Design and Baseline Characteristics of the STRIDE Trial: evaluating Semaglutide in People with Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease and Type 2 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: People with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) suffer from a high burden of symptoms and significant functional impairment. There are few therapies that improve function and reduce symptoms in this population. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have been shown to improve glycemic control, reduce body weight and reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events, in people with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: STRIDE (NCT04560998) is a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind phase 3b trial evaluating 1 mg once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide (GLP-1 RA) vs. placebo, in people with symptomatic PAD (Fontaine IIa claudication) and T2D. Eligible participants were ≥ 18 years, had hemodynamically stable PAD, had no planned intervention, and were not receiving a GLP-1 RA. The primary endpoint is change in maximum walking distance on a constant-load treadmill (CLT). Secondary endpoints include quality of life and cardiometabolic assessments. RESULTS: A total of 792 participants were randomized in 20 countries. Participants' median age was 68 and they had T2D for a median of 12 years. Risk factors included 25.6% current smokers, 87.9% with hypertension, and 42.7% with coronary heart disease. The mean BMI was 29.6 kg/m2 and mean HbA1C was 7.3%. Participants exhibited baseline functional impairment with a median maximum walking distance of 186 meters on a CLT. CONCLUSION: STRIDE has enrolled participants with symptomatic PAD and T2D, frequent risk factors and comorbidities, and functional impairment. The trial will provide evidence for the functional outcomes with semaglutide in people with PAD and T2D.

Design and cohort characteristics of TRACK, a prospective study of hyperkalaemia management decision-making.

Background: Guideline-recommended hyperkalaemia management includes dietary potassium (K+) restriction, bicarbonate correction, diuretics and K+ binders with dose reduction of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors as a last resort. The extent to which these recommendations are implemented is uncertain, as real-world data on hyperkalaemia management are limited. The Tracking Treatment Pathways in Adult Patients with Hyperkalemia (TRACK) study is a multinational, prospective, longitudinal study that is being conducted to address this knowledge gap. We report the design and baseline cohort characteristics of this real-world study of hyperkalaemia management decision-making. Methods: This study enrolled participants within 21 days of an episode of hyperkalaemia in four European countries (UK, Spain, Germany, Italy) and the USA. During the 12-month follow up, data collected will include participant and healthcare provider characteristics (specialty and practice setting), hyperkalaemia treatment objectives and strategies, rationale for management decisions and indicators of response and patient-reported perceptions of their hyperkalaemia treatment. Results: The enrolled cohort includes 1330 participants, mean age 68 years, of whom 31% were women. At baseline, 6% reported heart failure, 55% chronic kidney disease, 29% both and 9% neither. Most participants (57%) were taking an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, angiotensin receptor blocker or angiotensin receptor/neprilysin inhibitor at baseline. Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist use was lower (14%). Conclusions: The prospective TRACK study will shed light on practitioners' hyperkalaemia management decision-making and assess the impact of their decisions on hyperkalaemia recurrence. Understanding practitioners' underlying thought processes will facilitate efforts to improve hyperkalaemia management.ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT05408039.

Vericiguat Global Study in Participants with Chronic Heart Failure: Design of the VICTOR trial.

AIMS: In the VICTORIA (Vericiguat Global Study in Subjects with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction) trial, the soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator vericiguat reduced the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or cardiovascular death in patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) with recent worsening HF. The effect of vericiguat in patients with HFrEF without recent worsening HF remains unknown. The VICTOR (Vericiguat Global Study in Participants with Chronic Heart Failure) trial was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of vericiguat in patients with ejection fraction ≤40% without recent worsening HF on a background of current foundational HFrEF therapy. METHODS: The primary endpoint for VICTOR is time to first event for the composite of HHF or cardiovascular death. The trial will also assess the effect of vericiguat on time to cardiovascular death, time to HHF, total HHF, and all-cause death. As an event-driven trial, at least 1080 primary events are expected, but follow-up will continue until the targeted number of at least 590 cardiovascular deaths has been reached. Approximately 6000 participants will be randomized to vericiguat or placebo. CONCLUSION: VICTOR is the first large event-driven HFrEF trial performed in the contemporary era of quadruple foundational guideline-directed medical therapy, in a compensated ambulatory HF population. VICTOR will add important information to the evidence of the effects of vericiguat across the spectrum of patients with HFrEF.

