Comparison of Incidence and Prognostic Impact of Ischemic, Major Bleeding and Heart Failure Events in Patients With Chronic Coronary Syndrome: Insights From the CORONOR Registry.

BACKGROUND: Evaluation of the residual risk in patient with chronic coronary syndrome is challenging in daily practice. Several types of events (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, bleeding, and heart failure [HF]) may occur, and their impact on subsequent mortality is unclear in the era of modern evidence-based pharmacotherapy. METHODS: CORONOR (Suivi d'une cohorte de patients Coronariens stables en région Nord-pas-de-Calais) is a prospective multicenter cohort that enrolled 4184 consecutive unselected outpatients with chronic coronary syndrome. We analyzed the incidence, correlates, and impact of ischemic events (a composite of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke), major bleeding (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium 3 or higher), and hospitalization for HF on subsequent patient mortality. RESULTS: During follow-up (median, 4.9 years), 677 patients (16.5%) died. The 5-year cumulative incidences (death as competing event) of ischemic events, major bleeding, and HF hospitalization were 6.3% (5.6%-7.1%), 3.1% (2.5%-3.6%), and 8.1% (7.3%-9%), respectively. Ischemic events, major bleeding, and HF hospitalization were each associated with all-cause mortality. Major bleeding and hospitalization for HF were associated with the highest mortality rates in the postevent period (42.4%/y and 34.7%/y, respectively) compared with incident ischemic events (13.1%/y). The age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 3.57 (95% CI, 2.77-4.61), 9.88 (95% CI, 7.55-12.93), and 8.60 (95% CI, 7.15-10.35) for ischemic events, major bleeding, and hospitalization for HF, respectively (all P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization for HF has become both the most frequent and one of the most ominous events among patients with chronic coronary syndrome. Although less frequent, major bleeding is strongly associated with worse patient survival. Secondary prevention should not be limited to preventing ischemic events. Minimizing bleeding and preventing HF may be at least as important.

LIPCAR levels in plasma-derived extracellular vesicles is associated with left ventricle remodeling post-myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Long Intergenic noncoding RNA predicting CARdiac remodeling (LIPCAR) is a long noncoding RNA identified in plasma of patients after myocardial infarction (MI) to be associated with left ventricle remodeling (LVR). LIPCAR was also shown to be a predictor of early death in heart failure (HF) patients. However, no information regarding the expression of LIPCAR and its function in heart as well as the mechanisms involved in its transport to the circulation is known. The aims of this study are (1) to characterize the transporter of LIPCAR from heart to circulation; (2) to determine whether LIPCAR levels in plasma isolated-extracellular vesicles (EVs) reflect the alteration of its expression in total plasma and could be used as biomarkers of LVR post-MI. METHODS: Since expression of LIPCAR is restricted to human species and the limitation of availability of cardiac biopsy samples, serum-free conditioned culture media from HeLa cells were first used to characterize the extracellular transporter of LIPCAR before validation in EVs isolated from human cardiac biopsies (non-failing and ischemic HF patients) and plasma samples (patients who develop or not LVR post-MI). Differential centrifugation at 20,000g and 100,000g were performed to isolate the large (lEVs) and small EVs (sEVs), respectively. Western blot and nanoparticle tracking (NTA) analysis were used to characterize the isolated EVs. qRT-PCR analysis was used to quantify LIPCAR in all samples. RESULTS: We showed that LIPCAR is present in both lEVs and sEVs isolated from all samples. The levels of LIPCAR are higher in lEVs compared to sEVs isolated from HeLa conditioned culture media and cardiac biopsies. No difference of LIPCAR expression was observed in tissue or EVs isolated from cardiac biopsies obtained from ischemic HF patients compared to non-failing patients. Interestingly, LIPCAR levels were increased in lEVs and sEVs isolated from MI patients who develop LVR compared to patients who did not develop LVR. CONCLUSION: Our data showed that large EVs are the main extracellular vesicle transporter of LIPCAR from heart into the circulation independently of the status, non-failing or HF, in patients. The levels of LIPCAR in EVs isolated from plasma could be used as biomarkers of LVR in post-MI patients.

