Global perspective on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis - prevalence, clinical impact, economic implications and management strategies.

BACKGROUND: The metabolically-based liver disease, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is the most common cause of chronic liver disease currently affecting 38% of the world's adult population. NAFLD can be progressive leading to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), liver transplantation, liver cancer, liver-related mortality and is associated with decreased quality of life from impaired physical functioning and increased healthcare resource utilisation. However, screening for NAFLD is cost-prohibitive but screening for high risk NAFLD (NAFLD with F2 fibrosis or greater) is imperative. AIM: To review the global perspective on NAFLD and NASH METHODS: We retrieved articles from PubMed using search terms NAFLD, prevalence, clinical burden, economic burden and management strategies. RESULTS: NAFLD/NASH shows geographical variation across the globe. Highest prevalence rates are in South America and the Middle East and North Africa; lowest prevalence is in Africa. NAFLD's economic impact is from direct and indirect medical costs and loss in worker productivity. It is projected that, over the next two decades, the total cost of NAFLD and diabetes will exceed $1.5 trillion (USD). Risk stratification algorithms identifying "high risk NAFLD" were made following non-invasive tests for NAFLD identification and fibrosis development. These algorithms should be used in primary care and endocrinology settings so timely and appropriate interventions (lifestyle and cardiometabolic risk factor management) can be initiated. CONCLUSIONS: To reduce the burgeoning burden of NAFLD/NASH, management should include risk stratification algorithms for accurate identification of patients, linkage to appropriate settings, and initiation of effective treatment regimens.

Societal costs and survival of patients with biopsy-verified non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: Danish nationwide register-based study.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Studies on the societal burden of patients with biopsy-confirmed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are sparse. This study examined this question, comparing NAFLD with matched reference groups. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Nationwide Danish healthcare registers were used to include all patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with biopsy-verified NAFLD (1997-2021). Patients were classified as having simple steatosis or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis, and all matched with liver-disease free reference groups. Healthcare costs and labour market outcomes were compared from 5 years before to 11 years after diagnosis. Patients were followed for 25 years to analyse risk of disability insurance and death. RESULTS: 3,712 patients with biopsy-verified NASH (n = 1,030), simple steatosis (n = 1,540) or cirrhosis (n = 1,142) were identified. The average total costs in the year leading up to diagnosis was 4.1-fold higher for NASH patients than the reference group (EUR 6,318), 6.2-fold higher for cirrhosis patients and 3.1-fold higher for simple steatosis patients. In NASH, outpatient hospital contacts were responsible for 49 % of the excess costs (EUR 3,121). NASH patients had statistically significantly lower income than their reference group as early as five years before diagnosis until nine years after diagnosis, and markedly higher risk of becoming disability insurance recipients (HR: 4.37; 95 % CI: 3.17-6.02) and of death (HR: 2.42; 95 % CI: 1.80-3.25). CONCLUSIONS: NASH, simple steatosis and cirrhosis are all associated with substantial costs for the individual and the society with excess healthcare costs and poorer labour market outcomes.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Cirrhosis Using US Visualization Score C-Triggered Abbreviated MRI.

INTRODUCTION: Ultrasound (US) is associated with severe visualization limitations (US Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System visualization score C) in one-third of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis undergoing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. Data suggest abbreviated MRI (aMRI) may improve HCC screening efficacy. This study analyzed the cost-effectiveness of HCC screening strategies, including an US visualization score-based approach with aMRI, in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis. METHODS: We constructed a Markov model simulating adults with compensated NAFLD cirrhosis in the United States undergoing HCC screening, comparing strategies of US plus visualization score, US alone, or no surveillance. We modeled aMRI in patients with visualization score C and negative US, while patients with scores A/B did US alone. We performed a sensitivity analysis comparing US plus visualization score with US plus alpha fetoprotein or no surveillance. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Sensitivity analyses were performed for all variables. RESULTS: US plus visualization score was the most cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of $59,005 relative to no surveillance. The ICER for US alone to US plus visualization score was $822,500. On sensitivity analysis, screening using US plus visualization score remained preferred across several parameters. Even with alpha fetoprotein added to US, the US plus visualization score strategy remained cost-effective, with an ICER of $62,799 compared with no surveillance. DISCUSSION: HCC surveillance using US visualization score-based approach, using aMRI for visualization score C, seems to be the most cost-effective strategy in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis.

