Trends in COVID-19 Vaccine Administration and Effectiveness Through October 2021.

Importance: COVID-19 vaccines are effective, but inequities in vaccine administration and waning immunity may limit vaccine effectiveness. Objectives: To report statewide trends in vaccine administration and vaccine effectiveness in Minnesota. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used COVID-19 vaccine data from the Minnesota Immunization Information Connection from October 25, 2020, through October 30, 2021 that were linked with electronic health record (EHR) data from health systems collaborating as part of the Minnesota EHR Consortium (MNEHRC). Participants included individuals who were seen at a participating health system in Minnesota. Exposures: Individuals were considered fully vaccinated in the second week after receipt of a second dose of a BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccine or a single dose of an Ad26.COV.2.S vaccine. Main Outcomes and Measures: A completed vaccination series and vaccine breakthrough, defined as either a positive SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test or a hospital admission the same week or within the 3 weeks following a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test. A test-negative design and incident rate ratio were used to evaluate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness separately for the BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and Ad26.COV.2.S vaccines. Rurality and social vulnerability index were assessed at the area level. Results: This study included 4 431 190 unique individuals at participating health systems, and 3 013 704 (68%) of the individuals were fully vaccinated. Vaccination rates were lowest among Minnesotans who identified as Hispanic (116 422 of 217 019 [54%]), multiracial (30 066 of 57 412 [52%]), American Indian or Alaska Native (22 190 of 41 437 [54%]), and Black or African American (158 860 of 326 595 [49%]) compared with Minnesotans who identified as Asian or Pacific Islander (159 999 of 210 994 [76%]) or White (2 402 928 of 3 391 747 [71%]). Among individuals aged 19 to 64 years, vaccination rates were lower in rural areas (196 479 of 308 047 [64%]) compared with urban areas (151 541 of 1 951 265 [77%]) and areas with high social vulnerability (544 433 of 774 952 [70%]) compared with areas with low social vulnerability (571 613 of 724 369 [79%]). In the 9 weeks ending October 30, 2021, vaccine effectiveness as assessed by a test-negative design was 33% (95% CI, 30%-37%) for Ad26.COV.2.S; 53% (95% CI, 52%-54%) for BNT162b2; and 66% (95% CI, 65%-67%) for mRNA-1273. For SARS-CoV-2-related hospitalizations, vaccine effectiveness in the 9 weeks ending October 30, 2021, was 78% (95% CI, 75%-81%) for Ad26.COV.2.S; 81% (95% CI, 79%-82%) for BNT162b2; and 81% (95% CI, 79%-82%) for mRNA-1273. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study of data from a Minnesota statewide consortium suggests disparities in vaccine administration and effectiveness. Vaccine effectiveness against infection was lower for Ad26.COV.2.S and BNT162b2 but was associated with protection against SARS-CoV-2-related hospitalizations despite the increased prevalence of the Delta variant in Minnesota.

Minnesota Electronic Health Record Consortium COVID-19 Project: Informing Pandemic Response Through Statewide Collaboration Using Observational Data.

OBJECTIVE: Robust disease and syndromic surveillance tools are underdeveloped in the United States, as evidenced by limitations and heterogeneity in sociodemographic data collection throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. To monitor the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota, we developed a federated data network in March 2020 using electronic health record (EHR) data from 8 multispecialty health systems. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this serial cross-sectional study, we examined patients of all ages who received a COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction test, had symptoms of a viral illness, or received an influenza test from January 3, 2016, through November 7, 2020. We evaluated COVID-19 testing rates among patients with symptoms of viral illness and percentage positivity among all patients tested, in aggregate and by zip code. We stratified results by patient and area-level characteristics. RESULTS: Cumulative COVID-19 positivity rates were similar for people aged 12-64 years (range, 15.1%-17.6%) but lower for adults aged ≥65 years (range, 9.3%-10.7%). We found notable racial and ethnic disparities in positivity rates early in the pandemic, whereas COVID-19 positivity was similarly elevated across most racial and ethnic groups by the end of 2020. Positivity rates remained substantially higher among Hispanic patients compared with other racial and ethnic groups throughout the study period. We found similar trends across area-level income and rurality, with disparities early in the pandemic converging over time. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: We rapidly developed a distributed data network across Minnesota to monitor the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings highlight the utility of using EHR data to monitor the current pandemic as well as future public health priorities. Building partnerships with public health agencies can help ensure data streams are flexible and tailored to meet the changing needs of decision makers.