Patterns of left ventricular remodeling post-myocardial infarction, determinants, and outcome.

AIM: Left ventricular remodeling (LVR) after myocardial infarction (MI) can lead to heart failure, arrhythmia, and death. We aim to describe adverse LVR patterns at 6 months post-MI and their relationships with subsequent outcomes and to determine baseline. METHODS AND RESULTS: A multicenter cohort of 410 patients (median age 57 years, 87% male) with reperfused MI and at least 3 akinetic LV segments on admission was analyzed. All patients had transthoracic echocardiography performed 4 days and 6 months post-MI, and 214 also had cardiac magnetic resonance imaging performed on day 4. To predict LVR, machine learning methods were employed in order to handle many variables, some of which may have complex interactions. Six months post-MI, echocardiographic increases in LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), LV end-systolic volume (LVESV), and LV ejection fraction (LVEF) were 14.1% [interquartile range 0.0, 32.0], 5.0% [- 14.0, 25.8], and 8.7% [0.0, 19.4], respectively. At 6 months, ≥ 15% or 20% increases in LVEDV were observed in 49% and 42% of patients, respectively, and 37% had an LVEF < 50%. The rate of death or new-onset HF at the end of 5-year follow-up was 8.8%. Baseline variables associated with adverse LVR were determined best by random forest analysis and included stroke volume, stroke work, necrosis size, LVEDV, LVEF, and LV afterload, the latter assessed by Ea or Ea/Ees. In contrast, baseline clinical and biological characteristics were poorly predictive of LVR. After adjustment for predictive baseline variables, LV dilation > 20% and 6-month LVEF < 50% were significantly associated with the risk of death and/or heart failure: hazard ratio (HR) 2.12 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-4.43; p = 0.04) and HR 2.68 (95% CI 1.20-6.00; p = 0.016) respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite early reperfusion and cardioprotective therapy, adverse LVR remains frequent after acute MI and is associated with a risk of death and HF. A machine learning approach identified and prioritized early variables that are associated with adverse LVR and which were mainly hemodynamic, combining LV volumes, estimates of systolic function, and afterload.

Feasibility and prognostic significance of ventricular-arterial coupling after myocardial infarction: the RIGID-MI cohort.

AIMS: The clinical significance and feasibility of the recently described non-invasive parameters exploring ventricular-arterial coupling (VAC) remain uncertain. This study aimed to assess VAC parameters for prognostic stratification in stable patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥40% following myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 2018 and 2021, patients with LVEF ≥40% were evaluated 1 month following MI using transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and arterial tonometry at rest and after a handgrip test. VAC was studied via the ratio between arterial elastance (Ea) and end-systolic LV elastance (Ees) and between pulse wave velocity (PWV) and global longitudinal strain (GLS). Patients were followed for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE): all-cause death, acute heart failure, stroke, AMI, and urgent cardiovascular hospitalization. Among the 374 patients included, Ea/Ees and PWV/GLS were obtained at rest for 354 (95%) and 253 patients (68%), respectively. Isometric exercise was workable in 335 patients (85%). During a median follow-up of 32 months (interquartile range: 16-42), 41 (11%) MACE occurred. Patients presenting MACE were significantly older and had a higher prevalence of peripheral arterial disease, lower GLS, higher Ea, PWV, and PWV/GLS ratio. The Ea/Ees ratio and standard TTE parameters during isometric exercise were not associated with MACE. After adjustment, the PWV/GLS ratio was the only VAC parameter independently associated with outcome. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified a PWV/GLS ratio >0.70 (Youden's index = 0.37) as the best threshold to identify patients developing MACE: hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) = 2.2 (1.14-4.27), P = 0.02. CONCLUSION: The PWV/GLS ratio, assessed 1 month after MI, identifies a group of patients at higher risk of MACE providing additional value on top of conventional non-invasive parameters.

