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1.
Ren Fail ; 46(1): 2352127, 2024 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38771116

RESUMEN

Acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), secondary to cardiovascular disease and sepsis, is associated with high in-hospital mortality. Although studies have examined cardiovascular disease and sepsis in AKI, the association between AKI and hepatic functional impairment remains unclear. We hypothesized that hepatic function markers would predict mortality in patients undergoing CRRT. We included 1,899 CRRT patients from a multi-centre database. In Phase 1, participants were classified according to the total bilirubin (T-Bil) levels on the day of, and 3 days after, CRRT initiation: T-Bil < 1.2, 1.2 ≤ T-Bil < 2, and T-Bil ≥ 2 mg/dL. In Phase 2, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to examine the effect of a T-Bil cutoff of 1.2 mg/dL (supported by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score); creating two groups based on a T-Bil cutoff of 1.2 mg/dL 3 days after CRRT initiation. The primary endpoint was total mortality 90 days after CRRT initiation, which was 34.7% (n = 571). In Phase 1, the T-Bil, aspartate transaminase (AST), alanine transaminase (ALT), and AST/ALT (De Ritis ratio) levels at CRRT initiation were not associated with the prognosis, while T-Bil, AST, and the De Ritis ratio 3 days after CRRT initiation were independent factors. In Phase 2, T-Bil ≥1.2 mg/dL on day 3 was a significant independent prognostic factor, even after PSM [hazard ratio: 2.41 (95% CI; 1.84-3.17), p < 0.001]. T-Bil ≥1.2 mg/dL 3 days after CRRT initiation predicted 90-day mortality. Changes in hepatic function markers in acute renal failure may enable stratification of high-risk patients.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , Bilirrubina , Biomarcadores , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal Continuo , Humanos , Lesión Renal Aguda/terapia , Lesión Renal Aguda/mortalidad , Lesión Renal Aguda/sangre , Lesión Renal Aguda/etiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Biomarcadores/sangre , Bilirrubina/sangre , Estudios Retrospectivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Aspartato Aminotransferasas/sangre , Alanina Transaminasa/sangre , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Puntaje de Propensión , Hígado , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pruebas de Función Hepática
2.
Gac Med Mex ; 160(1): 62-67, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753542

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The quick Sequential Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is a score that has been proposed to quickly identify patients at higher risk of death. OBJECTIVE: To describe the usefulness of the qSOFA score to predict in-hospital mortality in cancer patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional study carried out between January 2021 and December 2022. Hospital mortality was the dependent variable. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to determine the discriminative ability of qSOFA to predict in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 587 cancer patients were included. A qSOFA score higher than 1 obtained a sensitivity of 57.2%, specificity of 78.5%, a positive predictive value of 55.4% and negative predictive value of 79.7%. The AUC of qSOFA for predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.70. In-hospital mortality of patients with qSOFA scores of 2 and 3 points was 52.7 and 64.4%, respectively. In-hospital mortality was 31.9% (187/587). CONCLUSION: qSOFA showed acceptable discriminative ability for predicting in-hospital mortality in cancer patients.


ANTECEDENTES: El quick Sequential Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) es una puntuación propuesta para identificar de forma rápida a pacientes con mayor probabilidad de morir. OBJETIVO: Describir la utilidad de la puntuación qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria en pacientes con cáncer. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Estudio transversal realizado entre enero de 2021 y diciembre de 2022. La mortalidad hospitalaria fue la variable dependiente. Se calculó el área bajo la curva ROC (ABC) para determinar la capacidad discriminativa de qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 587 pacientes con cáncer. La puntuación qSOFA < 1 obtuvo una sensibilidad de 57.2 %, una especificidad de 78.5 %, un valor predictivo positivo de 55.4 % y un valor predictivo negativo de 79.7 %. El ABC de qSOFA para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria fue de 0.70. La mortalidad hospitalaria de los pacientes con qSOFA de 2 y 3 puntos fue de 52.7 y 64.4 %, respectivamente. La mortalidad hospitalaria fue de 31.9 % (187/587). CONCLUSIÓN: qSOFA mostró capacidad discriminativa aceptable para predecir mortalidad hospitalaria en pacientes con cáncer.


