Lung function trajectories from school age to adulthood and their relationship with markers of cardiovascular disease risk.

RATIONALE: Lung function in early adulthood is associated with subsequent adverse health outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To ascertain whether stable and reproducible lung function trajectories can be derived in different populations and investigate their association with objective measures of cardiovascular structure and function. METHODS: Using latent profile modelling, we studied three population-based birth cohorts with repeat spirometry data from childhood into early adulthood to identify trajectories of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC). We used multinomial logistic regression models to investigate early-life predictors of the derived trajectories. We then ascertained the extent of the association between the derived FEV1/FVC trajectories and blood pressure and echocardiographic markers of increased cardiovascular risk and stroke in ~3200 participants at age 24 years in one of our cohorts. RESULTS: We identified four FEV1/FVC trajectories with strikingly similar latent profiles across cohorts (pooled N=6377): above average (49.5%); average (38.3%); below average (10.6%); and persistently low (1.7%). Male sex, wheeze, asthma diagnosis/medication and allergic sensitisation were associated with trajectories with diminished lung function in all cohorts. We found evidence of an increase in cardiovascular risk markers ascertained by echocardiography (including left ventricular mass indexed to height and carotid intima-media thickness) with decreasing FEV1/FVC (with p values for the mean crude effects per-trajectory ranging from 0.10 to p<0.001). In this analysis, we considered trajectories as a pseudo-continuous variable; we confirmed the assumption of linearity in all the regression models. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood lung function trajectories may serve as predictors in the development of not only future lung disease, but also the cardiovascular disease and multimorbidity in adulthood.

Exhaled Volatile Organic Compounds for Asthma Control Classification in Children with Moderate to Severe Asthma: Results from the SysPharmPediA Study.

RATIONALE: Early identification of children with poorly controlled asthma is imperative for optimizing treatment strategies. The analysis of exhaled volatile organic compounds (VOCs) is an emerging approach to identify prognostic and diagnostic biomarkers in pediatric asthma. OBJECTIVES: To assess the accuracy of gas chromatography-mass spectrometry based exhaled metabolite analysis to differentiate between controlled and uncontrolled pediatric asthma. METHODS: This study encompassed a discovery (SysPharmPediA) and validation phase (U-BIOPRED, PANDA). Firstly, exhaled VOCs that discriminated asthma control levels were identified. Subsequently, outcomes were validated in two independent cohorts. Patients were classified as controlled or uncontrolled, based on asthma control test scores and number of severe attacks in the past year. Additionally, potential of VOCs in predicting two or more future severe asthma attacks in SysPharmPediA was evaluated. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Complete data were available for 196 children (SysPharmPediA=100, U-BIOPRED=49, PANDA=47). In SysPharmPediA, after randomly splitting the population into training (n=51) and test sets (n=49), three compounds (acetophenone, ethylbenzene, and styrene) distinguished between uncontrolled and controlled asthmatics. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC) for training and test sets were respectively: 0.83 (95% CI: 0.65-1.00) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.58-0.96). Combinations of these VOCs resulted in AUROCCs of 0.74 ±0.06 (UBIOPRED) and 0.68 ±0.05 (PANDA). Attacks prediction tests, resulted in AUROCCs of 0.71 (95% CI 0.51-0.91) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.52-0.90) for training and test sets. CONCLUSIONS: Exhaled metabolites analysis might enable asthma control classification in children. This should stimulate further development of exhaled metabolites-based point-of-care tests in asthma.

