Performance analysis of mathematical methods used to forecast the 2022 New York City Mpox outbreak.

In mid-2022, New York City (NYC) became the epicenter of the US mpox outbreak. We provided real-time mpox case forecasts to the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene to aid in outbreak response. Forecasting methodologies evolved as the epidemic progressed. Initially, lacking knowledge of at-risk population size, we used exponential growth models to forecast cases. Once exponential growth slowed, we used a Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model. Retrospectively, we explored if forecasts could have been improved using an SEIR model in place of our early exponential growth model, with or without knowing the case detection rate. Early forecasts from exponential growth models performed poorly, as 2-week mean absolute error (MAE) grew from 53 cases/week (July 1-14) to 457 cases/week (July 15-28). However, when exponential growth slowed, providing insight into susceptible population size, an SEIR model was able to accurately predict the remainder of the outbreak (7-week MAE: 13.4 cases/week). Retrospectively, we found there was not enough known about the epidemiological characteristics of the outbreak to parameterize an SEIR model early on. However, if the at-risk population and case detection rate were known, an SEIR model could have improved accuracy over exponential growth models early in the outbreak.

United States clinical practice experience with eculizumab in myasthenia gravis: symptoms, function, and immunosuppressant therapy use.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The phase 3 REGAIN study and its open-label extension demonstrated the efficacy of the complement C5 inhibitor eculizumab in patients with treatment-refractory, acetylcholine receptor antibody-positive generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG). The aim of the ELEVATE study was to assess the effectiveness of eculizumab in clinical practice in adults with MG in the United States. METHODS: A retrospective chart review was conducted in adults with MG who initiated eculizumab treatment between October 23, 2017 and December 31, 2019. Outcomes assessed before and during eculizumab treatment using a pre- versus post-treatment study design included Myasthenia Gravis-Activities of Daily Living (MG-ADL) total scores; minimal symptom expression (MSE); physician impression of clinical change; minimal manifestation status (MMS); and concomitant medication use. RESULTS: In total, 119 patients were included in the study. A significant reduction was observed in mean MG-ADL total score, from 8.0 before eculizumab initiation to 5.4 at 3 months and to 4.7 at 24 months after eculizumab initiation (both p < 0.001). At 24 months after eculizumab initiation, MSE was achieved by 19% of patients. MMS or better was achieved by 30% of patients at 24 months. Additionally, 64% of patients receiving prednisone at eculizumab initiation had their prednisone dosage reduced during eculizumab treatment and 13% discontinued prednisone; 32% were able to discontinue nonsteroidal immunosuppressant therapy. DISCUSSION: Eculizumab treatment was associated with sustained improvements in MG-ADL total scores through 24 months in adults with MG. Prednisone dosage was reduced in approximately two-thirds of patients, suggesting a steroid-sparing effect for eculizumab.

Predictors of the efficacy of His bundle pacing in patients with a prolonged PR interval: A stratified analysis of the HOPE-HF randomized controlled trial.

AIMS: The randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled HOPE-HF trial assessed the benefit of atrio-ventricular (AV) delay optimization delivered using His bundle pacing. It recruited patients with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%, PR interval ≥200 ms, and baseline QRS ≤140 ms or right bundle branch block. Overall, there was no significant increase in peak oxygen uptake (VO2max) but there was significant improvement in heart failure specific quality of life. In this pre-specified secondary analysis, we evaluated the impact of baseline PR interval, echocardiographic E-A fusion, and the magnitude of acute high-precision haemodynamic response to pacing, on outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: All 167 randomized participants underwent measurement of PR interval, acute haemodynamic response at optimized AV delay, and assessment of presence of E-A fusion. We tested the impact of these baseline parameters using a Bayesian ordinal model on VO2max, quality of life and activity measures. There was strong evidence of a beneficial interaction between the baseline acute haemodynamic response and the blinded benefit of pacing for VO2 (Pr 99.9%), Minnesota Living With Heart Failure (MLWHF) (Pr 99.8%), MLWHF physical limitation score (Pr 98.9%), EQ-5D visual analogue scale (Pr 99.6%), and exercise time (Pr 99.4%). The baseline PR interval and the presence of baseline E-A fusion did not have this reliable ability to predict the clinical benefit of pacing over placebo across multiple endpoints. CONCLUSIONS: In the HOPE-HF trial, the acute haemodynamic response to pacing reliably identified patients who obtained clinical benefit. Patients with a long PR interval (≥200 ms) and left ventricular impairment who obtained acute haemodynamic improvement with AV-optimized His bundle pacing were likely to obtain clinical benefit, consistent across multiple endpoints. Importantly, this gradation can be reliably tested for before randomization, but does require high-precision AV-optimized haemodynamic assessment to be performed.

