RESUMO
Asia remains vulnerable to new and emerging infectious diseases. Understanding how to improve next generation sequencing (NGS) use in pathogen surveillance is an urgent priority for regional health security. Here we developed a pathogen genomic surveillance assessment framework to assess capacity in low-resource settings in South and Southeast Asia. Data collected between June 2022 and March 2023 from 42 institutions in 13 countries showed pathogen genomics capacity exists, but use is limited and under-resourced. All countries had NGS capacity and seven countries had strategic plans integrating pathogen genomics into wider surveillance efforts. Several pathogens were prioritized for human surveillance, but NGS application to environmental and human-animal interface surveillance was limited. Barriers to NGS implementation include reliance on external funding, supply chain challenges, trained personnel shortages and limited quality assurance mechanisms. Coordinated efforts are required to support national planning, address capacity gaps, enhance quality assurance and facilitate data sharing for decision making.
Assuntos
Genômica , Sequenciamento de Nucleotídeos em Larga Escala , Humanos , Ásia , Genômica/métodos , Animais , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The profiles of vaccine-induced dengue antibodies may differ from those produced following natural infection and could potentially interfere with the interpretation of diagnostic tests. We assessed anti-dengue IgG and IgM antibodies, and nonstructural protein 1 antigen profiles in the serum of adults who received a single dose of the tetravalent dengue vaccine TAK-003 as either an initially developed high-dose formulation or the standard approved formulation in a phase 2 study in Singapore (#NCT02425098). Immunoglobulin G and IgM profiles during the first 30 days postvaccination varied by baseline serostatus (microneutralization assay). Nonstructural protein 1 antigen was not detected in the serum of any participants. Vaccine-induced IgG and IgM antibodies can affect serological confirmation of subsequent dengue infection in vaccinees. These results highlight the limitations of using serological tests for dengue diagnosis, particularly in a postvaccination setting, and emphasize the need for more sensitive antigen- and molecular-based testing for accurate dengue diagnosis.
Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais , Vacinas contra Dengue , Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Imunoglobulina G , Imunoglobulina M , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais , Humanos , Vacinas contra Dengue/imunologia , Vacinas contra Dengue/administração & dosagem , Imunoglobulina M/sangue , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Dengue/imunologia , Dengue/diagnóstico , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais/imunologia , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Adulto , Vírus da Dengue/imunologia , Masculino , Feminino , Singapura , Adulto Jovem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , AdolescenteRESUMO
COVID-19 has resulted in significant morbidity and mortality globally. We develop a model that uses data from thirty days before a fixed time point to forecast the daily number of new COVID-19 cases fourteen days later in the early stages of the pandemic. Various time-dependent factors including the number of daily confirmed cases, reproduction number, policy measures, mobility and flight numbers were collected. A deep-learning model using Bidirectional Long-Short Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) architecture was trained on data from 22nd Jan 2020 to 8 Jan 2021 to forecast the new daily number of COVID-19 cases 14 days in advance across 190 countries, from 9 to 31 Jan 2021. A second model with fewer variables but similar architecture was developed. Results were summarised by mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and total absolute percentage error and compared against results from a classical ARIMA model. Median MAE was 157 daily cases (IQR: 26-666) under the first model, and 150 (IQR: 26-716) under the second. Countries with more accurate forecasts had more daily cases and experienced more waves of COVID-19 infections. Among countries with over 10,000 cases over the prediction period, median total absolute percentage error was 33% (IQR: 18-59%) and 34% (IQR: 16-66%) for the first and second models respectively. Both models had comparable median total absolute percentage errors but lower maximum total absolute percentage errors as compared to the classical ARIMA model. A deep-learning approach using Bi-LSTM architecture and open-source data was validated on 190 countries to forecast the daily number of cases in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak. Fewer variables could potentially be used without impacting prediction accuracy.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Aprendizado Profundo , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Levanogestrel , Memória de Longo Prazo , PrevisõesRESUMO
Transport drivers have high risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 during COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccines can reduce disease severity. However, COVID-19 vaccine perception among transport drivers is unknown. To identify the key factors influencing vaccine perception of transport drivers in Singapore, a cross-sectional pilot study was conducted. One hundred four completed survey responses were collected between September 2021 and February 2022. Using multivariable logistic regression, education, general vaccine knowledge and attitude, practice of social distancing, misinformation of rare vaccine side effects, and perceiving the pandemic situation to be severe were independently associated with vaccine perception. Despite high vaccination coverage, there were substantial poor vaccine perception, vaccine hesitancy, and unwillingness to take third dose. Vaccination rate may thus not be an accurate reflection of true vaccine acceptance. Communication strategies need to focus on correcting knowledge gaps, instilling collectivist attitudes, and highlighting the importance of vaccination over social distancing to enhance booster uptake rate.
Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Projetos Piloto , Singapura , Estudos Transversais , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação , PercepçãoRESUMO
Dengue sustained hotspots (SHS) have resulted in a significant public health burden. In our study, we aimed to (1) compare knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) scores between SHS and non-sustained hotspots (NSHS); and (2) identify and describe gaps and factors associated with KAP of dengue prevention among SHS residents residing in Singapore. A cross-sectional study with convenience sampling was conducted using digital survey in randomly selected SHS and NSHS residential areas, consisting of residents aged 21 or older and who had been residing in their existing housing unit in 2019 and 2020. Chi-square test and T-test were used for comparison analysis of categorical and continuous variables, respectively. A total of 466 respondents completed the self-administered, anonymous survey. There were no significant difference in mean scores for Knowledge [SHS(24.66) vs. NSHS(24.37); P: 0.18], Attitudes [SHS(10.38) vs NSHS(10.16); P: 0.08] and Practices [SHS(9.27) vs NSHS(8.80); P: 0.16] sections. Significant SHS-associated factors identified were age group 41-50 years old [95%CI: 1.25-5.03], Malay (95%CI: 0.17-0.98), up to secondary school education (95%CI: 0.07-0.65), private condominium (95%CI: 1.17-3.39), residing in same household unit for 2-5 years (95%CI: 2.44-6.88), respondents who know that mosquito can breed in open container with stagnant water (95%CI: 0.06-0.98), disagree that reducing Aedes mosquitoes is the only way to prevent dengue: (95%CI: 1.19-3.00) and go to clinic/hospital even without severe symptoms: (95%CI: 0.39-0.95). These independent factors associated with dengue sustained hotspots may influence the risk of dengue transmission in residential areas.
Assuntos
Aedes , Dengue , Animais , Humanos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Transversais , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Singapura , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
Background: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is endemic in Singapore. Prevention efforts have been ramped up since major outbreaks in the early 2000's. This study aims to assess the current knowledge, and attitudes towards and practise (KAP) levels of HFMD prevention strategies (HFMD-PS) amongst parents and teachers of children under 5 years amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods and results: A convenience sample of 240 teachers and 404 parents responded to a self-administered standardised questionnaire between mid-October and December 2020. A scoring framework was used to assess responses in the 'knowledge', 'attitude', and 'practice' domains. A multivariable analysis was adjusted for ethnicity and attitudes towards getting children to follow proper handwashing steps and regularly disinfecting children's toys amongst parents, knowledge about HFMD's infectious period, and the responses to a child turning symptomatic in the childcare centre amongst teachers. Existing levels of knowledge and attitudes of parents and teachers were not high, and only a small proportion practised high levels of prevention measures (99 parents and 28 teachers). Key facilitators for a higher practise level in parents include the following: (1) awareness of regular liquid soap's efficacy as a disinfectant, (2) toy cleaning before and after playtime, and (3) the cleaning agent used for this practise. Teachers had no significant factors associated with higher practise levels. Conclusion: This study suggested potential gaps between positive knowledge and attitudes towards prevention strategies and their actual adoption levels in homes and childcare centres during COVID-19 pandemic. These evidences suggest the importance of continuous promotion of HFMD prevention practise in homes and childcare centres, even amidst pandemics.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca , Criança , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca/prevenção & controle , Estudos Transversais , Pandemias , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , PaisRESUMO
Militaries worldwide have been affected by COVID-19 pandemic. However, the impact and epidemiological characteristics of transmission during the early phase of the pandemic is not well-studied. This study aims to systematically estimate the baseline incidence of COVID-19 in the military worldwide and identify the potential risk factors of transmission and clinical characteristics of the cases. English and Chinese literature reporting COVID-19 cases in military worldwide published on four electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, and CKNI) through 28 May 2021 were systematically screened and synthesized qualitatively. Forty-six studies involving at least 711,408 military personnel in 17 countries were synthesized. Low incidence of cases was observed in the military with pooled COVID-19 incidence of 0.19% (95%CI: 0.00-9.18%). We observed a higher incidence among those (1) with overseas exposure (39.85%; 95%CI: 0.00-95.87%) rather than local exposure (3.03%; 95%CI: 0.00-12.53%), (2) who were on either local/overseas military deployment (26.78%; 95%CI: 0.00-71.51%) as compared to those not deployed (4.37%; 95%CI: 0.00-17.93%), and (3) on overseas military deployment (39.84%; 95%CI: 0.00-95.87%) as compared to local military deployment (3.03%; 95%CI: 2.37-3.74%). The majority of the cases were symptomatic (77.90% (95%CI: 43.91-100.00%)); hospitalization and mortality rates were low at 4.43% (95%CI: 0.00-25.34%) and 0.25% (95%CI: 0.00-0.85%), respectively; and headache, anosmia, ageusia, myalgia, nasal congestion, and cough were the most commonly observed symptoms. Overseas and local deployment were observed to have higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Sustainable, active SARS-CoV-2 surveillance strategies are crucial to detect and contain transmission early during military deployments.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Militares , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
