G20 roadmap for carbon neutrality: The role of Paris agreement, artificial intelligence, and energy transition in changing geopolitical landscape.

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) in the 21st century is driving profound societal changes and playing a crucial role in optimizing energy systems to achieve carbon neutrality. Most G20 nations have developed national AI strategies and are advancing AI applications in energy, manufacturing, and agriculture sectors to meet this goal. However, disparities exist among these nations, creating an "AI divide" that needs to be addressed for regulatory consistency and fair distribution of AI benefits. Here, we look at the linear effects of AI and the Paris Agreement (AI), as well as their potential interaction on carbon neutrality. We also investigate whether geopolitical risk (GPR) can hinder or enhance efforts to attain carbon neutrality through energy transition (ET). To measure carbon neutrality of G20 countries, we employed a robust parametric Malmquist index combined with the fixed-effect panel stochastic frontier model to account for heterogeneity. Results indicate that from 1990 to 2022, carbon neutrality has improved primarily due to technological advancements. Developed G20 countries led in technological progress, while developing countries showed modest gains in carbon efficiency. Using the Driscoll-Kraay robust standard error method, we found that AI has a positive but insignificant linear effect on carbon neutrality. However, the interaction between PA and AI was positive and statistically significant, suggesting that PA augments AI's potential in accelerating carbon neutrality. Energy transition accelerates carbon neutrality in both developed and developing G20 countries. However, the role of energy transition in achieving carbon neutrality becomes negative when the interaction term between energy transition and geopolitical risk (ET × GRP) is incorporated. Regarding control variables, green innovation positively impacts carbon neutrality, whereas financial development has an insignificant effect. Industrial structure and foreign direct investment both negatively affect carbon neutrality, thereby supporting the pollution haven hypothesis. It is recommended that strategies to bridge the "AI divide" and uphold geopolitical stability are crucial to achieve carbon neutrality.

Measuring and correcting staff variability in large-scale OSCEs.

CONTEXT: Objective Structured Clinical Examinations (OSCEs) are an increasingly popular evaluation modality for medical students. While the face-to-face interaction allows for more in-depth assessment, it may cause standardization problems. Methods to quantify, limit or adjust for examiner effects are needed. METHODS: Data originated from 3 OSCEs undergone by 900-student classes of 5th- and 6th-year medical students at Université Paris Cité in the 2022-2023 academic year. Sessions had five stations each, and one of the three sessions was scored by consensus by two raters (rather than one). We report OSCEs' longitudinal consistency for one of the classes and staff-related and student variability by session. We also propose a statistical method to adjust for inter-rater variability by deriving a statistical random student effect that accounts for staff-related and station random effects. RESULTS: From the four sessions, a total of 16,910 station scores were collected from 2615 student sessions, with two of the sessions undergone by the same students, and 36, 36, 35 and 20 distinct staff teams in each station for each session. Scores had staff-related heterogeneity (p<10-15), with staff-level standard errors approximately doubled compared to chance. With mixed models, staff-related heterogeneity explained respectively 11.4%, 11.6%, and 4.7% of station score variance (95% confidence intervals, 9.5-13.8, 9.7-14.1, and 3.9-5.8, respectively) with 1, 1 and 2 raters, suggesting a moderating effect of consensus grading. Student random effects explained a small proportion of variance, respectively 8.8%, 11.3%, and 9.6% (8.0-9.7, 10.3-12.4, and 8.7-10.5), and this low amount of signal resulted in student rankings being no more consistent over time with this metric, rather than with average scores (p=0.45). CONCLUSION: Staff variability impacts OSCE scores as much as student variability, and the former can be reduced with dual assessment or adjusted for with mixed models. Both are small compared to unmeasured sources of variability, making them difficult to capture consistently.

[For an institutional outreach approach in emergency medical services]. / Développer une culture institutionnelle de l'« aller vers ¼ dans les Samu.

FOR AN INSTITUTIONAL OUTREACH APPROACH IN EMERGENCY MEDICAL SERVICES. The "outreach" approach has become the new paradigm of social action. With the creation of regional health agencies, the decompartmentalization between curative medicine, preventive medicine and medico-social care is accelerating. The political will to transpose social tools to the medical field requires removing the confusion between the logic of "outreach" (of Samusocial) and "outside the walls" (of Samu). Especially since Samu, as interface organizations, are privileged hospital actors for this decompartmentalization. The approach initiated by the pediatric Samu of Paris shows that this transposition is possible, both at the individual and institutional levels.

