Loss of biochemical response at any time worsens outcomes in UDCA-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

Background & Aims: Biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy is associated with good prognosis in people living with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Biochemical response is typically assessed early in disease and it is not known what proportion of patients lose previously attained biochemical response, nor whether this impacts long-term liver transplant (LT)-free survival. Methods: We identified all UDCA-treated patients with PBC from the Canadian Network for Autoimmune Liver disease with biochemical measurements at 1 year, and evaluated their liver biochemistry over time. Inadequate biochemical response was defined as serum alkaline phosphatase ≥1.67x the upper limit of normal or abnormal serum total bilirubin at 1 year of UDCA therapy and all time points thereafter. Multistate Markov models were used to estimate transition rates between biochemical response states and from each state to LT or death. Results were validated in an external cohort (GLOBAL PBC registry). Results: A total of 823 patients from eight centers were included. Mean age at diagnosis was 53 years, 91% were female, 33% had inadequate biochemical response to UDCA at 1 year (n = 269). Patients who retained initial adequate response had lower rates of LT or death compared to patients who subsequently lost response (relative rate 0.102, 95% CI 0.047-0.223). Patients who regained adequate response had lower rates than patients who did not (0.016, 95% CI 0.001-0.568), and patients who lost response once more (0.010, 95% CI 0.001-0.340). Patients who regained adequate response for a third time also had lower rates than patients who did not (0.151, 95% CI 0.040-0.566). Analyses in the GLOBAL PBC registry (n = 2,237) validated these results. Conclusion: Loss of biochemical response at any time is associated with heightened risks of LT or death in people living with PBC. Achievement of biochemical response is an important goal throughout follow-up, regardless of biochemical response profile early in therapy. Impact and implications: Early biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid is associated with good prognosis in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Our work demonstrates that patients with PBC transition between biochemical response states over time, and that these transitions correspond with changes in risk of liver transplantation or death. Clinicians should re-evaluate risk and optimize treatment decisions for patients with PBC throughout follow-up, regardless of early biochemical response to therapy.

Clinical Phenotyping for Prognosis and Immunotherapy Guidance in Bacterial Sepsis and COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: It is suggested that sepsis may be classified into four clinical phenotypes, using an algorithm employing 29 admission parameters. We applied a simplified phenotyping algorithm among patients with bacterial sepsis and severe COVID-19 and assessed characteristics and outcomes of the derived phenotypes. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of data from prospective clinical studies. SETTING: Greek ICUs and Internal Medicine departments. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: We analyzed 1498 patients, 620 with bacterial sepsis and 878 with severe COVID-19. We implemented a six-parameter algorithm (creatinine, lactate, aspartate transaminase, bilirubin, C-reactive protein, and international normalized ratio) to classify patients with bacterial sepsis intro previously defined phenotypes. Patients with severe COVID-19, included in two open-label immunotherapy trials were subsequently classified. Heterogeneity of treatment effect of anakinra was assessed. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The algorithm validated the presence of the four phenotypes across the cohort of bacterial sepsis and the individual studies included in this cohort. Phenotype α represented younger patients with low risk of death, ß was associated with high comorbidity burden, and δ with the highest mortality. Phenotype assignment was independently associated with outcome, even after adjustment for Charlson Comorbidity Index. Phenotype distribution and outcomes in severe COVID-19 followed a similar pattern. CONCLUSIONS: A simplified algorithm successfully identified previously derived phenotypes of bacterial sepsis, which were predictive of outcome. This classification may apply to patients with severe COVID-19 with prognostic implications.

Clinical Phenotyping for Prognosis and Immunotherapy Guidance in Bacterial Sepsis and COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: It is suggested that sepsis may be classified into four clinical phenotypes, using an algorithm employing 29 admission parameters. We applied a simplified phenotyping algorithm among patients with bacterial sepsis and severe COVID-19 and assessed characteristics and outcomes of the derived phenotypes. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of data from prospective clinical studies. SETTING: Greek ICUs and Internal Medicine departments. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: We analyzed 1498 patients, 620 with bacterial sepsis and 878 with severe COVID-19. We implemented a six-parameter algorithm (creatinine, lactate, aspartate transaminase, bilirubin, C-reactive protein, and international normalized ratio) to classify patients with bacterial sepsis intro previously defined phenotypes. Patients with severe COVID-19, included in two open-label immunotherapy trials were subsequently classified. Heterogeneity of treatment effect of anakinra was assessed. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The algorithm validated the presence of the four phenotypes across the cohort of bacterial sepsis and the individual studies included in this cohort. Phenotype α represented younger patients with low risk of death, ß was associated with high comorbidity burden, and δ with the highest mortality. Phenotype assignment was independently associated with outcome, even after adjustment for Charlson Comorbidity Index. Phenotype distribution and outcomes in severe COVID-19 followed a similar pattern. CONCLUSIONS: A simplified algorithm successfully identified previously derived phenotypes of bacterial sepsis, which were predictive of outcome. This classification may apply to patients with severe COVID-19 with prognostic implications.