Geographical weighted regression (GWR) can be used to explore the COVID-19 transmission pattern between cases. This study aimed to explore the influence from environmental and urbanisation factors, and the spatial relationship between epidemiologically-linked, unlinked and imported cases during the early phase of the epidemic in Singapore. Spatial relationships were evaluated with GWR modelling. Community COVID-19 cases with residential location reported from 21st January 2020 till 17th March 2020 were considered for analyses. Temperature, relative humidity, population density and urbanisation are the variables used as exploratory variables for analysis. ArcGIS was used to process the data and perform geospatial analyses. During the early phase of COVID-19 epidemic in Singapore, significant but weak correlation of temperature with COVID-19 incidence (significance 0.5-1.5) was observed in several sub-zones of Singapore. Correlations between humidity and incidence could not be established. Across sub-zones, high residential population density and high levels of urbanisation were associated with COVID-19 incidence. The incidence of COVID-19 case types (linked, unlinked and imported) within sub-zones varied differently, especially those in the western and north-eastern regions of Singapore. Areas with both high residential population density and high levels of urbanisation are potential risk factors for COVID-19 transmission. These findings provide further insights for directing appropriate resources to enhance infection prevention and control strategies to contain COVID-19 transmission.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Epidemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Humanos , Densidade Demográfica , Singapura/epidemiologia , UrbanizaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant morbidity and mortality globally. As vaccines have been developed under expedited conditions, their safety and efficacy are being questioned by some populations leading to vaccine hesitancy, resulting in delayed vaccine uptake and herd immunity. This study aims to adopt a combination of Health Belief Model and other independent risk factors associated with high vaccine acceptance. METHODS: An anonymized cross-sectional survey was distributed between 15 January and 3 February 2021 across Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia among adult respondents through a certified online panel. Exploratory factor analysis and confirmatory factor analysis were carried out to assess perception constructs followed by multivariate regression modelling to assess factors associated with high vaccine acceptance against SARS_CoV-2. RESULTS: A total of 3,133 anonymised participants from Singapore (n = 1,009), Australia (n = 1,118) and Hong Kong (n = 1,006) completed the survey. While age and gender were not significantly associated, Asian ethnicity, current smokers and self-efficacy were significant associated factors of increased vaccine acceptance. While specific practices like taking micronutrients more frequently, cleaning and disinfecting their house more often were positively associated with increased vaccine acceptance, seeking medical help for COVID-19 symptoms like loss of smell/taste and overall COVID-19 knowledge score were negatively associated. Increased likelihood of vaccine acceptance was seen among those that obtained COVID-19 information less frequently and used digital media or non-health-related sources like influencers as a source of information. Among the eight perception constructs, perceived susceptibility and perceived response efficacy were positively associated, while perceived barriers were negatively associated with high vaccine acceptance. CONCLUSION: While demographic parameters have weak association with vaccine acceptance, perceptions and practices parameters can help to better understand and influence vaccine acceptance. Study findings should provide guidance on the risk communication strategy to enhance vaccine acceptance for vaccination and boosters against new SARS-CoV-2 variants.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Austrália/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Estudos Transversais , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Internet , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Singapura/epidemiologia , VacinaçãoRESUMO
Diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during border screening among returning residents and prioritized travelers during the early phase of a pandemic can reduce the risk of importation and transmission in the community. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of various SARS-CoV-2 diagnostics and assess their potential utility as border screening for infection and immunity. Systematic literature searches were conducted in six electronic databases for studies reporting SARS-CoV-2 diagnostics (up to April 30, 2020). Meta-analysis and methodological assessment were conducted for all included studies. The performance of the diagnostic tests was evaluated with pooled sensitivity, specificity, and their respective 95% confidence intervals. A total of 5,416 unique studies were identified and 95 studies (at least 29,785 patients/samples) were included. Nucleic acid amplification tests (NAAT) consistently outperformed all other diagnostic methods regardless of the selected viral genes with a pooled sensitivity of 98% and a pooled specificity of 99%. Point-of-care (POC) serology tests had moderately high pooled sensitivity (69%), albeit lower than laboratory-based serology tests (89%), but both had high pooled specificity (96-98%). Serology tests were more sensitive for sampling collected at ≥ 7 days than ≤ 7 days from the disease symptoms onset. POC NAAT and POC serology tests are suitable for detecting infection and immunity against the virus, respectively as border screening. Independent validation in each country is highly encouraged with the preferred choice of diagnostic tool/s.
RESUMO
Metastatic infection resulting from Klebsiella pneumoniae liver abscess (KPLA) results in high mortality and morbidity. This study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with metastatic infection among patients with KPLA in Singapore. A retrospective case-control analysis among adult patients admitted to the National University Hospital with KPLA between 2013 and 2017 was conducted. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis was conducted. Of the 116 KPLA patients, 38.8% had pulmonary metastatic infection. Length of hospital stay (P = 0.001) and intensive care unit admissions (P = 0.044) were significantly longer and greater, respectively, among the patients with metastatic infection. Sepsis-induced hypotension (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 4.88; 95% CI, 1.1-21.69), breathlessness (AOR, 5.10; 95% CI, 1.42-18.27), and abscess size (AOR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03) were associated independently with septic metastatic infection. Patients with KPLA who had breathlessness and larger abscess size are at a greater risk of septic metastatic infection.
Assuntos
Infecções por Klebsiella , Abscesso Hepático , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Dispneia , Humanos , Infecções por Klebsiella/complicações , Infecções por Klebsiella/epidemiologia , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Abscesso Hepático/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Singapura/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Successful detection of SARS-COV-2 in wastewater suggests the potential utility of wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) for COVID-19 community surveillance. This systematic review aims to assess the performance of wastewater surveillance as early warning system of COVID-19 community transmission. A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Medline, Embase and the WBE Consortium Registry according to PRISMA guidelines for relevant articles published until 31st July 2021. Relevant data were extracted and summarized. Quality of each paper was assessed using an assessment tool adapted from Bilotta et al.'s tool for environmental science. Of 763 studies identified, 92 studies distributed across 34 countries were shortlisted for qualitative synthesis. A total of 26,197 samples were collected between January 2020 and May 2021 from various locations serving population ranging from 321 to 11,400,000 inhabitants. Overall sample positivity was moderate at 29.2% in all examined settings with the spike (S) gene having maximum rate of positive detections and nucleocapsid (N) gene being the most targeted. Wastewater signals preceded confirmed cases by up to 63 days, with 13 studies reporting sample positivity before the first cases were detected in the community. At least 50 studies reported an association of viral load with community cases. While wastewater surveillance cannot replace large-scale diagnostic testing, it can complement clinical surveillance by providing early signs of potential transmission for more active public health responses. However, more studies using standardized and validated methods are required along with risk analysis and modelling to understand the dynamics of viral outbreaks.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vigilância Epidemiológica Baseada em Águas Residuárias , Humanos , Saúde Pública , SARS-CoV-2 , Águas ResiduáriasRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The negative impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on mental health and physical activity is well reported. While prior studies showed a positive influence of pet ownership on physical activity and mental health, the interactions between the pandemic and pet ownership are not well studied. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between pet ownership, physical activity levels and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted from May 19 to July 13, 2020 among Singapore residents aged 21 to 64 years through a previously published questionnaire. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to develop mixed-effects models for outcome comparisons. We recorded participant data on pet ownership, duration and intensity of physical activity, and RAND 36-item Health Survey mental health domains during the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS: The questionnaire was completed by 431 pet owners and 103 non-pet owners. A greater proportion of pet owners were female, non-married, employed and owned pets in the past. Pet owners reported 31.8 (95% CI 13.6 to 50; p = .001) more minutes per week of mild-intensity physical activity compared to non-pet owners. No statistically significant differences were found for moderate- and vigorous-intensity physical activity. Pet owners had better emotional well-being (êµ = 9.66, 95% CI 4.97 to 14.4; p < .001), energy (êµ = 8.29, 95% CI 3.46 to 13.1; p = .001) and social functioning (êµ = 11.2, 95% CI 5.03 to 17.4; p < .001) scores than non-pet owners. However, no statistically significant difference was observed for general health scores. Pet owner physical activity levels, general health, emotional well-being and energy scores correlated positively with pet attachment scores. CONCLUSION: Pet ownership was associated with greater physical activity levels and better mental health, particularly in main caregivers with higher pet attachment scores. These findings suggest that pet ownership is beneficial to physical and mental well-being during periods of social isolation amidst a global pandemic.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Importation of dengue following globalization presents an emerging threat to global health. However, evidence on global geographical sources and the potential of dengue importation globally are lacking. This study aims to systematically review the sources of dengue importation globally and the risk of dengue outbreaks globally. METHODS: This systematic review was conducted in accordance to Cochrane's PRISMA guidelines. Articles published through 31 December 2019 with laboratory-confirmed dengue imported cases were consolidated from PubMed, EMBASE and Scopus. Sources of dengue importation reported worldwide were analysed by country and geographical regions. Sources of dengue importation into United States of America and Europe specifically were also analysed. RESULTS: A total of 3762 articles were found. Among which, 210 articles-documenting 14,972 imported dengue cases with reported sources-were eligible. 76.3% of imported cases worldwide were from Asia. 15.7%, 5.6%, 2.0% and 0.1% were imported from the Americas, Africa, Oceania and Europe regions respectively. Imported dengue cases in the U.S. were from Americas (55.3%), Asia (34.7%), Africa (6.7%) and Oceania (3.3%). Imported dengue cases in Europe were from Asia (66.0%), Americas (21.9%), Africa (10.8%) and Oceania (1.1%). CONCLUSION: The potential of dengue outbreaks occurring globally, especially among non-endemic regions with dengue-susceptible populations is high. With the expansion of Aedes mosquito population globally due to global warming and globalisation, dengue importation constitutes an emerging global health security threat.
Assuntos
Aedes , Dengue , Animais , Dengue/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Saúde Global , HumanosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Regardless of having effective vaccines against COVID-19, containment measures such as enhanced physical distancing and good practice of personal hygiene remain the mainstay of controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. Countries across Asia have imposed these containment measures to varying extents. However, residents in different countries would have a differing degree of compliance to these containment measures potentially due to differences in the level of awareness and motivation in the early phase of pandemic. OBJECTIVES: In our study, we aimed to describe and correlate the level of knowledge and attitude with the level of compliance with personal hygiene and physical distancing practices among Asian countries in the early phase of pandemic. METHODS: A multinational cross-sectional study was carried out using electronic surveys between May and June 2020 across 14 geographical areas. Subjects aged 21 years and above were invited to participate through social media, word of mouth and electronic mail. RESULTS: Among the 2574 responses obtained, 762 (29.6%) participants were from East Asia and 1812 (70.4%) were from Southeast Asia (SEA). A greater proportion of participants from SEA will practise physical distancing as long as it takes (72.8% vs 60.6%). Having safe distancing practices such as standing more than 1 or 2 m apart (AdjOR 5.09 95% CI (1.08 to 24.01)) or more than 3 or 4 m apart (AdjOR 7.05 95% CI (1.32 to 37.67)), wearing a mask when they had influenza-like symptoms before the COVID-19 pandemic, preferring online news channels such as online news websites/applications (AdjOR 1.73 95% CI (1.21 to 2.49)) and social media (AdjOR 1.68 95% CI (1.13 to 2.50) as sources of obtaining information about COVID-19 and high psychological well-being (AdjOR 1.39 95% CI (1.04 to 1.87)) were independent factors associated with high compliance. CONCLUSIONS: We found factors associated with high compliance behaviour against COVID-19 in the early phase of pandemic and it will be useful to consider them in risk assessment, communication and pandemic preparedness.