Association of ambient air pollution with cognitive functioning and markers of structural brain damage: The Maastricht study.

INTRODUCTION: Given the absence of curative interventions and the rising global incidence of dementia, research is increasingly focusing on lifestyle factors for prevention. However, identifying shared environmental risk for dementia, next to individual factors, is crucial for optimal risk reduction strategies. Therefore, in the present study we investigated the association between air pollution, cognitive functioning, and markers of structural brain damage. METHODS: We used cross-sectional data from 4,002 participants of The Maastricht Study on volumetric markers of brain integrity (white and grey matter volume, cerebrospinal fluid volume, white matter hyperintensities volume, presence of cerebral small vessel disease) and cognitive functioning (memory, executive functioning and attention, processing speed, overall cognition). Individuals were matched by postal code of residence to nationwide data on air pollution exposure (particulate matter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), particulate matter <10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), soot). Potentia linear and non-linear associations were investigated with linear, logistic, and restricted cubic splines regression. All analyses were adjusted for demographic characteristics and a compound score of modifiable dementia risk and protective factors. RESULTS: Exposure to air pollutants was not related to cognitive functioning and most brain markers. We found curvilinear relationships between high PM2.5 exposures and grey matter and cerebrospinal fluid volume. Participants in the low and high range of exposure had lower grey matter volume. Higher cerebrospinal fluid volumes were only associated with high range of exposure, independent of demographic and individual modifiable dementia risk factors. After additional post hoc analyses, controlling for urbanicity, the associations for grey matter volume became non-significant. In men only, higher exposure to all air pollutants was associated with lower white matter volumes. No significant associations with white matter hyperintensities volume or cerebral small vessel disease were observed. DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest that higher PM2.5 exposure is associated with more brain atrophy.

Validation of a 5-Year Prognostic Model for Parkinson's Disease.

BACKGROUND: A simple prognostic model was previously developed to predict the probability of recently-diagnosed patients reaching negative outcomes (postural instability, dementia or death) in a 5-year period. OBJECTIVES: To validate this model in an independent cohort and establish utility at later time points. METHODS: Validation was performed using data collected in an incident cohort at baseline, 2 and 4 years. Predicted negative outcome probabilities were compared to actual 5-year outcomes. RESULTS: The model, based on age, MDS-UPDRS axial score and 60-second animal fluency, predicted poor 5-year outcome when applied at baseline, (area under the curve (AUC) 0.80), 2 years (AUC 0.82) and 4 years (AUC 0.71). Power calculations showed that selecting a subgroup with prognostic score >0.5 reduced the sample size required for a disease-modifying trial. CONCLUSIONS: This 5-year prognostic model has good accuracy when employed up to 4 years from diagnosis and may help stratification for disease-modifying trials.

Social provisions in patients with mitochondrial diseases.

Background: Mitochondrial diseases often follow a chronic, multimorbid disease course in adults. Like other chronic conditions, mitochondrial diseases present a challenge to public and community health models and patients are potentially at higher risk of social isolation and loneliness. However, there is lack of data on social provisions in mitochondrial diseases. Methods: We performed a cross-sectional observational study on patients with a confirmed genetic or clinical diagnosis of mitochondrial disease, recruited between September 2018 and December 2021. Participants completed the Social Provisions Scale (SPS) as a measure of social support. Designated carers similarly completed the SPS in carer-specific questionnaires. Results: 95 mitochondrial disease patients and 24 designated carers completed the SPS. Social provisions were met for all six subscales of SPS in the mitochondrial disease cohort: (1) guidance 90.5% (n=86), (2) reassurance of self-worth 82.8% (n=77), (3) social integration 88.4% (n=84), (4) attachment 83.2% (n=79), (5) opportunity of nurturance, 61.1% (n=58) and (6) reliable alliance 95.8% (n=91). All social provisions were also met in the carer cohort. Conclusion: Patients with mitochondrial diseases and their carers demonstrate a high perceived level of social support in the setting of a tertiary referral centre specialised in mitochondrial disease despite the burden of chronic disease.

Subjective cognitive decline and cognitive change among diverse middle-aged and older Hispanic/Latino adults: Results from the Study of Latinos-Investigation of Neurocognitive Aging (SOL-INCA).