Efficacy and safety of palliative treatment in patients with autoimmune liver disease-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Autoimmune liver diseases (AILD) are rare causes hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and data on the efficacy and tolerability of anti-tumor therapies are scarce. This pan-European study aimed to assess outcomes in AILD-HCC patients treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) compared with patients with more common HCC etiologies, including viral, alcoholic or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 107 patients with HCC-AILD (AIH:55; PBC:52) treated at 13 European centres between 1996 and 2020 were included. 65 received TACE and 28 received TKI therapy. 43 (66 %) were female (median age 73 years) with HCC tumor stage BCLC A (34 %), B (46 %), C (9 %) or D (11 %). For each treatment type, propensity score matching was used to match AILD to non-AILD-HCC on a 1:1 basis, yielding in a final cohort of 130 TACE and 56 TKI patients for comparative analyses of median overall survival (mOS) and treatment tolerability. RESULTS: HCC-AILD patients showed comparable mOS to controls for both TACE (19.5 vs. 22.1 months, p = 0.9) and TKI (15.4 vs. 15.1 months, p = 0.5). Adverse events were less frequent in AILD-HCC patients than controls (33 % % vs. 62 %, p = 0.003). For TKIs, there were no significant differences in adverse events (73% vs. 86%, p = 0.2) or interruption rates (44% vs. 36 %, p = 0.7). CONCLUSIONS: In summary, this study demonstrates comparable mOS for AILD-HCC patients undergoing local and systemic treatments, with better tolerability than HCC of other causes. TKIs remain important therapeutic options for AILD-HCC patients, particularly given their exclusion from recent immunotherapy trials.

PNPLA3 I148 M genetic variant in autoimmune hepatitis characterises advanced disease at diagnosis and reduced survival free of cirrhotic events and liver-related mortality.

Background: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a relatively rare autoimmune disease with a strong genetic background. The patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) I148 M (rs738409 C/G) variant has been associated with hepatic inflammation and fibrosis in chronic hepatic diseases beyond metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Aim: Our aim was to investigate the significance of PNPLA3 I148 M variant in AIH. Method: Two hundred AIH patients, followed in our centre, were evaluated while 100 healthy subjects served as controls. Genotyping was performed with allelic discrimination end-point polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Results: The I148 M variant was present in 95/200 (47.5 %) AIH patients compared to 47/100 (47 %) healthy controls (p = 1.000). Patients with GG/CG genotypes were more likely to present with decompensated cirrhosis at diagnosis (GG/CG 6.3 % vs. CC 1 %, p = 0.039). Comorbidity with cardiometabolic risk factors and concurrence of MASLD was similar across genotypes. Simple steatosis was present in 37/186 (19.9 %) and steatohepatitis in 14/186 (7.5 %) patients with available liver biopsy without correlation with PNPLA3 genotype. Fibrosis stage and grade of inflammation were not correlated with any genotype. Response to treatment was also independent of the presence of the I148 M variant, even though a longer time was needed to achieve complete biochemical response in those carrying the GG/CG genotypes (p = 0.07). On Kaplan Meier analysis homozygosity for the G allele corelated with reduced survival free of decompensation (p = 0.006), cirrhotic events (decompensation, liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma; p = 0.001) and liver-related death or liver transplantation (p = 0.011) in treated patients. Conclusions: The PNPLA3 I148 M variant in AIH patients is associated with increased risk of advanced disease at diagnosis and reduced survival free of cirrhotic events and liver-related death or liver transplantation, regardless of the presence of MASLD. This signifies a potential role for the PNPLA3 I148 M variant as a new AIH biomarker allowing to identify patients at increased risk of disease progression.

