Symptom Exacerbation and Adverse Events during a Randomized Trial of Early-stage Concussion Rehabilitation.

CONTEXT: Few studies utilize randomized clinical trials (RCT) to quantify clinical intervention safety of rehabilitation after sport-related concussion across sport levels. OBJECTIVE: Describe symptom exacerbation and adverse events (AEs) associated with two concussion rehabilitation interventions. DESIGN: Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial (XXX). SETTING: Sports medicine clinic and field settings. PARTICIPANTS: The RCT enrolled 251 concussed athletes (median age=20 years; female n=48) across 28 sites from New Zealand professional rugby (n=31), Canadian professional football (n=52), United States (U.S.)/Canadian colleges (n=128) and U.S. high schools (n=40). INTERVENTIONS: Two medically supervised interventions: 1) Enhanced Graded Exertion (EGE): international return to sport strategy and sport specific activities only (EGE-only n=119) and 2) Multidimensional Rehabilitation (MDR) followed by EGE: early symptom-directed exercises once symptoms were stable, followed by EGE after symptoms resolved (MDR+EGE n=132). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were intrasession total symptom severity score exacerbation and significant intersession (increase 10+ severity points) sustained total symptom severity exacerbation, each measured with a Postconcussion Symptom Scale (132 total severity points on scale). Reported AEs were also described. Activity-based rehabilitation sessions (n=1437) were the primary analysis unit. Frequencies, proportions, medians, and Interquartile Ranges (IQRs) were calculated for outcomes by treatment group. RESULTS: The 251 post-injury participants completed 1437 (MDR+EGE=819, EGE-only=618) activity-based intervention sessions. A total of 110 and 105 participants contributed data (those missing had no documented session data) to at least 1 activity-based session in the MDR+EGE and EGE-only arms respectively. Intrasession symptom exacerbations were equivilantly low in MDR+EGE and EGE-only arms (MDR+EGE: 16.7%, 95% CI:14.1%,19.1%; EGE-only: 15.7%, 95% CI: 12.8%,18.6%). In total, 9/819 MDR+EGE sessions (0.9%) and 1/618 EGE-only sessions (0.2%) resulted in a pre- to post-session symptom exacerbation beyond a 10+ severity point increase; 8/9 resolved to <10 points by the next session. Two study-related AEs (1 in each arm) were reported. CONCLUSIONS: Participants in MDR+EGE and EGE-only activities reported equivalently low rates of symptom exacerbation.

Synthesizing environmental, epidemiological and vector and parasite genetic data to assist decision making for disease elimination.

We present a framework for identifying when conditions are favourable for transmission of vector-borne diseases between communities by incorporating predicted disease prevalence mapping with landscape analysis of sociological, environmental and host/parasite genetic data. We explored the relationship between environmental features and gene flow of a filarial parasite of humans, Onchocerca volvulus, and its vector, blackflies in the genus Simulium. We generated a baseline microfilarial prevalence map from point estimates from 47 locations in the ecological transition separating the savannah and forest in Ghana, where transmission of O. volvulus persists despite onchocerciasis control efforts. We generated movement suitability maps based on environmental correlates with mitochondrial population structure of 164 parasites from 15 communities and 93 vectors from only four sampling sites, and compared these to the baseline prevalence map. Parasite genetic distance between sampling locations was significantly associated with elevation (r = .793, p = .005) and soil moisture (r = .507, p = .002), while vector genetic distance was associated with soil moisture (r = .788, p = .0417) and precipitation (r = .835, p = .0417). The correlation between baseline prevalence and parasite resistance surface maps was stronger than that between prevalence and vector resistance surface maps. The centre of the study area had high prevalence and suitability for parasite and vector gene flow, potentially contributing to persistent transmission and suggesting the importance of re-evaluating transmission zone boundaries. With suitably dense sampling, this framework can help delineate transmission zones for onchocerciasis and would be translatable to other vector-borne diseases.