INTRODUCTION: The potential utility of subjective cognitive decline (SCD) as an early risk marker of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias is under consideration. We examined associations between SCD and cognitive change among middle-aged and older Hispanic/Latino adults living in the United States. METHODS: The short-form Everyday Cognition Scale (ECog-12) was assessed to generate global, executive function, and memory-related SCD scores. We used survey generalized regressions to model the change in learning, memory, verbal fluency, executive function, and global cognitive performance over 7 years as a function of SCD (at Visit 2). RESULTS: The mean age was 56.37 ± 8.10 years at Visit 1 (n = 6225). Higher ECog-12 was associated with greater decline in global cognitive performance (ECog-12 global: B = -0.17, standard error [SE] = 0.02; ECog-12 executive: B = -0.15, SE = 0.02; ECog-12 memory: B = -0.14, SE = 0.02, p's < 0.001). DISCUSSION: These results support the link between subjective reports of cognitive decline and objectively measured 7-year cognitive decline in community-dwelling, middle-aged, and older Hispanic/Latino adults. HIGHLIGHTS: We found that nearly two-thirds of diverse middle-aged and older Hispanics/Latinos reported cognitive concerns in a large and representative population study. Self-reported subjective experiences of cognitive decline reflect objective cognitive decline in US Hispanics/Latinos. The relationship is stronger among men compared to women. The relationship between subjective and objective changes to memory are stronger in those with cognitive concerns, and remain even in cognitively healthy individuals.

Clinical drivers of hospitalisation in patients with mitochondrial diseases.

Background: Mitochondrial diseases in adults are generally chronic conditions with a wide spectrum of severity contributing to disease burden and healthcare resource utilisation. Data on healthcare resource utilisation in mitochondrial diseases are limited. Objectives: We performed a retrospective longitudinal study to investigate the clinical drivers of hospitalisation in adult patients with mitochondrial diseases to better understand healthcare resource utilisation. Methods: We recruited participants from our specialised Mitochondrial Disease Clinic in Sydney, Australia between September 2018 and December 2021. We performed a retrospective chart review for the period 2013-2022 considering emergency department (ED) and/or hospital admission notes, as well as discharge summaries. We used multiple linear regression models to examine the association between the type of presenting symptom(s) and duration of hospital stay and frequency of admissions, while adjusting for relevant covariates. Results: Of the 99 patients considered, the duration of hospitalisation ranged from 0 to 116 days per participant and the number of admissions ranged from 0 to 21 per participant. Participants with one or more mitochondrial disease-associated admissions constituted 52% of the study cohort. 13% of the participants presented to the ED without requiring an admission and 35% never attended the ED or required a hospital admission during this period. Neurological (p<0.0001), gastroenterological (p=0.01) and symptoms categorised as 'other' (p<0.0001) were the main presentations driving the total number of days admitted to hospital. A statistically significant association was evident for the number of admissions and all types of presenting symptoms (p<0.0001). Conclusion: There are variable reasons for hospitalisation in adults with mitochondrial diseases, with neurological and gastroenterological presentations being associated with prolonged and complex hospitalisation. A better understanding of clinical drivers such as these allows for better informed and well-coordinated management aimed at optimising healthcare resource utilisation.

Lifestyle and medical conditions in relation to ALS risk and progression-an introduction to the Swedish ALSrisc Study.

BACKGROUND: This study was an introduction to the Swedish ALSrisc Study and explored the association of lifestyle and medical conditions, with risk and progression of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: We included 265 newly diagnosed ALS patients during 2016-2022 in Stockholm and 207 ALS-free siblings and partners of the patients as controls. Information on body mass index (BMI), smoking, and history of head injuries, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, and hypertension was obtained through the Euro-MOTOR questionnaire at recruitment. Patients were followed from diagnosis until death, invasive ventilation, or November 30, 2022. RESULTS: Higher BMI at recruitment was associated with lower risk for ALS (OR 0.89, 95%CI 0.83-0.95), especially among those diagnosed after 65 years. One unit increase in the average BMI during the 3 decades before diagnosis was associated with a lower risk for ALS (OR 0.94, 95%CI 0.89-0.99). Diabetes was associated with lower risk of ALS (OR 0.38, 95%CI 0.16-0.90), while hypercholesterolemia was associated with higher risk of ALS (OR 2.10, 95%CI 1.13-3.90). Higher BMI at diagnosis was associated with lower risk of death (HR 0.91, 95%CI 0.84-0.98), while the highest level of smoking exposure (in pack-years) (HR 1.90, 95%CI 1.20-3.00), hypercholesterolemia (HR 1.84, 95%CI 1.06-3.19), and hypertension (HR 1.76, 95%CI 1.03-3.01) were associated with higher risk of death, following ALS diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Higher BMI and diabetes were associated with lower risk of ALS. Higher BMI was associated with lower risk of death, whereas smoking (especially in high pack-years), hypercholesterolemia, and hypertension were associated with higher risk of death after ALS diagnosis.

