Carotid Artery Wall Echogenicity Measured by Gray Scale Median of the Intima-Media Complex From Childhood to Young Adulthood.

BACKGROUND: Echogenicity of the carotid arterial wall, measured by gray scale median of the intima-media complex (IM-GSM), is a novel subclinical atherosclerosis marker with lower values indicating greater lipid deposition. Our longitudinal study investigated IM-GSM from childhood to adulthood and its associated risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 240 participants from the Southern California CHS (Children's Health Study) underwent carotid artery ultrasounds in 2008 (mean age±SD): (11.2±0.6 years), and again around 2022 (24.2±1.6 years) to assess IM-GSM, carotid artery intima-media thickness, and carotid artery distensibility. Questionnaires and anthropometric and blood pressure measurements were completed by participants at both times. Mean and SD of IM-GSM were 108.2±24.6 in childhood and 75.6±15.8 in adulthood. Each 1-year increase in age was associated with -2.52 change in IM-GSM (95% CI, -2.76 to -2.27). Childhood and adulthood IM-GSMs were highly correlated (ß=0.13 [95% CI, 0.05-0.22]). In childhood, Hispanic ethnicity, lower parental education levels and prenatal father smoking were significantly associated with lower IM-GSM. In adulthood, higher systolic blood pressure, carotid artery intima-media thickness, hypertension, and lower distensibility were significantly associated with lower IM-GSM. Weight status exhibited a consistent association with both childhood and adulthood IM-GSM. During the transition from childhood to adulthood, individuals who shifted from normal weight to overweight/obese or normal blood pressure to hypertension or experienced an increase in carotid artery intima-media thickness displayed lower levels of IM-GSM in adulthood. CONCLUSIONS: IM-GSM decreases with age. Maintaining healthy weight and blood pressure levels in children could potentially aid in preventing subclinical atherosclerosis.

The role of coffee and potential mediators in subclinical atherosclerosis: insights from Mendelian randomization study.

Background and aims: Coffee contains many bioactive compounds, and its inconsistent association with subclinical atherosclerosis has been reported in observational studies. In this Mendelian randomization study, we investigated whether genetically predicted coffee consumption is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis, as well as the role of potential mediators. Methods: We first conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to examine the causal effect of coffee and its subtypes on subclinical atherosclerosis inferred from coronary artery calcification (CAC). Next, the significant results were validated using another independent dataset. Two-step Mendelian randomization analyses were utilized to evaluate the causal pathway from coffee to subclinical atherosclerosis through potential mediators, including blood pressure, blood lipids, body mass index, and glycated hemoglobin. Mendelian randomization analyses were performed using the multiplicative random effects inverse-variance weighted method as the main approach, followed by a series of complementary methods and sensitivity analyses. Results: Coffee, filtered coffee, and instant coffee were associated with the risk of CAC (ß = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.12 to 1.47, p = 0.022; ß = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.17 to 1.15, p = 0.008; ß = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.20 to 1.13, p = 0.005; respectively). While no significant causal relationship was found between decaffeinated coffee and CAC (ß = -1.32, 95% CI: -2.67 to 0.04, p = 0.056). The association between coffee and CAC was validated in the replication analysis (ß = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.48, p = 0.009). Body mass index mediated 39.98% of the effect of coffee on CAC (95% CI: 9.78 to 70.19%, p = 0.009), and 5.79% of the effect of instant coffee on CAC (95% CI: 0.54 to 11.04%, p = 0.030). Conclusion: Our study suggests that coffee other than decaffeinated coffee increases the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis inferred from CAC. Body mass index mediated 39.98 and 5.79% of the causal effects of coffee and instant coffee on CAC, respectively. Coffee should be consumed with caution, especially in individuals with established cardiovascular risk factors, and decaffeinated coffee appears to be a safer choice.