Early targeted heart rate exercise is safe and May hasten return-to-duty in service members with acute concussion, a preliminary study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the feasibility of an exercise tolerance assessment and intervention added to the Progressive Return to Activity Clinical Recommendations (PRA-CR) in acutely concussed service members (SMs). METHODS: This non-randomized, pilot trial was performed at one center. SMs in the experimental group (ERG) performed the Buffalo Concussion March-in-place Test (BCMT) at every clinic visit and were prescribed at least 20 minutes/day of targeted exercise in addition to PRA-CR. Data for the control group (SCG) were extracted from the same clinic immediately prior to ERG. SMs in both groups were assessed by the same clinician to determine return-to-duty. RESULTS: BCMT identified concussion-related exercise intolerance in 100% (n = 14) at screening visit (mean 3.4 days after injury) and in 0% (n = 7) who had recovered. No adverse effects were associated with BCMT. The estimated recovery time for ERG who performed the exercise intervention (n = 12) was 17.0 (12.8, 21.2) days and for SCG (n = 15) was 23.7 (19.9, 27.5) days (p = 0.039). CONCLUSION: Assessment of exercise tolerance was feasible and could be incorporated into the PRA-CR. Future definitive, randomized controlled trials should be performed to assess the effectiveness of exercise reset program for SMs after concussion.

Expanding capabilities to evaluate readiness for return to duty after mTBI: The CAMP study protocol.

Physical Therapists affiliated with Intrepid Spirit Centers evaluate and treat Active Duty Service Members (ADSM) who have duty-limiting post-concussion symptoms to improve the ability to perform challenging tasks associated with military service. The Complex Assessment of Military Performance (CAMP) is a test battery that more closely approximates the occupational demands of ADSM without specific adherence to a particular branch of service or military occupational specialty. Subtasks were developed with military collaborators to include high level skills that all service members must be able to perform such as reacting quickly, maintaining visual stability while moving and changing positions, and scanning for, noting, and/or remembering operationally relevant information under conditions of physical exertion. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this observational longitudinal study is to: 1- establish typical performance parameters for ADSM on the CAMP test battery 2- determine the element of the CAMP battery that demonstrate the greatest differences from standard performance and serve as predictors for successful return to duty and 3- develop clinician-facing feedback algorithms and displays and 4-develop materials for clinical dissemination. This ongoing multi-site study is currently funded through the CDMRP and has been approved by the Naval Medical Center Portsmouth IRB. METHODS: ADSM undergoing post-concussion rehabilitation at the Intrepid Spirit Centers will be tested within one week of their initial Physical Therapy evaluation and after completing Physical Therapy. Control participants will include males, females, and ADSM from the Special Operations community. Participants will complete an intake form that includes questions about demographics, military service, deployment and concussion history, and profile and duty status. Other measures include those that explore concussion symptoms, sleep quality, post-traumatic stress, and perceptions of resilience. The CAMP includes three separate 10-15 minute tasks. Movement is recorded by wearable inertial sensors and heart rate variability is recorded with a POLAR10 monitor. The "Run-Roll" task requires rapid position changes, combat rolls and quick running forwards and backwards while carrying a simulated weapon. Visual stability before and after the task is also performed. The "Dual-Task Agility" task includes rapid running with and without a weighted vest and a working memory task. The "Patrol Exertion" task requires repeated stepping onto an exercise step while watching a virtual patrol video. Additional tasks include monitoring direction of travel, observing for signs of enemy presence, and reacting to multiple auditory signals embedded in the video. DISCUSSION: Measures that evaluate relevant skills are vital to support safe return to duty for ADSM who may be exposed to imminent danger as part of training or mission demands. The CAMP is designed to be an ecologically valid and clinically feasible assessment that may be more sensitive to capturing subtle impairments that impact duty performance as test skills are integrated into dual and multi-tasks that reflect occupational demands. Assessment results may serve as a more robust indicator of readiness for full return to duty after concussion.