Prevalence and genotypic associations of epilepsy in Prader-Willi Syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of epilepsy and febrile seizures and their association with genotype, i.e., 15q11-q13 deletions, uniparental chromosome 15 disomy (UPD) and other mutations, in the population with Prader-Willi syndrome (PWS). METHODS: A systematic search of Medline, Scopus, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library was conducted. Studies estimating the prevalence of seizures, epilepsy and febrile seizures in the PWS population were included. Meta-analyses of the prevalence of epilepsy and febrile seizures and their association with genotype using the prevalence ratio (PR) were performed. RESULTS: Fifteen studies were included. The prevalence of epilepsy was 0.11 (0.07, 0.15), similar to the prevalence of febrile seizures, with a prevalence of 0.09 (0.05, 0.13). The comparison "deletion vs. UPD" had a PR of 2.03 (0.90, 4.57) and 3.76 (1.54, 9.18) for epilepsy and febrile seizures. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of seizure disorders in PWS is higher than in the general population. In addition, deletions in 15q11-q13 may be associated with a higher risk of seizure disorders. Therefore, active screening for seizure disorders in PWS should improve the lives of these people. In addition, genotype could be used to stratify risk, even for epilepsy, although more studies or larger sample sizes are needed.

Future Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Australia: Impact on Health Outcomes between 2019 and 2038.

BACKGROUND: Projections of the future burden of ischemic stroke (IS) has not been extensively reported for the Australian population; the availability of such data would assist in health policy planning, clinical guideline updates, and public health. METHODS: First, we estimated the lifetime risk of IS (from age 40 to 100 years) using a multistate life table model. Second, a dynamic multistate model was constructed to project the burden of IS for the whole Australian population aged between 40 and 100 years over a 20-year period (2019-2038). Data for the study were primarily sourced from a large, representative Victorian linked dataset based on the Victorian Admitted Episode Dataset and National Death Index. The model projected prevalent and incident cases of nonfatal IS, fatal IS, and years of life lived (YLL) with and without IS. The YLL outcome was discounted by 5% annually; we varied the discounting rate in scenario analyses. RESULTS: The lifetime risk of IS from age 40 years was estimated as 15.5% for males and 14.0% for females in 2018. From 2019 to 2038, 644,208 Australians were projected to develop incident IS (564,922 nonfatal and 79,287 fatal). By 2038, the model projected there would be 358,534 people with prevalent IS, 35,554 people with incident nonfatal IS and 5,338 people with fatal IS, a 14.2% (44,535), 72.9% (14,988), and 106.3% (2,751) increase compared to 2019 estimations, respectively. Projected YLL (with a 5% discount rate) accrued by the Australian population were 174,782,672 (84,251,360 in males and 90,531,312 in females), with 4,053,794 YLL among people with IS (2,320,513 in males, 1,733,281 in females). CONCLUSION: The burden of IS was projected to increase between 2019 and 2038 in Australia. The outcomes of the model provide important information for decision-makers to design strategies to reduce stroke burden.

Incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from an 8-year population-based study in Central Italy based on healthcare utilization databases.

BACKGROUND: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal neurodegenerative disorder with a high multidimensional burden, with an obscure etiopathogenesis. METHODS: We designed a longitudinal, population-based study of people residing in Central Italy (Marche Region) who were beneficiaries of the National Health System. People with an unprecedented ALS hospitalization (335.20 ICD-9 CM) or tagged with an ALS exemption between 2014 and 2021 were considered incident cases. ALS cases residing in the region for <3 years or with an active ALS exemption or hospitalized for ALS before 2014 were excluded. We used secondary sources to identify new ALS diagnoses. The regional referral center for ALS's database was used to test the accuracy of secondary sources in detecting cases. ALS mean incidence was compared to that reported in similar studies conducted in Italy. The incidence rate trend adjusted by sex and age was evaluated using the Poisson regression model. RESULTS: We detected 425 new ALS cases (median age: 70y) in the 2014-2021 period, with a mean incidence of 3.5:100,000 py (95%CI: 3.2-3.8; M:F = 1.2), similar to that reported in similar studies conducted in Italy. No trend was observed during 2014-2019. After including 2020-2021 in the model, we observed a mean decrease in incidence of 5.8% (95% CI 2.0%; 9.5%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: We show a decrease in the incidence rate of ALS in Marche, during the 2014-2021 period, as a possible outcome of a delayed neurological assessment and diagnosis during the pandemic. An ad hoc developed identification algorithm, based on healthcare utilization databases, is a valuable tool to assess the health impact of global contingencies.