Asunto(s)
Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Neoplasias , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Humanos , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Estudios Transversales , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Curva ROC , Sepsis/mortalidad , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Área Bajo la Curva , Adulto , Anciano de 80 o más Años
3.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0301013, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38758942

RESUMEN

The use of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, originally developed to describe disease morbidity, is commonly used to predict in-hospital mortality. During the COVID-19 pandemic, many protocols for crisis standards of care used the SOFA score to select patients to be deprioritized due to a low likelihood of survival. A prior study found that age outperformed the SOFA score for mortality prediction in patients with COVID-19, but was limited to a small cohort of intensive care unit (ICU) patients and did not address whether their findings were unique to patients with COVID-19. Moreover, it is not known how well these measures perform across races. In this retrospective study, we compare the performance of age and SOFA score in predicting in-hospital mortality across two cohorts: a cohort of 2,648 consecutive adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19 who were admitted to a large academic health system in the northeastern United States over a 4-month period in 2020 and a cohort of 75,601 patients admitted to one of 335 ICUs in the eICU database between 2014 and 2015. We used age and the maximum SOFA score as predictor variables in separate univariate logistic regression models for in-hospital mortality and calculated area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AU-ROCs) and area under precision-recall curves (AU-PRCs) for each predictor in both cohorts. Among the COVID-19 cohort, age (AU-ROC 0.795, 95% CI 0.762, 0.828) had a significantly better discrimination than SOFA score (AU-ROC 0.679, 95% CI 0.638, 0.721) for mortality prediction. Conversely, age (AU-ROC 0.628 95% CI 0.608, 0.628) underperformed compared to SOFA score (AU-ROC 0.735, 95% CI 0.726, 0.745) in non-COVID-19 ICU patients in the eICU database. There was no difference between Black and White COVID-19 patients in performance of either age or SOFA Score. Our findings bring into question the utility of SOFA score-based resource allocation in COVID-19 crisis standards of care.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Edad , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Curva ROC , Anciano de 80 o más Años
4.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 25(5): 434-442, 2024 May 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695692

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score summarizes severity of organ dysfunction and can be used to predict in-hospital mortality. Manual calculation of the pSOFA score is time-consuming and prone to human error. An automated method that is open-source, flexible, and scalable for calculating the pSOFA score directly from electronic health record data is desirable. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary 40-bed PICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the PICU between 2015 and 2021 with ICU stay of at least 24 hours. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used 77 records to evaluate the automated score. The automated algorithm had an overall accuracy of 97%. The algorithm calculated the respiratory component of two cases incorrectly. An expert human annotator had an initial accuracy of 75% at the patient level and 95% at the component level. An untrained human annotator with general clinical research experience had an overall accuracy of 16% and component-wise accuracy of 67%. Weighted kappa for agreement between the automated method and the expert annotator's initial score was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95), and between the untrained human annotator and the automated score was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.36-0.61). Data from 9146 patients (in-hospital mortality 3.6%) were included to validate externally the discriminability of the automated pSOFA score. The admission-day pSOFA score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.77-0.82). CONCLUSIONS: The developed automated algorithm calculates pSOFA score with high accuracy and is more accurate than a trained expert rater and nontrained data abstracter. pSOFA's performance for predicting in-hospital mortality was lower in our cohort than it was for the originally derived score.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Preescolar , Lactante , Adolescente , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/mortalidad , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
5.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 25(5): 443-451, 2024 May 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695693