Validity and Responsiveness of the Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility After Rehabilitation in Service Members With Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: The Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility (POWAR-TOTAL) is a performance-based test designed to assess active-duty service members diagnosed with mild traumatic brain injuries (mTBIs) and could potentially inform return to duty decisions. To examine the validity and responsiveness of the POWAR-TOTAL measure, this study collected self-reported and performance measures by active-duty service members before and after an episode of physical therapist care. METHODS: Seventy-four individuals, enrolled in care for mTBI symptoms at 1 of 2 concussion specialty Intrepid Spirit Centers, were examined the week that they initiated physical therapy with the intention to return to active duty. Self-reported measures of concussion symptoms, pain, posttraumatic stress, headache, dizziness, and sleep quality were used, as were concurrent measures of mobility and balance. The POWAR-TOTAL task (motor and cognitive skills in single and dual-task conditions) was administered. Forty-nine active-duty service members returned for posttherapy testing using the same test battery. Effect sizes for change in measures were calculated. Construct validity was assessed by correlating change scores on POWAR with concurrent self-report and mobility measures. Responsiveness was evaluated using an anchor-based approach. RESULTS: Significant improvements in self-reported and performance-based measures, including POWAR, were observed after therapy with moderate to large effect sizes. Improvement in POWAR performance correlated with improvement in both performance and self-reported measures. After therapy, individuals who registered improvement on the Patient Global Impression of Change scale demonstrated significantly faster POWAR motor performance than those who rated little or no improvement in their condition. CONCLUSION: The POWAR-TOTAL captured improvement on a military-specific task after completing physical therapy for mTBI and could serve as an indicator of physical recovery and readiness for return to duty. IMPACT: Challenging cognitive and motor measures for service members may aid in the assessment of recovery and the ability to successfully return to duty after concussion as part of a comprehensive examination approach.

The American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine Diagnostic Criteria for Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: To develop new diagnostic criteria for mild traumatic brain injury (TBI) that are appropriate for use across the lifespan and in sports, civilian trauma, and military settings. DESIGN: Rapid evidence reviews on 12 clinical questions and Delphi method for expert consensus. PARTICIPANTS: The Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Task Force of the American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine Brain Injury Special Interest Group convened a Working Group of 17 members and an external interdisciplinary expert panel of 32 clinician-scientists. Public stakeholder feedback was analyzed from 68 individuals and 23 organizations. RESULTS: The first 2 Delphi votes asked the expert panel to rate their agreement with both the diagnostic criteria for mild TBI and the supporting evidence statements. In the first round, 10 of 12 evidence statements reached consensus agreement. Revised evidence statements underwent a second round of expert panel voting, where consensus was achieved for all. For the diagnostic criteria, the final agreement rate, after the third vote, was 90.7%. Public stakeholder feedback was incorporated into the diagnostic criteria revision prior to the third expert panel vote. A terminology question was added to the third round of Delphi voting, where 30 of 32 (93.8%) expert panel members agreed that 'the diagnostic label 'concussion' may be used interchangeably with 'mild TBI' when neuroimaging is normal or not clinically indicated.' CONCLUSIONS: New diagnostic criteria for mild TBI were developed through an evidence review and expert consensus process. Having unified diagnostic criteria for mild TBI can improve the quality and consistency of mild TBI research and clinical care.

Modelling jurisdictional disparities in the cascade of care for chronic hepatitis B in Australia: impact of treatment uptake on mortality.

OBJECTIVE: Investigate the cascade of care for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and estimate impacts of increasing treatment uptake on attributable burden, according to jurisdiction. METHODS: A mathematical model of CHB in Australia was utilised, combined with notifiable disease and Medicare data. We estimated the proportion with CHB who were diagnosed, engaged in care and receiving treatment in each state/territory, and projected future mortality. RESULTS: The highest uptake of all measures was in New South Wales, however, the largest increase over time occurred in Northern Territory. No jurisdiction is due to meet 2022 targets of treatment uptake or mortality reduction. Previously declining mortality is predicted to plateau or increase in all jurisdictions except Northern Territory. The largest gap in the cascade of care was most commonly diagnosed individuals not engaged in care; however, in Victoria and Tasmania it was lack of diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Measures of the cascade of care varied substantially between jurisdictions; while all require improvements to reduce mortality, the specific gaps vary, as do potential impacts. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Improving the cascade of care for CHB will require jurisdictionally tailored approaches. If improvements are not made, more deaths will occur due to CHB in most states and territories.

The Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility: A Novel Functional Assessment That Discriminates Service Members Diagnosed With Concussion From Controls.

