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1.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 2107, 2024 Aug 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39103854

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The delivery of safe drinking water has high public health relevance, as reflected in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG6). Several precautionary actions have reduced the burden associated with infectious diseases in high-income countries; however, pollution in source waters, inadequate disinfection, and premise plumbing, along with an increased awareness that intrusion in the drinking water distribution system, represents risk factors for gastrointestinal illness linked to consume of drinking water. Sporadic cases of waterborne infections are expected to be underreported since a sick person is less likely to seek healthcare for a self-limiting gastrointestinal infection. Hence, knowledge on the true burden of waterborne diseases is scarce. The primary aim with the present study was to estimate the risk of gastrointestinal illness associated with drinking tap water in Norway. METHODS: We conducted a 12-month prospective cohort study where participants were recruited by telephone interview after invitation based on randomised selection. A start up e-survey were followed by 12 monthly SMS questionnaires to gather information on participants characteristics and drinking tap water (number of 0.2L glasses per day), incidence, duration and symptoms associated with gastrointestinal illness. Associations between the exposure of drinking tap water and the outcome of risk of acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI) were analysed with linear mixed effects models. Age, sex, education level and size of the drinking water supply were identified as potential confounders and included in the adjusted model. RESULTS: In total, 9,946 persons participated in this cohort study, accounting for 11.5% of all invited participants. According to the data per person and month (99,446 monthly submissions), AGI was reported for 5,508 person-months (5.5 per 100 person-months). Severe AGI was reported in 819 person-months (0.8 per 100 person-months). Our study estimates that 2-4% of AGI in Norway is attributable to drinking tap water. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest cohort study in Norway estimating the burden of self-reported gastrointestinal infections linked to the amount of tap water drunk in Norway. The data indicate that waterborne AGI is not currently a burden in Norway, but the findings need to be used with caution. The importance of continued efforts and investments in the maintenance of drinking water supplies in Norway to address the low burden of sporadic waterborne cases and to prevent future outbreaks needs to be emphasised.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Enfermedades Gastrointestinales , Humanos , Noruega/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Gastrointestinales/epidemiología , Enfermedades Gastrointestinales/etiología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Adolescente , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Abastecimiento de Agua
2.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16837, 2024 07 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39039164

RESUMEN

This paper presents a thorough evaluation of health outcomes linked to water-related challenges in Islamic nations across East Asia and Central Asia from 2020 to 2030. It has been examined carefully that the trajectory of deaths and disability-adjusted life years associated with unsafe water sources, lack of sanitation, and absence of handwashing facilities is showing a potential rise in negative health impacts due to water pollution. The direct health influences of water-related problems are thoughtful. The increase in deaths and DALYs due to poor water quality and sanitation leads to a higher occurrence of waterborne diseases such as cholera, diarrhea, and dysentery. These conditions not only cause instant health disasters but also subsidize to long-term health issues which include chronic gastrointestinal disorders and malnutrition that is particularly among susceptible populations like children and the elderly. Employing various predictive models including autoregressive integrated moving average, exponential smoothing, support vector machines, and neural networks. The study evaluates their predictive capabilities by using mean absolute percentage error. Support vector machines is found to be the most accurate in forecasting deaths and disability-adjusted life years which is outperforming autoregressive integrated moving average, exponential smoothing, and neural networks. This research aims to inform stakeholders by providing insights into effective strategies for improving water resource management and public health interventions in the targeted regions.


Asunto(s)
Calidad del Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Saneamiento , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Abastecimiento de Agua , Islamismo , Asia/epidemiología , Máquina de Vectores de Soporte , Contaminación del Agua
3.
J Hosp Infect ; 150: 61-71, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830541

