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1.
Small ; 19(25): e2208249, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36929641

RESUMEN

Confirming bacterial infection at an early stage and distinguishing between sterile inflammation and bacterial infection is still highly needed for efficient treatment. Here, in situ highly sensitive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) bacterial infection in vivo based on a peptide-modified magnetic resonance tuning (MRET) probe (MPD-1) that responds to matrix metallopeptidase 2 (MMP-2) highly expressed in bacteria-infected microenvironments is achieved. MPD-1 is an assembly of magnetic nanoparticle (MNP) bearing with gadolinium ion (Gd3+ ) modified MMP-2-cleavable self-assembled peptide (P1 ) and bacteria-targeting peptide (P), and it shows T2 -weighted signal due to the assemble of MNP and MRET ON phenomenon between MNP assembly and Gd3+ . Once MPD-1 accumulates at the bacterially infected site, P1 included in MPD-1 is cleaved explicitly by MMP-2, which triggers the T2 contrast agent of MPD-1 to disassemble into the monomer of MNP, leading the recovery of T1 -weighted signal. Simultaneously, Gd3+ detaches from MNP, further enhancing the T1 -weighted signal due to MRET OFF. The sensitive MRI of Staphylococcus aureus (low to 104 CFU) at the myositis site and accurate differentiation between sterile inflammation and bacterial infection based on the proposed MPD-1 probe suggests that this novel probe would be a promising candidate for efficiently detecting bacterial infection in vivo.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Bacterianas , Infectología , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Infecciones Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/instrumentación , Infectología/instrumentación , Infectología/métodos , Metaloproteinasa 2 de la Matriz/análisis , Metaloproteinasa 2 de la Matriz/metabolismo , Nanopartículas del Metal/química , Gadolinio/química , Péptidos/química , Sondas Moleculares/química , Sondas Moleculares/metabolismo , Sondas Moleculares/normas , Animales , Ratones , Células RAW 264.7 , Staphylococcus aureus/aislamiento & purificación , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/diagnóstico
2.
PLoS One ; 16(11): e0259257, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34739498

RESUMEN

Protective behaviors such as mask wearing and physical distancing are critical to slow the spread of COVID-19, even in the context of vaccine scale-up. Understanding the variation in self-reported COVID-19 protective behaviors is critical to developing public health messaging. The purpose of the study is to provide nationally representative estimates of five self-reported COVID-19 protective behaviors and correlates of such behaviors. In this cross-sectional survey study of US adults, surveys were administered via internet and telephone. Adults were surveyed from April 30-May 4, 2020, a time of peaking COVID-19 incidence within the US. Participants were recruited from the probability-based AmeriSpeak® national panel. Brief surveys were completed by 994 adults, with 73.0% of respondents reported mask wearing, 82.7% reported physical distancing, 75.1% reported crowd avoidance, 89.8% reported increased hand-washing, and 7.7% reported having prior COVID-19 testing. Multivariate analysis (p critical value .05) indicates that women were more likely to report protective behaviors than men, as were those over age 60. Respondents who self-identified as having low incomes, histories of criminal justice involvement, and Republican Party affiliation, were less likely to report four protective behaviors, though Republicans and individuals with criminal justice histories were more likely to report having received COVID-19 testing. The majority of Americans engaged in COVID-19 protective behaviors, with low-income Americans, those with histories of criminal justice involvement, and self-identified Republicans less likely to engage in these preventive behaviors. Culturally competent public health messaging and interventions might focus on these latter groups to prevent future infections. These findings will remain highly relevant even with vaccines widely available, given the complementarities between vaccines and protective behaviors, as well as the many challenges in delivering vaccines.


Asunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19 , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Desinfección de las Manos , Máscaras , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Geografía , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Humanos , Infectología/métodos , Internet , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Pobreza , Probabilidad , SARS-CoV-2 , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
3.
J Prev Med Public Health ; 54(1): 1-7, 2021 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33618493

