The VERA software: Implementation of the acute fish toxicity endpoint and its application to pharmaceutical compounds.

The Virtual Extensive Read-Across software (VERA) is a new tool for read-across using a global similarity score, molecular groups, and structural alerts to find clusters of similar substances; these clusters are then used to identify suitable similar substances and make an assessment for the target substance. A beta version of VERA GUI is free and available at vegahub.eu; the source code of the VERA algorithm is available on GitHub. In the past we described its use to assess carcinogenicity, a classification endpoint. The aim here is to extend the automated read-across approach to assess continuous endpoints as well. We addressed acute fish toxicity. VERA evaluation on the acute fish toxicity endpoint was done on a dataset containing general substances (pesticides, industrial products, biocides, etc.), obtaining an overall R2 of 0.68. We employed the VERA algorithm also on active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). We included a portion of the APIs in the training dataset to predict APIs, successfully achieving an overall R2 of 0.63. VERA evaluates the assessment's reliability, and we reached an R2 of 0.78 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.44 for predictions with high reliability.

Evaluation of in silico model predictions for mammalian acute oral toxicity and regulatory application in pesticide hazard and risk assessment.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) uses the lethal dose 50% (LD50) value from in vivo rat acute oral toxicity studies for pesticide product label precautionary statements and environmental risk assessment (RA). The Collaborative Acute Toxicity Modeling Suite (CATMoS) is a quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR)-based in silico approach to predict rat acute oral toxicity that has the potential to reduce animal use when registering a new pesticide technical grade active ingredient (TGAI). This analysis compared LD50 values predicted by CATMoS to empirical values from in vivo studies for the TGAIs of 177 conventional pesticides. The accuracy and reliability of the model predictions were assessed relative to the empirical data in terms of USEPA acute oral toxicity categories and discrete LD50 values for each chemical. CATMoS was most reliable at placing pesticide TGAIs in acute toxicity categories III (>500-5000 mg/kg) and IV (>5000 mg/kg), with 88% categorical concordance for 165 chemicals with empirical in vivo LD50 values ≥ 500 mg/kg. When considering an LD50 for RA, CATMoS predictions of 2000 mg/kg and higher were found to agree with empirical values from limit tests (i.e., single, high-dose tests) or definitive results over 2000 mg/kg with few exceptions.

Acute Toxicity Assays with the Artemia salina Model: Assessment of Variables.

The use of the brine shrimp Artemia salina (Leach) in acute toxicity assays has great potential due to its simplicity, low cost and reproducibility. In the current study, some of the variables that can influence the reliability of the assay in terms of test organism survival, were evaluated as part of its implementation in our laboratory. The quality and type of water used, the buffer components and other parameters (salinity, pH and dissolved oxygen level), were all evaluated for optimisation purposes. DMSO (dimethyl sulphoxide) was used as the test substance in the toxicity assay, to evaluate the concentration limits as a solvent in sample preparation. Regarding the buffer salinity, pH and dissolved oxygen level, we found that a 25% to 30% deviation from the standard values did not affect the survival of the nauplii (the first-instar larval stage) under assay conditions. In summary, we corroborate the potential use of this model for the prediction of the toxic potential of substances, to inform future testing strategies.

The rat acute oral toxicity of trifluoromethyl compounds (TFMs): a computational toxicology study combining the 2D-QSTR, read-across and consensus modeling methods.

All areas of the modern society are affected by fluorine chemistry. In particular, fluorine plays an important role in medical, pharmaceutical and agrochemical sciences. Amongst various fluoro-organic compounds, trifluoromethyl (CF3) group is valuable in applications such as pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals and industrial chemicals. In the present study, following the strict OECD modelling principles, a quantitative structure-toxicity relationship (QSTR) modelling for the rat acute oral toxicity of trifluoromethyl compounds (TFMs) was established by genetic algorithm-multiple linear regression (GA-MLR) approach. All developed models were evaluated by various state-of-the-art validation metrics and the OECD principles. The best QSTR model included nine easily interpretable 2D molecular descriptors with clear physical and chemical significance. The mechanistic interpretation showed that the atom-type electro-topological state indices, molecular connectivity, ionization potential, lipophilicity and some autocorrelation coefficients are the main factors contributing to the acute oral toxicity of TFMs against rats. To validate that the selected 2D descriptors can effectively characterize the toxicity, we performed the chemical read-across analysis. We also compared the best QSTR model with public OPERA tool to demonstrate the reliability of the predictions. To further improve the prediction range of the QSTR model, we performed the consensus modelling. Finally, the optimum QSTR model was utilized to predict a true external set containing many untested/unknown TFMs for the first time. Overall, the developed model contributes to a more comprehensive safety assessment approach for novel CF3-containing pharmaceuticals or chemicals, reducing unnecessary chemical synthesis whilst saving the development cost of new drugs.