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score was designed to track illness severity and predict mortality in critically ill children. Most commonly, pSOFA at a point in time is used to assess a static patient condition. However, this approach has a significant drawback because it fails to consider any changes in a patients' condition during their PICU stay and, especially, their response to initial critical care treatment. We aimed to evaluate the performance of longitudinal pSOFA scores for predicting mortality. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary 40-bed PICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the PICU between 2015 and 2021 with at least 24 hours of ICU stay. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We calculated daily pSOFA scores up to 30 days, or until death or discharge from the PICU, if earlier. We used the joint longitudinal and time-to-event data model for the dynamic prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. The dataset, which included 9146 patients with a 30-day in-hospital mortality of 2.6%, was divided randomly into training (75%) and validation (25%) subsets, and subjected to 40 repeated stratified cross-validations. We used dynamic area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate the discriminative performance of the model. Compared with the admission-day pSOFA score, AUC for predicting mortality between days 5 and 30 was improved on average by 6.4% (95% CI, 6.3-6.6%) using longitudinal pSOFA scores from the first 3 days and 9.2% (95% CI, 9.0-9.5%) using scores from the first 5 days. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with admission-day pSOFA score, longitudinal pSOFA scores improved the accuracy of mortality prediction in PICU patients at a single center. The pSOFA score has the potential to be used dynamically for the evaluation of patient conditions.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Crítica , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Preescolar , Lactante , Enfermedad Crítica/mortalidad , Adolescente , Estudios Longitudinales , Curva ROC , Pronóstico
6.
BMC Emerg Med ; 24(1): 78, 2024 May 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38693496

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Given the scarcity of studies analyzing the clinical predictors of pediatric septic cases that would progress to septic shock, this study aimed to determine strong predictors for pediatric emergency department (PED) patients with sepsis at risk for septic shock and mortality. METHODS: We conducted chart reviews of patients with ≥ 2 age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA) criteria to recognize patients with an infectious disease in two tertiary PEDs between January 1, 2021, and April 30, 2022. The age range of included patients was 1 month to 18 years. The primary outcome was development of septic shock within 48 h of PED attendance. The secondary outcome was sepsis-related 28-day mortality. Initial important variables in the PED and hemodynamics with the highest and lowest values during the first 24 h of admission were also analyzed. RESULTS: Overall, 417 patients were admitted because of sepsis and met the eligibility criteria for the study. Forty-nine cases progressed to septic shock within 48 h after admission and 368 were discharged without progression. General demographics, laboratory data, and hemodynamics were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Only the minimum diastolic blood pressure/systolic blood pressure ratio (D/S ratio) during the first 24 h after admission remained as an independent predictor of progression to septic shock and 28-day mortality. The best cutoff values of the D/S ratio for predicting septic shock and 28-day mortality were 0.52 and 0.47, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The D/S ratio is a practical bedside scoring system in the PED and had good discriminative ability in predicting the progression of septic shock and in-hospital mortality in PED patients. Further validation is essential in other settings.


Asunto(s)
Presión Sanguínea , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Choque Séptico/mortalidad , Choque Séptico/diagnóstico , Choque Séptico/fisiopatología , Preescolar , Lactante , Adolescente , Sepsis/mortalidad , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Sepsis/complicaciones , Sepsis/fisiopatología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Fiebre , Mortalidad Hospitalaria
7.
Crit Care Explor ; 6(5): e1084, 2024 May 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709083

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Acute kidney injury requiring dialysis (AKI-D) commonly occurs in the setting of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is the modality of choice for AKI-D. Mid-term outcomes of pediatric AKI-D supported with CRRT are unknown. We aimed to describe the pattern and impact of organ dysfunction on renal outcomes in critically ill children and young adults with AKI-D. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Two large quarternary care pediatric hospitals. PATIENTS: Patients 26 y old or younger who received CRRT from 2014 to 2020, excluding patients with chronic kidney disease. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Organ dysfunction was assessed using the Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction-2 (PELOD-2) score. MODS was defined as greater than or equal to two organ dysfunctions. The primary outcome was major adverse kidney events at 30 days (MAKE30) (decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate greater than or equal to 25% from baseline, need for renal replacement therapy, and death). Three hundred seventy-three patients, 50% female, with a median age of 84 mo (interquartile range [IQR] 16-172) were analyzed. PELOD-2 increased from 6 (IQR 3-9) to 9 (IQR 7-12) between ICU admission and CRRT initiation. Ninety-seven percent of patients developed MODS at CRRT start and 266 patients (71%) had MAKE30. Acute kidney injury (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 3.55 [IQR 2.13-5.90]), neurologic (aOR 2.07 [IQR 1.15-3.74]), hematologic/oncologic dysfunction (aOR 2.27 [IQR 1.32-3.91]) at CRRT start, and progressive MODS (aOR 1.11 [IQR 1.03-1.19]) were independently associated with MAKE30. CONCLUSIONS: Ninety percent of critically ill children and young adults with AKI-D develop MODS by the start of CRRT. Lack of renal recovery is associated with specific extrarenal organ dysfunction and progressive multiple organ dysfunction. Currently available extrarenal organ support strategies, such as therapeutic plasma exchange lung-protective ventilation, and other modifiable risk factors, should be incorporated into clinical trial design when investigating renal recovery.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal Continuo , Enfermedad Crítica , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/terapia , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/etiología , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/fisiopatología , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Niño , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal Continuo/métodos , Adolescente , Lesión Renal Aguda/terapia , Lesión Renal Aguda/fisiopatología , Preescolar , Adulto Joven , Lactante , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Estudios de Cohortes , Adulto , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal/métodos
8.
Zhong Nan Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 49(2): 256-265, 2024 Feb 28.
Artículo en Inglés, Chino | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38755721