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2 , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has elicited imposition of some form of travel restrictions by almost all countries in the world. Most restrictions currently persist, although some have been gradually eased. It remains unclear if the trade-off from the unprecedented disruption to air travel was well worth for pandemic containment. METHOD: A comparative analysis was conducted on Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong and South Korea's COVID-19 response. Data on COVID-19 cases, travel-related and community interventions, socio-economic profile were consolidated. Trends on imported and local cases were analyzed using computations of moving averages, rate of change, particularly in response to distinct waves of travel-related interventions due to the outbreak in China, South Korea, Iran & Italy, and Europe. RESULTS: South Korea's travel restrictions were observed to be consistently more lagged in terms of timeliness and magnitude, with their first wave of travel restrictions on flights departing from China implemented 34 days after the outbreak in Wuhan, compared to 22-26 days taken by Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong. South Korea's restrictions against all countries came after 91 days, compared to 78-80 days for the other three countries. The rate of change of imported cases fell by 1.08-1.43 across all four countries following the first wave of travel restrictions on departures from China, and by 0.22-0.52 in all countries except South Korea in the fifth wave against all international travellers. Delayed rate of change of local cases resulting from travel restrictions imposed by the four countries with intrinsic importation risk, were not observed. CONCLUSIONS: Travel restriction was effective in preventing COVID-19 case importation in early outbreak phase, but may still be limited in preventing general local transmission. The impact of travel restrictions, regardless of promptness, in containing epidemics likely also depends on the effectiveness of local surveillance and non-pharmaceutical interventions concurrently implemented.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Singapura/epidemiologia , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Viagem , Doença Relacionada a ViagensRESUMO
Starting with a handful of SARS-CoV-2 infections in dormitory residents in late March 2020, rapid transmission in their dense living environments ensued and by October 2020, more than 50,000 acute infections were identified across various dormitories in Singapore. The aim of the study is to identify combination of factors facilitating SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of control measures in a dormitory through extensive epidemiological, serological and phylogenetic investigations, supported by simulation models. Our findings showed that asymptomatic cases and symptomatic cases who did not seek medical attention were major drivers of the outbreak. Furthermore, each resident had about 30 close contacts and each infected resident spread to 4.4 (IQR 3.5-5.3) others at the start of the outbreak. The final attack rate of the current outbreak was 76.2% (IQR 70.6-98.0%) and could be reduced by further 10% under a modified dormitory housing condition. These findings are important when designing living environments in a post COVID-19 future to reduce disease spread and facilitate rapid implementation of outbreak control measures.
Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Densidade Demográfica , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , FilogeniaRESUMO
This systematic and meta-review aimed to compare clinical presentation, outcomes, and care management among patients with COVID-19 during the early phase of the pandemic. A total of 77 peer-reviewed publications were identified between January 1, 2020 and April 9, 2020 from PubMed, Google Scholar, and Chinese Medical Journal databases. Subsequently, meta-analysis of 40 non-overlapping studies, comprising of 4844 patients from seven countries, was conducted to see differences in clinical characteristics and laboratory outcomes across patients from different geographical regions (Wuhan, other parts of China and outside China), severity (non-severe, severe and fatal) and age groups (adults and children). Patients from Wuhan had a higher mean age (54.3 years) and rates of dyspnea (39.5%) compared with patients from other parts of China and outside China. Myalgia, fatigue, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and fatalities were also significantly more prevalent among Wuhan patients. A significant dose-response increase in prevalence of diabetes, D-dimer, white blood cells, neutrophil levels and ARDS was seen from non-severe to severe and fatal outcomes. A significant increase in mean duration of symptom onset to admission was seen between non-severe cases (4.2 days) and severe and fatal cases (6.3 days and 8.8 days, respectively). Proportion of asymptomatic cases was higher in children (20%) compared with adults (2.4%). In conclusion, patients with COVID-19 from Wuhan displayed more severe clinical disease during the early phase of the pandemic, while disease severity was significantly lesser among pediatric cases. This review suggests that biomarkers at admission may be useful for prognosis among patients with COVID-19.