Duration of Anticoagulation for Venous Thromboembolism in Pediatric Patients: Kids-DOTT Trial Outcomes at Two Years.

BACKGROUND: The Kids-DOTT multinational randomized clinical trial (RCT) revealed non-inferiority of a six-week versus three-month duration of anticoagulation for the treatment of provoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients <21 years old, in regard to net clinical benefit at one year. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate non-inferiority at two years. PATIENTS/METHODS: Patients whose repeat imaging six weeks after VTE diagnosis did not show complete veno-occlusion were randomized to discontinue anticoagulation versus receive a total three-month course and followed for two years for the occurrence of symptomatic recurrent (SR-) VTE (efficacy outcome) and clinically-relevant bleeding (CRB, safety outcome). Outcomes were centrally adjudicated and net clinical benefit was compared between treatment arms via a pre-specified bivariate non-inferiority boundary, using 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in absolute risk differences (ARDs) between treatment arms. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier estimates of two-year cumulative incidences in the six-week and three-months arms of the intention-to-treat (ITT) population (n=417) were 1.7% (95% CI: 0%, 3.7%) and 2.9% (95% CI: 0.3%, 5.4%) for SR-VTE and 1.1% (95% CI: 0%, 2.5%) and 3.2% (95% CI: 0.6%, 5.7%) for CRB. Bivariate analysis of the ARDs in the ITT population demonstrated that a six-week anticoagulation duration was non-inferior to a three-month course. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support durability of the Kids-DOTT RCT findings of net clinical benefit at two years.

Antithrombotic Therapy in Patients Undergoing Peripheral Artery Interventions.

Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) who undergo lower extremity revascularization (LER) are at high risk for cardiovascular and limb-related ischemic events. The role of antithrombotic therapy is to prevent thrombotic complications, but this requires balancing increased risk of bleeding events. The dual pathway inhibition (DPI) strategy including aspirin and low-dose rivaroxaban after LER has been shown to reduce major adverse cardiovascular and limb-related events without significant differences in major bleeding. There is now a need to implement the broad adoption of DPI therapy in PAD patients who have undergone LER in routine practice.

Trends in patient characteristics and mortality among Medicare patients diagnosed with peripheral artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a well-described risk factor for mortality, but few studies have examined secular trends in mortality over time for patients with PAD. We characterized trends in mortality in patients with PAD in recent years among Medicare patients. METHODS: We used Medicare claims to identify patients with a new diagnosis code for PAD between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2018 using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) diagnosis codes. The primary outcome of interest was the 1-year all-cause age-adjusted mortality rate. Our secondary outcome was the 5-year all-cause mortality rate. Multivariable regression was used to identify factors which predict mortality at 1 year. RESULTS: We identified 4,373,644 patients with a new diagnosis code for PAD during the study period. Between 2006 and 2018, 1-year all-cause age-adjusted mortality declined from 12.6% to 9.9% (p < 0.001). One-year crude all-cause mortality also declined from 14.6% to 9.5% (p < 0.001). Similar results were observed for 5-year age-adjusted mortality rates (40.9% to 35.2%, p < 0.001). Factors associated with increased risk of death at 1 year included age ⩾ 85 years (hazard ratio [HR] 3.030; 95% CI 3.008-3.053) and congestive heart failure (HR 1.86; 95% CI 1.85-1.88). Patients who were regularly dispensed statins, ace-inhibitors, beta-blockers, antithrombotic agents, and anticoagulants all had lower mortality (range OR 0.36; CI 0.35-0.37 for statins to OR 0.60; CI 0.59-0.61 for anticoagulants; all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among US Medicare patients diagnosed with PAD between 2006 and 2019, 1-year age-adjusted mortality declined by 2.7%. This decline in mortality among PAD patients occurred in the context of a younger mean age of diagnosis of PAD and improved cardiovascular prevention therapy.

Low-Dose Rivaroxaban Plus Aspirin in Fragile Patients After Lower Extremity Revascularization.

