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BACKGROUND: Several single-center studies proposed utility of vagus nerve (VN) ultrasound for detecting disease severity, autonomic dysfunction, and bulbar phenotype in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, the resulting body of literature shows opposing results, leaving considerable uncertainty on the clinical benefits of VN ultrasound in ALS. METHODS: Relevant studies were identified up to 04/2024 and individual patient data (IPD) obtained from the respective authors were pooled with a so far unpublished cohort (from Munich). An IPD meta-analysis of 109 patients with probable or definite ALS (El Escorial criteria) and available VN cross-sectional area (CSA) was performed, with age, sex, ALS Functional Rating Scale-revised (ALSFRS-R), disease duration, and bulbar phenotype as independent variables. RESULTS: Mean age was 65 years (± 12) and 47% of patients (± 12) had bulbar ALS. Mean ALSFRS-R was 38 (± 7), and mean duration was 18 months (± 18). VN atrophy was highly prevalent [left: 67% (± 5), mean CSA 1.6mm2 (± 0.6); right: 78% (± 21), mean CSA 1.8 mm2 (± 0.7)]. VN CSA correlated with disease duration (mean slope: left - 0.01; right - 0.01), but not with ALSFRS-R (mean slope: left 0.004; mean slope: right - 0.002). Test accuracy for phenotyping bulbar vs. non-bulbar ALS was poor (summary receiver operating characteristic area under the curve: left 0.496; right 0.572). CONCLUSION: VN atrophy in ALS is highly prevalent and correlates with disease duration, but not with ALSFRS-R. VN CSA is insufficient to differentiate bulbar from non-bulbar ALS phenotypes. Further studies are warranted to analyze the link between VN atrophy, autonomic impairment, and survival in ALS.
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Esclerosis Amiotrófica Lateral , Ultrasonografía , Nervio Vago , Esclerosis Amiotrófica Lateral/diagnóstico por imagen , Esclerosis Amiotrófica Lateral/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Anciano , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nervio Vago/diagnóstico por imagenRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Optimal oxygenation targets for patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure in the intensive care unit (ICU) are not clearly defined due to substantial variability in design of previous trials. This study aimed to perform a pre-specified individual patient data meta-analysis of the Handling Oxygenation Targets in the ICU (HOT-ICU) and the Handling Oxygenation Targets in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (HOT-COVID) trials to compare targeting a partial pressure of arterial oxygen (PaO2) of 8-12 kPa in adult ICU patients, assessing both benefits and harms. METHODS: We assessed 90-day all-cause mortality and days alive without life support in 90 days using a generalised mixed model. Heterogeneity of treatment effects (HTE) was evaluated in 14 subgroups, and results graded using the Instrument to assess the Credibility of Effect Modification Analyses (ICEMAN). RESULTS: At 90 days, mortality was 40.4% (724/1792) in the 8 kPa group and 40.9% (733/1793) in the 12 kPa group (risk ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.07; P = 0.80). No difference was observed in number of days alive without life support. Subgroup analyses indicated more days alive without life support in COVID-19 patients targeting 8 kPa (P = 0.04) (moderate credibility), and lower mortality (P = 0.03) and more days alive without life support (P = 0.02) in cancer-patients targeting 12 kPa (low credibility). CONCLUSION: This study reported no overall differences comparing a PaO2 target of 8-12 kPa on mortality or days alive without life support in 90 days. Subgroup analyses suggested HTE in patients with COVID-19 (moderate credibility) and cancer (low credibility).
