Inflammation and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate inflammatory biomarkers in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis and investigate their association with all-cause mortality or transfer to hemodialysis. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 43 patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis. Plasma levels of cytokines were measured using flow cytometry and capture enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Biomarkers were categorized based on their respective median values. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, considering two outcomes: all-cause mortality and transfer to hemodialysis. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounding factors, plasma levels above the median of the levels of CCL2 and plasma, as well as below the median of TNF-α, and the median of dialysate IL-17 levels, were associated with an increased risk of experiencing the specified outcomes after approximately 16 months of follow-up. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that inflammatory biomarkers may be a valuable tool for predicting all-cause mortality and transfer to hemodialysis in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.

Serum angiopoietin-2/angiopoietin-1 ratio is associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Our objective was to examine the factors associated with the serum angiopoietin-2/angiopoietin-1 (Angpt-2/Angpt-1) ratio in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients and to investigate the association between Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. METHODS: Patients on PD who were prevalent between January 2014 and April 2015 in the center of Renji Hospital were enrolled. At the time of enrollment, serum and dialysate samples were collected to detect biochemical parameters, serum angiopoietin-2 and angiopoietin-1 levels. Patients were dichotomized into two groups according to a median of Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio and followed up prospectively until the end of the study. RESULTS: A total of 325 patients were enrolled, including 168 males (51.7%) with a mean age of 56.9 ± 14.2 years and a median PD duration of 32.4 (9.8-55.9) months. Multiple linear regression showed pulse pressure (ß = 0.206, p < .001) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) (ß = 0.149, p = .011) were positively correlated with serum Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio, while residual renal function (RRF) (ß= -0.219, p < .001) was negatively correlated with serum Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed the high serum Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio was an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio (HR)=2.467, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.243-4.895, p = .010) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.486, 95%CI 1.038-2.127, p = .031). In further subgroup analysis by gender, a significant association was shown in high Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio with all-cause mortality in male (p < .05), but not in female patients (p>.05). CONCLUSIONS: High Angpt-2/Angpt-1 ratio is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in PD patients.

Survival and its relationship with the type of peritoneal solute transfer rate, in patients with chronic kidney disease incident on peritoneal dialysis therapy in RTS Colombia between the years 2007-2017.

INTRODUCTION: In some studies, the peritoneal solute transfer rate (PSTR) through the peritoneal membrane has been related to an increased risk of mortality. It has been observed in the literature that those patients with rapid diffusion of solutes through the peritoneal membrane (high/fast transfer) and probably those with high average transfer characterized by the Peritoneal Equilibrium Test (PET) are associated with higher mortality compared to those patients who have a slow transfer rate. However, some authors have not documented this fact. In the present study, we want to evaluate the (etiological) relationship between the characteristics of peritoneal membrane transfer and mortality and survival of the technique in an incident population on peritoneal dialysis in RTS Colombia during the years 2007-2017 using a competing risk model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was carried out at RTS Colombia in the period between 2007 and 2017. In total, there were 8170 incident patients older than 18 years, who had a Peritoneal Equilibration Test (PET) between 28 and 180 days from the start of therapy. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were evaluated. The (etiological) relationship between the type of peritoneal solute transfer rate at the start of therapy and overall mortality and technique survival were analyzed using a competing risk model (cause-specific proportional hazard model described by Royston-Lambert). RESULTS: Patients were classified into four categories based on the PET result: Slow/Low transfer (16.0%), low average (35.4%), high average (32.9%), and High/Fast transfer (15.7%). During follow-up, with a median of 730 days, 3025 (37.02%) patients died, 1079 (13.2%) were transferred to hemodialysis and 661 (8.1%) were transplanted. In the analysis of competing risks, adjusted for age, sex, presence of DM, HTA, body mass index, residual function, albumin, hemoglobin, phosphorus, and modality of PD at the start of therapy, we found cause-specific HR (HRce) for high/fast transfer was 1.13 (95% CI 0.98-1.30) p = 0.078, high average 1.08 (95% CI 0.96-1.22) p = 0.195, low average 1.09 (95% CI 0.96-1.22) p = 0.156 compared to the low/slow transfer rate. For technique survival, cause-specific HR for high/rapid transfer of 1.22 (95% CI 0.98-1.52) p = 0.66, high average HR was 1.10 (95% CI 0.91-1.33) p = 0.296, low average HR of 1.03 (95% CI 0.85-1.24) p = 0.733 compared with the low/slow transfer rate, adjusted for age, sex, DM, HTA, BMI, residual renal function, albumin, phosphorus, hemoglobin, and PD modality at start of therapy. Non-significant differences. CONCLUSIONS: When evaluating the etiological relationship between the type of peritoneal solute transfer rate and overall mortality and survival of the technique using a competing risk model, we found no etiological relationship between the characteristics of peritoneal membrane transfer according to the classification given by Twardowski assessed at the start of peritoneal dialysis therapy and overall mortality or technique survival in adjusted models. The analysis will then be made from the prognostic model with the purpose of predicting the risk of mortality and survival of the technique using the risk subdistribution model (Fine & Gray).