BACKGROUND: Rivaroxaban 2.5 mg plus aspirin reduced limb and cardiovascular events and increased bleeding in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease (PAD) after lower extremity revascularization in the VOYAGER PAD (Efficacy and Safety of Rivaroxaban in Reducing the Risk of Major Thrombotic Vascular Events in Subjects With Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease Undergoing Peripheral Revascularization Procedures of the Lower Extremities) study. Fragile patients are at heightened risk for ischemic and bleeding events. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the safety and efficacy of rivaroxaban 2.5 mg in fragile patients from VOYAGER PAD. METHODS: Patients were categorized as fragile based on prespecified criteria (age >75 years, weight ≤50 kg, or baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate <50 mL/min/1.73 m2). The primary efficacy outcome was the composite of acute limb ischemia, major amputation of a vascular etiology, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or cardiovascular death. The principal safety outcome was TIMI major bleeding. RESULTS: Of 6,564 randomized patients, a total of 1,674 subjects were categorized as fragile at baseline. In the placebo arm, fragile patients were at higher risk of the primary outcome (HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.12-1.61) and TIMI major bleeding (HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 0.83-2.96), compared with nonfragile patients. The effect of rivaroxaban on the primary endpoint was not modified by frailty status (fragile HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.75-1.15; nonfragile HR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.72-0.97; P interaction = 0.37). Rivaroxaban increased TIMI major bleeding in fragile (HR: 1.54; 95% CI: 0.82-2.91) and nonfragile patients (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 0.84-2.23; P interaction = 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PAD after lower extremity revascularization meeting fragile criteria are at higher risk of ischemic complications and bleeding. Rivaroxaban reduces ischemic risk and increases bleeding regardless of frailty status. These data may assist in personalization of antithrombotic therapy in fragile population.

Clonal hematopoiesis, cardiovascular events and treatment benefit in 63,700 individuals from five TIMI randomized trials.

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) has been associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease in the general population. Currently, it is unclear whether this association is observed in large clinical trial cohorts with a high burden of existing CV disease or whether CV therapies can mitigate CHIP-associated CV risk. To address these questions, we studied 63,700 patients from five randomized trials that tested established therapies for CV disease, including treatments targeting the proteins PCSK9, SGLT2, P2Y12 and FXa. During a median follow-up of 2.5 years, 7,453 patients had at least one CV event (CV death, myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke or coronary revascularization). The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for CV events for CHIP+ patients was 1.07 (95% CI: 0.99-1.16, P = 0.08), with consistent risk estimates across each component of CV risk. Significant heterogeneity in the risk of MI was observed, such that CHIP+ patients had a 30% increased risk of first MI (aHR = 1.31 (1.05-1.64), P = 0.02) but no increased risk of recurrent MI (aHR = 0.94 (0.79-1.13), Pint = 0.008), as compared to CHIP- patients. Moreover, no significant heterogeneity in treatment effect between individuals with and without CHIP was observed for any of the therapies studied in the five trials. These results indicate that in clinical trial populations, CHIP is associated with incident but not recurrent coronary events and that the presence of CHIP does not appear to identify patients who will derive greater benefit from commonly used CV therapies.

Antithrombotic Strategies for Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease: JACC Scientific Statement.

Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) experience major cardiovascular and limb events. Antithrombotic strategies including antiplatelets and anticoagulants remain a cornerstone of treatment and prevention. Recent trials have shown heterogeneity in the response to antithrombotic therapies in patients presenting primarily with PAD when compared to those presenting primarily with coronary artery disease. In addition, there is observed heterogeneity with regards to the effects of antiplatelets and anticoagulants with respect to different outcomes including cardiovascular and major adverse limb events. This, coupled with risks of bleeding, requires a patient-centered and holistic assessment of benefit-risk when selecting antithrombotic strategies for patients with PAD. A global multidisciplinary work group was convened to evaluate antithrombotic strategies in PAD and to summarize the current state of the art. Common clinical scenarios around antithrombotic decision making were provided. Finally, insights with regard to implementation future investigation were described.

Epidemiology and Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in People With Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Literature Review.