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COVID-19 , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/terapia , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Oxígeno/sangre , SARS-CoV-2 , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/mortalidad , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/métodos , Masculino , FemeninoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The number of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effects of exercise among cancer survivors has increased in recent years; however, participants dropping out of the trials are rarely described. The objective of the present study was to assess which combinations of participant and exercise program characteristics were associated with dropout from the exercise arms of RCTs among cancer survivors. METHODS: This study used data collected in the Predicting OptimaL cAncer RehabIlitation and Supportive care (POLARIS) study, an international database of RCTs investigating the effects of exercise among cancer survivors. Thirty-four exercise trials, with a total of 2467 patients without metastatic disease randomized to an exercise arm were included. Harmonized studies included a pre and a posttest, and participants were classified as dropouts when missing all assessments at the post-intervention test. Subgroups were identified with a conditional inference tree. RESULTS: Overall, 9.6% of the participants dropped out. Five subgroups were identified in the conditional inference tree based on four significant associations with dropout. Most dropout was observed for participants with BMI >28.4 kg/m2 , performing supervised resistance or unsupervised mixed exercise (19.8% dropout) or had low-medium education and performed aerobic or supervised mixed exercise (13.5%). The lowest dropout was found for participants with BMI >28.4 kg/m2 and high education performing aerobic or supervised mixed exercise (5.1%), and participants with BMI ≤28.4 kg/m2 exercising during (5.2%) or post (9.5%) treatment. CONCLUSIONS: There are several systematic differences between cancer survivors completing and dropping out from exercise trials, possibly affecting the external validity of exercise effects.
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Supervivientes de Cáncer , Neoplasias , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Ejercicio Físico , Terapia por Ejercicio , Neoplasias/rehabilitación , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is a known recipient sex-dependent association between donor sex and kidney transplant survival. We hypothesized that donor age also modifies the association between donor sex and graft survival. METHODS: First, deceased donor kidney transplant recipients (1988-2019, n = 461 364) recorded in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry and the Collaborative Transplant Study were analyzed. We used multivariable Cox regression models to estimate the association between donor sex and death censored graft loss, accounting for the modifying effects of recipient sex and donor age; donor age was categorized as 5-19, 20-34, 35-49, 50-59 and ≥60 years. Results from cohort-specific Cox models were combined using individual patient data meta-analysis. RESULTS: Among female recipients of donors aged <60 years, graft loss hazards did not differ by donor sex; recipients of female donors ≥60 years showed significantly lower graft loss hazards than recipients of male donors of the same age [combined adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.90, 95% CI 0.86-0.94]. Among male recipients, female donors aged <50 years were associated with significantly higher graft loss hazards than same-aged male donors (5-19 years: aHR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.21; 20-34 years: aHR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.15; 35-49 years: aHR 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.10). There were no significant differences in graft loss by donor sex among male recipients of donors aged ≥50 years. CONCLUSION: Donor age modifies the association between donor sex and graft survival. Older female donors were associated with similar or lower hazards of graft failure than older male donors in both male and female recipients, suggesting a better functional reserve of older female donor kidneys.
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Trasplante de Riñón , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Diálisis Renal , Donantes de Tejidos , Riñón , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Sistema de Registros , Supervivencia de Injerto , Rechazo de InjertoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Congenital supravalvular aortic stenosis (SVAS) is a rare form of congenital outflow tract obstruction and long-term outcomes are scarcely reported. This study aims to provide an overview of outcomes after surgical repair for congenital SVAS. METHODS: A systematic review of published literature was conducted, including observational studies reporting long-term clinical outcome (>2 years) after SVAS repair in children or adults considering >20 patients. Early risks, late event rates and time-to-event data were pooled and entered into a microsimulation model to estimate 30-year outcomes. Life expectancy was compared to the age-, sex- and origin-matched general population. RESULTS: Twenty-three publications were included, encompassing a total of 1472 patients (13 125 patient-years; pooled mean follow-up: 9.0 (6.2) years; median follow-up: 6.3 years). Pooled mean age at surgical repair was 4.7 (5.8) years and the most commonly used surgical technique was the single-patch repair (43.6%). Pooled early mortality was 4.2% (95% confidence interval: 3.2-5.5%) and late mortality was 0.61% (95% CI: 0.45-0.83) per patient-year. Based on microsimulation, over a 30-year time horizon, it was estimated that an average patient with SVAS repair (mean age: 4.7 years) had an observed life expectancy that was 90.7% (95% credible interval: 90.0-91.6%) of expected life expectancy in the matched general population. The microsimulation-based 30-year risk of myocardial infarction was 8.1% (95% credible interval: 7.3-9.9%) and reintervention 31.3% (95% credible interval: 29.6-33.4%), of which 27.2% (95% credible interval: 25.8-29.1) due to repair dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: After surgical repair for SVAS, 30-year survival is lower than the matched-general-population survival and the lifetime risk of reintervention is considerable. Therefore, lifelong monitoring of the cardiovascular system and in particular residual stenosis and coronary obstruction is recommended.