DÉVELOPPER UNE CULTURE INSTITUTIONNELLE DE L'« ALLER VERS ¼ DANS LES SAMU. La démarche de l'« aller vers ¼ est devenue le nouveau paradigme de l'action sociale. Avec la création des agences régionales de santé, le décloisonnement entre médecine curative, médecine préventive et prise en charge médico-sociale s'accélère. La volonté politique de transposer les outils du social au champ médical nécessite de lever la confusion entre les logiques de l'« aller vers ¼ (du Samu social) et du « hors les murs ¼ (du Samu). D'autant que les Samu, en tant qu'organisations d'interface, sont des acteurs hospitaliers privilégiés pour ce décloisonnement. La démarche initiée par le Samu pédiatrique de Paris montre que cette transposition est possible, aussi bien au niveau individuel qu'au niveau institutionnel.

Variance due to the examination conditions and factors associated with success in objective structured clinical examinations (OSCEs): first experiences at Paris-Saclay medical school.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to measure the variance due to examination conditions during the first sessions of objective structured clinical examinations (OSCEs) performed at a French medical school and identify factors associated with student success. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, observational study using data from the first three OSCEs sessions performed at Paris-Saclay medical school in 2021 and 2022. For all sessions (each organized in 5 parallel circuits), we tested a circuit effect using a linear mixed-effects model adjusted for sex and the average academic level of students (according to written tests). Then, we studied the factors associated with student success at one station using a multivariate linear mixed-effects model, including the characteristics of students, assessors, and standardized patients. RESULTS: The study included three OSCEs sessions, with 122, 175, and 197 students and a mean (± SD) session score of 13.7(± 1.5)/20, 12.7(± 1.7)/20 and 12.7(± 1.9)/20, respectively. The percentage of variance due to the circuit was 6.5%, 18.2% (statistically significant), and 3.8%, respectively. For all sessions, the student's average level and station scenario were significantly associated with the score obtained in a station. Still, specific characteristics of assessors or standardized patients were only associated with the student's score in April 2021 (first session). CONCLUSION: The percentage of the variance of students' performance due to the examination conditions was significant in one out of three of the first OSCE sessions performed at Paris-Saclay medical school. This result seems more related to individual behaviors rather than specific characteristics of assessors or standardized patients, highlighting the need to continue training teaching teams. NATIONAL CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

The impact of air pollution on the facial skin of Caucasian women using real-life pollutant exposure measurements.

BACKGROUND: To date, studies examining the effect of air pollution on skin characteristics have relied on regional pollution estimates obtained from fixed monitoring sites. Hence, there remains a need to characterize the impact of air pollution in vivo in real-time conditions. We conducted an initial investigation under real-life conditions, with the purpose of characterizing the in vivo impact of various pollutants on the facial skin condition of women living in Paris over a 6-month period. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A smartphone application linked to the Breezometer platform was used to collect participants' individual exposures to pollutants through the recovery of global positioning system (GPS) data over a 6-month period. Daily exposure to fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 µm and PM 10 µm), pollen, and air quality was measured. Facial skin color, roughness, pore, hydration, elasticity, and wrinkle measurements were taken at the end of the 6-month period. Participants' cumulated pollutant exposure over 6 months was calculated. Data were stratified into two groups (lower vs. higher pollutant exposure) for each pollutant. RESULTS: 156 women (20-60 years-old) were recruited, with 124 women completing the study. Higher PM 2.5 µm exposure was associated with altered skin color and increased roughness under the eye. Higher PM 10 µm exposure with increased wrinkles and roughness under the eye, increased pore appearance, and decreased skin hydration. Exposure to poorer air quality was linked with increased forehead wrinkles and decreased skin elasticity, while higher pollen exposure increased skin roughness and crow's feet. CONCLUSION: This study suggests a potential correlation between air pollution and facial skin in real-life conditions. Prolonged exposure to PM, gases, and pollen may be linked to clinical signs of skin ageing. This study highlights the importance of longer monitoring over time in real conditions to characterize the effect of pollution on the skin.

Pathogen prioritisation for wastewater surveillance ahead of the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games, France.