Osteonecrosis risk after steroids-related treatment of COVID-19 is not negligible: A cross sectional study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: During the pandemic, steroids use at various dosages and durations for the treatment of COVID-19 patients, especially in hospitalized patients, was a common and effective strategy. However, steroid administration is associated with osteonecrosis as an adverse event. The aim of the study was to examine the prevalence of skeleton osteonecrosis in COVID-19 patients treated with or without steroids. METHODS: Eighty randomly selected hospitalized COVID-19 patients were analyzed, of which 40 were managed with a published protocol including steroids and 40 did not receive steroids. Demographics and laboratory measurements including white blood cells count, C-reactive protein and ferritin were retrieved from the medical records. All patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging of the hips, shoulders, and knees. Subsequently, all patients were clinically examined and Oxford hip score (OHS) and EuroQol- 5 Dimension (EQ-5D-5 L) were documented. RESULTS: Three patients (3/40; 7.5 %) treated with steroids were diagnosed with femoral head osteonecrosis. None of the patients in the non-steroid-treated group developed osteonecrosis. There were no differences between the two groups regarding OHS and EQ-5D-5 L. Patients with osteonecrosis had higher ferritin levels, received higher doses of corticosteroids (median dose 2200 mg), and had longer hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19-related therapy with steroids resulted in lower prevalence of osteonecrosis than that previously recorded in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus-type-1. However, this risk seems not negligible and therefore, high clinical suspicion for early diagnosis is warranted, given the fact that a great proportion of hospitalized patients received steroids during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Calprotectin serum levels on admission and during follow-up predict severity and outcome of patients with COVID-19: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Calprotectin reflects neutrophil activation and is increased in various inflammatory conditions including severe COVID-19. However, serial serum calprotectin measurements in COVID-19 patients are limited. We assessed prospectively, calprotectin levels as biomarker of severity/outcome of the disease and a COVID-19 monitoring parameter in a large cohort of consecutive COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Calprotectin serum levels were measured in 736 patients (58.2 % males; median age 63-years; moderate disease, n = 292; severe, n = 444, intubated and/or died, n = 50). Patients were treated with combined immunotherapies according to our published local algorithm. The endpoint was the composite event of intubation due to severe respiratory failure (SRF)/COVID-19-related mortality. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) calprotectin levels were significantly higher in patients with severe disease [7(8.2) vs. 6.1(8.1)µg/mL, p = 0.015]. Calprotectin on admission was the only independent risk factor for intubation/death (HR=1.473, 95 %CI=1.003-2.165, p = 0.048) even after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, comorbidities, neutrophils, lymphocytes, neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio, ferritin, and CRP. The area under the curve (AUC, 95 %CI) of calprotectin for prediction of intubation/death was 0.619 (0.531-0.708), with an optimal cut-off at 13 µg/mL (sensitivity: 44 %, specificity: 79 %, positive and negative predictive values: 13 % and 95 %, respectively). For intubated/died patients, paired comparisons from baseline to middle of hospitalization and subsequently to intubation/death showed significant increase of calprotectin (p = 0.009 and p < 0.001, respectively). Calprotectin alteration had the higher predictive ability for intubation/death [AUC (95 %CI):0.803 (0.664-0.943), p < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Calprotectin levels on admission and their subsequent dynamic alterations could serve as indicator of COVID-19 severity and predict the occurrence of SRF and mortality.

FibroMeter scores are predictive noninvasive markers of advanced and significant liver fibrosis in patients with chronic viral hepatitis or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Background: FibroMeter and FibroMeter vibration-controlled transient elastography (FibroMeter VCTE) were assessed in a Greek cohort of patients with chronic viral hepatitis (CVH) B and C or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to evaluate their accuracy in predicting advanced liver fibrosis against other well-validated noninvasive markers. Methods: Group 1: n=83 CVH and group 2: n=38 MASLD patients underwent liver biopsy and transient elastography (TE) on the same day as sera collection. FibroMeter scores APRI and FIB-4 were calculated in all 121 patients, while MASLD fibrosis score (MFS) was also calculated in group 2. Results: In CVH, FibroMeter VCTE performed equivalently to TE and better than the other markers in predicting advanced (≥F3) and significant (≥F2) fibrosis (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.887, P<0.001 for F3; AUC 0.766 P<0.001 for F2). FibroMeter Virus (cutoff 0.61) had lower sensitivity (20%) but performed equivalently to APRI and FIB-4. In MASLD, all markers but APRI performed equivalently in predicting advanced fibrosis. FibroMeter VCTE >0.2154 had the same sensitivity (100%) and specificity (81%) as TE (cutoff >7.1 kPa). FibroMeter MASLD >0.25 performed equivalently to MFS and FIB4, but with higher specificity (100%). Both FibroMeter and FibroMeter VCTE correlated with liver histology but not with liver enzymes. Conclusions: FibroMeter VCTE predicts accurately advanced fibrosis in CVH and MASLD, irrespectively of transaminase levels. FibroMeter Virus can be applied only as an alternative marker in CVH, while FibroMeter MASLD performs equally to TE and calculated scores (MFS, FIB-4) in predicting advanced fibrosis in MASLD patients.

