Uncertainty and precaution in hunting wolves twice in a year: Reanalysis of Treves and Louchouarn.

Management of wolves is controversial in many jurisdictions where wolves live, which underscores the importance of rigor, transparency, and reproducibility when evaluating outcomes of management actions. Treves and Louchouarn 2022 (hereafter TL) predicted outcomes for various fall 2021 hunting scenarios following Wisconsin's judicially mandated hunting and trapping season in spring 2021, and concluded that even a zero harvest scenario could result in the wolf population declining below the population goal of 350 wolves specified in the 1999 Wisconsin wolf management plan. TL further concluded that with a fall harvest of > 16 wolves there was a "better than average possibility" that the wolf population size would decline below that 350-wolf threshold. We show that these conclusions are incorrect and that they resulted from mathematical errors and selected parameterizations that were consistently biased in the direction that maximized mortality and minimized reproduction (i.e., positively biased adult mortality, negatively biased pup survival, further halving pup survival to November, negatively biased number of breeding packs, and counting harvested wolves twice among the dead). These errors systematically exaggerated declines in predicted population size and resulted in erroneous conclusions that were not based on the best available or unbiased science. Corrected mathematical calculations and more rigorous parameterization resulted in predicted outcomes for the zero harvest scenario that more closely coincided with the empirical population estimates in 2022 following a judicially prevented fall hunt in 2021. Only in scenarios with simulated harvest of 300 or more wolves did probability of crossing the 350-wolf population threshold exceed zero. TL suggested that proponents of some policy positions bear a greater burden of proof than proponents of other positions to show that "their estimates are accurate, precise, and reproducible". In their analysis, TL failed to meet this standard that they demanded of others.

Linking sequences of exposure to residential (dis)advantage, individual socioeconomic status, and health.

Life course theories suggest that the relationship between residential (dis)advantage and health is best understood by examining the ordering and duration of cumulative exposures across the life course. This study employs sequence and cluster analysis on two decades of residential histories linked to the Survey of the Health of Wisconsin to define typologies of exposure to residential (dis)advantage and use these typologies to predict self-rated fair/poor health. Exposure to residential (dis)advantage is mostly stable across the adult life course and greater disadvantage predicts fair/poor health. Longitudinal exposures to residential (dis)advantage shape health independently of and in tandem with individual-level resources.

IQ in high school as a predictor of midlife alcohol drinking patterns.

AIMS: The aim of the present study was to assess the relationship between adolescent IQ and midlife alcohol use and to explore possible mediators of this relationship. METHODS: Study data were from 6300 men and women who participated in the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study of high-school students graduating in 1957. IQ scores were collected during the participants' junior year of high school. In 2004, participants reported the number of alcoholic beverages consumed (past 30 days) and the number of binge-drinking episodes. A multinomial logistic regression was conducted to determine the relationship between adolescent IQ and future drinking pattern (abstainer, moderate drinker, or heavy drinker), and Poisson regression was used to examine the number of binge-drinking episodes. Two mediators-income and education-were also explored. RESULTS: Every one-point increase in IQ score was associated with a 1.6% increase in the likelihood of reporting moderate or heavy drinking as compared to abstinence. Those with higher IQ scores also had significantly fewer binge-drinking episodes. Household income, but not education, partially mediated the relationship between IQ and drinking pattern. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that higher adolescent IQ may predict a higher likelihood of moderate or heavy drinking in midlife, but fewer binge-drinking episodes. The study also suggests that this relationship is mediated by other psychosocial factors, specifically income, prompting future exploration of mediators in subsequent studies.

Determinants of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposure among Wisconsin residents.

BACKGROUND: Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) include thousands of manufactured compounds with growing public health concerns due to their potential for widespread human exposure and adverse health outcomes. While PFAS contamination remains a significant concern, especially from ingestion of contaminated food and water, determinants of the variability in PFAS exposure among regional and statewide populations in the United States remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to leverage The Survey of the Health of Wisconsin (SHOW), the only statewide representative cohort in the US, to assess and characterize the variability of PFAS exposure in a general population. METHODS: This study sample included a sub-sample of 605 adult participants from the 2014-2016 tri-annual statewide representative sample. Geometric means for PFOS, PFOA, PFNA, PFHxS, PFPeS, PFHpA, and a summed measure of 38 analyzed serum PFAS were presented by demographic, diet, behavioral, and residential characteristics. Multivariate linear regression was used to determine significant predictors of serum PFAS after adjustment. RESULTS: Overall, higher serum concentrations of long-chain PFAS were observed compared with short-chain PFAS. Older adults, males, and non-Hispanic White individuals had higher serum PFAS compared to younger adults, females, and non-White individuals. Eating caught fish in the past year was associated with elevated levels of several PFAS. DISCUSSION: This is among the first studies to characterize serum PFAS among a representative statewide sample in Wisconsin. Both short- and long-chain serum PFAS were detectable for six prominent PFAS. Age and consumption of great lakes fish were the most significant predictors of serum PFAS. State-level PFAS biomonitoring is important for identifying high risk populations and informing state public health standards and interventions, especially among those not living near known contamination sites.