The estimation of acute oral toxicity (LD50) of G-series organophosphorus-based chemical warfare agents using quantitative and qualitative toxicology in silico methods.

The idea of this study was the estimation of the theoretical acute toxicity (t-LD50, rat, oral dose) of organophosphorus-based chemical warfare agents from the G-series (n = 12) using different in silico methods. Initially identified in Germany, the G-type nerve agents include potent compounds such as tabun, sarin, and soman. Despite their historical significance, there is a noticeable gap in acute toxicity data for these agents. This study employs qualitative (STopTox and AdmetSAR) and quantitative (TEST; CATMoS; ProTox-II and QSAR Toolbox) in silico methods to predict LD50 values, offering an ethical alternative to animal testing. Additionally, we conducted quantitative extrapolation from animals, and the results of qualitative tests confirmed the acute toxicity potential of these substances and enabled the identification of toxicophoric groups. According to our estimations, the most lethal agents within this category were GV, soman (GD), sarin (GB), thiosarin (GBS), and chlorosarin (GC), with t-LD50 values (oral administration, extrapolated from rat to human) of 0.05 mg/kg bw, 0.08 mg/kg bw, 0.12 mg/kg bw, 0.15 mg/kg bw, and 0.17 mg/kg bw, respectively. On the contrary, compounds with a cycloalkane attached to the phospho-oxygen linkage, specifically methyl cyclosarin and cyclosarin, were found to be the least toxic, with values of 2.28 mg/kg bw and 3.03 mg/kg bw. The findings aim to fill the knowledge gap regarding the acute toxicity of these agents, highlighting the need for modern toxicological methods that align with ethical considerations, next-generation risk assessment (NGRA) and the 3Rs (replacement, reduction and refinement) principles.

Identifying and Predicting Delayed Mortality with Toxicokinetic-Toxicodynamic Models.

The prevalence of standardized toxicity testing in ecotoxicology has largely obscured the notion that toxicity is a function of time as well. The necessity of considering time is vividly demonstrated by observations of delayed mortality, that is, deaths continue to occur even when animals are no longer exposed to a toxicant. In this contribution, I explore to what extent toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic (TKTD) models from the framework of the General Unified Threshold model for Survival (GUTS) can capture delayed mortality, and to what extent this phenomenon can be predicted from short-term standard tests. I use a previously published data set for fluoroquinolones in Daphnia magna that shows strongly delayed mortality (using immobilization as a proxy for death). The model analysis shows that the GUTS stochastic death models can capture delayed mortality in the complete data set with a long recovery phase, but that the delayed effects would not have been predicted from a 2-day standard test. The study underlines the limited information content of standard acute test designs. Toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic modeling offers a handle on the time aspects of toxicity but cannot always be relied on to provide accurate extrapolations based on severely limited standard tests. The phenomenon of delayed toxicity requires more structured study to clarify its prevalence and impact; I discuss several avenues for further investigation. Environ Toxicol Chem 2024;43:1030-1035. © 2024 SETAC.

An improved method for toxicological profiling of chemical substances.

Toxicity profiling is an integral part of the drug discovery pipeline. The 3Rs principle-Replacement, Reduction, and Refinement, is considered a golden rule in determining the most appropriate approach for toxicity studies. The acute toxicity study with proper estimate of median lethal dose (LD50) is usually an initial procedure for the determination of most suitable test doses for preclinical toxicological and pharmacological profiling. Several methods, which have been devised to determine the LD50, are faced with the challenge of using a large number of animals and time constraints. Despite the inherent advantage of the newer OECD Test Guidelines, the increasing concerns among toxicologists, the regulatory authorities and the general public, on the need to adhere to 3Rs principle, necessitated the need for an improved approach. Such an approach should not only minimize the time and number of animals required, but also take into cognizance animal welfare, and give accurate, comparable, and reproducible results across laboratories. While taking advantage of the inherent merits of the existing methods, here is presented the mathematical basis and evaluation of an improved method for toxicity profiling of test substances and estimation of LD50. The method makes use of the generated Table of values for the selection of appropriate test doses. Our proposed method has capacities to optimize the time and number of animal use, ensure more reliable and reproducible results across laboratories, allow for easy selection of doses for subsequent toxicity profiling, and be adaptable to other biological screening beyond toxicity studies.