RESUMEN

With increasing awareness of water sinks as potential sources of outbreaks and transmission of multi-drug resistant (MDR) bacteria in intensive care units (ICUs), there is growing interest in water-free patient care systems. This systematic review reviewed and synthesized available evidence on the effectiveness of sink removal with or without water-free activities in the ICU environment to reduce water-borne healthcare-associated infections. We searched five databases (PubMed, MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science and Embase) for studies published from 1st January 1980 to 2nd April 2024 that examined water-less or water-free activities in the ICU to reduce healthcare-associated infections and patient colonization. Of 2075 articles, seven quasi-experimental studies (total: 332 patient beds) met the study selection criteria. Six of these seven studies (85.7%) were based in adult ICUs; one (14%) was in a neonatal ICU. Five of seven sites (71.4%) implemented water-less interventions after an outbreak. Water-free alternatives used included water-less bath products (six of seven; 85.7%), bottled water for consumption (three of seven; 42.9%), oral care (three of seven; 42.9%) and dissolving of oral medication (four of seven; 57.1%), designated 'contaminated' sink outside of patient and medication preparation areas for disposal of wastewater (four of seven; 57.1%). Implicated pathogens studied included MDR Gram-negative bacteria (four of seven; 57.1%), MDR Pseudomonas aeruginosa only (two of seven; 28.6%), and pulmonary non-tuberculous mycobacterium (NTB) (one of seven; 14.3%). Five of seven (71.4%) studies reported outbreak cessation. Preliminary evidence, from a limited number of studies of which the majority were conducted in an outbreak setting, suggest that sink removal and other water-free interventions in the ICU helped terminate outbreaks involving taps and decrease hospital-onset respiratory isolation of pulmonary NTB.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Humanos , Infección Hospitalaria/prevención & control , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/prevención & control , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/microbiología , Control de Infecciones/métodos , Microbiología del Agua
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1578, 2024 Jun 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38867266

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: . Splash pads for recreational purposes are widespread. Using these pads can pose a health risk if they lack installation regulation and water quality supervision. Our aim was to describe a waterborne disease outbreak caused by Clostridium perfringens and Cryptosporidium spp. in a Barcelona district and the measures taken for its control. METHODS: . On August 2018, 71 cases of acute gastroenteritis were detected, affecting people who used a splash pad or were in contact with a user. Microbiological and environmental investigations were carried out. A descriptive analysis of the sample and Poisson regression models adjusted for age and sex were performed, obtaining frequencies, median values, and adjusted prevalence ratios with their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The median age of the cases was 6.7 years, 27 (38%) required medical care, and three (4.2%) were hospitalized. The greater the number of times a person entered the area, the greater the number of symptoms and their severity. Nineteen (76%) of the 25 stool samples collected from cases showed the presence of one or both pathogens. Environmental investigations showed deficiencies in the facilities and identified the presence of both species in the splash pad. Health education and hygiene measures were carried out, and 14 days after the closure of the facilities, no more cases related to the pad were recorded. CONCLUSIONS: . Specific regulations are needed on the use of splash pads for recreational purposes. Until these regulations are in place, these types of facility should comply with the regulations that apply to swimming pools and spas, including those related to the design of the tanks, water recirculation systems, and adequate disinfection systems.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Clostridium , Criptosporidiosis , Cryptosporidium , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , España/epidemiología , Cryptosporidium/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Clostridium/epidemiología , Criptosporidiosis/epidemiología , Adulto , Niño , Adolescente , Preescolar , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Clostridium perfringens/aislamiento & purificación , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/microbiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Lactante , Microbiología del Agua
5.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38928947

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: waterborne disease outbreaks (WGDOs) following the contamination of drinking water remain a public health concern. METHODS: The current study aims to assess the occurrence and identify gaps in the notification and investigation of WGDOs in Greece. Data for 2004-2023 were retrieved and summarized. RESULTS: Thirty-five outbreaks with 6128 recorded cases were identified. The median time from the date of onset in the first cases to reporting was 7 days (range: 1-26 days). Authorities were informed by health care services in thirty (85.7%) outbreaks and by the media in five (14.3%). The investigation methods used varied. An analytical study was conducted in nine (25.7%) outbreaks and the testing of clinical samples in twenty-seven (77.1%). In three (11.1%) outbreaks, clinical samples were simultaneously tested for multiple bacteria, viruses, and parasites. Water samples were collected in nineteen (54.3%) outbreaks (in three after chlorination) with a mean time lag of 5 days (range: 1-20 days) from the first cases. A pathogen in clinical samples was identified in 20 (57.1%) outbreaks and, in 1 (6.25%), the same microorganism was isolated in both clinical and water samples. CONCLUSIONS: delays in reporting and the heterogeneity of investigations depict that the surveillance of WGDOs and response practices should be strengthened, and operational procedures should be standardised.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Gastroenteritis , Abastecimiento de Agua , Grecia/epidemiología , Humanos , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Microbiología del Agua , Salud Pública , Agua Potable/microbiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología
6.
Singapore Med J ; 65(4): 211-219, 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38650059

