Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study.

Background: Heterogeneity in temperature-mortality relationships across locations may partly result from differences in the demographic structure of populations and their cause-specific vulnerabilities. Here we conduct the largest epidemiological study to date on the association between ambient temperature and mortality by age and cause using data from 532 cities in 33 countries. Methods: We collected daily temperature and mortality data from each country. Mortality data was provided as daily death counts within age groups from all, cardiovascular, respiratory, or noncardiorespiratory causes. We first fit quasi-Poisson regression models to estimate location-specific associations for each age-by-cause group. For each cause, we then pooled location-specific results in a dose-response multivariate meta-regression model that enabled us to estimate overall temperature-mortality curves at any age. The age analysis was limited to adults. Results: We observed high temperature effects on mortality from both cardiovascular and respiratory causes compared to noncardiorespiratory causes, with the highest cold-related risks from cardiovascular causes and the highest heat-related risks from respiratory causes. Risks generally increased with age, a pattern most consistent for cold and for nonrespiratory causes. For every cause group, risks at both temperature extremes were strongest at the oldest age (age 85 years). Excess mortality fractions were highest for cold at the oldest ages. Conclusions: There is a differential pattern of risk associated with heat and cold by cause and age; cardiorespiratory causes show stronger effects than noncardiorespiratory causes, and older adults have higher risks than younger adults.

The Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network: An international research consortium investigating environment, climate, and health.

Research on the health risks of environmental factors and climate change requires epidemiological evidence on associated health risks at a global scale. Multi-center studies offer an excellent framework for this purpose, but they present various methodological and logistical problems. This contribution illustrates the experience of the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network, an international collaboration working on a global research program on the associations between environmental stressors, climate, and health in a multi-center setting. The article illustrates the collaborative scheme based on mutual contribution and data and method sharing, describes the collection of a huge multi-location database, summarizes published research findings and future plans, and discusses advantages and limitations. The Multi-Country Multi-City represents an example of a collaborative research framework that has greatly contributed to advance knowledge on the health impacts of climate change and other environmental factors and can be replicated to address other research questions across various research fields.

The impact of climate variation on the spread of Shiga toxin-producing E. coli.

BACKGROUND: Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) is influenced by seasonality, but there is limited understanding of how specific climatic variables contribute to disease spread. This information aids in understanding disease transmission dynamics and could potentially inform public health modeling. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed public health data from Ontario, Canada, between 2012 and 2021, along with historical climate data from Environment Canada. We employed Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (S-ARIMA) models to assess how temperature and precipitation impact the incidence of STEC infections, measured per 10,000,000 population. RESULTS: The study included 1658 confirmed STEC cases. A significant correlation was found between STEC incidence and climatic variables. Each degree Celsius increase in maximum temperature was associated with a rise of 3 STEC cases per 10,000,000 population (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2024)). Additionally, each millimeter of increased precipitation correlated with an increase of 1.1 cases per 10,000,000 population. CONCLUSIONS: The findings demonstrate a significant impact of temperature and precipitation on STEC transmission, highlighting the importance of integrating meteorological data into public health surveillance. This integration may help inform public health responses and support healthcare systems in planning for future outbreaks. Further studies are needed to refine predictive models and develop effective early warning systems for clinical settings.

Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality: a pooled analysis of 380 urban areas over a 22-year period.

BACKGROUND: Ambient air pollution, including particulate matter (such as PM10 and PM2·5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), has been linked to increases in mortality. Whether populations' vulnerability to these pollutants has changed over time is unclear, and studies on this topic do not include multicountry analysis. We evaluated whether changes in exposure to air pollutants were associated with changes in mortality effect estimates over time. METHODS: We extracted cause-specific mortality and air pollution data collected between 1995 and 2016 from the Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network database. We applied a two-stage approach to analyse the short-term effects of NO2, PM10, and PM2·5 on cause-specific mortality using city-specific time series regression analyses and multilevel random-effects meta-analysis. We assessed changes over time using a longitudinal meta-regression with time as a linear fixed term and explored potential sources of heterogeneity and two-pollutant models. FINDINGS: Over 21·6 million cardiovascular and 7·7 million respiratory deaths in 380 cities across 24 countries over the study period were included in the analysis. All three air pollutants showed decreasing concentrations over time. The pooled results suggested no significant temporal change in the effect estimates per unit exposure of PM10, PM2·5, or NO2 and mortality. However, the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased from 0·37% (95% CI -0·05 to 0·80) in 1998 to 0·85% (0·55 to 1·16) in 2012 with a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2·5. Two-pollutant models generally showed similar results to single-pollutant models for PM fractions and indicated temporal differences for NO2. INTERPRETATION: Although air pollution levels decreased during the study period, the effect sizes per unit increase in air pollution concentration have not changed. This observation might be due to the composition, toxicity, and sources of air pollution, as well as other factors, such as socioeconomic determinants or changes in population distribution and susceptibility. FUNDING: None.