INTRODUCTION: Return-to-duty (RTD) readiness assessment for service members (SM) following concussion requires complex clinical considerations. The Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility (POWAR-TOTAL) is a functional assessment which improves on previous laboratory-based RTD assessments. METHODS: Sixty-four SM diagnosed with concussion and 60 healthy control (HC) SM participated in this study. Group differences were analyzed to validate the POWAR-TOTAL. The High-level Mobility Assessment Test (HiMAT) was used to examine concurrent construct validity. An exploratory logistic regression analysis examined predictive validity. RESULTS: The groups were demographically well-matched except for educational level. POWAR-TOTAL measures were statistically significantly different between the groups with moderate to large effect sizes. Concussed participants were less likely to be able to complete all trials of the POWAR-TOTAL. Motor scores correlated highly with HiMAT scores. POWAR-TOTAL motor task performance and membership in the control group was significantly associated with self-reported physical readiness to deploy. CONCLUSION: The POWAR-TOTAL is a clinically feasible, military relevant assessment that is sensitive to differences between concussed and HC SM. This analysis supports the discriminant and construct validity of the POWAR-TOTAL, and may be useful for medical providers evaluating RTD readiness for SM who have sustained a concussion.

Wearable Sensors Detect Movement Differences in the Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility After mTBI in Service Members.

INTRODUCTION: Assessment of functional recovery of service members following a concussion is central to their return to duty. Practical military-relevant performance-based tests are needed for identifying those who might need specialized rehabilitation, for evaluating the progress of recovery, and for making return-to-duty determinations. One such recently developed test is the 'Portable Warrior Test of Tactical Agility' (POWAR-TOTAL) assessment designed for use following concussion in an active duty population. This agility task involves maneuvers used in military training, such as rapid stand-to-prone and prone-to-stand transitions, combat rolls, and forward and backward running. The effect of concussion on the performance of such maneuvers has not been established. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Institutional Review Board-approved study was conducted at Ft. Bragg, North Carolina, on 57 healthy control (HC) service members (SMs) and 42 well-matched SMs who were diagnosed with concussion and were referred for physical therapy with the intent to return to duty. Each study participant performed five consecutive trials of the POWAR-TOTAL task at full exertion while wearing inertial sensors, which were used to identify the constituent task maneuvers, or phases, and measure their durations. Statistical analyses were performed on durations of three main phases: (1) rising from prone and running, (2) lowering from vertical to prone, and (3) combat rolls. RESULTS: None of the three phases showed significant correlation with age (range 18-45 years) in either group. Gradual improvement in all three phase durations across five trials was observed in the HC group, but not in the concussed group. On average, control subjects performed significantly faster (P < .004 or less) than concussed subjects in all trials in the lowering and rolling phases, but less so in the rising/running phase. Membership in the concussed group had a strong effect on the lowering phase (Cohen's d = 1.05), medium effect on the rolling phase (d = 0.72), and small effect on the rising/running phase (d = 0.49). Individuals in the HC group who had a history of prior concussions were intermediate between the concussed group and the never-concussed group in the lowering and rolling phases. Duration of transitional movements (lowering from standing to prone and combat rolls) was better at differentiating individuals' performance by group (receiver operating characteristic area under the curve [AUC] = 0.83) than the duration of the entire POWAR-TOTAL task (AUC = 0.71). CONCLUSIONS: Inertial sensor analysis reveals that rapid transitional movements (such as lowering from vertical to prone position and combat rolls) are particularly discriminative between SMs recovering from concussion and their concussion-free peers. This analysis supports the validity of POWAR-TOTAL as a useful tool for therapists who serve military SMs.

Geospatial modeling of pre-intervention nodule prevalence of Onchocerca volvulus in Ethiopia as an aid to onchocerciasis elimination.

BACKGROUND: Onchocerciasis is a neglected tropical filarial disease transmitted by the bites of blackflies, causing blindness and severe skin lesions. The change in focus for onchocerciasis management from control to elimination requires thorough mapping of pre-control endemicity to identify areas requiring interventions and to monitor progress. Onchocerca volvulus nodule prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa is spatially continuous and heterogeneous, and highly endemic areas may contribute to transmission in areas of low endemicity or vice-versa. Ethiopia is one such onchocerciasis-endemic country with heterogeneous O. volvulus nodule prevalence, and many districts are still unmapped despite their potential for onchocerciasis transmission. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPLE FINDINGS: A Bayesian geostatistical model was fitted for retrospective pre-intervention nodule prevalence data collected from 916 unique sites and 35,077 people across Ethiopia. We used multiple environmental, socio-demographic, and climate variables to estimate the pre-intervention prevalence of O. volvulus nodules across Ethiopia and to explore their relationship with prevalence. Prevalence was high in southern and northwestern Ethiopia and low in Ethiopia's central and eastern parts. Distance to the nearest river (RR: 0.9850, 95% BCI: 0.9751-0.995), precipitation seasonality (RR: 0.9837, 95% BCI: 0.9681-0.9995), and flow accumulation (RR: 0.9586, 95% BCI: 0.9321-0.9816) were negatively associated with O. volvulus nodule prevalence, while soil moisture (RR: 1.0218, 95% BCI: 1.0135-1.0302) was positively associated. The model estimated the number of pre-intervention cases of O. volvulus nodules in Ethiopia to be around 6.48 million (95% BCI: 3.53-13.04 million). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Nodule prevalence distribution was correlated with habitat suitability for vector breeding and associated biting behavior. The modeled pre-intervention prevalence can be used as a guide for determining priorities for elimination mapping in regions of Ethiopia that are currently unmapped, most of which have comparatively low infection prevalence.