Modelling the cost effectiveness of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk stratification strategies in the community setting.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent worldwide. Identifying high-risk patients is critical to best utilize limited health care resources. We established a community-based care pathway using 2D ultrasound shear wave elastography (SWE) to identify high risk patients with NAFLD. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of various non-invasive strategies to correctly identify high-risk patients. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was created using a payer's perspective for a hypothetical patient with NAFLD. FIB-4 [≥1.3], NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) [≥-1.455], SWE [≥8 kPa], transient elastography (TE) [≥8 kPa], and sequential strategies with FIB-4 or NFS followed by either SWE or TE were compared to identify patients with either significant (≥F2) or advanced fibrosis (≥F3). Model inputs were obtained from local data and published literature. The cost/correct diagnosis of advanced NAFLD was obtained and univariate sensitivity analysis was performed. RESULTS: For ≥F2 fibrosis, FIB-4/SWE cost $148.75/correct diagnosis while SWE cost $276.42/correct diagnosis, identifying 84% of patients correctly. For ≥F3 fibrosis, using FIB-4/SWE correctly identified 92% of diagnoses and dominated all other strategies. The ranking of strategies was unchanged when stratified by normal or abnormal ALT. For ≥F3 fibrosis, the cost/correct diagnosis was less in the normal ALT group. CONCLUSIONS: SWE based strategies were the most cost effective for diagnosing ≥F2 fibrosis. For ≥F3 fibrosis, FIB-4 followed by SWE was the most effective and least costly strategy. Further evaluation of the timing of repeating non-invasive strategies are required to enhance the cost-effective management of NAFLD.

Comorbidities and healthcare costs and resource use of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the Japan medical data vision database.

BACKGROUND: This study examined demographics, comorbidities and healthcare resource use (HCRU) and costs among Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). METHODS: We conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis of the Medical Data Vision (MDV) claims database, from January 2011 to March 2018. Demographics were described at index date and by calendar year; a "NASH" subpopulation included patients with ≥ 1 claim for NASH at any time. Prevalence of pre-specified comorbidities of interest and data-emergent top comorbidities were estimated. All-cause HCRU and costs were quantified by calendar year. Outcomes were compared between 2011 and 2017 using partially overlapping t tests. RESULTS: 58,958 patients (mean age 61.6 years; 55.5% male) were included. 1139 patients (2%) were in the NASH subpopulation. At baseline, comorbid cardiovascular disease (69.4%), diabetes (62.1%) and hyperlipidaemia (54.4%) were most prevalent; comorbidity prevalence increased with age. Mean outpatient visits decreased from 9.36 per patient in 2011 to 7.80 in 2017; mean inpatient admissions increased (both p < 0.001 for 2011 vs 2017). Mean total all-cause healthcare costs ranged from ¥322,206 to ¥340,399 per patient per year between 2011 and 2017. Although total all-cause healthcare costs did not change significantly (p = 0.552), cost burden shifted from the outpatient to inpatient setting between 2011 and 2017. All-cause healthcare resource use/costs were generally higher for the NASH subgroup compared with the overall population. CONCLUSIONS: There is a high burden of disease among Japanese NAFLD/NASH patients, including a high prevalence of comorbidities which generally increase with age. Accordingly, substantial all-cause HCRU and costs were incurred.

The Impact of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Primary Care: A Population Health Perspective.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide, with rising rates in parallel to those of obesity, type 2 diabetes, and metabolic syndrome. NAFLD encompasses a wide spectrum of pathology from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and cirrhosis, which are linked to poor outcomes. Studies confirm a significant amount of undiagnosed NAFLD and related fibrosis within the community, increasing the overall burden of the disease. NAFLD appears to be more prevalent in certain populations, such as those with type 2 diabetes and metabolic syndrome. Early detection and lifestyle modifications, including weight loss and regular exercise, have been shown to improve outcomes. Adverse cardiovascular events are a key contributor to NAFLD-associated morbidity and mortality, and efforts to minimize their occurrence are essential. A targeted and algorithmic approach using noninvasive diagnostic techniques is promptly required to identify and risk-stratify patients with NAFLD. Patients at low risk of progression to NASH and advanced fibrosis can be managed in the primary care setting, while those at high risk of disease progression should be referred to hepatology specialists for surveillance and treatment. This review summarizes the key data of NAFLD's impact within primary care populations and proposes a potential algorithmic approach to identifying and managing such patients.

