Predicting vaccine effectiveness for mpox.

The Modified Vaccinia Ankara vaccine developed by Bavarian Nordic (MVA-BN) was widely deployed to prevent mpox during the 2022 global outbreak. This vaccine was initially approved for mpox based on its reported immunogenicity (from phase I/II trials) and effectiveness in animal models, rather than evidence of clinical efficacy. However, no validated correlate of protection after vaccination has been identified. Here we performed a systematic search and meta-analysis of the available data to test whether vaccinia-binding ELISA endpoint titer is predictive of vaccine effectiveness against mpox. We observe a significant correlation between vaccine effectiveness and vaccinia-binding antibody titers, consistent with the existing assumption that antibody levels may be a correlate of protection. Combining this data with analysis of antibody kinetics after vaccination, we predict the durability of protection after vaccination and the impact of dose spacing. We find that delaying the second dose of MVA-BN vaccination will provide more durable protection and may be optimal in an outbreak with limited vaccine stock. Although further work is required to validate this correlate, this study provides a quantitative evidence-based approach for using antibody measurements to predict the effectiveness of mpox vaccination.

Rapid development of double-hit mRNA antibody cocktail against orthopoxviruses.

The Orthopoxvirus genus, especially variola virus (VARV), monkeypox virus (MPXV), remains a significant public health threat worldwide. The development of therapeutic antibodies against orthopoxviruses is largely hampered by the high cost of antibody engineering and manufacturing processes. mRNA-encoded antibodies have emerged as a powerful and universal platform for rapid antibody production. Herein, by using the established lipid nanoparticle (LNP)-encapsulated mRNA platform, we constructed four mRNA combinations that encode monoclonal antibodies with broad neutralization activities against orthopoxviruses. In vivo characterization demonstrated that a single intravenous injection of each LNP-encapsulated mRNA antibody in mice resulted in the rapid production of neutralizing antibodies. More importantly, mRNA antibody treatments showed significant protection from weight loss and mortality in the vaccinia virus (VACV) lethal challenge mouse model, and a unique mRNA antibody cocktail, Mix2a, exhibited superior in vivo protection by targeting both intracellular mature virus (IMV)-form and extracellular enveloped virus (EEV)-form viruses. In summary, our results demonstrate the proof-of-concept production of orthopoxvirus antibodies via the LNP-mRNA platform, highlighting the great potential of tailored mRNA antibody combinations as a universal strategy to combat orthopoxvirus as well as other emerging viruses.

Effectiveness of Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Bavaria Nordic Vaccination in a Population at High Risk of Mpox: A Spanish Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: With more than 7500 cases reported since April 2022, Spain has experienced the highest incidence of mpox in Europe. From 12 July onward, the modified vaccinia Ankara-Bavaria Nordic (MVA-BN) smallpox vaccine was offered as pre-exposure prophylaxis for those receiving pre-exposure prophylaxis for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV-PrEP). Our aim was to assess the effectiveness of 1 dose of MVA-BN vaccine as pre-exposure prophylaxis against mpox virus (MPXV) infection in persons on HIV-PrEP. METHODS: National retrospective cohort study between 12 July and 12 December 2022. Individuals aged ≥18 years receiving HIV-PrEP as of 12 July with no previous MPXV infection or vaccination were eligible. Each day, we matched individuals receiving a first dose of vaccine and unvaccinated controls of the same age and region. We used a Kaplan-Meier estimator, calculated risk ratios (RR) and vaccine effectiveness (VE = [1 - RR]x100). RESULTS: We included 5660 matched pairs, with a median follow-up of 62 days (interquartile range, 24-97). Mpox cumulative incidence was 5.6 per 1000 (25 cases) in unvaccinated and 3.5 per 1000 (18 cases) in vaccinated. No effect was found during days 0-6 post-vaccination (VE, -38.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], -332.7 to 46.4), but VE was 65% at ≥7 days (95% CI, 22.9 to 88.0) and 79% at ≥14 days (95% CI, 33.3 to 100.0) post-vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: One dose of MVA-BN vaccine offered protection against mpox in most-at-risk population shortly after the vaccination. Further studies need to assess the VE of a second dose and the duration of protection over time.