Prenatal opioid exposure by likelihood of exposure and risk to prenatal development: Medicaid-covered births in Wisconsin, 2010-2019.

Prenatal opioid exposure is an established public health problem, in particular among Medicaid-covered births. Yet, existing prevalence rates are plausibly underestimated. We leverage extensive linked longitudinal administrative data for all Medicaid-covered live births in Wisconsin from 2010 to 2019 to estimate a range of prevalence rates using an innovative strategy that jointly accounts for both likelihood of exposure and potential risk to prenatal development. We find that 20.8% of infants may have been prenatally exposed to opioids, with 1.7% diagnosed with neonatal abstinence syndrome and an additional 1.2% having a high combined likelihood of exposure and potential risk to prenatal development, 2.6% a moderate combined likelihood and risk, and 15.3% a low or uncertain combined likelihood and risk. We assess improvements in prevalence estimates based on our nuanced classification relative to those of prior studies. Our strategy could be broadly used to quantify the scope of the opioid crisis for pregnant populations, target interventions, and promote child health and development.

Isolation of a CTX-M-55 (ESBL)-Producing Escherichia coli Strain of the Global ST6448 Clone from a Captive Orangutan in the USA.

The purpose of this study was to determine if orangutans (Pongo spp.) living in captivity at a zoo in Wisconsin were colonized with antimicrobial-resistant bacteria and, if found, to identify underlying genetic mechanisms contributing to their resistant phenotypes. We hypothesize that since antimicrobial-resistant bacteria are so prevalent within humans, the animals could also be carriers of such strains given the daily contact between the animals and the zoo staff that care for them. To test this theory, fecal samples from two orangutans were examined for resistant bacteria by inoculation on HardyCHROM™ ESBL and HardyCHROM™ CRE agars. Isolates were identified using MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry and antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed using a Microscan autoSCAN-4 System. An isolate was selected for additional characterization, including whole genome sequencing (WGS). Using the Type (Strain) Genome Server (TYGS) the bacterium was identified as Escherichia coli. The sequence type identified was (ST/phylogenetic group/ß-lactamase): ST6448/B1/CTX-M-55.

Same People, Different Results: Categorizing Cancer Registry Cases Across the Rural-Urban Continuum.

BACKGROUND: Many rural-urban indexes are utilized in cancer research. This variation introduces inconsistencies between studies. Recommendations on index use have prioritized geographical unit over feasibility of inclusion in analysis. We evaluated rural-urban indexes and recommend one for use to increase comparability across studies. METHODS: We assessed 9 US rural-urban indexes regarding their respective rural and urban code ranges; geographical unit, land area, and population distributions; percent agreement; suitability for analysis; and integration feasibility for national, state, and local cancer research. We referenced 1569 Wisconsin Pancreatic Cancer Registry patients to demonstrate how index choice affects patient categorization. RESULTS: Six indexes categorized rural and urban areas. Indexes agreed on binary rural-urban designation for 88.8% of the US population. As ternary variables, they agreed for 83.4%. For cancer registry patients, this decreased to 73.4% and 60.4% agreement, respectively. Rural-Urban Continuum Codes (RUCC) performed the best in differentiating metropolitan, micropolitan, and rural counties; availability for retrospective and prospective studies; and continuous coding for analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Urban/rural patient categorization changed with index selection. We conclude that RUCC is an appropriate and feasible rural-urban index to include in cancer research, as it is standardly available in national cancer registries, can be matched to patient's county of residence for local research, and it had the least amount of fluctuation of the indices analyzed. Utilizing RUCC as a continuous variable across studies with a rural-urban component will increase reproducibility and comparability of results and eliminate rural-urban index choice as a potential source of discrepancy between studies.

Perspectives on Electronic Nicotine Delivery System Use Cessation Among Adults in Rural Areas: Implications for Future Studies.