Incidence, source, and prognostic impact of major bleeding across the spectrum of aortic stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Severe aortic stenosis (AS) has been associated with bleeding. However, there is a lack of prospective assessment of bleeding events and their clinical significance in a large population of outpatients with variable degree of AS severity. OBJECTIVES: To assess the incidence, source, determinants, and prognostic impact of major bleeding in patients with variable degree of AS severity. METHODS: Between May 2016 and December 2017, consecutive outpatients were included. Major bleeding was defined as type ≥3 bleed using the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definition. Cumulative incidence was calculated with death as the competing event. Data was censored at time of aortic valve replacement. RESULTS: Among 2,830 patients, 46 major bleeding events occurred (0.7%/year) during a median follow-up of 2.1 years (interquartile range: 1.4-2.7). Most frequent sites of bleeding were gastrointestinal (50%) and intracranial (30.4%). Major bleeding was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 5.93 (95% confidence interval 3.64-9.65); P < .001). AS severity was associated with major bleedings (P = .041). By multivariable analysis, severe AS was an independent determinant of major bleeding (hazard ratio vs mild AS: 3.59 [95% confidence interval 1.56-8.29]; P = .003). The increased risk of bleeding associated with severe AS was significantly exacerbated in patients using oral anticoagulation. CONCLUSION: In AS patients, major bleeding is rare but a strong independent predictor of death. AS severity is a determinant of bleeding events. Severe AS and oral anticoagulation should be identified as an association at very high risk of major bleeding.

Identification of patient subtypes based on protein expression for prediction of heart failure after myocardial infarction.

This study investigates the ability of high-throughput aptamer-based platform to identify circulating biomarkers able to predict occurrence of heart failure (HF), in blood samples collected during hospitalization of patients suffering from a first myocardial infarction (MI). REVE-1 (derivation) and REVE-2 (validation) cohorts included respectively 254 and 238 patients, followed up respectively 9 · 2 ± 4 · 8 and 7 · 6 ± 3 · 0 years. A blood sample collected during hospitalization was used for quantifying 4,668 proteins. Fifty proteins were significantly associated with long-term occurrence of HF with all-cause death as the competing event. k-means, an unsupervised clustering method, identified two groups of patients based on expression levels of the 50 proteins. Group 2 was significantly associated with a higher risk of HF in both cohorts. These results showed that a subset of 50 selected proteins quantified during hospitalization of MI patients is able to stratify and predict the long-term occurrence of HF.

Clinical significance of myocardial work parameters after acute myocardial infarction.

Aims: To investigate the additional prognostic value of myocardial work (MW) parameters following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods and results: Between 2018 and 2020, 244 patients admitted in the cardiac intensive care unit in Lille University Hospital for AMI were included. One-month following AMI, comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was performed to assess parameters of myocardial function. Patients were then followed for major events (ME): cardiovascular death, heart failure, and unplanned coronary revascularization. At 1-month, half of the population was symptomatic (NYHA ≥ II), and medical therapy was almost optimized (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin 2 receptor blocker in 95.5%, beta-blockers in 96.3%, DAPT in 94.7%, and statins in 97.1%). After a median follow-up of 681 (interquartile range: 538-840) days, ME occurred in 26 patients (10.7%). Patients presenting ME were older (65.5 ± 14.2 vs. 58.1 ± 12.1years, P = 0.005) with a higher prevalence of hypertension (65.4 vs. 36.2%, P = 0.004), more impaired left ventricular (LV) function as assessed by LV ejection fraction (P = 0.07), global longitudinal strain (P = 0.03), or MW parameters [P = 0.01 for global work efficiency (GWE)], and greater LV and left atrium dilatations (P = 0.06 for left ventricular end-diastolic volume index and P = 0.03 for left atrial volume index). After adjustment, GWE was the only TTE parameter independently associated with long-term occurrence of ME (P = 0.02). A GWE value <91% was selected to identify patients at higher ME risk (hazard ratio: 95% confidence interval) = 2.94 (1.36-6.35), P = 0.0041). Conclusion: Lower GWE at 1 month after AMI is independently associated with higher ME rates. A GWE <91% can improve the post-AMI patient risk stratification.