Prediction of acute fish toxicity (AFT) and fish embryo toxicity (FET) tests by cytotoxicity assays using liver and embryo zebrafish cell lines (ZFL and ZEM2S).

Fish cell-based assays represent potential alternative methods to vertebrates' use in ecotoxicology. In this study, we evaluated the cytotoxicity of thirteen chemicals, chosen from OECD guidelines 236 and 249, in two zebrafish cell lines (ZEM2S and ZFL). We aimed to investigate whether the IC50 values obtained by viability assays (alamar blue, MTT, CFDA-AM, and neutral red) can predict the LC50 values of Acute Fish Toxicity (AFT) test and Fish Embryo Toxicity (FET) test. There was no significant difference between the values obtained by the different viability assays. ZFL strongly correlated with AFT and FET tests (R2AFT = 0.73-0.90; R2FET48h = 0.79-0.90; R2FET96h = 0.76-0.87), while ZEM2S correlated better with the FET test (48h) (R2 = 0.70-0.86) and weakly with AFT and FET tests (96h) (R2AFT = 0.68-0.74 and R2FET96h = 0.62-0.64). The predicted LC50 values allowed the correct categorization of the chemicals in 76.9% (AFT test) - 90.9% (FET test) using ZFL and in 30.7% (AFT test) - 63.6% (FET test) using ZEM2S considering the US EPA criterion for classifying acute aquatic toxicity. ZFL is a promising cell line to be used in alternative methods to adult fish and fish embryos in ecotoxicity assessments, and the method performed in 96-well plates is advantageous in promoting high-throughput cytotoxicity assessment.

The application of acute oral toxicity computational models in dangerous goods classification.

Acute oral toxicity (AOT) data inform the acute toxicity potential of a compound and guides occupational safety and transportation practices. AOT data enable the categorization of a chemical into the appropriate AOT Globally Harmonized System (GHS) category based on the severity of the hazard. AOT data are also utilized to identify compounds that are Dangerous Goods (DGs) and subsequent transportation guidance for shipping of these hazardous materials. Proper identification of DGs is challenging for novel compounds that lack data. It is not feasible to err on the side of caution for all compounds lacking AOT data and to designate them as DGs, as shipping a compound as a DG has cost, resource, and time implications. With the wealth of available historical AOT data, AOT testing approaches are evolving, and in silico AOT models are emerging as tools that can be utilized with confidence to assess the acute toxicity potential of de novo molecules. Such approaches align with the 3R principles, offering a reduction or even replacement of traditional in vivo testing methods and can also be leveraged for product stewardship purposes. Utilizing proprietary historical in vivo AOT data for 210 pharmaceutical compounds (PCs), we evaluated the performance of two established in silico AOT programs: the Leadscope AOT Model Suite and the Collaborative Acute Toxicity Modeling Suite. These models accurately identified 94% and 97% compounds that were not DGs (GHS categories 4, 5, and not classified (NC)) suggesting that the models are fit-for-purpose in identifying PCs with low acute oral toxicity potential (LD50 >300 mg/kg). Utilization of these models to identify compounds that are not DGs can enable them to be de-prioritized for in vivo testing. This manuscript provides a detailed evaluation and assessment of the two models and recommends the most suitable applications of such models.

Evaluation of the fish acute toxicity test for pesticide registration.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) uses the in vivo fish acute toxicity test to assess potential risk of substances to non-target aquatic vertebrates. The test is typically conducted on a cold and a warm freshwater species and a saltwater species for a conventional pesticide registration, potentially requiring upwards of 200 or more fish. A retrospective data evaluation was conducted to explore the potential for using fewer fish species to support conventional pesticide risk assessments. Lethal concentration 50% (LC50) values and experimental details were extracted and curated from 718 studies on fish acute toxicity submitted to USEPA. The LC50 data were analysed to determine, when possible, the relative sensitivity of the tested species to each pesticide. One of the tested freshwater species was most sensitive in 85% of those cases. The tested cold freshwater species was the most sensitive overall among cases with established relative sensitivity and was within 3X of the LC50 value of the most sensitive species tested in 98% of those cases. The results support potentially using fewer than three fish species to conduct ecological risk assessments for the registration of conventional pesticides.

