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2.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 792, 2024 Jul 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38982430

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Recently-updated global guidelines for cervical cancer screening incorporated new technologies-most significantly, the inclusion of HPV DNA detection as a primary screening test-but leave many implementation decisions at countries' discretion. We sought to develop recommendations for Malawi as a test case since it has the second-highest cervical cancer burden globally and high HIV prevalence. We incorporated updated epidemiologic data, the full range of ablation methods recommended, and a more nuanced representation of how HIV status intersects with cervical cancer risk and exposure to screening to model outcomes of different approaches to screening. METHODS: Using a Markov model, we estimate the relative health outcomes and costs of different approaches to cervical cancer screening among Malawian women. The model was parameterized using published data, and focused on comparing "triage" approaches-i.e., lesion treatment (cryotherapy or thermocoagulation) at differing frequencies and varying by HIV status. Health outcomes were quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and deaths averted. The model was built using TreeAge Pro software. RESULTS: Thermocoagulation was more cost-effective than cryotherapy at all screening frequencies. Screening women once per decade would avert substantially more deaths than screening only once per lifetime, at relatively little additional cost. Moreover, at this frequency, it would be advisable to ensure that all women who screen positive receive treatment (rather than investing in further increases in screening frequency): for a similar gain in QALYs, it would cost more than four times as much to implement once-per-5 years screening with only 50% of women treated versus once-per-decade screening with 100% of women treated. Stratified screening schedules by HIV status was found to be an optimal approach. CONCLUSIONS: These results add new evidence about cost-effective approaches to cervical cancer screening in low-income countries. At relatively infrequent screening intervals, if resources are limited, it would be more cost-effective to invest in scaling up thermocoagulation for treatment before increasing the recommended screening frequency. In Malawi or countries in a similar stage of the HIV epidemic, a stratified approach that prioritizes more frequent screening for women living with HIV may be more cost-effective than population-wide recommendations that are HIV status neutral.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Cadenas de Markov , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Humanos , Femenino , Malaui/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/diagnóstico , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/terapia , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Crioterapia/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos
3.
Pan Afr Med J ; 47: 151, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38974700

RESUMEN

Introduction: in Senegal, cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancers among women. This study estimated the costs associated with cervical cancer screening and treatment for precancerous lesions from the health system perspective. Methods: we estimated costs for screening, diagnostics, and treatment. We conducted a cross-sectional study in seven regions with primary data collected from 50 health facilities. Data collection included structured questionnaires, with secondary data from the Ministry of Health and other sources. A mixed-methods approach combined ingredients-based costing and financial expenditures to estimate direct medical and non-medical costs. All costs are reported in 2019 USD. Results: average costs were $3.71 for visual inspection with acetic acid, $16.49 for Pap smear, and $46.65 for human papillomavirus deoxyribonucleic acid (HPV DNA) testing. Screening cost drivers were clinical exam supplies and clinical equipment for visual inspection with acetic acid, offsite processing of specimens for Pap smear, and lab equipment costs for HPV DNA procedure. The average cost of diagnosis via colposcopy alone was $25.73, and colposcopy with biopsy/endocervical curettage was $74.96. The average cost of treatment followed by one visit for pre-cancerous lesions was $195.24 for loop electrosurgical excision, $47.35 for cryotherapy, and $32.35 for thermal ablation. Clinical equipment and lab costs were the largest contributors to colposcopy and endocervical curettage/biopsy expenses. Clinical equipment made up the largest portion of cryotherapy, loop electrosurgical excision, and thermoablation costs. Conclusion: this study is the first to estimate the costs of HPV screening and treatment in Senegal, which can be used to inform decision-making on cervical cancer investments.


