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1.
Transplantation ; 2024 Jul 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39020461

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The biological effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection in transplanted kidneys are uncertain with little pathological information. METHODS: This single-center, prospective observational study evaluated kidney transplant biopsies from recipients of deceased donors with COVID-19, current recipients contracting SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 2022, against prior BK virus (BKV) infection and uninfected (without SARS-CoV-2 or BKV) samples, as respective positive and negative comparators (n = 503 samples). RESULTS: We demonstrated nonvirus tubular injury in implanted tissue from infected donors and prevalent recipients with mild acute COVID-19 and acute kidney injury, excluding direct viral infection as a cause of kidney damage. COVID particles were absent in 4116 ultrastructural images of 295 renal tubules from 4 patients with acute COVID-19. No viral cytopathic effect, viral allograft nephropathy, or SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in acute tissues, nor in 128 sequential samples from infected donors or recipients with COVID-19. Following recipient COVID-19 (mean 16.8 ±â€…12.0 wk post-infection), the biopsy-prevalence of rejection was 33.0% (n = 100 biopsies) versus 13.4% for contemporaneous uninfected controls (n = 337; P < 0.001). Prior COVID-19 was an independent risk factor for incident rejection using multivariable generalized estimating equation adjusted for competing risks (odds ratio, 2.195; 95% confidence interval, 1.189-4.052; P = 0.012). Landmark and matched-pair analyses confirmed an association of SARS-CoV-2 with subsequent transplant rejection, with a similar pattern following BKV infection. CONCLUSIONS: Transplantation from COVID-19+ deceased donors yielded good recipient outcomes without evidence of viral tissue transmission. Acute kidney injury during COVID-19 was mediated by archetypical tubular injury and infection correlated with an increased risk of subsequent rejection.

2.
Pathology ; 56(5): 717-725, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38729860

RESUMO

Application of whole genome sequencing (WGS) has allowed monitoring of the emergence of variants of concern (VOC) of severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) globally. Genomic investigation of emerging variants and surveillance of clinical progress has reduced the public health impact of infection during the COVID-19 pandemic. These steps required developing and implementing a proficiency testing program (PTP), as WGS has been incorporated into routine reference laboratory practice. In this study, we describe how the PTP evaluated the capacity and capability of one New Zealand and 14 Australian public health laboratories to perform WGS of SARS-CoV-2 in 2022. The participants' performances in characterising a specimen panel of known SARS-CoV-2 isolates in the PTP were assessed based on: (1) genome coverage, (2) Pango lineage, and (3) sequence quality, with the choice of assessment metrics refined based on a previously reported assessment conducted in 2021. The participants' performances in 2021 and 2022 were also compared after reassessing the 2021 results using the more stringent metrics adopted in 2022. We found that more participants would have failed the 2021 assessment for all survey samples and a significantly higher fail rate per sample in 2021 compared to 2022. This study highlights the importance of choosing appropriate performance metrics to reflect better the laboratories' capacity to perform SARS-CoV-2 WGS, as was done in the 2022 PTP. It also displays the need for a PTP for WGS of SARS-CoV-2 to be available to public health laboratories ongoing, with continuous refinements in the design and provision of the PTP to account for the dynamic nature of the COVID-19 pandemic as SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Ensaio de Proficiência Laboratorial , SARS-CoV-2 , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/virologia , Nova Zelândia , Austrália , Genoma Viral/genética
4.
Microbiol Spectr ; 11(6): e0220223, 2023 Dec 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37966271

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: This study provides a laboratory framework to ensure ongoing relevance and performance of amplification-based whole genome sequencing to strengthen public health surveillance during extended outbreaks or pandemics. The framework integrates regular reviews of the performance of a genomic surveillance system and highlights the importance of ongoing monitoring and the identification and implementation of improvements to whole genome sequencing methods to enhance public health responses to pathogen outbreaks.