Association Between Cardiovascular Health and Subclinical Atherosclerosis Among Young Adults Using the American Heart Association's "Life's Essential 8" Metrics.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the association of American Heart Association's cardiovascular health guidelines Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and Life's Simple 7 (LS7) with carotid artery outcomes among young adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: This cross-sectional study included 240 young adults (age 24.2±1.6 years) who underwent a carotid ultrasound between 2018 and 2022. LE8 score was calculated from 4 health factors (body mass index, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting glucose, and blood pressure), and 4 health behaviors (dietary intake, physical activity, tobacco use, and sleep). LS7 was calculated from 7 metrics (all LE8 metrics, except for sleep) with a simpler algorithm. Higher LE8 and LS7 scores both indicate better health and better adherence to American Heart Association guidelines. Carotid artery outcomes included carotid artery intima-media thickness, arterial stiffness (eg, distensibility), and echogenicity determined by grayscale median of the intima media complex. Results of linear regression analyses, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, and parents' highest degree, indicated that a 1-SD increase in LE8 score was associated with 12.14 µm lower carotid artery intima-media thickness (95% CI, -20.93 to 3.35), 1.17 (10-6×m2/N) greater distensibility (95% CI, 0.09-2.24), suggesting less arterial stiffness, and 2.66 µm greater grayscale median of the intima media complex (95% CI, 0.58-4.75), suggesting less lipid deposition. Analyses using LS7 score demonstrated comparable findings. Health factor metrics demonstrated stronger association with carotid artery outcomes, as compared with behavior metrics. CONCLUSIONS: Greater adherence to the American Heart Association's cardiovascular health guidelines is associated with lower risk for subclinical atherosclerosis in young adults. LE8 and LS7 demonstrated comparable associations with carotid artery outcomes.

HDL-C criterion of the metabolic syndrome and future diabetes and atherosclerosis in midlife women: The SWAN Study.

Objective: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is one of 5 components [high blood pressure, glucose, triglycerides, waist circumference, low HDL-C], 3 of which, needed to diagnose metabolic syndrome (MetS). Evolving research shows that higher HDL-C is not necessarily cardioprotective in midlife women, supporting a need to re-evaluate HDL-C's contribution to risks related to MetS. We tested whether risk of future diabetes and higher carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) differ by HDL-C status in midlife women diagnosed with MetS based on the other 4 components. Methods Midlife women were classified into 3 groups: 1) no MetS, 2) MetS with HDL-C ≥ 50 mg/dL (MetS hiHDL), and 3) MetS with HDL-C < 50 mg/dL (MetS loHDL). cIMT was measured 13.8 ± 0.6 years post baseline. Incident diabetes was assessed yearly. Results: Among 2773 women (1350 (48 %) of them had cIMT), 2383 (86 %) had no MetS, 117 (4 %) had MetS hiHDL, 273 (10 %) had MetS loHDL. Compared with no MetS, both MetS- hiHDL and loHDL groups had higher cIMT and diabetes risk. Risk of having high cIMT did not differ between MetS loHDL vs. hiHDL groups. Adjusting for levels of MetS criteria other than HDL-C at baseline explained the associations of each of the two MetS groups with cIMT. Conversely, after adjustment, associations of MetS hiHDL and MetS loHDL with incident diabetes persisted. Conclusions: In midlife women, HDL-C status matters for predicting risk of incident diabetes but not higher cIMT beyond other MetS components.

Impact of Classical Risk Factors on Subclinical Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression: Insights from a Non-Diabetic Cohort.

Background: Several markers have been proposed for the detection and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis. We aimed to analyse the impact of classical risk factors on the presence and short-term progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in a non-diabetic, primary prevention cohort. Methods: This analysis included participants with completed visits at baseline and at 5-year follow-up (N = 141; 56.7% females, 43.3% males; aged 49.6 ± 4.7 years). Clinical and laboratory parameters, risk profiles, carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) and plaque presence were analysed. Results: There was a significant progression in mean CIMT (0.54 ± 0.09 mm-0.62 ± 0.10 mm; p < 0.001), prevalence of carotid plaque (4.8%-17.9%; p < 0.001) and age- and sex-adjusted abnormal CIMT (52.9%-78.8%; p < 0.001) at the end of follow-up, compared to baseline. In multivariate regression analysis, among the classical risk factors, their number, metabolic syndrome and SCORE (Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation) risk only the number of risk factors showed an independent and significant impact on the occurrence of a carotid plaque (Exp(B) = 1.71; p = 0.017) and 5-year CIMT progression. Conclusions: During a short follow-up, the significant progression of subclinical atherosclerosis was confirmed. The number of risk factors predicted the occurrence of carotid plaques and CIMT progression. The high prevalence and short-term progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis underly the rationale for its screening in personalized cardiovascular risk stratification in asymptomatic middle-aged subjects over 50 years old, at low-to moderate cardiovascular risk, particularly with several risk factors.