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Estenosis Aórtica Supravalvular , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas , Niño , Adulto , Humanos , Preescolar , Estenosis Aórtica Supravalvular/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas/efectos adversos , Reoperación , Constricción Patológica/etiología , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
AIM: Prior studies have reported increased out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) incidence and lower survival during the COVID-19 pandemic. We evaluated how the COVID-19 pandemic affected OHCA incidence, bystander CPR rate and patients' outcomes, accounting for regional COVID-19 incidence and OHCA characteristics. METHODS: Individual patient data meta-analysis of studies which provided a comparison of OHCA incidence during the first pandemic wave (COVID-period) with a reference period of the previous year(s) (pre-COVID period). We computed COVID-19 incidence per 100,000 inhabitants in each of 97 regions per each week and divided it into its quartiles. RESULTS: We considered a total of 49,882 patients in 10 studies. OHCA incidence increased significantly compared to previous years in regions where weekly COVID-19 incidence was in the fourth quartile (>136/100,000/week), and patients in these regions had a lower odds of bystander CPR (OR 0.49, 95%CI 0.29-0.81, p = 0.005). Overall, the COVID-period was associated with an increase in medical etiology (89.2% vs 87.5%, p < 0.001) and OHCAs at home (74.7% vs 67.4%, p < 0.001), and a decrease in shockable initial rhythm (16.5% vs 20.3%, p < 0.001). The COVID-period was independently associated with pre-hospital death (OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.55-1.93, p < 0.001) and negatively associated with survival to hospital admission (OR 0.68, 95%CI 0.64-0.72, p < 0.001) and survival to discharge (OR 0.50, 95%CI 0.46-0.54, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: During the first COVID-19 pandemic wave, there was higher OHCA incidence and lower bystander CPR rate in regions with a high-burden of COVID-19. COVID-19 was also associated with a change in patient characteristics and lower survival independently of COVID-19 incidence in the region where OHCA occurred.
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COVID-19 , Reanimación Cardiopulmonar , Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Paro Cardíaco Extrahospitalario , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/complicaciones , Reanimación Cardiopulmonar/efectos adversos , Pandemias , Paro Cardíaco Extrahospitalario/epidemiología , Paro Cardíaco Extrahospitalario/terapia , Paro Cardíaco Extrahospitalario/etiologíaRESUMEN
Age-related sarcopenia, resulting from a gradual loss in skeletal muscle mass and strength, is pivotal to the increased prevalence of functional limitation among the older adult community. The purpose of this meta-analysis of individual patient data is to investigate the difference in health-related quality of life between sarcopenic individuals and those without the condition using the Sarcopenia Quality of Life (SarQoL) questionnaire. A protocol was published on PROSPERO. Multiple databases and the grey literature were searched until March 2023 for studies reporting quality of life assessed with the SarQoL for patients with and without sarcopenia. Two researchers conducted the systematic review independently. A two-stage meta-analysis was performed. First, crude (mean difference) and adjusted (beta coefficient) effect sizes were calculated within each database; then, a random effect meta-analysis was applied to pool them. Heterogeneity was measured using the Q-test and I2 value. Subgroup analyses were performed to investigate the source of potential heterogeneity. The strength of evidence of this association was assessed using GRADE. From the 413 studies identified, 32 were eventually included, of which 10 were unpublished data studies. Sarcopenic participants displayed significantly reduced health-related quality of life compared with non-sarcopenic individuals (mean difference = -12.32; 95 % CI = [-15.27; -9.37]). The model revealed significant heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses revealed a substantial impact of regions, clinical settings, and diagnostic criteria on the difference in health-related quality of life between sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic individuals. The level of evidence was moderate. This meta-analysis of individual patient data suggested that sarcopenia is associated with lower health-related quality of life measured with SarQoL.
