Low handgrip strength with asymmetry is associated with elevated all-cause mortality risk in older Chinese adults with abdominal obesity.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Low handgrip strength (HGS) and abdominal obesity (AO) have been reported to be linked to an increased all-cause mortality risk in older adults. However, the combined impact of AO with low HGS and/or HGS asymmetry on mortality risk remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the synergistic effects of AO and abnormal HGS on mortality risk among Chinese older adults. METHODS: Baseline data of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011, along with mortality outcomes obtained in 2018 were used for the analysis. Low HGS was identified as HGS <18 kg in women or <28 kg in men, while HGS asymmetry is defined as an HGS of either hand > 10% stronger than the other. AO was characterized by a waist circumference ≥90 cm in men and ≥85 cm in women. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between AO, abnormal HGS and mortality risk. RESULTS: A total of 5186 subjects aged 60 years or older were enrolled, 50.6% of whom were male. The proportions of participants with only AO, only low HGS, only HGS asymmetry, low HGS with asymmetry, both AO and low HGS, both AO and asymmetric HGS, and AO with both low HGS and asymmetry were 20.0%, 6.1%, 16.6%, 8.3%, 3.2%, 13.4%, and 3.9%, respectively. Over the course of a 7-year follow-up interval, 970 of these individuals died, with 13.4%, 12.4%, 13.6%, 15.5%, 4.1%, 10.1% and 6.9% of deaths in the above groups, respectively. The adjusted logistic regression analysis model confirmed that only low HGS (OR = 1.897, 95%CI: 1.386-2.596, p<0.001), low HGS with asymmetry (OR = 1.680, 95%CI: 1.265-2.231, p<0.001), and AO combined with both low HGS and asymmetry (OR = 2.029, 95%CI: 1.381-2.981, p<0.001) were associated with a higher risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Low HGS, with or without asymmetry, is associated with increased mortality risk in older Chinese adults without AO, and the combination of low HGS and HGS asymmetry further elevates mortality risk in those with AO.

Fat tissue quantity, waist circumference or waist-to-hip ratio in patients with chronic kidney disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The BMI predicts mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population, while in patients with end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) a high BMI is associated with improved survival, a phenomenon referred to as the "obesity paradox". While BMI is easy to determine and helps to categorize patients, it does not differentiate between fat tissue, lean tissue and bone mass. As the BMI may be altered in CKD, e.g. by muscle wasting, we determined in this meta-analysis (i) the association of mortality with fat tissue quantity in CKD and (ii) the association of mortality with abdominal obesity (as measured by waist circumference (WC) or waist-to-hip ratio (WHR)) in CKD. We systematically reviewed databases for prospective or retrospective cohort studies. In eleven studies with 23,523 patients the association between mortality and high fat tissue quantity in CKD was calculated. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) for this association in the CKD group in the dialysis group 0.91 (CI 0.84- 0.98, p = 0.01) which is comparable to the HR for the association with BMI. The HR in patients without dialysis was 0.7 (95% CI 0.53- 0.93, p = 0.01), suggesting a better risk prediction of high fat tissue content with mortality as compared to higher BMI with mortality in patients with CKD without dialysis. Importantly, both BMI and fat tissue quantity in CKD are described by the "obesity paradox": the higher the fat tissue content or BMI, the lower the mortality risk. In thirteen studies with 55,175 patients the association between mortality and high WC or WHR in CKD (with or without dialysis) was calculated. We observed, that the HR in the WHR group was 1.31 (CI 1.08-1.58, p = 0.007), whereas the overall hazard ratio of both groups was 1.09 (CI 1.01-1.18, p = 0.03), indicating that a higher abdominal obesity as measured by WHR is associated with higher mortality in CKD. Our analysis suggests gender-specific differences, which need larger study numbers for validation. This meta-analysis confirms the obesity paradox in CKD using fat tissue quantity as measure and further shows that using abdominal obesity measurements in the routine in obese CKD patients might allow better risk assessment than using BMI or fat tissue quantity. Comparable to the overall population, here, the higher the WHR, the higher the mortality risk.