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Given the high incidence and mortality rate of sepsis, early identification of high-risk patients and timely intervention are crucial. However, existing mortality risk prediction models still have shortcomings in terms of operation, applicability, and evaluation on long-term prognosis. This study aims to investigate the risk factors for death in patients with sepsis, and to construct the prediction model of short-term and long-term mortality risk. METHODS: Patients meeting sepsis 3.0 diagnostic criteria were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database and randomly divided into a modeling group and a validation group at a ratio of 7꞉3. Baseline data of patients were analyzed. Univariate Cox regression analysis and full subset regression were used to determine the risk factors of death in patients with sepsis and to screen out the variables to construct the prediction model. The time-dependent area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve were used to evaluate the differentiation, calibration, and clinical practicability of the model. RESULTS: A total of 14 240 patients with sepsis were included in our study. The 28-day and 1-year mortality were 21.45% (3 054 cases) and 36.50% (5 198 cases), respectively. Advanced age, female, high sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, high simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II), rapid heart rate, rapid respiratory rate, septic shock, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, kidney disease, diabetes, malignant tumor, high white blood cell count (WBC), long prothrombin time (PT), and high serum creatinine (SCr) levels were all risk factors for sepsis death (all P<0.05). Eight variables, including PT, respiratory rate, body temperature, malignant tumor, liver disease, septic shock, SAPS II, and age were used to construct the model. The AUCs for 28-day and 1-year survival were 0.717 (95% CI 0.710 to 0.724) and 0.716 (95% CI 0.707 to 0.725), respectively. The calibration curve and decision curve showed that the model had good calibration degree and clinical application value. CONCLUSIONS: The short-term and long-term mortality risk prediction models of patients with sepsis based on the MIMIC-IV database have good recognition ability and certain clinical reference significance for prognostic risk assessment and intervention treatment of patients.


Asunto(s)
Sepsis , Humanos , Sepsis/mortalidad , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Femenino , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo , Pronóstico , Bases de Datos Factuales , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Área Bajo la Curva , Anciano , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales
10.
Crit Care ; 28(1): 106, 2024 04 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38566179

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Facial appearance, whether consciously or subconsciously assessed, may affect clinical assessment and treatment strategies in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Nevertheless, the association between objective clinical measurement of facial appearance and multi-organ failure is currently unknown. The objective of this study was to examine whether facial appearance at admission is associated with longitudinal evaluation of multi-organ failure. METHODS: This was a sub-study of the Simple Intensive Care Studies-II, a prospective observational cohort study. All adult patients acutely admitted to the ICU between March 26, 2019, and July 10, 2019, were included. Facial appearance was assessed within three hours of ICU admission using predefined pictograms. The SOFA score was serially measured each day for the first seven days after ICU admission. The association between the extent of eye-opening and facial skin colour with longitudinal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores was investigated using generalized estimation equations. RESULTS: SOFA scores were measured in 228 patients. Facial appearance scored by the extent of eye-opening was associated with a higher SOFA score at admission and follow-up (unadjusted 0.7 points per step (95%CI 0.5 to 0.9)). There was no association between facial skin colour and a worse SOFA score over time. However, patients with half-open or closed eyes along with flushed skin had a lower SOFA score than patients with a pale or normal facial skin colour (P-interaction < 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: The scoring of patients' facial cues, primarily the extent of eye-opening and facial colour, provided valuable insights into the disease state and progression of the disease of critically ill patients. The utilization of advanced monitoring techniques that incorporate facial appearance holds promise for enhancing future intensive care support.