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Calidad de Vida , Sarcopenia , Anciano , Humanos , Prevalencia , Sarcopenia/epidemiología , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
Introduction: Currently, first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), including programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors, are utilized as monotherapy in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with high programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression (â§50%). Pre-treatment or post-treatment serum soluble PD-L1 (sPD-L1) has been identified as a potential biomarker for assessing ICI efficacy through fixed-point observations. However, existing studies on sPD-L1 changes have produced inconsistent results or have had sample sizes too small to detect clinically meaningful effect sizes. To elucidate the role of sPD-L1, we conducted a collaborative individual patient data meta-analysis of PD-1 inhibitor treatments. Methods: We conducted a thorough search of articles in PubMed via Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane databases from inception to October 20, 2023. Trials were deemed eligible if they contained individual datasets for advanced NSCLC patients, including data on overall survival (OS)/progression-free survival (PFS), as well as pre- and post-treatment sPD-L1 levels after 3-4 cycles of PD-1 inhibitor treatments. Our analysis focused on patients who completed 3-4 cycles of PD-1 inhibitor treatments. The primary outcome measure was OS/PFS, and we assessed changes in sPD-L1 concentration pre- and post-treatment through ELISA analyses. Results: From our search, we identified a potential seven trials, encompassing 256 patients. Among these, two trials with 26 patients met the criteria for inclusion in our primary analyses. Over a median follow-up period of 10 months, pooled univariate analysis revealed that increases in sPD-L1 levels during PD-1 inhibitor treatment were not associated with OS (HR = 1.25; CI: 0.52-3.02)/PFS (HR = 1.42; CI: 0.61-3.30) when compared to cases with sPD-L1 decreases. Subgroup analyses indicated that the impact of sPD-L1 changes on overall mortality/progression-related mortality remained consistent regardless of gender, age, or the type of treatment (nivolumab or pembrolizumab). Conclusion: Our findings suggest that changes in sPD-L1 levels during PD-1 inhibitor treatment do not significantly influence the prognosis of advanced NSCLC patients, regardless of gender, age, or treatment type. Continuous monitoring of sPD-L1 may not offer significant advantages compared to fixed-point observations.
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Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/uso terapéutico , Antígeno B7-H1/metabolismo , Nivolumab/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1308381.].
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AIMS: Myocardial infarction (MI) is a major cause of death and disability worldwide. Most metabolomics studies investigating metabolites predicting MI are limited by the participant number and/or the demographic diversity. We sought to identify biomarkers of incident MI in the COnsortium of METabolomics Studies. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 7897 individuals aged on average 66 years from six intercontinental cohorts with blood metabolomic profiling (n = 1428 metabolites, of which 168 were present in at least three cohorts with over 80% prevalence) and MI information (1373 cases). We performed a two-stage individual patient data meta-analysis. We first assessed the associations between circulating metabolites and incident MI for each cohort adjusting for traditional risk factors and then performed a fixed effect inverse variance meta-analysis to pull the results together. Finally, we conducted a pathway enrichment analysis to identify potential pathways linked to MI. On meta-analysis, 56 metabolites including 21 lipids and 17 amino acids were associated with incident MI after adjusting for multiple testing (false discovery rate < 0.05), and 10 were novel. The largest increased risk was observed for the carbohydrate mannitol/sorbitol {hazard ratio [HR] [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.40 [1.26-1.56], P < 0.001}, whereas the largest decrease in risk was found for glutamine [HR (95% CI) = 0.74 (0.67-0.82), P < 0.001]. Moreover, the identified metabolites were significantly enriched (corrected P < 0.05) in pathways previously linked with cardiovascular diseases, including aminoacyl-tRNA biosynthesis. CONCLUSIONS: In the most comprehensive metabolomic study of incident MI to date, 10 novel metabolites were associated with MI. Metabolite profiles might help to identify high-risk individuals before disease onset. Further research is needed to fully understand the mechanisms of action and elaborate pathway findings.