Radiologic Features of T10 Paravertebral Muscle Sarcopenia: Prognostic Factors in COVID-19.

Background: Sarcopenia, defined as a small cross-sectional area (CSA) in computed tomography (CT) measurements of skeletal muscles, serves as a disease severity marker in various clinical scenarios, including pulmonary conditions and critical illness. Another parameter of sarcopenia, the level of myosteatosis, reflected by the tissue's radiodensity, in the thoracic skeletal muscles group, has been linked to disease progression in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. We hypothesize that CT-derived measurements of the skeletal muscle density (SMD) and the CSA of thoracic skeletal muscles can predict outcomes in COVID-19 pneumonia. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the CT scans of 84 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to two of Greece's largest academic teaching hospitals between April 2020 and February 2021. CSA and SMD at the level of the T10 vertebra were measured using computational imaging methods. The patient population was stratified according to survival status and CT severity score (CT-SS). Correlations were drawn between the radiologic features of sarcopenia, CT severity subgroups, serum inflammatory markers, and adverse events, e.g., death and intubation. Results: Thoracic muscles' CSA measurements correlate with CT-SS and prominent inflammatory markers, such as white blood cell (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, and D-dimers. Moreover, according to linear regression analysis, CSA seems to predict CT-SS variation significantly (ß = -0.266, P = 0.018). CSA proved to differ significantly across survivors (P = 0.027) but not between CT severity categories and intubation subgroups. The AUC (area under the curve) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the predictive value of thoracic muscles' CSA in mortality is 0.774 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66 - 0.83, P < 0.000). The optimal cut-off value (Youden index = 0.57) for mortality prognosis, with a sensitivity of 66.7% and a specificity of 88.9%, is 15.55. Thoracic muscles' SMD analyses did not reveal any significant correlations. Conclusions: Easy to obtain and accurately calculated, radiologic features can provide a reliable alternative to laboratory methods for predicting survival in COVID-19. Thoracic muscles' CSA measurement in the level of the T10 vertebra, an acclaimed prognostic imaging assessment that relates directly to CT-SS and inflammatory markers in COVID-19 pneumonia, is a fairly specific tool for survival prognosis.

Treatment responses and outcomes in patients with autoimmune hepatitis and concomitant features of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Background & Aims: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and steatohepatitis (NASH) affect 17-46% of Western countries, making coexistence with other liver diseases inevitable. We investigated the prevalence and clinical significance of NAFLD/NASH or the components of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a large multicentric cohort of patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Methods: Data from six academic centres (Greece, Canada, Japan, Germany, The Netherlands, and Spain) were evaluated. The presence of NAFLD/NASH in liver biopsy, MetS components, and clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded. Results: A total of 640 patients (474 females, age 49 [4-87] years; follow-up 78 [1-521] months) were included. NAFLD was present in 146 (22.8%) patients (AIH/non-alcoholic fatty liver [NAFL] 115 [18%], AIH/NASH 31 [4.8%]). AIH/NAFL patients were older (p = 0.017), more frequently overweight or obese (p = 0.002), had hypertension (p = 0.001), and had diabetes (p = 0.016), whereas they less frequently had acute presentation (p = 0.002) and soluble liver antigen/liver pancreas positivity (p <0.05), lower transaminases (p <0.001), ALP (p = 0.028) and IgG (p = 0.004) and higher albumin (p <0.001) than patients with AIH only. Patients with AIH/NASH more frequently had cirrhosis at diagnosis (p = 0.036) and higher IgG (p = 0.009). Response to treatment did not differ between groups. Patients with cirrhosis with AIH/NAFL had higher frequency of decompensation compared with patients with AIH only (p <0.05). Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia had increased hazard of disease progression (p <0.05 for each). Conclusions: The prevalence of NAFLD in AIH is similar to the general population. Concurrence of NASH in patients with AIH signifies a more severe disease, whereas that of NAFL may indicate a worse prognosis in patients with cirrhosis. T2DM and dyslipidaemia in AIH patients are associated with dismal parameters of outcome. Our findings suggest that NAFLD presence or even components of MetS in patients with AIH may affect prognosis, so closer follow-up of such patients is warranted. Impact and implications: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and steatohepatitis (NASH) affect many people, making coexistence with other liver diseases inevitable. We investigated the prevalence and clinical significance of NAFLD/NASH or the components of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). NAFLD and NASH presence in patients with AIH is as frequent as in the general population. The concurrence of NASH in patients with AIH seems to signify a more severe disease, whereas that of non-alcoholic fatty liver may indicate a worse prognosis in a specific subgroup of patients who already have cirrhosis at diagnosis. Diabetes or dyslipidaemia in patients with AIH were associated with worse prognosis. Therefore, it seems that closer follow-up of patients with concurrent AIH and NAFLD or AIH and components of MetS is needed.