Asunto(s)
Colposcopía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Tamizaje Masivo , Prueba de Papanicolaou , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Frotis Vaginal , Humanos , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/diagnóstico , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/economía , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/terapia , Femenino , Senegal , Estudios Transversales , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Prueba de Papanicolaou/economía , Frotis Vaginal/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Colposcopía/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/economía , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Pruebas de ADN del Papillomavirus Humano/economía , Ácido Acético , Lesiones Precancerosas/diagnóstico , Lesiones Precancerosas/economía , Lesiones Precancerosas/terapia , Biopsia/economía
4.
BMJ Open ; 14(6): e079482, 2024 Jun 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38909999

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Participation in bowel cancer screening is lower in regions where there is high ethnic diversity and/or socioeconomic deprivation. Interventions, such as text message reminders and patient navigation (PN), have the potential to increase participation in these areas. As such, there is interest in the comparative effectiveness of these interventions to increase bowel cancer screening participation, as well as their relative cost-effectiveness. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study will use a three-arm randomised controlled trial design to compare the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of text message reminders and PN to increase the uptake of bowel cancer screening in London. Participants will be individuals who have not returned a completed faecal immunochemical test kit within 13 weeks of receiving a routine invitation from the London bowel cancer screening hub. Participants will be randomised (in a 1:1:1 ratio) to receive either (1) usual care (ie, 'no intervention'), (2) a text message reminder at 13 weeks, followed by repeated text message reminders at 15, 17 and 19 weeks (in the event of non-response) or (3) a text message reminder at 13 weeks, followed by PN telephone calls at 15, 17 and 19 weeks in the event of non-response. The primary endpoint will be participation in bowel cancer screening, defined as 'the return of a completed kit by week 24'. Statistical analysis will use multivariate logistic regression and will incorporate pairwise comparisons of all three groups, adjusted for multiple testing. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Approvals to conduct the research have been obtained from University College London's Joint Research Office (Ref: 150666), the Screening Research, Innovation and Development Advisory Committee ('RIDAC', Ref: 2223 014 BCSP Kerrison), the Health Research Authority (Ref: 22/WM/0212) and the Confidentiality Advisory Group (Ref: 22/CAG/0140). Results will be conveyed to stakeholders, notably those managing the screening programme and published in peer-reviewed journals/presented at academic conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN17245519.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Sangre Oculta , Navegación de Pacientes , Sistemas Recordatorios , Teléfono , Envío de Mensajes de Texto , Humanos , Londres , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
5.
Curr Oncol ; 31(6): 3546-3562, 2024 Jun 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38920744

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic blood tests have the potential to identify lung cancer in people at high risk. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of a lung cancer screening intervention, using the EarlyCDT®-Lung Test (ECLS) with subsequent X-ray and low-dose chest CT scans (LDCT) for patients with a positive test result, compared to both usual care and LDCT screening for the target population. METHODS: We conducted a model-based lifetime analysis from a UK NHS and personal social services perspective. We estimated incremental net monetary benefit (NMB) for the ECLS intervention compared to no screening and to LDCT screening. RESULTS: The incremental NMB of ECLS intervention compared to no screening was GBP 33,179 (95% CI: -GBP 81,396, GBP 147,180) and GBP 140,609 (95% CI: -GBP 36,255, GBP 316,612), respectively, for a cost-effectiveness threshold of GBP 20,000 and GBP 30,000 per quality-adjusted life year. The same figures compared with LDCT screening were GBP 162,095 (95% CI: GBP 52,698, GBP 271,735) and GBP 52,185 (95% CI: -GBP 115,152, GBP 219,711). CONCLUSIONS: The ECLS intervention is the most cost-effective screening alternative, with the highest probability of being cost-effective, when compared to no screening or LDCT screening. This result may change with modifications of the parameters, suggesting that the three alternatives considered in the main analysis are potentially cost-effective.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Escocia , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/economía , Anciano , Pruebas Hematológicas/economía , Pruebas Hematológicas/métodos , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos
7.
Am Soc Clin Oncol Educ Book ; 44(3): e431272, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38843475

RESUMEN

The worldwide cancer burden is growing, and populations residing in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are experiencing a disproportionate extent of this growth. Breast, colorectal, and cervical cancers are among the top 10 most frequently diagnosed malignancies, and they also account for a substantial degree of cancer mortality internationally. Effective screening strategies are available for all three of these cancers. Individuals from LMICs face substantial cost and access barriers to early detection programs, and late stage at diagnosis continues to be a major cause for cancer mortality in these communities. This chapter will review the epidemiology of breast, colorectal, and cervical cancers, and will explore prospects for improving global control through novel approaches to screening in cost-constrained environments.


