Do efficacy results obtained from randomized controlled trials translate to effectiveness data from observational studies for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis?

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials are considered the gold standard in regulatory decision making, as observational studies are known to have important methodological limitations. However, real-world evidence may be helpful in specific situations. This review investigates how the effect estimates obtained from randomized controlled trials compare to those obtained from observational studies, using drug therapy for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis as an example. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials and observational studies was conducted. The primary outcome was the annualized relapse rate. Using (network) meta-analysis together with posterior predictive distributions, the drug-specific rate ratios from the network of randomized controlled trials were compared with those from the network of observational studies. RESULTS: Effect estimates from 26 observational studies showed greater magnitudes and were less precise compared to estimates obtained from 21 randomized controlled trials. Twenty of the 28 treatment comparisons between designs had similar rate ratios. Seven inconsistencies in observed rate ratios could be attributed to two specific disease-modifying therapies. CONCLUSION: In this case study, estimates from observational studies predominantly agreed with estimates from randomized controlled trials given their posterior predictive distributions. Multiple observational studies together may therefore supplement additional pivotal randomized controlled trials in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, for instance facilitating the extrapolation of trial results to the broader patient population.

Natural variability of TRAIL, IP-10, and CRP in healthy adults - The "HERACLES" study.

A novel host-protein score (called MMBV) helps to distinguish bacterial from viral infection by combining the blood concentrations of three biomarkers: tumour necrosis factor related apoptosis inducing ligand (TRAIL), interferon gamma induced protein 10 (IP-10), and C-reactive protein (CRP). These host biomarkers are differentially expressed in response to bacterial versus viral acute infection. We conducted a prospective study, with a time series design, in healthy adult volunteers in the Netherlands. The aim was to determine the variability of TRAIL, IP-10, and CRP and the MMBV score in healthy adults across time. Up to six blood samples were taken from each healthy volunteer over a period of up to four weeks. In 77 healthy participants without recent or current symptoms, MMBV scores (maximal) were bacterial in 1.3 % and viral (or other non-infectious etiology) in 93.5 % of participants. There was little variation in the mean concentrations of TRAIL (74.5 pg/ml), IP-10 (113.6 pg/ml), and CRP (1.90 mg/L) as well as the MMBV score. The variability of biomarker measurement was comparable to the precision of the measurement platform for TRAIL, IP-10, and CRP. Our findings establish the mean values of these biomarkers and MMBV in healthy individuals and indicate little variability between and within individuals over time, supporting the potential utility of this novel diagnostic to detect infection-induced changes.

Balloon catheters versus vaginal prostaglandins for labour induction (CPI Collaborative): an individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Induction of labour is one of the most common obstetric interventions globally. Balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins are widely used to ripen the cervix in labour induction. We aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety profiles of these two induction methods. METHODS: We did an individual participant data meta-analysis comparing balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins for cervical ripening before labour induction. We systematically identified published and unpublished randomised controlled trials that completed data collection between March 19, 2019, and May 1, 2021, by searching the Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and PubMed. Further trials done before March 19, 2019, were identified through a recent Cochrane review. Data relating to the combined use of the two methods were not included, only data from women with a viable, singleton pregnancy were analysed, and no exclusion was made based on parity or membrane status. We contacted authors of individuals trials and participant-level data were harmonised and recoded according to predefined definitions of variables. Risk of bias was assessed with the ROB2 tool. The primary outcomes were caesarean delivery, indication for caesarean delivery, a composite adverse perinatal outcome, and a composite adverse maternal outcome. We followed the intention-to-treat principle for the main analysis. The primary meta-analysis used two-stage random-effects models and the sensitivity analysis used one-stage mixed models. All models were adjusted for maternal age and parity. This meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020179924). FINDINGS: Individual participant data were available from 12 studies with a total of 5460 participants. Balloon catheters, compared with vaginal prostaglandins, did not lead to a significantly different rate of caesarean delivery (12 trials, 5414 women; crude incidence 27·0%; adjusted OR [aOR] 1·09, 95% CI 0·95-1·24; I2=0%), caesarean delivery for failure to progress (11 trials, 4601 women; aOR 1·20, 95% CI 0·91-1·58; I2=39%), or caesarean delivery for fetal distress (10 trials, 4441 women; aOR 0·86, 95% CI 0·71-1·04; I2=0%). The composite adverse perinatal outcome was lower in women who were allocated to balloon catheters than in those allocated to vaginal prostaglandins (ten trials, 4452 neonates, crude incidence 13·6%; aOR 0·80, 95% CI 0·70-0·92; I2=0%). There was no significant difference in the composite adverse maternal outcome (ten trials, 4326 women, crude incidence 22·7%; aOR 1·02, 95% CI 0·89-1·18; I2=0%). INTERPRETATION: In induction of labour, balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins have comparable caesarean delivery rates and maternal safety profiles, but balloon catheters lead to fewer adverse perinatal events. FUNDING: Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and Monash Health Emerging Researcher Fellowship.

