Baseline serum neurofilament light chain levels differentiate aggressive from benign forms of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a 20-year follow-up cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Serum biomarkers are emerging as useful prognostic tools for multiple sclerosis (MS); however, long-term studies are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the long-term prognostic value of the serum levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL), total tau, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and chitinase 3-like-1 (CHI3L1) measured close to the time of MS onset. METHODS: In this retrospective, exploratory, observational, case and controls study, patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) with available baseline serum samples and prospectively follow-up in our MS unit for a long time were selected based on their clinical evolution to form two groups: (1) a benign RRMS (bRRMS) group, defined as patients with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of ≤ 3 at ≥ 10 years of follow-up; (2) an aggressive RRMS (aRRMS) group, defined as patients with an EDSS score of ≥ 6 at ≤ 15 years of follow-up. An age-matched healthy control (HC) group was selected. NfL, total tau, and GFAP serum levels were quantified using a single-molecule array (SIMOA), and CHI3L1 was quantified using ELISA. RESULTS: Thirty-one patients with bRRMS, 19 with aRRMS, and 10 HC were included. The median follow-up time from sample collection was 17.74 years (interquartile range, 14.60-20.37). Bivariate and multivariate analyses revealed significantly higher NfL and GFAP levels in the aRRMS group than in the bRRMS group. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified serum NfL level as the most efficient marker for distinguishing aRRMS from bRRMS. DISCUSSION: This proof-of-concept study comparing benign and aggressive RRMS groups reinforces the potential role of baseline NfL serum levels as a promising long-term disability prognostic marker. In contrast, serum GFAP, total tau, and CHI3L1 levels demonstrated a lower or no ability to differentiate between the long-term outcomes of RRMS.

Kappa free light chains index in multiple sclerosis very long-term prognosis.

Introduction: The role of the kappa-free light chain (kFLC) in the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) and, to a lesser extent, its role as a medium-term prognostic marker have been extensively studied. This study aimed to explore its potential as a long-term prognostic marker for MS. Methods: We performed an exploratory retrospective observational study by selecting patients systemically followed up in our MS unit with available cerebrospinal fluid and serum samples at the time of initial evaluation. Two groups were defined: benign MS (bMS), defined as patients with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ≤ 3 at 10 years of follow-up, and aggressive MS (aMS), defined as patients with EDSS ≥ 6 at 15 years of follow-up. Clinical variables were collected, and the immunoglobulin G (IgG) index, kFLC index, and oligoclonal bands (OCB) were determined for all patients and compared between the groups. Results: Twenty bMS and 15 aMS patients were included in this study. Sixty percent (21/35) were female, and the mean age at the time of the first symptom was 31.5 ± 9.45 years, with no statistical differences between groups. Median follow-up time was 19.8 years (Interquartile range, IQR 15.9-24.6). The median EDSS scores at the last follow-up were 1.5 and 7.5 in the bMS and the aMS group, respectively. No statistically significant differences were found in the kFLC index between the two groups (136.6 vs. 140.27, p=0.59). The IgG index was positive in 62.9% of patients (55% bMS vs. 73.3% aMS, p>0.05), and OCB was positive in 88.6% (90% bMS vs. 86.7% aMS, p>0.05). A significant positive correlation was found between IgG and kFLC indices (rs = 0.85, p<0.001). Conclusion: Given the absence of differences between the two groups with opposite disease courses, it is unlikely that the kFLC index is a reliable and powerful marker of long-term prognosis in MS.