Component-specific clusters for diagnosis and prediction of allergic airway diseases.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies which applied machine learning on multiplex component-resolved diagnostics arrays identified clusters of allergen components which are biologically plausible and reflect the sources of allergenic proteins and their structural homogeneity. Sensitization to different clusters is associated with different clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether within different allergen component sensitization clusters, the internal within-cluster sensitization structure, including the number of c-sIgE responses and their distinct patterns, alters the risk of clinical expression of symptoms. METHODS: In a previous analysis in a population-based birth cohort, by clustering component-specific (c-s)IgEs, we derived allergen component clusters from infancy to adolescence. In the current analysis, we defined each subject's within-cluster sensitization structure which captured the total number of c-sIgE responses in each cluster and intra-cluster sensitization patterns. Associations between within-cluster sensitization patterns and clinical outcomes (asthma and rhinitis) in early-school age and adolescence were examined using logistic regression and binomial generalized additive models. RESULTS: Intra-cluster sensitization patterns revealed specific associations with asthma and rhinitis (both contemporaneously and longitudinally) that were previously unseen using binary sensitization to clusters. A more detailed description of the subjects' within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgEs and unique sensitization patterns added new information relevant to allergic diseases, both for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. For example, the increase in the number of within-cluster positive c-sIgEs at age 5 years was correlated with the increase in prevalence of asthma at ages 5 and 16 years, with the correlations being stronger in the prediction context (e.g. for the largest 'Broad' component cluster, contemporaneous: r = .28, p = .012; r = .22, p = .043; longitudinal: r = .36, p = .004; r = .27, p = .04). CONCLUSION: Among sensitized individuals, a more detailed description of within-cluster c-sIgE responses in terms of the number of positive c-sIgE responses and distinct sensitization patterns, adds potentially important information relevant to allergic diseases.

Association between polymorphisms on chromosome 17q12-q21 and rhinovirus-induced interferon responses.

BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genes on chromosome 17q12-q21 are associated with childhood-onset asthma and rhinovirus-induced wheeze. There are few mechanistic data linking chromosome 17q12-q21 to wheezing illness. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether 17q12-q21 risk alleles were associated with impaired interferon responses to rhinovirus. METHODS: In a population-based birth cohort of European ancestry, we stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells with rhinovirus A1 (RV-A1) and rhinovirus A16 (RV-A16) and measured IFN and IFN-induced C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10 (aka IP10) responses in supernatants. We investigated associations between virus-induced cytokines and 6 SNPs in 17q12-q21. Bayesian profile regression was applied to identify clusters of individuals with different immune response profiles and genetic variants. RESULTS: Five SNPs (in high linkage disequilibrium, r2 ≥ 0.8) were significantly associated with RV-A1-induced IFN-ß (rs9303277, P = .010; rs11557467, P = .012; rs2290400, P = .006; rs7216389, P = .008; rs8079416, P = .005). A reduction in RV-A1-induced IFN-ß was observed among individuals with asthma risk alleles. There were no significant associations for RV-A1-induced IFN-α or CXCL10, or for any RV-A16-induced IFN/CXCL10. Bayesian profile regression analysis identified 3 clusters that differed in IFN-ß induction to RV-A1 (low, medium, high). The typical genetic profile of the cluster associated with low RV-A1-induced IFN-ß responses was characterized by a very high probability of being homozygous for the asthma risk allele for all SNPs. Children with persistent wheeze were almost 3 times more likely to be in clusters with reduced/average RV-A1-induced IFN-ß responses than in the high immune response cluster. CONCLUSIONS: Polymorphisms on chromosome 17q12-q21 are associated with rhinovirus-induced IFN-ß, suggesting a novel mechanism-impaired IFN-ß induction-links 17q12-q21 risk alleles with asthma/wheeze.

Obstructive and restrictive spirometry from school age to adulthood: three birth cohort studies.

Background: Spirometric obstruction and restriction are two patterns of impaired lung function which are predictive of poor health. We investigated the development of these phenotypes and their transitions through childhood to early adulthood. Methods: In this study, we analysed pooled data from three UK population-based birth cohorts established between 1989 and 1995. We applied descriptive statistics, regression modelling and data-driven modelling to data from three population-based birth cohorts with at least three spirometry measures from childhood to adulthood (mid-school: 8-10 years, n = 8404; adolescence: 15-18, n = 5764; and early adulthood: 20-26, n = 4680). Participants were assigned to normal, restrictive, and obstructive spirometry based on adjusted regression residuals. We considered two transitions: from 8-10 to 15-18 and from 15-18 to 20-26 years. Findings: Obstructive phenotype was observed in ∼10%, and restrictive in ∼9%. A substantial proportion of children with impaired lung function in school age (between one third in obstructive and a half in restricted phenotype) improved and achieved normal and stable lung function to early adulthood. Of those with normal lung function in school-age, <5% declined to adulthood. Underweight restrictive and obese obstructive participants were less likely to transit to normal. Maternal smoking during pregnancy and current asthma diagnosis increased the risk of persistent obstruction and worsening. Significant associate of worsening in restrictive phenotypes was lower BMI at the first lung function assessment. Data-driven methodologies identified similar risk factors for obstructive and restrictive clusters. Interpretation: The worsening and improvement in obstructive and restrictive spirometry were observed at all ages. Maintaining optimal weight during childhood and reducing maternal smoking during pregnancy may reduce spirometry obstruction and restriction and improve lung function. Funding: MRC Grant MR/S025340/1.

