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1.
PLoS One ; 19(6): e0304401, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38905181

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the aortic dissection detection risk score (ADD-RS) used alone or in combination with D-dimer for detecting acute aortic syndrome (AAS) in patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of AAS. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 2024. Additionally, the reference lists of included studies and other systematic reviews were thoroughly searched. All diagnostic accuracy studies that assessed the use of ADD-RS alone or with D-Dimer for diagnosing AAS compared with a reference standard test (e.g. computer tomographic angiography (CTA), ECG-gated CTA, echocardiography, magnetic resonance angiography, operation, or autopsy) were included. Two reviewers independently selected and extracted data. Risk of bias was appraised using QUADAS-2 tool. Data were synthesised using hierarchical meta-analysis models. RESULTS: We selected 13 studies from the 2017 citations identified, including six studies evaluating combinations of ADD-RS alongside D-dimer>500ng/L. Summary sensitivities and specificities (95% credible interval) were: ADD-RS>0 94.6% (90%, 97.5%) and 34.7% (20.7%, 51.2%), ADD-RS>1 43.4% (31.2%, 57.1%) and 89.3% (80.4%, 94.8%); ADD RS>0 or D-Dimer>500ng/L 99.8% (98.7%, 100%) and 21.8% (12.1%, 32.6%); ADD RS>1 or D-Dimer>500ng/L 98.3% (94.9%, 99.5%) and 51.4% (38.7%, 64.1%); ADD RS>1 or ADD RS = 1 with D-dimer>500ng/L 93.1% (87.1%, 96.3%) and 67.1% (54.4%, 77.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Combinations of ADD-RS and D-dimer can be used to select patients with suspected AAS for imaging with a range of trade-offs between sensitivity (93.1% to 99.8%) and specificity (21.8% to 67.1%).


Assuntos
Dissecção Aórtica , Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio , Humanos , Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio/análise , Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio/metabolismo , Dissecção Aórtica/diagnóstico , Dissecção Aórtica/sangue , Síndrome , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Doença Aguda , Angiografia por Tomografia Computadorizada , Síndrome Aórtica Aguda
2.
Eur J Intern Med ; 2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38871565

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In patients complaining common symptoms such as chest/abdominal/back pain or syncope, acute aortic syndromes (AAS) are rare underlying causes. AAS diagnosis requires urgent advanced aortic imaging (AAI), mostly computed tomography angiography. However, patient selection for AAI poses conflicting risks of misdiagnosis and overtesting. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the safety and efficiency of a diagnostic protocol integrating clinical data with point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) and d-dimer (single/age-adjusted cutoff), to select patients for AAI. METHODS: This prospective study involved 12 Emergency Departments from 5 countries. POCUS findings were integrated with a guideline-compliant clinical score, to define the integrated pre-test probability (iPTP) of AAS. If iPTP was high, urgent AAI was requested. If iPTP was low and d-dimer was negative, AAS was ruled out. Patients were followed for 30 days, to adjudicate outcomes. RESULTS: Within 1979 enrolled patients, 176 (9 %) had an AAS. POCUS led to net reclassification improvement of 20 % (24 %/-4 % for events/non-events, P < 0.001) over clinical score alone. Median time to AAS diagnosis was 60 min if POCUS was positive vs 118 if negative (P = 0.042). Within 941 patients satisfying rule-out criteria, the 30-day incidence of AAS was 0 % (95 % CI, 0-0.41 %); without POCUS, 2 AAS were potentially missed. Protocol rule-out efficiency was 48 % (95 % CI, 46-50 %) and AAI was averted in 41 % of patients. Using age-adjusted d-dimer, rule-out efficiency was 54 % (difference 6 %, 95 % CI, 4-9 %, vs standard cutoff). CONCLUSIONS: The integrated algorithm allowed rapid triage of high-probability patients, while providing safe and efficient rule-out of AAS. Age-adjusted d-dimer maximized efficiency. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04430400.