Asunto(s)
Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos
11.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2337714, 2024 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38590177

RESUMEN

The purpose was to investigate how well age-adjusted modified quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores paired with blood glucose and lactate levels predict the outcomes of septicemic children in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). One hundred children who were diagnosed with sepsis and septic shock in the PICU of Henan Children's Hospital were eligible, and other 20 patients in the same hospital at different times were selected as a validation set. Respiratory rate (RR), heart rate (HR), capillary refill time (CRT), and Alert, Voice, Pain, Unresponsive (AVPU) scale were included in the age-adjusted modified qSOFA scoring criteria for scoring. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. The predictive values were evaluated by the ROC curve. In the sepsis group, 50 patients were male, and 50 patients were female. The 28-day all-cause mortality rate was 52%. Fifty-one patients with age-adjusted modified qSOFA scores >1. The serum lactate level was 2.4 mmol/L, and the blood glucose level was 9.3 mmol/L. The AUCs for the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score, serum lactate and blood glucose levels for the prediction of 28-day all-cause mortality in children with sepsis were 0.719, 0.719 and 0.737, respectively. The cut-off values were one point, 3.8 mmol/L and 10 mmol/L, respectively. The AUC of the age-adjusted modified qSOFA score for the validation set of was 0.925. When the three indices were combined, the AUC was 0.817, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed χ2 = 2.428 and p = .965. When children with sepsis are admitted to the ICU, we recommend performing rapid scoring and rapid bedside lactate and glucose testing to determine the early prognosis.


Asunto(s)
Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Niño , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Ácido Láctico , Glucosa , Glucemia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico , Curva ROC , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Mortalidad Hospitalaria
12.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8442, 2024 04 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38600110

RESUMEN

Using clustering analysis for early vital signs, unique patient phenotypes with distinct pathophysiological signatures and clinical outcomes may be revealed and support early clinical decision-making. Phenotyping using early vital signs has proven challenging, as vital signs are typically sampled sporadically. We proposed a novel, deep temporal interpolation and clustering network to simultaneously extract latent representations from irregularly sampled vital signs and derive phenotypes. Four distinct clusters were identified. Phenotype A (18%) had the greatest prevalence of comorbid disease with increased prevalence of prolonged respiratory insufficiency, acute kidney injury, sepsis, and long-term (3-year) mortality. Phenotypes B (33%) and C (31%) had a diffuse pattern of mild organ dysfunction. Phenotype B's favorable short-term clinical outcomes were tempered by the second highest rate of long-term mortality. Phenotype C had favorable clinical outcomes. Phenotype D (17%) exhibited early and persistent hypotension, high incidence of early surgery, and substantial biomarker incidence of inflammation. Despite early and severe illness, phenotype D had the second lowest long-term mortality. After comparing the sequential organ failure assessment scores, the clustering results did not simply provide a recapitulation of previous acuity assessments. This tool may impact triage decisions and have significant implications for clinical decision-support under time constraints and uncertainty.


Asunto(s)
Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Humanos , Enfermedad Aguda , Fenotipo , Biomarcadores , Análisis por Conglomerados
14.
Minerva Anestesiol ; 90(5): 359-368, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38656085