Asunto(s)
Países en Desarrollo , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Humanos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Femenino , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/epidemiología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico
9.
Ann Intern Med ; 177(7): 871-881, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830219

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Contemporary prostate cancer (PCa) screening uses first-line prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing, possibly followed by multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) for men with elevated PSA levels. First-line biparametric MRI (bpMRI) screening has been proposed as an alternative. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the comparative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of first-line bpMRI versus PSA-based screening. DESIGN: Decision analysis using a microsimulation model. DATA SOURCES: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database; randomized trials. TARGET POPULATION: U.S. men aged 55 years with no prior screening or PCa diagnosis. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: U.S. health care system. INTERVENTION: Biennial screening to age 69 years using first-line PSA testing (test-positive threshold, 4 µg/L) with or without second-line mpMRI or first-line bpMRI (test-positive threshold, PI-RADS [Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System] 3 to 5 or 4 to 5), followed by biopsy guided by MRI or MRI plus transrectal ultrasonography. OUTCOME MEASURES: Screening tests, biopsies, diagnoses, overdiagnoses, treatments, PCa deaths, quality-adjusted and unadjusted life-years saved, and costs. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: For 1000 men, first-line bpMRI versus first-line PSA testing prevented 2 to 3 PCa deaths and added 10 to 30 life-years (4 to 11 days per person) but increased the number of biopsies by 1506 to 4174 and the number of overdiagnoses by 38 to 124 depending on the biopsy imaging scheme. At conventional cost-effectiveness thresholds, first-line PSA testing with mpMRI followed by either biopsy approach for PI-RADS 4 to 5 produced the greatest net monetary benefits. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: First-line PSA testing remained more cost-effective even if bpMRI was free, all men with low-risk PCa underwent surveillance, or screening was quadrennial. LIMITATION: Performance of first-line bpMRI was based on second-line mpMRI data. CONCLUSION: Decision analysis suggests that comparative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of PCa screening are driven by false-positive results and overdiagnoses, favoring first-line PSA testing with mpMRI over first-line bpMRI. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Cancer Institute.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Imágenes de Resonancia Magnética Multiparamétrica , Antígeno Prostático Específico , Neoplasias de la Próstata , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Próstata/economía , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangre , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Estados Unidos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/economía , Biopsia/economía
10.
Prev Chronic Dis ; 21: E30, 2024 May 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696253

RESUMEN

Introduction: Mailed stool testing for colorectal cancer (CRC) may improve screening uptake and reduce the incidence and mortality of CRC, especially among patients at federally qualified health centers (FQHCs). To expand screening programs it is important to identify cost-effective approaches. Methods: We developed a decision-analytic model to estimate the cost, effects on screening and patient outcomes (CRCs detected, CRCs prevented, CRC deaths prevented), and cost-effectiveness of implementing a state-wide mailed stool testing program over 5 years among unscreened, age-eligible (aged 50-75 y) patients at FQHCs in Texas. We compared various outreach strategies and organizational structures (centralized, regional, or a hybrid). We used data from our existing regional mailed stool testing program and recent systematic reviews to set parameters for the model. Costs included start-up and ongoing activities and were estimated in 2022 US dollars from the perspective of a hypothetical third-party payer. Cost-effectiveness was assessed by using both incremental and average cost-effectiveness ratios. Results: Using either a statewide centralized or hybrid organizational configuration to mail stool tests to newly eligible FQHC patients and patients who have responded at least once since program inception is likely to result in the best use of resources over 5 years, enabling more than 110,000 additional screens, detecting an incremental 181 to 194 CRCs, preventing 91 to 98 CRCs, and averting 46 to 50 CRC deaths, at a cost of $10 million to $11 million compared with no program. Conclusions: A statewide mailed stool testing program for FQHC patients can be implemented at reasonable cost with considerable effects on CRC screening outcomes, especially when its structure maximizes program efficiency while maintaining effectiveness.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/prevención & control , Texas , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Femenino , Masculino , Servicios Postales , Sangre Oculta , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos
11.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1375533, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38756891