Data-science-guided calibration curve prediction of an MLCT-based ee determination assay for chiral amines.

Circular dichroism (CD) based enantiomeric excess (ee) determination assays are optical alternatives to chromatographic ee determination in high-throughput screening (HTS) applications. However, the implementation of these assays requires calibration experiments using enantioenriched materials. We present a data-driven approach that circumvents the need for chiral resolution and calibration experiments for an octahedral Fe(II) complex (1) used for the ee determination of α-chiral primary amines. By computationally parameterizing the imine ligands formed in the assay conditions, a model of the circular dichroism (CD) response of the Fe(II) assembly was developed. Using this model, calibration curves were generated for four analytes and compared to experimentally generated curves. In a single-blind ee determination study, the ee values of unknown samples were determined within 9% mean absolute error, which rivals the error using experimentally generated calibration curves.

Percutaneous Coronary Revascularization Strategies After Myocardial Infarction: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Complete revascularization with percutaneous coronary intervention improves outcomes compared with culprit revascularization following myocardial infarction (MI) with multivessel coronary artery disease. An all-cause mortality reduction has never been demonstrated. Debate also remains regarding the optimal timing of complete revascularization (immediate or staged), and method of evaluation of nonculprit lesions (physiology or angiography). OBJECTIVES: This study aims to perform an updated systematic review with frequentist and Bayesian network meta-analyses including the totality of randomized data investigating revascularization strategies in patients presenting with MI and multivessel coronary artery disease. METHODS: The primary comparison tested complete vs culprit revascularization. Timing and methods of achieving complete revascularization were assessed. The prespecified primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Outcomes were expressed as relative risk (RR) (95% CI). RESULTS: Twenty-four eligible trials randomized 16,371 patients (weighted mean follow-up: 26.4 months). Compared with culprit revascularization, complete revascularization reduced all-cause mortality in patients with any MI (RR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.74-0.99; P = 0.04). Cardiovascular mortality, MI, major adverse cardiac events and repeat revascularization were also significantly reduced. In patients presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, the point estimate for all-cause mortality with complete revascularization was RR: 0.91 (95% CI: 0.78-1.05; P = 0.18). Rates of stent thrombosis, major bleeding, and acute kidney injury were similar. Immediate complete revascularization ranked higher than staged complete revascularization for all endpoints. CONCLUSIONS: Complete revascularization following MI reduces all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, MI, major adverse cardiac events, and repeat revascularization. There may be benefits to immediate complete revascularization, but additional head-to-head trials are needed.

Dynamic risk stratification of worsening heart failure using a deep learning-enabled implanted ambulatory single-lead electrocardiogram.