Natalizumab continuation versus switching to ocrelizumab after PML risk stratification in RRMS patients: a natural experiment.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab (NTZ) and ocrelizumab (OCR) can be used for the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). In patients treated with NTZ, screening for JC virus (JCV) is mandatory, and a positive serology usually requires a change in treatment after 2 years. In this study, JCV serology was used as a natural experiment to pseudo-randomize patients into NTZ continuation or OCR. METHODS: An observational analysis of patients who had received NTZ for at least 2 years and were either changed to OCR or maintained on NTZ, depending on JCV serology status, was performed. A stratification moment (STRm) was established when patients were pseudo-randomized to either arm (NTZ continuation if JCV negativity, or change to OCR if JCV positivity). Primary endpoints include time to first relapse and presence of relapses after STRm and OCR initiation. Secondary endpoints include clinical and radiological outcomes after 1 year. RESULTS: Of the 67 patients included, 40 continued on NTZ (60%) and 27 were changed to OCR (40%). Baseline characteristics were similar. Time to first relapse was not significantly different. Ten patients in the JCV + OCR arm presented a relapse after STRm (37%), four during the washout period, and 13 patients in the JCV-NTZ arm (32.5%, p = 0.701). No differences in secondary endpoints were detected in the first year after STRm. CONCLUSIONS: The JCV status can be used as a natural experiment to compare treatment arms with a low selection bias. In our study, switching to OCR versus NTZ continuation led to similar disease activity outcomes.

Influence of Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Early Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: A Retrospective Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Prior studies have suggested that cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) can affect the prognosis of multiple sclerosis (MS). The aim of this study was to assess if CVRFs affect the early course of MS. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was performed, including patients diagnosed with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) from 2010 to 2020, with at least 2 years of disease and 6 months follow-up. Age at onset, disease duration, number of relapses, time to confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 3.0 and 6.0, and time to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) were collected. Presence and date at onset of hypertension (HT), diabetes mellitus (DM), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLc), and smoking during the study period were collected. The primary objective was to assess if CVRFs at the onset of MS are associated with lower time to EDSS 3.0, time to EDSS 6.0, and time to SPMS, using bivariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: 281 RRMS patients were included; median age at onset was 33 (IQR 26-39); 69.4% were female. Median EDSS at onset was 1.5 (IQR 1-2.5). Nine patients reached SPMS; 24 patients were diagnosed with HT, 9 with DM, 109 with high LDLc, and 123 were smokers during follow-up. No statistically significant association was found between the presence of CVRF at MS onset and the mentioned clinical outcomes during the MS course. CONCLUSION: No association was found between CVRFs and the early course of MS in our cohort.

The age at onset of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis has increased over the last five decades.

BACKGROUND: Patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) most commonly experience their first symptoms between 20 and 40 years of age. The objective of this study was to investigate how the age at which the first symptoms of RRMS occur has changed over the past decades. METHODS: Patients who were followed up in our unit after an initial diagnosis of RRMS using the Poser or McDonald criteria and who experienced their first symptoms between January 1970 and December 2019 were included in the study. The cohort was divided into five groups according to the decade in which the first symptoms appeared. The age at disease onset was compared across decades. Changes in age were also determined after excluding patients with early-onset disease (<18 years of age) and those with late-onset disease (>50 years of age) to avoid bias. RESULTS: The cohort included 1,622 patients with RRMS, 67.6% of whom were women. Among them, 5.9% and 4% had early-onset and late-onset disease, respectively. The mean age ± standard deviation at onset was 31.11 ± 9.82 years, with no differences between men and women. The mean ages at onset were 23.79 ± 10.19 years between 1970 and 1979, 27.86 ± 9.22 years between 1980 and 1989, 30.07 ± 9.32 years between 1990 and 1999, 32.12 ± 9.47 between 2000 and 2009, and 34.28 ± 9.83 years between 2010 and 2019. The ages at disease onset were progressively higher in the later decades; this trend was statistically significant (p < 0.001), with a Pearson linear correlation coefficient R of 0.264 and R2 of 0.070 (p < 0.001). The results were similar when analysing men and women separately. We conducted an analysis of 1,460 patients (mean age at onset: 31.10 ± 7.99 years), after excluding patients with early-onset and late-onset disease. In this specific subgroup, the mean ages at disease onset were 28.38 ± 8.17 years between 1970 and 1979, 29.22 ± 7.51 years between 1980 and 1989, 30.06 ± 8.02 years between 1990 and 1999, 31.46 ± 7.77 years between 2000 and 2009, and 33.37 ± 7.97 years between 2010 and 2019. The trend was also statistically significant (p < 0.001), with a Pearson linear correlation coefficient R of 0.193 and R2 of 0.037 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our data showed that the age at RRMS onset has increased over the past decades.