RESUMEN

The Korean government's strategy to combat coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as social distancing and wearing masks, along with testing, tracing, and treatment; overall, its performance has been relatively good compared to that of many other countries heavily affected by COVID-19. However, little attention has been paid to health equity in measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The study aimed to examine the unequal impacts of COVID-19 across socioeconomic groups and to suggest potential solutions to tackle these inequalities. The pathways linking social determinants and health could be entry points to tackle the unequal consequences of this public health emergency. It is crucial for infectious disease policy to consider social determinants of health including poor housing, precarious working conditions, disrupted healthcare services, and suspension of social services. Moreover, the high levels of uncertainty and complexity inherent in this public health emergency, as well as the health and socioeconomic inequalities caused by the pandemic, underscore the need for good governance other than top-down measures by the government. We emphasize that a people-centered perspective is a key approach during the pandemic era. Mutual trust between the state and civil society, strong accountability of the government, and civic participation are essential components of cooperative disaster governance.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/prevención & control , Equidad en Salud/normas , Política de Salud , Infectología/legislación & jurisprudencia , COVID-19/fisiopatología , Programas de Gobierno/legislación & jurisprudencia , Programas de Gobierno/métodos , Equidad en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Infectología/métodos , Infectología/tendencias , Pandemias/prevención & control , Pandemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Salud Pública/legislación & jurisprudencia , Salud Pública/métodos , Salud Pública/tendencias , República de Corea
4.
Adv Skin Wound Care ; 34(4): 210-213, 2021 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33230022

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A joint infectious disease-podiatry clinic (JIDPC) in which an infectious diseases physician and a podiatrist see patients with diabetic foot infections together once a week was initiated in January 2017. This study was designed to investigate if the JIDPC can improve patient adherence and reduce recurrent infections. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients with diabetic foot infection admitted to Wheeling Hospital from March 2013 to December 2018 was performed. Initially, the patients were followed by infectious diseases and podiatry in their clinics separately (preintervention group). Beginning January 2017, they were followed together at the JIDPC (postintervention group). Recurrent infection, mortality, and loss to follow-up were compared using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Surgeries were performed in 52.5% of preintervention group participants (n = 99) and 81.9% of postintervention group participants (n = 55; P < .001). The preintervention group was more likely to be lost to follow-up (30.3% vs 9.1%; odds ratio [OR], 4.35 [confidence interval (CI), 1.58-11.99]), but the association was attenuated with further adjustment for surgery (OR 3.35 [CI, 1.17-9.62]). The risk of infection recurrence in 6 months was significantly higher in the preintervention group (36.1% vs 20.8%; OR, 2.16 [CI, 0.99-4.71]), but with further adjustment for surgery, this was not significant (P = .067; OR, 2.17 [CI, 0.95-4.94]). Mortality and 90-day readmission were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of JIDPCs may decrease the incidence of recurrent infections among patients with diabetic foot infections.


Asunto(s)
Atención Ambulatoria/normas , Conducta Cooperativa , Infectología/métodos , Podiatría/métodos , Anciano , Atención Ambulatoria/métodos , Atención Ambulatoria/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Pie/fisiopatología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Cumplimiento y Adherencia al Tratamiento/psicología , Cumplimiento y Adherencia al Tratamiento/estadística & datos numéricos , Resultado del Tratamiento , West Virginia
6.
Palliat Med ; 34(9): 1220-1227, 2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32736486

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hospital palliative care is an essential part of the COVID-19 response, but relevant data are lacking. The recent literature underscores the need to implement protocols for symptom control and the training of non-specialists by palliative care teams. AIM: The aim of the study was to describe a palliative care unit's consultation and assistance intervention at the request of an Infectious Diseases Unit during the COVID-19 pandemic, determining what changes needed to be made in delivering palliative care. DESIGN: This is a single holistic case study design using data triangulation, for example, audio recordings of team meetings and field notes. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: This study was conducted in the Palliative Care Unit of the AUSL-IRCCS hospital of Reggio Emilia, which has no designated beds, consulting with the Infectious Diseases Unit of the same hospital. RESULTS: A total of 9 physicians and 22 nurses of the Infectious Diseases Unit and two physicians of the Palliative Care Unit participated in the study.Our Palliative Care Unit developed a feasible 18-day multicomponent consultation intervention. Three macro themes were identified: (1) new answers to new needs, (2) symptom relief and decision-making process, and (3) educational and training issues. CONCLUSION: From the perspective of palliative care, some changes in usual care needed to be made. These included breaking bad news, patients' use of communication devices, the limited time available for the delivery of care, managing death necessarily only inside the hospital, and relationships with families.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/terapia , Personal de Salud/educación , Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida/educación , Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida/normas , Infectología/educación , Infectología/normas , Neumonía Viral/terapia , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Adulto , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Femenino , Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida/métodos , Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Infectología/métodos , Infectología/estadística & datos numéricos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pandemias , Investigación Cualitativa , SARS-CoV-2
7.
J Mycol Med ; 30(3): 101007, 2020 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32718789