Aims: Implantable loop recorders (ILRs) provide continuous single-lead ambulatory electrocardiogram (aECG) monitoring. Whether these aECGs could be used to identify worsening heart failure (HF) is unknown. Methods and results: We linked ILR aECG from Medtronic device database to the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) measurements in Optum® de-identified electronic health record dataset. We trained an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm [aECG-convolutional neural network (CNN)] on a dataset of 35 741 aECGs from 2247 patients to identify LVEF ≤ 40% and assessed its performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Ambulatory electrocardiogram-CNN was then used to identify patients with increasing risk of HF hospitalization in a real-world cohort of 909 patients with prior HF diagnosis. This dataset provided 12 467 follow-up monthly evaluations, with 201 HF hospitalizations. For every month, time-series features from these predictions were used to categorize patients into high- and low-risk groups and predict HF hospitalization in the next month. The risk of HF hospitalization in the next 30 days was significantly higher in the cohort that aECG-CNN identified as high risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28-2.79; P = 0.001] compared with low risk, even after adjusting patient demographics (HR 1.88; 95% CI 1.27-2.79 P = 0.002). Conclusion: An AI algorithm trained to detect LVEF ≤40% using ILR aECGs can also readily identify patients at increased risk of HF hospitalizations by monitoring changes in the probability of HF over 30 days.

Automating Quality Control in Cardiac MRI: AI for Discriminative Assessment of Planning and Movement Artefacts and Real-Time Reacquisition Guidance.

BACKGROUND: Accurate measurements from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) images require precise positioning of scan planes and elimination of movement artefacts from arrhythmia or breathing. Unidentified or incorrectly managed artefacts degrade image quality, invalidate clinical measurements and decrease diagnostic confidence. Currently, radiographers must manually inspect each acquired image to confirm diagnostic quality and decide whether reacquisition or a change in sequences is warranted. We aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) to provide continuous quality scores across different quality domains, and from these, determine whether cines are clinically adequate, require replanning, or warrant a change in protocol. METHODS: A three-dimensional convolutional neural network was trained to predict cine quality graded on a continuous scale by a level 3 CMR expert, focusing separately on planning and movement artefacts. It incorporated four distinct output heads for the assessment of image quality in terms of: (a, b, c)2-, 3- and 4-chamber misplanning, and (d)long- and short-axis arrhythmia/breathing artefact. Back-propagation was selectively performed across these heads based on the labels present for each cine. Each image in the testing set was reported by four level 3 CMR experts, providing a consensus on clinical adequacy. The AI's assessment of image quality and ability to identify images requiring replanning or sequence changes were evaluated with Spearman's rho and the area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1940 cines across 1387 studies were included. On the test set of 383 cines, AI-judged image quality correlated strongly with expert judgement, with Spearman's rho of 0.84, 0.84, 0.81 and 0.81 for 2-, 3- and 4-chamber planning quality and the extent of arrhythmia or breathing artefacts, respectively. The AI also showed high efficacy in flagging clinically inadequate cines (AUROC 0.88, 0.93, 0.93 and for identifying replanning of 2-, 3- and 4-chamber cines, and 0.90 for identifying movement artefacts). CONCLUSION: AI can assess distinct domains of CMR cine quality and provide continuous quality scores that correlate closely with a consensus of experts. These ratings could be used to identify cases where reacquisition is warranted, and guide corrective actions to optimise image quality, including replanning, prospective gating, or real-time imaging.

2-Dimensional Echocardiographic Global Longitudinal Strain With Artificial Intelligence Using Open Data From a UK-Wide Collaborative.

BACKGROUND: Global longitudinal strain (GLS) is reported to be more reproducible and prognostic than ejection fraction. Automated, transparent methods may increase trust and uptake. OBJECTIVES: The authors developed open machine-learning-based GLS methodology and validate it using multiexpert consensus from the Unity UK Echocardiography AI Collaborative. METHODS: We trained a multi-image neural network (Unity-GLS) to identify annulus, apex, and endocardial curve on 6,819 apical 4-, 2-, and 3-chamber images. The external validation dataset comprised those 3 views from 100 echocardiograms. End-systolic and -diastolic frames were each labelled by 11 experts to form consensus tracings and points. They also ordered the echocardiograms by visual grading of longitudinal function. One expert calculated global strain using 2 proprietary packages. RESULTS: The median GLS, averaged across the 11 individual experts, was -16.1 (IQR: -19.3 to -12.5). Using each case's expert consensus measurement as the reference standard, individual expert measurements had a median absolute error of 2.00 GLS units. In comparison, the errors of the machine methods were: Unity-GLS 1.3, proprietary A 2.5, proprietary B 2.2. The correlations with the expert consensus values were for individual experts 0.85, Unity-GLS 0.91, proprietary A 0.73, proprietary B 0.79. Using the multiexpert visual ranking as the reference, individual expert strain measurements found a median rank correlation of 0.72, Unity-GLS 0.77, proprietary A 0.70, and proprietary B 0.74. CONCLUSIONS: Our open-source approach to calculating GLS agrees with experts' consensus as strongly as the individual expert measurements and proprietary machine solutions. The training data, code, and trained networks are freely available online.