A body shape index (ABSI) but not body mass index (BMI) is associated with prostate cancer-specific mortality: Evidence from the US NHANES database.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PCa) is a common malignancy in males and obesity may play a role in its development and progression. Associations between visceral obesity measured by a body shape index (ABSI) and PCa mortality have not been thoroughly investigated. This study assessed the associations between ABSI, body mass index (BMI), and long-term PCa-specific mortality using a nationally representative US database. METHODS: This population-based longitudinal study collected data of males aged ≥40 years diagnosed with PCa and who underwent surgery and/or radiation from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database 2001-2010. All included participants were followed through the end of 2019 using the National Center for Health Statistics Linked Mortality File. Associations between PCa-specific mortality, BMI, and ABSI were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Data of 294 men (representing 1,393,857 US nationals) were analyzed. After adjusting for confounders, no significant associations were found between BMI (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.97-1.16, p = 0.222), continuous ABSI (aHR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.83-2.02, p = 0.253), or ABSI in category (Q4 vs. Q1-Q3: aHR = 1.52, 95% CI: 0.72-3.24, p = 0.265), and greater risk of PCa-specific mortality. However, among participants who had been diagnosed within 4 years, the highest ABSI quartile but not in BMI was significantly associated with greater risk for PCa-specific mortality (Q4 vs. Q1-Q3: aHR = 5.34, 95% CI: 2.26-12.62, p = 0.001). In ROC analysis for this subgroup, the area under the curve of ABSI alone for predicting PCa-specific mortality was 0.638 (95% CI: 0.448-0.828), reaching 0.729 (95% CI: 0.490-0.968 when combined with other covariates. CONCLUSIONS: In US males with PCa diagnosed within 4 years, high ABSI but not BMI is independently associated with increased PCa-specific mortality.

General or Central Obesity and Mortality Among US Hispanic and Latino Adults.

Importance: The Hispanic and Latino population is the second largest ethnic group in the US, but associations of obesity parameters with mortality in this population remain unclear. Objective: To investigate the associations of general and central obesity with mortality among US Hispanic and Latino adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos is an ongoing, multicenter, population-based cohort study with a multistage probability sampling method performed in Hispanic and Latino adults aged 18 to 74 years with a baseline between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2011. Active follow-up for this analyses extended from baseline through February 17, 2022. All analyses accounted for complex survey design (ie, stratification and clustering) and sampling weights to generate estimates representing the noninstitutionalized, 18- to 74-year-old Hispanic or Latino populations from selected communities. Exposures: Body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared), body fat percentage, waist circumference (WC), and waist to hip ratio (WHR). Main Outcome and Measure: Deaths were ascertained via death certificates, the National Death Index, and active follow-up. Results: Of 15 773 adults (mean [SE] age, 40.9 [0.3] years; 52.8% female), 686 deaths occurred during a median (IQR) follow-up of 10.0 (9.9-10.2) years. When adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and family history covariates, hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality were 1.55 (95% CI, 1.08-2.22) for a BMI of 35.0 or greater vs 18.5 to 24.9, 1.22 (95% CI, 0.92-1.64) for the highest vs lowest body fat percentage groups (defined according to sex-, age-, and Hispanic or Latino background-specific BMI distribution), 1.35 (95% CI, 0.98-1.85) for WC greater than 102 cm (men) or 88 cm (women) vs 94 cm (men) or 80 cm (women) or less, and 1.91 (95% CI, 1.28-2.86) for WHR of 0.90 (men) or 0.85 (women) or greater vs less than 0.90 (men) or 0.85 (women). Only WHR was associated with mortality with additional adjustment for major comorbidities (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.17-2.62). The association of WHR with mortality was stronger among women compared with men (P = .03 for interaction), and the association between BMI and mortality was stronger among men (P = .02 for interaction). The positive association between severe obesity (BMI ≥ 35.0) and mortality was observed only among adults with WHR of 0.90 (men) or 0.85 (women) or greater but not among those with WHR below 0.90 (men) or 0.85 (women) (P = .005 for interaction) who had greater hip circumference. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort of US Hispanic and Latino adults, WHR was independently associated with higher all-cause mortality regardless of BMI and prevalent comorbidities. These findings suggest that prioritizing clinical screening and intervention for WHR in this population may be an important public health strategy, with sex-specific strategies potentially being needed.