Arterial stiffness in subclinical atherosclerosis quantified with ultrafast pulse wave velocity measurements: a comparison with a healthy population using propensity score matching.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate changes in ultrafast pulse wave velocity (ufPWV) in individuals with arterial stiffness and subclinical atherosclerosis (subAS), and to provide cutoff values. METHODS: This retrospective study recruited 231 participants, including 67 patients with subAS. The pulse wave velocity was measured at the beginning and end of systole (PWV-BS and PWVES, respectively) using ultrafast ultrasonography to assess arterial stiffness. The right and left common carotid arteries were measured separately, and laboratory metabolic parameters were also collected. Participants were balanced between groups using propensity score matching (PSM) at a 1:1 ratio, adjusting for age, sex, and waist-to-hip ratio as potential confounders. Cutoff values of ufPWV for monitoring subAS were determined via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: PWV-ES, unlike PWV-BS, was higher in the subAS subgroup than in the subAS-free group after PSM (all P<0.05). For each 1 m/s increase in left, right, and bilateral mean PWV-ES, the risk of subAS increased by 23% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.46), 26% (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.52), and 38% (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.72), respectively. According to ROC analyses, predictive potential was found for left PWV-ES (cutoff value=7.910 m/s, P=0.002), right PWV-ES (cutoff value=6.615 m/s, P=0.003), and bilateral mean PWV-ES (cutoff value=7.415 m/s, P<0.001), but not for PWV-BS (all P>0.05). CONCLUSION: PWV-ES measured using ultrafast ultrasonography was significantly higher in individuals with subAS than in those without. Specific PWV-ES cutoff values showed potential for predicting an increased risk of subAS.

MicroRNA and renal fibrosis in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease: a longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is a hereditary kidney disorder that may progress to kidney failure, accounting for 5-10% of all patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Clinical data, as well as molecular genetics and advanced imaging techniques have provided surrogate prognostic biomarkers to predict rapid decline in kidney function, nonetheless enhanced tools for assessing prognosis for ADPKD are still needed. The aim of this study was to analyze specific microRNAs involved in the pathogenesis of ADPKD and in the development of renal fibrosis, evaluating their potential role as predictors of renal function loss. METHODS: We evaluated kidney function by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in 32 ADPKD patients in different stages of kidney disease at T0 and after a 24-month follow up (T1). Patients were divided into two groups: Rapid disease progression ([RP], n 15) and Non-rapid disease progression ([NRP], n 17), according to the Mayo Clinic classification criteria. At T0, ADPKD patients underwent plasma sampling for quantitative analysis of h-miR-17-5p, h-miR-21-5p and h-miR-199a-5p microRNA expression, using the quantitative reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) method and a 3 T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), using an advanced MRI imaging protocol, for the quantification of total kidney volume (TKV), total perfusion volume (TPV) and total fibrotic volume (TFV). RESULTS: The expression of h-miR17-5p was higher (p < 0.05) in ADPKD patients with rapid disease progression. h-miR-17-5p, h-miR-21-5p and h-mir-199-5p showed a positive and significant correlation with the eGFR slope (mL/min/1.73 m2/year) (p < 0.05) but not with the eGFR at both T0 and T1. Both total fibrotic volume (cm3) and height-adjusted total fibrotic volume (cm3/m) were positively and significantly correlated to h-miR 21-5p and h-miR 199-5p (p < 0.05), but not to total kidney volume (cm3) and height-adjusted total kidney volume (cm3/m). CONCLUSIONS: The microRNAs we studied were associated with fibrosis and renal damage, suggesting their possible role as biomarkers able to identify ADPKD patients at high risk of disease progression regardless of the degree of kidney function, and therefore suitable for medical therapy, and may help uncovering new molecular mechanisms underlying cystogenesis.