Impact of Moderate Aortic Stenosis on Long-Term Clinical Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The clinical course of patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) remains incompletely defined. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to analyze the clinical course of moderate AS and compare it with other stages of the disease. METHODS: Multiple electronic databases were searched to identify studies on adult moderate AS. Random-effects models were used to derive pooled estimates. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. The secondary endpoints were cardiac death, heart failure, sudden death, and aortic valve replacement. RESULTS: Among a total of 25 studies (12,143 moderate AS patients, 3.7 years of follow-up), pooled rates per 100 person-years were 9.0 (95% CI: 6.9 to 11.7) for all-cause death, 4.9 (95% CI: 3.1 to 7.5) for cardiac death, 3.9 (95% CI: 1.9 to 8.2) for heart failure, 1.1 (95% CI: 0.8 to 1.5) for sudden death, and 7.2 (95% CI: 4.3 to 12.2) for aortic valve replacement. Meta-regression analyses detected that diabetes (P = 0.019), coronary artery disease (P = 0.017), presence of symptoms (P < 0.001), and left ventricle (LV) dysfunction (P = 0.009) were associated with a significant impact on the overall estimate of all-cause death. All-cause mortality was higher in patients with reduced LV ejection fraction (<50%) than with normal LV ejection fraction: 16.5 (95% CI: 5.2 to 52.3) and 4.2 (95% CI: 1.4 to 12.8) per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with moderate AS, the incidence rate difference of all-cause mortality was -3.9 (95% CI: -6.7 to -1.1) for no or mild AS and +2.2 (95% CI: +0.8 to +3.5) for severe AS patients. CONCLUSIONS: Moderate AS appears to be associated with a mortality risk higher than no or mild AS but lower than severe AS, which increases in specific population subsets. The impact of early intervention in moderate AS patients having high-risk features deserves further investigation.

Diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular mortality across the spectrum of aortic stenosis.

OBJECTIVE: Current data regarding the impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on cardiovascular mortality in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) are restricted to severe AS or aortic valve replacement (AVR) trials. We aimed to investigate cardiovascular mortality according to DM across the entire spectrum of outpatients with AS. METHODS: Between May 2016 and December 2017, patients with mild (peak aortic velocity=2.5-2.9 m/s), moderate (3-3.9 m/s) and severe (≥4 m/s) AS graded by echocardiography were included during outpatient cardiology visits in the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region in France and followed-up for modes of death between May 2018 and August 2020. RESULTS: Among 2703 patients, 820 (30.3%) had DM, mean age was 76±10.8 years with 46.6% of women and a relatively high prevalence of underlying cardiovascular diseases. There were 200 cardiovascular deaths prior to AVR during the 2.1 years (IQR 1.4-2.7) follow-up period. In adjusted analyses, DM was significantly associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR=1.40, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.89; p=0.029). In mild or moderate AS, the cardiovascular mortality of patients with diabetes was similar to that of patients without diabetes. In severe AS, DM was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality (HR=2.65, 95% CI 1.50 to 4.68; p=0.001). This was almost exclusively related to a higher risk of death from heart failure (HR=2.61, 95% CI 1.15 to 5.92; p=0.022) and sudden death (HR=3.33, 95% CI 1.28 to 8.67; p=0.014). CONCLUSION: The effect of DM on cardiovascular mortality varied across AS severity. Despite no association between DM and outcomes in patients with mild/moderate AS, DM was strongly associated with death from heart failure and sudden death in patients with severe AS.

Prognostic significance of reverse dipping status on lower limb event in type 2 diabetic patients without peripheral arterial disease.

AIMS: We assessed reverse dipping influence on the risk of lower limb events in type 2 diabetic patients without peripheral arterial disease. METHODS: Patients with type 2 diabetes addressed for cardiovascular risk stratification in our university hospital from 2008 to 2012 underwent 24 h blood pressure monitoring. Patients with a prior history of limb revascularization or with a stenosis > 50% of the legs were excluded. Reverse dipping was defined as a greater night-versus day-time systolic blood pressure. The endpoint was the first occurrence of lower limb revascularization or limb amputation. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the Cox model. RESULTS: Two hundred and eighty-one patients were included. During a median follow-up of 9.4 [7.7-10.6] years, 20 lower limb events and 45 all-cause deaths were observed. Thirty-five patients were reverse dippers. The reverse dipping status was associated with lower limb events when considering all-cause death as a competitive risk, (HR 3.61 [1.16-11.2], P = 0.026). Reverse dipping, HbA1C and proteinuria were independently associated with lower limb outcome in a multivariable analysis (respectively HR 4.09 [1.29-12.9], P = 0.017, HR 1.30 [1.04-1.63], P = 0.022 and HR 1.06 [1.02-1.11], P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Reverse dipping status is independently associated with worse limb outcome in type 2 diabetic patients.

