RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is a common and serious complication of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Its pathogenesis is not fully understood. Here, we developed a predictive model based on peripheral blood biomarkers and validated the model using several bioinformatic multi-analysis methods. METHODS: Six datasets were obtained from the GEO database. Characteristic genes were screened using weighted correlation network analysis (WGCNA) and differentially expressed genes. Three machine learning algorithms, elastic networks-LASSO, support vector machines (SVM-RFE) and random forests (RF), were also used to construct diagnostic prediction models for key genes. To further evaluate the performance and predictive value of the diagnostic models, nomogram model were constructed, and the clinical value of the models was assessed using Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), Area Under the Check Curve (AUC), Clinical Impact Curve (CIC), and validated in the mouse single-cell RNA-seq dataset. Mendelian randomization(MR) analysis explored the causal relationship between SAH and stroke, and the intermediate influencing factors. We validated this by retrospectively analyzing the qPCR levels of the most relevant genes in SAH and SAH-DCI patients. This experiment demonstrated a statistically significant difference between SAH and SAH-DCI and normal group controls. Finally, potential small molecule compounds interacting with the selected features were screened from the Comparative Toxicogenomics Database (CTD). RESULTS: The fGSEA results showed that activation of Toll-like receptor signaling and leukocyte transendothelial cell migration pathways were positively correlated with the DCI phenotype, whereas cytokine signaling pathways and natural killer cell-mediated cytotoxicity were negatively correlated. Consensus feature selection of DEG genes using WGCNA and three machine learning algorithms resulted in the identification of six genes (SPOCK2, TRRAP, CIB1, BCL11B, PDZD8 and LAT), which were used to predict DCI diagnosis with high accuracy. Three external datasets and the mouse single-cell dataset showed high accuracy of the diagnostic model, in addition to high performance and predictive value of the diagnostic model in DCA and CIC. MR analysis looked at stroke after SAH independent of SAH, but associated with multiple intermediate factors including Hypertensive diseases, Total triglycerides levels in medium HDL and Platelet count. qPCR confirmed that significant differences in DCI signature genes were observed between the SAH and SAH-DCI groups. Finally, valproic acid became a potential therapeutic agent for DCI based on the results of target prediction and molecular docking of the characterized genes. CONCLUSION: This diagnostic model can identify SAH patients at high risk for DCI and may provide potential mechanisms and therapeutic targets for DCI. Valproic acid may be an important future drug for the treatment of DCI.