The effect of dialysis modality on annual mortality: A prospective cohort study.

Despite numerous studies on the effect of each dialysis modality on mortality, the issue remains controversial. We investigated the hazard rate of mortality in patients with incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) concerning initial dialysis modality (hemodialysis vs. peritoneal dialysis). Using a nationwide, multicenter, prospective cohort in South Korea, we studied 2207 patients, of which 1647 (74.6%) underwent hemodialysis. We employed the weighted Fine and Gray model over the follow-up period using inverse probability of treatment and censoring weighting. Landmark analysis was used for identifying the changing effect of dialysis modality on individuals who remained event-free at each landmark point. No significant difference in hazard rate was observed overall. However, the peritoneal dialysis group had a significantly higher hazard rate than the hemodialysis group among patients under 65 years after 4- and 5- year follow-up. A similar pattern was observed among those with diabetes mellitus. Landmark analysis also showed the higher hazard rate for peritoneal dialysis at 2 years for the education-others group and at 3 years for the married group. These findings may inform dialysis modality decisions, suggesting a preference for hemodialysis in young patients with diabetes, especially for follow-ups longer than 3 years.

γ-Gammaglutamyl transferase predicts all-cause mortality within three-year intervals in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.

OBJECTIVES: Peritoneal dialysis (PD) serves as a vital renal replacement therapy for patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). γ-Gamma-glutamyl transferase (γ-GGT) is a recognized predictor of oxidative stress and mortality. This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of γ-GGT in predicting all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among PD patients. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted, enrolling 640 PD patients from a single center. The one-year, three-year, and five-year mortality rates for all causes and cardiovascular causes were evaluated. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: Within five years of initiating PD, the observed all-cause mortality rates at one, three, and five years were 11.72%, 16.09%, and 23.44%, while cardiovascular mortality rates were 2.97%, 7.34%, and 11.09%, respectively. Lower γ-GGT levels were associated with decreased all-cause mortality during one-, three-, and five-year follow-ups, along with reduced cardiovascular mortality in the first and third years, as indicated by Kaplan-Meier analysis on median γ-GGT groupings. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed significantly decreased hazard ratios (HRs) for one- to five-year all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the lower γ-GGT group compared to higher groups. However, when sex differences were eliminated using separate tertile groupings for males and females, only the one- and three-year all-cause mortality rates demonstrated significantly reduced hazard ratios (HRs) in the lower γ-GGT groups. CONCLUSION: This retrospective study suggests that γ-GGT levels have prognostic significance in predicting one- and three-year all-cause mortality among PD patients when accounting for sex differences.