Development a high-throughput zebrafish embryo acute toxicity testing method based on OECD TG 236.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD）Test Guideline (TG) 236 for zebrafish embryo acute toxicity testing was adopted for chemical toxicity assessment in 2013. Due to the increasing demand for prediction and evaluation of the acute toxicity using zebrafish embryos, we developed a method based on OECD 236 test guideline with the aim to improve the testing efficiency. We used 4-128 cell stage zebrafish embryos and performed an exposure assay in a 96-well microtiter plate, observing the lethality endpoints of embryos at 48-h postexposure. A total of 32 chemicals (two batches) were used in the comparison study. Our results indicated that the logarithmic LC50 (half lethal concentration) obtained by the modified method exhibited good correlation with that obtained by the OECD 236 testing method, and the R2 of the linear regression analysis was 0.9717 (0.9621 and 0.9936 for the two batches, respectively). Additionally, the intra- and inter-laboratory coefficient of variation (CVs) for the LC50 from the testing chemicals (17 chemicals in second batch) was less than 30%, except for CuSO4. Therefore, the developed method was less time-consuming and demonstrated a higher throughput for toxicity testing compared to the prior method. We argue the developed method could be used as an additional choice for high-throughput zebrafish embryo acute toxicity test.

Potential of the zebrafish (Danio rerio) embryo test to discriminate between chemicals of similar molecular structure-a study with valproic acid and 14 of its analogues.

Valproic acid is a frequently used antiepileptic drug and known pediatric hepatotoxic agent. In search of pharmaceuticals with increased effectiveness and reduced toxicity, analogue chemicals came into focus. So far, toxicity and teratogenicity data of drugs and metabolites have usually been collected from mammalian model systems such as mice and rats. However, in an attempt to reduce mammalian testing while maintaining the reliability of toxicity testing of new industrial chemicals and drugs, alternative test methods are being developed. To this end, the potential of the zebrafish (Danio rerio) embryo to discriminate between valproic acid and 14 analogues was investigated by exposing zebrafish embryos for 120 h post fertilization in the extended version of the fish embryo acute toxicity test (FET; OECD TG 236), and analyzing liver histology to evaluate the correlation of liver effects and the molecular structure of each compound. Although histological evaluation of zebrafish liver did not identify steatosis as the prominent adverse effect typical in human and mice, the structure-activity relationship (SAR) derived was comparable not only to human HepG2 cells, but also to available in vivo mouse and rat data. Thus, there is evidence that zebrafish embryos might serve as a tool to bridge the gap between subcellular, cell-based systems and vertebrate models.

Acute and sub-acute toxicity study of anti-obesity herbal granules in Sprague Dawley rats.

Toxicological studies are essential for developing novel medications in pharmaceutical industries including ayurvedic preparation. Hence, the present study is aimed to evaluate acute and 28-days repeated dose oral toxicity of anti-obesity polyherbal granules (PHG) in Sprague Dawley rats by OECD guidelines No 425 and 407, respectively. In an acute oral toxicity study, a single dose of 2 g/kg PHG was administered to rats and mortality, body weight, and clinical observations were noted for fourteen days. However, in the subacute oral toxicity study, the PHG was administered orally at doses of 0.3, 0.5 and 1 g/kg daily for 28 days to rats. Food intake and body weight were recorded weekly. On the 29th day, rats were sacrificed and subjected to haematological, biochemical, urine, necropsy, and histopathological analysis. In an acute oral toxicity study, no treatment-related, mortality, behavioral changes, and toxicity were found throughout fourteen days. Likewise, in the sub-acute toxicity study, no mortality and toxic effects were found in haematology, biochemical, urine, necropsy and histopathological analysis in rats for 28 days of treatment with PHG. Based on these results, the LD50 of PHG was found to be greater than 2 g/kg and the no-observed-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) of PHG for rats was found to be 0.5 g/kg/day. Thus, anti-obesity polyherbal granules showed a good safety profile in animal studies and can be considered an important agent for the clinical management of obesity.

The onset of active gill respiration in post-embryonic zebrafish (Danio rerio) larvae triggers an increased sensitivity to neurotoxic compounds.