Therapeutic options for neurocardiogenic syncope: a meta-analysis of randomised trials with and without blinding.

BACKGROUND: Neurocardiogenic syncope is a common condition with significant associated psychological and physical morbidity. The effectiveness of therapeutic options for neurocardiogenic syncope beyond placebo remains uncertain. METHODS: The primary endpoint was the risk ratio (RR) of spontaneously recurring syncope following any therapeutic intervention. We also examined the effect of blinding on treatment efficacy. We identified all randomised trials which evaluated the effect of any pharmacological, device-based or supportive intervention on patients with a history of syncope. A systematic search was conducted on Medline, Embase, PubMed databases and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials from 1950 to 25 April 2023. Event rates, their RRs and 95% CIs were calculated, and a random-effects meta-analysis was conducted for each intervention. Data analysis was performed in R using RStudio. RESULTS: We identified 47 eligible trials randomising 3518 patients. Blinded trials assessing syncope recurrence were neutral for beta blockers, fludrocortisone and conventional dual-chamber pacing but were favourable for selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) (RR 0.40, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.63, p<0.001), midodrine (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.94, p=0.016) and closed-loop stimulation (CLS) pacing (RR 0.15, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.35, p<0.001). Unblinded trials reported significant benefits for all therapy categories other than beta blockers and consistently showed larger benefits than blinded trials. CONCLUSIONS: Under blinded conditions, SSRIs, midodrine and CLS pacing significantly reduced syncope recurrence. Future trials for syncope should be blinded to avoid overestimating treatment effects. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022330148.

Survivorship and Outcomes of 2-Stage Revision for Infected Total Hip Arthroplasty at a Mean of 7-Year Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND: Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) continues to be one of the leading causes of failure following total hip arthroplasty (THA). The objectives of the study were to (1) determine the minimum 2-year infection-free survivorship of 2-stage revision THA, (2) determine the causative organisms for repeat 2-stage revision THA, and (3) characterize the results of failed 2-stage revisions and evaluate patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). METHODS: A retrospective chart review was completed for patients who underwent 2-stage revision THA for PJI. Prospective data were collected on each patient, including demographics, causative organisms, complications, and type of reoperation. The PROMs, including Harris Hip Score, 12-item Short-Form Health Survey, and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index scores were obtained prior to 2-stage revision THA surgery and annually as part of standard clinical and radiographic follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 328 patients who underwent a 2-stage revision THA for a PJI were included in the study (mean age 67 years [range, 28 to 90], mean body mass index of 30.6 [range, 15 to 57]). The overall infection-free survivorship for 2-stage revision THA was 73.8% at a minimum of 2 years (range, 2 to 20). Overall, 194 (59.1%) patients who had successful infection eradication underwent a 2-revision THA only. The most common single organisms infected were Staphylococcus aureus (12.5%) and Staphylococcus epidermidis (11%). Higher reoperation rates were found in cases with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus and polymicrobial infections. All PROMs showed statistical improvement from preoperatively to the latest follow-up appointment. CONCLUSIONS: Two-stage revision THA is associated with a good success rate in the treatment of PJIs at mid-term to long-term follow-up. Polymicrobial and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infections are poor prognostic factors, making the eradication of infection more difficult. The management of PJIs continues to be one of the most important orthopaedic challenges to treat.