Case study: breakthrough mpox infection in Aotearoa New Zealand and Australia after completed two-dose course of subcutaneous modified vaccinia Ankara (MVA-BN) vaccines.

BACKGROUND: In August 2022, in response to a global mpox outbreak, the World Health Organization recommended the Vaccinia vaccination for at-risk people. METHODS: Case study. RESULTS: We describe a case of a HIV-negative bisexual man who developed a symptomatic mpox infection 13weeks after completing a two-dose course of subcutaneous third-generation modified vaccinia Ankara vaccines. The case likely acquired his mpox infection in the USA; was diagnosed in Aotearoa, New Zealand; and was followed-up in Australia, as he was actively travelling during his infection. CONCLUSIONS: This case highlights the importance of maintaining clinical suspicion for mpox in people who present with consistent symptoms, even if they are fully vaccinated. Also, as he travelled around Aotearoa, New Zealand, and Australia during his infection, this case highlights how public health authorities and clinicians can cooperate across jurisdictional boundaries to support cases and minimise the risk of onward transmission.

Intradermal but not intramuscular modified vaccinia Ankara immunizations protect against intravaginal tier2 simian-human immunodeficiency virus challenges in female macaques.

Route of immunization can markedly influence the quality of immune response. Here, we show that intradermal (ID) but not intramuscular (IM) modified vaccinia Ankara (MVA) vaccinations provide protection from acquisition of intravaginal tier2 simian-human immunodeficiency virus (SHIV) challenges in female macaques. Both routes of vaccination induce comparable levels of serum IgG with neutralizing and non-neutralizing activities. The protection in MVA-ID group correlates positively with serum neutralizing and antibody-dependent phagocytic activities, and envelope-specific vaginal IgA; while the limited protection in MVA-IM group correlates only with serum neutralizing activity. MVA-ID immunizations induce greater germinal center Tfh and B cell responses, reduced the ratio of Th1 to Tfh cells in blood and showed lower activation of intermediate monocytes and inflammasome compared to MVA-IM immunizations. This lower innate activation correlates negatively with induction of Tfh responses. These data demonstrate that the MVA-ID vaccinations protect against intravaginal SHIV challenges by modulating the innate and T helper responses.

The Reemerging Condition of Vaccinia: A Case Report and Brief Review of Monkeypox and Vaccinia Vaccines.

BACKGROUND The emergence of the monkeypox virus (mpox) is causing a large-scale re-administration of vaccinia-based vaccines. Many physicians have not been exposed to the rare, but implicit, complications, revealing a glaring need for updated evidence and re-examination. We present a case of a Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)-positive male patient who presented to the Emergency Department (ED) with vaccinia symptoms several days after receiving the JYNNEOS vaccine. CASE REPORT A 45-year-old man with a past medical history of well-controlled HIV presented to the ED for 5 days of nocturnal diaphoresis, chills, intermittent arthralgia, and myalgia that began shortly after receiving the JYNNEOS vaccine. The patient reported an intermittent fever of 101°F (38.3°C) but denied cough, chest pain, and dyspnea, and had otherwise normal vital signs. Serum lab test results were significant for elevated leukocytosis of 13.4 and CRP of 7.0, but were otherwise normal. The patient reported complete resolution of his symptoms after a 14-day follow-up via phone call. CONCLUSIONS Mpox is unfortunately spreading across the globe; therefore, many treatments and vaccines are being studied to address the outbreak. The latest generation of vaccines employ an attenuated vaccinia virus and are separated into replicating and non-replicating categories, and while generally safer than previous variola vaccines, they still are associated with rare complications and adverse effects. Generally, vaccinia symptoms are mild and self-resolving. Treatment is largely supportive and most patients can be discharged following general serum lab work-up and cardiopulmonary assessment.