RESUMEN

Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has an extremely high incidence rate in Southern China, resulting in a severe disease burden for the local population. Current EBV serologic screening is limited by false positives, and there is opportunity to integrate polygenic risk scores for personalized screening which may enhance cost-effectiveness and resource utilization. Methods: A Markov model was developed based on epidemiological and genetic data specific to endemic areas of China, and further compared polygenic risk-stratified screening [subjects with a 10-year absolute risk (AR) greater than a threshold risk underwent EBV serological screening] to age-based screening (EBV serological screening for all subjects). For each initial screening age (30-34, 35-39, 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, 55-59, 60-64, and 65-69 years), a modeled cohort of 100,000 participants was screened until age 69, and then followed until age 79. Results: Among subjects aged 30 to 54 years, polygenic risk-stratified screening strategies were more cost-effective than age-based screening strategies, and almost comprised the cost-effectiveness efficiency frontier. For men, screening strategies with a 1-year frequency and a 10-year absolute risk (AR) threshold of 0.7% or higher were cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) below the willingness to pay (¥203,810, twice the local per capita GDP). Specifically, the strategies with a 10-year AR threshold of 0.7% or 0.8% are the most cost-effective strategies, with an ICER ranging from ¥159,752 to ¥201,738 compared to lower-cost non-dominated strategies on the cost-effectiveness frontiers. The optimal strategies have a higher probability (29.4-35.8%) of being cost-effective compared to other strategies on the frontier. Additionally, they reduce the need for nasopharyngoscopies by 5.1-27.7% compared to optimal age-based strategies. Likewise, for women aged 30-54 years, the optimal strategy with a 0.3% threshold showed similar results. Among subjects aged 55 to 69 years, age-based screening strategies were more cost-effective for men, while no screening may be preferred for women. Conclusion: Our economic evaluation found that the polygenic risk-stratified screening could improve the cost-effectiveness among individuals aged 30-54, providing valuable guidance for NPC prevention and control policies in endemic areas of China.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Cadenas de Markov , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Adulto , Femenino , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/diagnóstico , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/genética , Anciano , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/diagnóstico , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Herencia Multifactorial , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo
12.
Int J Rheum Dis ; 27(5): e15198, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38769913

RESUMEN

AIM: An inaugural set of consensus guidelines for malignancy screening in idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM) were recently published by an international working group. These guidelines propose different investigation strategies based on "high", "intermediate" or "standard" malignancy risk groups. This study compares current malignancy screening practices at an Australian tertiary referral center with the recommendations outlined in these guidelines. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of newly diagnosed IIM patients. Relevant demographic and clinical data regarding malignancy screening were recorded. Existing practice was compared with the guidelines using descriptive statistics; costs were calculated using the Australian Medicare Benefit Schedule. RESULTS: Of the 47 patients identified (66% female, median age: 63 years [IQR: 55.5-70], median disease duration: 4 years [IQR: 3-6]), only one had a screening-detected malignancy. Twenty patients (43%) were at high risk, while 20 (43%) were at intermediate risk; the remaining seven (15%) had IBM, for which the proposed guidelines do not recommend screening. Only three (6%) patients underwent screening fully compatible with International Myositis Assessment and Clinical Studies recommendations. The majority (N = 39, 83%) were under-screened; the remaining five (11%) overscreened patients had IBM. The main reason for guideline non-compliance was the lack of repeated annual screening in the 3 years post-diagnosis for high-risk individuals (0% compliance). The mean cost of screening was substantially lower than those projected by following the guidelines ($481.52 [SD 423.53] vs $1341 [SD 935.67] per patient), with the highest disparity observed in high-risk female patients ($2314.29/patient). CONCLUSION: Implementation of the proposed guidelines will significantly impact clinical practice and result in a potentially substantial additional economic burden.


