Delayed treatment of cynomolgus macaques with a FVM04/CA45 monoclonal antibody cocktail provides complete protection against lethal Sudan virus infection.

Sudan ebolavirus (SUDV) is a member of the genus Ebolavirus (Family Filoviridae) and has caused sporadic outbreaks of Ebola disease (EBOD), or more specifically Sudan virus disease (SVD), with high mortality rates in Africa. Current vaccines and therapies that have been developed for filoviruses are almost all specific for Ebola virus (EBOV; of the species Zaire ebolavirus), and there is a current lack of therapeutics specific for SUDV. The recent SUDV outbreak in Uganda, which was distributed across multiple districts, including Kampala, a densely populated urban center, highlights the critical need for the development of novel SUDV-specific or pan-Ebola virus therapeutics. Previous work has characterized two monoclonal antibodies, FVM04 and CA45, which have neutralization capabilities against both EBOV and SUDV and have shown protective efficacy in animal challenge studies. Here, we expand upon this work, showing that treatment with a monoclonal antibody cocktail consisting of FVM04 and CA45 provides full protection against lethal SUDV infection in cynomolgus macaques. Studies that evaluate outcomes at late time points after infection, once clinical signs of illness are apparent, are vital for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of antibody therapeutics. We have shown that when treatment is initiated as late as 5 days after infection, with a second dose given on day 8, that treated groups showed few clinical signs or morbidity, with complete survival. This work provides further evidence that FVM04 and CA45 have strong therapeutic potential against SUDV and their development as a pan-Ebola virus therapeutic should be pursued. IMPORTANCE: There are currently no approved vaccines or therapeutics for Sudan virus, a filovirus which is highly related to Ebola virus and causes similar disease and outbreaks. In this study, a cocktail of two potent monoclonal antibodies that effectively neutralize Sudan virus was tested in a nonhuman primate model of Sudan virus disease. Treatment was highly effective, even when initiated as late as 5 days after infection, when clinical signs of infection were already evident. All treated animals showed complete recovery from infection, with little evidence of disease, while all animals that received a control treatment succumbed to infection within 8 days. The study further demonstrated the strong therapeutic potential of the antibody treatment and supported further development for use in Sudan virus outbreaks.

Understanding the delay in identifying Sudan Virus Disease: gaps in integrated disease surveillance and response and community-based surveillance to detect viral hemorrhagic fever outbreaks in Uganda, September 2022.

BACKGROUND: Early detection of outbreaks requires robust surveillance and reporting at both community and health facility levels. Uganda implements Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) for priority diseases and uses the national District Health Information System (DHIS2) for reporting. However, investigations after the first case in the 2022 Uganda Sudan virus outbreak was confirmed on September 20, 2022 revealed many community deaths among persons with Ebola-like symptoms as far back as August. Most had sought care at private facilities. We explored possible gaps in surveillance that may have resulted in late detection of the Sudan virus disease (SVD) outbreak in Uganda. METHODS: Using a standardized tool, we evaluated core surveillance capacities at public and private health facilities at the hospital level and below in three sub-counties reporting the earliest SVD cases in the outbreak. Key informant interviews (KIIs) were conducted with 12 purposively-selected participants from the district local government. Focus group discussions (FGDs) were conducted with community members from six villages where early probable SVD cases were identified. KIIs and FGDs focused on experiences with SVD and Viral Hemorrhagic Fever (VHF) surveillance in the district. Thematic data analysis was used for qualitative data. RESULTS: Forty-six (85%) of 54 health facilities surveyed were privately-owned, among which 42 (91%) did not report to DHIS2 and 39 (85%) had no health worker trained on IDSR; both metrics were 100% in the eight public facilities. Weak community-based surveillance, poor private facility engagement, low suspicion index for VHF among health workers, inability of facilities to analyze and utilize surveillance data, lack of knowledge about to whom to report, funding constraints for surveillance activities, lack of IDSR training, and lack of all-cause mortality surveillance were identified as gaps potentially contributing to delayed outbreak detection. CONCLUSION: Both systemic and knowledge-related gaps in IDSR surveillance in SVD-affected districts contributed to the delayed detection of the 2022 Uganda SVD outbreak. Targeted interventions to address these gaps in both public and private facilities across Uganda could help avert similar situations in the future.