Identification of eczema clusters and their association with filaggrin and atopic comorbidities: analysis of five birth cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Longitudinal modelling of the presence/absence of current eczema through childhood has identified similar phenotypes, but their characteristics often differ between studies. OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate that a more comprehensive description of longitudinal pattern of symptoms may better describe trajectories than binary information on eczema presence. METHODS: We derived six multidimensional variables of eczema spells from birth to 18 years of age (including duration, temporal sequencing and the extent of persistence/recurrence). Spells were defined as consecutive observations of eczema separated by no eczema across 5 epochs in five birth cohorts: infancy (first year); early childhood (age 2-3 years); preschool/early school age (4-5 years); middle childhood (8-10 years); adolescence (14-18 years). We applied Partitioning Around Medoids clustering on these variables to derive clusters of the temporal patterns of eczema. We then investigated the stability of the clusters, within-cluster homogeneity and associated risk factors, including FLG mutations. RESULTS: Analysis of 7464 participants with complete data identified five clusters: (i) no eczema (51.0%); (ii) early transient eczema (21.6%); (iii) late-onset eczema (LOE; 8.1%); (iv) intermittent eczema (INT; 7.5%); and (v) persistent eczema (PE; 11.8%). There was very-high agreement between the assignment of individual children into clusters when using complete or imputed (n = 15 848) data (adjusted Rand index = 0.99; i.e. the clusters were very stable). Within-individual symptom patterns across clusters confirmed within-cluster homogeneity, with consistent patterns of symptoms among participants within each cluster and no overlap between the clusters. Clusters were characterized by differences in associations with risk factors (e.g. parental eczema was associated with all clusters apart from LOE; sensitization to inhalant allergens was associated with all clusters, with the highest risk in the PE cluster). All clusters apart from LOE were associated with FLG mutations. Of note, the strongest association was for PE [relative risk ratio (RRR) 2.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.24-3.26; P < 0.001] followed by INT (RRR 2.29, 95% CI 1.82-2.88; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Clustering of multidimensional variables identified stable clusters with different genetic architectures. Using multidimensional variables may capture eczema development and derive stable and internally homogeneous clusters. However, deriving homogeneous symptom clusters does not necessarily mean that these are underpinned by completely unique mechanisms.

Circulating CC16 and Asthma: A Population-based, Multicohort Study from Early Childhood through Adult Life.

Rationale: Club cell secretory protein (CC16) is an antiinflammatory protein highly expressed in the airways. CC16 deficiency has been associated with lung function deficits, but its role in asthma has not been established conclusively. Objectives: To determine 1) the longitudinal association of circulating CC16 with the presence of active asthma from early childhood through adult life and 2) whether CC16 in early childhood predicts the clinical course of childhood asthma into adult life. Methods: We assessed the association of circulating CC16 and asthma in three population-based birth cohorts: the Tucson Children's Respiratory Study (years 6-36; total participants, 814; total observations, 3,042), the Swedish Barn/Children, Allergy, Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiological survey (years 8-24; total participants, 2,547; total observations, 3,438), and the UK Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study (years 5-18; total participants, 745; total observations, 1,626). Among 233 children who had asthma at the first survey in any of the cohorts, baseline CC16 was also tested for association with persistence of symptoms. Measurements and Main Results: After adjusting for covariates, CC16 deficits were associated with increased risk for the presence of asthma in all cohorts (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio per 1-SD CC16 decrease, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.28; P < 0.0001). The association was particularly strong for asthma with frequent symptoms (meta-analyzed adjusted relative risk ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.24-1.57; P < 0.0001), was confirmed for both atopic and nonatopic asthma, and was independent of lung function impairment. After adjustment for known predictors of persistent asthma, children with asthma in the lowest CC16 tertile had a nearly fourfold increased risk for having frequent symptoms persisting into adult life compared with children with asthma in the other two CC16 tertiles (meta-analyzed adjusted odds ratio, 3.72; 95% CI, 1.78-7.76; P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Circulating CC16 deficits are associated with the presence of asthma with frequent symptoms from childhood through midadult life and predict the persistence of asthma symptoms into adulthood. These findings support a possible protective role of CC16 in asthma and its potential use for risk stratification.

A meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of childhood wheezing phenotypes identifies ANXA1 as a susceptibility locus for persistent wheezing.

Background: Many genes associated with asthma explain only a fraction of its heritability. Most genome-wide association studies (GWASs) used a broad definition of 'doctor-diagnosed asthma', thereby diluting genetic signals by not considering asthma heterogeneity. The objective of our study was to identify genetic associates of childhood wheezing phenotypes. Methods: We conducted a novel multivariate GWAS meta-analysis of wheezing phenotypes jointly derived using unbiased analysis of data collected from birth to 18 years in 9568 individuals from five UK birth cohorts. Results: Forty-four independent SNPs were associated with early-onset persistent, 25 with pre-school remitting, 33 with mid-childhood remitting, and 32 with late-onset wheeze. We identified a novel locus on chr9q21.13 (close to annexin 1 [ANXA1], p<6.7 × 10-9), associated exclusively with early-onset persistent wheeze. We identified rs75260654 as the most likely causative single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) using Promoter Capture Hi-C loops, and then showed that the risk allele (T) confers a reduction in ANXA1 expression. Finally, in a murine model of house dust mite (HDM)-induced allergic airway disease, we demonstrated that anxa1 protein expression increased and anxa1 mRNA was significantly induced in lung tissue following HDM exposure. Using anxa1-/- deficient mice, we showed that loss of anxa1 results in heightened airway hyperreactivity and Th2 inflammation upon allergen challenge. Conclusions: Targeting this pathway in persistent disease may represent an exciting therapeutic prospect. Funding: UK Medical Research Council Programme Grant MR/S025340/1 and the Wellcome Trust Strategic Award (108818/15/Z) provided most of the funding for this study.

Three-quarters of children hospitalized for wheezing or asthma symptoms are preschool-aged. Some will continue to experience breathing difficulties through childhood and adulthood. Others will undergo a complete resolution of their symptoms by the time they reach elementary school. The varied trajectories of young children with wheezing suggest that it is not a single disease. There are likely different genetic or environmental causes. Despite these differences, wheezing treatments for young children are 'one size fits all.' Studying the genetic underpinnings of wheezing may lead to more customized treatment options. Granell et al. studied the genetic architecture of different patterns of wheezing from infancy to adolescence. To do so, they used machine learning technology to analyze the genomes of 9,568 individuals, who participated in five studies in the United Kingdom from birth to age 18. The experiments found a new genetic variation in the ANXA1 gene linked with persistent wheezing starting in early childhood. By comparing mice with and without this gene, Granell et al. showed that the protein encoded by ANXA1 controls inflammation in the lungs in response to allergens. Animals lacking the protein develop worse lung inflammation after exposure to dust mite allergens. Identifying a new gene linked to a specific subtype of wheezing might help scientists develop better strategies to diagnose, treat, and prevent asthma. More studies are needed on the role of the protein encoded by ANXA1 in reducing allergen-triggered lung inflammation to determine if this protein or therapies that boost its production may offer relief for chronic lung inflammation.

Oropharyngeal Microbiota Clusters in Children with Asthma or Wheeze Associate with Allergy, Blood Transcriptomic Immune Pathways, and Exacerbation Risk.