Disease severity predicts higher healthcare costs among hospitalized nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients in Spain.

The rising prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) presents many public health challenges, including a substantial impact on healthcare resource utilization and costs. There are important regional differences in the burden of NAFLD/NASH, and Spain-specific data are lacking. This retrospective, observational study examined the impact of liver disease severity, comorbidities, and demographics on healthcare resource utilization and costs in Spain.NAFLD/NASH patients in the Spanish National Health System's Hospital Discharge Records Database (1/1/2006 to 4/30/2017) were categorized into disease severity cohorts as NAFLD/NASH overall, NAFLD/NASH non-progressors, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), liver transplant (LT), or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients were followed from index date until the earliest of 6 months, disease progression, end of coverage, death, or end of study. Within each cohort, pre- and post-index healthcare resource utilization and costs per patient per month (PPPM) were calculated.A total of 8,205 patients (mean age 58.4; 54% male) were identified; 5,984 (72.9%) were non-progressors, 139 (1.7%) progressed to CC, 2,028 (24.7%) to DCC, 115 (1.4%) to LT, and 61 (0.7%) to HCC. Pre-index comorbidity burden was high across disease cohorts, and the frequency of comorbidities increased with disease severity. From pre- to post-index, average length of stay (LOS) increased significantly (23%-41%) as did all-cause PPPM costs (44%-46%), with significantly longer LOS and costs in patients with increasing disease severity.Progression of NAFLD/NASH was associated with significantly higher costs and longer LOS. A coordinated approach is needed to manage resources and costs in Spain.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis patients with advanced liver disease in Italy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) may progress to advanced liver disease (AdvLD). This study characterized comorbidities, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and associated costs among hospitalized patients with AdvLD due to NASH in Italy. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adult nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/NASH patients from 2011 to 2017 were identified from administrative databases of Italian local health units using ICD-9-CM codes. Development of compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or liver transplant (LT) was identified using first diagnosis date for each severity cohort (index-date). Patients progressing to multiple disease stages were included in >1 cohort. Patients were followed from index-date until the earliest of disease progression, end of coverage, death, or end of study. Within each cohort, per member per month values were annualized to calculate all-cause HCRU or costs(€) in 2017. Of the 9,729 hospitalized NAFLD/NASH patients identified, 97% were without AdvLD, 1.3% had CC, 3.1% DCC, 0.8% HCC, 0.1% LT. Comorbidity burden was high across all cohorts. Mean annual number of inpatient services was greater in patients with AdvLD than without AdvLD. Similar trends were observed in outpatient visits and pharmacy fills. Mean total annual costs increased with disease severity, driven primarily by inpatient services costs. CONCLUSION: NAFLD/NASH patients in Italy have high comorbidity burden. AdvLD patients had significantly higher costs. The higher prevalence of DCC compared to CC in this population may suggest challenges of effectively screening and identifying NAFLD/NASH patients. Early identification and effective management are needed to reduce risk of disease progression and subsequent HCRU and costs.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: impact on healthcare resource utilization, liver transplantation and mortality in a large, integrated healthcare system.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: NAFLD is the most prevalent liver disease globally, affecting 20% of the world population. Healthcare resource utilization (HRU) attributable to NAFLD has been difficult to define. METHODS: We performed a case control study on NAFLD patients from 2005 to 2015 in a large integrated healthcare system with an affiliated insurance company that prospectively captures HRU information. Outcomes encompassed costs, liver transplantation and mortality rates. RESULTS: There were 17,085 patients, of which 4512 were NAFLD cases and 12,573 were non-NAFLD controls. The cohorts were similar in age and gender distribution (p > 0.05). The NAFLD cohort had a younger mean age of death (60.9 vs. 63.3, p = 0.004) and had over twice the number of annual healthcare visits (14.6 vs. 7.1). The increased overall annual overall cost attributable to NAFLD (in 2015 $) was $449/year. Overall, NAFLD was independently associated with 17% higher annual attributable healthcare costs. More advanced NAFLD (FS 3-4) was associated with a 40% increase in median annual healthcare costs (vs. FS 0-2). The strongest predictors of HRU among patients with NAFLD were advanced fibrosis and medical co-morbidities. The rate of liver transplantation was 18 times greater (0.054%/year) in the NAFLD compared with the non-NAFLD cohort, while mortality rate was 1.7 times greater. CONCLUSIONS: Within a large, integrated healthcare system a diagnosis of NAFLD is independently associated with a 17% overall excess in HRU and a several-fold increase liver transplantation and mortality. Although the dollar amounts will change over time and between healthcare systems, the proportional need for HRU will have broad applicability and implications.