Sudan virus disease super-spreading, Uganda, 2022.

BACKGROUND: On 20 September 2022, Uganda declared its fifth Sudan virus disease (SVD) outbreak, culminating in 142 confirmed and 22 probable cases. The reproductive rate (R) of this outbreak was 1.25. We described persons who were exposed to the virus, became infected, and they led to the infection of an unusually high number of cases during the outbreak. METHODS: In this descriptive cross-sectional study, we defined a super-spreader person (SSP) as any person with real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) confirmed SVD linked to the infection of ≥ 13 other persons (10-fold the outbreak R). We reviewed illness narratives for SSPs collected through interviews. Whole-genome sequencing was used to support epidemiologic linkages between cases. RESULTS: Two SSPs (Patient A, a 33-year-old male, and Patient B, a 26-year-old male) were identified, and linked to the infection of one probable and 50 confirmed secondary cases. Both SSPs lived in the same parish and were likely infected by a single ill healthcare worker in early October while receiving healthcare. Both sought treatment at multiple health facilities, but neither was ever isolated at an Ebola Treatment Unit (ETU). In total, 18 secondary cases (17 confirmed, one probable), including three deaths (17%), were linked to Patient A; 33 secondary cases (all confirmed), including 14 (42%) deaths, were linked to Patient B. Secondary cases linked to Patient A included family members, neighbours, and contacts at health facilities, including healthcare workers. Those linked to Patient B included healthcare workers, friends, and family members who interacted with him throughout his illness, prayed over him while he was nearing death, or exhumed his body. Intensive community engagement and awareness-building were initiated based on narratives collected about patients A and B; 49 (96%) of the secondary cases were isolated in an ETU, a median of three days after onset. Only nine tertiary cases were linked to the 51 secondary cases. Sequencing suggested plausible direct transmission from the SSPs to 37 of 39 secondary cases with sequence data. CONCLUSION: Extended time in the community while ill, social interactions, cross-district travel for treatment, and religious practices contributed to SVD super-spreading. Intensive community engagement and awareness may have reduced the number of tertiary infections. Intensive follow-up of contacts of case-patients may help reduce the impact of super-spreading events.

Individual and household risk factors for Ebola disease among household contacts in Mubende and Kassanda districts, Uganda, 2022.

BACKGROUND: In 2022, an Ebola disease outbreak caused by Sudan virus (SUDV) occurred in Uganda, primarily affecting Mubende and Kassanda districts. We determined risk factors for SUDV infection among household members (HHM) of cases. METHODS: We conducted a case-control and retrospective cohort study in January 2023. Cases were RT-PCR-confirmed SUDV infection in residents of Mubende or Kassanda districts during the outbreak. Case-households housed a symptomatic, primary case-patient for ≥ 24 h and had ≥ 1 secondary case-patient with onset < 2 weeks after their last exposure to the primary case-patient. Control households housed a case-patient and other HHM but no secondary cases. A risk factor questionnaire was administered to the primary case-patient or another adult who lived at home while the primary case-patient was ill. We conducted a retrospective cohort study among case-household members and categorized their interactions with primary case-patients during their illnesses as none, minimal, indirect, and direct contact. We conducted logistic regression to explore associations between exposures and case-household status, and Poisson regression to identify risk factors for SUDV infection among HHM. RESULTS: Case- and control-households had similar median sizes. Among 19 case-households and 51 control households, primary case-patient death (adjusted odds ratio [ORadj] = 7.6, 95% CI 1.4-41) and ≥ 2 household bedrooms (ORadj=0.19, 95% CI 0.056-0.71) were associated with case-household status. In the cohort of 76 case-HHM, 44 (58%) were tested for SUDV < 2 weeks from their last contact with the primary case-patient; 29 (38%) were positive. Being aged ≥ 18 years (adjusted risk ratio [aRRadj] = 1.9, 95%CI: 1.01-3.7) and having direct or indirect contact with the primary case-patient (aRRadj=3.2, 95%CI: 1.1-9.7) compared to minimal or no contact increased risk of Sudan virus disease (SVD). Access to a handwashing facility decreased risk (aRRadj=0.52, 95%CI: 0.31-0.88). CONCLUSION: Direct contact, particularly providing nursing care for and sharing sleeping space with SVD patients, increased infection risk among HHM. Risk assessments during contact tracing may provide evidence to justify closer monitoring of some HHM. Health messaging should highlight the risk of sharing sleeping spaces and providing nursing care for persons with Ebola disease symptoms and emphasize hand hygiene to aid early case identification and reduce transmission.