Short-Term (90 Days) Clinical Outcomes Following the Day of Surgery Conversion of Inpatient to Same-Day Hip and Knee Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of total joint arthroplasty is increasing, with added emphasis on shifting care toward outpatient surgery. This has demonstrated improvements in costs and care; however, safety must be prioritized. Published assessment tools highlight candidates for outpatient surgery; however, they often do not define patients who have a worse prognosis. Limited healthcare resources occasionally force patients to convert to outpatient surgery or risk cancellation, creating a dilemma for both patients and surgeons. We evaluated the short-term (90-day) outcomes of patients converted from planned inpatient admission to same-day discharge on day of surgery outpatients and sought to identify any groups at risk, who may not be appropriate for this conversion. METHODS: We identified all patients undergoing planned inpatient total hip or knee arthroplasty at a tertiary academic medical center over a 2-year period. We included patients discharged the day of surgery for analysis, excluding revision procedures and those performed for fracture care. A manual chart review identified demographic factors and primary outcome measures; including reoperation, readmission, and emergency room visits within a 90-day postoperative period. RESULTS: We identified a total of 80 patients who converted from inpatient to outpatient surgery over a 2-year interval. Over the first 90 days postoperatively 4 (5%) patients were readmitted: 2 (2.5%) for medical complications and 2 (2.5%) for reoperation. There were 2 (2.5%) reoperations; one (1.25%) for manipulation under anesthesia, and one (1.25%) for periprosthetic joint infection. There were 5 (6.3%) wound complications; however, only one (1.25%) required surgical intervention. A total of 5 (6.3%) patients returned to an emergency department, leading to a single (1.25%) hospital readmission. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital and healthcare resources are occasionally limited to the extent that patients must convert to outpatient surgery or risk cancellation. At our institution, the same-day conversion of planned inpatient hip and knee arthroplasty patients to outpatient surgery was safe and did not increase short-term clinical outcomes or complications.

Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Canadian Cardiovascular Society Guidelines in Minimizing Cardiac Events After Total Hip Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to analyze the Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) guidelines for routine postoperative troponin testing after elective total hip arthroplasty (THA) to reduce the mortality rate resulting from myocardial injury. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic relevance of implementing these guidelines to minimize cardiac events in patients undergoing elective THA. METHODS: Patients who underwent THA surgery in 2020 were included in the study. The inclusion criteria were elective THA patients aged ≥45 years, while emergency, revision, and simultaneous bilateral THA surgeries were excluded. The patients were categorized into 4 groups based on the CCS guidelines. RESULTS: The study included 669 patients who had an average age of 67 years. There were 43 patients (6.4%), who experienced a rise in troponin levels ≥30 ng/L and developed myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery. Among these patients, 8 developed cardiac complications, and one experienced a serious cardiac event that resulted in death. Notably, there was a significant increase in the length of hospital stay for patients who received the postoperative screening protocol. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of the CCS guidelines for routine postoperative troponin testing in elective THA surgery did not significantly decrease the rate of cardiac events or mortality.