Structural Heterogeneity of the Rabies Virus Virion.

Rabies virus (RABV) is among the first recognized viruses of public health concern and has historically contributed to the development of viral vaccines. Despite these significances, the three-dimensional structure of the RABV virion remains unknown due to the challenges in isolating structurally homogenous virion samples in sufficient quantities needed for structural investigation. Here, by combining the capabilities of cryogenic electron tomography (cryoET) and microscopy (cryoEM), we determined the three-dimensional structure of the wild-type RABV virion. Tomograms of RABV virions reveal a high level of structural heterogeneity among the bullet-shaped virion particles encompassing the glycoprotein (G) trimer-decorated envelope and the nucleocapsid composed of RNA, nucleoprotein (N), and matrix protein (M). The structure of the trunk region of the virion was determined by cryoEM helical reconstruction, revealing a one-start N-RNA helix bound by a single layer of M proteins at an N:M ratio of 1. The N-M interaction differs from that in fellow rhabdovirus vesicular stomatitis virus (VSV), which features two layers of M stabilizing the N-RNA helix at an M:N ratio of 2. These differences in both M-N stoichiometry and binding allow RABV to flex its N-RNA helix more freely and point to different mechanisms of viral assembly between these two bullet-shaped rhabdoviruses.

Mitochondrial antioxidant SkQ1 attenuates C26 cancer-induced muscle wasting in males and improves muscle contractility in female tumor-bearing mice.

Mitochondrial dysfunction is a hallmark of cancer cachexia (CC). Mitochondrial reactive oxygen species (ROS) are elevated in muscle shortly after tumor onset. Targeting mitochondrial ROS may be a viable option to prevent CC. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of a mitochondria-targeted antioxidant, SkQ1, to mitigate CC in both biological sexes. Male and female Balb/c mice were injected bilaterally with colon 26 adenocarcinoma (C26) cells (total 1x106 cells) or PBS (equal volume control). SkQ1 was dissolved in drinking water (~250 nmol/kg body weight/day) and administered to mice beginning seven days following tumor induction, while control groups consumed normal drinking water. In vivo muscle contractility of dorsiflexors, deuterium oxide-based protein synthesis, mitochondrial respiration and mRNA content of mitochondrial, protein turnover and calcium channel-related markers were assessed at endpoint (25 days following tumor induction). Two-way ANOVAs, followed by Tukey's post-hoc test when interactions were significant (p≤0.05), were performed. SkQ1 attenuated cancer-induced atrophy, promoted protein synthesis and abated Redd1 and Atrogin induction in gastrocnemius of C26 male mice. In female mice, SkQ1 decreased muscle mass and increased catabolic signaling in the plantaris of tumor-bearing mice, as well as reduced mitochondrial oxygen consumption, regardless of tumor. However, in females SkQ1 enhanced muscle contractility of the dorsiflexors with concurrent induction of Ryr1, Serca1 and Serca2a in TA. In conclusion, the mitochondria-targeted antioxidant SkQ1 may attenuate CC-induced muscle loss in males, while improving muscle contractile function in tumor-bearing female mice, suggesting sexual dimorphism in the effects of this mitochondrial therapy in CC.

Geographical Patterns in Mortality Impacts Due To Heatwaves of Different Characteristics in Spanish Cities.