3.
Lancet Digit Health ; 6(7): e480-e488, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38906613

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The myocardial-ischaemic-injury-index (MI3) is a novel machine learning algorithm for the early diagnosis of type 1 non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). The performance of MI3, both when using early serial blood draws (eg, at 1 h or 2 h) and in direct comparison with guideline-recommended algorithms, remains unknown. Our aim was to externally validate MI3 and compare its performance with that of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1h-algorithm. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of a multicentre international diagnostic cohort study, adult patients (age >18 years) presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction were prospectively enrolled from April 21, 2006, to Feb 27, 2019 in 12 centres from five European countries (Switzerland, Spain, Italy, Poland, and Czech Republic). Patients were excluded if they presented with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, did not have at least two serial high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) measurements, or if the final diagnosis remained unclear. The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available medical records, including serial hs-cTnI measurements and cardiac imaging. The primary outcome was type 1 NSTEMI. The performance of MI3 was directly compared with that of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm. FINDINGS: Among 6487 patients, (median age 61·0 years [IQR 49·0-73·0]; 2122 [33%] female and 4365 [67%] male), 882 (13·6%) patients had type 1 NSTEMI. The median time difference between the first and second hs-cTnI measurement was 60·0 mins (IQR 57·0-70·0). MI3 performance was very good, with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0·961 (95% CI 0·957 to 0·965) and a good overall calibration (intercept -0·09 [-0·2 to 0·02]; slope 1·02 [0·97 to 1·08]). The originally defined MI3 score of less than 1·6 identified 4186 (64·5%) patients as low probability of having a type 1 NSTEMI (sensitivity 99·1% [95% CI 98·2 to 99·5]; negative predictive value [NPV] 99·8% [95% CI 99·6 to 99·9]) and an MI3 score of 49·7 or more identified 915 (14·1%) patients as high probability of having a type 1 NSTEMI (specificity 95·0% [94·3 to 95·5]; positive predictive value [PPV] 69·1% [66·0-72·0]). The sensitivity and NPV of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm were higher than that of MI3 (difference for sensitivity 0·88% [0·19 to 1·60], p=0·0082; difference for NPV 0·18% [0·05 to 0·32], p=0·016), and the rule-out efficacy was higher for MI3 (11% difference, p<0·0001). Specificity and PPV for MI3 were superior (difference for specificity 3·80% [3·24 to 4·36], p<0·0001; difference for PPV 7·84% [5·86 to 9·97], p<0·0001), and the rule-in efficacy was higher for the ESC 0/1h-algorithm (5·4% difference, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: MI3 performs very well in diagnosing type 1 NSTEMI, demonstrating comparability to the ESC 0/1h-algorithm in an emergency department setting when using early serial blood draws. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, the EU, the University Hospital Basel, the University of Basel, Abbott, Beckman Coulter, Roche, Idorsia, Ortho Clinical Diagnostics, Quidel, Siemens, and Singulex.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Diagnóstico Precoce , Aprendizado de Máquina , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST/diagnóstico , Troponina I/sangue , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos de Coortes , Europa (Continente) , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Biomarcadores/sangue
4.
Clin Chim Acta ; 553: 117710, 2024 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38141937

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The diagnostic and prognostic performance of soluble Suppression of Tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) in suspected septic patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) is largely unknown. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients were included in this prospective study if there was high suspicion of sepsis. The plasma level of sST2 was measured during initial ED evaluation. Outcomes were the evaluation of (1) sST2 diagnostic performance (alone and in combination with procalcitonin [PCT]), and (2) sST2 ability to predict 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 569 patients included, 481 (84.5 %) had sepsis or septic shock. Plasma sST2 levels were more elevated in septic patients (159 [71-331] vs 50 [31-103] ng/mL, P < 0.001). The AUC of sST2 for sepsis diagnosis was lower than the AUC of PCT (0.76 vs 0.85, P = 0.03). The best cut-off for sST2 was 61.7 ng/mL, with a sensitivity of 79.9 % and a specificity of 70.6 %. sST2 was able to correctly reclassify septic patients with PCT <0.5 (NRI 28.9 % [P = 0.02]). sST2 level was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality in a model including clinical variables (aHR 2.03 [1.24-3.33], C-index 0.69). CONCLUSION: sST2 could be a useful adjunct in diagnosing sepsis and in all-cause mortality prediction.