Associations of Epigenetic Age Acceleration With CVD Risks Across the Lifespan: The Bogalusa Heart Study.

Although epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) might serve as a molecular signature of childhood cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and further promote midlife subclinical CVD, few studies have comprehensively examined these life course associations. This study sought to test whether childhood CVD risk factors predict EAA in adulthood and whether EAA mediates the association between childhood CVD risks and midlife subclinical disease. Among 1,580 Bogalusa Heart Study participants, we estimated extrinsic EAA, intrinsic EAA, PhenoAge acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel), and GrimAge acceleration (GrimAgeAccel) during adulthood. We tested prospective associations of longitudinal childhood body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, lipids, and glucose with EAAs using linear mixed effects models. After confirming EAAs with midlife carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque, structural equation models examined mediating effects of EAAs on associations of childhood CVD risk factors with subclinical CVD measures. After stringent multiple testing corrections, each SD increase in childhood BMI was significantly associated with 0.6-, 0.9-, and 0.5-year increases in extrinsic EAA, PhenoAgeAccel, and GrimAgeAccel, respectively (P < 0.001 for all 3 associations). Likewise, each SD increase in childhood log-triglycerides was associated with 0.5- and 0.4-year increases in PhenoAgeAccel and GrimAgeAccel (P < 0.001 for both), respectively, whereas each SD increase in childhood high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with a 0.3-year decrease in GrimAgeAccel (P = 0.002). Our findings indicate that PhenoAgeAccel mediates an estimated 27.4% of the association between childhood log-triglycerides and midlife carotid intima-media thickness (P = 0.022). Our data demonstrate that early life CVD risk factors may accelerate biological aging and promote subclinical atherosclerosis.

Distinct gut microbiota signatures associated with progression of atherosclerosis in people living with HIV.

BACKGROUND: The relationship of microbiota composition dynamics and the progression of subclinical atherosclerosis in people with HIV (PWH) remains unknown. METHODS: 96-week, prospective, longitudinal study in virologically-suppressed PWH. Carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) measurements and stool samples were obtained at baseline, 48-week and 96-week visits. cIMT progression was defined as an increase >10% and/or detection of new carotid plaque. To profile the gut microbiome, amplification and sequencing of 16S ribosomal-RNA (V3-V4 variable regions) were carried out following the Illumina protocol. Sequencing was performed with MiSeq platform. RESULTS: 191, 190 and 167 patients had available fecal samples for microbiome analysis at the baseline, 48- and 96-week visits, respectively. 87 (43%) participants showed atherosclerosis progression, and 54 (26.7%) presented new carotid plaque. No significant differences were observed in adjusted α-diversity indices between groups defined by cIMT progression. Beta-diversity determined through principal coordinate analysis distances showed that the groups exhibited distinct microbial profiles (PERMANOVA p-value = 0.03). Longitudinal analysis with ANCOM-BC2 adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, MSM and nadir CD4 count revealed that cIMT progression was consistently associated with Agathobacter and Ruminococcus_2, while non-progression was consistently associated with Prevotella_7. CONCLUSION: Progression of atherosclerosis in PWH might be associated with distinctive signatures in the gut microbiota.