A bivalent Adenovirus-Vectored Vaccine induces a robust humoral response, but does not protect cynomolgus macaques against a lethal challenge with Sudan virus.

The most recent Sudan virus (SUDV) outbreak in Uganda was first detected in September 2022 and resulted in 164 laboratory-confirmed cases and 77 deaths. There are no approved vaccines against SUDV. Here, we investigated the protective efficacy of ChAdOx1-biEBOV in cynomolgus macaques using a prime or a prime-boost regimen. ChAdOx1-biEBOV is a replication-deficient simian adenovirus vector encoding SUDV and Ebola virus (EBOV) glycoproteins (GPs). Intramuscular vaccination induced SUDV and EBOV GP-specific IgG responses and neutralizing antibodies. Upon challenge with SUDV, vaccinated animals showed signs of disease like those observed in control animals, and no difference in survival outcomes were measured among all three groups. Viral load in blood samples and in tissue samples obtained after necropsy were not significantly different between groups. Overall, this study highlights the importance of evaluating vaccines in multiple animal models and demonstrates the importance of understanding protective efficacy in both animal models and human hosts.

Sudan virus disease - A quick review.

The recent Sudan virus disease (SVD) outbreak in Uganda is a reminder of threat from Filovirus diseases. Unlike Ebola virus disease, no effective antiviral and vaccine is available for SVD. The outbreak was declared over after 115 days, with 142 confirmed cases and case fatality rate of 39%, before any dose of candidate vaccine could be used on contacts. We provide a quick review of up-to-date information on the Uganda outbreak, summary of previous outbreaks, and detail the existing SVD treatment and vaccine candidates. Evolution of disease attributes and the impact on public health were also discussed. For high consequence infectious disease like SVD, it takes international collaboration to be better prepared for the next outbreak.

Filoviruses: Scientific Gaps and Prototype Pathogen Recommendation.

Viruses in the family Filoviridae, including the commonly known Ebola (EBOV) and Marburg (MARV) viruses, can cause severe hemorrhagic fever in humans and nonhuman primates. Sporadic outbreaks of filovirus disease occur in sub-Saharan Africa with reported case fatality rates ranging from 25% to 90%. The high mortality and increasing frequency and magnitude of recent outbreaks along with the increased potential for spread from rural to urban areas highlight the importance of pandemic preparedness for these viruses. Despite their designation as high-priority pathogens, numerous scientific gaps exist in critical areas. In this review, these gaps and an assessment of potential prototype pathogen candidates are presented for this important virus family.

Recombinant Sudan virus and evaluation of humoral cross-reactivity between Ebola and Sudan virus glycoproteins after infection or rVSV-ΔG-ZEBOV-GP vaccination.