Prognostic factors for disease activity in newly diagnosed teriflunomide-treated patients with multiple sclerosis: a nationwide Danish study.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians frequently rely on relapse counts, T2 MRI lesion load (T2L) and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores to guide treatment decisions for individuals diagnosed with multiple sclerosis (MS). This study evaluates how these factors, along with age and sex, influence prognosis during treatment with teriflunomide (TFL). METHODS: We conducted a nationwide cohort study using data from the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry.Eligible participants had relapsing-remitting MS or clinically isolated syndrome and initiated TFL as their first treatment between 2013 and 2019. The effect of age, pretreatment relapses, T2L and EDSS scores on the risk of disease activity on TFL were stratified by sex. RESULTS: In total, 784 individuals were included (57.4% females). A high number of pretreatment relapses (≥2) was associated with an increased risk of disease activity in females only (OR and (95% CI): 1.76 (1.11 to 2.81)). Age group 50+ was associated with a lower risk of disease activity in both sexes (OR females=0.28 (0.14 to 0.56); OR males=0.22 (0.09 to 0.55)), while age 35-49 showed a different impact in males and females (OR females=0.79 (0.50 to 1.23); OR males=0.42 (0.24 to 0.72)). EDSS scores and T2L did not show any consistent associations. CONCLUSION: A high number of pretreatment relapses was only associated with an increased risk of disease activity in females, while age had a differential impact on the risk of disease activity according to sex. Clinicians may consider age, sex and relapses when deciding on TFL treatment.

Incidence of Multiple Sclerosis in Uruguay: A Prospective Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: The worldwide incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) is estimated at 0.5-10 cases per 100,000 person-years and is probably increasing. In 2014, a previous study estimated the incidence of multiple sclerosis in Uruguay at 1.2 cases per 100,000 person-years. OBJECTIVES: We conducted an observational, prospective, population-based study to determine MS incidence from diagnosis in Uruguay. METHODS: The population studied included people older than 18 years of age who were living in Uruguay between July 1, 2019, and June 30, 2021. The diagnosis was based on 2017 McDonald criteria. Multiple data sources were employed including neurologists, magnetic resonance imaging centers, laboratories performing oligoclonal band testing, neurophysiology laboratories, neurorehabilitation centers, the institution Fondo Nacional de Recursos, and the MS Patients' Association of Uruguay (EMUR). The capture-recapture method was used to estimate incidence. RESULTS: 155 new MS cases were confirmed after review. The median age was 35 (range 18-62). Thirteen patients (8.38%) were diagnosed with late-onset MS. The crude incidence rate was 2.89 cases per 100,000 person-years, 3.95 among females, and 1.72 among male patients. The incidence rate estimated using the capture-recapture method was 3.18 (95% CI: 3.02-3.34). CONCLUSIONS: According to the Atlas of MS, Uruguay has a low incidence rate (2.0-3.99), even though it is one of the highest in Latin America. Our country aligns with the global trend of increasing incidence. Age and sex distribution were similar to other studies, with a high incidence of patients with late-onset multiple sclerosis. The capture-recapture method confirms the exhaustivity of our investigation.

Comparing ocrelizumab to interferon/glatiramer acetate in people with multiple sclerosis over age 60.