Association between dairy protein and body composition in middle-aged and older women: A community-based, 12-year, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Changes in body composition during aging include decreased muscle mass and increased fat mass. Women with low muscle mass with abdominal obesity (LMAO), in particular, could be at higher risk of morbidities and mortality than those with either sarcopenia or obesity alone. Dairy products, which contain whey protein and all essential amino acids, could have a beneficial role in preserving muscle mass and reducing obesity. We aimed to analyze the association between dairy protein and the development of LMAO in women using a large-scale, community-based prospective cohort. METHODS: Our analysis included 4251 women from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. Participants were categorized into three groups by the tertile of dairy protein intake, which was assessed using a semi-quantitative 103-food item food frequency questionnaire. Appendicular skeletal muscle mass was estimated using the anthropometric equation. Low muscle mass (LM) was defined as a muscle mass of less than 15 kg in women. Abdominal obesity (AO) was defined as a weight to height ratio of 0.58 or greater. LMAO was defined as LM in combination with AO. Multiple Cox hazard regression analysis was conducted to examine associations between dairy protein intake and incident LMAO. RESULTS: During follow-up (mean, 9.6 years), 280 women newly developed LMAO. According to Cox proportional regression models, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for incident LMAO in the middle and highest tertiles were 0.89 (0.74-1.06) and 0.71 (0.59-0.86), compared with lowest tertile, after adjusting for confounding variables. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that high dairy protein intake is inversely related with LMAO development in Korean women. Dairy protein intake could be effective in preventing incident LMAO.

The impact of central obesity on the risk of hospitalization or death due to heart failure in type 1 diabetes: a 16-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and type 2 diabetes are well-known risk factors for heart failure (HF). Although obesity has increased in type 1 diabetes, studies regarding HF in this population are scarce. Therefore, we investigated the impact of body fat distribution on the risk of HF hospitalization or death in adults with type 1 diabetes at different stages of diabetic nephropathy (DN). METHODS: From 5401 adults with type 1 diabetes in the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study, 4668 were included in this analysis. The outcome was HF hospitalization or death identified from the Finnish Care Register for Health Care or the Causes of Death Register until the end of 2017. DN was based on urinary albumin excretion rate. A body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2 defined general obesity, whilst WHtR ≥ 0.5 central obesity. Multivariable Cox regression was used to explore the associations between central obesity, general obesity and the outcome. Then, subgroup analyses were performed by DN stages. Z statistic was used for ranking the association. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 16.4 (IQR 12.4-18.5) years, 323 incident cases occurred. From 308 hospitalizations due to HF, 35 resulted in death. Further 15 deaths occurred without previous hospitalization. The WHtR showed a stronger association with the outcome [HR 1.51, 95% CI (1.26-1.81), z = 4.40] than BMI [HR 1.05, 95% CI (1.01-1.08), z = 2.71]. HbA1c [HR 1.35, 95% CI (1.24-1.46), z = 7.19] was the most relevant modifiable risk factor for the outcome whereas WHtR was the third. Individuals with microalbuminuria but no central obesity had a similar risk of the outcome as those with normoalbuminuria. General obesity was associated with the outcome only at the macroalbuminuria stage. CONCLUSIONS: Central obesity associates with an increased risk of heart failure hospitalization or death in adults with type 1 diabetes, and WHtR may be a clinically useful screening tool.

Quotient of Waist Circumference and Body Mass Index: A Valuable Indicator for the High-Risk Phenotype of Obesity.

Objective: Measuring the body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC) alone is insufficient for assessing possible health risks due to obesity. This study aimed to investigate whether the quotient of WC and BMI can be used as a proxy of the high-risk phenotype of obesity. Methods: Data for analysis were derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 1999-2014). The Waist-BMI Ratio was defined as WC divided by BMI. The associations between Waist-BMI Ratio and mortality were estimated using Cox regression models. Restricted cubic spline and two-piecewise linear regression models were used to identify non-linear relationships. The discriminative abilities of different anthropometric measures were compared using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC). Results: This study is based on data from 35557 adults (51.1% female, mean age 44.9 years). During an average follow-up of 101.8 months, 3680 participants died, including 807 of cardiovascular causes. In fully adjusted models, Waist-BMI Ratio was independently associated with overall (hazard ratio [HR], 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-2.13) and cardiovascular (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.25-2.52) mortality. Spline analyses revealed that dose-response relationships existed between Waist-BMI Ratio and death. The mortality risk rises dramatically above the cut-off point of the Waist-BMI Ratio (HR, 3.22; 95% CI, 2.43-4.26 for overall mortality and HR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.71-5.52 for cardiovascular mortality). ROC curve analysis suggested that Waist-BMI Ratio was a better discriminator of mortality (AUC 0.637 for overall and 0.639 for cardiovascular mortality) than BMI, WC, and waist-to-height ratio (Delong's test all P <0.001). Conclusions: Waist-BMI Ratio was independently associated with overall and cardiovascular mortality in a J-shaped pattern, offering an immense potential risk marker for obesity in the clinical setting.