Assuntos
Sepse , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Proteína 1 Semelhante a Receptor de Interleucina-1 , Biomarcadores , Choque Séptico/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , Pró-Calcitonina , Carcinogênese , Transformação Celular Neoplásica , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência
5.
JACC CardioOncol ; 5(5): 591-609, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37969646

RESUMO

Background: Little is known about patients with cancer presenting with acute chest discomfort to the emergency department (ED). Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), outcomes, and the diagnostic utility of recommended diagnostic tools in this population. Methods: Patients presenting with chest pain to the ED were prospectively enrolled in an international multicenter diagnostic study with central adjudication. Cancer status was assessed prospectively and additional cancer details retrospectively. Findings were externally validated in an independent multicenter cohort. Results: Among 8,267 patients, 711 (8.6%) had cancer. Patients with cancer had a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors and pre-existing cardiac disease. Total length of stay in the ED (5.2 hours vs 4.3 hours) and hospitalization rate (49.8% vs 34.3%) were both increased in patients with cancer (P < 0.001 for both). Among 8,093 patients eligible for the AMI analyses, those with cancer more often had final diagnoses of AMI (184 of 686 with cancer [26.8%] vs 1,561 of 7,407 without cancer [21.1%]; P < 0.001). In patients with cancer, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) but not high sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) concentration had lower diagnostic accuracy for non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (for hs-cTnT, area under the curve: 0.89 [95% CI: 0.86-0.92] vs 0.94 [95% CI: 0.93-0.94] [P < 0.001]; for hs-cTnI, area under the curve: 0.93 [95% CI: 0.91-0.95] vs 0.95 [95% CI: 0.94-0.95] [P = 0.10]). In patients with cancer, the European Society of Cardiology 0/1-hour hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI algorithms maintained very high safety but had lower efficacy, with twice the number of patients remaining in the observe zone. Similar findings were obtained in the external validation cohort. Conclusions: Patients with cancer have a substantially higher prevalence of AMI as the cause of chest pain. Length of ED stay and hospitalization rates are increased. The diagnostic performance of hs-cTnT and the efficacy of both the European Society of Cardiology 0/1-hour hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI algorithms is reduced. (Advantageous Predictors of Acute Coronary Syndromes Evaluation [APACE] Study; NCT00470587).

6.
J Clin Med ; 12(20)2023 Oct 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37892739

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected the activity and patient flows of Emergency Departments (EDs), and concern for the worsening outcome of cardiovascular emergencies has been raised. However, the impact of COVID-19 on all subtypes of acute aortic syndromes (AASs) has not been evaluated so far. Cases of AASs managed in the ED of three hub hospitals in a large area of Northern Italy were retrospectively analyzed, comparing those registered during the pandemic (March 2020 to May 2021) with corresponding pre-COVID-19 periods. A total of 124 patients with AAS were managed during the COVID-19 period vs. 118 pre-COVID-19 (p = 0.70), despite a -34.6% change in ED visits. Posterior chest pain at presentation was the only clinical variable with a different prevalence (46.0% vs. 32.2%, p = 0.03). Surgery and endovascular treatment rates were unchanged. Time intervals influenced by patient transfer to the hub center were longer during the COVID-19 period and longest during high viral circulation periods. Ninety-day mortality was unchanged, with a higher mortality trend during the pandemic surges. In conclusion, ED presentation and care of AASs were marginally affected by COVID-19, but efforts are needed to preserve efficient patient transfer to specialized centers and prevent mortality, especially during pandemic peaks.

7.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 14598, 2023 09 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37670005