BACKGROUND: Ongoing controversy exists regarding optimal management of disease modifying therapy (DMT) in older people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). There is concern that the lower relapse rate, combined with a higher risk of DMT-related infections and side effects, may alter the risk-benefit balance in older pwMS. Given the lack of pwMS above age 60 in randomised controlled trials, the comparative efficacy of high-efficacy DMTs such as ocrelizumab has not been shown in older pwMS. We aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of ocrelizumab, a high-efficacy DMT, versus interferon/glatiramer acetate (IFN/GA) in pwMS over the age of 60. METHODS: Using data from MSBase registry, this multicentre cohort study included pwMS above 60 who switched to or started on ocrelizumab or IFN/GA. We analysed relapse and disability outcomes after balancing covariates using an inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) method. Propensity scores were obtained based on age, country, disease duration, sex, baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale, prior relapses (all-time, 12 months and 24 months) and prior DMT exposure (overall number and high-efficacy DMTs). After weighting, all covariates were balanced. Primary outcomes were time to first relapse and annualised relapse rate (ARR). Secondary outcomes were 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP) and confirmed disability improvement (CDI). RESULTS: A total of 248 participants received ocrelizumab, while 427 received IFN/GA. The IPTW-weighted ARR for ocrelizumab was 0.01 and 0.08 for IFN/GA. The IPTW-weighted ARR ratio was 0.15 (95% CI 0.06 to 0.33, p<0.001) for ocrelizumab compared with IFN/GA. On IPTW-weighted Cox regression models, HR for time to first relapse was 0.13 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.26, p<0.001). The hazard of first relapse was significantly reduced in ocrelizumab users after 5 months compared with IFN/GA users. However, the two groups did not differ in CDP or CDI over 3.57 years. CONCLUSION: In older pwMS, ocrelizumab effectively reduced relapses compared with IFN/GA. Overall relapse activity was low. This study adds valuable real-world data for informed DMT decision making with older pwMS. Our study also confirms that there is a treatment benefit in older people with MS, given the existence of a clear differential treatment effect between ocrelizumab and IFN/GA in the over 60 age group.

Incidence and prevalence of mtDNA-related adult mitochondrial disease in Southwest Finland, 2009-2022: an observational, population-based study.

Background: Mitochondrial diseases are common inherited metabolic disorders. Due to improved case ascertainment and diagnosis methods, the detection of new diagnoses of mitochondrial disease can be expected to increase. In December 2009, the prevalence of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA)-related mitochondrial disease was 4.6/100 000 (95% CI, 2.7 to 7.2) in the adult population of Southwest Finland. We investigated the number of new diagnoses and the incidence of mitochondrial disease in Southwest Finland between December 2009 and December 2022. Methods: We collected data on all adult patients from Southwest Finland diagnosed with mitochondrial disease on 31 December 2009 and 31 December 2022. Most patients had been diagnosed at the Turku University Hospital (TUH) neurology outpatient clinic. Patients were also identified by searching the TUH electronic patient database for relevant International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes and conducted mtDNA analyses. Results: 42 new patients were diagnosed giving a mean annual rate of 3.2 new diagnoses. In 2022, the minimum prevalence estimate of adult mtDNA-related mitochondrial disease was 9.2/100 000 (95% CI, 6.5 to 12.7). The prevalence of adult mtDNA disease associated with m.3243A>G was 4.2/100 000 (95% CI, 2.5 to 6.7), and that with large-scale mtDNA deletions was 1.3/100 000 (95% CI, 0.4 to 2.9). During the 13-year period, the annual incidence of adult mtDNA disease was 0.6/100 000 and that of adult m.3243A>G-related disease 0.3/100 000. Conclusion: Our results suggest that improved means of diagnostics and dedicated effort increase the detection of mitochondrial disease.

Case-Fatality Rate in Parkinson's Disease: A Nationwide Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) may have an increased risk of mortality, but robust estimates are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To compare mortality rates nationally between patients with PD and controls. METHODS: The case-fatality rates of Finnish PD patients diagnosed in 2004-2018 (n = 23,688; 57% male, mean age at diagnosis = 71 years) and randomly selected sex- and age-matched control subjects (n = 94,752) were compared using data from national registries. The median follow-up duration was 5.8 years (max 17 years). RESULTS: The case-fatality rate in patients with PD was higher than that in matched controls (HR 2.29; 95% CI 2.24-2.33; P < 0.0001). Excess fatality among PD patients was already present at 1 year from diagnosis and then plateaued at 29% at 12 years after diagnosis. The long-term relative hazard of death in PD patients vs. matched controls did not differ based on sex. Patients with early-onset PD (age at diagnosis <50 years old) had the highest relative hazard of death (HR 3.36) compared to matched control subjects, and the relative hazard decreased with higher age at diagnosis. The seven-year excess risk of death decreased during the study period, especially in men. In patients with PD, male sex, increasing age, and increasing comorbidity burden were associated with an increased risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: An increased risk of death among PD patients was evident from early on. The increase in risk was greatest among young-onset patients. The excess risk in early PD declined during the study period, particularly in men. The reasons for this are unknown.