Rationale: Children with preschool wheezing or school-age asthma are reported to have airway microbial imbalances. Objectives: To identify clusters in children with asthma or wheezing using oropharyngeal microbiota profiles. Methods: Oropharyngeal swabs from the U-BIOPRED (Unbiased Biomarkers for the Prediction of Respiratory Disease Outcomes) pediatric asthma or wheezing cohort were characterized using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing, and unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed on the Bray-Curtis ß-diversity. Enrichment scores of the Molecular Signatures Database hallmark gene sets were computed from the blood transcriptome using gene set variation analysis. Children with severe asthma or severe wheezing were followed up for 12-18 months, with assessment of the frequency of exacerbations. Measurements and Main Results: Oropharyngeal samples from 241 children (age range, 1-17 years; 40% female) revealed four taxa-driven clusters dominated by Streptococcus, Veillonella, Rothia, and Haemophilus. The clusters showed significant differences in atopic dermatitis, grass pollen sensitization, FEV1% predicted after salbutamol, and annual asthma exacerbation frequency during follow-up. The Veillonella cluster was the most allergic and included the highest percentage of children with two or more exacerbations per year during follow-up. The oropharyngeal clusters were different in the enrichment scores of TGF-ß (transforming growth factor-ß) (highest in the Veillonella cluster) and Wnt/ß-catenin signaling (highest in the Haemophilus cluster) transcriptomic pathways in blood (all q values <0.05). Conclusions: Analysis of the oropharyngeal microbiota of children with asthma or wheezing identified four clusters with distinct clinical characteristics (phenotypes) that associate with risk for exacerbation and transcriptomic pathways involved in airway remodeling. This suggests that further exploration of the oropharyngeal microbiota may lead to novel pathophysiologic insights and potentially new treatment approaches.

Environmental influences on childhood asthma: Allergens.

Allergen exposure is associated with the development of allergen-specific sensitization, but their relationship is influenced by other contemporaneous exposures (such as microbial exposure) and the genetic predisposition of the host. Clinical outcomes of the primary prevention studies that tested the effectiveness of allergen avoidance in pregnancy and early life on the subsequent development of sensitization and asthma published to date are inconsistent. Therefore, we cannot provide any evidence-based advice on the use of allergen avoidance for the primary prevention of these conditions. The evidence about the impact of allergen exposure among and among sensitized children with asthma is more consistent, and the combination of sensitization and high exposure to sensitizing allergen increases airway inflammation, triggers symptoms, adversely impacts upon disease control, and is associated with poorer lung function in preschool age. However, there are differing opinions about the role of inhalant allergen avoidance in asthma management, and recommendations differ in different guidelines. Evidence from more recent high-quality trials suggests that mite allergen-impermeable bed encasings reduce hospital attendance with asthma attacks and that multifaceted targeted environmental control improves asthma control in children. We therefore suggest a pragmatic approach to allergen avoidance in the management of childhood asthma for clinical practice, including the recommendations to: (1) tailor the intervention to the patient's sensitization and exposure status by using titer of allergen-specific IgE antibodies and/or the size of the skin test as indicators of potential response; (2) use a multifaceted allergen control regime to reduce exposure as much as possible; and (3) start intervention as early as possible upon diagnosis.

Dog ownership in infancy is protective for persistent wheeze in 17q21 asthma-risk carriers.

BACKGROUND: Asthma-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms from large genome-wide association studies only explain a fraction of genetic heritability. Likely causes of the missing heritability include broad phenotype definitions and gene-environment interactions (GxE). The mechanisms underlying GxE in asthma are poorly understood. Previous GxE studies on pet ownership showed discordant results. OBJECTIVES: We sought to study the GxE between the 17q12-21 locus and pet ownership in infancy in relation to wheeze. METHODS: Wheezing classes derived from 5 UK-based birth cohorts (latent class analysis) were used to study GxE between the 17q12-21 asthma-risk variant rs2305480 and dog and cat ownership in infancy, using multinomial logistic regression. A total of 9149 children had both pet ownership and genotype data available. Summary statistics from individual analyses were meta-analyzed. RESULTS: rs2305480 G allele was associated with increased risk of persistent wheeze (additive model odds ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.25-1.51). There was no evidence of an association between dog or cat ownership and wheeze. We found significant evidence of a GxE interaction between rs2305480 and dog ownership (P = 8.3 × 10-4) on persistent wheeze; among dog owners, the G allele was no longer associated with an increased risk of persistent wheeze (additive model odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.73-1.24). For those without pets, G allele was associated with increased risk of persistent wheeze (odds ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.40-1.86). Among cat owners, no such dampening of the genetic effect was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Among dog owners, rs2305480 G was no longer associated with an increased risk of persistent wheeze (or asthma). Early-life environmental exposures may therefore attenuate likelihood of asthma in those carrying 17q12-21 risk alleles.

Progenitor cell-derived basophils: A novel barcoded passive degranulation assay in allergic diseases.