Originally designed as a general alternative to acute fish toxicity testing (AFT), the fish embryo toxicity test (FET) has become subject to concerns with respect to neurotoxic substances. Whereas oxygen uptake in the fish embryo primarily occurs via diffusion across the skin, juvenile and adult fish rely on active ventilation of the gills. As a consequence, substances including, e.g., neurotoxicants which prevent appropriate ventilation of gills ("respiratory failure syndrome") might lead to suffocation in juvenile and adult fish, but not in skin-breathing embryos. To investigate if this respiratory failure syndrome might play a role for the higher sensitivity of juvenile and adult fish to neurotoxicants, a modified acute toxicity test using post-embryonic, early gill-breathing life-stages of zebrafish was developed with chlorpyrifos, permethrin, lindane, aldicarb, ziram and aniline as test substances. Additionally, a comparative study into bioaccumulation of lipophilic substances with logKow > 3.5 and swimbladder deflation as potential side effects of the respiratory failure syndrome was performed with 4 d old skin-breathing and 12 d old gill-breathing zebrafish. With respect to acute toxicity, post-embryonic 12 d larvae proved to be more sensitive than both embryos (FET) and adult zebrafish (AFT) to all test substances except for permethrin. Accumulation of chlorpyrifos, lindane and permethrin was 1.3- to 5-fold higher in 4 d old than in 12 d old zebrafish, suggesting that (intermediate) storage of substances in the yolk might reduce bioavailability and prevent metabolization, which could be a further reason for lower toxicity in 4 d than in 12 d old zebrafish. Whereas ziram and aniline showed no significant effect on the swimbladder, zebrafish exposed to chlorpyrifos, lindane and permethrin showed significantly deflated swimbladders in 12 d old larvae; in the case of aldicarb, there was a significant hyperinflation in 4 d old larvae. Swimbladder deflation in post-embryonic 12 d zebrafish larvae might be hypothesized as a reason for a lack of internal oxygen supplies during the respiratory failure syndrome, whereas in 4 d old embryos cholinergic hyperinflation of the swimbladder dominates over other effects. Regarding acute lethality, the study provides further evidence that the switch from transcutaneous to branchial respiration in post-embryonic zebrafish life-stages might be the reason for the higher sensitivity of juvenile and adult fish to neurotoxic substances.

Prediction of acute oral toxicity using the Hansen solubility parameter.

Acute oral toxicity is primarily determined using animal testing, as stated in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Test Guideline (TG) 420, 423, and 425. Currently, regarding animal welfare, few alternatives to animal testing such as in vitro approaches have been evaluated. Therefore, in this preliminary study examining a new method to determine acute oral toxicity, we investigated whether UN Globally Harmonized System all categories can be predicted using the Hansen solubility parameter (HSP). In particular, Hansen spheres were produced based on oral toxicity information of the test substances and their HSP values, and the respective parameters were identified. A comparison of these potential parameters with the HSP value of each test substance showed an accuracy of 84.1% (53/63), 10.0% (3/30) false negatives, and 21.2% (7/33) false positives. By comparing the HSP of the resulting potential parameters with a test substance, it is possible to predict acute oral toxicity with high accuracy.

Understanding Ecotoxicological Responses of Fish Embryos and Gill Cells to Cationic Polymers.

Cationic polymers are considered by the scientific and regulatory communities as a group of greater interest amongst the polymers in commerce. As a category, relatively little hazard information is available in the public literature. Very few examples exist of published, high-quality polymer characterization and quantification of exposure. In the present study we describe a series of fish embryo toxicity (FET) and fish gill cytotoxicity assays used to establish a baseline understanding of several representative polyquaternium categories (PQ-6, PQ-10, PQ-16) in animal alternative models, accompanied by high-quality analytical characterization. Materials were chosen to encompass a range of molecular weights and charge densities to determine the influence of test material characteristics on toxicity. Both chorionated and dechorionated FET assays were generally similar to published acute fish toxicity data. Toxicity was correlated with cationic polymer charge density, and not with molecular weight, and was a combination of physical effects and likely toxicity at the site of action. Toxicity could be ameliorated by humic acid in a dose-dependent manner. Fish gill cytotoxicity results were orders of magnitude less sensitive than FET test responses. Environ Toxicol Chem 2022;41:2259-2272. © 2022 SETAC.

Evaluation of Variability Across Rat Acute Oral Systemic Toxicity Studies.