RESUMO

Glucose is a universally available inexpensive biomarker, which is increased as part of the physiological stress response to acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and may therefore help in its early diagnosis. To test this hypothesis, glucose, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) T, and hs-cTnI were measured in consecutive patients presenting with acute chest discomfort to the emergency department (ED) and enrolled in a large international diagnostic study (NCT00470587). Two independent cardiologists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis using all clinical data, including serial hs-cTnT measurements, cardiac imaging and clinical follow-up. The primary diagnostic endpoint was index non-ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI). Prognostic endpoints were all-cause death, and cardiovascular (CV) death or future AMI, all within 730-days. Among 5639 eligible patients, NSTEMI was the adjudicated final diagnosis in 1051 (18.6%) patients. Diagnostic accuracy quantified using the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) for the combination of glucose with hs-cTnT and glucose with hs-cTnI was very high, but not higher versus that of hs-cTn alone (glucose/hs-cTnT 0.930 [95% CI 0.922-0.937] versus hs-cTnT 0.929 [95% CI 0.922-0.937]; glucose/hs-cTnI 0.944 [95% CI 0.937-0.951] versus hs-cTnI 0.944 [95% CI 0.937-0.951]). In early-presenters, a dual-marker strategy (glucose < 7 mmol/L and hs-cTnT < 5/hs-cTnI < 4 ng/L) provided very high and comparable sensitivity to slightly lower hs-cTn concentrations (cTnT/I < 4/3 ng/L) alone, and possibly even higher efficacy. Glucose was an independent predictor of 730-days endpoints. Our results showed that a dual marker strategy of glucose and hs-cTn did not increase the diagnostic accuracy when used continuously. However, a cutoff approach combining glucose and hs-cTn may provide diagnostic utility for patients presenting ≤ 3 h after onset of symptoms, also providing important prognostic information.


Assuntos
Infarto do Miocárdio , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST , Humanos , Diagnóstico Precoce , Glucose , Troponina
8.
Eur J Intern Med ; 106: 45-53, 2022 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36229285

RESUMO

Acute aortic syndromes (AASs) are severe conditions defined by dissection, hemorrhage, ulceration or rupture of the thoracic aorta. AASs share etiological and pathophysiological features, including long-term aortic tissue degeneration and mechanisms of acute aortic damage. The clinical signs and symptoms of AASs are unspecific and heterogeneous, requiring large differential diagnosis. When evaluating a patient with AAS-compatible symptoms, physicians need to integrate clinical probability assessment, bedside imaging techniques such as point-of-care ultrasound, and blood test results such as d-dimer. The natural history of AASs is dominated by engagement of ischemic, coagulative and inflammatory pathways at large, causing multiorgan damage. Medical treatment, multiorgan monitoring and outcome prognostication are therefore paramount, with internal medicine playing a key role in non-surgical management of AASs.


Assuntos
Dissecção Aórtica , Humanos , Dissecção Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Dissecção Aórtica/terapia , Síndrome , Aorta Torácica , Diagnóstico Diferencial
9.
Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care ; 11(11): 834-840, 2022 Nov 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36179255

RESUMO

AIMS: After rule-out of non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) with the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1 h-algorithms, it is unclear which patients require further anatomical or functional cardiac testing. To test the safety and efficacy of the no-objective-testing (NOT)-rules after NSTEMI rule-out by the ESC 0/1 h-algorithms. METHODS AND RESULTS: International, prospective, diagnostic multicentre study enrolling adult patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency department. Central adjudication of final diagnosis by two independent cardiologists using information including cardiac imaging. Primary endpoints were the safety and efficacy of the NOT-rules for the rule-out of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary endpoints included 365-day and 2-year MACE. Among 4804 and 4569 patients with available 0/1 h high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn)T-Elecsys or hs-cTnI-Architect concentrations, 2783 (58%) and 2252 (49%) were eligible for application of the NOT-rules after rule-out of NSTEMI by the ESC hs-cTnT/I-0/1h-algorithm. The first rule identified 26% of patients with a sensitivity of 100% (95%CI 98.3-100%) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% (95% CI, n.c.). The second and third rules both identified 31% of patients with a sensitivity of 99.5% (95% CI 97.4-99.9%) and a NPV of 99.9% (95% CI 99.2-99.9%). Similar findings emerged for hs-cTnI. High safety was confirmed for rule-out of 365-day and 2-year MACE and proven to be superior to the HEART Score. CONCLUSION: All three NOT-rules performed very well for rule-out of MACE. The third NOT-rule best balanced feasibility, safety, and efficacy by identifying nearly one out of three patients as low-risk and may not require further cardiac testing. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00470587.