Asunto(s)
Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Adhesión a Directriz , Miositis , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Centros de Atención Terciaria , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Centros de Atención Terciaria/economía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Adhesión a Directriz/economía , Miositis/economía , Miositis/diagnóstico , Anciano , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Factores de Riesgo , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Neoplasias/economía , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/economía , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina/normas , Costos de la Atención en Salud
13.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 72(7): 2091-2099, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38721922

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Veterans dually enrolled in the Veterans Health Administration (VA) and Medicare commonly experience downstream services as part of a care cascade after an initial low-value service. Our objective was to characterize the frequency and cost of low-value cervical cancer screening and subsequent care cascades among Veterans dually enrolled in VA and Medicare. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used VA and Medicare administrative data from fiscal years 2015 to 2019. The study cohort was comprised of female Veterans aged >65 years and at low risk of cervical cancer who were dually enrolled in VA and Medicare. Within this cohort, we compared differences in the rates and costs of cascade services related to low-value cervical cancer screening for Veterans who received and did not receive screening in FY2018, adjusting for baseline patient- and facility-level covariates using inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: Among 20,972 cohort-eligible Veterans, 494 (2.4%) underwent low-value cervical cancer screening with 301 (60.9%) initial screens occurring in VA and 193 (39%) occurring in Medicare. Veterans who were screened experienced an additional 26.7 (95% CI, 16.4-37.0) cascade services per 100 Veterans compared to those who were not screened, contributing to $2919.4 (95% CI, -265 to 6104.7) per 100 Veterans in excess costs. Care cascades consisted predominantly of subsequent cervical cancer screening procedures and related outpatient visits with low rates of invasive procedures and occurred in both VA and Medicare. CONCLUSIONS: Veterans dually enrolled in VA and Medicare commonly receive related downstream tests and visits as part of care cascades following low-value cervical cancer screening. Our findings demonstrate that to fully capture the extent to which individuals are subject to low-value care, it is important to examine downstream care stemming from initial low-value services across all systems from which individuals receive care.


Asunto(s)
Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Medicare , United States Department of Veterans Affairs , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Veteranos , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/diagnóstico , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/economía , Anciano , Estados Unidos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medicare/economía , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Veteranos/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más Años
14.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy ; 22(4): 527-542, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38755403

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Decision-makers require knowledge of the strengths and weaknesses of decision-analytic models used to evaluate healthcare interventions to be able to confidently use the results of such models to inform policy. A number of aspects of model validity have previously been described, but no systematic approach to assessing the validity of a model has been proposed. This study aimed to consolidate the different aspects of model validity into a step-by-step approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of a decision-analytic model. METHODS: A pre-defined set of steps were used to conduct the validation process of an exemplar early decision-analytic-model-based cost-effectiveness analysis of a risk-stratified national breast cancer screening programme [UK healthcare perspective; lifetime horizon; costs (£; 2021)]. Internal validation was assessed in terms of descriptive validity, technical validity and face validity. External validation was assessed in terms of operational validation, convergent validity (or corroboration) and predictive validity. RESULTS: The results outline the findings of each step of internal and external validation of the early decision-analytic-model and present the validated model (called 'MANC-RISK-SCREEN'). The positive aspects in terms of meeting internal validation requirements are shown together with the remaining limitations of MANC-RISK-SCREEN. CONCLUSION: Following a transparent and structured validation process, MANC-RISK-SCREEN has been shown to have satisfactory internal and external validity for use in informing resource allocation decision-making. We suggest that MANC-RISK-SCREEN can be used to assess the cost-effectiveness of exemplars of risk-stratified national breast cancer screening programmes (NBSP) from the UK perspective. IMPLICATIONS: A step-by-step process for conducting the validation of a decision-analytic model was developed for future use by health economists. Using this approach may help researchers to fully demonstrate the strengths and limitations of their model to decision-makers.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Femenino , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Reino Unido , Medición de Riesgo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Anciano
15.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 33(7): 884-895, 2024 Jul 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695706