Assuntos
Genômica , Saúde Pública , Surtos de Doenças , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma/métodos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
6.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 303, 2023 May 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37158832

RESUMO

The emergence of resistance to antiviral drugs increasingly used to treat SARS-CoV-2 infections has been recognised as a significant threat to COVID-19 control. In addition, some SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern appear to be intrinsically resistant to several classes of these antiviral agents. Therefore, there is a critical need for rapid recognition of clinically relevant polymorphisms in SARS-CoV-2 genomes associated with significant reduction of drug activity in virus neutralisation experiments. Here we present SABRes, a bioinformatic tool, which leverages on expanding public datasets of SARS-CoV-2 genomes and allows detection of drug resistance mutations in consensus genomes as well as in viral subpopulations. We have applied SABRes to detect resistance-conferring mutations in 25,197 genomes generated over the course of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Australia and identified 299 genomes containing resistance conferring mutations to the five antiviral therapeutics that retain effectiveness against currently circulating strains of SARS-CoV-2 - Sotrovimab, Bebtelovimab, Remdesivir, Nirmatrelvir and Molnupiravir. These genomes accounted for a 1.18% prevalence of resistant isolates discovered by SABRes, including 80 genomes with resistance conferring mutations found in viral subpopulations. Timely recognition of these mutations within subpopulations is critical as these mutations can provide an advantage under selective pressure and presents an important step forward in our ability to monitor SARS-CoV-2 drug resistance.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Mutação , Antivirais/farmacologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico
7.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 1983, 2023 04 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37031199

RESUMO

Shigella sonnei causes shigellosis, a severe gastrointestinal illness that is sexually transmissible among men who have sex with men (MSM). Multidrug resistance in S. sonnei is common including against World Health Organisation recommended treatment options, azithromycin, and ciprofloxacin. Recently, an MSM-associated outbreak of extended-spectrum ß-lactamase producing, extensively drug resistant S. sonnei was reported in the United Kingdom. Here, we aimed to identify the genetic basis, evolutionary history, and international dissemination of the outbreak strain. Our genomic epidemiological analyses of 3,304 isolates from the United Kingdom, Australia, Belgium, France, and the United States of America revealed an internationally connected outbreak with a most recent common ancestor in 2018 carrying a low-fitness cost resistance plasmid, previously observed in travel associated sublineages of S. flexneri. Our results highlight the persistent threat of horizontally transmitted antimicrobial resistance and the value of continuing to work towards early and open international sharing of genomic surveillance data.


Assuntos
Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Shigella , Masculino , Humanos , Shigella sonnei/genética , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Homossexualidade Masculina , Viagem , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana/genética , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana
9.
Aust N Z J Public Health ; 47(2): 100018, 2023 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36965315

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To identify and control a source of Legionella in Sydney CBD. METHODS: Clinical, epidemiological, environmental and genomic techniques were employed to identify cases and the source of Legionella. RESULTS: Eleven legionellosis cases were linked to Sydney CBD with a median age of 69 years. All were hospitalised and had risk factors for Legionella infection. Eight of 11 cases identified as male. Genomic analysis linked three cases to a contaminated cooling water source in Sydney CBD, with a further case infected with a similar strain to that found in Sydney CBD. Another case, although epidemiologically linked to Sydney CBD, was infected with a genomically different strain to that found in Sydney CBD. Six other cases had no viable sample for genomic analysis. CONCLUSION/IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: An outbreak of legionellosis is a serious public health threat that requires rapid investigation and environmental control. We were able to identify a source in Sydney CBD through the application of clinical, epidemiological, environmental and genomic techniques. Genomic analysis is a powerful tool that can be used to confirm the source location but requires close collaboration between clinicians, public health units and microbiologists to recover viable sputum cultures from cases diagnosed with legionellosis.


Assuntos
Legionella , Legionelose , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Legionelose/diagnóstico , Legionelose/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Surtos de Doenças , Poluição da Água
10.
Int J Infect Dis ; 130: 38-41, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36842755

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To describe the epidemiology and impact of Omicron BR.2.1, an emergent SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2.75 sublineage displaying high fitness compared to other cocirculating subvariants in New South Wales, Australia. METHODS: From September 01 to November 26, 2022, 4971 SARS-CoV-2 consensus genomes from unique patients were generated, and correlated with international travel and reinfection history, and admission to the intensive care unit. RESULTS: BR.2.1 became the predominant variant by late November, and was responsible for a significantly higher proportion of community-acquired cases during the study period (55.1% vs 38.4%, P < 0.001). Reinfections (defined as occurring between 6 and 24 weeks after a prior diagnosis of COVID-19) were significantly higher among BR.2.1 compared to non-BR.2.1 infected persons (17.0% vs 6.0%, P < 0.001). BR.2.1 cases were also significantly younger compared to non-BR.2.1 (median age 48 years (interquartile range [IQR] 32) vs 53 years (IQR 32), P = 0.004). The proportion of patients admitted to the intensive care unit with BR.2.1 was not significantly higher than other subvariants (2.3% vs 2.0%, P = 0.717). CONCLUSION: Having emerged locally within New South Wales, BR.2.1 caused a significant number of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections, but with disease severity comparable with other currently circulating lineages. Given its rapid rise in prevalence, BR.2.1 has the potential to become established internationally.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Adulto , New South Wales/epidemiologia , Reinfecção , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Austrália , Gravidade do Paciente
11.
Microbiol Spectr ; 11(1): e0301422, 2023 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36625638