BackgroundWastewater surveillance is an effective approach to monitor population health, as exemplified by its role throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.AimThis study explores the possibility of extending wastewater surveillance to the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games, focusing on identifying priority pathogen targets that are relevant and feasible to monitor in wastewater for these events.MethodsA list of 60 pathogens of interest for general public health surveillance for the Games was compiled. Each pathogen was evaluated against three inclusion criteria: (A) analytical feasibility; (B) relevance, i.e. with regards to the specificities of the event and the characteristics of the pathogen; and (C) added value to inform public health decision-making. Analytical feasibility was assessed through evidence from peer-reviewed publications demonstrating the detectability of pathogens in sewage, refining the initial list to 25 pathogens. Criteria B and C were evaluated via expert opinion using the Delphi method. The panel consisting of some 30 experts proposed five additional pathogens meeting criterion A, totalling 30 pathogens assessed throughout the three-round iterative questionnaire. Pathogens failing to reach 70% group consensus threshold underwent further deliberation by a subgroup of experts.ResultsSix priority targets suitable for wastewater surveillance during the Games were successfully identified: poliovirus, influenza A virus, influenza B virus, mpox virus, SARS-CoV-2 and measles virus.ConclusionThis study introduced a model framework for identifying context-specific wastewater surveillance targets for a mass gathering. Successful implementation of a wastewater surveillance plan for Paris 2024 could incentivise similar monitoring efforts for other mass gatherings globally.

Paris 2024 Olympic Games: A risk enhancer for autochthonous arboviral diseases epidemics?

OBJECTIVES: The anticipated increase in international tourist flows and the first locally acquired dengue cases in the Paris region in October 2023 have raised concerns about potential arbovirus outbreaks during the 2024 Olympics. Unlike previous mass sporting events at risk of arbovirus outbreaks, Paris is a nonendemic arbovirus area, requiring a unique investigation. METHODS: Therefore, we analyzed factors conducive to possible arbovirus epidemics in temperate regions: vector distribution in the Paris area, seasonal global arboviral disease patterns, projected visitor demographics, and international flight bookings. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that the expected visitors' profile for the summer of 2024 should not increase the risk of arbovirus importation into the Paris region compared to a typical year. Conversely, the primary risk of arbovirus outbreaks is likely to come from within France, particularly from the French West Indies, where a notable, albeit declining, dengue outbreak is underway. Vigilant surveillance by French health authorities will ensure that this trend continues.

Heat-related risk at Paris 2024: a proposal for classification and review of International Federations policies.

Several International Federations (IFs) employ specific policies to protect athletes' health from the danger of heat. Most policies rely on the measurement of thermal indices such as the Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) to estimate the risk of heat-related illness. This review summarises the policies implemented by the 32 IFs of the 45 sports included in the Paris 2024 Olympic Games. It provides details into the venue type, measured parameters, used thermal indices, measurement procedures, mitigation strategies and specifies whether the policy is a recommendation or a requirement. Additionally, a categorisation of sports' heat stress risk is proposed. Among the 15 sports identified as high, very high or extreme risk, one did not have a heat policy, three did not specify any parameter measurement, one relied on water temperature, two on air temperature and relative humidity, seven on WBGT (six measured on-site and one estimated) and one on the Heat Stress Index. However, indices currently used in sports have been developed for soldiers or workers and may not adequately reflect the thermal strain endured by athletes. Notably, they do not account for the athletes' high metabolic heat production and their level of acclimation. It is, therefore, worthwhile listing the relevance of the thermal indices used by IFs to quantify the risk of heat stress, and in the near future, develop an index adapted to the specific needs of athletes.

Environmental challenges facing athletes, stakeholders and spectators at Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games: an evidence-based review of mitigation strategies and recommendations.

The upcoming Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games could face environmental challenges related to heat, air quality and water quality. These challenges will pose potential threats to athletes and impact thousands of stakeholders and millions of spectators. Recognising the multifaceted nature of these challenges, a range of strategies will be essential for mitigating adverse effects on participants, stakeholders and spectators alike. From personalised interventions for athletes and attendees to comprehensive measures implemented by organisers, a holistic approach is crucial to address these challenges and the possible interplay of heat, air and water quality factors during the event. This evidence-based review highlights various environmental challenges anticipated at Paris 2024, offering strategies applicable to athletes, stakeholders and spectators. Additionally, it provides recommendations for Local Organising Committees and the International Olympic Committee that may be applicable to future Games. In summary, the review offers solutions for consideration by the stakeholders responsible for and affected by the anticipated environmental challenges at Paris 2024.

Sudden cardiac arrest in patients with cancer in the general population: insights from the Paris-SDEC registry.