Ebola disease outbreaks are major public health events because of human-to-human transmission and high mortality. These outbreaks are most often caused by Ebola virus, but at least three related viruses can also cause the disease. In 2022, Sudan virus re-emerged causing more than 160 confirmed and probable cases. This report describes generation of a recombinant Sudan virus and demonstrates its utility by quantifying antibody cross-reactivity between Ebola and Sudan virus glycoproteins after human infection or vaccination with a licensed Ebola virus vaccine.

Molecular characterization of the 2022 Sudan virus disease outbreak in Uganda.

IMPORTANCE: Ebola disease (EBOD) is a public health threat with a high case fatality rate. Most EBOD outbreaks have occurred in remote locations, but the 2013-2016 Western Africa outbreak demonstrated how devastating EBOD can be when it reaches an urban population. Here, the 2022 Sudan virus disease (SVD) outbreak in Mubende District, Uganda, is summarized, and the genetic relatedness of the new variant is evaluated. The Mubende variant exhibited 96% amino acid similarity with historic SUDV sequences from the 1970s and a high degree of conservation throughout the outbreak, which was important for ongoing diagnostics and highly promising for future therapy development. Genetic differences between viruses identified during the Mubende SVD outbreak were linked with epidemiological data to better interpret viral spread and contact tracing chains. This methodology should be used to better integrate discrete epidemiological and sequence data for future viral outbreaks.

The Multiple Origins of Ebola Disease Outbreaks.

BACKGROUND: The origins of Ebola disease outbreaks remain enigmatic. Historically outbreaks have been attributed to spillover events from wildlife. However, recent data suggest that some outbreaks may originate from human-to-human transmission of prior outbreak strains instead of spillover. Clarifying the origins of Ebola disease outbreaks could improve detection and mitigation of future outbreaks. METHODS: We reviewed the origins of all Ebola disease outbreaks from 1976 to 2022 to analyze the earliest cases and characteristics of each outbreak. The epidemiology and phylogenetic relationships of outbreak strains were used to further identify the likely source of each outbreak. RESULTS: From 1976 to 2022 there were 35 Ebola disease outbreaks with 48 primary/index cases. While the majority of outbreaks were associated with wildlife spillover, resurgence of human-to-human transmission could account for roughly a quarter of outbreaks caused by Ebola virus. Larger outbreaks were more likely to lead to possible resurgence, and nosocomial transmission was associated with the majority of outbreaks. CONCLUSIONS: While spillover from wildlife has been a source for many Ebola disease outbreaks, multiple outbreaks may have originated from flare-ups of prior outbreak strains. Improving access to diagnostics as well as identifying groups at risk for resurgence of ebolaviruses will be crucial to preventing future outbreaks.

A Pan-Ebolavirus Monoclonal Antibody Cocktail Provides Protection Against Ebola and Sudan Viruses.

Filoviruses, including ebolaviruses and marburgviruses, can cause severe and often fatal disease in humans. Over the past several years, antibody therapy has emerged as a promising strategy for the treatment of filovirus disease. Here, we describe 2 distinct cross-reactive monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) isolated from mice immunized with recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus-based filovirus vaccines. Both mAbs recognized the glycoproteins of multiple different ebolaviruses and exhibited broad but differential in vitro neutralization activities against these viruses. By themselves, each mAb provided partial to full protection against Ebola virus in mice, and in combination, the mAbs provided 100% protection against Sudan virus challenge in guinea pigs. This study identified novel mAbs that were elicited through immunization and able to provide protection from ebolavirus infection, thus enriching the pool of candidate therapeutics for treating Ebola disease.

Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August-November 2022.

We estimated the mean serial interval for Sudan virus in Uganda to be 11.7 days (95 CI% 8.2-15.8 days). Estimates for the 2022 outbreak indicate a mean basic reproduction number of 2.4-2.7 (95% CI 1.7-3.5). Estimated net reproduction numbers across districts suggest a marked spatial heterogeneity.

A Highly Attenuated Panfilovirus VesiculoVax Vaccine Rapidly Protects Nonhuman Primates Against Marburg Virus and 3 Species of Ebola Virus.