Contribution of socio-economic factors in the spread of antimicrobial resistant infections in Australian primary healthcare clinics.

OBJECTIVES: To effectively contain antimicrobial-resistant (AMR) infections, we must better understand the social determinates of health that contribute to transmission and spread of infections. METHODS: We used clinical data from patients attending primary healthcare clinics across three jurisdictions of Australia (2007-2019). Escherichia coli (E. coli), Klebsiella pneumoniae (K. pneumoniae), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) and Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) isolates and their corresponding antibiotic susceptibilities were included. Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, we assessed associations between AMR prevalence and indices of social disadvantage as reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (i.e., remoteness, socio-economic disadvantage and average person per household). RESULTS: This study reports 12 years of longitudinal data from 43 448 isolates from a high-burden low-resource setting in Australia. Access to health and social services (as measured by remoteness index) was a risk factor for increased prevalence of third-generation cephalosporin-resistant (3GC) E. coli (odds ratio 5.05; 95% confidence interval 3.19, 8.04) and methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) (odds ratio 5.72; 95% confidence interval 5.02, 6.54). We did not find a positive correlation of AMR and socio-economic disadvantage or average person per household indices. CONCLUSION: Remoteness is a risk factor for increased prevalence of 3GC-resistant E. coli and MRSA. We demonstrate that traditional disease surveillance systems can be repurposed to capture the broader social drivers of AMR. Access to pathogen-specific and social data early and within the local regional context will fill a significant gap in disease prevention and the global spread of AMR.

The price tag of a potential cure for chronic hepatitis B infection: A cost threshold analysis for USA, China and Australia.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We aim to capture the economic impact of a potential cure for chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) in three countries (USA, China and Australia) with different health systems and epidemics to estimate the threshold drug prices below which a CHB cure would be cost-saving and/or highly cost-effective. METHODS: We simulated patients' hepatitis B progression, under three scenarios: current long-term suppressive antiviral therapy, functional cure defined as sustained undetectable HBsAg and HBV DNA, and partial cure defined as sustained undetectable HBV DNA only after a finite, 48-week treatment. RESULTS: Compared with current long-term antiviral therapy, a 30% effective functional cure among patients with and without cirrhosis in the USA, China and Australia would yield 17.50, 17.32 and 20.42 QALYs per patient, and 20.61, 20.42 and 20.62 QALYs per patient respectively. In financial terms, for CHB patients with and without cirrhosis, this would be cost-saving at a one-time treatment cost under US$11 944 and US$6694, respectively, in the USA, US$1744 and US$1001 in China, and US$12 063 and US$10 983 in Australia. CONCLUSION: We show that in purely economic terms, a CHB cure will be highly cost-effective even if effective in only 30% of treated patients. The threshold price for cure is largely determined by the current antiviral drug costs, since it will replace a daily antiviral pill that is inexpensive and effective, although not curative. The likely need for combination therapies to achieve cure will also present cost challenges. While cost-effectiveness is important, it cannot be the only consideration, as cure will provide many benefits in addition to reduced liver disease and HCC, including eliminating the need for a long-term daily pill and reducing stigma often associated with chronic viral infection.