RESUMEN

ABSTRACT: Climate change, particularly increasing temperature, changes in rainfall, extreme weather events and changes in vector ecology, impacts the transmission of many climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Asia is the world's most populous, rapidly evolving and diverse continent, and it is already experiencing the effects of climate change. Climate change intersects with population, sociodemographic and geographical factors, amplifying the public health impact of infectious diseases and potentially widening existing disparities. In this narrative review, we outline the evidence of the impact of climate change on infectious diseases of importance in Asia, including vector-borne diseases, food- and water-borne diseases, antimicrobial resistance and other infectious diseases. We also highlight the imperative need for strategic intersectoral collaboration at the national and global levels and for the health sector to implement adaptation and mitigation measures, including responsibility for its own greenhouse gas emissions.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Asia/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores/epidemiología , Animales , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología
7.
Emerg Microbes Infect ; 13(1): 2348498, 2024 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38686555

RESUMEN

Bacillus paranthracis, a Gram-positive conditional pathogen of Bacillus cereus group species, is capable of causing foodborne and waterborne illnesses, leading to intestinal diseases in humans characterized by diarrhoea and vomiting. However, documented cases of B. paranthracis infection outbreaks are rare in the world, and the genomic background of outbreak strains is seldom characterized. This study retrospectively analyzed strains obtained from an outbreak in schools, as well as from water systems in peri-urban areas, China, in 2020. In total, 28 B. cereus group isolates were retrieved, comprising 6 from stool samples and 22 from water samples. Epidemiological and phylogenetic investigations indicated that the B. paranthracis isolate from drinking water as the causative agent of the outbreak. The genomic comparison revealed a high degree of consistency among 8 outbreak-related strains in terms of antimicrobial resistance gene profiles, virulence gene profiles, genomic content, and multilocus sequence typing (MLST). The strains related to the outbreak show highly similar genomic ring diagrams and close phylogenetic relationships. Additionally, this study shed light on the pathogenic potential and complexity of B. cereus group through its diversity in virulence genes and mice infection model. The findings highlight the usefulness of B. paranthracis genomes in understanding genetic diversity within specific environments and in tracing the source of pathogens during outbreak situations, thereby enabling targeted infection control interventions.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Genoma Bacteriano , Filogenia , China/epidemiología , Animales , Humanos , Ratones , Virulencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infecciones por Bacterias Grampositivas/epidemiología , Infecciones por Bacterias Grampositivas/microbiología , Bacillus/genética , Bacillus/aislamiento & purificación , Bacillus/clasificación , Bacillus/patogenicidad , Tipificación de Secuencias Multilocus , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/microbiología , Masculino , Factores de Virulencia/genética , Bacillus cereus/genética , Bacillus cereus/aislamiento & purificación , Bacillus cereus/patogenicidad , Bacillus cereus/clasificación , Femenino , Genómica , Microbiología del Agua
9.
JAMA ; 331(15): 1318-1319, 2024 04 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38506835

RESUMEN

This JAMA Insights in the Climate Change and Health series discusses the importance of clinicians having awareness of changes in the geographic range, seasonality, and intensity of transmission of infectious diseases to help them diagnose, treat, and prevent these diseases.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Procesos Climáticos , Clima Extremo , Incendios Forestales , Gases de Efecto Invernadero/efectos adversos , Combustibles Fósiles/efectos adversos , Vectores de Enfermedades , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Micosis/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Educación Médica , Política Pública
10.
Int J Environ Health Res ; 34(9): 3299-3316, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38195067