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and lower-extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) are growing global health problems associated with considerable cardiovascular (CV) and limb-related morbidity and mortality, poor quality of life and high healthcare resource use and costs. Diabetes is a well-known risk factor for PAD, and the occurrence of PAD in people with T2D further increases the risk of long-term complications. As the available evidence is primarily focused on the overall PAD population, we undertook a systematic review to describe the burden of comorbid PAD in people with T2D. The MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched for studies including people with T2D and comorbid PAD published from 2012 to November 2021, with no restriction on PAD definition, study design or country. Hand searching of conference proceedings, reference lists of included publications and relevant identified reviews and global burden of disease reports complemented the searches. We identified 86 eligible studies, mostly observational and conducted in Asia and Europe, presenting data on the epidemiology (n = 62) and on the clinical (n = 29), humanistic (n = 12) and economic burden (n = 12) of PAD in people with T2D. The most common definition of PAD relied on ankle-brachial index values ≤ 0.9 (alone or with other parameters). Incidence and prevalence varied substantially across studies; nonetheless, four large multinational randomised controlled trials found that 12.5%-22% of people with T2D had comorbid PAD. The presence of PAD in people with T2D was a major cause of lower-limb and CV complications and of all-cause and CV mortality. Overall, PAD was associated with poor quality of life, and with substantial healthcare resource use and costs. To our knowledge, this systematic review provides the most comprehensive overview of the evidence on the burden of PAD in people with T2D to date. In this population, there is an urgent unmet need for disease-modifying agents to improve outcomes.

Demystifying the Contemporary Role of 12-Month Dual Antiplatelet Therapy After Acute Coronary Syndrome.

For almost two decades, 12-month dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has been the only class I recommendation on DAPT in American and European guidelines, which has resulted in 12-month durations of DAPT therapy being the most frequently implemented in ACS patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) across the globe. Twelve-month DAPT was initially grounded in the results of the CURE (Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina to Prevent Recurrent Events) trial, which, by design, studied DAPT versus no DAPT rather than the optimal DAPT duration. The average DAPT duration in this study was 9 months, not 12 months. Subsequent ACS studies, which were not designed to assess DAPT duration, rather its composition (aspirin with prasugrel or ticagrelor compared with clopidogrel) were further interpreted as supportive evidence for 12-month DAPT duration. In these studies, the median DAPT duration was 9 or 15 months for ticagrelor and prasugrel, respectively. Several subsequent studies questioned the 12-month regimen and suggested that DAPT duration should either be fewer than 12 months in patients at high bleeding risk or more than 12 months in patients at high ischemic risk who can safely tolerate the treatment. Bleeding, rather than ischemic risk assessment, has emerged as a treatment modifier for maximizing the net clinical benefit of DAPT, due to excessive bleeding and no clear benefit of prolonged treatment regimens in high bleeding risk patients. Multiple DAPT de-escalation treatment strategies, including switching from prasugrel or ticagrelor to clopidogrel, reducing the dose of prasugrel or ticagrelor, and shortening DAPT duration while maintaining monotherapy with ticagrelor, have been consistently shown to reduce bleeding without increasing fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular or cerebral ischemic risks compared with 12-month DAPT. However, 12-month DAPT remains the only class-I DAPT recommendation for patients with ACS despite the lack of prospectively established evidence, leading to unnecessary and potentially harmful overtreatment in many patients. It is time for clinical practice and guideline recommendations to be updated to reflect the totality of the evidence regarding the optimal DAPT duration in ACS.

Association between tissue loss type and amputation risk among Medicare patients with concomitant diabetes and peripheral arterial disease.