Assuntos
Cardiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST , Adulto , Humanos , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Troponina I , Algoritmos , Biomarcadores , Troponina T
10.
J Clin Med ; 11(11)2022 May 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35683419

RESUMO

In the Emergency Department (ED), the decision to hospitalize or discharge COVID-19 patients is challenging. We assessed the utility of lung ultrasound (LUS), alone or in association with a clinical rule/score. This was a multicenter observational prospective study involving six EDs (NCT046291831). From October 2020 to January 2021, COVID-19 outpatients discharged from the ED based on clinical judgment were subjected to LUS and followed-up at 30 days. The primary clinical outcome was a composite of hospitalization or death. Within 393 COVID-19 patients, 35 (8.9%) reached the primary outcome. For outcome prognostication, LUS had a C-index of 0.76 (95%CI 0.68−0.84) and showed good performance and calibration. LUS-based classification provided significant differences in Kaplan−Meier curves, with a positive LUS leading to a hazard ratio of 4.33 (95%CI 1.95−9.61) for the primary outcome. The sensitivity and specificity of LUS for primary outcome occurrence were 74.3% (95%CI 59.8−88.8) and 74% (95%CI 69.5−78.6), respectively. The integration of LUS with a clinical score further increased sensitivity. In patients with a negative LUS, the primary outcome occurred in nine (3.3%) patients (p < 0.001 vs. unselected). The efficiency for rule-out was 69.7%. In unvaccinated ED patients with COVID-19, LUS improves prognostic stratification over clinical judgment alone and may support standardized disposition decisions.

11.
Biomedicines ; 10(3)2022 Mar 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35327521

RESUMO

The prognostic value of mid-regional proADM (MR-proADM) in septic patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) is not well established. In this prospective observational study enrolling septic patients evaluated in two EDs, MR-proADM was measured at arrival (t0) and after 72 h (t72). MR-proADM%change was calculated as follows: (MR-proADMt72h - MR-proADMt0)/MR-proADMt0. In total, 147 patients were included in the study, including 109 with a final diagnosis of sepsis and 38 with septic shock, according to the Sepsis-3 criteria. The overall 28-day mortality (outcome) rate was 12.9%. The AUC for outcome prognostication was 0.66 (95% CI 0.51-0.80) for MR-proADMt0, 0.77 (95% CI 0.63-0.92) for MR-proADMt72 and 0.74 (95% CI 0.64-0.84) for MR-proADM%change. MR-proADMt0 ≥ 2.78 nmol/L, MR-proADMt72 ≥ 2.7 nmol/L and MR-proADM%change ≥ -15.2% showed statistically significant log-rank test results and sensitivity/specificity of 81/65%, 69/80% and 75/70% respectively. In regression analysis, MR-proADM%change was a significant outcome predictor both in univariate and multivariate analysis, after adjustment for age, SOFA and APACHEII scores, providing up to 80% of added prognostic value. In conclusion, time trends of MR-proADM may provide additional insights for patient risk stratification over single sampling. MR-proADM levels sampled both at presentation and after 72 h predicted 28-day survival in septic patients presenting to the ED.

12.
Pathog Glob Health ; 116(6): 389-394, 2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35138990

RESUMO

Septic shock treatment in sub-Saharan African hospitals is challenging due to limited availability of ICUs, central venous catheters, vasopressors, and trained staff. We designed this proof-of-concept study to determine efficacy, safety, and feasibility of norepinephrine (NE) use in a non-intensive setting in a low-resource country, consisting in a peripheral infusion via a mechanical drop counter. Septic shock patients accessing a rural hospital in Uganda were included: the 2020 group (N = 12) was prospectively enrolled (Jan-Mar 2020) when NE was available; the 2019 group (N = 11) was retrospectively enrolled (Oct-Dec 2019). Enrollment was continuous to reduce selection bias. Basic clinical endpoints (noninvasive blood pressure, tissue perfusion, diuresis) defined shock control and the prognostic endpoint was survival at hospital discharge. Shock control at 6 and 12 hours was higher in the 2020 group (p = 0.012 for both). Survival at hospital discharge was 75% and 27.3%, respectively (p = 0.039). NE infusion was associated with a Hazard Ratio of 0.23 (p = 0.041) in a multivariate Cox model. No NE-induced adverse effects were detected. These preliminary results suggest that implementing NE infusion in a low-resource setting without ICU could be a safe and effective strategy in managing septic shock and that this approach could lead to a lower mortality rate.