Myocarditis and pericarditis recovery following smallpox vaccine 2002-2016: A comparative observational cohort study in the military health system.

OBJECTIVES: (1) Characterize the initial clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes of smallpox vaccine-associated hypersensitivity myocarditis and pericarditis (MP) in United States service members. (2) Describe the process of case identification and adjudication using the 2003 CDC nationally defined myocarditis/pericarditis epidemiologic case definitions to include consideration of case-specific diversity and evolving evidence. BACKGROUND: Between 2002 and 2016, 2.546 million service members received a smallpox Vaccinia vaccine. Acute MP is associated with vaccinia, but the long-term outcomes have not been studied. METHODS: Records of vaccinia-associated MP reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System by vaccination date were adjudicated using the 2003 MP epidemiologic case definitions for inclusion in a retrospective observational cohort study. Descriptive statistics of clinical characteristics, presentation, cardiac complications, and time course of clinical and cardiac recovery were calculated with comparisons by gender, diagnosis and time to recovery. RESULTS: Out of over 5000 adverse event reports, 348 MP cases who survived the acute illness, including 276 myocarditis (99.6% probable/confirmed) and 72 pericarditis (29.2% probable/confirmed), were adjudicated for inclusion in the long-term follow-up. Demographics included a median age of 24 years (IQR 21,30) and male predominance (96%). Compared to background military population, the myocarditis and pericarditis cohort had a higher percentage of white males by 8.2% (95% CI: 5.6, 10.0) and age <40 years by 4.2% (95% CI: 1.7,5.8). Long-term follow-up documented full recovery in 267/306 (87.3%) with 74.9% recovered in less than a year (median ~3 months). Among patients with myocarditis, the percentage who had a delayed time to recovery at time of last follow-up was 12.8% (95% CI: 2.1,24.7) higher in those with an acute left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) of ≤50% and 13.5% (95% CI: 2.4,25.7) higher in those with hypokinesis. Patient complications included 6 ventricular arrhythmias (2 received implanted defibrillators) and 14 with atrial arrhythmias (2 received radiofrequency ablation). Three of 6 patients (50%) diagnosed with cardiomyopathy had clinical recovery at their last follow-up date. CONCLUSIONS: Hypersensitivity myocarditis/pericarditis following the smallpox vaccine is associated with full clinical and functional ventricular recovery in over 87% of cases (74.9% <1 year). A minority of MP cases experienced prolonged or incomplete recovery beyond 1 year.

Short-term Adverse Events Following Immunization With Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Bavarian Nordic (MVA-BN) Vaccine for Mpox.

This study uses data collected by Australia's vaccine safety surveillance system to examine the adverse event profile of the modified vaccinia Ankara­Bavarian Nordic vaccine.

Safety and Efficacy of Post-Eradication Smallpox Vaccine as an Mpox Vaccine: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis.

According to the World Health Organization, 83,339 laboratory-confirmed cases, including 72 deaths, of mpox (formerly known as monkeypox), have been reported from 110 locations globally as of 20 December 2022, making the disease a public health concern. Most of the cases (56,171, 67.4%) were reported from countries in North America. Limited data on vaccine effectiveness in the current mpox outbreak are available. However, the modified vaccinia virus (smallpox vaccine) has been predicted to prevent or reduce the severity of the mpox infection. The present study of systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the modified vaccinia vaccine's safety and efficacy on mpox by using reported randomized clinical trials. Following guidelines from the Cochrane Collaboration and PRISMA, multiple databases including PubMed, PLOS ONE, Google Scholar, British Medical Journal, and the U. S. National Library of Medicine were searched. Out of 13,294 research articles initially identified, 187 were screened after removing duplicates. Following the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the meta-analysis included ten studies with 7430 patients. Three researchers independently assessed the risk of bias in the included study. The pooled results suggest that the vaccinia-exposed group had fewer side effects when compared to the vaccinia naïve group (odds ratio: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.07-2.57; p = 0.03). Overall, the modified vaccinia has proven safe and effective in both vaccinia naïve and previously exposed groups, with higher efficacy in the previously exposed groups.