RESUMO

Salmonella enterica serovar Enteritidis is one of the leading causes of salmonellosis in Australia. In this study, a total of 568 S. Enteritidis isolates from two Australian states across two consecutive years were analyzed and compared to international strains, using the S. Enteritidis multilevel genome typing (MGT) database, which contained 40,390 publicly available genomes from 99 countries. The Australian S. Enteritidis isolates were divided into three phylogenetic clades (A, B, and C). Clades A and C represented 16.4% and 3.5% of the total isolates, respectively, and were of local origin. Clade B accounted for 80.1% of the isolates which belonged to seven previously defined lineages but was dominated by the global epidemic lineage. At the MGT5 level, three out of five top sequence types (STs) in Australia were also top STs in Asia, suggesting that a fair proportion of Australian S. Enteritidis cases may be epidemiologically linked with Asian strains. In 2018, a large egg-associated local outbreak was caused by a recently defined clade B lineage prevalent in Europe and was closely related, but not directly linked, to three European isolates. Additionally, over half (54.8%) of predicted multidrug resistance (MDR) isolates belonged to 10 MDR-associated MGT-STs, which were also frequent in Asian S. Enteritidis . Overall, this study investigated the genomic epidemiology of S. Enteritidis in Australia, including the first large local outbreak, using MGT. The open MGT platform enables a standardized and sharable nomenclature that can be effectively applied to public health for unified surveillance of S. Enteritidis nationally and globally. IMPORTANCE Salmonella enterica serovar Enteritidis is a leading cause of foodborne infections. We previously developed a genomic typing database (MGTdb) for S. Enteritidis to facilitate global surveillance of this pathogen. In this study, we examined the genomic features of Australian S. Enteritidis using the MGTdb and found that Australian S. Enteritidis is mainly epidemiologically linked with Asian strains (especially strains carrying antimicrobial resistance genes), followed by European strains. The first large-scale egg-associated local outbreak in Australia was caused by a recently defined lineage prevalent in Europe, and three European isolates in the MGTdb were closely related but not directly linked to this outbreak. In summary, the S. Enteritidis MGTdb open platform is shown to be a potentially powerful tool for national and global public health surveillance of this pathogen.


Assuntos
Infecções por Salmonella , Salmonella enterica , Humanos , Salmonella enteritidis/genética , Filogenia , Austrália/epidemiologia , Infecções por Salmonella/epidemiologia , Genômica
12.
Front Public Health ; 10: 1004201, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36276383

RESUMO

Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 has been essential to inform public health response to outbreaks. The high incidence of infection has resulted in a smaller proportion of cases undergoing whole genome sequencing due to finite resources. We present a framework for estimating the impact of reduced depths of genomic surveillance on the resolution of outbreaks, based on a clustering approach using pairwise genetic and temporal distances. We apply the framework to simulated outbreak data to show that outbreaks are detected less frequently when fewer cases are subjected to whole genome sequencing. The impact of sequencing fewer cases depends on the size of the outbreaks, and on the genetic and temporal similarity of the index cases of the outbreaks. We also apply the framework to an outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in New South Wales, Australia. We find that the detection of clusters in the outbreak would have been delayed if fewer cases had been sequenced. Existing recommendations for genomic surveillance estimate the minimum number of cases to sequence in order to detect and monitor new virus variants, assuming representative sampling of cases. Our method instead measures the resolution of clustering, which is important for genomic epidemiology, and accommodates sampling biases.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Genômica
13.
Transplantation ; 106(9): 1860-1866, 2022 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35675438