Cost associated with a relapse-free patient in multiple sclerosis: A real-world health indicator.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) are well known; however, owing to their high costs, determining real-world outcomes is essential to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different therapeutic strategies. This study aimed to investigate the variability in the annual cost of DMTs associated with a relapse-free patient in a representative population cohort of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), and whether this could serve as an appropriate health indicator. METHODS: We analyzed the patients followed up in our MS clinic during the years 2016 and 2019, and selected patients belonging to our health district diagnosed with RRMS. The treatment cost associated with a relapse-free patient was the ratio between the total cost of DMTs and the number of relapse-free patients, treated and not treated, during the year of the study. RESULTS: A total of 158 patients with RRMS in 2016 and 183 in 2019 were included in our study. In 2016, 101 patients with RRMS (63.9%) received treatment with DMTs and 120 patients (75.9%) remained relapse-free. The mean cost of DMTs per patient in 2016 was €7414.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6325.2-8503.4) considering all the patients (treated and not treated). In 2019, 126 patients (68.9%) received DMTs and 151 patients (82.5%) remained relapse-free. The mean cost of DMTs per patient in 2019 was €6985.4 (95% CI: 5986.9-7983.9) considering all the patients. The cost per year of DMTs to achieve a relapse-free patient was €9762.2 in 2016 and €8465.8 in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment cost per year to achieve a relapse-free patient was stable during successive measurements in the same population. Therefore, it may be considered a good real-world health indicator for patients with RRMS treated with DMTs.

Glial and neuronal markers in cerebrospinal fluid in different types of multiple sclerosis.

In the present study, CSF concentrations of NFL, t-tau, p-tau, GFAP, S-100B, YKL-40, MCP-1, α-sAPP, ß-sAPP, and Aß38, Aß40, Aß42 were measured in 324 MS patients to test whether a correlation among the biomarkers exists and whether the profile of CSF biomarkers varies among the different types of MS. The CSF concentrations of NFL were significantly higher in RRMS while CSF concentrations of GFAP were higher in PPMS. CSF concentrations of NFL correlated with YKL-40 in CIS patients while CSF concentrations of GFAP correlated with YKL-40 in RRMS patients.

Leukocyte adhesion molecule dynamics after Natalizumab withdrawal in Multiple Sclerosis.

Cell-adhesion molecules (CAMs) dynamics in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients have been widely studied after Natalizumab (NTZ) introduction. However, their temporal dynamics after NTZ withdrawal (NTZ-W) has not been described. We prospectively evaluate changes in the expression levels of CAMs (CD49d, CD29, L-Selectin and CD11a) involved in T cell migration of 22 MS patients after NTZ-W. CD49d, CD29 and CD11a expression experienced a continuous increase expression two months after NTZ-W and Cd49d expression at month six after NTZ-W correlated to NTZ treatment duration, both in CD45+CD4+ and CD45+CD8+. CD49d expression up to month three after NTZ-W was related to MS activity in CD45+CD8+ at the end of the study. Results from this study suggest that patients with a longer NTZ treatment are more susceptible to present a "molecular rebound" after NTZ-W. CD49d determination may be a useful tool to closely monitor MS activity in patients who interrupt NTZ.

MxA mRNA expression as a biomarker of interferon beta response in multiple sclerosis patients.

Myxovirus resistance protein A (MxA) is a molecule induced after interferon-ß injection. The aim of this study was to investigate whether MxA determination one year after starting interferon-ß can predict treatment response in multiple sclerosis patients. MxA mRNA expression was evaluated in blood samples obtained at baseline and at month 12. Clinical variables were prospectively recorded. A threshold of 5 was defined to establish MxA induction. On survival analysis, time to the next relapse and to EDSS progression were significantly longer in patients showing MxA induction, suggesting that MxA induction after one year may be useful to identify interferon-ß responders.

Absence of MxA induction is related to a poor clinical response to interferon beta treatment in multiple sclerosis patients.

