How Do Discrepancies between Subjective and Objective Health Predict the Risk of Injurious Falls? A Study of Community-Dwelling Swedish Older Adults.

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies demonstrated that discrepancies between subjective and objective health measures are associated with physical and mental health-related outcomes in older adults. We investigate whether such discrepancies are also associated with risk of injurious falls in community-dwelling Swedish older adults. DESIGN: A prospective, observational cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Using data from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen, we followed 2222 community-dwelling older adults aged ≥60 years at baseline, across a 10-year period of data collection (2001-2011). METHODS: A "health asymmetry" metric classified older adults into 4 categories, based on the level of agreement between their subjective and objective health scores ("health pessimist", "health optimist", "poor health realist", and "good health realist"). Time-varying Cox proportional hazard and Laplace regressions were employed to investigate if these categories were associated with the risk of injurious falls. RESULTS: Over a 10-year follow-up, 23.5% of the sample experienced an injurious fall. Health optimists had the greatest risk of experiencing an injurious fall [hazard ratio (HR) 2.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.66, 2.80], compared with good health realists. Poor health realists (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.50, 2.11) and health pessimists (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.21, 2.29) also had an increased risk of experiencing injurious falls, compared with good health realists. Being a health pessimist was only associated with the risk of injurious falls within the younger-old (HR 2.43, 95% CI 1.63, 3.64) and among males (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.14, 3.33). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Older adults with similar objective health levels may differ in terms of their injurious fall risk, depending on their subjective health. Interpreting subjective health alongside objective health is clinically pertinent when assessing injurious fall risk.

Predictors for functional decline after an injurious fall: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The functional consequences of injurious falls are well known. However, studies of the factors that can modify trajectories of disability after an injury from a fall are scarce. AIMS: We aimed to investigate whether sociodemographic and health-related factors may impact this association. METHODS: The study population consisted of 1426 community-dwelling older adults (≥ 60 years) from the SNAC-K cohort study in Stockholm, Sweden. Functional status over 12 years of follow-up was assessed using the number of limitations in basic and instrumental activities of daily living. Sex, cohabitation status, physical activity, and self-rated health were assessed at baseline. Injurious falls were defined as falls requiring healthcare and were assessed over 3 years starting at baseline. Data were analyzed using linear-mixed effects models. RESULTS: The fastest increase in the number of disabilities was observed in those who had endured an injurious fall and were living alone (ß coefficient = 0.408; p < 0.001), been physically inactive (ß coefficient = 0.587; p < 0.001), and had poor self-rated health (ß coefficient = 0.514; p < 0.001). The negative impact of these factors was more pronounced among fallers compared to non-fallers. DISCUSSION: Living alone, being physically inactive, and having poor self-rated health magnifies the negative effect of an injurious fall on functional status. Among individuals who endure an injurious fall, the heterogeneity in long-term functional status is substantial, depending on the individuals' characteristics and behaviors. CONCLUSIONS: These findings emphasize the need for a person-centered approach in care provision and can guide secondary prevention within health care.

Associations of blood pressure with risk of injurious falls in old age vary by functional status: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to examine to what extent blood pressure (BP) components are associated with injurious falls in older adults, and whether the possible associations differ by functional status (indicated by physical and cognitive impairment at baseline). METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 3055 community-living participants of the Swedish National study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (aged ≥60 years). At baseline (2001-2004), we measured systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP), mean arterial pressure, pulse pressure (PP), and orthostatic hypotension. Physical function was assessed using tests of balance, chair stands, and walking speed. Cognitive function was assessed with the Mini-Mental State Examination. Injurious falls leading to inpatient or outpatient care during 3 and 10 years of follow-up were identified via patient registers. Data were analyzed using flexible parametric survival models adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: During the 10-year follow-up period in people without functional impairment, the multi-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of injurious falls were 1.77 (95% CI 1.02-3.07) for having SBP <130 mmHg, 1.73 (95% CI 1.05-2.83) for having SBP ≥160 mmHg (vs. 130-139), and 1.46 (1.05-2.02) for having higher tertile of PP (vs. lower tertile). During the 3-year follow-up period in people with functional impairment, the multi-adjusted HR of injurious falls was 1.91 (95% CI 1.17-3.13) for having SBP <130 mmHg (vs. 130-139) and 0.74 (0.59-0.94) for having higher tertile of PP (vs. lower tertile). There was no significant association between BP components and injurious falls either in people without functional impairment during the 3-year follow-up period, or in people with functional impairment during the 10-year follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: This large-scale Swedish study provides evidence that the associations between some specific components of BP and risk of injurious falls in older adults vary by functional status. This supports the view that a personalized approach to blood pressure management depending on functional status among older adults might be warranted in clinical settings.