N-of-1 Trial of Angina Verification Before Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: In stable coronary artery disease, 30% to 60% of patients remain symptomatic despite successful revascularization. Perhaps not all symptoms reported by a patient with myocardial ischemia are, in fact, angina. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine whether independent symptom verification using a placebo-controlled ischemic stimulus could distinguish which patients achieve greatest symptom relief from percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: ORBITA-STAR was a multicenter, n-of-1, placebo-controlled study in patients undergoing single-vessel PCI for stable symptoms. Participants underwent 4 episodes (60 seconds each) of low-pressure balloon occlusion across their coronary stenosis, randomly paired with 4 episodes of placebo inflation. Following each episode, patients reported the similarity of the induced symptom in comparison with their usual symptom. The similarity score ranged from -10 (placebo replicated the symptom more than balloon occlusion) to +10 (balloon occlusion exactly replicated the symptom). The primary endpoint was the ability of the similarity score to predict symptom relief with PCI. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients were recruited, aged 62.9 ± 8.6 years. The median fractional flow reserve was 0.68 (Q1-Q3: 0.57-0.79), and the instantaneous wave-free ratio was 0.80 (Q1-Q3: 0.48-0.89). The median similarity score was 3 (Q1-Q3: 0.875-5.25). The similarity score was a strong predictor of symptom improvement following PCI: a patient with an upper quartile similarity score of 5.25 was significantly more likely to have lower angina frequency at follow-up (OR: 8.01; 95% credible interval: 2.39-15.86) than a patient with a lower quartile similarity score of 0.875 (OR: 1.31; 95% credible interval: 0.71-1.99), Pr(difference) >99.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Similarity score powerfully predicted symptom improvement from PCI. These data lay the foundation for independent symptom mapping to target PCI to those patients most likely to benefit. (Systematic Trial of Angina Assessment Before Revascularization [ORBITA-STAR]; NCT04280575).

Symptoms as a Predictor of the Placebo-Controlled Efficacy of PCI in Stable Coronary Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Placebo-controlled evidence from ORBITA-2 (Objective Randomised Blinded Investigation with Optimal Medical Therapy of Angioplasty in Stable Angina-2) found that percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in stable coronary artery disease with little or no antianginal medication relieved angina, but residual symptoms persisted in many patients. The reason for this was unclear. OBJECTIVES: This ORBITA-2 secondary analysis investigates the relationship between presenting symptoms and disease severity (anatomic, noninvasive, and invasive ischemia) and the ability of symptoms to predict the placebo-controlled efficacy of PCI. METHODS: Prerandomization symptom severity and nature were assessed using the ORBITA smartphone application and symptom and quality of life questionnaires including the World Health Organization Rose angina questionnaire (Rose). Disease severity was assessed using quantitative coronary angiography, stress echocardiography, fractional flow reserve, and instantaneous wave-free ratio. Bayesian ordinal regression was used. RESULTS: At prerandomization, the median number of daily angina episodes was 0.8 (Q1-Q3: 0.4-1.6), 64% had Rose angina, quantitative coronary angiography diameter stenosis was 61% (Q1-Q3: 49%-74%), stress echocardiography score was 1.0 (Q1-Q3: 0.0-2.7), fractional flow reserve was 0.63 (Q1-Q3: 0.49-0.75), and instantaneous wave-free ratio was 0.78 (Q1-Q3: 0.55-0.87). There was little relationship between symptom severity and nature and disease severity: angina symptom score with quantitative coronary angiography ordinal correlation coefficient: 0.06 (95% credible interval [CrI]: 0.00-0.08); stress echocardiography: 0.09 (95% CrI: 0.02-0.10); fractional flow reserve: 0.04 (95% CrI: -0.03 to 0.07); and instantaneous wave-free ratio: 0.04 (95% CrI: -0.01 to 0.07). However, Rose angina and guideline-based typical angina were strong predictors of placebo-controlled PCI efficacy (angina symptom score: OR: 1.9; 95% CrI: 1.6-2.1; probability of interaction [PrInteraction] = 99.9%; and OR: 1.8; 95% CrI: 1.6-2.1; PrInteraction = 99.9%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Although symptom severity and nature were poorly associated with disease severity, the nature of symptoms powerfully predicted the placebo-controlled efficacy of PCI.

Evaluating algorithms for identifying incident Guillain-Barré Syndrome in Medicare fee-for-service claims.