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the predictive value and suitable cutoff values of the Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS-II) to predict mortality during or after Intensive Care Unit Cardiac Arrest (ICU-CA). METHODS: In this secondary analysis the ICU database of a German university hospital with five ICU was screened for all ICU-CA between 2016-2019. SOFA and SAPS-II were used for prediction of mortality during ICU-CA, hospital-stay and one-year-mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), area under the ROC (AUROC) and its confidence intervals were calculated. If the AUROC was significant and considered "acceptable," cutoff values were determined for SOFA and SAPS-II by Youden Index. Odds ratios and sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated for the cutoff values. RESULTS: A total of 114 (78 male; mean age: 72.8±12.5 years) ICU-CA were observed out of 14,264 ICU-admissions (incidence: 0.8%; 95% CI: 0.7-1.0%). 29.8% (N.=34; 95% CI: 21.6-39.1%) died during ICU-CA. SOFA and SAPS-II were not predictive for mortality during ICU-CA (P>0.05). Hospital-mortality was 78.1% (N.=89; 95% CI: 69.3-85.3%). SAPS-II (recorded within 24 hours before and after ICU-CA) indicated a better discrimination between survival and death during hospital stay than SOFA (AUROC: 0.81 [95% CI: 0.70-0.92] vs. 0.70 [95% CI: 0.58-0.83]). A SAPS-II-cutoff-value of 43.5 seems to be suitable for prognosis of hospital mortality after ICU-CA (specificity: 87.5%, sensitivity: 65.6%; SAPS-II>43.5: 87.5% died in hospital; SAPS-II<43.5: 65.6% survived; odds ratio:13.4 [95% CI: 3.25-54.9]). Also for 1-year-mortality (89.5%; 95% CI: 82.3-94.4) SAPS-II showed a better discrimination between survival and death than SOFA: AUROC: 0.78 (95% CI: 0.65-0.91) vs. 0.69 (95% CI: 0.52-0.87) with a cutoff value of the SAPS-II of 40.5 (specificity: 91.7%, sensitivity: 64.3%; SAPS-II>40.5: 96.4% died; SAPS-II<40.5: 42.3% survived; odd ratio: 19.8 [95% CI: 2.3-168.7]). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to SOFA, SAPS-II seems to be more suitable for prediction of hospital and 1-year-mortality after ICU-CA.


Asunto(s)
Paro Cardíaco , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Puntuación Fisiológica Simplificada Aguda , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Paro Cardíaco/mortalidad , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sepsis/mortalidad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Mortalidad Hospitalaria
15.
Med Intensiva (Engl Ed) ; 48(5): 263-271, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38575400

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to evaluate the death risk factors of patients included in the sepsis protocol bundle, using clinical data from qSOFA, SIRS, and comorbidities, as well as development of a mortality risk score. DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study was conducted between 2016 and 2021. SETTING: Two university hospitals in Brazil. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with sepsis. INTERVENTIONS: Several clinical and laboratory data were collected focused on SIRS, qSOFA, and comorbidities. MAIN VARIABLE OF INTEREST: In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome variable. A mortality risk score was developed after logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1,808 patients were included with a death rate of 36%. Ten variables remained independent factors related to death in multivariate analysis: temperature ≥38 °C (odds ratio [OR] = 0.65), previous sepsis (OR = 1.42), qSOFA ≥ 2 (OR = 1.43), leukocytes >12,000 or <4,000 cells/mm3 (OR = 1.61), encephalic vascular accident (OR = 1.88), age >60 years (OR = 1.93), cancer (OR = 2.2), length of hospital stay before sepsis >7 days (OR = 2.22,), dialysis (OR = 2.51), and cirrhosis (OR = 3.97). Considering the equation of the binary regression logistic analysis, the score presented an area under curve of 0.668, is not a potential model for death prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Several risk factors are independently associated with mortality, allowing the development of a prediction score based on qSOFA, SIRS, and comorbidities data, however, the performance of this score is low.


Asunto(s)
Comorbilidad , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica , Humanos , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/mortalidad , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sepsis/mortalidad , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Brasil/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo/métodos
16.
Int J Mol Sci ; 25(7)2024 Mar 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38612684

RESUMEN

The variability in mortality in sepsis could be a consequence of genetic variability. The glucocorticoid system and the intermediate TSC22D3 gene product-glucocorticoid-induced leucine zipper-are clinically relevant in sepsis, which is why this study aimed to clarify whether TSC22D3 gene polymorphisms contribute to the variance in sepsis mortality. Blood samples for DNA extraction were obtained from 455 patients with a sepsis diagnosis according to the Sepsis-III criteria and from 73 control subjects. A SNP TaqMan assay was used to detect single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the TSC22D3 gene. Statistical and graphical analyses were performed using the SPSS Statistics and GraphPad Prism software. C-allele carriers of rs3747406 have a 2.07-fold higher mortality rate when the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score is higher than eight. In a multivariate COX regression model, the SNP rs3747406 with a SOFA score ≥ 8 was found to be an independent risk factor for 30-day survival in sepsis. The HR was calculated to be 2.12, with a p-value of 0.011. The wild-type allele was present in four out of six SNPs in our cohort. The promoter of TSC22D3 was found to be highly conserved. However, we discovered that the C-allele of rs3747406 poses a risk for sepsis mortality for SOFA Scores higher than 6.