Peritoneal Phosphate Clearance: Determinants and Association With Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Dialytic phosphate removal is a cornerstone of the management of hyperphosphatemia in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, but the influencing factors on peritoneal phosphate clearance (PPC) are incompletely understood. Our objective was to explore clinically relevant factors associated with PPC in patients with different PD modality and peritoneal transport status and the association of PPC with mortality. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional and prospective observational study. Four hundred eighty-five PD patients were enrolled and divided into 2 groups according to PPC. All-cause mortality was evaluated after followed-up for at least 3 months. RESULTS: High PPC group showed lower mortality compared with Low PPC group by Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test. Both multivariate linear regression and multivariate logistic regression revealed that high transport status, total effluent dialysate volume per day, continuous ambulatory PD (CAPD), and protein in total effluent dialysate volume appeared to be positively correlated with PPC; body mass index (BMI) and the normalized protein equivalent of total nitrogen appearance (nPNA) were negatively correlated with PPC. Besides PD modality and membrane transport status, total effluent dialysate volume showed a strong relationship with PPC, but the correlation differed among PD modalities. CONCLUSIONS: Higher PPC was associated with lower all-cause mortality risk in PD patients. Higher PPC correlated with CAPD modality, fast transport status, higher effluent dialysate volume and protein content, and with lower BMI and nPNA.

Mortality of Peritoneal Dialysis versus Hemodialysis in Older Adults: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The optimal choice of dialysis modality remains contentious in older adults threatened by advanced age and high risk of comorbidities. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort and case-control studies to assess mortality risk between peritoneal dialysis (PD) and hemodialysis (HD) in older adults using PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library database from inception to June 1, 2022. The outcome of interest is all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-one eligible studies with >774,000 older patients were included. Pooled analysis showed that PD had a higher mortality rate than HD in older dialysis population (HR 1.17, 95% CI: 1.10-1.25). When stratified by co-variables, our study showed an increased mortality risk of PD versus HD in older patients with diabetes mellitus or comorbidity who underwent longer dialysis duration (more than 3 years) or who started dialysis before 2010. However, definitive conclusions were constrained by significant heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: From the survival point of view, caution is needed to employ PD for long-term use in older populations with diabetes mellitus or comorbid conditions. However, a tailored treatment choice needs to take account of what matters to older adults at an individual level, especially in the context of limited survival improvements and loss of quality of life. Further research is still awaited to conclude this topic.

Apparent Treatment-Resistant Hypertension in the First Year Associated With Cardiovascular Mortality in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Few reports have focused on the association between apparent treatment-resistant hypertension (aTRH) and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in peritoneal dialysis (PD) population, thus we conducted this retrospective cohort to explore it. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted from January 2011 to January 2020 with PD patients in 4 Chinese dialysis centers. aTRH was defined according to the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guidelines. aTRH duration was calculated as the total number of months when patients met the diagnostic criteria in the first PD year. The primary outcome was CV mortality, and the secondary outcomes were CV events, all-cause mortality, combined endpoint (all-cause mortality and transferred to hemodialysis [HD]), and PD withdrawal (all-cause mortality, transferred to HD, and kidney transplantation). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association. RESULTS: A total of 1,422 patients were finally included in the analysis. During a median follow-up period of 26 months, 83 (5.8%) PD patients incurred CV mortality. The prevalence of aTRH was 24.1%, 19.9%, and 24.6% at 0, 3, and 12 months after PD initiation, respectively. Overall, aTRH duration in the first PD year positively associated with CV mortality (per 3 months increment, adjusted hazards ratio [HR], 1.29; 95% confidence interval 1.10, 1.53; P = 0.002). After categorized, those with aTRH duration more than 6 months presented the highest adjusted HR of 2.92. Similar results were found for secondary outcomes, except for the CV event. CONCLUSIONS: Longer aTRH duration in the first PD year is associated with higher CV mortality and worse long-term clinical outcomes. Larger studies are warranted to confirm these findings. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: There is no clinical trial registration for this retrospective study.

Serum globulin is a novel predictor of mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.