Assuntos
Choque Séptico , Estudos de Viabilidade , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Norepinefrina/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Choque Séptico/tratamento farmacológico
13.
Minerva Med ; 113(6): 916-926, 2022 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35191293

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: For COVID-19 patients evaluated in the Emergency Department (ED), decision on hospital admission vs. home discharge is challenging. The 4C mortality score (4CMS) is a prognostication tool integrating key demographic/clinical/biochemical data validated for COVID-19 inpatients. We sought to derive and validate a dichotomic rule based on 4CMS identifying patients with mild outcomes, suitable for safe ED discharge. METHODS: Derivation was performed in a prospective cohort of ED patients with suspected COVID-19 from two centers (April 2020). Validation was pursued in a prospective multicenter cohort of ED patients with confirmed COVID-19 from 6 centers (October 2020 to January 2021). Chest X-ray (CXR) images were independently scored. The primary composite outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality or hospital admission. Secondary outcomes were ED re-visit, oxygen therapy and ventilation. RESULTS: In a derivation cohort of 838 ED patients with suspected COVID-19, 4CMS≤8 was associated with low outpatient mortality (0.4%) and was thus selected as a feasible discharge rule. In a validation cohort of 521 COVID-19 outpatients, the mean age was 51±17 years; 97 (18.6%) patients had ≥1 CXR infiltrate. The 4CMS had an AUC of 0.82 for the primary outcome and 0.93 for mortality, outperforming other scores (CURB-65, qCSI, qSOFA, NEWS) and CXR. In 474 (91%) patients with 4CMS≤8, the mortality rate was 0.2% and the hospital admission rate was 6.8%, versus 12.8% and 36.2% for 4CMS≥9 (P<0.001). CXR did not provide additional discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 outpatients with 4CMS≤8 have mild outcomes and can be safely discharged from the ED. [NCT0462918].


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Alta do Paciente , Humanos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Estudos Prospectivos , Hospitalização , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Estudos Retrospectivos
14.
Intern Emerg Med ; 16(6): 1683-1690, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33683538

RESUMO

The first wave (FW) of COVID-19 led to a rapid reduction in total emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions for other diseases. Whether this represented a transient "lockdown and fear" phenomenon, or a more persisting trend, is unknown. We divided acute from post-wave changes in ED flows, diagnoses, and hospital admissions, in an Italian city experiencing a FW peak followed by nadir. This multicenter, retrospective, cross-sectional study involved five general EDs of a large Italian city (January-August 2020). Percent changes were calculated versus 2019, using four 14-day periods (FW peak, early/mid/late post-wave). ED visits were 147,446 in 2020, versus 214,868 in 2019. During the FW peak, visits were reduced by 66.4% (P < 0.001). The drop was maximum during daytime (69.8%) and for pediatric patients (89.4%). Critical triage codes were unchanged. Reductions were found for all non-COVID-19 diagnoses. Non-COVID-19 hospital admissions were reduced by 39.5% (P < 0.001), involving all conditions except hematologic, metabolic/endocrine, respiratory diseases, and traumas. In the early, mid, and late post-wave periods, visits were reduced by 25.4%, 25.3% and 23.5% (all P < 0.001) respectively. In the late period, reduction was greater for female (27.9%) and pediatric patients (44.6%). Most critical triage codes were unchanged. Oncological, metabolic/endocrine, and hematological diagnoses were unchanged, while other diagnoses had persistent reductions. Non-COVID-19 hospital admissions were reduced by 12.8% (P = 0.001), 6.3% (P = 0.1) and 12.2% (P = 0.001), respectively. Reductions in ED flows, led by non-critical codes, persisted throughout the summer nadir of COVID-19. Hospital admissions for non-COVID-19 diseases had transient changes.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/terapia , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/tendências , Controle de Infecções/tendências , Admissão do Paciente/tendências , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Hospitalização/tendências , Humanos , Itália , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia
15.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 10(3): e018425, 2021 02 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33474974