A Delphi consensus to identify the key screening tests/questions for a digital neurological examination for epidemiological research.

BACKGROUND: Most neurological diseases have no curative treatment; therefore, focusing on prevention is key. Continuous research to uncover the protective and risk factors associated with different neurological diseases is crucial to successfully inform prevention strategies. eHealth has been showing promising advantages in healthcare and public health and may therefore be relevant to facilitate epidemiological studies. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we performed a Delphi consensus exercise to identify the key screening tests to inform the development of a digital neurological examination tool for epidemiological research. METHODS: Twelve panellists (six experts in neurological examination, five experts in data collection-two were also experts in the neurological examination, and three experts in participant experience) of different nationalities joined the Delphi exercise. Experts in the neurological examination provided a selection of items that allow ruling out neurological impairment and can be performed by trained health workers. The items were then rated by them and other experts in terms of their feasibility and acceptability. RESULTS: Ten tests and seven anamnestic questions were included in the final set of screening items for the digital neurological examination. Three tests and five anamnestic questions were excluded from the final selection due to their low ratings on feasibility. CONCLUSION: This work identifies the key feasible and acceptable screening tests and anamnestic questions to build an electronic tool for performing the neurological examination, in the absence of a neurologist.

Emulating randomised clinical trials in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis with non-randomised real-world evidence: an application using data from the MSBase Registry.

BACKGROUND: To mimic as closely as possible a randomised controlled trial (RCT) and calibrate the real-world evidence (RWE) studies against a known treatment effect would be helpful to understand if RWE can support causal conclusions in selected circumstances. The aim was to emulate the TRANSFORMS trial comparing Fingolimod (FTY) versus intramuscular interferon ß-1a (IFN) using observational data. METHODS: We extracted from the MSBase registry all the patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) collected in the period 2011-2021 who received IFN or FTY (0.5 mg) and with the same inclusion and exclusion criteria of the TRANSFORMS RCT. The primary endpoint was the annualised relapse rate (ARR) over 12 months. Patients were 1:1 propensity-score (PS) matched. Relapse-rate ratio (RR) was calculated by mean of a negative binomial regression. RESULTS: A total of 4376 patients with RRMS (1140 in IFN and 3236 in FTY) were selected. After PS, 856 patients in each group were matched. The ARR was 0.45 in IFN and 0.25 in FTY with a significant difference between the two groups (RR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.45 to 0.68; p<0.001). The result of the emulation was very similar and fell within the 95% CI of that observed in the RCT (RR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.64; p<0.001) with a standardised difference of 0.66 (p=0.51). CONCLUSIONS: By applying the same inclusion and exclusion criteria used in the RCT and employing appropriate methodology, we successfully replicated the RCT results with only minor discrepancies. Also, even if the confounding bias cannot be fully eliminated, conducting a rigorous target trial emulation could still yield valuable insights for comparative effectiveness research.

Poor haemorrhagic stroke outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic are driven by socioeconomic disparities: analysis of nationally representative data.

Background: Nationally representative studies evaluating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on haemorrhagic stroke outcomes are lacking. Methods: In this pooled cross-sectional analysis, we identified adults (≥18 years) with primary intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) or subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) from the National Inpatient Sample (2016-2020). We evaluated differences in rates of in-hospital outcomes between the prepandemic (January 2016-February 2020) and pandemic (March-December 2020) periods using segmented logistic regression models. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate differences in mortality between patients admitted from April to December 2020, with and without COVID-19, and those admitted from April to December 2019. Stratified analyses were conducted among patients residing in low-income and high-income zip codes, as well as among patients with extreme loss of function (E-LoF) and those with minor to major loss of function (MM-LoF). Results: Overall, 309 965 patients with ICH (47% female, 56% low income) and 112 210 patients with SAH (62% female, 55% low income) were analysed. Prepandemic, ICH mortality decreased by ~1% per month (adjusted OR, 95% CI: 0.99 (0.99 to 1.00); p<0.001). However, during the pandemic, the overall ICH mortality rate increased, relative to prepandemic, by ~2% per month (1.02 (1.00 to 1.04), p<0.05) and ~4% per month (1.04 (1.01 to 1.07), p<0.001) among low-income patients. There was no significant change in trend among high-income patients with ICH (1.00 (0.97 to 1.03)). Patients with comorbid COVID-19 in 2020 had higher odds of mortality (versus 2019 cohort) only among patients with MM-LoF (ICH, 2.15 (1.12 to 4.16), and SAH, 5.77 (1.57 to 21.17)), but not among patients with E-LoF. Conclusion: Sustained efforts are needed to address socioeconomic disparities in healthcare access, quality and outcomes during public health emergencies.