Right heart catheterization in advanced systolic heart failure. What are the most useful haemodynamic parameters for risk stratification?

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that pulmonary hypertension is a predictor of mortality in patients with systolic heart failure (SHF). Persistent pulmonary hypertension after a reactivity test is associated with a worse outcome after transplantation. Recent studies have shown the utility of different haemodynamic parameters. AIMS: To define best haemodynamic parameters for risk stratification in patients with advanced systolic heart failure. METHODS: We included 425 consecutive patients who underwent a right heart catheterization with an inotropic challenge if indicated. RESULTS: During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 1.67 (0.49-4.49) years, there were 151 major cardiac events (126 cardiovascular deaths and 25 postoperative deaths after ventricular assist device implantation or heart transplantation). The most powerful independent predictors of major cardiac events were baseline right atrial pressure (RAP) (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.12; P<0.0001) and baseline pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) (HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.03-1.17; P=0.002). After inotropic challenge, the only independent predictor was mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03-1.09; P<0.0001). The combination of PVR (≤or>3 Wood units), RAP (30mmHg) was the best predictor of major events. CONCLUSION: We suggest using a simple algorithm based on baseline PVR, baseline RAP and mPAP after the inotropic challenge for the risk stratification of stable patients with advanced systolic heart failure.

Compared impact of diabetes on the risk of heart failure from acute myocardial infarction to chronic coronary artery disease.

AIM: We attempted to describe the risk of heart failure (HF) occurrence according to diabetes mellitus (DM) status in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) over time, from acute myocardial infarction (MI) to the chronic stable phase. METHODS: For the acute and subacute MI phases, we analysed the FAST-MI cohort restricted to patients without history of HF (n = 12,473). The analysis on 1-year outcomes after MI was further restricted to patients who were discharged alive and without history of HF and/or HF symptoms during the index hospitalisation for MI (n = 9181). To analyse the chronic phase, we analysed the CORONOR cohort restricted to patients without history of HF (n = 3871). The primary endpoint was HF occurrence according to DM status. We also analysed the composite of all-cause death or HF. RESULTS: Killip-Kimball class ≥II during the index MI hospitalisation was more frequent in DM patients compared to non-DM patients (29% vs. 15.3%, adjusted OR = 1.60). At one year after MI, hospitalisation for HF was more frequent in DM patients (3.3% vs. 1.2%, adjusted HR = 1.73). At the chronic phase (5-year outcomes), hospitalisation for HF was more frequent in DM patients (8.5% vs. 4.3%, adjusted HR = 1.70). Results focusing on the composite endpoint (all-cause death or HF) were consistent. CONCLUSION: DM was associated with a very constant near 2-fold increase in the risk of HF whatever the presentation of CAD. Avoiding the risk of HF occurrence in CAD patients with DM is critical in daily practice and should be a constant life-long endeavour.

Management of antithrombotics in situations with a gap in evidence: A national French survey focusing on patients with coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: If several randomized studies allowed to better apprehend what should be the best antithrombotic strategy in patients with concomitant coronary artery disease (CAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF), there are still several clinical situations with a gap of evidence. METHODS: We conducted a national French survey in September-October 2020 among cardiologists in order to assess what are daily practices regarding the antithrombotic management in several specific clinical settings where no or little scientific evidence is available. The questionnaires were built by a committee of 6 cardiologists routinely involved in the field of CAD and/or AF. RESULTS: Among the 6388 French cardiologists, 483 (7.6%) cardiologists participated to the survey. The rate of participation was rather homogeneous across the country. The mean age of participants was 48 +/- 12.7. There were 134 women (27.7%) and 349 men. Altogether, 181 (37.5%) cardiologists worked in private, 153 (31.7%) in non-universitary public and 83 (17.2%) in universitary public centers. The remaining had shared activity. Among the participants, 150 were interventional (coronary) cardiologists (31.1%). Others were general cardiologists (n = 229), specialists in the field of rhythmology (n = 43), heart failure (n = 17) or imaging (n = 44). The survey consisted of 10 questions pertaining to 2 virtual clinical scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: The present survey is an illustration of how therapeutic decisions may vary in such situations with little or no scientific evidence. Such surveys may help experts to build consensus (answers with little variability) and to target the need for future trials and more research (answers with a lot of variability).

