sensitivity and specificity of the 2010 criteria were determined using the following outcome measures: initiation of methotrexate therapy or any disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy during the first year of followup and having persistent arthritis during 5 years of followup. RESULTS: At their first presentation, 1,099 patients fulfilled the 2010 criteria, and 726 patients fulfilled the 1987 criteria for RA. Eighty-two of the 726 patients fulfilling the 1987 criteria did not fulfill the 2010 criteria. Sixty-eight percent of the patients who fulfilled the 1987 criteria during the first year of disease but not at baseline did fulfill the 2010 criteria at baseline. In 18% of patients, use of the 2010 classification criteria also led to a revoked classification at 1 year. The sensitivity and specificity of the 2010 criteria were 0.84 and 0.60, respectively, with methotrexate therapy as the outcome and 0.74 and 0.74, respectively, with DMARD therapy as the outcome. With persistent arthritis as the outcome, the sensitivity and specificity of the 2010 criteria were 0.71 and 0.65, respectively. CONCLUSION: Compared with the 1987 criteria, the 2010 criteria classify more patients with RA and at an earlier phase of the disease. The discriminative ability of the 2010 criteria is acceptable.