BACKGROUND: The family Filoviridae consists of several virus members known to cause significant mortality and disease in humans. Among these, Ebola virus (EBOV), Marburg virus (MARV), Sudan virus (SUDV), and Bundibugyo virus (BDBV) are considered the deadliest. The vaccine, Ervebo, was shown to rapidly protect humans against Ebola disease, but is indicated only for EBOV infections with limited cross-protection against other filoviruses. Whether multivalent formulations of similar recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus (rVSV)-based vaccines could likewise confer rapid protection is unclear. METHODS: Here, we tested the ability of an attenuated, quadrivalent panfilovirus VesiculoVax vaccine (rVSV-Filo) to elicit fast-acting protection against MARV, EBOV, SUDV, and BDBV. Groups of cynomolgus monkeys were vaccinated 7 days before exposure to each of the 4 viral pathogens. All subjects (100%) immunized 1 week earlier survived MARV, SUDV, and BDBV challenge; 80% survived EBOV challenge. Survival correlated with lower viral load, higher glycoprotein-specific immunoglobulin G titers, and the expression of B-cell-, cytotoxic cell-, and antigen presentation-associated transcripts. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate multivalent VesiculoVax vaccines are suitable for filovirus outbreak management. The highly attenuated nature of the rVSV-Filo vaccine may be preferable to the Ervebo "delta G" platform, which induced adverse events in a subset of recipients.

Sudan virus disease outbreak in Uganda in 2022: the case of patient zero.

In 2000, Uganda reported the first Ebola disease outbreak, and since then, the nation has had several other outbreaks. CASE PRESENTATION: On September 15, 2022, a Ugandan man aged 24 years presented with a history of fever, hematemesis, and hematochezia. A clinical suspicion of a viral hemorrhagic fever was raised, the patient was isolated, and the authorities were notified. Clinical samples subjected to real-time polymerase chain reaction analysis confirmed Sudan virus disease (SVD) caused by the Sudan Ebola virus species. The patient died 3 days later. By November 30, 2022, there had been a total of 142 confirmed cases of SVD in Uganda, with 56 (39.4%) fatalities. The case described in this report is the first patient who was hospitalized during this outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: SVD has a high mortality rate despite the best supportive management. Therefore, it is important to focus on preventive measures to control outbreaks of this disease.

Development of a Well-Characterized Cynomolgus Macaque Model of Sudan Virus Disease for Support of Product Development.

The primary objective of this study was to characterize the disease course in cynomolgus macaques exposed to Sudan virus (SUDV), to determine if infection in this species is an appropriate model for the evaluation of filovirus countermeasures under the FDA Animal Rule. Sudan virus causes Sudan virus disease (SVD), with an average case fatality rate of approximately 50%, and while research is ongoing, presently there are no approved SUDV vaccines or therapies. Well characterized animal models are crucial for further developing and evaluating countermeasures for SUDV. Twenty (20) cynomolgus macaques were exposed intramuscularly to either SUDV or sterile phosphate-buffered saline; 10 SUDV-exposed animals were euthanized on schedule to characterize pathology at defined durations post-exposure and 8 SUDV-exposed animals were not part of the scheduled euthanasia cohort. Survival was assessed, along with clinical observations, body weights, body temperatures, hematology, clinical chemistry, coagulation, viral load (serum and tissues), macroscopic observations, and histopathology. There were statistically significant differences between SUDV-exposed animals and mock-exposed animals for 26 parameters, including telemetry body temperature, clinical chemistry parameters, hematology parameters, activated partial thromboplastin time, serum viremia, and biomarkers that characterize the disease course of SUDV in cynomolgus macaques.

Assays for the Evaluation of the Immune Response to Marburg and Ebola Sudan Vaccination-Filovirus Animal Nonclinical Group Anti-Marburg Virus Glycoprotein Immunoglobulin G Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay and a Pseudovirion Neutralization Assay.