Utility and safety of coronary angiography in patients with acute infective endocarditis who required surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the benefit/risk ratio to perform a coronary angiography (CA) before surgery for infective endocarditis (IE). METHODS: We conducted a single-center prospective registry including 272 patients with acute IE intended for surgery and compared patients who underwent a preoperative CA (n = 160) with those who did not (n = 112). A meta-analysis of 3 observational studies was also conducted and included 551 patients: 342 who underwent a CA and 209 who did not. RESULTS: In our registry, combined bypass surgery (CABG) was performed in 17% of the patients with preoperative CA. At 2 years, the rate of the primary composite end point (all-cause death, new systemic embolism, stroke, new hemodialysis) was similar in the CA (38%) and no-CA (37%) groups. In-hospital and 2-year individual end points were all similar between groups. There were only 2 episodes of systemic embolism after CA and only one possibly related to a vegetation dislodgement. In the meta-analysis, combined CABG was performed in 18% of the patients with preoperative CA. All-cause death was similar in both groups: odds ratio, 0.98 [0.62-1.53], P = .92. Only 5 cases of systemic embolism possibly related to a vegetation dislodgement were reported. New hemodialysis was numerically more frequent in the CA group: odds ratio, 1.68 [0.79-3.58] (18% vs 14%, P = .18). CONCLUSIONS: In daily practice, two-thirds of the patients with acute IE who required surgery have a preoperative CA leading to a combined CABG in 18% of the patients. Our results suggest that to perform a preoperative CA in this context is not associated with improved prognosis.

Prognostic values of exercise echocardiography and cardiopulmonary exercise testing in patients with primary mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: To compare the clinical significance of exercise echocardiography (ExE) and cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) in patients with ≥moderate primary mitral regurgitation (MR) and discrepancy between symptoms and MR severity. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients consulting for ≥moderate discordant primary MR prospectively underwent low (25 W) ExE, peak ExE, and CPX within 2 months in Lille and Rennes University Hospital. Patients with Class I recommendation for surgical MR correction were excluded. Changes in MR severity, systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion were evaluated during ExE. Patients were followed for major events (ME): cardiovascular death, acute heart failure, or mitral valve surgery. Among 128 patients included, 22 presented mild-to-moderate, 61 moderate-to-severe, and 45 severe MR. Unlike MR variation, SPAP and LVEF were successfully assessed during ExE in most patients. Forty-one patients (32%) displayed reduced aerobic capacity (peak VO2 < 80% of predicted value) with cardiac limitation in 28 (68%) and muscular or respiratory limitation in the 13 others (32%). ME occurred in 61 patients (47.7%) during a mean follow-up of 27 ± 21 months. Twenty-five Watts SPAP [hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval, CI) = 1.03 (1.01-1.06), P = 0.003] and reduced aerobic capacity [HR (95% CI) = 1.74 (1.03-2.95), P = 0.04] were independently predictive of ME, even after adjustment for MR severity. The cut-off of 55 mmHg for 25 W SPAP showed the best accuracy to predict ME (area under the curve = 0.60, P = 0.05). CONCLUSION: In patients with ≥moderate primary MR and discordant symptoms, 25 W exercise pulmonary hypertension, defined as an SPAP ≥55 mmHg, and poor aerobic capacity during CPX are independently associated with adverse events.

Very long-term outcomes of older adults with stable coronary artery disease (from the CORONOR study).