RESUMEN

Climate change affects the spread of waterborne infectious diseases, yet research on vulnerability to outbreaks remains limited. This integrative review examines how climate variables (temperature and precipitation) relate to human vulnerability factors in Pakistan. By 2060, mean temperatures are projected to rise from 21.68°C (2021) to 30°C, with relatively stable precipitation. The epidemiological investigation in Pakistan identified Diarrhea (119,000 cases/year), Malaria (2.6 million cases/year), and Hepatitis (A and E) as the most prevalent infections. This research highlighted vulnerability factors, including poverty (52% of the population), illiteracy (59% of the population), limited healthcare accessibility (55% of the population), malnutrition (38% of the population), dietary challenges (48% of the population), as well as exposure to water pollution (80% of the population) and air pollution (55% of the population). The findings suggest that the coordinated strategies are vital across health, environmental, meteorological, and social sectors, considering climatic variability patterns and population vulnerability determinants.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Pakistán/epidemiología , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Clima
12.
Curr Microbiol ; 80(12): 400, 2023 Nov 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37930488

RESUMEN

Water plays a vital role as a natural resource since life is unsustainable without it. If water is polluted or contaminated, it results in several health issues among people. Millions of people are infected with waterborne diseases globally, and India is no exception. In the present review, we have analyzed the outbreaks of waterborne diseases that occurred in several Indian states between 2014 and 2020, identified the key infections, and provided insights into the performance of sanitation improvement programs. We noted that acute diarrheal disease (ADD), typhoid, cholera, hepatitis, and shigellosis are common waterborne diseases in India. These diseases have caused about 11,728 deaths between 2014 and 2018 out of which 10,738 deaths occurred only after 2017. The outbreaks of these diseases have been rising because of a lack of adequate sanitation, poor hygiene, and the absence of proper disposal systems. Despite various efforts by the government such as awareness campaigns, guidance on diet for infected individuals, and sanitation improvement programs, the situation is still grim. Disease hotspots and risk factors must be identified, water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services must be improved, and ongoing policies must be effectively implemented to improve the situation. The efforts must be customized to the local environment. In addition, the possible effects of climate change must be projected, and strategies must be accordingly optimized.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , India/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Factores de Riesgo , Agua
13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(8): 1548-1558, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37486189

RESUMEN

In the United States, tropical cyclones cause destructive flooding that can lead to adverse health outcomes. Storm-driven flooding contaminates environmental, recreational, and drinking water sources, but few studies have examined effects on specific infections over time. We used 23 years of exposure and case data to assess the effects of tropical cyclones on 6 waterborne diseases in a conditional quasi-Poisson model. We separately defined storm exposure for windspeed, rainfall, and proximity to the storm track. Exposure to storm-related rainfall was associated with a 48% (95% CI 27%-69%) increase in Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli infections 1 week after storms and a 42% (95% CI 22%-62%) in increase Legionnaires' disease 2 weeks after storms. Cryptosporidiosis cases increased 52% (95% CI 42%-62%) during storm weeks but declined over ensuing weeks. Cyclones are a risk to public health that will likely become more serious with climate change and aging water infrastructure systems.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Criptosporidiosis , Tormentas Ciclónicas , Enfermedad de los Legionarios , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología
14.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(7): 864, 2023 Jun 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37338629

RESUMEN

Water remains a significant player in spreading pathogens, including those associated with neglected tropical diseases. The implications of socio-demographic delineations of water quality, sanitation, and hygiene ("WASH") interventions are on the downswing. This study assessed waterborne diseases and perceived associated WASH factors in the Bushenyi and Sheema districts of South-Western Uganda. This study examines the linear relationship between WASH and identifies the association of specific demographic factors as well as their contributions/correlations to waterborne disease in the study area. A structured qualitative and quantitative data collection approach was adopted in face-to-face questionnaire-guided interviews of 200 respondents on eight surface water usage. Most participants, 65.5%, were females and had a higher score of knowledge of WASH (71%), 68% score on the improper practice of WASH, and 64% score on unsafe water quality. Low score for basic economic status was (57%), report of common diarrhoea was (47%), and a low incidence of waterborne disease outbreaks (27%). The principal component analysis (PCA) depicts the knowledge and practice of WASH to have a strong positive correlation (r = 0.84, p < 0.001; r = 0.82, p < 0.001); also economic status positively correlated with grade of water source, knowledge, and practice of WASH (correlation coefficient = 0.72; 0.99; 0.76 and p-values = 0.001; < 0.001; < 0.001 respectively). Occupation (p = 0.0001, OR = 6.798) was significantly associated with knowledge and practice of WASH, while age (r = -0.21, p < 0.001) was negatively associated with knowledge and practice of WASH. The basic economic status explains why "low economic population groups" in the remote villages may not effectively implement WASH, and diarrhoea was common among the population. Diarrhoea associated with unsafe water quality and improper practice of WASH is common among the study population, and there is a low incidence of waterborne disease outbreaks. Therefore, government, stakeholders, and non-governmental organisations should work together to promote proper practice of WASH conditions to limit the occurrence of diarrhoea and prevent potential waterborne disease outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Abastecimiento de Agua , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Uganda/epidemiología , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Diarrea/epidemiología , Demografía
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(7): 1357-1366, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37347505