INTRODUCTION: More young adults (age 18-24 years) in rural areas versus urban areas use electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) - also known as e-cigarettes. Little is known about young adults' perceptions toward ENDS use and cessation. The objective of this study was to examine barriers and facilitators to ENDS use cessation among young adults living in rural areas, as well as their perceptions about ENDS use and cessation and to determine implications for future cessation studies. METHODS: We administered cross-sectional online surveys to young adults living in rural Midwestern counties. A total of 100 individuals responded to the surveys. Descriptive statistics were used to report their perceptions of ENDS use as well as barriers and facilitators to ENDS use cessation. The content analysis method was used to analyze the answers to an open-ended question regarding perceptions about the ENDS use cessation in the context of rural areas. RESULTS: Barriers to ENDS use cessation included perceived advantages to ENDS use, high nicotine dependence, and the perception that ENDS use was less harmful cigarettes. Facilitators to ENDS use cessation included cost of ENDS use, perceived harm, and high confidence in ability to quit. Participants' perceptions about ENDS use cessation in the context of rural areas were conceptualized under the themes of (1) exposure to and initiation of ENDS use, (2) continuation of ENDS use, and (3) prevention and cessation of ENDS use. CONCLUSIONS: Health care providers, tobacco control researchers, and public health advocates should be aware of barriers and facilitators to ENDS use cessation among young adults for future cessation intervention studies relevant specifically to rural areas.

Perceptions of the Minority Tax Experienced by Faculty and Students Underrepresented in Medicine at the University of Wisconsin.

INTRODUCTION: The minority tax in academic medicine can be defined as the additional responsibilities placed on underrepresented in medicine (URiM) faculty, staff, and students in the name of diversity. Often this looks like participating in additional diversity committees, recruitment efforts, and mentorship activities. These extra responsibilities often are not recognized, not included in promotions, and take time from other clinical, research, and traditional scholarly responsibilities. OBJECTIVES: There is a significant gap in the literature examining the experiences of URiM-identifying faculty and students in relation to the minority tax. Our goal was to do a quality improvement project to explore this gap through interviewing URiM-identifying faculty and conducting focus groups with URiM-identifying students, with the goal of making recommendations to help reduce the minority tax burdens to this community. METHODS: A scoping literature review on the minority tax burden in academic medicine was used to inform the development of questions to use in focus groups of URiM University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health (UWSMPH) students and interviews of URiM UWSMPH faculty members. After development of a facilitation guide, we conducted three 1-hour focus groups with 14 students who identified as URiM and did eight 30-minute interviews with faculty who identified as URiM. A codebook was generated using inductive analysis after reviewing transcripts. Coding was performed independently with 2 separate coders in order to ensure inter-coder reliability. RESULTS: Ninety-one percent of students and 62.5% of faculty endorsed experiencing the minority tax at UWSMPH. Faculty also reported increasing feelings of support due to UWSMPH programs that support URiM faculty. Students reported the minority tax being central to their role as URiM students. Both students and faculty reported that the additional burdens of the minority tax took time away from traditional scholarly activities that were essential for promotion (faculty) or residency (students). CONCLUSIONS: The minority tax burden experienced by URiM faculty and students may negatively affect their careers, as they note spending more time on activities that may not be valued for promotion. It is essential to address these burdens in order to achieve equity within the medical institution.

Interfacility Ambulance Versus Helicopter Transport of Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury Patients: Outcomes, Observations, and Utilization.

INTRODUCTION: Traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI) is a devastating event that can cause permanent loss of function or disability. Time to surgical decompression of the spinal cord affects outcomes and is a critical principle in management of tSCI. One of the major determinants of time to decompression is transport time. To date, no study has compared the neurological outcomes of tSCI patients transported via ground/ambulance versus air/helicopter. OBJECTIVE: This retrospective cohort study sought to assess the association of the mode of transport on the neurological outcomes of tSCI patients. METHODS: Data from 46 ground transport and 29 air transport patients with tSCI requiring surgical decompression were collected. Outcomes were assessed by the change in American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) grade from admission to discharge. Additionally, the utilization of air versus ground transport was assessed based on the distance from the admitting institution. RESULTS: Among the transport groups, there were no significant differences (PP < 0.05) in patient demographics. Helicopter transport patients demonstrated higher rates of AIS grade improvement (P = 0.004), especially among AIS grade A/grade B patients (P = 0.02; P = 0.02, respectively), compared to the ambulance transport group. Additionally, within the cohort of patients undergoing decompression within 0 to 12 hours, helicopter transport was associated with higher AIS grade improvement (P = 0.04) versus the ambulance transport group. Helicopter transport was used more frequently at distances greater than 80 miles from the admitting institution (P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that helicopter transport of tSCI patients requiring surgical decompression was associated with improved neurological outcomes compared to patients transported via ambulance.