Asunto(s)
Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Humanos , Glucocorticoides , Leucina Zippers , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Sepsis/genética
17.
Medicina (Kaunas) ; 60(3)2024 Mar 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38541190

RESUMEN

Background and Objectives: According to the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3), sepsis is defined as "life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection". The increased presence of free radicals causes an increase in oxidative stress. Vitamin C is an essential water-soluble vitamin with antioxidant activity and immunoregulatory effects that plays a potential role in the treatment of bacterial infections. Our aim was to evaluate the effectiveness of adding vitamin C to the conventional treatment of sepsis to decrease its mortality rate. Materials and Methods: In a prospective cohort study, we included patients with a diagnosis of sepsis and a SOFA score ≥ 9 who were evaluated in an Intensive Care Unit at a secondary-care hospital. According to the intensive care specialist, they were treated using two different strategies: Group 1-patients with sepsis treated with conventional treatment without vitamin C; Group 2-patients with sepsis with the addition of vitamin C to conventional treatment. Results: We included 34 patients with sepsis. The incidence of mortality was 38%, and 47% of patients used vitamin C as an adjuvant to the basic treatment of sepsis. In the basal analyses, patients treated with use of vitamin C compared to patients treated without vitamin C required less use of glucocorticoids (75% vs. 100%, p = 0.039). At follow-up, patients treated without vitamin C had higher mortality than patients treated with vitamin C as an adjuvant for the treatment of sepsis (55.6% vs. 18.8%, p = 0.03). We observed that the use of vitamin C was a protective factor for mortality in patients with sepsis (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.31-0.96, p = 0.03). Conclusions: The use of vitamin C as an adjuvant to treatment decreases the risk of mortality by 46% in patients with sepsis and SOFA ≥ 9 compared to patients treated without vitamin C as an adjuvant to sepsis.


Asunto(s)
Ácido Ascórbico , Sepsis , Humanos , Ácido Ascórbico/uso terapéutico , Estudios Prospectivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Vitaminas
18.
Crit Care Med ; 52(6): 887-899, 2024 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38502804

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Consensus regarding biomarkers for detection of infection-related organ dysfunction in the emergency department is lacking. We aimed to identify and validate biomarkers that could improve risk prediction for overt or incipient organ dysfunction when added to quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) as a screening tool. DESIGN: In a large prospective multicenter cohort of adult patients presenting to the emergency department with a qSOFA score greater than or equal to 1, admission plasma levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, adrenomedullin (either bioavailable adrenomedullin or midregional fragment of proadrenomedullin), proenkephalin, and dipeptidyl peptidase 3 were assessed. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to assess the impact of these biomarkers alone or in combination to detect the primary endpoint of prediction of sepsis within 96 hours of admission. SETTING: Three tertiary emergency departments at German University Hospitals (Jena University Hospital and two sites of the Charité University Hospital, Berlin). PATIENTS: One thousand four hundred seventy-seven adult patients presenting with suspected organ dysfunction based on qSOFA score greater than or equal to 1. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The cohort was of moderate severity with 81% presenting with qSOFA = 1; 29.2% of these patients developed sepsis. Procalcitonin outperformed all other biomarkers regarding the primary endpoint (area under the curve for receiver operating characteristic [AUC-ROC], 0.86 [0.79-0.93]). Adding other biomarkers failed to further improve the AUC-ROC for the primary endpoint; however, they improved the model regarding several secondary endpoints, such as mortality, need for vasopressors, or dialysis. Addition of procalcitonin with a cutoff level of 0.25 ng/mL improved net (re)classification by 35.2% compared with qSOFA alone, with positive and negative predictive values of 60.7% and 88.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Biomarkers of infection and organ dysfunction, most notably procalcitonin, substantially improve early prediction of sepsis with added value to qSOFA alone as a simple screening tool on emergency department admission.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Polipéptido alfa Relacionado con Calcitonina , Sepsis , Humanos , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Sepsis/sangre , Biomarcadores/sangre , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Polipéptido alfa Relacionado con Calcitonina/sangre , Adrenomedulina/sangre , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/sangre , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/etiología , Proteína C-Reactiva/análisis , Adulto , Encefalinas/sangre , Precursores de Proteínas
19.
Int J Artif Organs ; 47(4): 309-312, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38506888