Serum globulin, which is composed mainly of immunoglobulins and acute phase proteins, can be considered as reflecting the inflammatory state. We conducted the present study to investigate the role of globulin in mortality risk in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD). The study participants were categorized by the median globulin value (2.8 g/dL) as the high globulin group (≥ 2.8 g/dL), and low globulin group (< 2.8 g/dL). Serum globulin is calculated by the equation: (serum total protein-serum albumin). The area under the curve (AUC) by the receiver operating characteristics curve analysis was calculated to compare the mortality prediction capacity of globulin with that of ferritin, and WBC counts. Among the 554 patients, 265 (47.83%) were men, the mean age was 52.91 ± 15.54 years and the body mass index was 23.44 ± 3.88 kg/m2. Multivariate Cox models showed the high globulin group had higher mortality risks of all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD), compared with the low globulin group with adjusted HRs of 2.06 (95% CI 1.39-3.05) and 1.94 (95% CI 1.18-3.16), respectively. The AUC of univariate and multivariate models for all-cause mortality resulted in higher AUC values for globulin than for ferritin and white blood cell (WBC) counts. In patients undergoing PD, the serum globulin can serve as a novel and independent determinant of predicting overall and CVD- associated mortality.

The Correlation between Serum Lipoprotein(a) and Risk of Mortality in Patients on Peritoneal Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peritoneal dialysis commonly have severe disorders of lipid metabolism, with particularly severe changes in serum lipoprotein(α) [Lp(α)]. Serum Lp(α) may play a role in the risk of mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients. The aim was to investigate the correlation between high serum Lp(α) levels and all-cause mortality and death from cardiovascular events and infection in peritoneal dialysis patients. METHODS: Three hundred and ninety-two patients with end-stage kidney disease who started peritoneal dialysis treatment between March 1, 2007 and May 31, 2020, were selected. Clinical data of all enrolled patients after 3 months of peritoneal dialysis were collected. Based on the median value of serum Lp(α) level, all enrolled patients were divided equally into a high serum Lp(α) level group (> 275.95 mg/L, n = 196) and a low serum Lp(α) level group (< 275.95 mg/L, n = 196). SPSS25.0 statistical software was used to analyze the factors affecting serum Lp(α) levels and the correlation between high serum Lp(α) levels and all-cause mortality and death from cardiovascular events and infection in peritoneal dialysis patients. RESULTS: Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that higher low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels (OR = 1.614, 95% CI: 1.261 - 2.068, p = 0.000) and high Body Mass Index (BMI) levels (OR = 1.063, 95% CI: 1.004 - 1.126, p = 0.036) were the risk factors for the high serum Lp(α) levels. High serum albumin levels (OR = 0.959, 95% CI: 0.927 - 0.991, p = 0.014) and high parathyroid hormone levels (OR = 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997 - 1.000, p = 0.010) were protective factors for the high serum Lp(α) levels. The cumulative survival of patients in the high serum Lp(α) level group was lower in death from cardiovascular events as shown by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (Log-rank test χ2 = 4.348, p = 0.037). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high serum Lp(α) levels were an independent risk factor for death from cardiovascular events in peritoneal dialysis patients (HR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.001 - 1.003, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of high serum Lp(α) levels in peritoneal dialysis patients was positively associated with LDL and BMI, and negatively associated with serum albumin and parathyroid hormone levels. High serum Lp(α) levels were related to the risk of death from cardiovascular events in peritoneal dialysis patients.