Visceral obesity is associated with lower stage colon tumors in males without survival advantage.

Visceral obesity and systemic inflammatory response (SIR) were suggested to be closely related to colon cancer (CC) oncological and surgical outcomes. The first by producing several soluble factors involved in carcinogenesis and the second for having a key role in the nutritional and functional decline of patients with cancer. Furthermore, gender differences in relative body composition and adipose tissue regional distribution have also been acknowledged to influence CC. The primary aim of this study was to determine whether visceral adiposity, stratified by gender, influenced CC staging and prognosis. As secondary aim, this study evaluated whether visceral adiposity and SIR markers were associated with CC pathological features so that these could be used in clinical practice to predict disease outcomes and potentially influence therapeutic decisions. Case records from patients (n = 300) submitted to CC surgical resection at a single tertiary hospital were retrospectively reviewed to retrieve clinical, laboratory, imaging and pathological data. Visceral fat area was quantified by computerized morphometric analysis in preoperative tomography scans. Visceral obesity was defined as visceral fat area ≥160 cm2 for men and ≥80 cm2 for women. Preoperative full blood count performed as part of the routine clinical assessment at the hospital laboratory was used to obtain C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and to calculate neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), which were used as SIR markers. One hundred and forty-three (n = 143) patients fulfilled eligibility criteria and were included in the analysis. Patients with high-visceral adipose tissue (vAT) had smaller size CC tumors (p < 0.001), earlier T-stage disease (p = 0.027) and lower nodal involvement (p = 0.039). In gender subgroup analysis, these findings were only confirmed in males. Moreover, male patients with high-vAT also had a lower proportion of metastatic nodes (p = 0.021) and metastatic to dissected lymph node ratio (p = 0.030). Additionally, patients with high-vAT also had lower PLR (p = 0.001). CC survival was not influenced by visceral obesity, gender nor SIR. In conclusion, our study shows that male patients with high visceral adiposity have lower PLR levels and earlier stage tumors. Furthermore, our data suggests that visceral obesity and SIR despite being associated with earlier stage CC tumors do not seem to present a survival advantage.

Waist to height ratio is associated with an increased risk of mortality in Chinese patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal obesity as a predominant comorbidity has played a key role in the incidence and worsening of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) behaves better than waist circumference or body mass index in evaluating abdominal obesity. While the association between WHtR and all-cause death in Chinese patients with HFpEF remains unclear. METHODS: Patients with stable HFpEF (N = 2041) who presented to our hospital from January 2008 to July 2019 were divided into low-WHtR (< 0.5, N = 378) and high-WHtR (≥ 0.5, N = 1663). Multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models were used to examine the association of WHtR with all-cause death. RESULTS: The average age was 76.63 ± 11.44 years, and the mean follow-up was 4.53 years. During follow-up, 185 patients (9.06%) reached the primary outcome of all-cause death. As for the secondary outcome, 79 patients (3.87%) experienced cardiovascular death, 106 (5.19%) had non-cardiovascular death, and 94 (4.61%) had heart failure rehospitalization. After multivariable adjustment, a higher WHtR was significantly associated with the increased risks of all-cause death [adjusted hazard ratios (HR) 1.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-3.45, p = 0.032], cardiovascular death (adjusted HR 2.58; 95% CI 1.01-6.67, p = 0.048), and HF rehospitalization (adjusted HR 3.04; 95% CI 1.26-7.31, p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Higher WHtR is an independent risk factor for all-cause death in Chinese patients with HFpEF.