The aim of this study is to investigate whether induction of myxovirus resistance protein A (MxA) mRNA after 3 months of interferon-ß administration is related to the treatment response in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. In this prospective study, MS patients were enrolled before starting treatment. Demographic, clinical and radiological variables were recorded. Blood samples were obtained before, and at 3 and 12 months after interferon-ß treatment. Real-time PCR was used to analyze MxA mRNA expression. Patients were classified as MxA-low or -high depending on MxA levels at baseline, and as MxA-induced or -non-induced according to whether an increase in MxA expression was detected at month 3. Time to the next relapse was investigated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. One hundred and four patients were selected and followed for a median of 2.2 years (IQR 1.6-3.5). On Cox regression analysis, a higher EDSS score before treatment (HR 1.57; 95 % CI 1.02-2.40; p = 0.039), MxA-high status at baseline (HR 2.71; 95 % CI 1.26-5.81; p = 0.010), and MxA-non-induced at month 3 (HR 2.49; 95 % CI 1.08-5.68; p = 0.031), were predictors of poor response to interferon-ß in naïve MS patients. Patients showing a lower capacity for MxA induction following 3 months of interferon-ß treatment are more likely to be non-responders to this therapy.

Glial and neuronal markers in cerebrospinal fluid predict progression in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate glial and neuronal biomarkers in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples from patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS), and to evaluate their ability to predict conversion from CIS to clinically definite MS (CDMS) and also disability progression in MS. METHODS: CSF levels of neurofilament light protein (NFL), t-tau, p-tau, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), S-100B, human chitinase 3-like 1 protein (YKL-40), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), α-sAPP and ß-sAPP; and Aß38, Aß40 and Aß42, were analyzed in 109 CIS patients and 192 RRMS patients. The mean follow-up time of these 301 patients was 11.7 ± 6.4 years. RESULTS: High levels of NFL were associated with early conversion from CIS to CDMS (hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.69 (1.75 - 4.15); p < 0.0001). High levels of YKL-40 and GFAP were associated with earlier progression in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), score 3: YKL-40 (HR (95% CI): 2.78 (1.48 - 5.23); p = 0.001) and GFAP (HR (95% CI): 1.83 (1.01 - 3.35); p = 0.04). High levels of YKL-40 were associated with earlier progression to EDSS 6 (HR (95% CI): 4.57 (1.01 - 20.83); p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: CSF levels of NFL in CIS patients are an independent prognostic marker for conversion to CDMS. Whereas, CSF levels of YKL-40 and GFAP are independent prognostic markers for disability progression in MS.

Effectiveness of natalizumab in patients with highly active relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis.

INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the effectiveness of natalizumab in patients with highly active, relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (HA-RRMS) to identify baseline predictors associated with freedom from disease activity. METHODS: We analyzed 70 patients treated with natalizumab and followed for at least 1 year with progression of disability of ≥1 point on the EDSS before starting therapy. We recorded freedom from clinical activity, radiological activity, and disease activity (clinical and radiological). RESULTS: The median (IQR) follow-up was 2.3 (2.0-3.8) years. Of the 52 patients who completed 2 years of treatment, 25 were free of disease activity (48.1%). The ARR decreased from a mean ± SD of 2.49 ± 0.86 at baseline to 0.47 ± 0.83 at the end of the first year (p < 0.001) and 0.34 ± 0.69 at the end of the second year (p < 0.001). The percentage of patients with gadolinium-enhanced lesions decreased from 21 at baseline to 5.7 at the end of the first year (p < 0.001) and to 5.8 during the second year (p < 0.005). Baseline EDSS ≤3.0 was significantly associated with freedom from disease activity (OR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.24-4.99; p = 0.010). CONCLUSIONS: Natalizumab is effective in patients with HA-RRMS. Baseline EDSS ≤3.0 increases the probability of remaining disease-free in HA-RRMS treated with natalizumab.

Baseline MxA mRNA expression predicts interferon beta response in multiple sclerosis patients.