Outcomes of peritoneal dialysis in elderly vs non-elderly patients: A systemic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Several studies have compared outcomes of peritoneal dialysis (PD) between elderly and non-elderly patients but with variable results. We hereby designed this review to compare mortality, peritonitis, and technique survival between elderly and non-elderly patients on PD. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Google Scholar were searched for studies comparing outcomes of PD between elderly and non-elderly patients. The last search date was 14th July 2021. RESULTS: Fourteen studies were included. 12 studies defined the elderly as ≥65 years of age and these were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled analysis of crude (RR: 2.45 95% CI: 1.36, 4.40 I2 = 97% p = 0.003) and adjusted data (HR: 2.80 95% CI: 2.45, 3.09 I2 = 0% p<0.00001) indicated a statistically significant increased risk of mortality amongst elderly patients as compared to non-elderly patients. Meta-analysis of four studies demonstrated a statistically significant increased risk of peritonitis in the elderly (RR: 1.56 95% CI: 1.18, 2.07 I2 = 76% p = 0.002). Pooled analysis demonstrated no statistically significant difference in technique survival between the two groups (RR: 0.95 95% CI: 0.86, 1.05 I2 = 86% p = 0.32). CONCLUSION: Elderly patients on PD have a significantly increased risk of mortality as compared to non-elderly patients. The risk of peritonitis is also significantly increased in older adults but the increased age has no impact on technique survival. Further studies are needed to strengthen our conclusions.

Hypomagnesemia Is a Risk Factor for Cardiovascular Disease- and Noncardiovascular Disease-Related Mortality in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients.

PURPOSE: Recent research has shown that hypomagnesemia is associated with increased all-cause mortality in hemodialysis patients. However, the relationship between the long-term prognosis of peritoneal dialysis (PD) and the study is not yet clear. This study will analyze the effects of hypomagnesemia on all-cause, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and non-CVD mortality in PD patients. METHOD: In a retrospective cohort study, 1,004 samples were selected from 7 PD centers in China. Based on the baseline blood magnesium level at the beginning of stable dialysis, all patients were classified into blood magnesium <0.7 mmol/L group, 0.7-1.2 mmol/L group, and >1.2 mmol/L group (the end event was death). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the difference in cumulative survival rate; the Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the risk factors of all-cause, CVD, and non-CVD death causes. RESULTS: Cox multiple regression analysis results (reference comparison of 0.7-1.2 mmol/L group): patients with serum magnesium <0.7 mmol/L have a higher risk ratio of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.580, 95% CI: 1.222-2.042, p = 0.001), and it is also obvious after correction by multiple models (HR = 1.578, 95% CI: 1.196-2.083, p = 0.001). Subgroup analysis of the causes of death was as follows: CVD risk (HR = 1.628, 95% CI: 1.114-2.379, p = 0.012) and non-CVD risk (HR = 1.521, 95% CI: 1.011-2.288, p = 0.044). Further analysis of the causes of infection-related death in non-CVD is also significant (HR = 1.919, 95% CI: 1.131-3.1257, p = 0.016). On the other hand, the serum magnesium>1.2 mmol/L group had lower all-cause mortality after correction (HR = 0.687, 95% CI: 0.480-0.985, p = 0.041), and subgroup analysis of the cause of death had no statistical significance (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Hypomagnesemia (serum magnesium <0.7 mmol/L) during stable dialysis in PD patients is a risk factor for CVD- and non-CVD-related mortality, especially infection-related death causes.

Association analysis of body composition with survival among prevalent peritoneal dialysis patients.

PURPOSE: Progressive decline in lean mass and gain of fat mass are common in patients treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD). It is unclear whether body composition or its longitudinal changes contribute to increased mortality among prevalent PD patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study. Body composition was assessed using bioelectrical impedance spectroscopy (BIS). Lean and fat tissue indices were derived from lean and fat mass indexed to height-squared, respectively. The patient's baseline BIS results were used to explore its mortality risk prediction for the entire cohort. Among patients with subsequent BIS measurements, changes of lean and fat mass over time were also examined with survival outcomes. RESULTS: Among all participants (n = 555, PD vintage 38 months), higher baseline lean tissue index was associated with lower mortality after adjusting for fat tissue index and confounders (HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.84-0.97, p = 0.01). However, this association was no longer significance after the final adjustment with serum albumin level (p = 0.06). A total of 136 patients had repeated BIS data. After the interval of 10.1 months during two consecutive BIS measurements, there was a strong inverse correlation between the percentage changes of lean and fat tissue indices (r = - 0.73, p < 0.001). The longitudinal changes in lean mass, either high or low categories, were not significantly associated with all-cause mortality. In contrast, patients who were classified as having low values of fat tissue index (below median) from baseline to the next BIS measurements had a lower odds of death in the univariable (HR 0.32; 95% CI 0.12-0.84, p = 0.02) but not in the adjusted models. CONCLUSION: Among prevalent PD patients, higher baseline lean mass was independently associated with better survival. However, the longitudinal changes in lean mass were not significantly associated with mortality. In contrast, the maintenance of low fat status over time appeared to be associated with a lower likelihood of death among PD population.