Central fatness and risk of all cause mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of 72 prospective cohort studies.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association of indices of central obesity, including waist circumference, hip circumference, thigh circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, waist-to-thigh ratio, body adiposity index, and A body shape index, with the risk of all cause mortality in the general population, and to clarify the shape of the dose-response relations. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Scopus from inception to July 2019, and the reference lists of all related articles and reviews. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES: Prospective cohort studies reporting the risk estimates of all cause mortality across at least three categories of indices of central fatness. Studies that reported continuous estimation of the associations were also included. DATA SYNTHESIS: A random effects dose-response meta-analysis was conducted to assess linear trend estimations. A one stage linear mixed effects meta-analysis was used for estimating dose-response curves. RESULTS: Of 98 745 studies screened, 1950 full texts were fully reviewed for eligibility. The final analyses consisted of 72 prospective cohort studies with 2 528 297 participants. The summary hazard ratios were as follows: waist circumference (10 cm, 3.94 inch increase): 1.11 (95% confidence interval 1.08 to 1.13, I2=88%, n=50); hip circumference (10 cm, 3.94 inch increase): 0.90 (0.81 to 0.99, I2=95%, n=9); thigh circumference (5 cm, 1.97 inch increase): 0.82 (0.75 to 0.89, I2=54%, n=3); waist-to-hip ratio (0.1 unit increase): 1.20 (1.15 to 1.25, I2=90%, n=31); waist-to-height ratio (0.1 unit increase): 1.24 (1.12 to 1.36, I2=94%, n=11); waist-to-thigh ratio (0.1 unit increase): 1.21 (1.03 to 1.39, I2=97%, n=2); body adiposity index (10% increase): 1.17 (1.00 to 1.33, I2=75%, n=4); and A body shape index (0.005 unit increase): 1.15 (1.10 to 1.20, I2=87%, n=9). Positive associations persisted after accounting for body mass index. A nearly J shaped association was found between waist circumference and waist-to-height ratio and the risk of all cause mortality in men and women. A positive monotonic association was observed for waist-to-hip ratio and A body shape index. The association was U shaped for body adiposity index. CONCLUSIONS: Indices of central fatness including waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, waist-to-thigh ratio, body adiposity index, and A body shape index, independent of overall adiposity, were positively and significantly associated with a higher all cause mortality risk. Larger hip circumference and thigh circumference were associated with a lower risk. The results suggest that measures of central adiposity could be used with body mass index as a supplementary approach to determine the risk of premature death.

The mediating role of the visceral fat area in the correlation between the serum osteocalcin levels and a prolonged QTc interval.

AIMS: Osteocalcin, a bone-derived factor, could be a feasible marker for metabolic disorders and adverse cardiovascular outcomes. This study aimed to explore the correlation between serum osteocalcin levels and correct QT interval (QTc) interval prolongation, a risk factor of cardiac morbidity and mortality. METHODS: We recruited 1210 subjects (age range: 26-80 years) in communities in Shanghai. Serum osteocalcin levels were determined using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. The QTc interval was measured using a 12-lead electrocardiogram and was calculated by the Bazett formula. A prolonged QTc interval was defined as QTc > 440 ms. Visceral fat area (VFA) was assessed by magnetic resonance imaging. A VFA of 80 cm2 was applied as a cut-off point for central obesity. RESULTS: Subjects with diabetes, overweight/obesity, or central obesity had significantly lower serum osteocalcin levels than those without (all P < 0.01). In subjects with a normal QTc interval, QTc interval lengthening accompanied decreasing osteocalcin levels (Pfor trend = 0.033), and the decline was more obvious in subjects with a prolonged QTc interval (Pfor trend = 0.022). Serum osteocalcin levels were correlated with the QTc interval (standardized ß = -0.082, P = 0.005). Neither diabetes nor overweight/obesity was correlated with the QTc interval, whereas central obesity was positively correlated (P = 0.032). In addition, the correlation between osteocalcin levels and the QTc interval was attenuated when central obesity was included in the model simultaneously (standardized ß = -0.075, P = 0.010). Mediation analysis revealed that VFA played a mediating role in the aforementioned correlation, and the estimated percentage of the total effect mediated by VFA was 20.9% (P = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: VFA partially mediated the inverse correlation between the serum osteocalcin levels and QTc interval, suggesting that improving fat metabolism may be a mechanism by which osteocalcin protects against cardiovascular diseases.

A Body Shape Index (ABSI) achieves better mortality risk stratification than alternative indices of abdominal obesity: results from a large European cohort.