Prevalence and significance of antimitochondrial antibodies in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH): Results from a large multicentre study of the International AIH Group.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antimitochondrial antibodies (AMA) are specific markers for the diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) but can also be found occasionally in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). The present large multicentre cohort study assessed the prevalence and significance of AMA in AIH-patients. METHODS: 123 AMA-positive AIH-patients were investigated and compared with 711 age-matched AMA-negative AIH-patients and 69 patients with AIH/PBC variant. RESULTS: AMA prevalence in AIH-patients was 5.1% (range: 1.2%-11.8%). AMA-positivity was associated with female sex (p = 0.031) in AMA-positive AIH-patients but not with liver biochemistry, bile duct injury on liver biopsy, disease severity at baseline and response to treatment compared to AMA-negative AIH-patients. Comparing AMA-positive AIH-patients to those with AIH/PBC variant, there was no difference in disease severity. Regarding liver histology, AIH/PBC variant patients were characterized by the presence of at least one feature of bile duct damage (p<0.001). Response to immunosuppressive treatment was similar among groups. From AMA-positive AIH patients only those with evidence of non-specific bile duct injury had higher risk to progress to cirrhosis (HR=4.314, 95%CI: 2.348-7.928; p<0.001). During follow-up, AMA-positive AIH-patients had higher risk to develop histological bile duct injury (HR 4.654, 95%CI 1.829-11.840; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: AMA presence is relatively common among AIH-patients, but their clinical significance seems important only when they co-exist with non-specific bile duct injury at the histological level. Therefore, a careful evaluation of liver biopsy seems of utmost importance in these patients.

Optimizing therapy in primary biliary cholangitis: Alkaline phosphatase at six months identifies one-year non-responders and predicts survival.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) and insufficient response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), currently assessed after 1 year, are candidates for second-line therapy. The aims of this study are to assess biochemical response pattern and determine the utility of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) at six months as a predictor of insufficient response. METHODS: UDCA-treated patients in the GLOBAL PBC database with available liver biochemistries at one year were included. POISE criteria were used to assess response to treatment, defined as ALP <1.67 × upper limit of normal (ULN) and normal total bilirubin at one year. Various thresholds of ALP at six months were evaluated to predict insufficient response based on negative predictive value (NPV) and that with nearest to 90% NPV was selected. RESULTS: For the study, 1362 patients were included, 1232 (90.5%) female, mean age of 54 years. The POISE criteria were met by 56.4% (n = 768) of patients at one year. The median ALP (IQR) of those who met POISE criteria compared to those who did not was 1.05 × ULN (0.82-1.33) vs. 2.37 × ULN (1.72-3.69) at six months (p < .001). Of 235 patients with serum ALP >1.9 × ULN at six months, 89% did not achieve POISE criteria (NPV) after one year of UDCA. Of those with insufficient response by POISE criteria at one year, 210 (67%) had an ALP >1.9 × ULN at six months and thus would have been identified early. CONCLUSIONS: We can identify patients for second-line therapy at six months using an ALP threshold of 1.9 × ULN, given that approximately 90% of these patients are non-responders according to POISE criteria.

Efficacy and safety of early soluble urokinase plasminogen receptor plasma-guided anakinra treatment of COVID-19 pneumonia: A subgroup analysis of the SAVE-MORE randomised trial.