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Screening with anti-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) serology and endoscopy decreased nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) mortality in Guangdong in a randomized trial. We conducted a secondary analysis of this trial using local incidence and cost data to optimize screening programs, hypothesizing that screening could be cost-effective in southern China. METHODS: Screening costs and life-years after NPC diagnosis were obtained from the Guangdong trial's intent-to-screen population (men and women aged 30-69). Seropositive subjects were rescreened annually for 5 years. Thereafter, we evaluated 12 screening strategies in Guangdong and Guangxi using a validated model. Strategies used combinations of serology, nasopharyngeal swab PCR (NP PCR), endoscopy, and MRI from trial subcohorts. Incidence data and costs were obtained from local cancer registries and the provincial healthcare system. RESULTS: In the intent-to-screen population, screening with serology and endoscopy was cost-effective (¥42,366/life-year, 0.52 GDP per capita). Screening for 5 to 15 years between ages 35 and 59 years met a willingness-to-pay threshold of 1.5 GDP/quality-adjusted life-years in all modeled populations. Despite doubling costs, adding MRI could be cost-effective via improved sensitivity. NP PCR triage reduced endoscopy/MRI referrals by 37%. One-lifetime screen could reduce NPC mortality by approximately 20%. CONCLUSIONS: EBV-based serologic screening for NPC is likely to be cost-effective in southern China. Among seropositive subjects, the preferred strategies use endoscopy alone or selective endoscopy triaged by MRI with or without NP PCR. These data may aid the design of screening programs in this region. IMPACT: These findings support population-based screening in southern China by defining the target population, cost-effectiveness, and optimized screening approach.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , China/epidemiología , Masculino , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/diagnóstico , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/virología , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/economía , Adulto , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/economía , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/virología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Anciano , Infecciones por Virus de Epstein-Barr/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Virus de Epstein-Barr/complicaciones , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos
16.
Fam Cancer ; 23(3): 351-360, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38795221

RESUMEN

Individuals with hereditary pancreatic cancer risk include high risk individuals (HRIs) with germline genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer (PC) and/or a strong family history of PC. Previously, studies have shown that PC surveillance in HRIs can downstage PC diagnosis and extend survival leading to pancreatic surveillance being recommended for certain HRIs. However, the optimal surveillance strategy remains uncertain, including which modalities should be used for surveillance, how frequently should surveillance be performed, and which sub-groups of HRIs should undergo surveillance. Additionally, in the ideal world PC surveillance should also be cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness analysis is a valuable tool that can consider the costs, potential health benefits, and risks among various PC surveillance strategies. In this review, we summarize the cost-effectiveness of various PC surveillance strategies for HRIs for hereditary pancreatic cancer and provide potential avenues for future work in this field. Additionally, we include cost-effectiveness studies among individuals with new-onset diabetes (NoD), a high-risk group for sporadic PC, as a comparison.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/genética , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Pruebas Genéticas/economía , Pruebas Genéticas/métodos , Carcinoma
17.
Endocrinol Metab (Seoul) ; 39(2): 310-323, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38590123

RESUMEN

BACKGRUOUND: There is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea. METHODS: A Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables. RESULTS: In a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold. CONCLUSION: Findings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. Expected follow-up duration should be considered to determine an optimal strategy for DTC screening.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Neoplasias de la Tiroides , Ultrasonografía , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/economía , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/diagnóstico , República de Corea/epidemiología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Ultrasonografía/economía , Ultrasonografía/métodos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Cadenas de Markov
18.
J Med Econ ; 27(1): 746-753, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38686394

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This analysis estimated the outcomes of triennial blood-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening at various adherence, including perfect adherence, compared with triennial multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) screening at the reported real-world adherence rate. METHODS: The validated CRC-AIM model simulated a US cohort of average-risk individuals receiving triennial screening with mt-sDNA or blood-based test from ages 45 to 75 years. Modeled specificity and sensitivity were based on reported data. Adherence was set at a real-world rate of 65.6% for mt-sDNA and at 65.6%, relative 10% incremental increases from 65.6%, or 100% for the blood-based test. Costs of mt-sDNA and the blood-based test were based on prices for clinically available tests ($508.87 and $895, respectively). Value-based pricing was estimated at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000. RESULTS: Both tests resulted in life-years gained (LYG), reduced CRC cases, and reduced deaths versus no screening. With adherence for mt-sDNA set at 65.6% and for blood-based test set at 100%, mt-sDNA resulted in 30% more LYG, 52% more averted CRC cases, and 32% more averted CRC deaths. At reported sensitivity and specificity rates, mt-sDNA at 65.6% adherence dominates (is more effective and less costly) the blood-based test at any adherence. There was no price at which triennial screening with the blood-based test at any adherence was cost-effective compared with mt-sDNA at 65.6% adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Triennial screening with mt-sDNA resulted in better clinical outcomes at a lower cost compared with the modeled blood-based test even at perfect adherence, supporting application of blood-based tests only as a secondary screening option.


