Topography-driven microclimate gradients shape forest structure, diversity, and composition in a temperate refugial forest.

Macroclimate drives vegetation distributions, but fine-scale topographic variation can generate microclimate refugia for plant persistence in unsuitable areas. However, we lack quantitative descriptions of topography-driven microclimatic variation and how it shapes forest structure, diversity, and composition. We hypothesized that topographic variation and the presence of the forest overstory cause spatiotemporal microclimate variation affecting tree performance, causing forest structure, diversity, and composition to vary with topography and microclimate, and topography and the overstory to buffer microclimate. In a 20.2-ha inventory plot in the North American Great Plains, we censused woody stems ≥1 cm in diameter and collected detailed topographic and microclimatic data. Across 59-m of elevation, microclimate covaried with topography to create a sharp desiccation gradient, and topography and the overstory buffered understory microclimate. The magnitude of microclimatic variation mirrored that of regional-scale variation: with increasing elevation, there was a decrease in soil moisture corresponding to the difference across ~2.1° of longitude along the east-to-west aridity gradient and an increase in air temperature corresponding to the difference across ~2.7° of latitude along the north-to-south gradient. More complex forest structure and higher diversity occurred in moister, less-exposed habitats, and species occupied distinct topographic niches. Our study demonstrates how topographic and microclimatic gradients structure forests in putative climate-change refugia, by revealing ecological processes enabling populations to be maintained during periods of unfavorable macroclimate.

Potential for a minor pine bark beetle pest, Dendroctonus terebrans (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Scolytinae), to mediate host location by a major pine killer, Dendroctonus frontalis.

The southern pine beetle, Dendroctonus frontalis Zimmermann is an important mortality agent of Pinus in the eastern United States of America where it commonly shares hosts with the black turpentine beetle, Dendroctonus terebrans (Olivier), which infrequently kills trees. Unlike D. frontalis, which must kill its hosts to become established in the bark and reproduce, D. terebrans can occupy living hosts as a parasite. Olfactory mechanisms whereby D. frontalis initially locates hosts have not been demonstrated, whereas D. terebrans responds strongly to host odors. Because D. terebrans produces frontalin, the primary aggregation pheromone component for D. frontalis, and commonly arrives on hosts prior to D. frontalis, it has been hypothesized that D. terebrans pheromone components can mediate D. frontalis location of suitable, living trees. We assessed this possibility with studies of the semiochemical interactions between D. frontalis and D. terebrans. Coupled gas chromatography-electroantennographic detection analyses indicated that D. terebrans produces nine different olfactory stimulants for D. frontalis, nearly all of them known semiochemicals for D. frontalis. A trapping experiment designed to address the potentially confounding influence of lure contamination confirmed that the D. terebrans pheromone component exo-brevicomin enhances attraction of D. frontalis and thus could be an attractive kairomone. In ambulatory bioassays, male D. frontalis were strongly attracted to odors of frass of solitary female and paired D. terebrans, indicating their attraction to the naturally occurring semiochemicals of D. terebrans. Cues from D. terebrans may influence host and mate-finding success of D. frontalis and, thereby, the latter's virulence.

Plant Species' Capacity for Range Shifts at the Habitat and Geographic Scales: A Trade-Off-Based Framework.

Climate change is causing rapid shifts in the abiotic and biotic environmental conditions experienced by plant populations, but we lack generalizable frameworks for predicting the consequences for species. These changes may cause individuals to become poorly matched to their environments, potentially inducing shifts in the distributions of populations and altering species' habitat and geographic ranges. We present a trade-off-based framework for understanding and predicting whether plant species may undergo range shifts, based on ecological strategies defined by functional trait variation. We define a species' capacity for undergoing range shifts as the product of its colonization ability and the ability to express a phenotype well-suited to the environment across life stages (phenotype-environment matching), which are both strongly influenced by a species' ecological strategy and unavoidable trade-offs in function. While numerous strategies may be successful in an environment, severe phenotype-environment mismatches result in habitat filtering: propagules reach a site but cannot establish there. Operating within individuals and populations, these processes will affect species' habitat ranges at small scales, and aggregated across populations, will determine whether species track climatic changes and undergo geographic range shifts. This trade-off-based framework can provide a conceptual basis for species distribution models that are generalizable across plant species, aiding in the prediction of shifts in plant species' ranges in response to climate change.