[Spatiotemporal Response of Ecosystem Service Value to Land Use Change in the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration over the Past 20 Years].

With rapid urbanization and human activities exacerbating threats to the degradation of various ecosystem services in modern urban agglomerations, the exploration of the state of ecological security at the scale of urban agglomerations is of great significance. This study considered the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration as the research area, based on the land use data in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. At the same time, the landscape ecological risk index was introduced. The land use change characteristics of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration were analyzed by using the land use transfer matrix, the value per unit area equivalent factor method, and the bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis method to elucidate the impacts of the changes in the ecological risk index induced by the land use transition on the value of ecosystem services. This study analyzed the land use change characteristics of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration and elucidated the impacts of changes in the ecological risk index on the value of ecosystem services caused by land use transformation. The results showed that:① During the period from 2000 to 2020, the land use types of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration were mainly dominated by grassland, cropland, and forest land. The construction land area had expanded significantly mainly from cropland and grassland, and the six land use types had strong cross-transformation. The total area of land use change was 6 646.05 km2. ② In terms of spatial changes, the spatial pattern of ecosystem service value in the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration had not undergone obvious transformation. However, the regional variability was significant, generally showing the distribution characteristics of high in the northwest and low in the southeast. ③From the perspective of temporal change, the value of ecosystem services in the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration showed an upward trend, with the total flow of value increasing from 186.459 billion yuan to 192.156 billion yuan, with a total value-added of 5.697 billion yuan. ④ There was a rising trend in the overall ecological risk index of the Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomeration over the past 20 years. Low ecological risk areas and lower ecological risk areas dominated the ecological risk areas. There was a significant positive correlation between the value of ecosystem services and the ecological risk index. This study aimed to reveal the understanding of the impacts of land-use practices on ecosystem service values and ecological risks, to provide important references for regional ecological risk management and land-use policy formulation, and thus to promote the high-quality development of the ecological environment in the Yellow River Basin.