Blood-based colorectal cancer screening has lower diagnostic accuracy, lower clinical and health outcomes, and is more expensive than mt-sDNA, even with perfect blood-based screening participation. Although better than no screening at all, blood-based testing is unlikely to exceed performance of stool-based assessment unless a blood-based test is able to meaningfully detect precancerous growths.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Sangre Oculta , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Masculino , Femenino , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Heces/química , Cooperación del Paciente , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Estados Unidos
19.
Public Health ; 231: 142-147, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38688167

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Since 2013, Flanders has introduced a screening programme for colorectal cancer for all citizens aged between 50 and 74 years. The objective of this study was to assess the cost-utility of an expansion of the colorectal cancer screening policy in Flanders (Belgium) and to place these findings in the international context. METHODS: Cost-utility analysis using high-detail data about screening participation, screening results, and epidemiological data, a Markov cohort model has been constructed to study long-term costs and effects. A cost-utility analysis was performed as a three-way comparison between current, expanded (from age 45 years), and no screening scenarios, from a societal and healthcare perspective. Robustness was assessed by both one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Analyses show that both current and expanded screening result in quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gains and are mostly cost-saving. Overall, 97.5% of Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios (ICERs) remained well below € 2000 per QALY for all comparisons. Parameters related to the colonoscopy that follows a positive test result such as compliance and cost are especially impactful on the cost-effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Screening participation and screening costs have remained comparatively stable, making colorectal cancer screening a cost-effective (dominant) policy. Expanding the screen age to 45 years is also cost-effective (dominant) compared with current screening, albeit with a slimmer margin.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Política de Salud , Cadenas de Markov , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/economía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Bélgica , Anciano , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Masculino , Femenino , Tamizaje Masivo/economía
20.
Colorectal Dis ; 26(5): 1028-1037, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38581083

RESUMEN

AIM: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates in the United States remain persistently below guideline targets, partly due to suboptimal patient utilization and provider reimbursement. To guide long-term national utilization estimates and set reasonable screening adherence targets, this study aimed to quantify trends in utilization of and reimbursement for CRC screenings using Medicare claims. METHOD: Inflation-adjusted reimbursements and utilization volume associated with each CRC screening code were abstracted from Medicare claims between 2000 and 2019. Screenings, screenings/100 000 enrolees and reimbursement/screening were analysed with linear regression and compared with the equality of slopes tests. Average reimbursement per screening was compared using analysis of variance with Dunnett's T3 multiple comparisons test. RESULTS: The growth rate of multitarget stool DNA tests (mt-sDNA)/100 000 was the highest at 170.4 screenings/year (R2 = 0.99, p ≤ 0.001), while that of faecal occult blood tests/100 000 was the lowest at -446.4 screenings/year (R2 = 0.90, p ≤ 0.001) (p ≤ 0.001). Provider reimbursements averaged $546.95 (95% CI $520.12-$573.78) per mt-sDNA screening, significantly higher than reimbursements for all invasive screenings. Only FOBTs significantly increased in reimbursement per screening at $0.62/year (R2 = 0.91, p ≤ 0.001). CONCLUSION: We derived forecastable trend numbers for utilization and provider reimbursement. Faecal immunochemical tests/100 000 and mt-sDNA screenings/100 000 increased most rapidly during the entire study period. The number of nearly all invasive screenings/100 000 decreased rapidly; the number of colonoscopies/100 000 increased slightly, probably due to superior diagnostic strength. These trends indicate the that replacement of other invasive modalities with accessible noninvasive screenings will account for much of future screening behaviour and thus reductions in CRC incidence and mortality, especially given providers' reimbursement incentive to screen average-risk patients with stool-based tests.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Medicare , Sangre Oculta , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/economía , Estados Unidos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/economía , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/estadística & datos numéricos , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/tendencias , Medicare/economía , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud/tendencias , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud/economía , Heces , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Colonoscopía/economía , Colonoscopía/estadística & datos numéricos , Colonoscopía/tendencias , Tamizaje Masivo/economía , Tamizaje Masivo/tendencias , Tamizaje Masivo/estadística & datos numéricos
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