Regulatory agencies rely upon rodent in vivo acute oral toxicity data to determine hazard categorization, require appropriate precautionary labeling, and perform quantitative risk assessments. As the field of toxicology moves toward animal-free new approach methodologies (NAMs), there is a pressing need to develop a reliable, robust reference data set to characterize the reproducibility and inherent variability in the in vivo acute oral toxicity test method, which would serve to contextualize results and set expectations regarding NAM performance. Such a data set is also needed for training and evaluating computational models. To meet these needs, rat acute oral LD50 data from multiple databases were compiled, curated, and analyzed to characterize variability and reproducibility of results across a set of up to 2441 chemicals with multiple independent study records. Conditional probability analyses reveal that replicate studies only result in the same hazard categorization on average at 60% likelihood. Although we did not have sufficient study metadata to evaluate the impact of specific protocol components (eg, strain, age, or sex of rat, feed used, treatment vehicle, etc.), studies were assumed to follow standard test guidelines. We investigated, but could not attribute, various chemical properties as the sources of variability (ie, chemical structure, physiochemical properties, functional use). Thus, we conclude that inherent biological or protocol variability likely underlies the variance in the results. Based on the observed variability, we were able to quantify a margin of uncertainty of ±0.24 log10 (mg/kg) associated with discrete in vivo rat acute oral LD50 values.

Genotoxicity, acute and subchronic toxicity evaluation of fermented Morinda officinalis.

Morinda officinalis has diverse pharmacological effects and has the potential to be used as functional food and medicine. Fermentation is traditionally used to process Morinda officinalis. However, the toxicological profile of fermented Morinda officinalis (FMO) is not reported. In the present study, the toxicological characteristics of FMO were assessed for the first time. FMO did not show any genotoxicity based on the Ames test, mammalian erythrocyte micronucleus test, and mouse primary spermatocyte chromosome aberration test. FMO administered by gavage in mice and rats at a dose of 20 g/kg BW did not induce death or toxicity based on acute study, indicating that FMO could be regarded as non-toxic at the tested dose. In the 90-day subchronic toxicity study, rats fed with FMO at the maximum dose of 8 g/kg BW did not affect mortalities, BW, food consumption, organ weights, hematology, serum biochemistry, or urinalysis. The no observed adverse effect level of FMO in both sexes was not less than 8 g/kg BW/day based on subchronic toxicity. The obtained results support the safe use of FMO as functional food and medicine.

Zebrafish larvae acute toxicity test: A promising alternative to the fish acute toxicity test.

Aquatic toxicity is a mandatory component in risk assessment of chemicals. The currently recommended used acute fish toxicity (AFT) test requires a large test system, bringing onerous experimental operation and discharge of much experimental wastewater. In this study, we established a more convenient and efficient test defined as the zebrafish larvae acute toxicity (FLT) test, which employed zebrafish larvae at four days post fertilization as the test organisms and implemented a 48-hour exposure in 6-well plates. Based on validated reproducibility, we applied this test to evaluate the acute toxicity of 35 chemicals. By comparing the results with the existing acute toxicity data reported in the literature, we found that most chemicals exhibited highly positive correlated LC50 in the FLT and the AFT test, with the same or similar toxicity grade. The FLT test showed more comparable sensitivity with the current AFT test than the previously recommended fish embryo acute toxicity test (FET). Moreover, the FLT test is easier to implement than the FET test which requires microscopic observation to identify the fertilization and development status of the embryos. Despite a limitation similar to the FET test in terms of detecting neurotoxicants, the FLT test could be a more promising alternative to the AFT test relative to the FET test.

The use of Bayesian methodology in the development and validation of a tiered assessment approach towards prediction of rat acute oral toxicity.

There exists consensus that the traditional means by which safety of chemicals is assessed-namely through reliance upon apical outcomes obtained following in vivo testing-is increasingly unfit for purpose. Whilst efforts in development of suitable alternatives continue, few have achieved levels of robustness required for regulatory acceptance. An array of "new approach methodologies" (NAM) for determining toxic effect, spanning in vitro and in silico spheres, have by now emerged. It has been suggested, intuitively, that combining data obtained from across these sources might serve to enhance overall confidence in derived judgment. This concept may be formalised in the "tiered assessment" approach, whereby evidence gathered through a sequential NAM testing strategy is exploited so to infer the properties of a compound of interest. Our intention has been to provide an illustration of how such a scheme might be developed and applied within a practical setting-adopting for this purpose the endpoint of rat acute oral lethality. Bayesian statistical inference is drawn upon to enable quantification of degree of confidence that a substance might ultimately belong to one of five LD50-associated toxicity categories. Informing this is evidence acquired both from existing in silico and in vitro resources, alongside a purposely-constructed random forest model and structural alert set. Results indicate that the combination of in silico methodologies provides moderately conservative estimations of hazard, conducive for application in safety assessment, and for which levels of certainty are defined. Accordingly, scope for potential extension of approach to further toxicological endpoints is demonstrated.