Clinical characteristics of mpox infection in individuals who received a first dose of modified vaccinia Ankara immunisation.

INTRODUCTION: A key part of the response to the mpox (monkeypox) epidemic has been the vaccination campaign targeted at gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBM), including people living with HIV (PLWH). METHODS: We undertook a single-site, retrospective analysis of individuals who received a single dose of modified vaccinia Ankara (MVA-BN) prior to the onset of mpox symptoms. Demographics, clinical characteristics and patient management were analysed. RESULTS: Of 10 068 individuals who received a first dose of the MVA-BN vaccination, 15 (0.15%) developed mpox subsequently. All individuals identified were GBM with 12/15 (80%) on Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and 3/15 (20%) PLWH. Median time from MVA-BN inoculum to mpox symptoms was 4 days (IQR 3-9), systemic symptoms and supportive medical treatment required were common (11/15 patients, 73%) and all had localising skin lesions. One individual required hospitalisation. CONCLUSIONS: Although clinical presentation was similar to unvaccinated cohorts, we observed low numbers of mpox cases following a first dose of MVA-BN vaccination. Larger, multicentric studies are needed to further evaluate vaccination failure and immunity duration.

Vaccinia-Virus-Based Vaccines Are Expected to Elicit Highly Cross-Reactive Immunity to the 2022 Monkeypox Virus.

Beginning in May 2022, a novel cluster of monkeypox virus infections was detected in humans. This virus has spread rapidly to non-endemic countries, sparking global concern. Specific vaccines based on the vaccinia virus (VACV) have demonstrated high efficacy against monkeypox viruses in the past and are considered an important outbreak control measure. Viruses observed in the current outbreak carry distinct genetic variations that have the potential to affect vaccine-induced immune recognition. Here, by investigating genetic variation with respect to orthologous immunogenic vaccinia-virus proteins, we report data that anticipates immune responses induced by VACV-based vaccines, including the currently available MVA-BN and ACAM2000 vaccines, to remain highly cross-reactive against the newly observed monkeypox viruses.

Monkeypox: A clinical update for paediatricians.

The global spread of human monkeypox disease, a zoonotic infection related to smallpox and endemic to West and Central Africa, presents serious challenges for health systems. As of July 2022, 14 533 cases have been reported world-wide, leading to designation as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Monkeypox disease is spread from animals to humans through infected lesions or fluids; human-human transmission occurs through fomites, droplets or direct contact. Illness is usually self-limiting, but severe disease can occur in specific groups - particularly children, and people who are immunocompromised or pregnant. Clinical presentation may include fever, lymphadenopathy and skin rash, but the rash may occur without other symptoms. Complications can include secondary bacterial infection of skin lesions, vision loss from corneal involvement, pneumonia, sepsis and encephalitis. Diagnosis of monkeypox requires consideration of epidemiological, clinical and laboratory findings, with sensitive history-taking, to elicit close contacts, critical. Supportive management is usually sufficient, but treatment options (where required) include antivirals and vaccinia immune globulin. A paucity of safety data for relevant antivirals may limit their use. There are two types of monkeypox vaccines: a replication-competent vaccinia vaccine, the use of which is logistically and clinically complex, and a replication-deficient modified vaccinia Ankara virus vaccine. Preparedness of health systems for addressing the current outbreak is constrained by historic underfunding for research, and compounded by stigma and discrimination against cases and affected communities. Key challenges in halting transmission include improving vaccine equity and countering discrimination against men who have sex with men to aid diagnosis and treatment.

A Nucleic Acid-Based Orthopoxvirus Vaccine Targeting the Vaccinia Virus L1, A27, B5, and A33 Proteins Protects Rabbits against Lethal Rabbitpox Virus Aerosol Challenge.