Clinical characterization and detection of subclinical atherosclerosis in subjects with extreme hyperalphalipoproteinemia. / Caracterización clínica y detección de arteriosclerosis subclínica en sujetos con hiperalfalipoproteinemia extrema.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The association between HDL cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and death from cardiovascular disease follows a U-shaped pattern, increasing at the extremes. The objective of the study was to characterize a sample of subjects with extreme hyperalphalipoproteinemia (HAE). MATERIAL AND METHODS: 53 cases with HAE were recruited, 24 women (HDL-C>135mg/ dL) and 29 men (HDL-C>116mg/ dL). A detailed medical history was taken and questionnaires on adherence to the Mediterranean diet and physical activity were collected. Carotid ultrasounds were performed to detect the presence of suclinical atherosclerosis. RESULTS: The most prevalent cardiovascular risk factor (CVRF) was dyslipidemia (64%) with no significant differences between men and women, unlike hypertension (21% in women, versus 55% in men, p=0.01) and others CVRF, for example, diabetes. 7% of the series had previous cardiovascular disease, women had higher LDL cholesterol (p=0.002) and HDL-C than men (without significant differences). Plaque was detected in 53% of cases, being more prevalent in men. Patients with plaque were older, drank more alcohol and smoked more (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Men had a higher prevalence of CVRF than women, except for dyslipidemia. Subclinical atherosclerosis occurred in more than half of the series. Age, alcohol consumption and smoking were independently associated with the presence of plaque, however, our data do not show a significant influence of HDL-C levels.

Remnant cholesterol trajectory and subclinical arteriosclerosis: a 10-year longitudinal study of Chinese adults.

We aimed to identify different trajectories of remnant cholesterol (RC) and investigate the association of RC trajectories with vascular endothelial function and atherosclerosis progression in a longitudinal cohort of the Chinese population. A total of 521 participants were included in the flow-mediated vasodilation (FMD) subcohort study, and 7775 participants were included in the brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) subcohort study. All participants had ≥ 3 medical examinations during the 10-year follow-up period. In the FMD subcohort study, three distinct RC trajectories were identified according to the RC range and changing pattern over time: "low" (57.58%), "moderate" (30.90%) and "high" (11.52%). The proportion of the three groups with vascular endothelial dysfunction (FMD < 7.0%) was 20.00%, 39.75% and 60.00% respectively. Taking the low group as a reference, participants in the moderate and high groups had over 1.88 and 2.94 times the odds of vascular endothelial dysfunction (P = 0.048). In the baPWV subcohort study, three distinct RC trajectories were also identified: "low" (54.29%), "moderate" (38.97%) and "high" (6.74%). The proportion of the three groups with atherosclerosis (baPWV > 1400 cm/s) was 38.79%, 51.26% and 59.01% respectively. Taking the low group as a reference, participants in the moderate and high groups had over 1.46 and 2.16 times the odds of atherosclerosis (P < 0.001). The findings indicated that distinct RC trajectories are significantly associated with vascular endothelial function and atherosclerosis. Regular monitoring to identify persistent increases in RC may be more helpful in identifying individuals with a high risk of cardiovascular disease.

Impact of optimal cholesterol levels on subclinical atherosclerosis in the absence of risk factors in young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to assess the association of blood lipids with the prevalence, incidence, and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis among young individuals without dyslipidemia and other traditional cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs). METHODS: A total of 1270 participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study aged 32-46 years free of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, hypertension, current smoking, and dyslipidemia (total cholesterol [TC] ≥ 240 mg/dL, triglycerides [TG] ≥ 150 mg/dL, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C] ≥ 160 mg/dL, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C] < 40 mg/dL, or taking lipid-lowering medications) were included. A subgroup with optimal lipids within the low-CVRF group was defined with TC < 200 mg/dL, LDL-C < 100 mg/dL, non-HDL-C < 130 mg/dL, and women with HDL-C ≥ 50 mg/dL. RESULTS: 1-SD higher TC (25.9 mg/dL), LDL-C (24.7 mg/dL), and non-HDL-C (26.6 mg/dL) were associated with a greater risk of presence (hazard ratios: 1.30-1.36), incidence (1.30-1.32), and progression (1.31-1.35) of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and a 42-44% greater odds of composite mean carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) ≥ 75th percentile [780 µm] (p < 0.05). Repeating the analyses in a subset of participants with a CAC score of zero did not alter the association of TC, LDL-C, and non-HDL-C with CIMT. In the subgroup with optimal lipids, these lipid indices remained associated with an increased risk of presence and incidence of CAC and greater CIMT measures. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults aged 32-46 years, in the absence of traditional CVRFs, elevated cholesterol levels, even within what is considered optimal, are associated with atherosclerosis and arteriopathy.