RESUMEN

Mucormycosis are life-threatening fungal infections especially affecting immunocompromised or diabetic patients. Despite treatment, mortality remains high (from 32 to 70% according to organ involvement). This review provides an update on mucormycosis management. The latest recommendations strongly recommend as first-line therapy the use of liposomal amphotericin B (≥5mg/kg) combined with surgery whenever possible. Isavuconazole and intravenous or delayed-release tablet forms of posaconazole have remained second-line. Many molecules are currently in development to fight against invasive fungal diseases but few have demonstrated efficacy against Mucorales. Despite in vitro efficacy, combinations of treatment have failed to demonstrate superiority versus monotherapy. Adjuvant therapies are particularly complex to evaluate without prospective randomized controlled studies, which are complex to perform due to low incidence rate and high mortality of mucormycosis. Perspectives are nonetheless encouraging. New approaches assessing relationships between host, fungi, and antifungal drugs, and new routes of administration such as aerosols could improve mucormycosis treatment.


Asunto(s)
Infectología/normas , Infectología/tendencias , Mucormicosis/terapia , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Anfotericina B/uso terapéutico , Antifúngicos/uso terapéutico , Terapia Combinada/métodos , Terapia Combinada/normas , Terapia Combinada/tendencias , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/microbiología , Humanos , Huésped Inmunocomprometido , Infectología/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/normas , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/tendencias , Terapias en Investigación/métodos , Terapias en Investigación/tendencias
8.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 16(7): e1008009, 2020 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32628659

RESUMEN

Transmission of infectious diseases between immobile hosts (e.g., plants, farms) is strongly dependent on the spatial distribution of hosts and the distance-dependent probability of transmission. As the interplay between these factors is poorly understood, we use spatial process and transmission modelling to investigate how epidemic size is shaped by host clustering and spatial range of transmission. We find that for a given degree of clustering and individual-level infectivity, the probability that an epidemic occurs after an introduction is generally higher if transmission is predominantly local. However, local transmission also impedes transfer of the infection to new clusters. A consequence is that the total number of infections is maximal if the range of transmission is intermediate. In highly clustered populations, the infection dynamics is strongly determined by the probability of transmission between clusters of hosts, whereby local clusters act as multiplier of infection. We show that in such populations, a metapopulation model sometimes provides a good approximation of the total epidemic size, using probabilities of local extinction, the final size of infections in local clusters, and probabilities of cluster-to-cluster transmission. As a real-world example we analyse the case of avian influenza transmission between poultry farms in the Netherlands.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Infectología/tendencias , Algoritmos , Crianza de Animales Domésticos , Animales , Análisis por Conglomerados , Granjas , Infectología/métodos , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Modelos Biológicos , Países Bajos , Distribución Normal , Dinámica Poblacional , Aves de Corral , Probabilidad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Riesgo
9.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 16(7): e1008035, 2020 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32673307

RESUMEN

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and analyze it. A key role has also been played by the latest advances in new disciplines like network science. Nonetheless, current models still lack a faithful representation of all possible heterogeneities and features that can be extracted from data. Here, we bridge a current gap in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases and develop a framework that allows to account simultaneously for both the connectivity of individuals and the age-structure of the population. We compare different scenarios, namely, i) the homogeneous mixing setting, ii) one in which only the social mixing is taken into account, iii) a setting that considers the connectivity of individuals alone, and finally, iv) a multilayer representation in which both the social mixing and the number of contacts are included in the model. We analytically show that the thresholds obtained for these four scenarios are different. In addition, we conduct extensive numerical simulations and conclude that heterogeneities in the contact network are important for a proper determination of the epidemic threshold, whereas the age-structure plays a bigger role beyond the onset of the outbreak. Altogether, when it comes to evaluate interventions such as vaccination, both sources of individual heterogeneity are important and should be concurrently considered. Our results also provide an indication of the errors incurred in situations in which one cannot access all needed information in terms of connectivity and age of the population.


Asunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Infectología/métodos , Factores de Edad , Algoritmos , Número Básico de Reproducción , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Recolección de Datos , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Epidemias , Europa (Continente) , Humanos , Italia , Modelos Estadísticos , Probabilidad , Vacunación
10.
Am J Epidemiol ; 189(11): 1402-1407, 2020 11 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32415834

RESUMEN

In the test-negative design, routine testing at health-care facilities is leveraged to estimate the effectiveness of an intervention such as a vaccine. The odds of vaccination for individuals who test positive for a target pathogen is compared with the odds of vaccination for individuals who test negative for that pathogen, adjusting for key confounders. The design is rapidly growing in popularity, but many open questions remain about its properties. In this paper, we examine temporal confounding by generalizing derivations to allow for time-varying vaccine status, including out-of-season controls, and open populations. We confirm that calendar time is an important confounder when vaccine status varies during the study. We demonstrate that, where time is not a confounder, including out-of-season controls can improve precision. We generalize these results to open populations. We use our theoretical findings to interpret 3 recent papers utilizing the test-negative design. Through careful examination of the theoretical properties of this study design, we provide key insights that can directly inform the implementation and analysis of future test-negative studies.


Asunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Infectología/métodos , Factores de Tiempo , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Confusión Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Proyectos de Investigación , Estaciones del Año
11.
Mycoses ; 63(6): 566-572, 2020 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32181546

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Difficult-to-treat invasive fungal infections require infectious diseases expert consultation to improve treatment outcome and increase survival rates. METHODS: The European Confederation of Medical Mycology (ECMM) intends to provide expert help free of charge by a newly founded ECMM Expert Consultation Service for medical centres around the globe seeking advice when there is no fungal infection consultant available. The expert consult will provide recommendations and broad expertise on difficult-to-treat invasive fungal infections (eg azole-resistant Aspergillus species, Candida auris, mucormycosis) to improve diagnostic and therapeutic management and outcome. RESULTS: The initiative plans global outreach through video conferencing between ECMM Excellence Centers and treating physicians. FungiScope® registries will be used to structure case information and to evaluate the impact of the collegial advice system at regular intervals. Advice will follow recent guidelines, and EQUAL Scores will be used to measure guideline adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Infectious diseases expert consultation should be an integral component of care for patients with difficult-to-treat invasive fungal infections. The ECMM Expert Consult will attend to this matter on a global scale.


Asunto(s)
Antifúngicos/uso terapéutico , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Infecciones Fúngicas Invasoras/tratamiento farmacológico , Micología/organización & administración , Micosis/tratamiento farmacológico , Derivación y Consulta/organización & administración , Sistema de Registros , Europa (Continente) , Adhesión a Directriz , Humanos , Infectología/métodos , Infectología/organización & administración , Micología/métodos , Micosis/microbiología , Resultado del Tratamiento
12.
Med Mal Infect ; 50(4): 323-331, 2020 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31326299

RESUMEN

Antibiotic prescription in chronic kidney disease patients poses a twofold problem. The appropriate use of antibacterial agents is essential to ensure efficacy and to prevent the emergence of resistance, and dosages should be adapted to the renal function to prevent adverse effects. SiteGPR is a French website for health professionals to help with prescriptions to chronic kidney disease patients. A working group of infectious disease specialists and nephrology pharmacists reviewed the indications, dosing regimens, administration modalities, and dose adjustments of antibiotics marketed in France for patients with renal failure. Data available on the SiteGPR website and detailed in the present article aims to provide an evidence-based update of infectious disease recommendations to health professionals managing patients with chronic kidney disease.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos/administración & dosificación , Infectología/métodos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/metabolismo , Antibacterianos/efectos adversos , Antibacterianos/farmacocinética , Biotransformación , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Monitoreo de Drogas , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia , Humanos , Huésped Inmunocomprometido , Riñón/efectos de los fármacos , Riñón/metabolismo , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Medicamentos bajo Prescripción
13.
Mil Med ; 184(Suppl 2): 66-70, 2019 11 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31778195

RESUMEN

The role of physicians in the U.S. Armed Forces is diverse, encompassing a wide array of skills and responsibilities to provide superior healthcare to their patients and to advance military medicine. In addition to healthcare delivery and medical education, military physicians are engaged in public health, operational medicine, and cutting-edge medical research. Thus, clinical research is a crucial component of Graduate Medical Education (GME) and supports critical thinking (knowledge, skills, and abilities) and the development of leadership skills among U.S. military physicians. The Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program (IDCRP) education mission was established in 2005 with the overall goal of supporting the development and training of the next generation of clinical researchers in infectious diseases and related public health disciplines in the Armed Forces using several strategies, including didactic learning, mentored research, and research engagement. Through involvement in the IDCRP, infectious disease fellows, residents (e.g., surgical, internal medicine, and pediatrics), and Master of Public Health (MPH) students have continued their education and gained valuable skills related to clinical research. Trainees either conduct research with IDCRP mentors or participate in IDCRP-led practicum experiences, with research projects ranging from epidemiologic studies to microbiological assessments. Consistent with the needs of the Military Health System (MHS), and in accordance with Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education goals, the IDCRP provides opportunities for medical and graduate students, residents, and infectious disease fellows to conduct mentored research within the MHS, as well as gain important leadership skills in the conduct of clinical research. Overall, IDCRP continues to further infectious disease research through the support and education of the next generation of active-duty infectious disease researchers in the MHS.