Extrahepatic manifestations and healthcare expenditures of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the Medicare population.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a very common liver disease which has been associated with a number of the extrahepatic manifestations (EHMs) and healthcare expenditures. Our aim was to assess the presence and impact of these EHMs of NAFLD on mortality and healthcare expenditures. METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries (2005-2016) were included. ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes were used to identify patients with NAFLD and EHMs which included cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension (HTN), diabetes (DM), hyperlipidemia (HL), non-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cancers, and others. Temporal trends among different groups were analyzed by join point regression model. Independent predictors of outcomes were evaluated in multiple generalized linear or logistic regression models. RESULTS: Among 30,908,679 Medicare beneficiaries (5% sample of Medicare data from 2005-2016), 1,980,950 (6.4%) had NAFLD diagnosis. From 2005 to 2016, the prevalence of NAFLD in the Medicare population increased at an average annual increase of 3.1%. The most common diseases associated with NAFLD were DM (86.3%), followed by HTN (85.2%), HL (79.8%), and CVD (35.8%). One-year mortality rate in NAFLD patients increased from 3.55 to 6.33 per 1000 from 2005 to 2016. One-year mortality was independently associated with diagnosis of HCC, cirrhosis, DM (outpatient), depression, dementia, lung disease, renal failure, thyroid disorder (inpatient), neurological disorder as well as non-HCC cancers. CONCLUSION: NAFLD is associated with a number of EHMs that increases its mortality and increased healthcare expenditure.

Trends in the Burden of Chronic Liver Disease Among Hospitalized US Adults.

Importance: One factor associated with the rapidly increasing clinical and economic burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) is inpatient health care utilization. Objective: To understand trends in the hospitalization burden of CLD in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study of hospitalized adults in the US used data from the National Inpatient Sample from 2012 to 2016 on adult CLD-related hospitalizations. Data were analyzed from June to October 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospitalizations identified using a comprehensive review of CLD-specific International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Survey-weighted annual trends in national estimates of CLD-related hospitalizations, in-hospital mortality, and hospitalization costs, stratified by demographic and clinical characteristics. Results: This study included 1 016 743 CLD-related hospitalizations (mean [SD] patient age, 57.4 [14.4] years; 582 197 [57.3%] male; 633 082 [62.3%] white). From 2012 to 2016, the rate of CLD-related hospitalizations per 100 000 hospitalizations increased from 3056 (95% CI, 3042-3069) to 3757 (95% CI, 3742-3772), and total inpatient hospitalization costs increased from $14.9 billion (95% CI, $13.9 billion to $15.9 billion) to $18.8 billion (95% CI, $17.6 billion to $20.0 billion). Mean (SD) patient age increased (56.8 [14.2] years in 2012 to 57.8 [14.6] years in 2016) and, subsequently, the proportion with Medicare also increased (41.7% [95% CI, 41.1%-42.2%] to 43.6% [95% CI, 43.1%-44.1%]) (P for trend < .001 for both). The proportion of hospitalizations of patients with hepatitis C virus was similar throughout the period of study (31.6% [95% CI, 31.3%-31.9%]), and the proportion with alcoholic cirrhosis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease showed increases. The mortality rate was higher among hospitalizations with alcoholic cirrhosis (11.9% [95% CI, 11.7%-12.0%]) compared with other etiologies. Presence of hepatocellular carcinoma was also associated with a high mortality rate (9.8% [95% CI, 9.5%-10.1%]). Cost burden increased across all etiologies, with a higher total cost burden among hospitalizations with alcoholic cirrhosis ($22.7 billion [95% CI, $22.1 billion to $23.2 billion]) or hepatitis C virus ($22.6 billion [95% CI, $22.1 billion to $23.2 billion]). Presence of cirrhosis, complications of cirrhosis, and comorbidities added to the CLD burden. Conclusions and Relevance: Over the study period, the total estimated national hospitalization costs in patients with CLD reached $81.1 billion. The inpatient CLD burden in the US is likely increasing because of an aging CLD population with increases in concomitant comorbid conditions.