A pilot study on exertional tasks with physiological measures designed for the assessment of military concussion.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for clinicians treating military concussion recommend exertional testing before return-to-duty, yet there is currently no standardized task or inclusion of an objective physiological measure like heart rate variability (HRV). METHODOLOGY & RESULTS: We pilot-tested two clinically feasible exertional tasks that include HRV measures and examined reliability of a commercially available heart rate monitor. Testing healthy participants confirmed that the 6-min step test and 2-min pushup test evoked the targeted physiological response, and the Polar H10 was reliable to the gold-standard electrocardiogram. CONCLUSION: Both tasks are brief assessments that can be implemented into primary care setting including the Polar H10 as an affordable way to access HRV. Additional research utilizing these tasks to evaluate concussion recovery can validate standardized exertional tasks for clinical use.

Effectiveness of a Novel Implementation of the Otago Exercise Program in Rural Appalachia.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Despite evidence that falls can be prevented with specific exercise interventions such as the Otago Exercise Program (OEP), translation of these programs into practice is limited in rural and medically underserved areas. The Community Health and Mobility Partnership (CHAMP) addresses this problem through a community-based implementation of the OEP in rural Appalachia where medical resources are scarce. The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of the CHAMP on physical performance and balance confidence in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of quasi-longitudinal data. Older adults received fall screenings at local senior centers. Those with increased fall risk received individualized OEP home exercises and were advised to return for monthly follow-up visits. Three physical performance measures-Timed Up and Go test (TUG), Four-Stage Balance Test (4SBT), and chair rise test (CRT)-and the Activities-specific Balance Confidence scale (ABC) were assessed at the initial visit (IV) and each follow-up visit. Two groups were created to distinguish participants who returned for their second follow-up (F2) visit within 3 months from those who returned between 3 and 6 months. Within-group change from IV to F2 was calculated using repeated-measures t tests. Repeated-measures 2-way analyses of variance were used to test for main and interaction effects of group and visit. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: One hundred thirty CHAMP participants aged 76.1 (SD = 8.1) years demonstrated statistically and clinically significant improvements in the 3 physical performance measures (mean 4SBT: IV 29.5 seconds, F2 31.5 second, P = .001), (mean TUG: IV 12.7 seconds, F2 11.9 seconds, P = .021), (mean CRT: IV 0.258 stands/second, F2 0.290 stands/second, P = .002), but not in balance confidence (mean ABC: IV 62.2, F2 64.4, P = .154). A significant interaction of group by visit for the TUG was observed, suggesting that better TUG performance was associated with quicker return for follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicated that program participants improved from IV to F2 in measures related to fall risk.

Ensemble model for estimating continental-scale patterns of human movement: a case study of Australia.

Understanding human movement patterns at local, national and international scales is critical in a range of fields, including transportation, logistics and epidemiology. Data on human movement is increasingly available, and when combined with statistical models, enables predictions of movement patterns across broad regions. Movement characteristics, however, strongly depend on the scale and type of movement captured for a given study. The models that have so far been proposed for human movement are best suited to specific spatial scales and types of movement. Selecting both the scale of data collection, and the appropriate model for the data remains a key challenge in predicting human movements. We used two different data sources on human movement in Australia, at different spatial scales, to train a range of statistical movement models and evaluate their ability to predict movement patterns for each data type and scale. Whilst the five commonly-used movement models we evaluated varied markedly between datasets in their predictive ability, we show that an ensemble modelling approach that combines the predictions of these models consistently outperformed all individual models against hold-out data.

Physical Therapy Evaluation and Treatment After Concussion/Mild Traumatic Brain Injury.

Over the last decade, numerous concussion evidence-based clinical practice guidelines (CPGs), consensus statements, and clinical guidance documents have been published. These documents have typically focused on the diagnosis of concussion and medical management of individuals post concussion, but provide little specific guidance for physical therapy management of concussion and its associated impairments. Further, many of these guidance documents have targeted specific populations in specific care contexts. The primary purpose of this CPG is to provide a set of evidence-based recommendations for physical therapist management of the wide spectrum of patients who have experienced a concussive event. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2020;50(4):CPG1-CPG73. doi:10.2519/jospt.2020.0301.