BACKGROUND: Data on the management of patients with cancer presenting with sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) are scarce. We aimed to assess the characteristics and outcomes of SCA according to cancer history. METHODS: Prospective, population-based registry including every out-of-hospital SCA in adults in Paris and its suburbs, between 2011 and 2019, with a specific focus on patients with cancer. RESULTS: Out of 4069 patients who had SCA admitted alive in hospital, 207 (5.1%) had current or past medical history of cancer. Patients with cancer were older (69.2 vs 59.3 years old, p<0.001), more often women (37.2% vs 28.0%, p=0.006) with more frequent underlying cardiovascular disease (41.1% vs 32.5%, p=0.01). SCA happened more often with a non-shockable rhythm (62.6% vs 43.1%, p<0.001) with no significant difference regarding witness presence and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) performed. Cardiac causes were less frequent among patients with cancer (mostly acute coronary syndromes, 25.5% vs 46.8%, p<0.001) and had more respiratory causes (pulmonary embolism and hypoxaemia in 34.2% vs 10.8%, p<0.001). Still, no difference regarding in-hospital survival was found after SCA in patients with cancer versus other patients (26.2% vs 29.8%, respectively, p=0.27). Public location, CPR by witness and shockable rhythm were independent predictors of in-hospital survival after SCA in the cancer group. CONCLUSIONS: One in 20 SCA occurs in patients with a history of cancer, yet with fewer cardiac causes than in patients who are cancer-free. Still, in-hospital outcomes remain similar even in patients with known cancer. Cancer history should therefore not compromise the initiation of resuscitation in the context of SCA.

Assessing the extinction risk of the spontaneous flora in urban tree bases.

As the spatial arrangement of trees planted along streets in cities makes their bases potential ecological corridors for the flora, urban tree bases may be a key contributor to the overall connectivity of the urban ecosystem. However, these tree bases are also a highly fragmented environment in which extinctions are frequent. The goal of this study was to assess the plant species' ability to survive and spread through urban tree bases. To do so, we developed a Bayesian framework to assess the extinction risk of a plant metapopulation using presence/absence data, assuming that the occupancy dynamics was described by a Hidden Markov Model. The novelty of our approach is to take into account the combined effect of low-distance dispersal and the potential presence of a seed bank on the extinction risk. We introduced a metric of the extinction risk and examined its performance over a wide range of metapopulation parameters. We applied our framework to yearly floristic inventories carried out in 1324 tree bases in Paris, France. While local extinction risks were generally high, extinction risks at the street scale varied greatly from one species to another. We identified 10 plant species that could survive and spread through urban tree bases, and three plant traits correlated with the extinction risk at the metapopulation scale: the maximal height, and the beginning and end of the flowering period. Our results suggest that some plant species can use urban tree bases as ecological corridors despite high local extinction risks by forming a seed bank. We also identified other plant traits correlated with the ability to survive in tree bases, related to the action of gardeners. Moreover, our findings demonstrate that our Bayesian estimation framework based on percolation theory has the potential to be extended to more general metapopulations.

HPV-driven oropharyngeal cancer burden in Paris and its region (ILE DE FRANCE) from 1981 TO 2021.

BACKGROUND: France has the sixth highest incidence of oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) in Europe, but the epidemiological impact of high-risk HPV (HR-HPV) remains poorly documented. The objective of our study was to assess the proportion of OPCs caused by HR-HPV in Paris, and its suburbs, over the four past decades. This area accounts for almost one-fifth of the total population of France. METHODS: OPCs diagnosed in 1981, 1986, 1991, 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016 and 2020/2021 in two of the main referral cancer centers for HNCs in Paris and its suburbs were retrieved from the tumor biobanks. HPV status was determined by p16-staining and HPV-DNA detection. Samples were considered HPV-driven if both assays were positive. Results were compared to the French cancer registry data. RESULTS: Samples from 697 OPC patients were assessed (including 82 % of all samples diagnosed in 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, 2021). The proportion of HPV-driven cases rose from 2.7 % to 53 % between 1981 and 2021. HPV16 was the dominant genotype during the study period. Of patients with HPV-driven OPC, 81 % were male and 42 % were smokers versus 80 % and 92 % in their HPV-negative counterparts. The age of OPC patients increased significantly, during the study period, independent of their HPV status CONCLUSION: The proportion of HPV-driven OPCs has significantly increased in Paris and its suburbs, during the last four decades. OPCs has become the 2nd predominant type of head and neck cancer, in France. This may be linked to the rise in HPV-driven cases and the decrease of tobacco and alcohol consumption in men.

Impact of land-use on PAH transfer in sub-surface water as recorded by CaCO3 concretions in urban underground structures (Paris, France).