OBJECTIVE: Prior studies have described risk factors associated with amputation in patients with concomitant diabetes and peripheral arterial disease (DM/PAD). However, the association between the severity and extent of tissue loss type and amputation risk remains less well-described. We aimed to quantify the role of different tissue loss types in amputation risk among patients with DM/PAD, in the context of demographic, preventive, and socioeconomic factors. METHODS: Applying International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and ICD-10 codes to Medicare claims data (2007-2019), we identified all patients with continuous fee-for-service Medicare coverage diagnosed with DM/PAD. Eight tissue loss categories were established using ICD-9 and ICD-10 diagnosis codes, ranging from lymphadenitis (least severe) to gangrene (most severe). We created a Cox proportional hazards model to quantify associations between tissue loss type and 1- and 5-year amputation risk, adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, rurality, income, comorbidities, and preventive factors. Regional variation in DM/PAD rates and risk-adjusted amputation rates was examined at the hospital referral region level. RESULTS: We identified 12,257,174 patients with DM/PAD (48% male, 76% White, 10% prior myocardial infarction, 30% chronic kidney disease). Although 2.2 million patients (18%) had some form of tissue loss, 10.0 million patients (82%) did not. The 1-year crude amputation rate (major and minor) was 6.4% in patients with tissue loss, and 0.4% in patients without tissue loss. Among patients with tissue loss, the 1-year any amputation rate varied from 0.89% for patients with lymphadenitis to 26% for patients with gangrene. The 1-year amputation risk varied from two-fold for patients with lymphadenitis (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.96; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-2.69) to 29-fold for patients with gangrene (adjusted hazard ratio, 28.7; 95% confidence interval, 28.1-29.3), compared with patients without tissue loss. No other demographic variable including age, sex, race, or region incurred a hazard ratio for 1- or 5-year amputation risk higher than the least severe tissue loss category. Results were similar across minor and major amputation, and 1- and 5-year amputation outcomes. At a regional level, higher DM/PAD rates were inversely correlated with risk-adjusted 5-year amputation rates (R2 = 0.43). CONCLUSIONS: Among 12 million patients with DM/PAD, the most significant predictor of amputation was the presence and extent of tissue loss, with an association greater in effect size than any other factor studied. Tissue loss could be used in awareness campaigns as a simple marker of high-risk patients. Patients with any type of tissue loss require expedited wound care, revascularization as appropriate, and infection management to avoid amputation. Establishing systems of care to provide these interventions in regions with high amputation rates may prove beneficial for these populations.

Randomized Trial of a Vascular Care Team vs Education for Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Underutilization of therapies to reduce ischemic risk in peripheral artery disease (PAD) persists. OBJECTIVES: The purpose was to conduct an implementation trial of lipid management in vascular disease. METHODS: The OPTIMIZE PAD-1 (Implementation of Vascular Care Team to Improve Medical Management of PAD Patients) trial randomized patients with peripheral artery disease with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) ≥70 mg/dL to management via a vascular care team including a clinical pharmacist and an algorithm of intensive lipid management to achieve goal LDL-C in 1 step vs usual care plus provider education. Medications were obtained using commercial insurance. The primary endpoint was percent change in LDL-C at 12 months. RESULTS: Of 166 enrolled patients, 74.2% did not have an LDL-C level at goal. Among 114 randomized patients (mean age 66 years, 36.0% women, and 15.8% Black), 50.9% received high-intensity statin, and 7.9% received ezetimibe at baseline. The mean 12-month LDL-C change was -49.1% (95% CI: -58.7% to -39.5%) with vascular care team management and -5.4% (95% CI: -15.3% to 4.6%) with usual care; the between-group least-squares mean difference was -43.7% (95% CI: -57.6% to -29.9%; P < 0.0001). Mean LDL-C was reduced in vascular care team patients from 100.6 mg/dL at baseline to 54.8 and 50.1 mg/dL by week 4 and month 12, respectively. At 12 months, vascular care team patients were >3 times as likely to achieve LDL-C <70 mg/dL and 8 times as likely to achieve LDL-C <55 mg/dL (P < 0.0001) than usual care. CONCLUSIONS: OPTIMIZE PAD-1 showed that an interprofessional, algorithm-based program can achieve rapid LDL-C lowering in vascular patients using available insurance and therapies, and LDL-C targets can be met in most patients if enabled by optimized systems of care.

Medical Therapy for Peripheral Artery Disease.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Patients with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) are at high risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and major adverse limb events (MALE). This manuscript will review the current evidence for medical therapy in patients with PAD according to different clinical features and the overall cardiovascular (CV) risk. RECENT FINDINGS: The management of PAD encompasses non-pharmacologic strategies, including lifestyle modification such as smoking cessation, supervised exercise, Mediterranean diet and weight loss as well as pharmacologic interventions, particularly for high risk patients. Benefits for reduction of CV and limb outcomes have been demonstrated for new therapies, including antithrombotic therapy (i.e., low-dose rivaroxaban plus aspirin), lipid lowering therapy (i.e., proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors), and glucose lowering therapy (i.e., sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists). However, the adoption of these therapies in PAD remains suboptimal in practice. Implementation science studies have recently shown promising results in PAD patients. Comprehensive medical and non-medical management of PAD patients is crucial to improving patient outcomes, mitigating symptoms, and reducing the risk of MACE and MALE. A personalized approach, considering the patient's overall risk profile and preference, is essential for optimizing medical management of PAD.