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on stable coronary artery disease (CAD) in the very elderly. The present study aimed to investigate incident cardiovascular events and mortality in older adults (≥85 years) included in a multicenter registry on stable CAD. METHODS: A long-term follow-up was performed in 198 patients ≥85 years with stable CAD, free from myocardial infarction (MI) or coronary revascularization within the year. The median age was 87 years. Clinical events during the follow-up period [death, MI, ischemic stroke, coronary revascularization and hospitalization for heart failure (HF)] were centrally adjudicated. RESULTS: There were 164 deaths during follow-up. The cumulative risk of all-cause death was 9.1% at 1 year, 53.9% at 5 years and 85.5% at 10 years. The cause of death was adjudicated as cardiovascular in 64 patients with death from HF in 36 patients. Male gender, previous hospitalization for HF and an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 were independently associated with all-cause death. Ten-year cumulative incidences of MI, ischemic stroke and coronary revascularization were low (6.6, 7.7 and 6.6%, respectively). By contrast, the 10-year cumulative incidence of hospitalization for HF was high (27.8%). CONCLUSION: The 10-year mortality of elderly patients with stable CAD is very high. While ischemic events are relatively unfrequent, HF events are frequent and represent the most common cause of cardiovascular death in this population. Prevention and management of HF are important goals for physicians in charge of older adults with stable CAD.

Association of Mortality With Aortic Stenosis Severity in Outpatients: Results From the VALVENOR Study.

Importance: Modern data regarding incidence and modes of death of patients with aortic stenosis (AS) are restricted to tertiary centers or studies of aortic valve replacement (AVR). Objective: To provide new insights into the natural history of outpatients with native AS based on a large regionwide population study with inclusion by all cardiologists regardless of their mode of practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: Between May 2016 and December 2017, consecutive outpatients with mild (peak aortic velocity, 2.5-2.9 m/s), moderate (peak aortic velocity, 3-3.9 m/s), and severe (peak aortic velocity, ≥4 m/s) native AS graded by echocardiography were included by 117 cardiologists from the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region in France. Analysis took place between August and November 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Natural history, need for AVR, and survival of patients with AS were followed up. Indications for AVR were based on current guideline recommendations. Results: Among 2703 patients (mean [SD] age, 76.0 [10.8] years; 1260 [46.6%] women), 233 (8.6%) were recruited in a university public hospital, 757 (28%) in nonuniversity public hospitals, and 1713 (63.4%) by cardiologists working in private practice. A total of 1154 patients (42.7%) had mild, 1122 (41.5%) had moderate, and 427 (15.8%) had severe AS. During a median (interquartile range) of 2.1 (1.4-2.7) years, 634 patients underwent AVR and 448 died prior to AVR. Most deaths were cardiovascular (200 [44.7%]), mainly associated with congestive heart failure (101 [22.6%]) or sudden death (60 [13.4%]). Deaths were noncardiovascular in 186 patients (41.5%) and from unknown causes in 62 patients (13.8%). Compared with patients with mild AS, there was increased cardiovascular mortality in those with moderate (hazard ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.07-2.02]) and severe (hazard ratio, 3.66 [95% CI, 2.52-5.31]) AS. The differences remained significant when adjusted for baseline characteristics or in time-dependent analyses considering AS progression. In asymptomatic patients, moderate and mild AS were associated with similar cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.44-2.21]). Conclusions and Relevance: While patients in this study with moderate AS had a slightly higher risk of cardiovascular death than patients with mild AS, this risk was much lower than that observed in patients with severe AS. Moreover, in asymptomatic patients, moderate and mild AS were associated with similar cardiovascular mortality.

Relative Importance of Heart Failure Events Compared to Stroke and Bleeding in AF Patients.