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Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Anciano , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Metabolómica/métodos , BiomarcadoresRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Most studies on minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy (MIPD) combine patients with pancreatic and periampullary cancers even though there is substantial heterogeneity between these tumors. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the role of MIPD compared to open pancreatoduodenectomy (OPD) in patients with non-pancreatic periampullary cancer (NPPC). METHODS: A systematic review of Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane databases was performed by two independent reviewers to identify studies comparing MIPD and OPD for NPPC (ampullary, distal cholangio, and duodenal adenocarcinoma) (01/2015-12/2021). Individual patient data were required from all identified studies. Primary outcomes were (90-day) mortality, and major morbidity (Clavien-Dindo 3a-5). Secondary outcomes were postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), delayed gastric emptying (DGE), postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH), blood-loss, length of hospital stay (LOS), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Overall, 16 studies with 1949 patients were included, combining 928 patients with ampullary, 526 with distal cholangio, and 461 with duodenal cancer. In total, 902 (46.3%) patients underwent MIPD, and 1047 (53.7%) patients underwent OPD. The rates of 90-day mortality, major morbidity, POPF, DGE, PPH, blood-loss, and length of hospital stay did not differ between MIPD and OPD. Operation time was 67 min longer in the MIPD group (P = 0.009). A decrease in DFS for ampullary (HR 2.27, P = 0.019) and distal cholangio (HR 1.84, P = 0.025) cancer, as well as a decrease in OS for distal cholangio (HR 1.71, P = 0.045) and duodenal cancer (HR 4.59, P < 0.001) was found in the MIPD group. CONCLUSIONS: This individual patient data meta-analysis of MIPD versus OPD in patients with NPPC suggests that MIPD is not inferior in terms of short-term morbidity and mortality. Several major limitations in long-term data highlight a research gap that should be studied in prospective maintained international registries or randomized studies for ampullary, distal cholangio, and duodenum cancer separately. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42021277495) on the 25th of October 2021.
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Neoplasias Duodenales , Laparoscopía , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Pancreaticoduodenectomía/métodos , Neoplasias Duodenales/cirugía , Estudios Prospectivos , Páncreas/cirugía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirugía , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: People with depression tend to score low on measures of subjective quality of life (SQoL) which has been suggested to reflect a general negative bias of perception. However, studies do not tend to investigate specific life domains. This study investigated satisfaction with life domains in people with major depression and explored influential factors. METHODS: A one-step individual patient data meta-analysis combined data of 1710 people with major depression from four studies. In all studies, SQoL was measured on the Manchester Short Assessment of Quality of Life, which provides satisfaction ratings with 12 life domains. Associations between individual characteristics and satisfaction ratings were investigated using univariable and multivariable models. RESULTS: Mean satisfaction ratings varied across life domains. Participants expressed dissatisfaction with several domains but expressed satisfaction with others, mainly for domains associated with close relationships. Some of the investigated characteristics were consistently associated with satisfaction ratings across the domains. LIMITATIONS: The primary limitation of this study was in the analysis of individual characteristics, which were chosen based on identification in existing literature and availability in our datasets, and of which several were dichotomised to have sufficiently large numbers which may have resulted in lost nuance in the results. CONCLUSIONS: People with major depression distinguish between their satisfaction with different life domains and are particularly satisfied with their close relationships. This challenges the notion of a general negative appraisal of life in this group, and highlights the need to evaluate satisfaction with different life domains separately.
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Depresión , Trastorno Depresivo Mayor , Humanos , Trastorno Depresivo Mayor/diagnóstico , Calidad de Vida , Satisfacción del Paciente , Satisfacción PersonalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although clozapine is the most efficacious medication for treatment-refractory schizophrenia, not all patients will have an adequate response. Optimising clozapine dose using therapeutic drug monitoring could therefore maximise response. AIMS: Using individual patient data, we undertook a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine an optimal therapeutic range for clozapine levels to guide clinical practice. METHOD: We conducted a systematic review of PubMed, PsycINFO and Embase for studies that provided individual participant level data on clozapine levels and response. These data were analysed using ROC curves to determine the prediction performance of plasma clozapine levels for treatment response. RESULTS: We included data on 294 individual participants from nine studies. ROC analysis yielded an area under the curve of 0.612. The clozapine level at the point of optimal diagnostic benefit was 372 ng/mL; at this level, the response sensitivity was 57.3%, and specificity 65.7%. The interquartile range for treatment response was 223-558 ng/mL. There was no improvement in ROC performance with mixed models including patient gender, age or length of trial. Clozapine dose and clozapine concentration to dose ratio did not provide significantly meaningful prediction of response to clozapine. CONCLUSIONS: Clozapine dose should be optimised based on clozapine therapeutic levels. We found that a range between 250 and 550 ng/mL could be recommended, while noting that a level of >350 ng/mL is the most optimal for response. Although some patients may not respond without clozapine levels >550 ng/mL, the benefits should be weighed against the increased risk of adverse drug reactions.