Background: The SAVE-MORE trial demonstrated that anakinra treatment in COVID-19 pneumonia with plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator (suPAR) levels of 6 ng/mL or more was associated with 0.36 odds for a worse outcome compared to placebo when expressed by the WHO-Clinical Progression Scale (CPS) at day 28. Herein, we report the results of subgroup analyses and long-term outcomes. Methods: This prospective, double-blind, randomised clinical trial, recruited patients with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, in need of hospitalisation, lower respiratory tract infection and plasma suPAR ≥6 ng/mL from 37 academic and community hospitals in Greece and Italy. Patients were 1:2 randomised to subcutaneous treatment with placebo or anakinra (100 mg) once daily for 10 days. Pre-defined subgroups of Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI), sex, age, level of suPAR, and time from symptom onset were analysed for the primary endpoint (overall comparison of distribution of frequencies of the scores from the WHO-CPS between treatments on day 28), by multivariable ordinal regression analysis in the intention to treat (ITT) population. This trial is registered with the EU Clinical Trials Register (2020-005828-11) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04680949). Findings: Patients were enrolled between 23 December 2020 and 31 March 2021; 189 patients in the placebo arm and 405 patients in the anakinra arm were the ITT population. Multivariable analysis showed that anakinra treatment was accompanied by significantly lower odds for worse outcome compared to placebo at day 28 for all studied subgroups (CCI ≥ 2, OR: 0.34, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.22-0.50; CCI < 2, OR: 0.38, 95% CI 0.21-0.68; suPAR > 9 ng/mL, OR: 0.35, 95% CI 0.19-0.66; suPAR 6-9 ng/mL, OR: 0.35, 95% CI 0.24-0.52; patients ≥65 years, OR: 0.41, 95% CI 0.25-0.66; and patients <65 years, OR: 0.29, 95% CI 0.19-0.45). The benefit was uniform, irrespective of the time from start of symptoms until the start of the study drug. At days 60 and 90, anakinra treatment had odds of 0.40 (95% CI 0.28-0.57) and 0.46 (95% CI 0.32-0.67) respectively, for a worse outcome compared to placebo. The costs of general ward stay, ICU stay, and drugs were lower with anakinra treatment. Interpretation: Anakinra represents an important therapeutic tool in the management of COVID-19 that may be administered in all subgroups of patients; benefits are maintained until day 90. Funding: Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis; Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB.

Ursodeoxycholic Acid Treatment-Induced GLOBE Score Changes Are Associated With Liver Transplantation-Free Survival in Patients With Primary Biliary Cholangitis.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) can improve the GLOBE score. We aimed to assess the association between changes in the GLOBE score (ΔGLOBE) and liver transplantation (LT)-free survival in patients with PBC who were treated with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). METHODS: Among UDCA-treated patients within the Global PBC cohort, the association between ΔGLOBE (ΔGLOBE 0-1 : during the first year of UDCA, ΔGLOBE 1-2 : during the second year) and the risk of LT or death was assessed through Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 3,775 UDCA-treated patients were included; 3,424 (90.7%) were female, the median age was 54.0 (interquartile range [IQR] 45.9-62.4) years, and the median baseline GLOBE score was 0.25 (IQR -0.47 to 0.96). During a median follow-up of 7.2 (IQR 3.7-11.5) years, 730 patients reached the combined end point of LT or death. The median ΔGLOBE 0-1 was -0.27 (IQR -0.56 to 0.02). Cox regression analyses, adjusted for pretreatment GLOBE score and ΔGLOBE 0-12 , showed that ΔGLOBE was associated with LT or death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.81-2.87, P < 0.001). The interaction between baseline GLOBE score and ΔGLOBE 0-1 was not statistically significant ( P = 0.296). The ΔGLOBE 1-2 was associated with LT or death (adjusted hazard ratio 2.19, 95% confidence interval 1.67-2.86, P < 0.001), independently from the baseline GLOBE score and the change in GLOBE score during the first year of UDCA. DISCUSSION: UDCA-induced changes in the GLOBE score were significantly associated with LT-free survival in patients with PBC. While the relative risk reduction of LT or death was stable, the absolute risk reduction was heavily dependent on the baseline prognosis of the patient.

Interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) for the early prognosis of the risk for severe respiratory failure and death in COVID-19 pneumonia.