Systematic Literature Review and Critical Appraisal of Health Economic Models Used in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses in Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis: Potential for Improvements.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a severe, typically progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The global prevalence of NASH is increasing, driven partly by the global increase in obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), such that NASH is now a leading cause of cirrhosis. There is currently an unmet clinical need for efficacious and cost-effective treatments for NASH; no pharmacologic agents have an approved indication for NASH. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to summarise and critically appraise published health economic models of NASH, to evaluate their quality and suitability for use in the assessment of novel treatments for NASH, and to identify knowledge gaps, challenges and opportunities for future modelling. METHODS: A systematic literature review was performed using the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library and EconLit databases to identify published health economic analyses in patients with NAFLD or NASH. Supplementary hand searches of grey literature were also performed. Articles published up to November 2019 were included in the review. Quality assessment of identified studies was also performed. RESULTS: A total of 19 articles comprising 16 unique models including either NAFLD as a whole or NASH alone were included in the review. Structurally, most models had a state-transition component; in terms of health states, two different approaches to early disease states were used, modelling either progression through fibrosis stages or NAFLD/NASH-specific health states. Conditions that frequently co-exist with NASH, such as obesity, T2DM and cardiovascular disease were not captured in models identified here. Late-stage complications such as cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma were consistently included, but input data (e.g. costs, utilities and transition probabilities) for late-stage complications were frequently sourced from other liver disease areas. The quality of included studies was heterogenous, and only a small proportion of studies reported internal and external validation processes. CONCLUSION: The health economic models identified in this review are associated with limitations primarily driven by a lack of NASH-specific data. Identified models also largely overlooked the intricate association between NASH and other conditions, including obesity and T2DM, and did not capture the increased risk of cardiovascular events associated with NASH. High-quality, transparent, validated health economic models of NASH will be required to evaluate the cost effectiveness of treatments currently in development, particularly compounds that may target other non-hepatic outcomes.

Food Insecurity May Be an Independent Risk Factor Associated with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease among Low-Income Adults in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), considered a "barometer" of metabolic health, is the leading cause of liver disease in the United States. Despite established associations between food insecurity and obesity, hypertension, and diabetes, little is known about the relation between food insecurity and NAFLD. OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the association of food insecurity with NAFLD among low-income adults in the United States. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of a nationally representative sample of adults from the NHANES (2005-2014 waves). Participants included adults in low-income households (≤200% of the federal poverty level) without chronic viral hepatitis or self-reported heavy alcohol use. Food insecurity was measured using the Household Food Security Survey. Our primary outcome was NAFLD, as estimated by the US Fatty Liver Index, and our secondary outcome was advanced fibrosis, as estimated by the NAFLD fibrosis score. The association between food insecurity (defined as low and very low food security) and hepatic outcomes was assessed using multivariable logistic regression, adjusting for sociodemographic factors. RESULTS: Among 2627 adults included in the analysis, 29% (95% CI: 26%, 32%) were food insecure. The median age was 43 y, 58% were female, and 54% were white. The weighted estimated prevalence of NAFLD did not differ significantly by food security status (food secure 31% compared with food insecure 34%, P = 0.21). In the multivariable model, food-insecure adults were more likely to have NAFLD (adjusted OR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.77) and advanced fibrosis (adjusted OR: 2.20; 95% CI: 1.27, 3.82) compared with food-secure adults. CONCLUSIONS: Food insecurity may be independently associated with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis among low-income adults in the United States. Future strategies should assess whether improved food access, quality, and healthy eating habits will decrease the growing burden of NAFLD-associated morbidity and mortality among at-risk adults.

Evolution of NAFLD and Its Management.