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Antipsicóticos , Clozapina , Esquizofrenia , Humanos , Clozapina/uso terapéutico , Antipsicóticos/uso terapéutico , Curva ROC , Esquizofrenia/diagnóstico , Escalas de Valoración PsiquiátricaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Supplemental oxygen therapy is central to the treatment of acute hypoxaemic respiratory failure, a condition which remains a major driver for morbidity and mortality in intensive care. Despite several large randomised clinical trials comparing a higher versus a lower oxygenation target for these patients, significant differences in study design impede analysis of aggregate data and final clinical recommendations. METHODS: This paper presents the protocol for conducting an individual patient data meta-analysis where full individual patient data according to the intention-to-treat principle will be pooled from the HOT-ICU and HOT-COVID trials in a one-step procedure. The two trials are near-identical in design. We plan to use a hierarchical general linear mixed model that accounts for data clustering at a trial and site level. The primary outcome will be 90-day all-cause mortality while the secondary outcome will be days alive without life-support at 90 days. Further, we outline 14 clinically relevant predefined subgroups which we will analyse for heterogeneity in the intervention effects and interactions, and we present a plan for assessing the credibility of the subgroup analyses. CONCLUSION: The presented individual patient data meta-analysis will synthesise individual level patient data from two of the largest randomised clinical trials on targeted oxygen therapy in intensive care. The results will provide a re-analysis of the intervention effects on the pooled intention-to-treat populations and facilitate subgroup analyses with an increased power to detect clinically important effect modifications.
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COVID-19 , Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Humanos , Pulmón , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia , Oxígeno , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Metaanálisis como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Numerous clinical trials have been initiated to find effective treatments for COVID-19. These trials have often been initiated in regions where the pandemic has already peaked. Consequently, achieving full enrollment in a single trial might require additional COVID-19 surges in the same location over several years. This has inspired us to pool individual patient data (IPD) from ongoing, paused, prematurely-terminated, or completed randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in real-time, to find an effective treatment as quickly as possible in light of the pandemic crisis. However, pooling across trials introduces enormous uncertainties in study design (e.g., the number of RCTs and sample sizes might be unknown in advance). We sought to develop a versatile treatment efficacy assessment model that accounts for these uncertainties while allowing for continuous monitoring throughout the study using Bayesian monitoring techniques. METHODS: We provide a detailed look at the challenges and solutions for model development, describing the process that used extensive simulations to enable us to finalize the analysis plan. This includes establishing prior distribution assumptions, assessing and improving model convergence under different study composition scenarios, and assessing whether we can extend the model to accommodate multi-site RCTs and evaluate heterogeneous treatment effects. In addition, we recognized that we would need to assess our model for goodness-of-fit, so we explored an approach that used posterior predictive checking. Lastly, given the urgency of the research in the context of evolving pandemic, we were committed to frequent monitoring of the data to assess efficacy, and we set Bayesian monitoring rules calibrated for type 1 error rate and power. RESULTS: The primary outcome is an 11-point ordinal scale. We present the operating characteristics of the proposed cumulative proportional odds model for estimating treatment effectiveness. The model can estimate the treatment's effect under enormous uncertainties in study design. We investigate to what degree the proportional odds assumption has to be violated to render the model inaccurate. We demonstrate the flexibility of a Bayesian monitoring approach by performing frequent interim analyses without increasing the probability of erroneous conclusions. CONCLUSION: This paper describes a translatable framework using simulation to support the design of prospective IPD meta-analyses.