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Since November 2021, a new variant of concern (VOC), the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineage B.1.1.529 (Omicron) has emerged as the dominant coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection worldwide. We describe the clinical presentation, risk factors, and outcomes in a cohort of kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients with COVID-19 caused by Omicron infection. METHODS: We included all kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infections between December 26, 2021, and January 14, 2022, in a single transplant center in Australia. Identification of the VOC Omicron was confirmed using phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 sequences. RESULTS: Forty-one patients with kidney (6 living and 33 deceased) and kidney pancreas transplants were diagnosed with the VOC Omicron (lineage B.1.1.529/BA.1) infection during the study period. The mean age (SD) at the time of diagnosis was 52 (11.1) y; 40 (out of 41) (98%) had received at least 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine. Cough was the most frequent symptom (80.5%), followed by myalgia (70.7%), sore throat (63.4%), and fever (58.5%). After a follow-up time of 30 d, 1 (2.4%) patient died, 2 (4.9%) experienced multiorgan failure, and 5 (12.2%) had respiratory failure; 11 (26.8%) patients developed other superimposed infections. Compared with recipients who did not receive sotrovimab antibody therapy, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for hospitalization among patients who received sotrovimab was 0.05 (0.005-0.4). CONCLUSIONS: Despite double or triple dose vaccination, VOC Omicron infections in kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients are not necessarily mild. Hospitalization rates remained high (around 56%), and sotrovimab use may prevent hospitalization.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Rim , Pâncreas , Filogenia , Fatores de Risco , Transplantados
14.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 2745, 2022 05 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35585202

RESUMO

Co-infections with different variants of SARS-CoV-2 are a key precursor to recombination events that are likely to drive SARS-CoV-2 evolution. Rapid identification of such co-infections is required to determine their frequency in the community, particularly in populations at-risk of severe COVID-19, which have already been identified as incubators for punctuated evolutionary events. However, limited data and tools are currently available to detect and characterise the SARS-CoV-2 co-infections associated with recognised variants of concern. Here we describe co-infection with the SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern Omicron and Delta in two epidemiologically unrelated adult patients with chronic kidney disease requiring maintenance haemodialysis. Both variants were co-circulating in the community at the time of detection. Genomic surveillance based on amplicon- and probe-based sequencing using short- and long-read technologies identified and quantified subpopulations of Delta and Omicron viruses in respiratory samples. These findings highlight the importance of integrated genomic surveillance in vulnerable populations and provide diagnostic pathways to recognise SARS-CoV-2 co-infection using genomic data.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Coinfecção , Genômica , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética
16.
BMC Res Notes ; 14(1): 415, 2021 Nov 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34789337

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To adapt 'fishplots' to describe real-time evolution of SARS-CoV-2 genomic clusters. RESULTS: This novel analysis adapted the fishplot to depict the size and duration of circulating genomic clusters over time in New South Wales, Australia. It illuminated the effectiveness of interventions on the emergence, spread and eventual elimination of clusters and distilled genomic data into clear information to inform public health action.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Austrália , Genômica , Humanos , New South Wales , SARS-CoV-2
17.
Wellcome Open Res ; 6: 121, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34095513

RESUMO

Late in 2020, two genetically-distinct clusters of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with mutations of biological concern were reported, one in the United Kingdom and one in South Africa. Using a combination of data from routine surveillance, genomic sequencing and international travel we track the international dispersal of lineages B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 (variant 501Y-V2). We account for potential biases in genomic surveillance efforts by including passenger volumes from location of where the lineage was first reported, London and South Africa respectively. Using the software tool grinch (global report investigating novel coronavirus haplotypes), we track the international spread of lineages of concern with automated daily reports, Further, we have built a custom tracking website (cov-lineages.org/global_report.html) which hosts this daily report and will continue to include novel SARS-CoV-2 lineages of concern as they are detected.