Trends in Pediatric Viral Symptoms, Influenza Testing, and SARS-CoV-2 Testing From a Statewide Electronic Health Record Consortium, January 2017 to July 2021.

OBJECTIVE: The heterogeneous implementation and uptake of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic amplified the need for locally responsive disease surveillance mechanisms. Using data from a newly developed statewide electronic health record (EHR) consortium in Minnesota, we sought to characterize trends in pediatric viral symptoms, influenza testing, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) testing. METHODS: We conducted a serial cross-sectional analysis of EHR data from 1/1/2017 to 7/30/2021 across 8 large health systems in Minnesota. We included patients ≤18 years of age with any SARS-CoV-2 test, influenza test, or documented diagnostic code which met our viral symptom definition. We plotted week-by-week trends in viral symptoms, SARS-CoV-2 and influenza testing, and test positivity, stratified between children (0-11 years) and adolescents (12-18 years). RESULTS: We identified 1,079,924 patients ≤18 years of age with viral symptoms or testing; 880,669 (81.5%) were children ≤11 years. Influenza testing and influenza test positivity remained well below historical averages from March 2020 through mid-May 2021. Peaks in viral symptoms during this time were concomitant with peaks in SARS-CoV-2 testing and test positivity, whereas influenza testing and test positivity remained stagnant. Influenza test positivity rates increased substantively among children from May through July 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Viral illness and influenza testing among pediatric patients were below historical averages throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Ongoing increases in influenza test positivity may merit clinical and public health awareness and intervention. Future NPI policies can be better targeted with insights from collaborative EHR-based surveillance, which enhances real-time, locally sensitive measurement of disease outbreaks.

Identification of Cross-sector Service Utilization Patterns Among Urban Medicaid Expansion Enrollees.

BACKGROUND: The expansion of Medicaid as part of the Affordable Care Act opened new opportunities to provide health coverage to low-income adults who may be involved in other public sectors. OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to describe cross-sector utilization patterns among urban Medicaid expansion enrollees. RESEARCH DESIGN: We merged data from 4 public sectors (health care, human services, housing, and criminal justice) for 98,282 Medicaid expansion enrollees in Hennepin County, MN. We fit a latent class model to indicators of cross-sector involvement. MEASURES: Indicator variables described involvement levels within each sector from March 2011 through December 2014. Demographic and chronic condition indicators were included post hoc to characterize classes. RESULTS: We found 6 archetypes of cross-sector involvement: The "Low Contact" class (33.9%) had little involvement in any public sector; "Primary Care" (26.3%) had moderate, stable health care utilization; "Health and Human Services" (15.3%) had high rates of health care and cash assistance utilization; "Minimal Criminal History" (11.0%) had less serious criminal justice involvement; "Cross-sector" (7.8%) had elevated emergency department use, involvement in all 4 sectors, and the highest prevalence of behavioral health conditions; "Extensive Criminal History" (5.7%) had serious criminal justice involvement. The 3 most expensive classes (Health and Human Services, Cross-sector, and Extensive Criminal History) had the highest rates of behavioral health conditions. Together, they comprised 29% of enrollees and 70% of total public costs. CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion enrollees with behavioral health conditions deserve focus due to the high cost-reduction potential across public sectors. Cross-sector collaboration is a plausible path to reduce costs and improve outcomes.