The global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is estimated to be 25% and continues to rise worldwide in the setting of the obesity epidemic. This increase is especially concerning because NAFLD is often a progressive disease that can be associated with significant complications such as liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and an increase in liver-related and overall mortality. Because of the devastating complications and comorbidities, NAFLD is a very costly disease for the healthcare system, with estimated annual direct medical costs exceeding $100 billion in the United States alone. Given this progressive course, it is imperative to make the diagnosis in patients with risk factors (metabolic syndrome, weight gain, and insulin resistance/diabetes). Once the diagnosis is made, the focus should shift to treatment and monitoring for the development of associated complications. Given that currently no pharmaceutical intervention is approved for the treatment of NAFLD, focus shifts instead to mitigation of risk factors through avoidance of foods that are rich in red meat, trans fats, refined carbohydrates, and high-fructose corn syrup; are low fiber; and have high energy density. The landmark of treatment, however, continues to be weight loss and improvement of insulin resistance, often through a multimodality approach. The current manuscript reviews the clinical phenotypes of NAFLD, its risk factors, and pathogenesis, as well as treatment options including lifestyle modifications and dietary interventions, medical therapies, endoscopic bariatric interventions, and bariatric surgery.

A Nationwide Study of Inpatient Admissions, Mortality, and Costs for Patients with Cirrhosis from 2005 to 2015 in the USA.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver cirrhosis is a substantial health burden in the USA, but population-based data regarding the trend and medical expenditure are limited and outdated. We investigated the trends of inpatient admissions, costs, and inpatient mortality from 2005 to 2015 among cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using the National Inpatient Sample database. We adjusted the costs to 2015 US dollars using a 3% inflation rate. National estimates of admissions were determined using discharge weights. RESULTS: We identified 1,627,348 admissions in cirrhotic patients between 2005 and 2015. From 2005 to 2015, the number of weighted admissions in cirrhotic patients almost doubled (from 505,032 to 961,650) and the total annual hospitalization cost in this population increased three times (from 5.8 to 16.3 billion US dollars). Notably, admission rates varied by liver disease etiology, decreasing from 2005 to 2015 among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis while increasing (almost tripled) among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related cirrhosis. The annual inpatient mortality rate per 1000 admissions overall decreased from 63.8 to 58.2 between 2005 and 2015 except for NAFLD (27.2 to 35.8) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Rates and costs of admissions in cirrhotic patients have increased substantially between 2005 and 2015 in the USA, but varied by liver disease etiology, with decreasing rate for HCV-associated cirrhosis and for HBV-associated cirrhosis but increasing for NAFLD-associated cirrhosis. Inpatient mortality also increased by one-third for NAFLD, while it decreased for other diseases. Cost also varied by etiology and lower for HCV-associated cirrhosis.

Economic and Clinical Burden of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes in the U.S.

OBJECTIVE: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a progressive form of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and is strongly associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Patients with both T2DM and NASH have increased risk for adverse clinical outcomes, leading to higher risk for mortality and morbidity. We built a Markov model with 1-year cycles and 20-year horizon to estimate the economic burden of NASH with T2DM in the U.S. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Cohort size was determined by population size, prevalence of T2DM, and prevalence and incidence of NASH in 2017. The model includes 10 health states-NAFL, NASH fibrosis stages F0 through F3, compensated and decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, 1 year post-liver transplant, and post-liver transplant-as well as liver-related, cardiovascular, and background mortality. Transition probabilities were calculated from meta-analyses and literature. Annual costs for NASH and T2DM were taken from literature and billing codes. RESULTS: We estimated that there were 18.2 million people in the U.S. living with T2DM and NAFLD, of which 6.4 million had NASH. Twenty-year costs for NAFLD in these patients were $55.8 billion. Over the next 20 years, NASH with T2DM will account for 65,000 transplants, 1.37 million cardiovascular-related deaths, and 812,000 liver-related deaths. CONCLUSIONS: This model predicts significant clinical and economic burden due to NASH with T2DM over the next 20 years. In fact, this burden may be greater since we assumed conservative inputs for our model and did not increase costs or the incidence of T2DM over time. It is highly likely that interventions reducing morbidity and mortality in NASH patients with T2DM could potentially reduce this projected clinical and economic burden.