Since the discovery of the Marburg virus (MARV) in 1967 and Ebola virus (EBOV) in 1976, there have been over 40 reported outbreaks of filovirus disease with case fatality rates greater than 50%. This underscores the need for efficacious vaccines against these highly pathogenic filoviruses. Due to the sporadic and unpredictable nature of filovirus outbreaks, such a vaccine would likely need to be vetted through the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), following the Animal Rule or similar European Medicines Agency (EMA) regulatory pathway. Under the FDA Animal Rule, vaccine-induced immune responses correlating with survival of non-human primates (NHPs), or another well-characterized animal model, following lethal challenge, will need to be bridged for human immune response distributions in clinical trials. A correlate of protection has not yet been identified for the filovirus disease, but antibodies, specifically anti-glycoprotein (GP) antibodies, are believed to be critical in providing protection against the filovirus disease following vaccination and are thus a strong candidate for a correlate of protection. Thus, species-neutral methods capable of the detection and bridging of these antibody immune responses, such as methods to quantify anti-GP immunoglobulin G (IgG)-binding antibodies and neutralizing antibodies, are needed. Reported here is the development and qualification of two Filovirus Animal Nonclinical Group (FANG) anti-GP IgG Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assays (ELISAs) to quantify anti-MARV and anti-Sudan virus (SUDV) IgG antibodies in human and NHP serum samples, as well as the development of pseudovirion neutralization assays (PsVNAs) to quantify MARV- and SUDV-neutralizing antibodies in human and NHP serum samples.

Adapting Simon's Two-Stage Design for Efficient Screening of Filovirus Vaccines in Non-Human Primates.

The cynomolgus monkey (Macaca fascicularis) non-human primate (NHP) is widely used for filovirus vaccine testing. To use limited BSL-4 resources efficiently and minimize NHP usage, Simon's two-stage design was adapted to screen candidate Ebola virus (EBOV) vaccines in up to six NHPs with two (optimal), three, or four NHPs in Stage 1. Using the optimal design, two NHPs were tested in Stage 1. If neither survived, the candidate was rejected. Otherwise, it was eligible for Stage 2 testing in four NHPs. Candidates advanced if four or more NHPs were protected over both stages. An 80% efficacious candidate vaccine had 88.5% probability of advancing, and a 40% efficacious candidate vaccine had 83% probability of rejection. Simon's two-stage design was used to screen 27 EBOV vaccine candidates in 43 candidate regimens that varied in dose, adjuvant, formulation, or schedule. Of the 30 candidate regimens tested using two NHPs in Stage 1, 15 were rejected, nine were withdrawn, and six were tested in Stage 2. All six tested in Stage 2 qualified to advance in the product development pipeline. Multiple regimens for the EBOV vaccines approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2019 were tested in this program. This approach may also prove useful for screening Sudan virus (SUDV) and Marburg virus (MARV) vaccine candidates.

Protection against Marburg Virus and Sudan Virus in NHP by an Adenovector-Based Trivalent Vaccine Regimen Is Correlated to Humoral Immune Response Levels.

The Marburg virus (MARV) and Sudan virus (SUDV) belong to the filovirus family. The sporadic human outbreaks occur mostly in Africa and are characterized by an aggressive disease course with high mortality. The first case of Marburg virus disease in Guinea in 2021, together with the increased frequency of outbreaks of Ebola virus (EBOV), which is also a filovirus, accelerated the interest in potential prophylactic vaccine solutions against multiple filoviruses. We previously tested a two-dose heterologous vaccine regimen (Ad26.Filo, MVA-BN-Filo) in non-human primates (NHP) and showed a fully protective immune response against both SUDV and MARV in addition to the already-reported protective effect against EBOV. The vaccine-induced glycoprotein (GP)-binding antibody levels appear to be good predictors of the NHP challenge outcome as indicated by the correlation between antibody levels and survival outcome as well as the high discriminatory capacity of the logistic model. Moreover, the elicited GP-specific binding antibody response against EBOV, SUDV, and MARV remains stable for more than 1 year. Overall, the NHP data indicate that the Ad26.Filo, MVA-BN-Filo regimen may be a good candidate for a prophylactic vaccination strategy in regions at high risk of filovirus outbreaks.