BACKGROUND: Effector cells assays provide an overall measure of responsiveness to allergen, but the lack of reliable and high-throughput assays limits the clinical utility. We aimed to develop a high-throughput basophil activation test based on human progenitor cell-derived basophils (PCB) and investigate the role of PCB activation test (PCBAT) in allergic diseases. METHODS: Progenitor cell-derived basophils were differentiated from CD34+ progenitor cells and sensitized with sera from subjects sensitized to cat, peanut or atopic controls. Sensitized PCBs were stimulated with increasing concentrations of the corresponding allergens in vitro. Degranulation was assessed by measuring CD63 expression using flow cytometry. The correlations between PCBAT and clinical allergy were assessed. RESULTS: Following passive sensitization of the mature PCBs with serum and allergen stimulation, an allergen specific dose-dependent increase in CD63 expression was observed. Sera from subjects sensitized to cat (n = 35, of which 17 subjects had clinical reactivity quantified using inhaled allergen challenge), peanut allergic (n = 30, of which 15 subjects had clinical reactivity validated using double blind, placebo controlled food challenges [DBPCFC]), peanut-sensitized but tolerant subjects (n = 5) were used to sensitize PCBs. PCBAT area under the curve (AUC) correlated with sIgE (r2  = .49, p = .001) in subjects sensitized to cat (sIgE ≥ 0.35KU/L). The provocation concentration of inhaled cat allergen (PC20 ) correlated with PCBAT AUC (r2  = .33, p = .016). In subjects sensitized to peanut, PCBAT AUC was highly correlated with sIgE to Ara h 2 (r2  = .59, p < .0001). Peanut threshold cumulative dose during DBPCFC was negatively correlated with PCBAT AUC (r2  = .57, p = .001) and IgE to Ara h1 (r2  = .55, p = .007), but not with sIgE to whole peanut or Ara h2. All peanut-sensitized but tolerant subjects showed no reaction to peanut on PCBAT. CONCLUSION: Progenitor cell-derived basophils activation test is a high-throughput assay, which correlates with clinical allergy and may confer a powerful alternative tool in allergy testing.

Development of Core Outcome Measures sets for paediatric and adult Severe Asthma (COMSA).

BACKGROUND: Effectiveness studies with biological therapies for asthma lack standardised outcome measures. The COMSA (Core Outcome Measures sets for paediatric and adult Severe Asthma) Working Group sought to develop Core Outcome Measures (COM) sets to facilitate better synthesis of data and appraisal of biologics in paediatric and adult asthma clinical studies. METHODS: COMSA utilised a multi-stakeholder consensus process among patients with severe asthma, adult and paediatric clinicians, pharmaceutical representatives, and health regulators from across Europe. Evidence included a systematic review of development, validity and reliability of selected outcome measures plus a narrative review and a pan-European survey to better understand patients' and carers' views about outcome measures. It was discussed using a modified GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) Evidence to Decision framework. Anonymous voting was conducted using predefined consensus criteria. RESULTS: Both adult and paediatric COM sets include forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) as z-scores, annual frequency of severe exacerbations and maintenance oral corticosteroid use. Additionally, the paediatric COM set includes the Paediatric Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire and Asthma Control Test or Childhood Asthma Control Test, while the adult COM set includes the Severe Asthma Questionnaire and Asthma Control Questionnaire-6 (symptoms and rescue medication use reported separately). CONCLUSIONS: This patient-centred collaboration has produced two COM sets for paediatric and adult severe asthma. It is expected that they will inform the methodology of future clinical trials, enhance comparability of efficacy and effectiveness of biological therapies, and help assess their socioeconomic value. COMSA will inform definitions of non-response and response to biological therapy for severe asthma.

Defining the normal range of fractional exhaled nitric oxide in children: one size does not fit all.