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to compare the outcomes of COVID-19 patients who met a low-risk inclusion criteria for veno-venous extra corporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) with those who did not meet criteria due to higher risk but were subsequently cannulated. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational cohort study that included adult patients who were placed on VV ECMO for COVID-19 related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) at a tertiary care academic medical center. The primary outcome was the association between the low-risk criteria and mortality. The patients met the criteria if they met EOLIA severe ARDS criteria, no absolute contraindications (age > 60 years, BMI > 55 kg/m2, mechanical ventilation (MV) duration >7 days, irreversible neurologic damage, chronic lung disease, active malignancy, or advanced multiorgan dysfunction), and had three or less relative contraindications (age > 50 years, BMI > 45 kg/m2, comorbidities, MV duration > 4 days, acute kidney injury, receiving vasopressors, hospital LOS > 14 days, or COVID-19 diagnosis > 4 weeks). RESULTS: Sixty-five patients were included from March 2020 through March 2022. Patients were stratified into low-risk or high-risk categories. The median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was 7 and the median PaO2/FiO2 ratio was 44 at the time of ECMO cannulation. The in-hospital mortality was 47.8% in the low-risk group and 69.0% in the high-risk group (p = 0.096). CONCLUSION: There was not a statistically significant difference in survival between low-risk patients and high-risk patients; however, there was a trend toward higher survival in the lower-risk group.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Oxigenación por Membrana Extracorpórea , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/terapia , COVID-19/complicaciones , Oxigenación por Membrana Extracorpórea/mortalidad , Oxigenación por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/terapia , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/mortalidad , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Respiración Artificial , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Medición de Riesgo , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos
20.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0300739, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38547245

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: An increasing amount of longitudinal health data is available on critically ill septic patients in the age of digital medicine, including daily sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score measurements. Thus, the assessment in sepsis focuses increasingly on the evaluation of the individual disease's trajectory. Machine learning (ML) algorithms may provide a promising approach here to improve the evaluation of daily SOFA score dynamics. We tested whether ML algorithms can outperform the conventional ΔSOFA score regarding the accuracy of 30-day mortality prediction. METHODS: We used the multicentric SepsisDataNet.NRW study cohort that prospectively enrolled 252 sepsis patients between 03/2018 and 09/2019 for training ML algorithms, i.e. support vector machine (SVM) with polynomial kernel and artificial neural network (aNN). We used the Amsterdam UMC database covering 1,790 sepsis patients for external and independent validation. RESULTS: Both SVM (AUC 0.84; 95% CI: 0.71-0.96) and aNN (AUC 0.82; 95% CI: 0.69-0.95) assessing the SOFA scores of the first seven days led to a more accurate prognosis of 30-day mortality compared to the ΔSOFA score between day 1 and 7 (AUC 0.73; 95% CI: 0.65-0.80; p = 0.02 and p = 0.05, respectively). These differences were even more prominent the shorter the time interval considered. Using the SOFA scores of day 1 to 3 SVM (AUC 0.82; 95% CI: 0.68 0.95) and aNN (AUC 0.80; 95% CI: 0.660.93) led to a more accurate prognosis of 30-day mortality compared to the ΔSOFA score (AUC 0.66; 95% CI: 0.58-0.74; p < 0.01 and p < 0.01, respectively). Strikingly, all these findings could be confirmed in the independent external validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The ML-based algorithms using daily SOFA scores markedly improved the accuracy of mortality compared to the conventional ΔSOFA score. Therefore, this approach could provide a promising and automated approach to assess the individual disease trajectory in sepsis. These findings reflect the potential of incorporating ML algorithms as robust and generalizable support tools on intensive care units.


Asunto(s)
Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Aprendizaje Automático , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Pronóstico , Curva ROC
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