INTRODUCTION: Incident heart failure (HF), ischemic stroke and systemic embolism (IS/SE), and major bleeding related to anticoagulation therapy are still the most frequent events occurring in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this study was to assess the 3-year incidence, predictors, and related mortality of IS/SE, major bleeding, and HF in a large cohort of AF outpatients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 4973 outpatients with prevalent AF included in the CARDIONOR registry. The mean age was 72.9 ± 11.2 years, 24.1% had diabetes mellitus and 78.9% had anticoagulant therapy at baseline. The mean CHA2DS2Vasc score was 3.4 ± 1.7. After a median follow-up of 3.2 years (IQR: 2.8 to 3.5), incident HF, IS/SE and major bleeding occurred in 10.5%, 3.3% and 2.1% of patients, respectively. When analyzed as time-dependent variables, IS/SE, major bleeding and hospitalization for decompensated HF were all strongly associated with mortality. The independent predictors of incident HF were age, women, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease and a previous history of HF. A sensitivity analysis in patients without history of HF at inclusion revealed that incident HF remained the most frequent adverse event, occurring in 5.3% of patients, compared to IS/SE (1.7%) and major bleeding (2.5%). CONCLUSION: HF is a common residual cardiovascular adverse event occurring in AF outpatients and is associated with a very high mortality. Since modifiable risk factors are associated with incident HF, upstream intensive management of these risk factors would be of interest.

Simple risk models to predict cardiovascular death in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

AIMS: Risk estimation is important to motivate patients to adhere to treatment and to identify those in whom additional treatments may be warranted and expensive treatments might be most cost effective. Our aim was to develop a simple risk model based on readily available risk factors for patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Models were developed in the CLARIFY registry of patients with stable CAD, first incorporating only simple clinical variables and then with the inclusion of assessments of left ventricular function, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and haemoglobin levels. The outcome of cardiovascular death over ∼5 years was analysed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Calibration of the models was assessed in an external study, the CORONOR registry of patients with stable coronary disease. We provide formulae for calculation of the risk score and simple integer points-based versions of the scores with associated look-up risk tables. Only the models based on simple clinical variables provided both good c-statistics (0.74 in CLARIFY and 0.80 or over in CORONOR), with no lack of calibration in the external dataset. CONCLUSION: Our preferred model based on 10 readily available variables [age, diabetes, smoking, heart failure (HF) symptom status and histories of atrial fibrillation or flutter, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, stroke, percutaneous coronary intervention, and hospitalization for HF] had good discriminatory power and fitted well in an external dataset. STUDY REGISTRATION: The CLARIFY registry is registered in the ISRCTN registry of clinical trials (ISRCTN43070564).

Relative impact of bleedings over ischaemic events in patients with heart failure: insights from the CARDIONOR registry.

AIMS: Major bleeding events in heart failure (HF) patients are poorly described. We sought to investigate the importance of major bleeding and its impact on outcomes in HF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed incident bleeding and ischaemic events during a 3 year follow-up in 2910 HF outpatients included in a prospective multicentre registry. Major bleeding was defined as a Type ≥3 bleed using the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definition. Ischaemic event was a composite of ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction. Events were adjudicated by a blinded committee. At inclusion, most patients (89%) received at least one antithrombotic: anticoagulation (53.9%) and/or antiplatelet therapy (46.2%). Bleeding occurred in 111 patients {3 year cumulative incidence: 3.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.0-4.3]} and ischaemic events in 102 patients [3 year cumulative incidence: 3.3% (95% CI 2.7-4.0)]. Most bleedings were Bleeding Academic Research Consortium 3a (32.5%) or 3b (31.5%). Most frequent sites of bleeding were gastrointestinal (40.6%) and intracranial (27.9%). Variables associated with bleeding were atrial fibrillation [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.63 (95% CI 1.66-4.19), P < 0.0001], diabetes [HR = 1.62 (95% CI 1.11-2.38), P = 0.012], and older age [HR = 1.19 per 10 year increase (95% CI 1.00-1.41), P = 0.049]. Anticoagulation use was associated with a two-fold increase in the bleeding risk. Bleeding events as well as ischaemic events were strongly associated with subsequent mortality [adjusted HRs: 5.67 (4.41-7.29), P < 0.0001 and 4.29 (3.18-5.78), P < 0.0001, respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: In HF outpatients, antithrombotics are widely used. Bleeding occurs at a stable rate of 1.2% annually (as frequent as ischaemic events) and is associated with a dramatic increase in mortality (at least as severe as ischaemic events). Most events occurred in patients receiving anticoagulation. Knowledge of these findings may help physicians to manage antithrombotics in HF patients.