Review of Cutaneous Blastomycosis Seen in Wisconsin.

INTRODUCTION: Blastomycosis is a fungal infection caused by Blastomyces dermatitidis that is hyperendemic in Wisconsin. It commonly presents as a pulmonary infection and frequently disseminates to the skin. Studies evaluating the presentation and diagnosis of blastomycosis with skin as a presenting sign have not been thoroughly evaluated, and understanding the most accurate way to diagnose this infection is important for earlier therapeutic intervention. METHODS: This is a retrospective chart review study of a single institution. Subjects were identified through a search of ICD-9 (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision) and ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision) codes for blastomycosis in the clinical record and pathology database. Patients were included if diagnosed with cutaneous blastomycosis infection or involvement of the skin from systemic infection from January 1, 2009, to June 1, 2021. RESULTS: Twenty patients with a diagnosis of cutaneous involvement of blastomycosis were identified; 65% (n = 13) were male. Median age of diagnosis was 55.5 years. Fifty-five percent of patients were White, 35% were Black or African American. In addition to residence in an endemic area, 50% (n = 10) had exposure risk factors. Fifty percent of patients (n = 10) initially presented with a skin concerns; 65% (n = 13) had extracutaneous involvement. Diagnosis was made by histopathology alone in 55% (n = 11), culture plus histopathology in 35% (n = 7), and culture alone in 5% (n = 1) of cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlighted similarities to those previously performed. Half of the patients (n = 10) who had cutaneous involvement of blastomycosis did not demonstrate clinically significant pulmonary involvement. Histopathology and culture remain critical in diagnosing cutaneous blastomycosis.

Critical Reflection to Investigate Medical Student Attitudes Toward Skin Tone in Their Preclinical Years.

INTRODUCTION: Implicit racial bias, defined as unreasoned judgement based solely on an individual's skin color, is a persistent barrier to quality medical care for people of color in the United States. Early, learner-centered intervention is crucial to establish cultural competence within health professional training programs. METHODS: Over 3 academic years, preclinical, second-year medical students were asked to submit an anonymous critical reflection regarding skin tone in medicine (n=794). Critical reflection is an instructional approach that encourages students to investigate their own thoughts and actions. Course credit was given based on the honor system. Reflection submission content and student feedback were analyzed quantitatively and qualitatively using constructivist thematic analysis. RESULTS: Most students completed the assignment (93.0%) and reported feeling comfortable expressing themselves honestly in the anonymous format (84.6%). Students' comfort level with honesty declined if they would have had to identify themselves (50.8%). Student comments indicated relief to have a place to process experiences and emphasized the importance of anonymity for value of this assignment. Thematic analysis identified 2 themes and 13 subthemes among student submissions. Submissions varied in format and typically contained multiple codes (4.08 ± 1.77 subthemes), indicating that students participated meaningfully in the assignment. CONCLUSIONS: Although some educators may hesitate to address these topics, students at our institution appreciated having a space to process their thoughts. This assignment structure is an effective way for educators to address a difficult, sensitive, and important topic in a meaningful way with students.

A 'PEaRL' of Support and Cooperative Learning: A Pilot Study Shifting the Sands of the Dreaded Morbidity and Mortality Conference.

BACKGROUND: When unanticipated and/or poor patient outcomes occur, clinicians frequently experience guilt, anger, psychological distress, and fear, which can be intensified by traditional morbidity and mortality conferences. METHODS: The Pediatric Event Review and Learning (PEaRL) curriculum was developed to discuss unanticipated and/or poor patient outcomes and foster support while highlighting foundational safety concepts. Pre- and post-implementation evaluations of quarterly cased-based sessions were completed. RESULTS: All respondents endorsed that unanticipated and/or poor patient outcomes affected their mood, well-being, and functioning. Post-implementation of the PEaRL curriculum, significantly more respondents endorsed existence of a safe environment and structured format to discuss these outcomes, as well as feeling more supported. DISCUSSION: The PEaRL curriculum provides a valuable opportunity for trainees and experienced clinicians alike to explore and discuss unanticipated and/or poor patient outcomes while addressing key patient safety principles.