Platelet-to-albumin ratio: a risk factor associated with technique failure and mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients have a high incidence of poor clinical outcomes, which is related to the inflammatory and nutritional status of this population. Platelet-to-albumin ratio (PAR), recently identified as a useful biomarker to monitor inflammation and nutrition, can predict a poor prognosis in various diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between PAR and technique failure and mortality in PD patients. METHODS: This single-center retrospective study enrolled 405 PD patients from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2019 and collected complete demographic characteristics, clinical laboratory baseline data. The outcomes were technique failure and mortality. The associations between PAR and technique failure, death were analyzed by Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk regression models with kidney transplantation as a competing event. The areas under the curve (AUC) of receiver-operating characteristic analysis were used to determine the predictive values of PAR for technique failure and mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 24.0 (range, 4.0-91.0) months, 139 (34.3%) PD patients experienced technique failure, 61 (15.1%) PD patients died. The patients with higher PAR levels had increased risk of technique failure and mortality. After adjustment for confounding factors, we found that high PAR levels were risk factor for both technique failure (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.775; 95%CI, 1.157-2.720; p = 0.033] and mortality [SHR 3.710; 95%CI, 1.870-7.360; p < 0.001]. The predictive ability of PAR was superior to platelet and albumin based on AUC calculations for technique failure and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: PAR was a risk factor associated with technique failure and mortality in PD patients.

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol to apolipoprotein A1 ratio and all-cause mortality among incident peritoneal dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The ratio of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to apolipoprotein A1 (HAR) is associated with all-cause mortality in nonchronic kidney disease patients, but its role in predicting all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is still unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between HAR and all-cause mortality in patients with PD. METHODS AND RESULTS: The medical records of 1199 patients with PD from November 1, 2005, to August 31, 2019, were collected retrospectively. The main outcome was defined as all-cause mortality. The HAR was divided into three groups by X-tile software. The association between HAR and all-cause mortality was evaluated by Cox models. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for the survival curve. The median follow-up period was 35 months (interquartile range: 20-57 months), with a total of 326 deaths recorded. After multiple adjustments, the risk of all-cause mortality in the high HAR group was 1.96-fold higher than that in the low HAR group (hazard ratio: 1.96; 95% CI, 1.22 to 3.15; P = 0.005). The restricted cubic splines showed that the risk of all-cause mortality increased gradually when HAR was >0.37. In the stratified analysis, a high HAR was linked to a high risk of all-cause mortality in males, patients under 55 years old, and patients without diabetes or cardiovascular disease (CVD). CONCLUSION: This study suggests that HAR is independently related to all-cause mortality in PD patients, especially in males, patients under 55 years old, and patients without diabetes or CVD.

Effect of Serum Albumin Changes on Mortality in Patients with Peritoneal Dialysis: A Joint Modeling Approach and Personalized Dynamic Risk Predictions.