Abdominal and general adiposity are independently associated with mortality, but there is no consensus on how best to assess abdominal adiposity. We compared the ability of alternative waist indices to complement body mass index (BMI) when assessing all-cause mortality. We used data from 352,985 participants in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) and Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for other risk factors. During a mean follow-up of 16.1 years, 38,178 participants died. Combining in one model BMI and a strongly correlated waist index altered the association patterns with mortality, to a predominantly negative association for BMI and a stronger positive association for the waist index, while combining BMI with the uncorrelated A Body Shape Index (ABSI) preserved the association patterns. Sex-specific cohort-wide quartiles of waist indices correlated with BMI could not separate high-risk from low-risk individuals within underweight (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2) or obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) categories, while the highest quartile of ABSI separated 18-39% of the individuals within each BMI category, which had 22-55% higher risk of death. In conclusion, only a waist index independent of BMI by design, such as ABSI, complements BMI and enables efficient risk stratification, which could facilitate personalisation of screening, treatment and monitoring.

Changes in waist circumference and risk of all-cause and CVD mortality: results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer in Norfolk (EPIC-Norfolk) cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Measures of abdominal adiposity are strongly associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, data are limited and conflicting regarding the consequences of changes in body fat distribution. The main aims of this paper are to investigate the association between changes in waist circumference (WC) and all-cause and CVD mortality and to examine these changes in relation to concurrent changes in weight. METHODS: The European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC-Norfolk) study recruited 25,639 participants between 1993 and 1997, aged 39-79, a number of whom also attended a second examination (1998-2000), and were followed up to 2016 for mortality. Participants were eligible for inclusion if they had WC, weight and height measurements at both time-points; those with a self-reported history of CVD or cancer, body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2 or missing data on covariates were excluded, leaving 12,337 participants for analyses. The median (IQR) follow-up time was 16.4 (15.7, 17.2) years. Hazard Ratios (HRs) for all-cause (2866 deaths) and CVD mortality (822 deaths), by categories of WC change, were determined using Cox proportional hazards analyses. RESULTS: After multivariable adjustment, the HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality for men and women with a WC gain (WCG) >  5 cm were 1.51 (1.29-1.75) and 1.25 (1.06-1.46) respectively. For CVD mortality in men and women with a WCG >  5 cm, the HRs were 1.84 (1.39-2.43) and 1.15 (0.85-1.55) respectively. In analyses of concurrent changes in WC and weight, the greatest risk (HRs) (95% CIs) in men occurred with weight loss and WCG: 1.80 (1.13-2.86) for all-cause and 2.22 (1.03-4.82) for CVD mortality. In women, the greatest risk for both all-cause (HR 1.50 (1.16-1.95)) and CVD mortality (HR 1.81 (1.15-2.85)) was observed in those with weight loss and maintenance of WC (WCM). CONCLUSIONS: Objectively measured WCG > 5 cm, was associated with subsequent higher total mortality risk and higher CVD mortality risk in men. Interventions focusing on preventing increase in central adiposity rather than lowering weight per se in later life may potentially have greater health benefits.

Obesity Paradox in Caucasian Seniors: Results of the PolSenior Study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the influence of overweight and obesity on general performance and mortality in seniors. DESIGN: Cross-sectional multidisciplinary study on ageing of the Polish population. SETTING: Community-dwelling individuals aged 65 years or older, selected using three-stage stratified, proportional draw. PARTICIPANTS: 4944 Polish Caucasian seniors, aged 65 years or older recruited between October 2007 and October 2010. MEASUREMENTS: All study subjects underwent measurement of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and arm circumference (AC). The physical and cognitive performance was evaluated using the Katz Activities of Daily Living (ADL) score and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), respectively. Morbidity data were obtained from a medical questionnaire. Mortality data were obtained from the Population Register of Poland between October 2015 and October 2018. RESULTS: Increasing age was associated with a decreased prevalence of obesity (all p<0.001). Higher BMI, WC and AC values were associated with higher ADL and MMSE scores (all p<0.001). On multivariate analysis, all three body measurements in women remained independent predictors of the ADL score (BMI p=0.002, WC p=0.005, AC p<0.001) and MMSE score (p<0.001, p=0.003, p<0.001). In men, physical functioning was associated with AC (p=0.003), and cognitive status was associated with AC (p<0.001) and BMI (p=0.013). There was no association between general obesity, abdominal obesity, or AC with several aging-related adverse conditions. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that overweight and obesity were associated with the lowest mortality. On multivariate analysis, BMI and AC values remained independent predictors of mortality. In successfully aging individuals, neither BMI, WC, nor AC remained such predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Overweight and obesity in Caucasian seniors are not associated with deterioration of physical and cognitive function or with increased mortality.

General and Abdominal Adiposity and Mortality in Mexico City: A Prospective Study of 150 000 Adults.