BACKGROUND: Myxovirus resistance protein A (MxA) is a molecule induced after interferon-beta injection, mostly used to evaluate its bioactivity. There is little available data on clinical utility of baseline MxA mRNA status. The objective of the study is to investigate whether baseline MxA mRNA expression can predict relapse and disease progression in multiple sclerosis patients treated with interferon-beta. METHODS: Baseline blood samples were obtained before the first interferon-beta dose was administered to evaluate MxA mRNA expression using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Demographic and clinical variables were prospectively recorded to define treatment responder and non responder groups. RESULTS: 104 patients were included in the study. Baseline MxA mRNA expression was significantly lower in the group of patients who met the definition of responders (1.07 vs 1.95, Student t test, p<0.0001). A threshold of 1.096 was established using Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis to differentiate between responders and non-responders (sensitivity 73.9%, specificity 69.0%). Survival analysis using this threshold showed that time to next relapse (p<0.0001) and to EDSS progression (p = 0.01) were significantly higher in patients with lower MxA titers. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that baseline MxA mRNA levels may be useful for predicting whether multiple sclerosis patients will respond or not to interferon-beta treatment.

Etiologic spectrum and prognosis of longitudinally extensive transverse myelopathies.

BACKGROUND: Patients with a first episode of longitudinal extensive transverse myelopathy (LETM) were reviewed with two objectives: to evaluate the clinical spectrum of LETM and to analyze the related clinical and laboratory variables that can be used as functional prognostic markers. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of clinical, radiologic and biochemical data of patients admitted for LETM between 1993 and 2011. RESULTS: Our cohort included 72 patients [median age 41 years, interquartile range (IQR) 29-61.5]. Median follow-up was 34 months (IQR 17.2-63). The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score was ≥2 at the end of follow-up in 72.2%. The final diagnosis was idiopathic LETM in 22 patients, multiple sclerosis in 18, parainfectious disease in 11, systemic disease in 9, spinal cord infarction and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders in 3 patients each, and acute demyelinating encephalomyelitis, dural fistula, and tumor-related LETM in 2 patients each. Unfavorable outcome was associated with mRS ≥2 at admission [odds ratio (OR) 1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-1.66] and older age (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.11). CONCLUSION: Idiopathic LETM was the most frequent diagnosis at the end of follow-up. Older age and clinically severe disease at onset were independent prognostic factors of poorer functional recovery.

Unusual forehead tremor in four patients with essential tremor.

Forehead tremor has only been reported in two patients with essential tremor, one with rhythmic tremor and the other with dystonic tremor. We report 4 new patients with essential tremor who present a 4-6 Hz frontal tremor registered by electromyography and unusual features like frontal tremor preceding limb tremor or unilateral involvement. Frontal tremor is present in some patients with essential tremor, sometimes preceding limb tremor. Treatment with botulinum toxin may be useful.

Epistasis between HLA-DRB1 parental alleles in a Spanish cohort with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Multiple sclerosis (MS) has been consistently associated with the HLA-DR2 haplotype and particularly with the HLA-DRB1*15 allele. Epistatic interactions between both parental alleles in the DRB1 loci have been shown to modify the MS susceptibility risk. This study investigated the frequencies of various HLA-DRB1 genotypes, their impact on MS susceptibility and their correlation with the clinical severity in a Spanish population. METHODS: A genotype was considered as the combination of the two parental DRB1 alleles. We compared the frequencies of the genotypes in a sporadic MS population (n=380) with those of an unrelated healthy control cohort (n=1088). We correlated the different genotypes with the age at onset, gender distribution, symptoms at onset, course of the disease and progression severity by means of the time to reach the progressive phase and EDSS scores of 3 and 6. RESULTS: We found 81 different genotypes. There were four different MS-predisposing genotypes. Three of them contained the DRB1*15 allele (DRB1*03/15, DRB1*04/15, and DRB1*08/15) and the fourth was homozygote for the DRB1*03 allele. The highest odds ratio was found with the genotype DRB1*08/15 (OR=3.88, 95% CI=1.83-8.26, p<0.01), followed by DRB1*03/03 (OR=3.15, 95% CI=1.93-5.14, p<0.01), DRB1*03/15 (OR=2.72, 95% CI=1.88-3.94, p<0.01) and DRB1*04/15 (OR=2.54, 95% CI=1.64-3.98, p<0.01). The DRB1*01/04 and the DRB1*15/15 genotypes were associated with a shorter time to reach an EDSS score of 6. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show the importance of epistatic interactions among the HLA-DRB1 alleles, modifying the risk for MS as well as its clinical severity.