Beliefs About the Influence of Rest During Concussion Recovery May Predict Activity and Symptom Progression Within an Active Duty Military Population.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate relationships between beliefs about the impact of rest and the level of activities and symptoms over time among active duty Service members sustaining concussion, and whether these relationships vary by provision of concussion education. DESIGN: Longitudinal study using multilevel modeling to assess the relationship between beliefs about rest within 72 hours of concussion and change in activity and symptom level over time, as well as interaction by concussion education at the initial clinic visit. SETTING: Three military treatment facilities. PARTICIPANTS: Study participants included active duty Service members diagnosed with a concussion (N=111; median age, 24 y). Individuals with previous history of concussion within 12 months of study enrollment were excluded. INTERVENTION: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Activity questionnaire and the Neurobehavioral Symptom Inventory assessed within 72 hours of concussion; at 1 week; and at 1, 3, and 6 month(s) postinjury. RESULTS: Receipt of concussion education from providers was significantly associated with greater belief that rest influences concussion recovery. Greater belief that rest influences symptom recovery at the acute stage of concussion was associated with a greater increase in activities over time, but only among those who received education from their provider. Additionally, greater belief about the influence of rest was related to a more rapid decrease in symptoms over time. CONCLUSIONS: Concussed Service members who underestimate the influence of rest during acute recovery may be at risk for poorer recovery. Treatment of Service members with postconcussive symptoms should consider patient knowledge and/or beliefs about rest and recovery, which may influence prognosis. Our results support the provider's use of concussion education to correct potential misconceptions that may negatively impact symptom recovery.

"Return to duty" as an outcome metric in military concussion research: Problems, pitfalls, and potential solutions.

OBJECTIVE: "Return to duty" (RTD) is often used as an outcome metric in military concussion research, but is inconsistently defined across studies and presents several key problems to researchers. Using results from the Defense and Veterans Brain Injury Center's (DVBIC) Progressive Return to Activity (PRA) study, we highlight problems with RTD, and suggest solutions to inform future efforts. METHOD: 116 service members (SMs) were enrolled in one of two groups (pre-implementation and post-implementation of the PRA Clinical Recommendation [CR]). Data, including the Neurobehavioral Symptom Inventory (NSI-22), was collected within 72-hours of injury (baseline), and at 1-week, 1-month, 3-months, and 6-months post-injury. Our analyses focused on three time points: baseline, approximate RTD date, and post-RTD follow-up, with RTD data captured via self-report and electronic medical record (EMR). Secondary analyses included comparisons across PRA-CR implementation groups. RESULTS: Of those SMs (<50% of the sample) with both self-reported and EMR RTD dates, dates largely did not match (range 1 to 36 days). RTD (either date) also did not indicate symptom recovery, with >50% of SMs reporting "abnormally high" symptom levels (i.e., NSI-22 total ≥75th percentile) at RTD, and over 50% of SMs reporting at least one significant symptom (i.e., any NSI-22 item ≥ 2) after RTD. CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrate challenges encountered with a RTD outcome metric. Military concussion researchers should strive to use a well-defined RTD outcome metric. We propose defining RTD as a return to deployment readiness. Further, researchers should utilize Department of Defense definitions of Individual Medical Readiness and Deployment Limiting conditions to increase specificity of a RTD outcome metric. Improving the way RTD is captured will improve confidence that tools used after a SM sustains concussion are adequately informing RTD decisions.

Activity Level During Acute Concussion May Predict Symptom Recovery Within an Active Duty Military Population.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact on symptom resolution of activity acutely following a concussion and the role of acute-phase symptoms on this relationship among active duty service members (SMs). SETTING: Three military installations. PARTICIPANTS: Sixty-two SMs aged 18 to 44 years who sustained a concussion within 72 hours of enrollment. DESIGN: Longitudinal design with data collected within 72 hours of injury (baseline, n = 62) and at 1 week (n = 57), 1 month (n = 50), 3 months (n = 41), and 6 months (n = 40) postinjury. MAIN MEASURES: Baseline activity level using a 60-item Activity Questionnaire. Symptom level at baseline and during follow-up using Neurobehavioral Symptoms Inventory. RESULTS: Significant interaction (Pi < .05) was found, with significant main effects (P < .05) limited to SMs with elevated baseline symptomatology. Among these participants, greater baseline total activity was significantly related to greater vestibular symptoms at 1, 3, and 6 months (ß = .61, .63, and .59, respectively). Significant associations were also found for particular types of baseline activity (eg, physical; vestibular/balance; military-specific) and symptoms at 1, 3, and/or 6 months postinjury. CONCLUSION: These results provide support for clinical guidance that symptomatic SMs, particularly those with high levels of acute symptoms, may need to avoid excessive activity acutely following concussion.