In the age of COVID, nucleic acid vaccines have garnered much attention, at least in part, because of the simplicity of construction, production, and flexibility to adjust and adapt to an evolving outbreak. Orthopoxviruses remain a threat on multiple fronts, especially as emerging zoonoses. In response, we developed a DNA vaccine, termed 4pox, that protected nonhuman primates against monkeypox virus (MPXV)-induced severe disease. Here, we examined the protective efficacy of the 4pox DNA vaccine delivered by intramuscular (i.m.) electroporation (EP) in rabbits challenged with aerosolized rabbitpox virus (RPXV), a model that recapitulates the respiratory route of exposure and low dose associated with natural smallpox exposure in humans. We found that 4pox-vaccinated rabbits developed immunogen-specific antibodies, including neutralizing antibodies, and did not develop any clinical disease, indicating protection against aerosolized RPXV. In contrast, unvaccinated animals developed significant signs of disease, including lesions, and were euthanized. These findings demonstrate that an unformulated, nonadjuvanted DNA vaccine delivered i.m. can protect against an aerosol exposure. IMPORTANCE The eradication of smallpox and subsequent cessation of vaccination have left a majority of the population susceptible to variola virus or other emerging poxviruses. This is exemplified by human monkeypox, as evidenced by the increase in reported endemic and imported cases over the past decades. Therefore, a malleable vaccine technology that can be mass produced and does not require complex conditions for distribution and storage is sought. Herein, we show that a DNA vaccine, in the absence of a specialized formulation or adjuvant, can protect against a lethal aerosol insult of rabbitpox virus.

Outcomes of post-exposure vaccination by modified vaccinia Ankara to prevent mpox (formerly monkeypox): a retrospective observational study in Lyon, France, June to August 2022.

Modified vaccinia virus Ankara vaccine (MVA-BN; Bavarian Nordic) is recommended to contacts of mpox cases up to 14 days post-exposure but the effectiveness of this strategy is unknown. Among 108 adults (≥ 18 years old) who received one dose of MVA-BN after exposure to mpox, 11 (10%) cases of breakthrough mpox were observed. Sexual exposure was associated with the risk of breakthrough mpox (p = 0.0179). Samples taken from vaccinated breakthrough mpox cases had similar rates of infectious virus isolation than unvaccinated mpox cases.

A human recombinant analogue to plasma-derived vaccinia immunoglobulin prophylactically and therapeutically protects against lethal orthopoxvirus challenge.

Orthopoxviruses such as variola and monkeypox viruses continue to threaten the human population. Monkeypox virus is endemic in central and western Africa and outbreaks have reached as far as the U.S. Although variola virus, the etiologic agent of smallpox, has been eradicated by a successful vaccination program, official and likely clandestine stocks of the virus exist. Moreover, studies with ectromelia virus (the etiological agent of mousepox) have revealed that IL-4 recombinant viruses are significantly more virulent than wild-type viruses even in mice treated with vaccines and/or antivirals. For these reasons, it is critical that antiviral modalities are developed to treat these viruses should outbreaks, or deliberate dissemination, occur. Currently, 2 antivirals (brincidofovir and tecovirimat) are in the U.S. stockpile allowing for emergency use of the drugs to treat smallpox. Both antivirals have advantages and disadvantages in a clinical and emergency setting. Here we report on the efficacy of a recombinant immunoglobulin (rVIG) that demonstrated efficacy against several orthopoxviruses in vitro and in vivo in both a prophylactic and therapeutic fashion. A single intraperitoneal injection of rVIG significantly protected mice when given up to 14 days before or as late as 6 days post challenge. Moreover, rVIG reduced morbidity, as measured by weight-change, as well as several previously established biomarkers of disease. In rVIG treated mice, we found that vDNA levels in blood were significantly reduced, as was ALT (a marker of liver damage) and infectious virus levels in the liver. No apparent adverse events were observed in rVIG treated mice, suggesting the immunoglobulin is well tolerated. These findings suggest that recombinant immunoglobulins could be candidates for further evaluation and possible licensure under the FDA Animal Rule.