Background: The normal range of fractional exhaled nitric oxide (F ENO) is influenced by demographic factors. However, single, fixed cut-off values are used for clinical interpretation in children despite rapid growth. We aimed to define the normal range of F ENO during childhood and evaluate its utility in a diagnostic setting. Method: F ENO percentile charts were developed using data from nonasthmatic children in a population-based birth cohort (Manchester Asthma and Allergy Study). Children were skin prick tested, F ENO measured at the ages of 8, 11, 13-16 and 18 years and clinical information collected. This chart was externally validated in the Study of Eczema and Asthma to Observe the Influence of Nutrition (SEATON) cohort before being prospectively tested in symptomatic, treatment-naïve patients with suspected asthma in a diagnostic setting (Rapid Access Diagnostics for Asthma study). Results: Height, weight, body mass index and age were predictive of F ENO in univariate analysis using 1220 F ENO measurements. Only height remained significant after adjustment in the overall, nonatopic and atopic populations, and was included in the predictive equations for 50th, 75th 90th and 98th percentiles. The proposed percentile lines corresponded to the 57th (95% CI 53rd-61st), 80th (76th-83rd), 90th (87th-92nd) and 98th (96th-99th) percentiles in the SEATON cohort (660 measurements). When tested in 73 symptomatic treatment-naïve children and young adults (median (interquartile range) age: 11 (8-14) years), an F ENO >90th percentile gave a 96% specificity and positive predictive value of 97%, identifying 59% of children who were subsequently diagnosed with asthma after extensive testing. Conclusion: We developed a height-based F ENO percentile chart which quantifies the probability of asthma in symptomatic children and merits further validation towards clinical implementation.

Community seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in children and adolescents in England, 2019-2021.

OBJECTIVE: To understand community seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in children and adolescents. This is vital to understanding the susceptibility of this cohort to COVID-19 and to inform public health policy for disease control such as immunisation. DESIGN: We conducted a community-based cross-sectional seroprevalence study in participants aged 0-18 years old recruiting from seven regions in England between October 2019 and June 2021 and collecting extensive demographic and symptom data. Serum samples were tested for antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 spike and nucleocapsid proteins using Roche assays processed at UK Health Security Agency laboratories. Prevalence estimates were calculated for six time periods and were standardised by age group, ethnicity and National Health Service region. RESULTS: Post-first wave (June-August 2020), the (anti-spike IgG) adjusted seroprevalence was 5.2%, varying from 0.9% (participants 10-14 years old) to 9.5% (participants 5-9 years old). By April-June 2021, this had increased to 19.9%, varying from 13.9% (participants 0-4 years old) to 32.7% (participants 15-18 years old). Minority ethnic groups had higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity than white participants (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 2.0), after adjusting for sex, age, region, time period, deprivation and urban/rural geography. In children <10 years, there were no symptoms or symptom clusters that reliably predicted seropositivity. Overall, 48% of seropositive participants with complete questionnaire data recalled no symptoms between February 2020 and their study visit. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-third of participants aged 15-18 years old had evidence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 prior to the introduction of widespread vaccination. These data demonstrate that ethnic background is independently associated with risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04061382.

Asthma and Wheeze Severity and the Oropharyngeal Microbiota in Children and Adolescents.

Rationale: There is a major unmet need for improving the care of children and adolescents with severe asthma and wheeze. Identifying factors contributing to disease severity may lead to improved diagnostics, biomarkers, or therapies. The airway microbiota may be such a key factor. Objectives: To compare the oropharyngeal airway microbiota of children and adolescents with severe and mild/moderate asthma/wheeze. Methods: Oropharyngeal swab samples from school-age and preschool children in the European U-BIOPRED (Unbiased BIOmarkers in the PREDiction of respiratory disease outcomes) multicenter study of severe asthma, all receiving severity-appropriate treatment, were examined using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing. Bacterial taxa were defined as amplicon sequence variants. Results: We analyzed 241 samples from four cohorts: A) 86 school-age children with severe asthma; B) 39 school-age children with mild/moderate asthma; C) 65 preschool children with severe wheeze; and D) 51 preschool children with mild/moderate wheeze. The most common bacteria were Streptococcus (mean relative abundance, 33.5%), Veillonella (10.3%), Haemophilus (7.0%), Prevotella (5.9%), and Rothia (5.5%). Age group (school-age vs. preschool) was associated with the microbiota in ß-diversity analysis (F = 3.32, P = 0.011) and in a differential abundance analysis (28 significant amplicon sequence variants). Among all children, we found no significant difference in the microbiota between children with severe and mild/moderate asthma/wheeze in univariable ß-diversity analysis (F = 1.99, P = 0.08, N = 241), but a significant difference in a multivariable model (F = 2.66, P = 0.035), including the number of exacerbations in the previous year. Age was also significant when expressed as a microbial maturity score (Spearman Rho, 0.39; P = 4.6 × 10-10); however, this score was not associated with asthma/wheeze severity. Conclusions: There was a modest difference in the oropharyngeal airway microbiota between children with severe and mild/moderate asthma/wheeze across all children but not in individual age groups, and a strong association between the microbiota and age. This suggests the oropharyngeal airway microbiota as an interesting entity in studying asthma severity, but probably without the strength to serve as a biomarker for targeted intervention.