Immune Correlates of Protection from Filovirus Efficacy Studies in Non-Human Primates.

Non-human primate (NHP) efficacy data for several Ebola virus (EBOV) vaccine candidates exist, but definitive correlates of protection (CoP) have not been demonstrated, although antibodies to the filovirus glycoprotein (GP) antigen and other immunological endpoints have been proposed as potential CoPs. Accordingly, studies that could elucidate biomarker(s) that statistically correlate, whether mechanistically or not, with protection are warranted. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate potential CoP for Novavax EBOV GP vaccine candidate administered at different doses to cynomolgus macaques using the combined data from two separate, related studies containing a total of 44 cynomolgus macaques. Neutralizing antibodies measured by pseudovirion neutralization assay (PsVNA) and anti-GP IgG binding antibodies were evaluated as potential CoP using logistic regression models. The predictive ability of these models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Fitted models indicated a statistically significant relationship between survival and log base 10 (log10) transformed anti-GP IgG antibodies, with good predictive ability of the model. Neither (log10 transformed) PsVNT50 nor PsVNT80 titers were statistically significant predictors of survival, though predictive ability of both models was good. Predictive ability was not statistically different between any pair of models. Models that included immunization dose in addition to anti-GP IgG antibodies failed to detect statistically significant effects of immunization dose. These results support anti-GP IgG antibodies as a correlate of protection. Total assay variabilities and geometric coefficients of variation (GCVs) based on the study data appeared to be greater for both PsVNA readouts, suggesting the increased assay variability may account for non-significant model results for PsVNA despite the good predictive ability of the models. The statistical approach to evaluating CoP for this EBOV vaccine may prove useful for advancing research for Sudan virus (SUDV) and Marburg virus (MARV) candidate vaccines.

Natural history of Sudan ebolavirus infection in rhesus and cynomolgus macaques.

Due to its high mortality rate and continued re-emergence, Ebolavirus disease (EVD) continues to pose a serious threat to global health. A group of viruses within the genus Ebolavirus causes this severe hemorrhagic disease in humans: Ebola virus (EBOV; species Zaire ebolavirus), Sudan virus (SUDV; species Sudan ebolavirus), Bundibugyo virus, and Taï Forest virus. EBOV and SUDV are associated with the highest case fatality rates. While the host response to EBOV has been comprehensively examined, limited data exists for SUDV infection. For medical countermeasure testing, well-characterized SUDV nonhuman primate (NHP) models are thus needed. Here, we describe a natural history study in which rhesus (N = 11) and cynomolgus macaques (N = 14) were intramuscularly exposed to a 1000 plaque-forming unit dose of SUDV (Gulu variant). Time-course analyses of various hematological, pathological, serological, coagulation, and transcriptomic findings are reported. SUDV infection was uniformly lethal in cynomolgus macaques (100% mortality), whereas a single rhesus macaque subject (91% mortality) survived to the study endpoint (median time-to-death of ∼8.0 and ∼8.5 days in cynomolgus and rhesus macaques, respectively). Infected macaques exhibited hallmark features of human EVD. The early stage was typified by viremia, granulocytosis, lymphopenia, albuminemia, thrombocytopenia, and decreased expression of HLA-class transcripts. At mid-to-late disease, animals developed fever and petechial rashes, and expressed high levels of pro-inflammatory mediators, pro-thrombotic factors, and markers indicative of liver and kidney injury. End-stage disease was characterized by shock and multi-organ failure. In summary, macaques recapitulate human SUDV disease, supporting these models for use in the development of vaccines and therapeutics.