RESUMEN

More than 7.15 million cases of domestically acquired infectious waterborne illnesses occurred in the United States in 2014, causing 120,000 hospitalizations and 6,600 deaths. We estimated disease incidence for 17 pathogens according to recreational, drinking, and nonrecreational nondrinking (NRND) water exposure routes by using previously published estimates. In 2014, a total of 5.61 million (95% credible interval [CrI] 2.97-9.00 million) illnesses were linked to recreational water, 1.13 million (95% CrI 255,000-3.54 million) to drinking water, and 407,000 (95% CrI 72,800-1.29 million) to NRND water. Recreational water exposure was responsible for 36%, drinking water for 40%, and NRND water for 24% of hospitalizations from waterborne illnesses. Most direct costs were associated with pathogens found in biofilms. Estimating disease burden by water exposure route helps direct prevention activities. For each exposure route, water management programs are needed to control biofilm-associated pathogen growth; public health programs are needed to prevent biofilm-associated diseases.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Agua Potable , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Abastecimiento de Agua , Microbiología del Agua
16.
J Hosp Infect ; 138: 60-73, 2023 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37290689

RESUMEN

Bone marrow transplant and haemato-oncology patients are at risk of healthcare-associated infections due to waterborne pathogens. We undertook a narrative review of waterborne outbreaks in haemato-oncology patients from 2000 to 2022. Databases searched included PubMed, DARE and CDSR, and were undertaken by two authors. We analysed the organisms implicated, sources identified and infection prevention and control strategies implemented. The most commonly implicated pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa, non-tuberculous mycobacteria and Legionella pneumophila. Bloodstream infection was the most common clinical presentation. The majority of incidents employed multi-modal strategies to achieve control, addressing both the water source and routes of transmission. This review highlights the risk to haemato-oncology patients from waterborne pathogens and discusses future preventative strategies and the requirement for new UK guidance for haemato-oncology units.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Instituciones de Salud , Brotes de Enfermedades , Abastecimiento de Agua , Microbiología del Agua
17.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 26: e230010, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés, Portugués | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36722666

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To describe, within the Human Rights to Water and Sanitation (HRWS) framework, the access to water supply services and the incidence of waterborne diseases in the communities affected by the dam disaster in Brumadinho (MG), Brazil. METHODS: A quantitative and qualitative methodology was used, having as variables information on access to water supply services and waterborne diseases. The primary data were extracted from the "Brumadinho Health Project", using a sample stratum with 981 people interviewed, totaling 92.5% of the eligible population in the affected communities of Córrego do Feijão and Parque da Cachoeira. The secondary data from Brumadinho was extracted from the project "Sanitation conditions and the River Basin of the B1 River Basin of Mineradora Vale between 2017 and 2020", available in public databases between 2017 and 2020, and qualitative data was collected in 2022 through individual interviews with health professional also live in the communities. RESULTS: With regard to access to water supply services, the results of this combined data analysis indicate that the HRWS is being neglected, especially with regard to availability, accessibility, acceptability and quality of water. The study also shows a significant increase in the incidence of waterborne diseases in the region after the disaster. CONCLUSION: It is necessary to use the HRWS as the basis to the implementation of public policies aiming to reduce vulnerability in access to water supply services.