Evolution of Eczema, Wheeze, and Rhinitis from Infancy to Early Adulthood: Four Birth Cohort Studies.

Rationale: The relationship between eczema, wheeze or asthma, and rhinitis is complex, and epidemiology and mechanisms of their comorbidities is unclear. Objectives: To investigate within-individual patterns of morbidity of eczema, wheeze, and rhinitis from birth to adolescence/early adulthood. Methods: We investigated onset, progression, and resolution of eczema, wheeze, and rhinitis using descriptive statistics, sequence mining, and latent Markov modeling in four population-based birth cohorts. We used logistic regression to ascertain if early-life eczema or wheeze, or genetic factors (filaggrin [FLG] mutations and 17q21 variants), increase the risk of multimorbidity. Measurements and Main Results: Single conditions, although the most prevalent, were observed significantly less frequently than by chance. There was considerable variation in the timing of onset/remission/persistence/intermittence. Multimorbidity of eczema+wheeze+rhinitis was rare but significantly overrepresented (three to six times more often than by chance). Although infantile eczema was associated with subsequent multimorbidity, most children with eczema (75.4%) did not progress to any multimorbidity pattern. FLG mutations and rs7216389 were not associated with persistence of eczema/wheeze as single conditions, but both increased the risk of multimorbidity (FLG by 2- to 3-fold, rs7216389 risk variant by 1.4- to 1.7-fold). Latent Markov modeling revealed five latent states (no disease/low risk, mainly eczema, mainly wheeze, mainly rhinitis, multimorbidity). The most likely transition to multimorbidity was from eczema state (0.21). However, although this was one of the highest transition probabilities, only one-fifth of those with eczema transitioned to multimorbidity. Conclusions: Atopic diseases fit a multimorbidity framework, with no evidence for sequential atopic march progression. The highest transition to multimorbidity was from eczema, but most children with eczema (more than three-quarters) had no comorbidities.

Early-life predictors and risk factors of peanut allergy, and its association with asthma in later-life: Population-based birth cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Understanding risk factors for peanut allergy (PA) is essential to develop effective preventive measures. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to ascertain associates and predictors of PA, and the relationship between PA and asthma severity. METHODS: In a population-based birth cohort, we investigated the association between objectively confirmed PA with early-life environmental exposures, filaggrin (FLG)-loss-of-function mutations and other atopic disease. We then examined the association of PA with longitudinal trajectories of sensitization, wheeze and allergic comorbidities, which were previously derived using machine learning. Finally, we ascertained the relationship between PA and asthma severity. RESULTS: PA was confirmed in 30/959 participants with evaluable data. In the multivariate analysis, eczema in infancy (OR = 4.4, 95% CI 1.5-13.2, p = 0.007), egg sensitization at age 3 years (OR = 9.7, 95% CI 3.3-29.9, p < 0.001) and early-life cat ownership (OR = 3.0, 95% CI 1.1-8.4, p = 0.04) were independent associates of PA. In the stratified analysis among 700 participants with genetic information, in children with early-life eczema there was no difference in FLG mutations between children with and without PA (3/18 [16.7%] vs. 42/220 [19.1%], p = 1.00). In contrast, among children without eczema, those with PA were almost eight times more likely to have FLG mutations (2/6 [33.3%] vs. 27/456 [5.9%], p = 0.049). We observed associations between PA and multiple allergic sensitization profiles derived using machine learning, with ~60-fold increase in risk among individuals assigned to multiple early sensitization. PA was significantly associated with persistent wheeze (but not other wheeze phenotypes), and with trajectories of atopic disease characterized by co-morbid persistent eczema and wheeze (but not with transient phenotypes). Children with PA were more likely to have asthma, but among asthmatics we found no evidence of an association between PA and asthma severity. CONCLUSIONS: Peanut allergy is associated with multiple IgE sensitization and early-onset persistent eczema and wheeze. FLG loss-of-function mutations were associated with peanut allergy in children without eczema.