Objective: Claims data can be leveraged to study rare diseases such as Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), a neurological autoimmune condition. It is difficult to accurately measure and distinguish true cases of disease with claims without a validated algorithm. Our objective was to identify the best-performing algorithm for identifying incident GBS cases in Medicare fee-for-service claims data using chart reviews as the gold standard. Study design and setting: This was a multi-center, single institution cohort study from 2015 to 2019 that used Medicare-linked electronic health record (EHR) data. We identified 211 patients with a GBS diagnosis code in any position of an inpatient or outpatient claim in Medicare that also had a record of GBS in their electronic medical record. We reported the positive predictive value (PPV = number of true GBS cases/total number of GBS cases identified by the algorithm) for each algorithm tested. We also tested algorithms using several prevalence assumptions for false negative GBS cases and calculated a ranked sum for each algorithm's performance. Results: We found that 40 patients out of 211 had a true case of GBS. Algorithm 17, a GBS diagnosis in the primary position of an inpatient claim and a diagnostic procedure within 45 days of the inpatient admission date, had the highest PPV (PPV = 81.6%, 95% CI (69.3, 93.9). Across three prevalence assumptions, Algorithm 15, a GBS diagnosis in the primary position of an inpatient claim, was favored (PPV = 79.5%, 95% CI (67.6, 91.5). Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate that patients with incident GBS can be accurately identified in Medicare claims with a chart-validated algorithm. Using large-scale administrative data to study GBS offers significant advantages over case reports and patient repositories with self-reported data, and may be a potential strategy for the study of other rare diseases.

Eculizumab in Adolescent Patients With Refractory Generalized Myasthenia Gravis: A Phase 3, Open-Label, Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the efficacy and safety of eculizumab, a terminal complement C5 inhibitor, in juvenile generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG). METHODS: Adolescents aged 12 to 17 years with refractory anti-acetylcholine receptor (AChR) antibody-positive gMG received eculizumab (weekly induction [one to two doses of 600 mg or four doses of 900 mg] followed by maintenance doses [300 to 1200 mg] every two weeks for up to 26 weeks) in a phase 3, open-label multicenter study (NCT03759366). Change from baseline to week 26 in Quantitative Myasthenia Gravis (QMG) total score (primary end point) and secondary end points including Myasthenia Gravis-Activities of Daily Living (MG-ADL) total score, Myasthenia Gravis Composite score, Myasthenia Gravis Foundation of America postintervention status, EuroQol 5-Dimensions (Youth) and Neurological Quality-of-Life Pediatric Fatigue questionnaire scores, as well as pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and safety, were recorded. RESULTS: Eleven adolescents (mean ± S.D. age 14.8 ± 1.8 years) were enrolled; 10 completed the primary evaluation period. Least-squares mean changes from baseline at week 26 were -5.8 (standard error [SE] 1.2; P = 0.0004) for QMG total score and -2.3 (SE 0.6; P = 0.0017) for MG-ADL total score. Overall, the primary and all secondary efficacy end point analyses met statistical significance from the first assessment and were sustained throughout. Complete terminal complement inhibition was sustained through 26 weeks in all patients. Treatment-emergent adverse events were all mild/moderate and predominantly unrelated to eculizumab. CONCLUSIONS: Eculizumab was effective in reducing disease burden and was well tolerated in adolescents with refractory AChR antibody-positive gMG.

Randomized Trial of Remote Assessment of Patients After an Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Telemedicine programs can provide remote diagnostic information to aid clinical decisions that could optimize care and reduce unplanned readmissions post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS). OBJECTIVES: TELE-ACS (Remote Acute Assessment of Patients With High Cardiovascular Risk Post-Acute Coronary Syndrome) is a randomized controlled trial that aims to compare a telemedicine-based approach vs standard care in patients following ACS. METHODS: Patients were suitable for inclusion with at least 1 cardiovascular risk factor and presenting with ACS and were randomized (1:1) before discharge. The primary outcome was time to first readmission at 6 months. Secondary outcomes included emergency department (ED) visits, major adverse cardiovascular events, and patient-reported symptoms. The primary analysis was performed according to intention to treat. RESULTS: A total of 337 patients were randomized from January 2022 to April 2023, with a 3.6% drop-out rate. The mean age was 58.1 years. There was a reduced rate of readmission over 6 months (HR: 0.24; 95% CI: 0.13-0.44; P < 0.001) and ED attendance (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.40-0.89) in the telemedicine arm, and fewer unplanned coronary revascularizations (3% in telemedicine arm vs 9% in standard therapy arm). The occurrence of chest pain (9% vs 24%), breathlessness (21% vs 39%), and dizziness (6% vs 18%) at 6 months was lower in the telemedicine group. CONCLUSIONS: The TELE-ACS study has shown that a telemedicine-based approach for the management of patients following ACS was associated with a reduction in hospital readmission, ED visits, unplanned coronary revascularization, and patient-reported symptoms. (Telemedicine in High-Risk Cardiovascular Patients Post-ACS [TELE-ACS]; NCT05015634).