18.
Public Health Res Pract ; 31(3)2021 Sep 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34494077

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To describe local operational aspects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) response during the first three waves of outbreaks in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, which began in January, July and December 2020. Type of program or service: Public health outbreak response. METHODS: Narrative with epidemiological linking and genomic testing. RESULTS: Epidemiological linking and genomic testing found that during the first wave of COVID-19 in NSW, a large number of community transmissions went undetected because of limited testing for the virus and limited contact tracing of cases. The second wave of COVID-19 in NSW emerged following reintroduction from the second wave in Victoria, Australia in July 2020, and the third wave followed undetected introduction from overseas. By the second and third waves, cases could be more effectively detected and isolated through an increased ability to test and contact trace, and to rapidly genomic sequence severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) isolates, allowing most cases to be identified and epidemiologically linked. This greater certainty in understanding chains of transmission resulted in control of the outbreaks despite less stringent restrictions on the community, by using a refined strategy of targeted shutdown, restrictions on cases, their close contacts, identified hotspots and venues of concern rather than a whole of community lockdown. Risk assessments of potential transmission sites were constantly updated through our evolving experience with transmission events. However, this refined strategy did leave the potential for large point source outbreaks should any cases go undetected. [Addendum] A fourth wave that began in Sydney in June 2021 challenged this strategy due to the more transmissible nature of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2. LESSONS LEARNT: A wave of COVID-19 infections can develop quickly from one infected person. The community needs to remain vigilant, adhering to physical distancing measures, signing in to venues they visit, and getting tested if they have any symptoms. Signing out of venues on exit allows public health resources to be used more efficiently to respond to outbreaks.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Teste para COVID-19/métodos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/organização & administração , Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , New South Wales/epidemiologia , Distanciamento Físico , Saúde Pública , Quarentena/métodos , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Vitória/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
19.
BMJ Case Rep ; 14(1)2021 Jan 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33462030

RESUMO

This case represents a rare fulminant course of fried-rice associated food poisoning in an immunocompetent person due to pre-formed exotoxin produced by Bacillus cereus, with severe manifestations of sepsis, including multi-organ (hepatic, renal, cardiac, respiratory and neurological) failure, shock, metabolic acidosis, rhabdomyolysis and coagulopathy. Despite maximal supportive measures (continuous renal replacement therapy, plasmapheresis, N-acetylcysteine infusion and blood products, and broad-spectrum antimicrobials) and input from a multidisciplinary team (consisting of infectious diseases, intensive care, gastroenterology, surgery, toxicology, immunology and haematology), mortality resulted. This case is the first to use whole genome sequencing techniques to confirm the toxigenic potential of B. cereus It has important implications for food preparation and storage, particularly given its occurrence in home isolation during the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
Bacillus cereus/genética , Exotoxinas/genética , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/diagnóstico , Acetilcisteína/uso terapêutico , Acidose/fisiopatologia , Acidose/terapia , Adulto , Antiarrítmicos/uso terapêutico , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Arritmias Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Arritmias Cardíacas/terapia , Bacillus cereus/isolamento & purificação , Transtornos da Coagulação Sanguínea/fisiopatologia , Transtornos da Coagulação Sanguínea/terapia , Transfusão de Sangue , Encefalopatias , Terapia de Substituição Renal Contínua , Evolução Fatal , Feminino , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/microbiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/fisiopatologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/terapia , Sequestradores de Radicais Livres/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Imunocompetência , Falência Hepática/fisiopatologia , Falência Hepática/terapia , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/terapia , Plasmaferese , Insuficiência Renal/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Renal/terapia , Rabdomiólise/fisiopatologia , Rabdomiólise/terapia , Sepse/fisiopatologia , Sepse/terapia , Choque/fisiopatologia , Espectrometria de Massas por Ionização e Dessorção a Laser Assistida por Matriz , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma
20.
Nat Med ; 26(9): 1398-1404, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32647358

RESUMO

In January 2020, a novel betacoronavirus (family Coronaviridae), named severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was identified as the etiological agent of a cluster of pneumonia cases occurring in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China1,2. The disease arising from SARS-CoV-2 infection, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), subsequently spread rapidly causing a worldwide pandemic. Here we examine the added value of near real-time genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 in a subpopulation of infected patients during the first 10 weeks of COVID-19 containment in Australia and compare findings from genomic surveillance with predictions of a computational agent-based model (ABM). Using the Australian census data, the ABM generates over 24 million software agents representing the population of Australia, each with demographic attributes of an anonymous individual. It then simulates transmission of the disease over time, spreading from specific infection sources, using contact rates of individuals within different social contexts. We report that the prospective sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 clarified the probable source of infection in cases where epidemiological links could not be determined, significantly decreased the proportion of COVID-19 cases with contentious links, documented genomically similar cases associated with concurrent transmission in several institutions and identified previously unsuspected links. Only a quarter of sequenced cases appeared to be locally acquired and were concordant with predictions from the ABM. These high-resolution genomic data are crucial to track cases with locally acquired COVID-19 and for timely recognition of independent importations once border restrictions are lifted and trade and travel resume.


Assuntos
Betacoronavirus/genética , Infecções por Coronavirus/genética , Genoma Viral/genética , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/genética , Betacoronavirus/patogenicidade , COVID-19 , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Humanos , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Análise de Sistemas , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma
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