In vivo alkaline comet assay: Statistical considerations on historical negative and positive control data.

The alkaline comet assay is frequently used as in vivo follow-up test within different regulatory environments to characterize the DNA-damaging potential of different test items. The corresponding OECD Test guideline 489 highlights the importance of statistical analyses and historical control data (HCD) but does not provide detailed procedures. Therefore, the working group "Statistics" of the German-speaking Society for Environmental Mutation Research (GUM) collected HCD from five laboratories and >200 comet assay studies and performed several statistical analyses. Key results included that (I) observed large inter-laboratory effects argue against the use of absolute quality thresholds, (II) > 50% zero values on a slide are considered problematic, due to their influence on slide or animal summary statistics, (III) the type of summarizing measure for single-cell data (e.g., median, arithmetic and geometric mean) may lead to extreme differences in resulting animal tail intensities and study outcome in the HCD. These summarizing values increase the reliability of analysis results by better meeting statistical model assumptions, but at the cost of information loss. Furthermore, the relation between negative and positive control groups in the data set was always satisfactorily (or sufficiently) based on ratio, difference and quantile analyses.

Polymorphisms in genes of melatonin biosynthesis and signaling support the light-at-night hypothesis for breast cancer.

Light-at-night triggers the decline of pineal gland melatonin biosynthesis and secretion and is an IARC-classified probable breast-cancer risk factor. We applied a large-scale molecular epidemiology approach to shed light on the putative role of melatonin in breast cancer. We investigated associations between breast-cancer risk and polymorphisms at genes of melatonin biosynthesis/signaling using a study population of 44,405 women from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (22,992 cases, 21,413 population-based controls). Genotype data of 97 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 18 defined gene regions were investigated for breast-cancer risk effects. We calculated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) by logistic regression for the main-effect analysis as well as stratified analyses by estrogen- and progesterone-receptor (ER, PR) status. SNP-SNP interactions were analyzed via a two-step procedure based on logic regression. The Bayesian false-discovery probability (BFDP) was used for all analyses to account for multiple testing. Noteworthy associations (BFDP < 0.8) included 10 linked SNPs in tryptophan hydroxylase 2 (TPH2) (e.g. rs1386492: OR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12), and a SNP in the mitogen-activated protein kinase 8 (MAPK8) (rs10857561: OR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.18). The SNP-SNP interaction analysis revealed noteworthy interaction terms with TPH2- and MAPK-related SNPs (e.g. rs1386483R ∧ rs1473473D ∧ rs3729931D: OR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.09-1.32). In line with the light-at-night hypothesis that links shift work with elevated breast-cancer risks our results point to SNPs in TPH2 and MAPK-genes that may impact the intricate network of circadian regulation.

The Role of Traffic Volume on Sound Pressure Level Reduction before and during COVID-19 Lockdown Measures-A Case Study in Bochum, Germany.

During the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, sound pressure levels (SPL) decreased because of lockdown measures all over the world. This study aims to describe SPL changes over varying lockdown measure timeframes and estimate the role of traffic on SPL variations. To account for different COVID-19 lockdown measures, the timeframe during the pandemic was segmented into four phases. To analyze the association between a-weighted decibels (dB(A)) and lockdown phases relative to the pre-lockdown timeframe, we calculated a linear mixed model, using 36,710 h of recording time. Regression coefficients depicting SPL changes were compared, while the model was subsequently adjusted for wind speed, rainfall, and traffic volume. The relative adjusted reduction of during pandemic phases to pre-pandemic levels ranged from -0.99 dB(A) (CI: -1.45; -0.53) to -0.25 dB(A) (CI: -0.96; 0.46). After controlling for traffic volume, we observed little to no reduction (-0.16 dB(A) (CI: -0.77; 0.45)) and even an increase of 0.75 dB(A) (CI: 0.18; 1.31) during the different lockdown phases. These results showcase the major role of traffic regarding the observed reduction. The findings can be useful in assessing measures to decrease noise pollution for necessary future population-based prevention.

Rapid detection and online analysis of microbial changes through flow cytometry.

Short-read 16 S rRNA gene sequencing is the dominating technology to profile microbial communities in different habitats. Its uncontested taxonomic resolution paved the way for major contributions to the field. Sample measurement and analysis, that is, sequencing, is rather slow-in order of days. Alternatively, flow cytometry can be used to profile the microbiota of various sources within a few minutes per sample. To keep up with high measurement speed, we developed the open source-analyzing tool FlowSoFine. To validate the ability to distinguish microbial profiles, we examined human skin samples of three body sites (N = 3 × 54) with flow cytometry and 16 S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing. Confirmed by sequencing of the very same samples, body site was found to be significantly different by flow cytometry. For a proof-of-principle multidimensional approach, using stool samples of patients (N = 40) with/without inflammatory bowel diseases, we could discriminate the health status by their bacterial patterns. In conclusion, FlowSoFine enables the generation and comparison of cytometric fingerprints of microbial communities from different sources. The implemented interface supports the user through all analytical steps to work out the biological relevant signals from raw measurements to publication ready figures. Furthermore, we present flow cytometry as a valid method for skin microbiota analysis.

Regularization approaches in clinical biostatistics: A review of methods and their applications.