Hypertension, Cognitive Decline, and Mild Cognitive Impairment Among Diverse Hispanics/Latinos: Study of Latinos-Investigation of Neurocognitive Aging Results (SOL-INCA).

BACKGROUND: Hypertension can have deleterious effects on cognitive function; however, few studies have examined its effects on cognition among Hispanics/Latinos. OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between hypertension status with 1) change in cognitive performance, and 2) having mild cognitive impairment (MCI) among diverse Hispanics/Latinos. METHODS: This population-based, prospective cohort, multisite study included Hispanic/Latino adults aged 45 to 72 years in enrolled in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos at Visit 1 (2008-2011; mean age of 63.40±8.24 years), and the Study of Latinos-Investigation of Neurocognitive Aging at Visit 2 (2016-2018), with a mean follow-up duration of 7 years (n = 6,173). Hypertension status was assessed at both visits: normotension (no hypertension), incident hypertension (only at Visit 2), and persistent hypertension (at both visits). We examined change in cognitive performance and having MCI (only assessed at Visit 2) relative to hypertension status and adjusted for demographics and cardiovascular disease risk factors. RESULTS: Compared to normotension, persistent hypertension was associated with significantly increased decline in verbal fluency (ß= -0.08; CI = [-0.16;-0.01]; p < 0.05), and processing speed (ß= -0.11; CI = [-0.20;-0.02]; p < 0.05). Incident hypertension was not associated with significant change in cognitive performance. Both incident (OR = 1.70; CI = [1.16;2.50]; p < 0.01) and persistent hypertension (OR = 2.13; CI = [1.57;2.88]; p < 0.001) were associated with significantly higher odds ratios of having MCI. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that persistent hypertension is associated with clinical impairment and domain-specific cognitive decline in middle-aged and older Hispanics/Latinos. It underscores the importance of monitoring blood pressure in routine healthcare visits beginning at midlife in this population to reduce the burden of cognitive decline.

Two Decades of Stroke in the United States: A Healthcare Economic Perspective.

INTRODUCTION: Stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the USA and has implications on the financial health of patients, families, and healthcare systems. The objective of this study aimed to determine the economic perspective of stroke on the national healthcare system for the past 2 decades. METHODS: This retrospective study of inpatient subjects from 2000 to 2020 with stroke was collected from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP). We queried patients admitted primarily for ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Patients were evaluated for demographics, length of stay (LOS), mortality, and hospital charges. Statistical Z-testing with a significance of p < 0.05 was conducted for the analysis. RESULTS: During the study period, 12,158,747 stroke subjects were studied, with 51.9% female and a mean age of 70.08 (±0.16) years old. The mean rate of stroke discharges per 100,000 persons was 187.71 (±3.44), decreasing from 200 to 193 during the study (p = 0.16). The mean percentage of deaths was 8.78% (±0.17), which decreased from 10.96% to 6.81% (p = 0.00). The mean LOS was 6.28 days (±0.08), which increased from 6.70 to 7.15 (p = 0.00). During the study period, the aggregated national bill was USD 725 billion. The mean hospital charges per patient were USD 57,178 (±1,504), increasing from USD 19,647 to USD 121,765 per person during the study period (p = 0.00), while mean hospital costs per stay were USD 15,781 (±330). These data closely conform to an exponential growth pattern, and forecasting per patient charges for the next 10 years demonstrates a cost of USD 287,836 by 2030. CONCLUSIONS: Our data show that the rate and mortality of stroke have decreased, but its charges and costs are increasing. The improvement in outcomes could be multifactorial such as establishment of comprehensive stroke centers and evolving treatment modalities. Ironically, the charges per patient increased more than sixfold with a national bill almost equal to the annual Medicare budget. Thus, the significance of preventive medicine, such as controlling hypertension, diabetes, and smoking cessation, cannot be understated. With such a dramatically increasing financial burden, improvements in mitigating risk factors, educational programs, and access to care may be a more cost-effective option.