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Proyectos de Investigación , Tamaño de la Muestra , Teorema de BayesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapy (CAR-T) represents a promising and exciting new therapy for hematologic malignancies, where prognosis for relapsed/refractory patients remains poor. Encouraging results from clinical trials have often been tempered by heterogeneity in response to treatment among patients, as well as safety concerns including cytokine release syndrome. The identification of specific patient or treatment-specific factors underlying this heterogeneity may provide the key to the long-term sustainability of this complex and expensive therapy. An individual patient data meta-analysis (IPMDA) may provide potential explanations for the high degree of heterogeneity. Therefore, our objective is to perform a systematic review and IPDMA of CAR-T cell therapy in patients with hematologic malignancies to explore potential effect modifiers of CAR-T cell therapy. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will search MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Clinical Trials. Studies will be screened in duplicate at the abstract level, then at the full-text level by two independent reviewers. We will include any prospective clinical trial of CAR-T cell therapy in patients with hematologic malignancies. Our primary outcome is complete response, while secondary outcomes of interest include overall response, progression-free survival, overall survival, and safety. IPD will be collected from each included trial and, in the case of missing data, corresponding authors/study sponsors will be contacted. Standard aggregate meta-analyses will be performed, followed by the IPD meta-analysis using a one-stage approach. A modified Institute of Health Economics tool will be used to evaluate the risk of bias of included studies. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Identifying characteristics that may act as modifiers of CAR-T cell efficacy is of paramount importance and can help shape future clinical trials in the field. Results from this study will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, presented at relevant conferences and shared with relevant stakeholders.
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Neoplasias Hematológicas , Receptores Quiméricos de Antígenos , Humanos , Receptores Quiméricos de Antígenos/uso terapéutico , Estudios Prospectivos , Inmunoterapia Adoptiva/efectos adversos , Inmunoterapia Adoptiva/métodos , Neoplasias Hematológicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Hematológicas/etiología , Linfocitos T , Revisiones Sistemáticas como Asunto , Metaanálisis como AsuntoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To determine the comparative efficacy and safety of a fixed dose of benznidazole (BZN) with an adjusted-dose for Trypanosoma cruzi-seropositive adults without cardiomyopathy. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis following Cochrane methods, and the PRISMA-IPD statement for reporting. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) allocating participants to fixed or adjusted doses of BZN for T. cruzi-seropositive adults without cardiomyopathy were included. We searched (December 2021) Cochrane, MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS and trial registries and contacted Chagas experts. Selection, data extraction, risk of bias assessment using the Cochrane tool, and a GRADE summary of finding tables were performed independently by pairs of reviewers. We conducted a random-effects IPD meta-analysis using the one-stage strategy, or, if that was impossible, the two-stage strategy. RESULTS: Five RCTs (1198 patients) were included, none directly comparing fixed with adjusted doses of BZN. Compared to placebo, BZN therapy was strongly associated with negative qPCR and sustainable parasitological clearance regardless of the type of dose and subgroup analysed. For negative qPCR, the fixed/adjusted rate of odds ratios (RORF/A ) was 8.83 (95% CI 1.02-76.48); for sustained parasitological clearance, it was 4.60 (95% CI 0.40-52.51), probably indicating at least non-inferior effect of fixed doses, with no statistically significant interactions by scheme for global and most subgroup estimations. The RORF/A for treatment interruption due to adverse events was 0.44 (95% CI 0.14-1.38), probably indicating no worse tolerance of fixed doses. CONCLUSIONS: We found no direct comparison between fixed and adjusted doses of BZN. However, fixed doses versus placebo are probably not inferior to weight-adjusted doses of BZN versus placebo in terms of parasitological efficacy and safety. Network IPD meta-analysis, through indirect comparisons, may well provide the best possible answers in the near future. REGISTRATION: The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42019120905).