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) is a frequently used and growing therapy for end-stage renal diseases (ESRD). Survival analysis of PD patients is an ongoing research topic in the field of nephrology. Several biochemical parameters (e.g., serum albumin, creatinine, and blood urea nitrogen) are measured repeatedly in the follow-up period; however, baseline or averaged values are primarily associated with mortality. Although this strategy is not incorrect, it leads to information loss, resulting in erroneous conclusions and biased estimates. This retrospective study used the trajectory of common renal function indexes in PD patients and mainly investigated the association between serum albumin change and mortality. Furthermore, we considered patient-specific variability in serum albumin change and obtained personalized dynamic risk predictions for selected patients at different follow-up thresholds to investigate the effect of serum albumin trajectories on patient-specific mortality. We included 417 patients from the Erciyes University Nephrology Department whose data were retrospectively collected using medical records. A joint modeling approach for longitudinal and survival data was used to investigate the relationship between serum albumin trajectory and mortality of PD patients. Results showed that averaged serum albumin levels were not associated with mortality. However, serum albumin change was significantly and inversely associated with mortality (HR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.48 to 4.16). Risk of death was positively associated with peritonitis rate, hemodialysis history, and the total number of comorbid and renal diseases with hazard ratios 1.74, 3.21, and 1.41. There was also significant variability between patients. The personalized risk predictions showed that overall survival estimates were not representative for all patients. Using the patient-specific trajectories provided better survival predictions within the follow-up period as more data become available in serum albumin levels. In conclusion, using the trajectory of risk predictors via an appropriate statistical method provided better predictive accuracy and prevented biased findings. We also showed that personalized risk predictions were much informative than overall estimations in the presence of significant patient variability. Furthermore, personalized estimations may play an essential role in monitoring and managing patients during the follow-up period.

Comparison of lean mass indices as predictors of mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have considered optimal adjusted lean mass indices for prediction of clinical outcomes in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. We aimed to evaluate clinical variables using various adjusted indices in PD patients. METHODS: Total 528 incident PD patients were included. Lean mass was measured using dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Appendicular lean mass (ALM) was calculated using the sum for both upper and lower extremities. Each ALM index was calculated using ALM per body weight (ALM/BW), height squared (ALM/Ht2), or body mass index (ALM/BMI). Limb/trunk lean mass (LTLM) ratio was defined as the sum for both upper and lower extremities divided by trunk lean mass. RESULTS: A total of 528 patients were analyzed men: 286, women: 242. In area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, LTLM alone was associated with 1 year mortality. In the LTLM ratio, the cut-off value for 1-year mortality was ≤ 0.829 in men and ≤ 0.717 in women, respectively. In both sexes, LTLM ratio alone showed statistical significance in all-cause mortality in both univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses. Compared with other indices, the LTLM ratio was independent of edema and fat in both sexes. Edema- and C-reactive protein-adjusted correlation analysis showed that LTLM ratio alone was associated with serum albumin in men. Although statistical significance was not obtained for women, the correlation coefficient was highest for the LTLM ratio compared with other indices. CONCLUSION: Among various indices using lean mass, LTLM ratio was independent of volume status and fat mass and was associated with mortality in incident PD patients.

Non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and mortality among peritoneal dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: The association between non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) and mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of non-HDL-C with cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality in PD patients. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study. A total of 1,616 incident PD patients from a single PD center in South China were followed for a median of 47.6 months. The independent association of non-HDL-C with CV and all-cause mortality was evaluated by a Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 508 (31.4%) patients died, of which 249 (49.0%) were due to CV events. Atherosclerotic CV mortality accounted for 59.8% of CV mortality. In multivariable models, for 1-SD increase in non-HDL-C level, the hazard ratios (HRs) for CV and all-cause mortality were 1.52  [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.32-1.75; P < 0.001)] and 1.24 (95% CI, 1.12-1.39; P < 0.001), respectively. Furthermore, non-HDL-C was positively associated with atherosclerotic CV mortality (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09-1.52; P = 0.004) but not associated with nonatherosclerotic CV mortality (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.59-1.05; P = 0.108). The quartile analyses showed a similar pattern to the continuous variable analyses of non-HDL-C levels for CV and all-cause mortality but did not demonstrate statistical significance for atherosclerotic or nonatherosclerotic CV mortality. CONCLUSION: An elevated non-HDL-C level was independently associated with an increased risk of CV mortality, especially atherosclerotic CV mortality, and all-cause mortality in incident PD patients.