Patterns of Multimorbidity in a Population-Based Cohort of Older People: Sociodemographic, Lifestyle, Clinical, and Functional Differences.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to identify clusters of older persons based on their multimorbidity patterns and to analyze differences among clusters according to sociodemographic, lifestyle, clinical, and functional characteristics. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen on 2,931 participants aged 60 years and older who had at least two chronic diseases. Participants were clustered by the fuzzy c-means cluster algorithm. A disease was considered to be associated with a given cluster when the observed/expected ratio was ≥2 or the exclusivity was ≥25%. RESULTS: Around half of the participants could be classified into five clinically meaningful clusters: respiratory and musculoskeletal diseases (RESP-MSK) 15.7%, eye diseases and cancer (EYE-CANCER) 10.7%, cognitive and sensory impairment (CNS-IMP) 10.6%, heart diseases (HEART) 9.3%, and psychiatric and respiratory diseases (PSY-RESP) 5.4%. Individuals in the CNS-IMP cluster were the oldest, with the worst function and more likely to live in a nursing home; those in the HEART cluster had the highest number of co-occurring diseases and drugs, and they exhibited the highest mean values of serum creatinine and C-reactive protein. The PSY-RESP cluster was associated with higher levels of alcoholism and neuroticism. The other half of the cohort was grouped in an unspecific cluster, which was characterized by gathering the youngest individuals, with the lowest number of co-occurring diseases, and the best functional and cognitive status. CONCLUSIONS: The identified multimorbidity patterns provide insight for setting targets for secondary and tertiary preventative interventions and for designing care pathways for multimorbid older people.

Risk Factors for Injurious Falls in Older Adults: The Role of Sex and Length of Follow-Up.

OBJECTIVES: To identify sex-specific associations between risk factors and injurious falls over the short (<4 years) and long (4-10 years) term. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study between 2001 and 2011. SETTING: Swedish National Study on Aging and Care, Kungsholmen, Sweden. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling adults aged 60 and older (N = 3,112). MEASUREMENTS: An injurious fall was defined as a fall that required inpatient or outpatient care. Information was collected on participant and exposure characteristics using structured interviews, clinical examinations, and physical function tests at baseline. RESULTS: The multivariate model showed that, in the short term, living alone (hazard ratio (HR)=1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.13-2.96), dependency in instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) (HR=2.59, 95% CI=1.73-3.87), and previous falls (HR=1.71, 95% CI=1.08-2.72) were independently associated with injurious falls in women. Low systolic blood pressure (HR=1.96, 95% CI=1.04-3.71), impaired chair stands (HR=3.00, 95% CI=1.52-5.93), and previous falls (HR=2.81, 95% CI=1.32-5.97) were associated with injurious falls in men. Long-term risk factors were underweight (HR=2.03, 95% CI=1.40-2.95), cognitive impairment (HR=1.49, 95% CI=1.08-2.06), fall-risk increasing drugs (HR=1.67, 95% CI=1.27-2.20 for ≥2 drugs), and IADL dependency (HR=1.58, 95% CI=1.32-5.97) for women and smoking (HR=1.71, 95% CI=1.03-2.84), heart disease (HR=2.20, 95% CI=1.5-3.24), impaired balance (HR=1.68, 95% CI=1.08-2.62), and a previous fall (HR=3.61, 95% CI=1.98-6.61) for men. CONCLUSION: Men and women have different fall risk profiles, and these differences should be considered when developing preventive strategies. Some risk factors were more strongly predictive of injurious falls over shorter than longer periods and vice versa, suggesting that it may be possible to identify older men and women at short- and long-term risk of injurious falls. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:246-253, 2019.

Risk Profiles for Injurious Falls in People Over 60: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background: Although falls in older adults are related to multiple risk factors, these factors have commonly been studied individually. We aimed to identify risk profiles for injurious falls in older adults by detecting clusters of established risk factors and quantifying their impact on fall risk. Methods: Participants were 2,566 people, aged 60 years and older, from the population-based Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen. Injurious falls was defined as hospitalization for or receipt of outpatient care because a fall. Cluster analysis was used to identify aggregation of possible risk factors including chronic diseases, fall-risk increasing drugs (FRIDs), physical and cognitive impairments, and lifestyle-related factors. Associations between the clusters and injurious falls over 3, 5, and 10 years were estimated using flexible parametric survival models. Results: Five clusters were identified including: a "healthy", a "well-functioning with multimorbidity", a "well-functioning, with multimorbidity and high FRID consumption", a "physically and cognitively impaired", and a "disabled" cluster. The risk of injurious falls for all groups was significantly higher than for the first cluster of healthy individuals in the reference category. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) ranged from 1.71 (1.02-2.66) for the second cluster to 12.67 (7.38-21.75) for the last cluster over 3 years of follow-up. The highest risk was observed in the last two clusters with high burden of physical and cognitive impairments. Conclusion: Risk factors for injurious fall tend to aggregate, representing different levels of risk for falls. Our findings can be useful to tailor and prioritize clinical and public health interventions.