Asunto(s)
Colapso de la Estructura , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Incidencia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Agua
18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36850065

RESUMEN

Introduction: Pathogens can enter the drinking water supply and cause gastroenteritis outbreaks. Such events can affect many people in a short time, making them a high risk for public health. In Australia, the Victoria State Government Department of Health is deploying a syndromic surveillance system for drinking water contamination events. We assessed the utility of segmented regression models for detecting such events and determined the number of excess presentations needed for such methods to signal a detection. Methods: The study involved an interrupted time series study of a past lapse in water treatment. The baseline period comprised the four weeks before the minimum incubation period of suspected pathogens, set at two days post-event. The surveillance period comprised the week after. We used segmented linear regression to compare the count of gastroenteritis presentations to public hospital emergency departments (EDs) between the surveillance and baseline periods. We then simulated events resulting in varying excess presentations. These were superimposed onto the ED data over fifty different dates across 2020. Using the same regression, we calculated the detection probability at p < 0.05 for each outbreak size. Results: In the retrospective analysis, there was strong evidence for an increase in presentations shortly after the event. In the simulations, with no excess presentations (i.e., with the ED data as is) the models signalled 8% probability of detection. The models returned 50% probability of detection with 28 excess presentations and 100% probability of detection with 78 excess presentations. Conclusions: The transient increase in presentations after the event may be attributed to microbiological hazards or increased health-seeking behaviour following the issuing of boil water advisories. The simulations demonstrated the ability for segmented regressions to signal a detection, even without a large excess in presentations. The approach also demonstrated high specificity and should be considered for informing Victoria's syndromic surveillance system.


Asunto(s)
Agua Potable , Gastroenteritis , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vigilancia de Guardia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Análisis de Regresión , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Victoria/epidemiología
19.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 23(1): 11, 2023 01 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36653779

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Water quality has been compromised and endangered by different contaminants due to Pakistan's rapid population development, which has resulted in a dramatic rise in waterborne infections and afflicted many regions of Pakistan. Because of this, modeling and predicting waterborne diseases has become a hot topic for researchers and is very important for controlling waterborne disease pollution. METHODS: In our study, first, we collected typhoid and malaria patient data for the years 2017-2020 from Ayub Medical Hospital. The collected data set has seven important input features. In the current study, different ML models were first trained and tested on the current study dataset using the tenfold cross-validation method. Second, we investigated the importance of input features in waterborne disease-positive case detection. The experiment results showed that Random Forest correctly predicted malaria-positive cases 60% of the time and typhoid-positive cases 77% of the time, which is better than other machine-learning models. In this research, we have also investigated the input features that are more important in the prediction and will help analyze positive cases of waterborne disease. The random forest feature selection technique has been used, and experimental results have shown that age, history, and test results play an important role in predicting waterborne disease-positive cases. In the end, we concluded that this interesting study could help health departments in different areas reduce the number of people who get sick from the water.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Tifoidea , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Fiebre Tifoidea/diagnóstico , Fiebre Tifoidea/epidemiología , Aprendizaje Automático
20.
Health Promot Int ; 37(3)2022 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35853153

RESUMEN

Treated recreational water facilities, including swimming pools and water play parks, have often been implicated in infectious disease outbreaks. Addressing this problem is complex due to the multiple and interrelated factors contributing to outbreaks in these settings. These factors may relate to inappropriate behaviours of users and operators, lack of and inconsistent regulation of these facilities, insufficient facility maintenance, and problems associated with the design of these facilities. Given the complexity of this issue, we argue that the Socio-Ecological Model (SEM) provides a useful framework to help identify the multi-level influences and factors that have implications for designing interventions to prevent this public health problem, whilst assisting in guiding future research in this area. We apply the SEM to the current literature to help identify the influences and factors contributing to infectious disease outbreaks in treated recreational water facilities to support this argument. We also identify several gaps in the existing research that would benefit from further examination to help prevent infectious disease outbreaks in treated recreational water facilities such as public swimming pools and water play parks.


Asunto(s)
Agua , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Microbiología del Agua , Contaminación del Agua , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por el Agua/prevención & control
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