Asunto(s)
Infectología/métodos , Investigación/tendencias , Humanos , Infectología/instrumentación , Aprendizaje , Tutoría , Desarrollo de Programa/métodos , Investigación/organización & administración
17.
Math Biosci Eng ; 16(4): 2266-2276, 2019 03 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31137211

RESUMEN

In this paper, based on the data of the incidence of schistosomiasis in China from January 2011 to May 2018 we establish SARIMA model and NARX model. These two models are used to predict the incidence of schistosomiasis in China from June 2018 to September 2018. By comparing the mean square error and the mean absolute error of two sets of predicted values, the results show that the NARX model is better and it has an e ective forecasting precision to incidence of schistosomiasis. Then according to the results, a mixed model called NARX-SARIMA model is used to predict the incidence future trends and make a comparison with the two model. The mixed model has a better application based on its good fitting capability.


Asunto(s)
Esquistosomiasis/epidemiología , Algoritmos , Animales , China/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Incidencia , Infectología/métodos , Modelos Teóricos , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Análisis de Regresión , Estaciones del Año
18.
Math Biosci Eng ; 16(4): 2549-2561, 2019 03 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31137227

RESUMEN

Preventing the infectious disease from breakout and maintaining public health have always been placed at the first place when making public healthy policy. When the epidemic trend of infectious disease arises, compulsory treatment is an efficient pattern to control the rapid spreading. A sliding mode is carried out to evaluate the effect of compulsory treatment in the infectious disease controlling. When the number of infected persons reach a certain level Ic, the policy of compulsory treatment will be carried out at rate f . We analyze the influence of the compulsory treatment rate f and threshold value Ic to commence the control. Finally we investigate the theorems and the existence of the optimality combination.


Asunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/terapia , Infectología/métodos , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Epidemias/prevención & control , Humanos , México , Salud Pública , Reino Unido , Estados Unidos
19.
Math Biosci Eng ; 16(4): 2562-2586, 2019 03 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31137228

RESUMEN

In this paper, we analyze the effect of environment noise on the transmission dynamics of a stochastic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection model with intervention strategies. By using the Markov semigroups theory, we define the stochastic basic reproduction number and find it can be used to govern disease extinction or persistence. When it is less than one, under a mild extra condition, the stochastic system has a disease-free equilibrium and the disease is predicted to die out with probability one. When it is greater than one, under mild extra conditions, the model admits a stationary distribution which means the persistence of the disease. Thus, we observe that larger intensity of noise (resulting in a smaller stochastic basic reproduction number) can suppress the emergence of hepatitis B outbreak. Numerical simulations are also carried out to investigate the influence of information intervention strategies that may change individual behavior and protect the susceptible from infection. Our analysis shows that the environmental noise can greatly a ect the long-term behavior of the system, highlighting the importance of the role of intervention strategies in the control of hepatitis B.


Asunto(s)
Número Básico de Reproducción , Virus de la Hepatitis B , Hepatitis B/epidemiología , Hepatitis B/prevención & control , Procesos Estocásticos , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Brotes de Enfermedades , Salud Global , Humanos , Infectología/métodos , Cadenas de Markov , Modelos Biológicos , Probabilidad
20.
Math Biosci Eng ; 16(4): 2587-2612, 2019 03 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31137229

RESUMEN

In this paper, we investigate a delayed HIV-1 infection model with immune response. Though a logistic growth is incorporated in the growth of the target cells, our focus is on the effect of delays on the infection dynamics. We first study the existence of steady states, which depends on the basic reproduction number R0. When R0≤1, there is only the infection-free steady state, which is globally asymptotically stable if R0 < 1when=""r0="" > 1, besides the unstable infection-free steady state, there is a unique infected steady state. We then study the local stability of the infected steady state and local Hopf bifurcation at it. The theoretical analysis indicates that the dynamics scenario is complicated. For example, there can be three sequences of critical values, stability switches and double Hopf bifurcation can occur. Some of the theoretical results are also illustrated with numerical simulations.


Asunto(s)
Número Básico de Reproducción , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , VIH-1/inmunología , Linfocitos T Citotóxicos/virología , Algoritmos , Linfocitos T CD4-Positivos/inmunología , Linfocitos T CD4-Positivos/virología , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Sistema Inmunológico , Infectología/métodos , Modelos Inmunológicos , Factores de Tiempo
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