A range of regularization approaches have been proposed in the data sciences to overcome overfitting, to exploit sparsity or to improve prediction. Using a broad definition of regularization, namely controlling model complexity by adding information in order to solve ill-posed problems or to prevent overfitting, we review a range of approaches within this framework including penalization, early stopping, ensembling and model averaging. Aspects of their practical implementation are discussed including available R-packages and examples are provided. To assess the extent to which these approaches are used in medicine, we conducted a review of three general medical journals. It revealed that regularization approaches are rarely applied in practical clinical applications, with the exception of random effects models. Hence, we suggest a more frequent use of regularization approaches in medical research. In situations where also other approaches work well, the only downside of the regularization approaches is increased complexity in the conduct of the analyses which can pose challenges in terms of computational resources and expertise on the side of the data analyst. In our view, both can and should be overcome by investments in appropriate computing facilities and educational resources.

Navigating chemical reaction space - application to DNA-encoded chemistry.

Databases contain millions of reactions for compound synthesis, rendering selection of reactions for forward synthetic design of small molecule screening libraries, such as DNA-encoded libraries (DELs), a big data challenge. To support reaction space navigation, we developed the computational workflow Reaction Navigator. Reaction files from a large chemistry database were processed using the open-source KNIME Analytics Platform. Initial processing steps included a customizable filtering cascade that removed reactions with a high probability to be incompatible with DEL, as they would e.g. damage the genetic barcode, to arrive at a comprehensive list of transformations for DEL design with applicability potential. These reactions were displayed and clustered by user-defined molecular reaction descriptors which are independent of reaction core substitution patterns. Thanks to clustering, these can be searched manually to identify reactions for DEL synthesis according to desired reaction criteria, such as ring formation or sp3 content. The workflow was initially applied for mapping chemical reaction space for aromatic aldehydes as an exemplary functional group often used in DEL synthesis. Exemplary reactions have been successfully translated to DNA-tagged substrates and can be applied to library synthesis. The versatility of the Reaction Navigator was then shown by mapping reaction space for different reaction conditions, for amines as a second set of starting materials, and for data from a second database.

Influence of breast cancer risk factors on proliferation and DNA damage in human breast glandular tissues: role of intracellular estrogen levels, oxidative stress and estrogen biotransformation.

Breast cancer etiology is associated with both proliferation and DNA damage induced by estrogens. Breast cancer risk factors (BCRF) such as body mass index (BMI), smoking, and intake of estrogen-active drugs were recently shown to influence intratissue estrogen levels. Thus, the aim of the present study was to investigate the influence of BCRF on estrogen-induced proliferation and DNA damage in 41 well-characterized breast glandular tissues derived from women without breast cancer. Influence of intramammary estrogen levels and BCRF on estrogen receptor (ESR) activation, ESR-related proliferation (indicated by levels of marker transcripts), oxidative stress (indicated by levels of GCLC transcript and oxidative derivatives of cholesterol), and levels of transcripts encoding enzymes involved in estrogen biotransformation was identified by multiple linear regression models. Metabolic fluxes to adducts of estrogens with DNA (E-DNA) were assessed by a metabolic network model (MNM) which was validated by comparison of calculated fluxes with data on methoxylated and glucuronidated estrogens determined by GC- and UHPLC-MS/MS. Intratissue estrogen levels significantly influenced ESR activation and fluxes to E-DNA within the MNM. Likewise, all BCRF directly and/or indirectly influenced ESR activation, proliferation, and key flux constraints influencing E-DNA (i.e., levels of estrogens, CYP1B1, SULT1A1, SULT1A2, and GSTP1). However, no unambiguous total effect of BCRF on proliferation became apparent. Furthermore, BMI was the only BCRF to indeed influence fluxes to E-DNA (via congruent adverse influence on levels of estrogens, CYP1B1 and SULT1A2).

Identifying treatment effect heterogeneity in dose-finding trials using Bayesian hierarchical models: Identifying treatment effect heterogeneity in dose-finding trials.

An important task in drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. Identifying predictive covariates, which influence the treatment effect and can be used to define subgroups of patients, is a key aspect of this task. Analyses of treatment effect heterogeneity are however known to be challenging, since the number of possible covariates or subgroups is often large, while samples sizes in earlier phases of drug development are often small. In addition, distinguishing predictive covariates from prognostic covariates, which influence the response independent of the given treatment, can often be difficult. While many approaches for these types of problems have been proposed, most of them focus on the two-arm clinical trial setting, where patients are given either the treatment or a control. In this article we consider parallel groups dose-finding trials, in which patients are administered different doses of the same treatment. To investigate treatment effect heterogeneity in this setting we propose a Bayesian hierarchical dose-response model with covariate effects on dose-response parameters. We make use of shrinkage priors to prevent overfitting, which can easily occur, when the number of considered covariates is large and sample sizes are small. We compare several such priors in simulations and also investigate dependent modeling of prognostic and predictive effects to better distinguish these two types of effects. We illustrate the use of our proposed approach using a Phase II dose-finding trial and show how it can be used to identify predictive covariates and subgroups of patients with increased treatment effects.

Combining heterogeneous subgroups with graph-structured variable selection priors for Cox regression.

BACKGROUND: Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is often challenging because patient cohorts are typically small and can be heterogeneous. In classical subgroup analysis, a separate prediction model is fitted using only the data of one specific cohort. However, this can lead to a loss of power when the sample size is small. Simple pooling of all cohorts, on the other hand, can lead to biased results, especially when the cohorts are heterogeneous. RESULTS: We propose a new Bayesian approach suitable for continuous molecular measurements and survival outcome that identifies the important predictors and provides a separate risk prediction model for each cohort. It allows sharing information between cohorts to increase power by assuming a graph linking predictors within and across different cohorts. The graph helps to identify pathways of functionally related genes and genes that are simultaneously prognostic in different cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Results demonstrate that our proposed approach is superior to the standard approaches in terms of prediction performance and increased power in variable selection when the sample size is small.