Background: Some reports suggest that body mass index (BMI) is not strongly associated with mortality in Hispanic populations. Objective: To assess the causal relevance of adiposity to mortality in Mexican adults, avoiding reverse causality biases. Design: Prospective study. Setting: 2 Mexico City districts. Participants: 159 755 adults aged 35 years and older at recruitment, followed for up to 14 years. Participants with a hemoglobin A1c level of 7% or greater, diabetes, or other chronic diseases were excluded. Measurements: BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, waist circumference, and cause-specific mortality. Cox regression, adjusted for confounders, yielded mortality hazard ratios (HRs) after at least 5 years of follow-up and before age 75 years. Results: Among 115 400 participants aged 35 to <75 years at recruitment, mean BMI was 28.0 kg/m2 (SD, 4.1 kg/m2) in men and 29.6 kg/m2 (SD, 5.1 kg/m2) in women. The association of BMI at recruitment with all-cause mortality was J-shaped, with the minimum at 25 to <27.5 kg/m2. Above 25 kg/m2, each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 30% increase in all-cause mortality (HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.24 to 1.36]). This association was stronger at ages 40 to <60 years (HR, 1.40 [CI, 1.30 to 1.49]) than at ages 60 to <75 years (HR, 1.24 [CI, 1.17 to 1.31]) but was not materially affected by sex, smoking, or other confounders. The associations of mortality with BMI and waist-to-hip ratio were similarly strong, and each was weakened only slightly by adjustment for the other. Waist circumference was strongly related to mortality and remained so even after adjustment for BMI and hip circumference. Limitation: Analyses were limited to mortality. Conclusion: General, and particularly abdominal, adiposity were strongly associated with mortality in this Mexican population. Primary Funding Source: Mexican Health Ministry, Mexican National Council of Science and Technology, Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, and Kidney Research UK.

Association of Normal-Weight Central Obesity With All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality Among Postmenopausal Women.

Importance: Current public health guidelines for obesity prevention and control focus on promoting a normal body mass index (BMI), rarely addressing central obesity, which is reflected by high waist circumference (WC) and common in the general population. Studies of the association of normal-weight central obesity with long-term health outcomes are sparse. Objective: To examine associations of normal-weight central obesity with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in postmenopausal women in the United States. Design, Setting, and Participants: A nationwide prospective cohort study of 156 624 postmenopausal women enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative at 40 clinical centers in the United States between 1993 and 1998. These women were observed through February 2017. Data analysis was performed from September 15, 2017, to March 13, 2019. Exposures: Different combinations of BMI (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared; normal weight: BMI, 18.5-24.9; overweight: BMI, 25.0-29.9; and obesity: BMI, ≥30) and WC (normal: WC, ≤88 cm and high: WC, >88 cm). Main Outcomes and Measures: Mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer. Results: Of the 156 624 women (mean [SD] age, 63.2 [7.2] years), during 2 811 187 person-years of follow-up, 43 838 deaths occurred, including 12 965 deaths from cardiovascular disease (29.6%) and 11 828 deaths from cancer (27.0%). Compared with women with normal weight and no central obesity and adjusted for demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, and hormone use, the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.31 (95% CI, 1.20-1.42) among women with normal weight and central obesity, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.89-0.94) among women with overweight and no central obesity, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.13-1.20) for women with overweight and central obesity, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.89-0.94) for women with obesity and no central obesity, and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.27-1.34) for women with obesity and central obesity. Compared with normal weight without central obesity, normal-weight central obesity was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease mortality (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.46) and cancer mortality (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.01-1.43). Conclusions and Relevance: Normal-weight central obesity in women was associated with excess risk of mortality, similar to that of women with BMI-defined obesity with central obesity. These findings underscore the need for future public health guidelines to include the prevention and control of central obesity, even in individuals with normal BMI.

Impact of Normal Weight Central Obesity on Clinical Outcomes in Male Patients With Premature Acute Coronary Syndrome.