OBJECTIVES: Elevated concentrations of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) predict progression to severe respiratory failure (SRF) or death among patients with COVID-19 pneumonia and guide early anakinra treatment. As suPAR testing may not be routinely available in every health-care setting, alternative biomarkers are needed. We investigated the performance of C-reactive protein (CRP), interferon gamma-induced protein-10 (IP-10) and TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL) for predicting SRF or death in COVID-19. METHODS: Two cohorts were studied; one discovery cohort with 534 patients from the SAVE-MORE clinical trial; and one validation cohort with 364 patients from the SAVE trial including also 145 comparators. CRP, IP-10 and TRAIL were measured by the MeMed Key® platform in order to select the biomarker with the best prognostic performance for the early prediction of progression into SRF or death. RESULTS: IP-10 had the best prognostic performance: baseline concentrations 2000 pg/ml or higher predicted equally well to suPAR (sensitivity 85.0 %; negative predictive value 96.6 %). Odds ratio for poor outcome among anakinra-treated participants of the SAVE-MORE trial was 0.35 compared to placebo when IP-10 was 2,000 pg/ml or more. IP-10 could divide different strata of severity for SRF/death by day 14 in the validation cohort. Anakinra treatment decreased this risk irrespective the IP-10 concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: IP-10 concentrations of 2,000 pg/ml or higher are a valid alternative to suPAR for the early prediction of progression into SRF or death the first 14 days from hospital admission for COVID-19 and they may guide anakinra treatment. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, NCT04680949 and NCT04357366.

Geographical region and clinical outcomes of patients with primary biliary cholangitis from Western Europe.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The are geographic variations in the incidence and prevalence of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). The aim was to explore whether clinical outcomes of patients within Western Europe differ according to geographical region. METHODS: Ursodeoxycholic acid-treated patients from European centers from the Global PBC database diagnosed from 1990 onwards were included. Patients with a time lag > 1 year from diagnosis to start of follow-up were excluded. Differences in baseline characteristics were studied according to North/South and East/West, whereas outcomes (transplant-free survival and decompensation) were studied with center latitude and longitude. Cox regression analyses were adjusted for age, sex, diagnosis year, biochemical markers, and cirrhosis as a time-dependent covariate. RESULTS: One thousand eight hundred seventy-eight patients were included, and there were no geographical differences in age or sex, with a mean age of 54 years and 89% female patients. Those in North Europe were more often of a moderately advanced/advanced Rotterdam biochemical stage (28.4%) compared with South Europe (20.6%). Additionally, they exhibited higher median alkaline phosphatase (2.0 ×ULN vs. 1.4 ×ULN) and transaminases. In multivariable analysis, there was a significant interaction between center latitude and longitude for decompensation (P < 0.001) and a trend for transplant-free survival, in which the Northwestern area demonstrated an increased risk for poor outcomes as compared to the reference (Paris). CONCLUSION: We describe geographic variations in outcomes for patients across Europe from specialist centers in the Global PBC Study Group. Further study is important to explore the potential individual, environmental, and healthcare-related factors that may be contributors.

Autoimmune serology testing in clinical practice: An updated roadmap for the diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis.

Diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is in most cases challenging for clinicians as there is not a single specific laboratory or histological marker to diagnose or exclude the presence of the disease. The clinical spectrum of AIH varies from completely asymptomatic to acute-severe or even rarely fulminant hepatic failure, while everybody can be affected irrespective of age, gender, and ethnicity. The old revised and the newer simplified diagnostic scores have been established by the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group (IAIHG) in 1999 and 2008, respectively, which are based on several clinical, laboratory and histological parameters. Additionally, a thorough differential diagnosis from other diseases mimicking AIH is absolutely indicated. In this context, autoantibodies detection in patients with suspected AIH is mandatory -even though not pathognomonic- not only for AIH diagnosis but furthermore, for AIH classification (AIH-type 1 and AIH-type 2). Although autoimmune serology can be supportive of AIH diagnosis in ≥95% of cases if testing has been performed according to the IAIHG guidelines, this is not the case under real-life circumstances in routine clinical laboratories. Clinicians should be careful both for the importance of the required testing and how to interpret the results and therefore, they should communicate and discuss with the laboratory personnel to achieve the maximum benefit for the patient. Herein, a detailed and updated review of the diagnostic work-up for AIH diagnosis under real-life conditions is given to minimize the underestimation and misdiagnosis of AIH which can result in progression of the disease and unfavourable outcomes.

Long-term results of mycophenolate mofetil vs. azathioprine use in individuals with autoimmune hepatitis.