Physiological Assessment with iFR prior to FFR Measurement in Left Main Disease.

Despite guideline-based recommendation of the interchangeable use of instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) and fractional flow reserve (FFR) to guide revascularization decision-making, iFR/FFR could demonstrate different physiological or clinical outcomes in some specific patient or lesion subsets. Therefore, we sought to investigate the impact of difference between iFR and FFR-guided revascularization decision-making on clinical outcomes in patients with left main disease (LMD). In this international multicenter registry of LMD with physiological interrogation, we identified 275 patients in whom physiological assessment was performed with both iFR/FFR. Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was defined as a composite of death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and ischemia-driven target lesion revascularization. The receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed for both iFR/FFR to predict MACE in respective patients in whom revascularization was deferred and performed. In 153 patients of revascularization deferral, MACE occurred in 17.0% patients. The optimal cut-off values of iFR and FFR to predict MACE were 0.88 (specificity:0.74; sensitivity:0.65) and 0.76 (specificity:0.81; sensitivity:0.46), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) was significantly higher for iFR than FFR (0.74; 95%CI 0.62-0.85 vs. 0.62; 95%CI 0.48-0.75; p = 0.012). In 122 patients of coronary revascularization, MACE occurred in 13.1% patients. The optimal cut-off values of iFR and FFR were 0.92 (specificity:0.93; sensitivity:0.25) and 0.81 (specificity:0.047; sensitivity:1.00), respectively. The AUCs were not significantly different between iFR and FFR (0.57; 95%CI 0.40-0.73 vs. 0.46; 95%CI 0.31-0.61; p = 0.43). While neither baseline iFR nor FFR was predictive of MACE in patients in whom revascularization was performed, iFR-guided deferral seemed to be safer than FFR-guided deferral.

Cementless Total Knee Arthroplasty: Does Age Affect Survivorship and Outcomes?

BACKGROUND: Despite the growing popularity of cementless total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in younger patients, the outcomes are unclear in the elderly population. We aimed to compare the clinical outcomes and survivorship of cementless TKA between different age groups. METHODS: Utilizing our prospectively collected institutional database, we retrospectively reviewed all patients undergoing primary cementless TKAs at a tertiary care institute. We identified 347 TKA, which were divided into 3 groups based on age at the time of surgery. Group A was ≤ 60 years, Group B was 60 to ≤ 70 years, and Group C was > 70 years. We compared clinical outcomes (Knee Society Clinical Rating System [KSCRS], Western Ontario and McMaster University Osteoarthritis Index [WOMAC], and Veterans Rand 12 Item Health Survey [VR-12]) and survivorship between the groups. RESULTS: At final follow-up, range of motion, KSCRS, WOMAC, and VR-12 physical score were comparable (P > .05). The VR-12 Mental score was higher in Group B and Group C than in Group A (P = .003). Compared to preoperative scores, the change in KSCRS, WOMAC, and VR-12 physical and mental scores was comparable at the final follow-up (P > .05). No patient underwent revision for aseptic loosening. CONCLUSIONS: There were no cases of revision surgery for aseptic loosening in our cohort of 347 cementless TKAs. Patients > 70 years of age undergoing cementless TKA can achieve clinical scores equivalent to those of younger patients at short term (2-year) follow-up. Longer-term survivorship is still required, but based on early data, cementless TKA can be a safe option for older patients.