Phthalate exposure and subclinical carotid atherosclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Phthalates may be associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic diseases by interfering with glucose and lipid metabolism and by promoting adipogenesis. This study aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the association between phthalate exposure and subclinical carotid atherosclerosis, using surrogate markers such as carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and carotid plaques. The literature search was performed using four databases (Web of Science, Medline, PubMed, and Scopus), and this systematic review includes all available observational studies until July 6th, 2023. The Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool was used to assess the risk of bias. Meta-analyses were performed, and random effects models were used. Six high-quality cross-sectional studies and 2570 participants aged 12 to 70 were included. Six phthalate metabolites showed significant associations with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis. Exposure to MBzP, ΣDEHP, and MnBP was associated with increased carotid IMT. Exposure to MEP was associated with a higher prevalence of carotid plaques, and MiBP was associated with a lower prevalence. Mixed results were observed for MMP in older adults. The meta-analyses showed a high degree of heterogeneity, and the results are based on single studies. This study accurately describes the evidence of this association to date, suggesting that phthalates are associated with increased carotid IMT and a higher prevalence of carotid plaques. Further research is needed to elucidate this association, as phthalates are still used in the manufacture of everyday products, humans continue to be exposed to them, and atherosclerosis is a public health concern.

Detection of subclinical atherosclerosis using vascular ultrasound as a vascular risk assessment method. Simplified protocol. / Detección de aterosclerosis subclínica mediante ecografía vascular como método de evaluación de riesgo vascular. Protocolo simplificado.

Cardiovascular disease secondary to atherosclerosis is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in the world. Cardiovascular risk stratification has proven to be an insufficient approach to detect those subjects who are going to suffer a cardiovascular event, which is why for years other markers have been sought to help stratify each individual with greater precision. Two-dimensional vascular ultrasound is a excellent method for vascular risk assessment.

Subclinical Atherosclerosis to Guide Treatment in Dyslipidemia and Diabetes Mellitus.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Dyslipidemia and type 2 diabetes mellitus are two common conditions that are associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). In this review, we aimed to provide an in-depth and contemporary review of non-invasive approaches to assess subclinical atherosclerotic burden, predict cardiovascular risk, and guide appropriate treatment strategies. We focused this paper on two main imaging modalities: coronary artery calcium (CAC) score and computed tomography coronary angiography. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent longitudinal studies have provided stronger evidence on the relationship between increased CAC, thoracic aorta calcification, and risk of cardiovascular events among those with primary hypercholesterolemia, highlighting the beneficial role of statin therapy. Interestingly, resilient profiles of individuals not exhibiting atherosclerosis despite dyslipidemia have been described. Non-conventional markers of dyslipidemia have also been associated with increased subclinical atherosclerosis presence and burden, highlighting the contribution of apolipoprotein B-100 (apoB)-rich lipoprotein particles, such as remnant cholesterol and lipoprotein(a), to the residual risk of individuals on-target for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goals. Regarding type 2 diabetes mellitus, variability in atherosclerotic burden has also been found, and CAC testing has shown significant predictive value in stratifying cardiovascular risk. Non-invasive assessment of subclinical atherosclerosis can help reveal the continuum of ASCVD risk in those with dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus and can inform personalized strategies for cardiovascular disease prevention in the primary prevention setting.

Predicting the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis based on interpretable machine models in a Chinese T2DM population.