Impact of tooth loss on walking speed decline over time in older adults: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Tooth loss has been linked to poor health such as chronic diseases and mobility limitations. Prospective evidence on the association between tooth loss and walking speed decline is however lacking. AIMS: To examine the impact of tooth loss on walking speed over time and explore whether inflammation may account for this association. METHODS: This study included 2695 persons aged 60 years and older, who were free from severe mobility limitation at baseline. Information on dental status was assessed through self-report during the nurse interview at baseline. Walking speed baseline and at 3- and 6-year follow-ups was assessed when participants walked at their usual pace. Covariates included age, sex, education, lifestyle-related factors, and chronic diseases. Blood samples were taken, and C-reactive protein (CRP) was tested. RESULTS: At baseline, 389 (13.1 %) participants had partial tooth loss and 204 (6.9 %) had complete tooth loss. Mixed-effects models showed that tooth loss was associated with a greater decline in walking speed over time after adjustment for lifestyle-related factors and chronic diseases (p = 0.001 for interaction between time and tooth loss on walking speed decline); however, when further adjusting for inflammation (CRP), the association was attenuated and no longer significant. CONCLUSION: Tooth loss was associated with an accelerated decline in walking speed in older adults. Inflammation may play a role in the association between tooth loss and walking speed decline.

Cognitive and Physical Function in Relation to the Risk of Injurious Falls in Older Adults: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to quantify the independent effect of cognitive and physical deficits on the risk of injurious falls, to verify whether this risk is modified by global cognitive impairment, and to explore whether risk varies by follow-up time. METHODS: Data on 2,495 participants (≥60 years) from the population-based Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K) study were analyzed using flexible parametric survival models. Two cognitive domains (processing speed and executive function) were assessed with standard tests. Physical function tests included balance (one-leg-stands), walking speed, chair stands, and grip strength. Global cognition was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination. RESULTS: A total of 167 people experienced an injurious fall over 3 years of follow-up, 310 over 5 years, and 571 over 10 years. Each standard deviation worse balance, slower walking speed, and longer chair stand time increased the risk of injurious falls over 3 years by 43%, 38%, and 23%, respectively (p < .05). Each standard deviation worse processing speed and executive function was significantly associated with 10% increased risk of injurious falls over 10 years (p < .05). In stratified analyses, deficits in physical functioning were associated with injurious falls only in people with cognitive impairment, whereas deficits in processing speed and executive function were associated with injurious falls only in people without cognitive impairment. CONCLUSIONS: Deficits in specific cognitive domains, such as processing speed and executive function, appear to predict injurious falls in the long term. Deficits in physical function predict falls in the short term, especially in people with global cognitive impairment.

Temporal trends of functional dependence and survival among older adults from 1991 to 2010 in Sweden: toward a healthier aging.

BACKGROUND: Declines in functional dependence among older adults were observed before the 1990s, but there is uncertainty about subsequent trends. Our study aimed to verify the temporal trends in disability during 1991-2010 in an older Swedish population and to estimate the associated changes in survival. METHODS: Functional status in octogenarians and nonagenarians was assessed at seven occasions with intervals of 2-3 years. Sample size varied at each assessment with an average of 646 (range 212-1096). Disability was defined as difficulty in one or more of personal activities of daily living. We compared prevalence and incidence, as well as mortality, and survival associated with disability over the 20-year period. RESULTS: Sex-standardized prevalence of disability remained steady over time with a tendency toward a gradual decline, and a statistically significant decrease was present among nonagenarians. Sex-standardized cumulative incidence also remained steady. The proportion of people with prevalent disability who died <3 years remained stable, as did the survival time of people with incident disability. In contrast, among nondisabled persons, 3-year mortality decreased significantly, and for octogenarians median survival time was 1.3 years longer at the more recent assessment than a decade earlier. CONCLUSIONS: Both prevalence and incidence of disability remained stable over the last two decades in this urban Swedish population, with a trend toward a slow decline. Mortality remained steady among disabled persons but decreased among persons without disability, suggesting that increased life expectancy during the last two decades may be essentially driven by longer lives of functionally independent people.