Effect of the Route of Administration of the Vaccinia Virus Strain LIVP to Mice on Its Virulence and Immunogenicity.

The mass smallpox vaccination campaign has played a crucial role in smallpox eradication. Various strains of the vaccinia virus (VACV) were used as a live smallpox vaccine in different countries, their origin being unknown in most cases. The VACV strains differ in terms of pathogenicity exhibited upon inoculation of laboratory animals and reactogenicity exhibited upon vaccination of humans. Therefore, each generated strain or clonal variant of VACV needs to be thoroughly studied in in vivo systems. The clonal variant 14 of LIVP strain (LIVP-14) was the study object in this work. A comparative analysis of the virulence and immunogenicity of LIVP-14 inoculated intranasally (i.n.), intradermally (i.d.), or subcutaneously (s.c.) to BALB/c mice at doses of 108, 107, and 106 pfu was carried out. Adult mice exhibited the highest sensitivity to the i.n. administered LIVP-14 strain, although the infection was not lethal. The i.n. inoculated LIVP-14 replicated efficiently in the lungs. Furthermore, this virus was accumulated in the brain at relatively high concentrations. Significantly lower levels of LIVP-14 were detected in the liver, kidneys, and spleen of experimental animals. No clinical manifestations of the disease were observed after i.d. or s.c. injection of LIVP-14 to mice. After s.c. inoculation, the virus was detected only at the injection site, while it could disseminate to the liver and lungs when delivered via i.d. administration. A comparative analysis of the production of virus-specific antibodies by ELISA and PRNT revealed that the highest level of antibodies was induced in i.n. inoculated mice; a lower level of antibodies was observed after i.d. administration of the virus and the lowest level after s.c. injection. Even at the lowest studied dose (106 pfu), i.n. or i.d. administered LIVP-14 completely protected mice against infection with the cowpox virus at the lethal dose. Our findings imply that, according to the ratio between such characteristics as pathogenicity/immunogenicity/protectivity, i.d. injection is the optimal method of inoculation with the VACV LIVP-14 strain to ensure the safe formation of immune defense after vaccination against orthopoxviral infections.

Replication-inducible vaccinia virus vectors with enhanced safety in vivo.

Vaccinia virus (VACV) has been used extensively as the vaccine against smallpox and as a viral vector for the development of recombinant vaccines and cancer therapies. Replication-competent, non-attenuated VACVs induce strong, long-lived humoral and cell-mediated immune responses and can be effective oncolytic vectors. However, complications from uncontrolled VACV replication in vaccinees and their close contacts can be severe, particularly in individuals with predisposing conditions. In an effort to develop replication-competent VACV vectors with improved safety, we placed VACV late genes encoding core or virion morphogenesis proteins under the control of tet operon elements to regulate their expression with tetracycline antibiotics. These replication-inducible VACVs would only express the selected genes in the presence of tetracyclines. VACVs inducibly expressing the A3L or A6L genes replicated indistinguishably from wild-type VACV in the presence of tetracyclines, whereas there was no evidence of replication in the absence of antibiotics. These outcomes were reflected in mice, where the VACV inducibly expressing the A6L gene caused weight loss and mortality equivalent to wild-type VACV in the presence of tetracyclines. In the absence of tetracyclines, mice were protected from weight loss and mortality, and viral replication was not detected. These findings indicate that replication-inducible VACVs based on the conditional expression of the A3L or A6L genes can be used for the development of safer, next-generation live VACV vectors and vaccines. The design allows for administration of replication-inducible VACV in the absence of tetracyclines (as a replication-defective vector) or in the presence of tetracyclines (as a replication-competent vector) with enhanced safety.