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Cardiomiopatías , Enfermedad de Chagas , Trypanosoma cruzi , Adulto , Humanos , Lagunas en las Evidencias , Enfermedad de Chagas/tratamiento farmacológicoRESUMEN
Background: We aim to compare the effect of short versus long treatment duration in Gram-negative bacteremia on all-cause mortality in pre-specified sub-groups. Methods: Individual participant data meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing short (≤7) versus longer (>7 days) antibiotic treatment for Gram-negative bacteremia. Participants were adults (≥18 years), with Gram-negative bacteremia during hospital stay. We searched PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Web of Science to identify trials conducted up to May 2022. Primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality, relapse of bacteremia, length of hospital stay, readmission, local or distant infection complications, adverse events, and resistance emergence.Outcomes were assessed in pre-specified subgroups: women vs men; non-urinary vs urinary source; presence vs absence of hypotension on initial presentation; immunocompromised patients versus non-immunocompromised patients, and age (above/below 65). Fixed-effect meta-analysis model was used to estimate pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). All three trials had low risk of bias for allocation generation and concealment. Findings: Three RCTs (1186 patients) were included; 1121 with enterobacterales bacteremia. No significant difference in mortality was demonstrated between 7- and 14-days treatment (90-day mortality: OR 1.08, 95% CI 0.73-1.58; 30-day mortality: 1.08, 0.62-1.91). Relapse (1.00, 0.50-1.97); length of hospital stay (P = 0.78); readmission (0.96, 0.80-1.22); and infection complications (local: 1.62 0.76-3.47; distant: 2.00, 0.18-22.08), were without significant difference, and so were adverse events or resistance emergence.No significant difference in clinical outcomes between 7 and 14 days of antibiotics was demonstrated in the subgroups of gender, age, hemodynamic status, immune status, and source of infection. Interpretation: For patients hemodynamically stable and afebrile at 48 h prior to discontinuation, seven days of antibiotic therapy for enterobacterales bacteremia result in similar outcomes as 14 days, in terms of mortality, relapse, length of hospital stay, complications of infection, resistance emergence, and adverse events. These results apply for any adult age group, gender, source of infection, immune status, and hemodynamic status on presentation. Funding: There was no funding source for this study.
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In clinical practice medications are often interchanged in treatment protocols when a patient negatively reacts to their first line of therapy. Although switching between medications is common, clinicians often lack structured guidance when choosing the initial dose and frequency of a new medication, given the former with respect to risk of adverse events. In this paper we propose to establish this dose toxo-equivalence relationship using published clinical trial results with one or both drugs of interest via a Bayesian meta-analysis model that accounts for both within- and between-study variances. With the posterior parameter samples from this model, we compute median and 95% credible intervals for equivalent dose pairs of the two drugs that are predicted to produce equal rates of an adverse outcome, relying solely on study-level information. Via extensive simulations, we show that this approach approximates well the true dose toxo-equivalence relationship, considering different study designs, levels of between-study variance, and the inclusion/exclusion of nonconfounder/nonmodifier subject-level covariates in addition to study-level covariates. We compare the performance of this study-level meta-analysis estimate to the equivalent individual patient data meta-analysis model and find comparable bias and minimal efficiency loss in the study-level coefficients used in the dose toxo-equivalence relationship. Finally, we present the findings of our dose toxo-equivalence model applied to two chemotherapy drugs, based on data from 169 published clinical trials.
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Introduction: Compared with first-line antihypertensives, beta-blockers (BB) have been reported to lower the central aortic blood pressure suboptimally and are associated with increased stroke risk. This observation has not been investigated in hypertensives of African ancestry. We hypothesised that an individual patient data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) on the efficacy of second- or third-generation beta-blockers (STGBBs) in hypertensives of African descent may provide new insights. Methods: A single-stage IPD-MA analysed the efficacy of STGBB in lowering the mean arterial blood pressure and reducing the composite outcomes: cardiovascular death, stroke, and myocardial infarction. Results: A total of 11,860 participants from four randomised control trials were included in the analysis. Second- or third-generation beta-blockers reduced the mean arterial pressure by 1.75 mmHg [95% confidence interval (CI):1.16-2.33; P < 0.001] in all participants included in the analysis, and by 1.93 mmHg (95% CI: 0.86-3.00; P < 0.001) in hypertensive Africans. In patients with established cardiovascular disease, where the benefits of BB therapy are well established, STGBBs were associated with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.33 (95% CI: 1.06-1.65; P = 0.015) of the composite outcome, most likely due to confounding. Similarly, the risk of total myocardial infarction was 1.76 times higher (95% CI: 1.15-2.68; P = 0.008) in hypertensives of African ancestry on STGBBs. Conclusion: The STGBBs reduced the mean arterial pressure comparably to other antihypertensives, and they were not associated with an increased risk of stroke.