In densely populated urban areas, the pressure on water resources is considerable and will tend to intensify over the next decades. Preserving water resources therefore seems fundamental, but many questions remain as to the transfer of contaminants to subsurface waters in these largely sealed areas. Because of their toxicity and persistence in the environment, this work focused on the study of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), ubiquitous pollutants mainly produced by human activities. To better understand the main factors leading to the retention or transport of these pollutants in urban environments, vertical transects, from the surface to several meters down, were established on three study sites in or near Paris (France), selected according to an urbanization gradient. Soil samples collected at the surface and urban secondary carbonate deposits (USCD), similar to cave speleothems, sampled underground in quarries and aqueducts were analyzed. As the hydrophobic properties of PAHs favor their sorption onto organic matter, the latter was also studied using organic carbon analysis and UV fluorescence spectroscopy. The USCD located closest to the urbanized surface contained high concentrations of PAHs (76.8 ± 5.3 ng g-1), while the USCD located at greater depth with organic soil on the surface contained the lowest amount of PAHs (2.9 ± 0.4 ng g-1), and no PAHs with log KOC > 5. The results highlight the predominant role played by the presence of organic topsoil at the surface in retaining and storing large amounts of PAHs (1914-2595 ng. gsoil-1), particularly the most hydrophobic ones (i.e. 60% of the 15 PAHs are characterized by a Log KOC >5), which are also the most toxic. The lithology and thickness of the bedrock (between the surface and the USCD) also play an important role in the retention of PAHs, particularly those adsorbed on the particulate phase.

COVID-19 profiles in general practice: a latent class analysis.

BACKGROUND: General practitioners (GPs) were on the front line of the COVID-19 outbreak. Identifying clinical profiles in COVID-19 might improve patient care and enable closer monitoring of at-risk profiles. OBJECTIVES: To identify COVID-19 profiles in a population of adult primary care patients, and to determine whether the profiles were associated with negative outcomes and persistent symptoms. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: In a prospective multicentre study, 44 GPs from multiprofessional primary care practices in the Paris area of France recruited 340 consecutive adult patients (median age: 47 years) with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 during the first two waves of the epidemic. METHOD AND OUTCOME: A latent class (LC) analysis with 11 indicators (clinical signs and symptoms) was performed. The resulting profiles were characterised by a 3-month composite outcome (COVID-19-related hospital admission and/or death) and persistent symptoms three and 6 months after inclusion. RESULTS: We identified six profiles: 'paucisymptomatic' (LC1, 9%), 'anosmia and/or ageusia' (LC2, 12.9%), 'influenza-like syndrome with anosmia and ageusia' (LC3, 15.5%), 'influenza-like syndrome without anosmia or ageusia' (LC4, 24.5%), 'influenza-like syndrome with respiratory impairment' (LC5) and a 'complete form' (LC6, 17.7%). At 3 months, 7.4% of the patients were hospitalised (with higher rates in LC5), and 18% had persistent symptoms (with higher rates in LC5 and LC6). At 6 months, 6.4% of the patients had persistent symptoms, with no differences between LCs. CONCLUSION: Our findings might help GPs to identify patients at risk of persistent COVID-19 symptoms and hospital admission and then set up procedures for closer monitoring.

Staphylococcus aureus: No ticket for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games!

Athletes are vulnerable to Staphylococcus aureus infections due to skin-to-skin contact and skin abrasions during training and competitions involving sharied sport equipment or toiletries, which promote the spread of the bacteria between athletes and within sport teams. This results not only in higher prevalence of S.aureus carriage among athletes compared to the general population, but also in outbreaks of infections, particularly skin infections, within sports teams. To limit the spread of S. aureus among athletes, a decolonization protocol can be applied when clustered cases of S. aureus infections occur, especially if Panton-Valentine leukocidin-producing strains are implicated. Finally, to avoid exposing athletes to S.aureus transmission/colonization, it is recommended to establish strict and clearly formulated individual and collective hygiene rules and to regularly disinfect shared sports equipment.

[Time and space in the care pathways of women suffering from breast cancer]. / Temps et espaces dans les parcours de soins de femmes souffrant d'un cancer du sein.

Facing breast cancer, women in precarious situations are more likely to be diagnosed at an advanced stage, and when detected at the same stage, they are more to die as well as faster. In this paper, we analyze a corpus of 40 semi-structured interviews conducted in six cancer services in hospitals of the Paris area on the care pathways of women with breast cancer. The analysis focuses on the beginning of the pathways (until the first treatments) and concentrates on their spatial and temporal dimension in the light of precariousness. Depending on the women's situations with regard to precariousness, the spatial and temporal organization of the pathways differs. There are socially differentiated latency periods that delay diagnosis (prior to meeting a medical professional) or the beginning of treatment (in relation to rights, the responsiveness of the health care system, and the interactions between women and the system). Spatially, the geometry of the pathways is variable and reflects different expectations of health institutions and medical staff according to the social profiles of the women. However, a detailed analysis of the pathways allows us to nuance these differences in terms of precariousness. The women's capacity to be autonomous, their network of contacts, the accessibility and responsiveness of the health care system, as well as the sensitive and emotional dimension of this stressful event affect the pathways both in terms of time and space.