RESUMO

Background When acute aortic syndromes (AASs) are suspected, pretest clinical probability assessment and d-dimer (DD) testing are diagnostic options allowing standardized care. Guidelines suggest use of a 12-item/3-category score (aortic dissection detection) and a DD cutoff of 500 ng/mL. However, a simplified assessment tool and a more specific DD cutoff could be advantageous. Methods and Results In a prospective derivation cohort (n=1848), 6 items identified by logistic regression (thoracic aortic aneurysm, severe pain, sudden pain, pulse deficit, neurologic deficit, hypotension), composed a simplified score (AORTAs) assigning 2 points to hypotension and 1 to the other items. AORTAs≤1 and ≥2 defined low and high clinical probability, respectively. Age-adjusted DD was calculated as years/age × 10 ng/mL (minimum 500). The AORTAs score and AORTAs≤1/age-adjusted DD rule were validated in 2 patient cohorts: a high-prevalence retrospective cohort (n=1035; 22% AASs) and a low-prevalence prospective cohort (n=447; 11% AASs) subjected to 30-day follow-up. The AUC of the AORTAs score was 0.729 versus 0.697 of the aortic dissection detection score (P=0.005). AORTAs score assessment reclassified 16.6% to 25.1% of patients, with significant net reclassification improvement of 10.3% to 32.7% for AASs and -8.6 to -17% for alternative diagnoses. In both cohorts, AORTAs≥2 had superior sensitivity and slightly lower specificity than aortic dissection detection ≥2. In the prospective validation cohort, AORTAs≤1/age-adjusted DD had a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 48.6%, and an efficiency of 43.3%. Conclusions AORTAs is a simplified score with increased sensitivity, improved AAS classification, and minor trade-off in specificity, amenable to integration with age-adjusted DD for diagnostic rule-out.


Assuntos
Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico , Dissecção Aórtica/diagnóstico , Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio/metabolismo , Doença Aguda , Dissecção Aórtica/sangue , Dissecção Aórtica/classificação , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/sangue , Aneurisma da Aorta Torácica/classificação , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Fatores de Risco , Síndrome
16.
Acad Emerg Med ; 27(10): 1013-1027, 2020 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32187432

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: In patients at low clinical probability of acute aortic syndromes (AASs), decision on advanced aortic imaging is cumbersome. Integration of the aortic dissection detection risk score (ADD-RS) with D-dimer (DD) provides a potential pipeline for standardized diagnostic rule-out. We systematically reviewed and summarized supporting data. METHODS: Cross-sectional studies assessing integration of ADD-RS with DD for diagnosis of AASs were identified on MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web Of Science databases. Two reviewers independently screened articles, assessed quality, and extracted data. The quality of design and reporting was evaluated with the QUADAS-2 and STARD tools. Individual patient data were obtained, to allow analysis of both conventional (500 ng/mL) and age-adjusted (DDage-adj ) DD cutoffs. Data were summarized for four diagnostic strategies combining ADD-RS = 0 or ≤ 1, with DD < 500 ng/mL or < DDage-adj . The statistical heterogeneity of the diagnostic variables was estimated with Higgins' I2 . Pooled values were calculated for variables showing nonsignificant heterogeneity. RESULTS: After screening of 680 studies, four articles (including a total of 3,804 patients) met inclusion criteria. One prospective study provided a low risk of bias/applicability concerns, while methodologic limitations were found in the other three retrospective studies. Statistical heterogeneity was negligible for sensitivity and negative likelihood ratio (LR) values and significant for specificity and positive LR values of all diagnostic strategies. Pooled sensitivity was 99.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 99.3% to 100%, I2  = 0) for ADD-RS = 0 and DD < 500 ng/mL or < DDage-adj , 98.9% (95% CI = 97.9% to 99.9%, I2  = 0) for ADD-RS ≤ 1 and DD < 500 ng/mL, and 97.6% (95% CI = 96.3% to 98.9%, I2  = 0) for ADD-RS ≤ 1 and DD < DDage-adj . CONCLUSIONS: Despite methodologic limitations, integration of ADD-RS = 0 or ≤ 1 with DD < 500 ng/mL shows negligible heterogeneity and consistently high sensitivity across studies, thus supporting reliability for diagnostic rule-out of AASs. Data supporting ADD-RS = 0 plus DDage-adj appear preliminary and require further scrutiny.


Assuntos
Aneurisma Aórtico/diagnóstico , Dissecção Aórtica/diagnóstico , Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio/análise , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
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