Low absolute risk of thrombotic and cardiovascular events in outpatient pregnant women with COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Pregnancy may contribute to an excess risk of thrombotic or cardiovascular events. COVID-19 increases the risk of these events, although the risk is relatively limited among outpatients. We sought to determine whether outpatient pregnant women with COVID-19 are at a high risk for cardiovascular or thrombotic events. MATERIALS & METHODS: We analyzed pregnant outpatients with COVID-19 from the multicenter CORONA-VTE-Network registry. The main study outcomes were a composite of adjudicated venous or arterial thrombotic events, and a composite of adjudicated cardiovascular events. Events were assessed 90 days after the COVID-19 diagnosis and reported for non-pregnant women ≤45 years, and for men ≤45 years, as points of reference. RESULTS: Among 6585 outpatients, 169 were pregnant at diagnosis. By 90-day follow-up, two pregnant women during the third trimester had lower extremity venous thrombosis, one deep and one superficial vein thrombosis. The cumulative incidence of thrombotic events was 1.20 % (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.0 to 2.84 %). Respective rates were 0.47 % (95 % CI: 0.14 % to 0.79 %) among non-pregnant women, and 0.49 % (95 % CI: 0.06 % to 0.91 %) among men ≤45 years. No non-thrombotic cardiovascular events occurred in pregnant women. The rates of cardiovascular events were 0.53 % (95 % CI: 0.18 to 0.87) among non-pregnant women, and 0.68 % (95 % CI: 0.18 to 1.18) in men aged ≤45 years. CONCLUSIONS: Thrombotic and cardiovascular events are rare among outpatients with COVID-19. Although a higher event rate among outpatient pregnant women cannot be excluded, the absolute event rates are low and do not warrant population-wide cardiovascular interventions to optimize outcomes.

Quantitative Benefit-Risk Evaluation of Rivaroxaban in Patients After Peripheral Arterial Revascularization: The VOYAGER PAD Trial.

BACKGROUND: The VOYAGER PAD (Efficacy and Safety of Rivaroxaban in Reducing the Risk of Major Thrombotic Vascular Events in Subjects With Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease Undergoing Peripheral Revascularization Procedures of the Lower Extremities) trial compared rivaroxaban (2.5 mg twice a day) plus aspirin with aspirin alone in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease requiring endovascular or surgical limb revascularization, with 50% receiving clopidogrel background therapy. The New Drug Indication application includes benefit-risk assessments using clinical judgment to balance benefits against risks. During its review, the US Food and Drug Administration requested additional quantitative benefit-risk analyses with formal weighting approaches. METHODS AND RESULTS: Benefits and risks were assessed using rate differences between treatment groups (unweighted analysis). To account for clinical importance of the end points, a multi-criteria decision analysis was conducted using health state utility values as weights. Monte Carlo simulations incorporated statistical uncertainties of the event rates and utility weights. Intent-to-treat and on-treatment analyses were conducted. For unweighted intent-to-treat analyses, rivaroxaban plus aspirin would result in 120 (95% CI, -208 to -32) fewer events of the primary composite end point (per 10 000 patient-years) compared with aspirin alone. Rivaroxaban caused an excess of 40 (95% CI, 8-72) Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction major bleeding events, which was largely driven by nonfatal, nonintracranial hemorrhage Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction major bleeding events. For weighted analyses, rivaroxaban resulted in the utility equivalent of 13.7 (95% CI, -85.3 to 52.6) and 68.1 (95% CI, 7.9-135.7) fewer deaths per 10 000 patient-years (intent-to-treat and on-treatment, respectively), corresponding to probabilities of 64.4% and 98.7%, respectively, that benefits outweigh risks favoring rivaroxaban per Monte Carlo simulation. CONCLUSIONS: These analyses show a favorable benefit-risk profile of rivaroxaban therapy in the VOYAGER PAD trial, with findings generally consistent between the unweighted and weighted approaches.