Burden of respiratory syncytial virus bronchiolitis on the Dutch pediatric intensive care units.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) bronchiolitis causes substantial morbidity and mortality in young children, but insight into the burden of RSV bronchiolitis on pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) is limited. We aimed to determine the burden of RSV bronchiolitis on the PICUs in the Netherlands. Therefore, we identified all children ≤ 24 months of age with RSV bronchiolitis between 2003 and 2016 from a nationwide PICU registry. Subsequently we manually checked their patient records for correct diagnosis and collected patient characteristics, additional clinical data, respiratory support modes, and outcome. In total, 2161 children were admitted to the PICU for RSV bronchiolitis. The annual number of admissions increased significantly during the study period (ß 4.05, SE 1.27, p = 0.01), and this increase was mostly driven by increased admissions in children up to 3 months old. Concomitantly, non-invasive respiratory support significantly increased (ß 7.71, SE 0.92, p < 0.01), in particular the use of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) (ß 6.69, SE 0.96, p < 0.01), whereas the use of invasive ventilation remained stable.Conclusion: The burden of severe RSV bronchiolitis on PICUs has increased in the Netherlands. Concomitantly, the use of non-invasive respiratory support, especially HFNC, has increased. What is Known: • RSV bronchiolitis is a major cause of childhood morbidity and mortality and may require pediatric intensive care unit admission. • The field of pediatric critical care for severe bronchiolitis has changed due to increased non-invasive respiratory support options. What is New: • The burden of RSV bronchiolitis for the Dutch PICUs has increased. These data inform future strategic PICU resource planning and implementation of RSV preventive strategies. • There was a significant increase in the use of high flow nasal cannula at the PICU, but the use of invasive mechanical ventilation did not decrease.

Women's Experiences with and Preference for Induction of Labor with Oral Misoprostol or Foley Catheter at Term.

Objective We assessed experience and preferences among term women undergoing induction of labor with oral misoprostol or Foley catheter. Study Design In 18 of the 29 participating hospitals in the PROBAAT-II trial, women were asked to complete a questionnaire within 24 hours after delivery. We adapted a validated questionnaire about expectancy and experience of labor and asked women whether they would prefer the same method again in a future pregnancy. Results The questionnaire was completed by 502 (72%) of 695 eligible women; 273 (54%) had been randomly allocated to oral misoprostol and 229 (46%) to Foley catheter. Experience of the duration of labor, pain during labor, general satisfaction with labor, and feelings of control and fear related to their expectation were comparable between both the groups. In the oral misoprostol group, 6% of the women would prefer the other method if induction is necessary in future pregnancy, versus 12% in the Foley catheter group (risk ratio: 0.70; 95% confidence interval: 0.55-0.90; p = 0.02). Conclusion Women's experiences of labor after induction with oral misoprostol or Foley catheter are comparable. However, women in the Foley catheter group prefer more often to choose a different method for future inductions.

Predictors for Emergency Cesarean Delivery in Women with Placenta Previa.

Objective The objective of this study was to identify the predictors of emergency delivery in women with placenta previa. Methods This is a retrospective study of pregnancies complicated by placenta previa, scheduled for a cesarean delivery between 2001 and 2011. Using univariable and multivariable regression predictors for emergency delivery in these women were determined. Predictive performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis and calibration plot. Internal validation was performed by bootstrap analysis. Results Of 214 women with singleton pregnancies, 93 (43%) had an emergency cesarean delivery, and 43 (20%) were preterm. Independent predictors for emergency delivery were history of cesarean section (odds ratio [OR], 4.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-12), antepartum bleeding with one (OR, 7.5; 95% CI, 2.5-23), two (OR, 14; 95% CI, 4.3-47), and three or more episodes (OR, 27; 95% CI, 8.3-90) as well as need for blood transfusion (OR, 6.4; 95% CI, 1.7-23). For emergency preterm delivery, covariates were comparable. The area under the curve was 0.832 on the original data and 0.821 on the bootstrap samples. Conclusion Predictors for emergency delivery in women with placenta previa can be used for individualized antenatal care concerning timing of delivery and corticosteroid cover. Potentially, careful selection in women with placenta previa can result in more conservative treatment in an outpatient setting and reduction of iatrogenic preterm delivery.