There is a lack of studies that evaluate the association between normal weight central obesity and subsequent outcomes in patients with premature acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We evaluated 338 consecutive male patients (aged ≤ 55 years) with premature ACS. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). We compared the hazard ratios (HRs) in patients with and without normal weight central obesity using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. All-cause mortality (16.8%) of patients with normal weight central obesity was much higher than those (7.1%) without normal weight central obesity (P = .008). The incidence of MACCE in patients with and without normal weight central obesity were 40.7 and 23.6% (P = .001), respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the risks of all-cause mortality and MACCE were significantly higher in patients with normal weight central obesity than those without normal weight central obesity (adjusted HR: 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-3.31; P = .004 and adjusted HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.18-2.27; P = .017, respectively). In conclusion, the risks of all-cause mortality and MACCE were significantly higher in male patients with premature ACS with normal weight central obesity than in those without normal weight central obesity.

Comparison of the associations between non-traditional and traditional indices of adiposity and cardiovascular mortality: an observational study of one million person-years of follow-up.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: The most widely used adiposity index, body mass index (BMI), is not optimal to evaluate cardiovascular (CV) risk associated with overweight and obesity. We aimed to explore the association between traditional and non-traditional adiposity indices and CV mortality, and compare their discriminative ability for CV death. METHODS: We studied participants (age 19-79 years, BMI ≥18.5 kg/m2) from the population-based Norwegian Nord-Trøndelag Health Study 2 (HUNT 2). Traditional indices explored were BMI, waist circumference (WC) and waist- to-hip ratio, whereas non-traditional were estimated total body fat (eTBF), which is a sex-specific fat%-index, index of central obesity (WC/height) and a body shape index (ABSI) [WC/(BMI2/3 × âˆšheight)]. Associations between the traditional and non-traditional indices and CV death, obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry, were explored by Cox proportional hazard regression, and the indices' discriminative ability by Harrell's C statistics. RESULTS: Baseline assessments were done from 1995 to 1997 and the population (n = 61,016, 52% women) was observed for 17.7 ± 4.2 years (until 2016), yielding 1,080,473.6 person-years of follow-up. Thirteen thousand one hundred and ninety five (21.6%) subjects died, of whom 4908 (37.2%) died from CV causes. Across genders, eTBF had the strongest association to CV death (unadjusted hazard ratios [HRs] 4th vs. 1st quartile in women and men 13.38 [95% confidence interval (CI): 11.05-16.22] and 9.32 [8.03-10.81], respectively), together with index of central obesity in women and ABSI in men. The other indices showed weaker associations, in particular BMI in men: 1.73 [1.56-1.93]. Age adjustment attenuated the associations, but the pattern remained. In concordance with this, C-statistics was C = 0.725 [0.713-0.737] in women and 0.711 [0.701-0.721] in men for eTBF, and C = 0.622 [0.610-0.634] in women and 0.551 [0.541-0.562] in men for BMI. CONCLUSION: eTBF, a sex-specific total body fat index, was more strongly associated with CV death than other adiposity indices and may be a suitable clinical tool for assessment of obesity-associated CV risk.

Waist Circumference and All-Cause Mortality among Older Adults in Rural Indonesia.

Waist circumference, a measure of abdominal obesity, is associated with all-cause mortality in general adult population. However, the link between abdominal obesity with all-cause mortality in the studies of older adults is unclear. This study aims to determine the association between waist circumference and all-cause mortality in older adults in Indonesia. The association between waist circumference and all-cause mortality was examined in 10,997 men and women aged 50 years and older, in the World Health Organization (WHO) and International Network of field sites for continuous Demographic Evaluation of Populations and their Health in developing countries (INDEPTH) collaboration Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) in Purworejo District Central Java, Indonesia during 2007⁻2010. Multivariate Cox regression analysis with restricted cubic splines was used to assess the non-linear association between waist circumference and all-cause mortality. During the 3-year follow-up, a total of 511 men and 470 women died. The hazard ratio plot shows a pattern of U-shape relationship between waist circumference and all-cause mortality among rich women, though the result was significant only for women in the lower end of waist circumference distribution (p < 0.05). Poor men with a low waist circumference (5th percentile) have a two times higher mortality risk (HR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.3, 3.3) relative to those with a waist circumference of 90 cm. Poor women with a low waist circumference (25th percentile) have a 1.4 times higher mortality risk (HR = 1.4; 95% CI = 1.1, 1.8) relative to those with a waist circumference of 80 cm. This study shows a significant association between low waist circumference measure and mortality, particularly among poor men and women. Though the association between large waist circumference and mortality was not significant, we observed a trend of higher mortality risk particularly among rich women with large waist circumference measure. Public health intervention should include efforts to improve nutritional status among older people and promoting healthy lifestyle behaviours including healthy food and active lifestyle.