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has emerged as a global public health concern. Identifying and preventing subclinical atherosclerosis (SCAS), an early indicator of CVD, is critical for improving cardiovascular outcomes. This study aimed to construct interpretable machine learning models for predicting SCAS risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. Methods: This study included 3084 T2DM individuals who received health care at Zhenhai Lianhua Hospital, Ningbo, China, from January 2018 to December 2022. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator combined with random forest-recursive feature elimination were used to screen for characteristic variables. Linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, Naive Bayes, random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting were employed in constructing risk prediction models for SCAS in T2DM patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was employed to assess the predictive capacity of the model through 10-fold cross-validation. Additionally, the SHapley Additive exPlanations were utilized to interpret the best-performing model. Results: The percentage of SCAS was 38.46% (n=1186) in the study population. Fourteen variables, including age, white blood cell count, and basophil count, were identified as independent risk factors for SCAS. Nine predictors, including age, albumin, and total protein, were screened for the construction of risk prediction models. After validation, the random forest model exhibited the best clinical predictive value in the training set with an AUC of 0.729 (95% CI: 0.709-0.749), and it also demonstrated good predictive value in the internal validation set [AUC: 0.715 (95% CI: 0.688-0.742)]. The model interpretation revealed that age, albumin, total protein, total cholesterol, and serum creatinine were the top five variables contributing to the prediction model. Conclusion: The construction of SCAS risk models based on the Chinese T2DM population contributes to its early prevention and intervention, which would reduce the incidence of adverse cardiovascular prognostic events.

Prevalence and Burden of Carotid and Femoral Atherosclerosis in Subjects Without Known Cardiovascular Disease in a Large Community Hospital in South-America.

INTRODUCTION: Clinical guidelines recommend measurement of arterial (carotid and femoral) plaque burden by vascular ultrasound (VUS) as a risk modifier in individuals at low or moderate risk without known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). AIM: To evaluate the prevalence of carotid and femoral plaques by age and sex, the burden of subclinical atherosclerosis (SA), and its association with classic CVRF in subjects over 30 years of age without ASCVD. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 5775 consecutive subjects referred for cardiovascular evaluation and determined the prevalence and burden of SA using 2D-VUS in carotid and femoral arteries. RESULTS: Sixty-one percent were men with a mean age of 51.3 (SD 10.6) years. Overall, plaque prevalence was 51% in carotid arteries, 39.3% in femoral arteries, 62.4% in carotid or femoral arteries, and 37.6% in neither. The prevalence of plaques and SA burden showed an increasing trend with age, being higher in men than in women and starting before the age of 40, both in the carotid and femoral sites. There was also an increasing prevalence of plaques according to the number of CVRF, and interestingly we found a high prevalence of plaques in subjects with 0 or 1 classic CVRF. CONCLUSIONS: We observed an increased prevalence and burden of carotid or femoral SA, higher in men, beginning before the fourth decade of life and increasing with age. Despite a significant association with classic CVRF, a significant number of subjects with low CVRF were diagnosed with SA.

Ankle-Brachial Index and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death in the Community: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a significant global public health problem accounting for 15% to 20% of all deaths. A great majority of SCD is associated with coronary heart disease, which may first be detected at autopsy. The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is a simple, noninvasive measure of subclinical atherosclerosis. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between ABI and SCD in a middle-aged biracial general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study with an ABI measurement between 1987 and 1989 were included. ABI was categorized as low (≤0.90), borderline (0.90-1.00), normal (1.00-1.40), and noncompressible (>1.40). SCD was defined as a sudden pulseless condition presumed to be caused by a ventricular tachyarrhythmia in a previously stable individual and was adjudicated by a committee of cardiac electrophysiologists, cardiologists, and internists. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the associations between baseline ABI and incident SCD. Of the 15 081 participants followed for a median of 23.5 years, 556 (3.7%) developed SCD (1.96 cases per 1000 person-years). Low and borderline ABIs were associated with an increased risk of SCD (demographically adjusted hazard ratios [HRs], 2.27 [95% CI, 1.64-3.14] and 1.52 [95% CI, 1.17-1.96], respectively) compared with normal ABI. The association between low ABI and SCD remained significant after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (HR, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.15-2.32]). CONCLUSIONS: Low ABI is independently associated with an increased risk of SCD in a middle-aged biracial general population. ABI could be incorporated into future SCD risk prediction models.