The impact of heatwaves (HWs) on human health is a topic of growing interest due to the global magnification of these phenomena and their substantial socio-economic impacts. As for other countries of Southern Europe, Spain is a region highly affected by heat and its increase under climate change. This is observed in the mean values and the increasing incidence of extreme weather events and associated mortality. Despite the vast knowledge on this topic, it remains unclear whether specific types and characteristics of HW are particularly harmful to the population and whether this shows a regional interdependency. The present study provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between HW characteristics and mortality in 12 Spanish cities. We used separated time series analysis in each city applying a quasi-Poisson regression model and distributed lag linear and non-linear models. Results show an increase in the mortality risk under HW conditions in the cities with a lower HW frequency. However, this increase exhibits remarkable differences across the cities under study not showing any general pattern in the HW characteristics-mortality association. This relationship is shown to be complex and strongly dependent on the local properties of each city pointing out the crucial need to examine and understand on a local scale the HW characteristics and the HW-mortality relationship for an efficient design and implementation of prevention measures.

Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality.

The rising humid heat is regarded as a severe threat to human survivability, but the proper integration of humid heat into heat-health alerts is still being explored. Using state-of-the-art epidemiological and climatological datasets, we examined the association between multiple heat stress indicators (HSIs) and daily human mortality in 739 cities worldwide. Notable differences were observed in the long-term trends and timing of heat events detected by HSIs. Air temperature (Tair) predicts heat-related mortality well in cities with a robust negative Tair-relative humidity correlation (CT-RH). However, in cities with near-zero or weak positive CT-RH, HSIs considering humidity provide enhanced predictive power compared to Tair. Furthermore, the magnitude and timing of heat-related mortality measured by HSIs could differ largely from those associated with Tair in many cities. Our findings provide important insights into specific regions where humans are vulnerable to humid heat and can facilitate the further enhancement of heat-health alert systems.

All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Wildfire activity is an important source of tropospheric ozone (O3) pollution. However, no study to date has systematically examined the associations of wildfire-related O3 exposure with mortality globally. METHODS: We did a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. From the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, data on daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory deaths were obtained from 749 locations in 43 countries or areas, representing overlapping periods from Jan 1, 2000, to Dec 31, 2016. We estimated the daily concentration of wildfire-related O3 in study locations using a chemical transport model, and then calibrated and downscaled O3 estimates to a resolution of 0·25°â€ˆ× 0·25° (approximately 28 km2 at the equator). Using a random-effects meta-analysis, we examined the associations of short-term wildfire-related O3 exposure (lag period of 0-2 days) with daily mortality, first at the location level and then pooled at the country, regional, and global levels. Annual excess mortality fraction in each location attributable to wildfire-related O3 was calculated with pooled effect estimates and used to obtain excess mortality fractions at country, regional, and global levels. FINDINGS: Between 2000 and 2016, the highest maximum daily wildfire-related O3 concentrations (≥30 µg/m3) were observed in locations in South America, central America, and southeastern Asia, and the country of South Africa. Across all locations, an increase of 1 µg/m3 in the mean daily concentration of wildfire-related O3 during lag 0-2 days was associated with increases of 0·55% (95% CI 0·29 to 0·80) in daily all-cause mortality, 0·44% (-0·10 to 0·99) in daily cardiovascular mortality, and 0·82% (0·18 to 1·47) in daily respiratory mortality. The associations of daily mortality rates with wildfire-related O3 exposure showed substantial geographical heterogeneity at the country and regional levels. Across all locations, estimated annual excess mortality fractions of 0·58% (95% CI 0·31 to 0·85; 31 606 deaths [95% CI 17 038 to 46 027]) for all-cause mortality, 0·41% (-0·10 to 0·91; 5249 [-1244 to 11 620]) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0·86% (0·18 to 1·51; 4657 [999 to 8206]) for respiratory mortality were attributable to short-term exposure to wildfire-related O3. INTERPRETATION: In this study, we observed an increase in all-cause and respiratory mortality associated with short-term wildfire-related O3 exposure. Effective risk and smoke management strategies should be implemented to protect the public from the impacts of wildfires. FUNDING: Australian Research Council and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.