Background & Aims: We have shown previously that mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) might be used as first-line treatment instead of azathioprine (AZA) in individuals with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Herein, we present our long-term prospective data on response and outcome after first-line therapy with MMF in treatment-naïve individuals with AIH, as similar data are missing. Methods: During the 21 years of the study, 292 individuals with AIH were included (females: 213; median age: 59 [17-85] years). Patients received either prednisolone 0.5-1 mg/kg/day alone (n = 19) or in combination with AZA 1-2 mg/kg/day (n = 64) or MMF (n = 183). The tapering schedule of prednisolone was identical between groups. We assessed the rates of complete biochemical response (CBR) at 6 months, 12 months, and the end of follow-up; non-response (4 weeks of treatment); CBR off prednisolone; adverse effects; CBR off treatment; histological remission; and overall and liver-related mortality between the AZA and MMF groups. Results: The MMF group had lower non-response (p = 0.02) and higher CBR rates at 12 months (86 vs. 71.8%; p <0.05) and the end of follow-up (96 vs. 87.2%; p = 0.03) than the AZA group. Treatment change was more frequent in the AZA group (43.7 vs. 11%; p <0.001), mostly because of intolerance, whereas MMF was proven safe (serious complications 3.8 vs. 18.8%; p = 0.0003). MMF-treated patients were more frequently eligible to stop immunosuppression according to the guidelines (p <0.05). Cirrhosis at diagnosis, age at diagnosis >60 years, and longer disease duration were independent predictors of liver-related mortality. Conclusions: MMF seems an efficient alternative first-line treatment option for AIH, bearing lower non-response at 4 weeks and higher CBR rates at 12 months and the end of follow-up than AZA. In addition, MMF was proven to be safe, leading more frequently to the eligibility for stopping immunosuppression according to the guidelines. Impact and implications: For more than 40 years, azathioprine (AZA) has been considered the standard treatment for induction and maintenance of response in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). However, treatment usually needs to be maintained for life, as relapses are common after AZA cessation. Therefore, alternative treatment options are needed. Herein, we showed that the use of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) as an alternative first-line immunosuppressant was much more efficient in the long-term than AZA as attested by the lower non-response rates at 4 weeks and higher response rates at 12 months and the end of follow-up. Moreover, AZA-treated patients were more prone to change treatment because of intolerance, whereas MMF-treated patients were more often eligible to achieve treatment withdrawal.

Recent advances in the diagnosis and management of autoimmune hepatitis.

Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is an acute or chronic inflammatory disease of the liver caused by an immune response of unknown origin. It affects people from all ethnic groups irrespective of age or sex. AIH is characterized by hyperglobulinemia, presence of circulating autoantibodies, and liver inflammation. The clinical picture of the disease varies from asymptomatic or mild to severe acute hepatitis or liver failure. A timely and prompt diagnosis is of utmost importance to prevent progression to advanced liver disease by immediate initiation of immunosuppressive treatment. So far, several diagnostic scoring systems have been proposed, which incorporated demographic data as well as biochemical, clinical, and histological characteristics of the disease. However, due to the high heterogeneity of the disease presentation, diagnosis of AIH remains challenging. Most patients initially respond to first­ line treatment, which consists of corticosteroids combined with azathioprine or mycophenolate mofetil. However, insufficient response to the treatment and intolerance due to side effects are common, so a significant proportion of patients require second- and / or third­ line therapies. Herein, we review the challenges and recent advances in AIH diagnosis and management.

Liver transplant-free survival according to alkaline phosphatase and GLOBE score in patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with ursodeoxycholic acid.

BACKGROUND: After 1 year of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) may have a normal GLOBE score despite high alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels. AIM: To assess the association between ALP and liver transplantation (LT)-free survival according to the GLOBE score METHODS: Among patients with a normal or elevated GLOBE score in the Global PBC cohort, the association between ALP after 1 year of UDCA and the risk of LT/death was assessed. The LT-free survival was compared with that of a matched general population. RESULTS: After 1 year of UDCA, ALP was associated with the risk of LT/death (aHR 1.31, 95% CI 1.003-1.72, p = 0.048) among 2729 patients with a normal GLOBE score. The 10-year LT-free survival among these patients with an ALP >2.0 × ULN was 94.0% (95% CI 90.1-97.9) for those <50 years, and 82.6% (95% CI 76.5-88.7) for those ≥50 years, which was significantly lower (p = 0.040) and similar (p = 0.736) to that of the matched population, respectively. The 10-year LT-free survival in patients ≥50 years with normal GLOBE score and normal ALP (90.8%, 95% CI 87.7-93.9) was significantly higher (p = 0.022) than the matched population. Among 1045 patients with an elevated GLOBE score, ALP was associated with LT/death only in those <50 years (aHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.06-1.81, p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: The LT-free survival of patients with PBC with a normal GLOBE score is optimal in case of normal ALP levels, also in relation to the general population. Despite their generally favourable prognosis, an elevated ALP level may still indicate a need for add-on therapy.